arbitrage bounds on option prices
TRANSCRIPT
Arbitrage bounds on Option Prices
Assumptions
No transaction costs
All transactions occur at single price (i.e. no bid-
ask spread)
No taxes
No margin or short sale restrictions
Trade can occur in stock and option markets
instantaneously
Dividends are received on the ex-dividend day,
and ex-day stock price decline equals the
dividend amount
We restrict our discussion to stock options and
index options. Some of these results do not apply
to futures options & options on foreign exchange
Pricing Restriction for Call (Upper
bound) Proposition 1: C < = S (i.e. highest amount a call can sell
for is the current value of the underlying asset)
What if C > S (i.e. C – S > 0) ?
In such cases there would be arbitrage opportunities:
_______Today Before Expiry At Expiration___
(on exercise) ST > K ST
< K
__________________(American)_______________________
Sell Call + C Deliver stock - (ST – K)0
Buy Stock - S0 & receive K + ST + ST
________________________________________________
Pricing Restriction for Call (Lower
bound)
Proposition II: C > = max [ S0 – K e –rT, 0 ] European
& American option on a non-dividend paying stock.
The proposition implies that
If S0 < K e –rT, then C must sell for more than zero. This is
because that the worst that can happen is that it expires
worthless, it cannot be negative.
If S0 > K e –rT, then C must sell for more than S0 - K e –rT
What if C < [ S0 – K e –rT, 0 ]
(i.e. –C + [ S0 – K e –rT, 0 ] > 0) ?
Pricing Restriction for Call (Lower
bound)
Consider the following two portfolios:
Portfolio A: 1 European call option + cash equal to K e –rT
Portfolio B: 1 share
_______Today At
Expiration___
ST > K ST
< K
______________________________________________
___
Buy Call - C + (ST – K) 0
Lend - K e –rT + K + K
Sell Stock + S0 - ST - ST
______________________________________________
____
Some important insights
In the money call options on non dividend paying
stocks will always have some time value (except
on the expiration day)
An American call will never be exercised early
An investor receives a profit of “S – K” (or intrinsic
value) on exercising the call option early if it is in-
the-money
However, on selling the call option, he will realize at
least
S0 – K e –rT , which is greater than intrinsic value
Moreover, the call option provides the holder
insurance which will vanish if he exercises the call
option
Note that in ‘real world’, in-the-money
Pricing Restriction for Put (Upper
bound) Proposition III: P < = K (i.e. highest amount a put can
sell for is the strike price)
What if P > K (i.e. P – K > 0) ?
In such cases there would be arbitrage opportunities:
_______Today Before Expiry At Expiration___
(on exercise) ST > K ST
< K
__________________(American)_______________________
Sell Put + P Receive stock 0- (K - ST)
Lend - K & deliver K + K + Int + K + Int
________________________________________________
Pricing Restriction for Put (Lower
bound)
Proposition IV: P > = max [ K e –rT - S0 ,0 ] European &
P > = max [ K- S0 , 0 ] American option on a non-dividend paying stock.
The proposition implies that If S0 > K e –rT, then P must sell for more than zero. This is
because that the worst that can happen is that it expires worthless, it cannot be negative.
If S0 < K e –rT, then P must sell for less than S0 - K e –rT
since at expiry the payoff is going to be K e –rT – ST & thus P will trade lower than intrinsic value prior to expiry and move to K e –rT – ST at expiry
If S0 < K, then American puts must sell for an amount greater than or equal to its ontrinsic value, K - S
What if P < [K e –rT- S0 , 0 ]
(i.e. –P + [K e –rT- S0 , 0] > 0) ?
Pricing Restriction for Call (Lower
bound)
Consider the following two portfolios:
Portfolio C: 1 European put option +1 share
Portfolio D: amount of cash equal to K e –rT
_______Today At
Expiration___
ST > K ST
< K
______________________________________________
___
Buy Put - P 0 + (K - ST )
Borrow + K e –rT - K -
K
Buy Stock - S0 + ST + ST
______________________________________________
Some more Insights
An American Put on a non-dividend-paying stock
can never sell below its intrinsic value
It will always have zero or positive time value
American Puts can never sell for less than their
intrinsic value and can never rise in value as
expiration date nears
A European Put on a non-dividend-paying stock
can sell for less tan its intrinsic value
ITM European puts will frequently sell for less than
intrinsic value and will rise in value as time passes
Put-Call Parity
Consider the following two pportfolio:
Portfolio A: 1 European call option + cash equal to
K e –rT
Portfolio C: 1 European put option +1 share
Both the portfolios are worth max (ST , K)
Since European options cannot be exercised
early, both the portfolios must have equal values
today:
c + K e –rT = p + S0
If the above equation does not hold then arbitrage
opportunities exist