apre 3 t05
TRANSCRIPT
November 9, 2005November 9, 2005
3rd quarter 2005 Results3rd quarter 2005 Results
• Market
• Tariff Adjustment
• Financial and Operating
Performance
• Debt Profile
• Highlights
• Tariff Adjustment
• Operating Performance
• Financial Performance
Conclusion
4
HighlightsHighlights of of thethe quarterquarter
• Due to non-recurring events, Eletropaulo reported a loss of R$ 324.1 million in 3Q05, compared to a net income of R$ 136.8 million in 2Q05
• Tariff Adjustment of 2.12%, effective as of July 4, 2005
• R$ 800 million debentures issued in September
5
Profile of Consumer Market Profile of Consumer Market
32.8%
25.0%
25.8%
7.9%8.5%
3Q04 - GWh 3Q05 - GWh
33.0%
20.8%
25.2%
6.7%
14.3%
40.8%
21.3%
29.0%
1.9%6.9%
41.2%
19.9%
3.7%
29.0%
6.2%
3Q04 – R$ 3Q05 – R$
cons
umpt
ion
reve
nue
Residential
Industrial
Commercial
Others
TUSD
Consumption- GWh
1800.0
2200.0
2600.0
3000.0
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
6
Comparison of Consumption in Comparison of Consumption in GWhGWh
NOTE: Charts do not consider own consumption
4.7%
-13.1%1.7%
-12.4%
8,081
8,831
9,194
7,882
Market Billed Market Billed with TUSD
3Q04 3Q05
74.9%
4.1%
-2.5%
750700
2,2812,204
2,896
1,312
613
2,3201,915
3,033
Residen
tial
Industrial
Commercial
Others
TUSD
3Q04 3Q05
7
Retention of Potentially Free ConsumersRetention of Potentially Free Consumers
3.1%
13.4%
83.5%
Captive Consumers Free Consumers Potentially Free Consumers
Captive Consumers X Free% total load of concession area predicted to 2005 36,511 GWh
Net Revenues with TUSD - R$ million
1930
3848
54
7884
1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
8
3.7%6.3% 4.5% 2.5% 3.6% 4.8%
7.5%7.6% 12.1%
11.8% 7.3%1.6%
-4.3%1.7%
16.9%7.1%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Parcel B Parcel A PIS/COFINS IGPM
Tariff EvolutionTariff Evolution
Adjustment
2.12%
6.4%
X Factor = 2.43%
18.6%
11.6%
14.3%17.6%
11.1%
13.8%
9
R$ 9,885R 8,275Gross remuneration base
R$ 42TOTAL
R$ 99R$ 426R$ 327Depreciation
R$ 4,771R$5,242net remuneration base
(R$ 81)R$ 814R$ 895Remuneration
R$ 24R$ 24-Additional O&M costs
4.31%3.95%Depreciation rate
17.07%17.07%Remuneration rate
VariationPresentPreviousItem – R$ thousand
Completion of Tariff Review 2003Completion of Tariff Review 2003
• Authorized increase in adjustment rate from 10.95% to 11.65%• R$ 42 million added to the remuneration granted for tariff year 2003-2004
• Restated amounted total R$ 106.9 million, with an impact on 2Q05results
• Recovery of resources will take place during tariff year 2005-2006
R$ 42
R$ 106.9
10
An allowance for doubtful debts of R$ 346.4 million, based on an agreement signed with the MGSP
Increase of 10% in Personnel Expenses due to Collective Bargaining Agreement that increased salaries by 8%
An increase of 12.2% in expenses for CCC due to the increase in the tariff quota for the tariff adjustment of July-2005 and the initiation of amortization of CVA for 2004-2005
3Q04 3Q05
Net Revenue 2,050.3
Operating Expenses (1,725.2)
Adjusted EBITDA 499.1
Financial Income(Expenses)*
(174.3)
Extraordinary Items NetOf Tax Effects
Net Income (Loss) (6.4) (324.1)
1,977.1
(2,079.0)
400.3
(136.2)
Results Results –– 3Q04 x 3Q053Q04 x 3Q05The deferral of the Pis/Cofins taxes increase during the third quarter of 2004 resulted, at that time, in revenues of R$ 117.7 millionThe reversal of the revenue of the energy that was not billed, amounting to R$ 17.8 million in 3Q05, compared to a revenue of R$ 48.8 million in 3Q04, due to:
Migration of clients to the free marketDifference in the amount of un-billed days Classification of non-billed TUSD of R$ 31.7 million
as “ use of the energy grid”The start of the amortization of the regulatory asset of R$ 106.9 million, resulting from the recognition of costs and the remuneration base included in the Tariff Review –2003
increase in operating expenses, coupled with the reduction in net revenues.
reversal of the R$ 55.2 million adjustment in the present value of the “other financial expenses” account in 3Q05, resulting from the provision of credits from MGSP
increase in operating expenses and reduction in net revenues
-21.8%
-5,003.4%
(*) Considering consolidated results
R$ milion
-3.6%
20.5%
(85.0) (85.0) -0.1% CVM 371
EBITDA 392.3 (27.5) N.M.
-19.8%
11
2Q05 3Q05
Net Revenue
Operating Expenses
Adjusted EBITDA
Financial Income
(Expenses)*
Extraordinary Items Net
Of Tax Effects
Net Income (loss) 136.8
2,275.5
(1,777.8)
599.3
(77.9)
(85.0)
Results Results –– 2Q05 x 3Q052Q05 x 3Q05
Completion of Tariff Review 2003, which generated an additional revenue of R$ 106.9 million on 2Q05, whose amortization started in 3Q05Reversal of PIS/PASEP’s allowances in the amount of R$ 72.0 million in 2Q05 which had an accounting and non-recurring effect
A non-recurring allowance for doubtful debts of R$ 346.4 million, based on an agreement signed with the MGSP
An increase of 13.2% in expenses for CCC and 10.6% in expenses for CDE due to the increase in the tariff quota on July-2005 tariff adjustment and to the initiation of CVA 2004-2005 amortization
increase in operating expenses, coupled with the reduction in net revenues
smaller appreciation of the Real against the US dollar in 3Q05, of 5.5% versus an appreciation of 11.8% during the previous quarter reduced by 69% the 2Q05 positive impact in “monetary variations in foreign currency”Reversal of PIS/PASEP’s accounting expense of R$ 98.0 million in 2Q05
increase in operating expenses and reduction in net revenuesIncrease in financial expenses
74.9%
N.M.
(*) Considering consolidated results
R$ million
(324.1)
1,977.1
(2,079.0)
400.3
(136.2)
(85.0)
17.0%
-13.1%
0.0%CVM 371
EBITDA 571.6 N.M.(27.5)
-33.2%
12
Negative Impacts Negative Impacts –– 3Q053Q05
Provision - Agreement signed with MGSP R$ thousandMGSP debt balance provision (346.369)Financial Expenses - Present Value Adjustment Reversal 55.227Tax Effects (34%) - Credit 98.988Reversal of Tax Credit (36.143)
Net Effect on the Result (228.297)
increase in Pis/Cofins' taxes - Agreement with AES Tietê R$ thousandPis/Cofins payment to AES Tietê (43.692)Tax Effects (34%) - Credit 14.855
Net Effect on the Result (28.837)
Other impacts - 3Q05 R$ thousandAllowance for doubtful debts - Other Municipal Governments (23.953)Present Value Adjustment - Other Municipal Governments (9.102)IPTU tax – MGSP – Monetary Correction (9.444)Diferred Amortization - Debt downpayment (15.992)Tax Effects (34%) - Credit 19.887Reversal of Tax Credit (14.810)Net Effect on the Result (53.414)
Total - Net Effect on the Result (310.548)
13
EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA
Debt Confession IIa(CESP Foundation)
3Q05
33.2% Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA
RTE
R$ (27.5)
R$ 12.1
R$ 400.3
R$ 85.3
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA R$ millionR$ million
EBITDA
Debt Confession IIa(CESP Foundation)
2Q05
RTE
R$ 571.6
R$ 15.7
R$ 599.3
R$ 84.0
PIS – accounting reversalR$ 0PIS – accounting
reversalR$ (72.0)
Provision - MGSPR$ 0 Provision - MGSPR$ 330.5
14
186
370
203
297
33
3236
2003 2004 9 months 2005
Capex Self Financed
Total 73
Total Recorded 95
Capex – 3Q05
33
6
Loss Recovery 5
Personnel 17
Others 13
Customer Service and System Expansion
Maintenance
Self Financed 21
CAPEX 3Q05 CAPEX 3Q05 R$ millionR$ million
15
Consolidated IndebtednessConsolidated IndebtednessR$ millionR$ million
71%
23% 26%
29%
77% 74%
0%
50%
100%
2003 2004 3Q05
ST LT
1,424.51,778.8 1,992.6
762.5
1,102.0 948.6
2,338.62,402.73,090.8
2003 2004 3Q05
FCESP CVA/RTE Private Creditors
5,278 5,284 5,280 5,278 5,284 5,280
ST ST vsvs LTLT Debt EvolutionDebt Evolution
16
Hedging StrategyHedging Strategy
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 3Q05
Local Currency Hedge Foreign Currency
41%
41%
18% 14%
61%
25%
42%
4%
54%
3%
35%
62%
17%
83%
86% of foreign currency debt is
hedged, considering the financial costs
R$3,473 R$4,490 R$5,902 R$5,278 R$5,284
million
8%
90%
R$5,2802%
17
469
70335
522367
1,972
159
132
905
506
474
144
444
43
99
56
158285
9349
Downpayments** 9 months 4Q05 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010-17
R$ BNDES US$ *
Amortization ScheduleAmortization ScheduleR$ millionR$ million
Effective payments
* Conversion rate on 09/30/2005 US$ 1,00 = R$2,2222
** Amortization of debts with creditors included in the Company’s Debt Reprofile Agreement, paid on 01/12/2005 with the third tranche of the rationing loan
Amortization of debts with creditors included in the Company’s Debt Reprofile Agreement, paid in two installments: R$ 175.9 million on 06/29/2005, plus US$ 25.6 million on 07/28/2005 using 50% of the proceeds from the R$ 474.1 million bond issue
Amortization of debts with creditors included in the Company’s Debt Reprofile Agreement, paid in two installments: R$ 550.1 million paid on 09/27/2005, and US$ 75.2 million paid on 10/27/2005 using 90% of the proceeds from the R$ 800.0 million issue of debentures.
18
BONDS (June 2005)
• Principal: R$ 474 million
• Tenor: 5 years
• Interest rate: 19.125% p.a.
• Interest and Amortization:
• bullet
• semiannual interest
Debentures (September 2005)
• Principal: R$ 800 million
• Tenor: 5 years
• Interest rate: CDI +2.90% p.a.
• Interest and Amortization:
• Semiannual interest
• Grace period: 23 months
• Annual payments
• Down payments made to creditor banks:
• Bonds: 50% R$237,030,000
• Debentures: 90% R$720,000,000
2005 Issues2005 Issues
2.75 years1.58 yearsDuration
126% CDI128% CDIAverage Cost
After issues
Before issues
Private Creditors debt
Basis: September 2005
19
ConclusionConclusion
• The R$ 324 million loss in 3Q05 is due mainly to non-recurring events
• The issue of R$ 800 million in debentures generated:
• A down payment to private creditors with 90% of the proceeds
• A reduction of debt’s average cost and an increase of debt’s duration
• A reduction of foreign currency debt
• Completion of Tariff Review 2003 and PIS/COFINS taxes expunged from the tariff adjustment’s formula.
Financial Strategy:
• Increase duration and decrease costs of debt by substitution of existing debt for new attractive borrowings, considering opportunities in the Stock Market.
20
21
Highlights for the QuarterHighlights for the Quarter
Reversal of provision (PIS/Cofins)On September 30, AES Eletropaulo paid R$ 43.7 million to AES Tietê regarding the increase of PIS and Cofins tax rates incurring on the bilateral contract from July/2004 though June/2005. AES Tietê reversed the provision recorded during this period
Payment of dividendsOn September 27, AES Tietê distributed dividends in the amount of R$ 199.8 million, representing a pay-out of 95.0% on net income for the first half of 2005
Reward – Human ResourcesAES Tietê was considered by “Valor Econômico” newspaper, one of the leading companies in “ Humans Management”
Reward – EnvironmentAES Tietê´s reforesting program of reservoir borders was rewarded in the “3rd Benchmarking Brasileiro” organized by “Mais Projetos Sócio-Ambientais” as the 2nd best pogram
22
Tariff AdjustmentTariff Adjustment
The Initial Contracts are readjusted annually according to the following pre-established formula :
The Bilateral Contract with Eletropaulo is adjusted each July according to the IGP-M (general price index - market) variation
Tariff Readjustment Ratio = VPA + VPB x IGP-MRevenue
Tariff after adjustment(R$ / MWh)
Initial ContractsBragantina February 12.4% 65.30Nacional February 12.4% 69.42CPFL April 10.6% 73.76AES Eletropaulo July 9.0% 75.99Elektro August 5.3% 61.68Bandeirante October 1.4% 72.77Piratininga October 1.5% 72.81BilateralAES Eletropaulo July 7.1% 132.73
Company Month of Adjustment
% of adjustment
Average Tariff – R$/ MWh
119.2
94.4
73.6
54.0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2002 2003 2004 9M05
23
Caconde305.2
Euclides410.2
Limoeiro119.8
Ibitinga492.4
Bariri442.3
Barra Bonita399.6
Água Vermelha5,870.1
Promissão764.6
Nova Avanhandava1,031.4
Mogi Guaçu27.9
Bandeirante222.6
Piratininga218.1
Nacional71.6
Bragantina110.4
Elektro360.8
Eletropaulo - CI686.1
CPFL421.0
Eletropaulo - Bilateral6,140.7
Energy Balance Energy Balance –– 9M059M05
MRE / CCEE
Energy Generation x Billed Energyin MWh
*After deducting own consumption and transmission losses, the difference is addressed to the Energy Reallocation Mechanism – MREand Chamber of Energy Marketing – CCEE.
Tietê generated 19.5% above its assured energy
TOTAL
9,864.5
BILLED
8,231.3
1.3%
4.4%
5.1%
2.7%
0.9%
2.7%
8.3%
74.6%
59.5%
1.2%
3.1%
4.2%
4.1%
4.5%
5.0%
7.8%
10.5%
0.3%
1,633.3*
24
107%109%98%
81%
117%123%120%123% 120%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 9M05
Generation - MW Average Generation / Assured Energy
Assured EnergyAssured Energy
AES Tietê has an Assured Energy of 1,275 MW average
During the last 20 years, AES Tietê has generated, in average, 18% above the Assured Energy
The Assured Energy was expected to be revised in 2004, but this revision was postponed to 2014 by the Ministry of Mines and Energy
Generation – MW Average
1.275
25
Stored EnergyStored Energy
The energy storage levels in the Southeast region are comfortable in comparison of the risk aversion curve
0
20
40
60
80
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
t
Oct
Nov
Dec
% d
a En
er. A
rm. M
áx.
2005 2004 2003
2002 2001 2000
0
20
40
60
80
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
% d
a En
er. A
rm. M
áx.
2005Risk-averse curve - 2005 Risk-averse curve* - 2006
Risk-Averse Curve Historical
Source: Operador Nacional do Sistema – Oct/05
Supply x Demand – GW Average
Source: Apine
Source: Operador Nacional do Sistema – Oct/05
64.2
46.3 48.6 50.8 53.4 56.560.4
64.2
54.5 56.6 58.5 60.4 61.7 63.9
2005* 2006* 2007* 2008* 2009* 2010* 2011*
Demand Supply
60,854,251,649,347,144,141,8
57,456,555,452,850,450,149,156,5 56,5
2003 2004 2005* 2006* 2007* 2008* 2009* 2010*
Demand Supply
*Forecast - Source: IBP – Insituto Brasileiro do Petróleo
26
Income StatementIncome Statement
Net Revenue 21.4%
Operating Expenses 5.8%
Ebitda 25.1%
Financial Expenses - 68.8%
Net Income
Lower variation of the IGP-M index, from 10.3% in 9M04 to 0.2% in 9M05 Increase in financial income, due to a greater cash balance and increased interest rates
Increase in the Financial Compensation for Use of Water Resources in 29.5%Operating provisions – R$ 18.3 mi
Initial Contracts were adjusted in 8.1%, in average larger volume of energy sold through the bilateral contract –increase from 4,0 GWh to 6.1 GWhR$ 50.5 mi = reversal of the provision regarding the bilateral contract and the recognition of regulatory asset regarding losses on the initial contracts (Pis/Cofins rate increase)
9M04in R$ million
899.4
(213.3)
734.1
(68.9)
411.1 95.8% Net income increase due to better operating and financial performance
9M05
740.9
(201.6)
587.0
(221.1)
209.9
Ebitda Margin 81.6%79.2%
Net Margin 45.7%28.3%
27
Operating Costs and ExpensesOperating Costs and Expenses
End of the obligation of payment of the Public Asset Tax (UBP) in 2004 InsurancesWaterwaysR&D
23.7
16.8
34.9
37.9
18.1
48.0
18.3
15.5
213.3
End of energy purchase from ItaipuR$ 7.3 million relative to "Financial Surplus" MAE expense, which was accounted in 1Q04
in R$ million 9M059M04
Increase of Reference Tariff – TAR, to R$ 52,67MW/h in 1Q05 (TAR x 6.75% x Generated Energy) Increase in the volume of energy generated
Decrease in connection charges established by AneelIncrease in transmission costs due to greater volume of energy sold under the bilateral contract
Provision for loss of financial investments held at BancoSantos ( R$16.9 mi recorded in 1Q05)
21.0
15.5
27.0
34.0
29.8
47.7
0
26.8
201.6
Personnel
Outsourced Services
Financial Compensation
Connection and Distrib.Network Charges
Purchased Power
Depreciation andAmortization
Operating Provisions
Others
Total
8.25% in payroll increase resulting from the collective bargain
12.9%
29.3%
11.5%
- 39.3%
n.a
- 42.0%
28
1.41.3
1.1 1.00.9
2002 2003 2004 9M04 9M05
IndebtednessIndebtedness
Eletrobrás Debt – Flow of Payment – R$ million
-11%
-18%-12%
Net Debt – R$ billion
39137 152 168 185 205 226 250
11225
139 125 109 91 71 49 25
3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
4Q05 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Principal Interest
Creditor Amount - R$ million Maturity Terms Collateral
Eletrobras 1,472.7 May-13 IGP-M + 10% p.a. ReceivablesFunCesp II 0.9 Nov-05 TR + 8% p.a. Receivables
FunCesp III 19.8 Nov-17 IGP-DI + 6% p.a. Receivables
29
Capital ExpendituresCapital Expenditures
Capex 9M05: R$ 13.9 million for equipments modernization, enviromental and waterway improvement
Main Capex destination:Bariri - re-equipping and modernization of the Generating Unit 2
Reforestation of boarders – Ibitinga, Bariri, Barra Bonita and Promissão
Improvement of the waterway
Capex – 9M05Capex – R$ milhões
25,0
17,7
37,530,5
12,4
21,913,9
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 9M05 2005ForecastRevised Equipment
WaterwayEnvironmentalOthers
57%
14%8%
21%
30
Financial InvestmentsFinancial Investments
Financial investments are distributed as shown in the graphic below:
Foreign Bonds (US$) - Aa1
7%
Private Bonds - A31%
Foreign Bonds (US$) - Aa3
8%BR Federal Bonds - Ba3
84%
31
AES Tietê vs. Ibovespa - Out/04 a Set/05(Base 100 = 10/01/04)
80
100
120
140
160
180
Oct-04 Dec-04 Feb-05 Apr-05 Jun-05 Aug-05
GETI3 GETI4 Ibovespa
171
152
133
Oct-05
End of Secondary Offer
Capital MarketsCapital Markets
In the last 12 months GETI4 shares rose 71.0%, while the GETI3 shares appreciated by 52.3% and the Bovespa Index rose 32.8% in the same period.
After the conclusion of the secondary public offer, there was a significant increase in liquidity. The average daily trading volume of GETI4 shares went from R$ 336 thousand in 3Q04 to R$ 2.223 million in 3Q05, representing an increase of 562%. GETI3 shares experienced a similar trend: from an average daily trading volume of R$ 959 thousand in 3Q04, to R$ 1.949 million in 3Q05, a rise of 103%.
32
Capital MarketsCapital Markets
-
1.000,0
2.000,0
3.000,0
4.000,0
5.000,0
jun-
99
dez-
99
jun-
00
dez-
00
jun-
01
dez-
01
jun-
02
dez-
02
jun-
03
dez-
03
jun-
04
dez-
04
jun-
05
R$ 546 millionCesp spin-off –
Tietê was created
R$ 1.4 billionBrasiliana was
created as part of AES and BNDES
agreement
R$ 2.1 billionNew Model Law was
published
R$ 3.6 billionSecondary Offering Santander/Banespae Nossa Caixa sold
their interest in Tietê
R$ 846 millionAES acquired
Tietê at Privatization
Auction
Tietê’s Market Cap since the privatization:
33
ConclusionConclusion
AES Tietê ended up the 9M05 with highly positive results, highlighting:
Ebitda of R$ 734.1 million, 25.1% above the 9M04, and Ebitda margin of 81.6%.
Net profit amounted to R$ 411.1 million, with a 95.8% increase due to the better operating, financial results and the reversion of Pis/Cofinsprovision.
Net margin increased from 28.3% in 9M4 to 45.7% in 9M05.
November 9, 2005November 9, 20053rd quarter 2005 Results3rd quarter 2005 Results
All statements contained in this presentation related to the outlook of the Companies’ business, projections of operational and financial results, and potential growth represent mere provisions and were based on managements expectations in relation to the future of the Companies. These expectations are highly dependent of market changes, Brazil’s economic outcome, the energy sector and the international markets behavior, being thus subject to change.