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Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace THURSDAY OCTOBER 10 TH – CTA SEMINAR

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Page 1: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace

THURSDAY OCTOBER 10TH – CTA SEMINAR

Page 2: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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XIXe: a century of prototyping

1830 1890 1850 1799

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Will AI drive a 4th industrial revolution ?

I’m smart !

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A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence

https://medium.com/machine-learning-for-humans/neural-

networks-deep-learning-cdad8aeae49b

Page 6: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI

Data

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Current Artificial Intelligence is far from matching Human Intelligence

Notional Intelligence Scale

Perceiving

Learning

Reasoning

Abstracting

Page 8: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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1st Wave of Artificial Intelligence (MBAI: Model Based AI)

https://www.darpa.mil/attachments/AIFull.pdf

Notional Intelligence Scale

Perceiving

Learning

Reasoning

Abstracting

Enables reasoning over

narrowly defined problems No learning capability and poor handling of uncertainty

Page 9: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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1st Wave of AI

https://www.darpa.mil/attachments/AIFull.pdf

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2nd Wave of Artificial Intelligence (DDAI: Data Driven AI)

Notional Intelligence Scale

Perceiving

Learning

Reasoning

Abstracting

Nuanced classification and

prediction capabilities No contextual capability and minimal reasoning ability

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2nd Wave of Artificial Intelligence (DDAI: Data Driven AI)

https://www.darpa.mil/attachments/AIFull.pdf

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Accuracy against Explainability

MBAI

DDAI

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Towards hybrid AI

Page 14: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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Aerospace: Digitization is a necessary perequesite for Applied AI

Data

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Data is the new Oil across the value chain

Operational Environment data In-service data Industrial data Supply chain data

OEM Aircraft operators & owners Airworthiness authorities Air Navigation service providers Component suppliers Service Providers

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Sense: A sky full of growing benefits and opportunities

Data Sources

Crews

Passengers

Pilots

Aircrafts

SATCOM

Radars

IoT Platform

Data Sharing

Co-develop Environment

SMEs

Start-Ups

OPTIMIZE

Performance

Logistics

Inventory

Reliability

Planning

Operations

PREDICT

Safety

Maintenance

Demand Management

Air Service on Demand

DECIDE

Fleet Management

Risk & Asset Management

Cyber Security

SUPERVISE

Operations

Flight & Fleet

Aircraft Environment

CONNECT SENSE

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Sense: Seamless Immersive In Flyt Passenger Experience

Data: Passenger Data &

Content & vendors Data

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. Sense: Man-AI teaming, building trust between the AI/Machine and the Human operator

Many data sources: Wearables, off-body sensors, physiological, behavioural, systems…

Very high cross subject variability: Gated models, Clustering, Active learning, context-aware models, multi modal fusion

Models running in real-time to identify human

physical and mental state

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Predict: Digitalized Risk fatigue management for civil aviation

Many data sources: Wearables, off-body sensors, physiological, behavioural, systems…

Very high cross subject variability: Gated models, Clustering, Active learning, context-aware models, multi modal fusion

Models running in real-time to identify human

physical and mental state

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Sense: Health and Usage Monitoring

Health and Usage data from equipment

and its environment

Evolutionary algorithms, Hidden Markov

Models, Multi-criteria decision

Machine Learning

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Predict: Predictive Maintenance for Equipment & sub-Component

• Data sources: raw data logs, legal/business framework,

contracts...

• Pattern Matching, Machine Learning

• Planning and logistics operations

• Multi-criteria optimization

▌Value proposition

Persistent and rare failure patterns

identification and RUL* estimation

Anticipation and optimization of

maintenance interventions

Reduction of maintenance manning

and cost

*RUL: Remaining Useful Life

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Optimize: Flight Operations Efficiencies

• Data from public/private, inflight/on ground

sources

• Flight pattern learning, anomaly detection,

prediction of disruptive event

• Passengers behaviour analysis

Estimated Time of Arrival : Standard

Deviation Error based on prediction

made at gate departure

Airlines SDE Thales SDE

13.0 min 3.3 min

Page 23: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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Supervise: Addressing Air Traffic Congestion potential risks

▌Value proposition

Flight Safety

Air Controller Workload

Air traffic Efficiencies

• Data Source: ADS-B

• Automatically detect abnormal flight path. Infer

additional flight information about an aircraft

• Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Recurrent

Neural Networks, Pattern Matching, Multi-

criteria Optimization, Operational research

Page 24: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

Decide: Augmented automation or autonomy in the cockpit?

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A long journey with many stakeholders involved

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Towards a 3rd (Future) Wave of AI: Hybrid AI for Aerospace Industry

MBAI DDAI

Page 27: Artificial Intelligence & Aerospace · 2018-11-19 · A very brief history of Artificial Intelligence ... Digitization is a necessary prerequisite for Applied AI Data . 7 s-s. Current

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