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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC

II ASIA-AFRICA

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 30 November 1959

DAILY BRIEF

I THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR -India

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friendly adv1c_e"T0 Peiping to negotiate a settlement of the border dispute with India,2 Ln \

Khrushchev is said to ave expressecfthe Soviet Union's desire to see negotiations

begin "as soon -as possible." In earlier private talks with Indian officials S iet d lo ts in N Delhi d P i

Laos A government crisis may be in the offing as a re- sult of the ontinuing disagreement between conservative and reformist elements over whether to extend the life of the Na- tional Assembly, scheduled to expire on 25 December, and when to hold new elections Premier Phoui who favors ex- endin the 1e islature f d holdi el

- 4 , ov ip ma ew ‘ an eip ng OL claimed that Chou En-lai's offer of 7 November to negotiate -

was sent on Soviet advice. Nehru reportedlybelieves the tim- ing of Khrushchevis message indicates that the Soviet premier hopes to have Sino-Indian talks started, "even at the lowest level" before President Eisenhower's visit to India. Foreign Secretary Dutt said on 24 November, according to the source, that New Delhi is in no hurry to open discussions and that it would insist that the Chinese Communists first evacuate terri-

" tory claimed by India, a condition to which Peiping probably will not agree (Page 1)

II, ASIA-AFRICA

g g or one year an ng ections in December 1960, is maneuvering to win support for his pro- posals. However, the crown, the reformists, and influential elements of the army remain adamant in their insistence that the assemb be ' ' ' ly permitted to expire elections be he1dQ (Page 3)

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Cyprus: The newly-organized Cypriot Democratic Union has nominated John Clerides, an experienced and somewhat opportunistic politician, to oppose Archbishop Makarios in the presidential elections of 13 December, Clerides has assailed the "suffocating limitations" of the Cyprus agreements of last February,but has not advocated their overthrow. The well- organized, but proscribed, Communist party on Cyprus has

B announced its support for Clerides following Makarios° rejec- tion of Communist proposals for a united front, ‘While Makarios

Q g is expected to win the elections by a comfortable margin, the contest is likely to be a bitter one with a further splitting of the Greek Cypriot non-Communists, The Communists in turn will have a new device for continuing their attacks on the Cyprus settlement, particularl the rovisions for British retention of military bases. (Page 4)

i Sudan: Prime Minister Abboud isrpreparing to carry out an anti—Communist campaign in the Sudan in order to divert Communist attacks on his policies,

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A " nt s d ditor promine u anese e was sent secretly to Cairo on- 21 November to secure incriminat- ing documents from the UAR Government, The editor stated that the Sudanese Government will label its critics, whether Commu- nist or not, as part of the Co unis_t movement in order to rallv public opinion against them. ,

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Belgian U0ng03 The O.ea(110CK in negotiations between Belgian Ministerfor the Congo de Schrijver and Congolese nationalist leaders concerning the timing of roundtable talks on the Congo's political future will aggravate already serious tension in the Congo. Leaders of the two prominent nationalist parties have demanded these talks with Belgian authorities before the local BL el ti 11 dul d n ec ons sc e e for mid- ecember. Should Brussels at- tempt to hold these elections next month despite a threatened nationalist boycott, further violence may occur. [Apparently in anticipation of trouble, many Belgian civil servants in the colony in late November. had. taken-1‘. ste s to have their families or per- sonal effects transferred homef ‘(Page 5)

30 Nov 59 DAILY BRIEF

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Page 7: aRbc> ]Tf]]WSCe>gIhiINIjik d> · bbVRGS >DRV>jO OY M > Y OtZ IWFZd OWuLX S> AP> Te> @zzu]FrF> r{> \dDik ]siF ]sw] ]ii> bbVRGS >DRV>jSsSeLSA> P PtP t W>aPOWu X

A Oved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03148926 DPT _________ ____ _

I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC

rushchev Reaffirms Desire for Settlement of Sino-India Border Dispute

\

the USSR had given "friendly advice" to Peiping to work out a negotiated settlement of the border dispute with India

\

Soviet premier is saidjco have indicatecfhis desire to see negotiations begin "as soon as possible.'D

(This latest move to demonstrate Mosc0w’s impartiality and support for a peaceful settlement reflects the serious embarrass- ment the dispute has caused Khrushchev at a time when he is press- ing his policy of peaceful coexistence and detente with the West. Khrushchev has sought by various means to prevent any further deterioration of the situation which might jeopardize the USSR's relations with India. In his public pronouncements, he has con- sistently adhered to a neutral position, expressing regret over the border incidents and hope that the dispute can be settled "by means of friendly negotiations to the mutual satisfaction of both sides." Khrushchev has also publicly played down the strategic importance of the disputed areasQ

‘_.

—l " Chou En lai s offer of 7 November to negotiate was sent on the USSR's advice. The Soviet cultural counselor in New Delhi said that Moscow had not "directly intervened" with the Chinese Communists but as- serted that "we have made them more aware of real Indian feel- ings.")

QNehrui believes the timing of Khru- shchev's message indicates that Khrushchev hopes to have Sinc- Indian talks started, "even at the lowest level," before President Eisenhower's visit to India. Indian Foreign Secretary Dutt)

30 NW 59 AppF5T/éE1'r'5r‘ée|Eé§éT'édéE>7dé/ET c'6':>,'1'ié'éE'é4 Page 1

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Approved for Release: 2020/Q2/21 C03148926

Qindicated on 24 November that New Delhi is in no hurry to open discussions and that it would insist that the Chinese Communists must first evacuate territory claimed by India3

(Nehru probably appreciates the continued Soviet efforts to lessen Sino-Indian tension and may be impressed by this evidence of Soviet adherence to its proclaimed "Camp David spirit." He is faced, however, with aroused public opinion on the border dis- pute and is strongly committed in public to defend all Indian- claimed territory. Furthermore, Nehru is still awaiting Pei- ping's reply to his note of 16 November suggesting that,‘ prelim- inary to negotiations, both Indian and Chinese troops evacuate all border territory to which either side lays claim. He is unlikely to take any further step toward negotiations or make any further concession until he receives some conciliatory gesture from Peiping)

(In view of Peiping's evident interest in getting talks started without sacrificing any of the advantages it has already gained, it seems unlikely that Soviet "advice" has been a determining fac- tor in developing Chinese tactics or that there is any serious diver- gence between Moscow and Peiping on the desirability of concil- iating New Delhi. Peiping probably will offer renewed assurance of readiness» to negotiate when it replies to Nehru. The Chinese Communists, however, are not expected to agree to evacuation of their troops from all Indian-claimed territory)

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‘S-EEGRE-T-

30 Nov 59 Ap;rsc;aiar'R;r;;:e:';s'ams=1 Eb'é1'fé'§5é Page 2

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Approved for Release: 2929402/21 C03148926

II. ASIA-AFRICA

Laotian Government Crisis May Be Imminent

[Q10 progress has been made in resolving the disagreement between conservative and ‘reformist elements in the Laotian Government over whether to extend the life of the National As- sembly, due to expire on 2-5 December, and when to hold new elections. Premier Phoui, whose main base of political sup- port is the dominant conservative elementw in the assembly, favors a one-year extension of the assembly's life by means of -

a constitutional amendment and national elections in December, 1960. On the other hand, King Savang, the reformist Committee for the Defense of National Interests (CDNI), and influential ele- ments in the army remain adamant in their insistence that the assembly be allowed to expire and elections be held sometime next spring or summer?

[Phoui remains hopeful that he can ultimately persuade these elements to accept his formula, but has hinted that he will resign if this proves impossible, probably out of "abelief that his role would be reduced to that of a figurehead if the assembly were al- lowed to expire. An influential CDNI leader has reportedly warned that Phoui's~resignation would precipitate a crisis which might lead to forceI)

Qlfloom for compromise still exists, but the CDNI and its sup- porters in the army may be strongly tempted to exploit the pres- ent disagreement as a pretext for upsetting the existing balance of power in the full

—SE€RE-F

3° NOV 59 Ap5F§v‘é<T?o? 'Re'|E§§'é? 'zb’§c'>’/B'z7z“1 é’6:5,'1'4'§S'z'é>‘ Page 3

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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03148926 Makarios Opposition in Cypriot Pregsis-§itial_E*lection

_ The announcement on_26 November that John Clerides, 72-

year-old former mayor of Nicosia, has accepted the nomination of the newly-formed Cypriot Democratic Union party to oppose Archbishop Makarios in the 13 December presidential election paves the way for a bitter and divisive electoral contest. On 27 November, AKEL, the proscribed Cypriot Communist party, announced it would support Clerides.

Clerides is not considered pro-Communist, although he ac- cepted Communist support in winning the mayoralty election in 1946; he suffers from a reputation as an opportunist. He shares leadership of the Democratic Union with his long-time political foe and present mayor of Nicosia, Themistocles Dervis. A manifesto issued by the new party indicates that provisions of the London-Zurich agreements of last February will be the ma- jor target in Clerides’ campaign. Clerides has made it clear, however, that he does not advocate abrogation of the agreements but hopes "to confine the political and economic harm they are doing." He has attacked Makarios’ "dictatorial" handling of Cypriot affairs in recent months and calls for a "democratic and prudent administration."

The Democratic Union is believed to have little support on Cyprus, with its strength centering on dissident elements among the professional and business classes in Nicosia. Clerides can expect more electoral support from AKEL, which turned to Clerides following Makarios’ rejection of its terms for a united front. AKEL claims 7,000 members--all Greek Cypriots--and dominates the 38,000-member Pan-Cyprian Federation of Labor. The Communists are expected to concentrate attacks on those provisions of the Cyprus agreements permitting the British to retain military bases on the island.

Since Makarios has wide popularity on Cyprus and since Clerides‘ support is heterogeneous and the issues upon which he bases his campaign are questionable, the archbishop ought to win by a comfortable margin. To ensure the loyalty of right- wing nationalists, Makarios is reported to have a taped state- ment by General Grivas which pledges the former EOKA leader's unequivocal support for the archbishop. However, in the elec- tions for the House of Representatives which will probably be held in January, supporters of Makarios may find it much more dif- ficult to secure victory over the combined Democratic Union -- AKEL opposition.\

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30 NW 59 Ap5F§v‘é<T?0? 'Re'|ELEE? '2b'§€/B5751 €6é'1'4'§S§'é' Page 4

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Approved for Re|e@§§:_ QQQQ/p2/21 C03148926

Tension Increasing in Belgian Congo The deadlock in negotiations between Belgian Minister

for the Congo de Schrijver and Congolese nationalist leaders concerning the timing of roundtable talks on the Congo's polit- ical future may aggravate already serious political tension in the Congo. [Apparently in anticipation of more disorders, many Belgian civil servants in the Congo had taken steps in late No- vember to be transferred home3 Nationalist rioting near Stan- leyville claimed the lives of about 24 Africans in late October,

Brussels’ plans for the Congo envisage local elections in mid-December as the first step toward Congolese independence, about four years away, with any roundtable discussions to be held after the December elections. However,‘ the two leading Congo- lese nationalist groups--the Abako and the Congo National Move- ment--demand "immediate" independence and formal negotiations prior to the holding of local elections. Both groups have stated their intention of boycotting the December elections. Should the Belgians attempt to hol cheduled, further vio- lence may Occur.

iSEGRE11"-

30 Nov 59 Apgr|c:>\'7e1dD1‘c?r|Relear£:|£6E%)%551 Page 5

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Approved f0r_R_e|ea§e_:2020/02/2] _C_(_)3148926

THE PRESIDENT Tho Vice President

Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council

The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury

The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research

The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy -

Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific

The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce

Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director

Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman

National Security Agency The Director

National Indications Center The Director

Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03148926

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