application ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable energy...

Upload: ahmad-helmi

Post on 07-Apr-2018

217 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    1/17

    Application of a multi-criteria analysis for the selection of the most suitableenergy source and water desalination system in Mauritania

    Angel Antonio Bayod Rujula a, Nourou Khalidou Dia b,

    a Department of Electrical Engineering, Polytechnic Centre Superior, University of Zaragoza, Spainb Centre of Research for Energy Resources and Consumption, University of Zaragoza, C/Maria de Luna 3, 50015 Zaragoza, Spain

    a r t i c l e i n f o

    Article history:

    Received 8 June 2009Accepted 24 August 2009Available online 20 September 2009

    Keywords:

    Desalination

    Renewable

    Scenarios

    a b s t r a c t

    Water deficits and their associated shortages are serious problems in many areas of the world. The paper

    presents a multi-criteria analysis for selection of the most suitable system in Mauritania. Six scenarios,different energy sources, technologies of water desalination processes and water use and five criteria are

    analyzed. The multi-criteria analysis shows that the optimal solution is different for each scenario; in

    some cases the photovoltaic-reverse osmosis option is preferable; in others, the best option is reverse-

    osmosis powered by wind energy or concentrating solar parabolic.

    & 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    1. Introduction

    Water deficits and shortages are serious problems in many

    areas of the world, but particularly in the Middle East and North

    Africa (MENA), the Mediterranean islands of South Europe, (Essam

    Mohamed and Papadakis, 2008) and the isolated communities of

    the Mauritanian desert. At small scales, the solar desalination

    system is applicable in these areas, which have water source

    problems and are too remote to access grid electricity (Kalogirou,

    2001). Mauritania is a country deficient in basic infrastructure; a

    great part of the population currently does not have access to

    basic services like water and electricity due to fossil fuel resource

    limitations and lack of hydric resources. The Mauritanian govern-

    ment indicated that the water deficit will affect 500,000 persons

    in urban sectors and 600,000 in rural sectors. Mauritania is,

    however, a country with a high rate of solar radiation, approxi-

    mately 2020 kWh/m2 year in the case of Nouakchott (NASA, 2008).

    The essential problem of the development process in these

    regions is a lack of searching techniques, which increase the

    potable water potentialities. National water reserves could beexploited. However, this water is hot, brackish and not exploitable

    without treatment. Desalination technology is the unique alter-

    native for obtaining potable water. This work presents a multi-

    criteria analysis for the selection of the most suitable system for

    six scenarios in Mauritania, applying technical, economic and

    environmental criteria of the renewable resource, water desalina-

    tion technology and water consumption.

    2. Resources

    Energy resources are particularly favorable in Mauritania

    (Developpement Energies Renouvelables en Mauritanie, 2004).

    Nowadays the majority of electrically energy comes from burning

    diesel. In 2003, the oil imported accounted for 16.4% of total

    national imports. Clearly, Mauritania is presently energy-dependant

    and economically sensitive to variations in the price of petroleum.

    The total fuel use during the 19902007 period for each supply is

    summarized in Table 1.

    Renewable energy offers an alternative solution to decrease the

    dependence on fossil fuel. Forms of renewable energy available

    are solar throughout the territory, the wind energy in the coast

    regions for a length of 800 km and hydraulic potential found

    particularly in the southern regions (Senegal River length of

    1790 km).

    2.1. Solar energy

    Mauritania has some of the highest levels of solar radiation in

    the world, making it an ideal place for producing solar energy. The

    gross solar energy input is estimated at 2 109 GWh/year. Solar

    irradiation on the horizontal surface varies between 1900 and

    2200 kWh/m2 year (Fig.1) (NASA, 2008). This potential is provided

    year-round and for relatively long periods of time. The solar

    energy available can be used continuously in an optimal manner

    (Bakary, 2008).

    For selected sites in Mauritania, monthly series of global

    horizontal irradiance and direct normal irradiance were extracted.

    These figures are made by application of ARCGIS 9.2 (a geospatial

    analysis software package). The data for each city enabled us to

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

    journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol

    Energy Policy

    0301-4215/$ - see front matter& 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

    doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.057

    Corresponding author.

    E-mail address: [email protected] (N.K. Dia).

    Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115

    http://-/?-http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpolhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.057mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.057http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpolhttp://-/?-
  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    2/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    use an extrapolation method (natural neighbor). The natural

    neighbor tool can efficiently handle large numbers of input points.

    The normal direct irradiation received is between 1600 kWh/

    m2 year in southeast regions and more than 2600 kWh/m2 year in

    coastal regions of Dakhlet Nouadhibou, (Fig. 2) (NASA, 2008).

    2.2. Wind energy

    Mauritania is the windiest country in West Africa. Wind

    potential is considerable, with a capacity for exploitation

    estimated at approximately 7644kW/m2year (Bakary, 2008).

    Wind potential is ensured by three dominant winds: the maritime

    trade, which blows from the northwest all year; the harmattan, a

    north-eastern wind that blows in the dry season; and a southern

    monsoon that displaces the intertropical face during the wet

    season (Bakary, 2008). Wind speeds (at 10 m above ground level)

    vary between 3 m/s and more than 9 m/s in the northwest near

    the Sahara, (Fig. 3) (Etude strategique, 2004).

    2.3. Potential of hybrid systems

    Hybrid systems as PVWind, PVDiesel, and PVDiesel

    Battery are used in the rural sector or in peripheral zones of great

    Table 1

    Oil imported by Mauritania between 1990 and 2002.

    Quantity (T/year) 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2007

    Fuel oil 57,304 60,022 87,203 81,778 76,867

    Diesel 162,491 207,336 228,649 258,518 280,267

    Gasoline 30,334 42,164 26,188 23,315 27,407

    Lamp oil 2400 960 356 185 74

    Gas butane 59.1 53.3 101.3 89.2 92.4

    Total 250,188 310,535 700,513 363,885 384,707 547,775a

    a is the total annual consumption of the petroleum product.

    Fig. 1. Global solar irradiation for all regions of Mauritania.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115100

    http://-/?-http://-/?-
  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    3/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    cities. It is difficult to quantify the real potential of hybrid systems

    because it depends on the availability of resources in the zone

    and the type of combinations, generally. (Many installations of

    PVDiesel, PVDieselBattery exists in the interior and PVWind

    in the coastal cities (due to a higher potential of these sources).

    3. The water consumption

    The problem of water supply is crucial in Mauritania. It is the

    largest deficit in the countrys infrastructure. The drought hascaused accelerated urbanization, and brought the need for major

    water infrastructure improvements. It is estimated that 4 out of 5

    Mauritanians do not have a faucet in their homes. They are forced

    to consume well water. Since the quality of well water leaves

    much to be desired, one of the most common alternatives is to

    buy it from a retailer or to try one of the public sources of water

    (Mohamed Lemine, 2003).

    The internal renewable water resource (IRWR) per capita

    in Mauritania was 141.000 hm3 in 2001 (Water resource in

    Mauritania, 2001). There are three forms of water use in

    Mauritania: domestic, agriculture, and industry consumption,

    which used 6%, 92% and 2%, respectively, in 1985. Agriculture

    occupies 67% of the active population and contributes 1/3 of GIP

    (Mohamed Lemine, 2003).

    4. Water desalination technologies

    There is no fresh water in the north of Mauritania. The use

    of desalination might be necessary to provide their cities with

    fresh water.

    The first desalination technologies developed in the world were

    thermal distillation, multi-stage flash (MSF), multi-effect distillation

    (MED), and vapor compression (VC). In these processes, salt water is

    distilled in steam and condensed as pure water. Subsequently, the

    membrane processes such as electrodialysis (ED) and reverse osmosis

    (RO) were developed (Martinez and Koo-Oshima, 2004).In Mauritania, two main sources are available for desalination:

    the Atlantic Ocean and the brackish groundwater in some basins.

    Desalination of sea and brackish water seems to offer a sound

    alternative for arid lands bordering seas or salt lakes. The first

    experience with seawater desalination in the country is the

    Maurelec unit; installed in Nouakchott in 1968, it uses a MSF

    process. This unit, with 3000 m3/day of capacity, has operated

    since 1974. It was abandoned for technical reasons and cost

    problems. The population of many villages, fisherman and women

    that reside on the coast between Nouakchott and Nouadhibou

    (Imraguens population) have benefited from hundreds of indivi-

    dual distillation plants that produce a low amount of desalted

    water. These distillation processes have been progressively left

    due to persistence of serious technical and maintenance problems

    Fig. 2. Normal direct irradiation for all regions of Mauritania.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 101

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    4/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    (Bakary, 2006). The reverse osmosis unit of the Mauritanian Society

    of Industries and Mines (SNIM) installed in the city of Zouerat

    desalts brackish water to produce 16m3/h for the diverse needs of

    the Guelbs Society. The brackish water treated by active coal and

    filtered by cartridges is pumped at high pressure to 66 modules of

    reverse osmosis placed in 11 tubes. The modules are plastic

    (cellulose acetate) organized to carry out a selective separation

    under the influence of a driving force. These modules produce fresh

    water and are maintained in good condition by an adapted

    regulation. During the past few years, modules were deteriorated

    resulting in an exaggerated consumption of these pieces and

    elevated cost of fresh water (Mohamed Lemine, 2003). In January1996, the Canary government (Spain) donated to Mauritania

    three seawater desalination plants (Argeuiba 12m3/day, Teichott

    12m3/day, Iwik 2 m3/day) and one brackish water plant (Ten-Alloul

    25 m3/day) with reverse osmosis technology. From July 2006 to July

    2008, the desalination plants produced 1100 m3 of potable water.

    These plants are powered by diesel and a hybrid system in the case

    of Ten-Alloul village (Experiencia del ITC, 2008). This country has

    not used MED, CV and ED technologies yet.

    5. Scenarios

    Mauritania is a very vast country with a surface area of

    1,030,000 km2

    (75% desert) and a population of 3,000,000

    habitants. The population is very dispersed and has many zones

    with very low population levels (north regions, northeast and

    southeast regions). The climate is constantly hot, dry and dusty.

    During the short rainy season (wintering), from June to October,

    annual average precipitation varies from 500 to 600 mm in the far

    south to 0100 mm in the northern 2/3rd of the country. In this

    study we chose six scenarios (five cities and one village, Fig. 4). In

    this figure, the green points represent the six scenarios studied

    and the yellow points the capital of all regions of Mauritania.

    Other cities and villages, like (Boutilimit, Oualata, Timbedra,

    etc.) can be represented by one of these six scenarios; so all zones

    in Mauritania are covered. The choice of particular scenarios isbased on a variety of factors, and their selection was conducted

    according to existence of:

    water (potable, brackish, sea, river)

    isolation

    other energy sources and desalination technologies

    the size of the plant required.

    5.1. Scenario I (SI): city of Nouakchott

    The capital Nouakchott is located at the edge of the coast

    between latitude 181 and 061 north and longitude 151 and 571

    west. The city was created on a zone encampment occupied since

    Fig. 3. Wind speed at 10 m for all regions of Mauritania.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115102

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    5/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    1957. The population is estimated to be 800,000 habitants, and the

    annual water supply is 16,476,000 m3 (data published by the

    National Society of the Water (SNDE), 2004). The reality is otherwise,

    because the annual supply is twice as high as this volume. The law

    on water resources of November 1989 determines the following

    norms for consumptions estimation: 50 l/h/day for localities super-

    ior to 5000 habitants, 40 l/h/day for localities situated between 2000

    and 5000 habitants and 20 l/h/day for localities situated between

    1502000 habitants (Mohamed Lemine, 2003).

    5.2. Scenario II (SII): city of Nouadhibou

    Nouadhibou is located in the northwest of the country, situated ona white course, between latitude 201 and 561 north and longitude 171

    and 021 west. The population is estimated at 100,000 habitants and

    the annual water supply is 2,952,000m3. Nouadhibou is the second

    city in the country after the Nouakchott capital, as much for the

    importance of its population as for its economic impact, characterized

    essentially by iron mineral export and fishing industries.

    5.3. Scenario III (SIII): the city of Bir Moghrein

    Bir Moghrein is a city in the north of Mauritania, close to the

    border with West Sahara, between latitude 251 and 231 north

    and longitude 111 and 621 west. This is the most forgotten

    region of Mauritania. The population was estimated to be 1411

    habitants in 2001, but, at present, this population has augmented

    (2%/year), due to development of electrical, water and

    telecommunication infrastructures. In this region, all test

    drilling executed on crystalline rocks found brackish water

    at variable depths between 6 and 40m. (Mohamed Lemine,

    2003).

    5.4. Scenario IV (SIV): the city of Kaedi

    The city of Kaedi is situated in the southwest, between latitude

    161 and 151 north and longitude 131 and 501 west, and is located

    approximately 435 km from Mauritanias capital. The population

    is estimated at 60,000 habitants. It is the largest city and

    administrative center of the Gorgol region of southern Mauritania.

    The annual water supply is 372,000 m3.

    5.5. Scenario V (SV): city of Nema

    Nema is a town in southeastern Mauritania, close to the border

    with Mali. It is situated between latitude 161 and 371 north and

    longitude 71 and 151 west. The water consumption for the

    domestic sector is 60,000m3/year in 2004, and the urban

    population is approximately 60,000 habitants.

    5.6. Scenario VI (SVI): the Nebaghuiya village

    The Nebaghuiya village is located 120km southeast of

    Nouakchott (between latitude 171 and 341 north and longitude

    Fig. 4. Location of the six scenarios studied.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 103

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    6/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    151 and 021 west). The population was estimated at 3077

    habitants in 2002 with a total water demand of 160 m3/day in

    2004. The analyses realized in the laboratory of the National

    Society Rural Development (SONADER) classify the perforations

    and wells as brackish water. This village is located in a desert,

    mountainous zone where the depth perforations reach 100m

    (Informes Consumos Agua, 2005).

    6. Planning process

    The main objective of this section is to choose systems, based

    on combinations of energy sources, desalination technologies and

    water consumption, for different scenarios by applying five

    criteria (potential, economic costs, O&M costs, environment, and

    adequacy). Fig. 5 shows a synthesis of relationships in the

    planning process. The problem was divided into different levels

    to construct a hierarchical tree. The first level defines the goal to

    be achieved, which is the selection of the most suitable system

    (based on energy resources, desalination technologies and water

    consumption). The second level describes six scenarios (five cities

    and one village). The third level outlines the main technologies.

    These include energy resources, desalination technologies and

    modes of domestic (D), industrial (I) and agricultural (A) water

    use. Finally, the fourth level determines the list criteria.

    6.1. Determination of the criteria

    The criteria represent the tools that enable alternatives from a

    specific point of view. It must be remembered that the selection of

    criteria is of prime importance in the resolution of a given

    Fig. 5. Planning process to multi-criteria decision.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115104

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    7/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    problem, meaning that it is vital to identify a coherent family of

    criteria. This section describes the five criteria selected:

    a. Potential: determination of the energy and water potential.

    b. Economic costs: determination of the cost/kWh and the

    investment costs of these installations for each scenario,

    considering construction and transport costs.

    c. Operation and maintenance costs: the maintenance costs for

    energy sources, desalination technologies installations.d. Environment: in this criterion, we calculate the amount of kg

    CO2/year emitted by energy sources and evaluate other

    impacts, such as the brine residues, acoustic contamination,

    affects on marine ecosystems, corrosion of some materials, and

    concentration and chemical discharges to the marine environ-

    ment. These impacts are difficult to quantify.

    e. Adequacy: this criterion determines the adaptation of energy

    sources and the desalination technology with different char-

    acteristics of scenarios (adequate, very adequate or little

    adequate).

    6.2. Stages of the planning process

    There are two stages that determine all possible combinations

    and assign different coefficients.

    The primary stage consists of combining energy resources,

    desalination technologies processes and the use of water, and the

    second assigns numerical values depending on importance.

    6.2.1. Combinations

    This stage allows determination of possible combinations for

    the water supply, from the different existing energy sources

    associated with water desalination technology and with general

    uses of water. Five options are considered for generation systems

    1: system PV, 2: wind system, 3: diesel system, 4: hybrid system

    and 5: CSP system. For each option, it is possible to assign fives

    technology types: reverse osmosis (RO), electrodialysis (ED), MSF,

    MED and VC.

    Each generation system and each desalination technology used

    assigns a mode of water use, domestic, industrial and agricultural.X={Xijk, i=1,y, 5, j =1,y,5 and k=1,y, 3}. The element {Xijk},

    indicates a system of generation (i) associated with desalination

    technology (j) and with a mode of water use (k).

    6.2.2. Assigned coefficients

    Numerical values are assigned to represent subjective judg-

    ments of the relative importance of each part. The value of 0

    denotes a null contribution (nonexistent potential energy source,

    water or desalination technologies process) while 9 represents an

    absolute importance (good potential of all resources, see Table 2).The values of the ranking system used are the following: {0, 1,

    2, 3, 4,y,9}.

    7. Identification of the most suitable systems

    In order to select the most suitable system, appropriate

    combinations of energy sources, desalination technologies, type

    of water use, various constraints and requirements concerning site

    characteristics, technology selection, and operational require-ments were considered.

    7.1. Scenario I

    The annual solar irradiations on horizontal surface and

    direct normal irradiation are estimated to be 2020 and

    2248kWh/m2 year, respectively (NASA, 2008). The potential for

    wind production of the Mauritanian coast is higher, more than

    2800 h/year (Etude strategique, 2004). The nonexistence of other

    conventional sources (nuclear, natural gas, hydroelectric) and the

    lack of utilization of renewable sources on a large scale obligate

    the high use of diesel fuel, at the rate of 4500 h/year in the great

    power stations in scenario I (Table 3). The hybrid systems

    presented in this work evaluate only PVDiesel, which is asystem not utilized in large cities, except locations within 50 km

    of the national electrical grid of Mauritanian Society of Electricity

    (SOMELEC). We fixed their value at 3200 h/year.

    The approximate cost of a solar kit is inferior to 0.50 h in rural

    zones (Developpement Energies Renouvelables en Mauritanie,

    2004). The investment costs are very variable and are between 12

    and 15h/Wp for the neighboring country, Mali (Ricard Munoz

    Martinez, 1998). The wind production cost is 0.06 h in Mauritania

    for projects that surpass 10 MW, according to the results of

    strategic study of wind energy in Africa (Etude strategique, 2004).

    The costs of min-grid diesel (Table 3) is inferior to 0.25 h and

    inferior to 0.10 h for national electrical grid (Developpement

    Energies Renouvelables en Mauritanie, 2004). For hybrid systems,

    the cost depends on the size of the installation. In this case (PVDiesel), we suppose that the economic cost for a hybrid system is

    situated between a solar photovoltaic plant and a diesel plant

    (0.25 hohybrid costo0.50 h). The Institute for Technical

    Thermodynamics of German Aerospace Centre has estimated that

    the concentrating solar thermal power (CSP) generation cost in

    the North Africa and particularly in Mauritania is 0.120 h/kWh for

    the great coastal cities Nouakchott and Nouadhibou (Fig. 6)

    (Concentrating Solar Power, 2003).

    Mauritania is situated in the desert (Sahara zone), where the

    sky is constantly covered with dust. In general, the photovoltaic

    maintenance for small units is very limited (cleaning frontal

    face of modules, control, etc.), and this cost is established at

    0.005 h/kWh (see Table 3). For wind generators (small powers

    capacities), the maintenance cost is 0.02h/kWh and is used for

    Table 2

    Ranking system adopted.

    Intensity of

    importance

    Definition

    [89] Great potential (resource, desalination technologies,

    water), low costs, null environmental impact

    [57] Intermediate potential, low environmental impact

    [15] Low potential, high costs, great environmental impact

    [00.5] Option does not exist

    Table 3

    Potential, economic, O&M costs and quantity of CO2 emitted by energy sources for

    scenario I.

    Scenario I PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Potential 2020 2800 4500 ffi3200 2248

    AC 4.0 5.6 9 6.4 4.5

    Economic cost o0.5 0.06 o0.1 0.13 0.120

    AC 5 8 7.5 3 6.5

    O&M costs 0.005 0.02 40.02 0.005oHo0.02 0.053AC 9 7 5 ffi7 6

    kg CO2 emitted/year 85.6 2394 44,775 8000 26.9

    AC 8.7 8.1 1 7 9

    Adequacy A VA VA LA VA

    AC 4 7 9 5 9

    AC: associated coefficients, A: adequate, VA: very adequate, LA: little adequate.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 105

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    8/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    greasing, changing blades, etc. Diesel generators require much

    more maintenance (from changes of cartridges to oil and gas

    replenishment) and recruitment personnel; the costs are thus

    higher, estimated at 0.02h/kWh for Nouakchott (Kellogg and

    Nehrir, 1996). The maintenance and operation costs for hybrid

    systems depends on several factors such as percentage of

    installation of plant photovoltaics and diesel system size, but we

    suppose that this cost ranges between photovoltaic and diesel

    costs. In the case of a CSP plant, this cost is estimated to be 3% ofthe investment cost. A 100 MW solar power plant with 9 hours of

    storage means a present investment of 400 million h, 1000 jobs

    during the construction and 100 jobs during the 25 years of

    operation (Concentrating Solar Power, 2003). Using these data and

    employing the annual direct normal irradiation, we found

    maintenance and operation costs to be 0.053 h/kWh.

    Generally, sources of renewable energy do not emit great

    quantities of CO2 as conventional fossil fuels do. Nevertheless, in

    the case of solar photovoltaics, CO2 is produced by silicon

    technology applied to manufacture cells. Solar and wind power

    are two purely renewable sources. We have considered particu-

    larly the mass of CO2 emitted (Table 3), because it represents the

    larger percentage of all emissions and is the main cause of the

    greenhouse effect. The amounts emitted are 85.6 kg/year for PV,

    2394kg/year for wind, 44,715 kg/year for diesel, 8000 kg/year for

    hybrid and 26.9kg/year for CSP plants.Great thermal networks generally supply the city of Nouak-

    chott. The water comes from 36 perforations of different

    capacities in the Idini station, located 70 km from the capital.

    The first perforations were installed in 1957 and produce a daily

    volume from diesel generators that varies between 53,000 and

    58,000m3 (Monographie Eau Potable Mauritanie, 2001). The

    populations that do not have access to the conventional electrical

    grid (peripheral zones, located up to 40 km from the capital) use

    photovoltaic, wind and hybrid systems for their potable water

    supplies. Table 3 presents the adequacy of the water use given the

    energy sources.

    By multiplying the coefficients of the five criteria for scenario I

    and for each energy source, we obtain the following weights,

    classified in Table 4.

    Fig. 6. Generation thermal solar costs for all regions of Mauritania.

    Table 4

    Weights of energy sources for scenario I.

    Energy sources (SI) PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Weights 6264 17,781 3037 4707 14,215

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115106

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    9/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Analyzing these results, we observe that the wind source has

    the highest weight of 17,781, the CSP source occupied the second

    position with a weight of 14,215, and, finally, the diesel had the

    lowest weight at 3037 (Fig. 7). This city is provided with

    electricity by diesel centrally installed in district peripherals

    (Arafat) and the hydroelectric central installed in Mali. This low

    weight for the diesel source is due to high costs (economic

    and O&M) and to effects on the environment (high kg CO2 emitted

    per year).The quality of the raw water and water produced by the

    desalination process is fundamental at the time of choosing one

    process. The distillation processes consume the same amount

    energy independently of water raw salinity; therefore, they are

    appropriate for seawater desalination. Pure water needs a specific

    process such as ion exchange or post-treatment if the reverse

    osmosis process is initially used (Antonio Valero et al., 2001).

    Table 5 reviews the types of basic processes in terms of function

    of water contributed and the coefficients assigned for each

    technology. The cost is between 0.15 and 0.37 h/m3 of brackish

    water desalted for reverse osmosis and between 0.16 and

    0.30 h for electrodialysis desalination technology. This cost is

    augmented for thermal technology due to use of seawater and is

    located between 0.73 and 1.07 for MSF, 0.51 and 0.71 for MED

    and 0.78 and 1.05 for VC in coastal cities ( Table 6, Antonio Valero

    et al., 2001).

    The small units need little maintenance, but the required plants

    must have a considerable capacity (superior to 30,000m3/day);

    therefore it requires at least a group of 20 persons for maintenance

    and management. Considering all factors, the average costassociated with personnel and maintenance of a plant can be

    estimated to be between 0.10 and 0.48 h/m3 (Antonio Valero et al.,

    2001). The maintenance cost for membrane technology is

    estimated between 0.06 and 0.13h/m3 (Table 6) and between

    0.05 and 0.10 h/m3 for thermal desalination technology.

    For environmental aspects, we evaluated the effects caused by

    desalination technologies, such as brine residues (Table 6),

    acoustic contamination, corrosion of some materials, and finally

    the impact on marine ecosystems (Jorge Lechuga et al., 2006).

    During the computations of total weights, we have considered

    two important factors applied to scenario I: the proximity to the

    sea and the desalination process applied as a function of the type

    of water use (seawater or brackish water, mentioned in Table 5).

    Scenario I is located on the Atlantic coast; we attribute to each

    position a variable coefficient between 0 and 9, based on reference

    to the sea and distance. In this case, we assign 9 to this scenario.

    Finally, the product of the different coefficients of the criteria

    allows one to obtain the following weights for each desalination

    process, classified in Table 7.

    The relative global weight generated for the five desalination

    technologies shows the highest ranks of RO and MED, with

    relative weights of 6075 and 5685, respectively (Fig. 8). However,

    MSF and CV have much lower values of relative weights, 1894 and

    1944, respectively.

    Water demand is rapidly increasing due to increased develop-

    ment and the high rate of population increase.

    The mode of water distribution in city of Nouakchott is done in

    many manners, including grid distribution, tankers, camions,

    terminals, fountains and carters (the water is transported byasses) (Informes Consumos Agua, 2005). There are three modes of

    water use:Domestic consumption: high consumption in all zones (more

    than 30l/pers./day).Industrial consumption: 90% of the industrial sector is located in

    two large cities (Nouakchott and Nouadhibou) and consumes 4%

    Potential of energy resources for scenario I

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    20000

    PV

    Energy resources

    Weights

    Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Fig. 7. Potential of energy resources for scenario I.

    Table 5

    Desalination process applied in function of the type of water use.

    DT BW SW BWAC SWAC

    RO YES NO 9 9

    ED YES NO 9 0

    MSF NO YES 0 9

    MED NO YES 0 9

    VC NO YES 0 9

    BW: brackish water, SW: seawater, BWAC: brackish water associated coefficients,

    SWAC: seawater associated coefficients.

    Table 6

    Economic, maintenance and environmental costs of desalination technologies for scenario I.

    Technologies Costs Coefficients O&M Coefficients Environment Coefficients

    RO 0.150.37 (a) 7 0.060.13 (b) 5 Fauna and flora 4

    0.370.78 4 0.060.13 5 Fauna and flora 3.75

    ED 0.160.30 (a0) 7 o(0.060.13) 6 Fauna and flora 4

    MSF 0.731.07 1 0.050.10 7.8 Spill of the brine, marine ecosystem 3

    MED 0.510.71 3 0.050.10 7.8 Spill of the brine, marine ecosystem 3

    VC 0.781.05 1 o0.050.10 8 Spill of the brine, marine ecosystem 3

    (a) and (a0) are brackish water costs.

    (b) operation and maintenance costs for RO conventional system with production capacity between 1200 to 18,000 m3/day in Asian countries (Lemei and Van der Zaag,

    2006).

    Table 7

    Weights of the seawater desalination technology for scenario I.

    Desalination technologies (SI) RO ED MSF MED CV

    Weights 6075 0 1894 5685 1944

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 107

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    10/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    of the global consumption of the country (Informe Sectorial

    Energas Renovables, 2004). Agriculture consumption: The cultivable superficial area is

    120km2 for Nouakchott. These types of grounds are found in

    the peripheral zones and are not used for large-scale agriculture,

    due to a high salinity of the ground and the advanced of the desert

    (Informes Consumos Agua, 2005), Nevertheless, this small

    agriculture cover 1% of market demand, like vegetables, rice,

    millet, etc. The water produced for a determined use can be high,medium or low, following the zones. The economic costs are

    variable and depend on the source of production, the type of

    water use, and the location of the zones. They are considered to be

    0.8h/m3 for domestic use serving the great cities and less than

    0.8h/m3 in isolated zones (Table 8). In the urban sector, the

    maintenance costs vary between 0.14 and 0.27h/m3 (water

    product for conventional grid, see Table 8).

    Spills of water cause a greater preoccupation, because recovery

    systems do not exist. In the urban sector, the greatest worries are

    the rejection of contaminated waters by the industrial sector in

    the great cities and the influence of the marine ecosystem in the

    coastal regions. The following weights classified in Table 9 show

    each mode of water use for scenario I. The relative global weight

    generated for the mode of water use shows the highest ranks of

    domestic water use, with a relative weight of 3645 (see Fig. 9). The

    industrial sector has a lower value of relative weights of 882, and

    much lower values for the agriculture sector, 432.

    7.2. Scenario II

    The annual solar and direct normal irradiations are estimated

    at 2012 and 2777kWh/m2 year, respectively (NASA, 2008). In the

    Mauritanian coast, the wind potential is abundant, particularly in

    the city of Nouadhibou, at 3400 h/year (Etude strategique, 2004).

    Average wind speed reaches a maximum of 9 m/s in May and June.

    About 85% of the time, winds blow from northerly directions. The

    major part of the city of Nouadhibou is electrified by central diesel

    of 75 MW located in Zouerat (a city located 600 km away). This

    caused the lower hours of fossil fuels production, 1700 h/year,

    approximately (Cadre des Depenses, 2003). As in the anterior

    paragraph, we fixed the hybrid systems value at 1700 h/year (see

    Table 10).

    The economic and maintenance costs of energy sources

    are similar to Nouakchotts costs, except the maintenance cost

    for CSP, estimated at 0.043 h/kWh. The amounts of CO2 emitted(see Table 10) are 85.3kg/year for a PV source, 2907kg/year for

    wind, 12,935 kg/year for diesel, 425 kg/year for hybrid systems

    and 33.3 kg/year for CSP.

    The following data, classified in Table 11, show each weights

    energy source for scenario II.

    This situation is similar to scenario I, except that, in this case,

    the relative global weights of wind and CSP systems have

    increased and achieved values of 27,417 and 17,374, respectively

    (Fig. 10). The diesel system has a medium weight, contrary to

    scenario I. Scenarios II and I have practically similar characteristics,

    as they are located near the sea and are developing the same

    desalination process technologies. Therefore the two factors

    (localization of the zone and the distance to sea) commented in

    scenario I are also applied in scenario II.

    The potable water supply of the city of Nouadhibou has

    posed serious problems since its creation in 1905 due to urban,

    demographic and economic development, as well as due to

    the lack of superficial and underground resources. The exploited

    water-bearing formation is located 50km from the coast

    (Mohamed Lemine, 2003).

    Seawater desalination technologies for scenarios I and II

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    RO

    Desalination technologies

    Weights

    MSF MED CV

    Fig. 8. Relative global weights of the five desalination technologies for scenarios I

    and II.

    Table 8

    Level of water consumption and costs for scenario1 (specific costs for conventional sources).

    Uses Level of water

    consumed

    Coefficients Costs Coefficients O&M Coefficients Environment Coefficients

    Domestic High 9 ffi0.8 9 0.140.27 9 Spills waste water 5

    Industry High 9 o0.8 7 o(0.140.27) 7 Water contamination reject 2

    Agriculture Very low 4 o0.8 6 o(0.140.27) 6 The lands Contamination 3

    Mode of water use for scenario I

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    3500

    4000

    Domestic

    The water use

    Weights

    Industries Agrculture

    Fig. 9. Relative global weights of the three modes of water use for scenario I.

    Table 9

    Weights to mode of water use for scenario I.

    Mode of water use (SI) Domestic Industry Agriculture

    Weights 3645 882 432

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115108

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    11/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    The unique difference between scenarios II and I concerning the

    mode of water use is the low water consumption of the agriculture

    sector (with a cultivated surface of 17,800 km2 for all region of

    Nouadhibou, Informes Consumos Agua, 2005). The product of the

    different coefficients of scenario II for agriculture consumption is

    540, contrary to scenario I, which was evaluated at 432.

    7.3. Scenario III

    The annual solar global irradiation in the horizontal surface

    and the direct normal irradiation are 2059 and 2359 kWh/m2 year,respectively (Table 12 and Fig. 1, NASA, 2008). Scenario III is not a

    wind region; the wind speed is low, inferior to 5.9 m/s,

    approximately 1700 h/year of wind production (study realized

    by MC2-Eole to a resolution of 50 km) (Etude strategique, 2004).

    The inaccessibility to the national electrical grid, the isolation of

    the zone, and the non-utilization of renewable sources obligate

    high use of diesel generation approximately 3000 h/year

    (interpolated from the diesel stations in Mauritania, for example

    2920 h/year for Matamoulane village located 60 km from the

    capital with 27 kW power). The PV/diesel hybrid system operated

    for 2100 h/year.

    The transport costs of photovoltaic panels, wind generators,

    diesel generators and their components to the zone are very

    expensive and drive economic costs too high proportionate to the

    size of the installation. In this zone, photovoltaic plants are small,

    and the cost is superior to 0.50 h/kWh. The wind production cost

    is superior to 0.06h/kWh, and the hybrid system cost, as

    mentioned above, is located by hypothesis between photovoltaic

    and diesel costs. The transport of combustible cost from

    Nouadhibou or Zouerat until Bir Moghrein city is very expensive

    due to distance and the complex topography; therefore, the mini-

    grid diesel cost is superior to 0.25h/kWh (Developpement

    Energies Renouvelables en Mauritanie, 2004) (Table 12). The

    concentrating solar thermal power (CSP) generation cost is

    0.135 h/kWh for Bir Moghrein city (Concentrating Solar Power,

    2003).

    The operation and maintenance cost is superior to

    0.5Ctsh/kWh for photovoltaic installations with 3.8 kWp power

    (Kellogg and Nehrir, 1996) (Table 12). For small wind turbines

    (120 kW), with an investment cost of 1700h/kW, the main-

    tenance cost is 2 Cts h/kWh. Generally, in rural areas, maintenance

    technicians are not found. A problem (damages, technical

    problems, etc.), usually requires moving maintenance equipment

    from great capitals. These reasons influence much of the

    maintenance and operation costs, which are elevated in rural

    areas and in isolated cities like Bir Moghrein. The maintenancecost for the CSP system is estimated to be 0.002h/kWh

    (calculation effectuated by 100 MW power plant and with an

    investment cost of 400 million h).

    The amounts of CO2 emitted are 87.3 kg/year for a PV source,

    1368 kg/year for the wind system, 27,860kg/year for the diesel

    system, 5250 kg/year for the hybrid system and 28.3 kg/year for

    CSP (see Table 12).

    The diesel system augmented the reverse osmosis utility with

    5 m3/h of capacity (Bakary, 2008). The photovoltaic and the wind

    energy are widely used for electrification and water pumping. In

    this city, the concentrating solar thermal power (CSP) for water

    desalination is not adequate, because the water and electric

    demand are very low and this city is very far away from the sea

    (more than 1000 km), but the possibility of evacuating energyby line transport to the city of Zouerat and Morocco exists.

    The hybrid systems, with their different combinations (PVWind,

    PVDiesel, etc.) are adequate in this region (Table 12).

    The following data classified in Table 13, show weights of each

    energy source for scenario III. The relative global weight generated

    by a PV source presents the highest value compared to other

    sources, with a relative weight of 6741 (see Fig. 11). The hybrid

    (PVDiesel) occupied the second position with a relative weight

    of 2293. CSP and wind sources have practically the same values

    and a much lower value for diesel source with a relative weight

    of 1008.

    In 2000, the water supply to Bir Moghrein took place by

    tankers from a controlled pumping station, located 70 km away.

    Actually, this situation has changed. The government, with

    Table 11

    Weights of energy sources for scenario II.

    Eenergy sources (SII) PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Weights 6264 27,417 5265 2826 17,734

    Potential of energy resources for scenario II

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    PV

    Energy resources

    Weights

    Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Fig. 10. Potential of energy sources for scenario II.

    Table 12

    Potential, economic, O&M costs and quantity of CO2 emitted by energy sources for

    scenario III.

    Scenario III PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Potential 2059 o1700 o3000 ffi2100 2359

    AC 4.1 3 5.6 4.2 4.7

    Economic cost 0.50 40.06 40.25 0.40 0.135

    AC 3 7 3 2 5.5

    O&M costs b0.005 b0.02 d0.02 0.002AC 7 5 4 ffi5 3

    kgCO2 emitted/year 87.3 1368 27,860 5250 28.3

    AC 8.7 8.4 3 7.8 9

    Adequacy A VA VA LA VA

    AC 9 2 5 7 1

    Table 10

    Potential and quantity of CO2 emitted by energy sources for scenario II.

    Scenario II PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Potential 2012 3400 1300 ffi1700 2777

    AC 4.0 6.8 2.6 3.4 5.5

    kg CO2 emitted/year 85.6 2394 44,775 8000 26.9

    AC 8.7 8.1 1 7 9

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 109

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    12/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    support from a German company (KARCHER), has installed for the

    account of Agency of Universal Access to the Controlled Services

    (APAUS) a desalination unity with 40 T/day of capacity in the city

    of Bir Moghrein in 2005 (reverse osmosis technology with diesel

    source, 5 m3/h of capacity (Bakary, 2008). Scenario III is located

    more than 1000 km from the sea, and the water is brackish.

    Therefore no option exists for thermal desalination technology

    (MSF, MED, VC). The costs for RO and ED are similar to those of

    scenario I, but with a slight superiority due to isolation and thedisplacement of maintenance personal. The environmental impact

    is very limited (Table 14).

    Table 15, show weights of each type of desalination process for

    scenario III.

    For this scenario, we have not studied options for desalination

    of seawater because the transportation of water to those areas is

    difficult and costly due to distance of the sea (more than

    1000 km), low demand and isolation. The weights obtained for

    brackish water desalination show that the RO and ED have the

    highest rank and are uniquely adequate systems for rural areas

    and small city or villages (see Fig. 12).

    The mode of water use is identical for all scenarios: domestic,

    industrial (industrial sectors do not exist for this scenario) and

    agriculture consumption (low for small kitchen gardens supplied

    by irrigation and rainwater). In isolated locations, small-scale

    agriculture for small kitchen gardens designed by feminine

    cooperatives or individuals exists.

    For this scenario, we do not have contamination by the industrial

    sector, (contrary to scenario I), to include in the costs, (Table 16).

    Table 17, show weights of water use for scenario III.

    The relative global weight generated for the mode of water use

    shows the highest ranks of domestic water use, with relative

    weights of 2646 (see Fig. 13), the industry has a null value and

    lower values for agriculture, 150.

    7.4. Scenario IV

    The city is located within the Chemama Riverine zone along the

    north bank of the River Senegal where the river connects with the

    Gorgol River. This region is one of the few areas of settled

    agriculture in the country. Kaedis economy is based on agriculture,

    being one of few zones in the country with large arable areas. The

    potential agricultural area for the Gorgol region is estimated at

    88,300 ha, with a cultivated surface of 53,030ha. The main cultures

    are rice and millet. The water consumption for the domestic sector

    is 372,000 m3/year in 2004. This city does not have problems of

    water consumption, but the rate of electrification is very low.

    7.5. Scenario V

    The city of Nema is located in the water-bearing region of

    Taoudeni, with a surface of 1600 km2 and 100m of depth in one

    Potential of energy resources for scenario III

    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    7000

    8000

    PV

    Energy resources

    Weights

    Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Fig. 11. Potential of energy resources for scenario III.

    Table 14

    Economic, maintenance and environmental costs of desalination technologies for scenario III.

    Technologies Costs Coefficients O&M Coefficients Environment Coefficients

    RO 0.150.37 (a) 7 b(0.060.13) 3 Fauna and flora 6

    4(0.370.78) 4 2 6

    ED (0.160.30) (a0) 6.5 0.060.13 5 Fauna and flora 4

    Table 15

    Weights of brackish water desalination technology for scenario III.

    Desalination technologies SIII RO ED MSF MED CV

    Weights 1134 1752 0 0 0

    Table 13

    Weights of energy sources for scenario III.

    Energy sources (SIII) PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Weights 6741 882 1008 2293 768

    Brackish water desalination technologies for scenarios 3 and 6

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1000

    1100

    1200

    1300

    1400

    15001600

    EDRO

    Desalination technologies

    Weights

    Fig. 12. Relative global weights of two desalination technology for scenarios III

    and VI.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115110

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    13/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    layer (Mohamed Lemine, 2003). There is one deeper layer towards

    the east and Mal. There are formations that present two different

    levels:

    The old formation that appears in Mauritania reaches widely,

    the Adrar, Tagant, Assaba, Hodh el Chargui, and Hodh el Gharbi

    regions. The conditions are favorable for the presence of water.

    Recent formations that corresponded to the terminal con-

    tinental stoneware, exploited solely in the southeastern region

    of the country (Dhar de Nema).

    When rains supply these reserves abundantly, they produce

    water of high quality, but, in this zone, other perforations existwith low volume and with high salinity (salinity superior to

    established potability norms).

    Scenarios IV and V have been included in this study to

    represent many points of the country, but, in reality, they do not

    have a water problem. In these scenarios the electrical infra-

    structures are very low and the solar irradiation is high.

    7.6. Scenario VI

    The annual solar irradiation in the horizontal surface and the

    direct normal irradiation are 2050 and 2200 kWh/m2 year,

    respectively (NASA, 2008). As in the preceding scenario (III),

    scenario VI is not a wind region. The inaccessibility to the national

    electrical grid and low reliability of some renewable sources bring

    about the high use of diesel fuel. The village had five salty

    perforations, but only two of them are in use today, and use diesel

    generators: a Perkins model P40 with 38 kW, functioning 10 h/day

    (3600 h/year, see Table 18), and a second of 13kW power that

    serves as support.

    The Nebaghuiya village is located 120 km from the capital;therefore, the transport costs do not strongly affect economic

    costs. The solar thermal electricity generation cost is 0.125 h/kWh

    for Nebaghuiya village (Concentrating Solar Power, 2003), and the

    rest is similar to scenario III (see Table 18).

    The diesel source needs much maintenance (change of oil and

    gasoil cartridges for each 200 h of operation with 8 l of new oil)

    and recruitment of two personnel whose monthly salaries are

    estimated to 60 and 90 h. The maintenance and operation costs

    for the diesel source are elevated (superior to 0.02h/kWh, see

    Table 18) and 0.0545h/kWh for the CSP system (calculation

    effectuated by 100 MW power plant with investment cost of

    400 million h).

    The amounts of CO2 emitted are 89 kg/year for PV source,

    1453 kg/year for the wind source, 35,820 kg/year for the dieselsystem, 6250 kg/year for the hybrid system and 26.4 kg/year for

    CSP (see Table 18).

    The following data classified in Table 19 show weights of each

    energy source for scenario VI. The relative global weights

    generated by energy sources are presented in Fig. 14. For more

    detail, see the analysis effectuated in scenario I.

    The water desalination technologies for this scenario are similar

    to scenario III because the possibility for thermal desalination

    technology as MED, MSF, CV does not exist. Therefore the costs are

    practically similar, but with a slight inferiority to scenario III due to

    the proximity of the capital (diminution of transport costs,

    construction costs, maintenance costs, etc.). The weights obtained

    for brackish water desalination show that the RO and ED have the

    highest rank (1512 and 1755, respectively, see Table 20).

    Table 16

    Level of water consumption and costs for scenario III (specific costs for conventional source).

    Uses Level of water

    consumed

    Coefficients Costs Coefficients O&M Coefficients Environment Coefficients

    Domestic High 9 40.8 7 (0.140.27) 7 Spills waste water 6

    Industry High 0.5 0.5 0.5 1

    Agriculture Low 1.5 o0.8 5 o(0.140.27) 5 Less land Contamination 4

    *No exist industry.

    Table 17

    Weights to mode of water use for scenario III.

    Mode of water use SIII Domestic Industry Agriculture

    Weights 2646 0 150

    Mode of water use for scenario III

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    Water use

    Weights

    Domestic Agriculture

    Fig. 13. Relative global weights of the three modes of water use for scenario III.

    Table 18

    Potential, economic, O&M costs and quantity of CO2 emitted by energy sources for

    scenario VI.

    Scenario VI PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Potential 2100 1700 3600 ffi2500 2200

    AC 4.2 3.4 7.2 5.0 4.4

    Economic cost 0.50 40.06 o0.25 o0.35 0.125

    AC 4 7.5 5 2.5 6

    O&M costs d0.005 b0.02 d0.02 b0.02

    AC 7.5 6.5 4.5 ffi5.5 4

    kgCO2 emitted/year 89 1453 35,820 6250 26.4

    AC 8.7 8.4 2 7.6 9

    Table 19

    Weights of energy sources for scenario VI.

    Energy sources SVI PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Weights 9865 1392 2268 3657 1900

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 111

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    14/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    The mode of water use is identical to scenario III except the

    agricultural use.

    8. Results and discussion

    The results are obtained by the product of total coefficients

    associated with sources, by total coefficients associated with

    desalination technologies, and by total coefficients associatedwith consumption of the water. During computations we have

    considered a special criterion: the possible coupling of

    energy sources with desalination process, applied to all scenarios

    (Table 21). These coefficients vary between 0 and 9 and depend on

    their importance and intensity.

    Therefore, with the data used in the calculation procedure, we

    obtain relative global weights classified in two Table 22(a and b),

    which represent the use of seawater and brackish water,

    respectively. The results of these combinations show a great

    domination of pairs (WindROD), (CSPROD) and (CSPMED

    D) for scenarios I and II (Fig. 15). Therefore, the most suitable

    system is the wind powered by reverse osmosis for domestic use

    (WindROD) with relative weights of 3.541012 and 5.461012

    for scenarios I and II, respectively. The difference in weights is dueto the high wind potential of scenario II; indeed, if we observe the

    diagram of energy sources for all scenarios (Fig. 16), we note that

    wind energy has the highest ranks for scenarios I and II, with

    relative weights of 17,781 and 27,417, respectively. Therefore we

    conclude that the wind potential constitutes an important source

    for these two scenarios and that the second option is the CSP.

    Analyzing the results of the most suitable systems, it was found

    that RO desalination technology appears to be the most applied

    process. This analysis confirms the results illustrated in Fig. 17,

    with relative weights of 6075 for RO and a slight superiority to

    MED process with weights of 5685. This analysis is valid for

    scenarios I and II because they present the same values. The

    particular analysis of scenario I (Fig. 15) shows four dominant

    pairs: (WindROD), (CSPROD), (CSPMEDD) and (PVROD).

    We observed the presence of the wind source in the first plane; in

    this scenario, the wind potential is high and achieved relative

    weights of 17,781. CSP also is a good option, with relative weights

    Potential of energy resources for scenario VI

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    PV

    Energy resources

    W

    eights

    Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Fig. 14. Potential of energy resources for scenario VI.

    Table 20

    Weights of brackish water desalination technology for scenario VI.

    Desalination technologies SVI RO ED MSF MED CV

    Weights 1512 1755 0 0 0

    Table 22

    (a) Weights of systems for scenarios I and II.

    Systems/weights Scenario I Scenario II

    PV+ RO+ D 1,24835E+ 12 1.24835E+12

    PV+ RO+ I 3.02071E+ 11 3.02071E+11

    PV+ RO+ A 1.47953E+ 11 1.84941E+11

    PV+ VC+ D 3.10702E+ 11 3.10702E+11

    PV+ VC+ I 75,182,131,584 75,182,131,584

    PV+ VC+ A 36,823,901,184 46,029,876,480

    Wind+RO+ D 3.54358E+ 12 5.46394E+12

    Wind+RO+ I 8.57459E+ 11 1.32214E+12

    Wind+RO+ A 4.1998E+ 11 8.09473E+11

    Diesel +RO+ D 6.05245E+ 11 1.04926E+12

    Diesel +RO+ I 1.46454E+ 11 2.53896E+11

    Diesel +RO+ A 71732725200 1.55446E+11

    Diesel+VC+D 1.50639E+ 11 2.6115E+11

    Diesel +VC +I 36,450,851,472 63,191,877,840

    Diesel +VC +A 17,853,478,272 38,688,904,800

    Hybrid+RO+ D 9.3806E+ 11 5.63195E+11

    Hybrid+RO+ I 2.26987E+ 11 1.36279E+11

    Hybrid +RO+ A 1.11177E+ 11 83,436,237,000

    Hybrid+VC+ D 2.33473E+ 11 1.40173E+11

    Hybrid +VC+ I 56,494,618,992 33,918,375,456

    Hybrid +VC+ A 27,670,833,792 20,766,352,320

    CSP+ RO+ D 2.83291E+ 12 3.46247E+12

    CSP+ RO+ I 6.85495E+ 11 8.37832E+11

    CSP+ RO+ A 3.35753E+ 11 5.12959E+11

    CSP+MED+ D 2.65105E+ 12 3.24019E+12CSP+MED+ I 6.41488E+ 11 7.84046E+11

    CSP+MED+ A 3.14198E+ 11 4.80028E+11

    CSP+MSF+ D 8.83216E+ 11 1.07949E+12

    CSP+MSF+ I 2.13716E+ 11 2.61211E+11

    CSP+MSF+ A 1.04677E+ 11 1.59925E+11

    Wind+VC+D 8.81958E+ 11 1.35992E+12

    Wind+VC+I 2.13412E+ 11 3.29066E +11

    Wind+VC+A 1.04528E+ 11 2.01469E +11

    (b) Weights of systems for scenarios III and VI

    Systems/weights Scenario III Scenario VI

    PV+ RO+ D 0.2022E+ 11 0.4529E+11

    PV+ RO+ A 0.0114E+ 11 0.0295E+11

    PV+ ED+D 0.3130E+ 11 0.5662E+11

    PV+ ED+A 0.0177E+ 11 0.0369E+11

    Wind+RO+ D 0.0264E+ 11 0.0639E+11

    Wind+RO+ A 0.0015E + 11 0.0041E+11

    Wind+ED+ D 0.0409E + 11 0.0798E+11

    Wind+ED+ A 0.0023E + 11 0.0052E+11

    Diesel+ RO+D 0.0302E + 11 0.1041E+11

    Diesel+ RO+A 0.0017E + 11 0.0067E+11

    Diesel+ ED+ D 0.0468E+ 11 0.1301E+11

    Diesel+ ED+ A 0.0468E+ 11 0.0084E+11

    Hybrid+ RO+D 0.0688E+ 11 0.1679E+11

    Hybrid+ RO+A 0.0039E + 11 0.0109E+11

    Hybrid+ ED+D 0.1064E+ 11 0.2099E+11

    Hybrid+ ED+A 0.0060E+ 11 0.0136E+11

    Table 21

    Possible options for coupled energy sources and desalination process (G. Fiorenza

    et al, 2003).

    Energy sources/

    desalination

    technologies

    RO ED MSF MED CV

    PV 9 9 0 0 7

    Wind 9 8 0 0 7

    Diesel 9 8 0 0 7Hybrid 9 9 0 0 7

    CSP 9 0 9 9 9

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115112

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    15/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    of 14,215. For water desalination, RO is the most dominant

    desalination process. However, the pairs (HybridVCA) and(dieselVCA) have low likelihood of viability due to low

    potential diesel and low water consumption in the agriculture

    sector. Finally, it has been demonstrated that, in finding the most

    suitable systems for all scenarios, it is always important to

    consider water use in the domestic sector. As in the preceding

    analysis, the most suitable system for scenario II is reverse

    osmosis powered by wind energy (WindROD). Wind energy and

    CSP have been dominant generation sources, with relative weights

    of 27,417 and 17,374, respectively. However, other important

    combinations exist: (CSPROD), (CSPMEDD) and (WindVC

    D). Scenarios III and VI are situated more than 1000 and 120 km

    from the sea, respectively. Therefore, the possibility of using

    seawater does not exist. In these scenarios, the studies have

    shown that the water is brackish and the average value of

    conductivity of the feed water is around 2200mS/cm. The most

    suitable systems are pairs (PVEDD), (PVROD) and (HybridEDD) for scenario III and VI (Fig. 18). The results show that (PV

    EDD) has the highest ranks, with a relative weight of 0.561011

    for scenario VI, almost double the weights of scenario III. We

    deduce that the RO and ED desalination processes offer a viable

    option for desalination of brackish water for these scenarios and

    that the PV appears as the dominant source.

    9. Conclusions

    The main goal of this paper was to select the most suitable

    system for desalination technologies powered by energy

    sources for different scenarios. Evaluations of each scenario were

    carried out taking into account several criteria and reaching

    Seawater desalination systems for scenarios I and II

    0

    1E+12

    2E+12

    3E+12

    4E+12

    5E+12

    6E+12

    Scenario I

    Scenarios

    Weights

    PV+RO+D

    PV+RO+I

    PV+RO+A

    PV+VC+D

    PV+VC+I

    PV+VC+A

    Wind+RO+D

    Wind+RO+I

    Wind+RO+A

    Diesel+RO+D

    Diesel+RO+I

    Diesel+RO+A

    Diesel+VC+D

    Diesel+VC+I

    Diesel+VC+A

    Hybrid+RO+D

    Hybrid+RO+I

    Hybrid+RO+A

    Hybrid+VC+D

    Hybrid+VC+I

    Hybrid+VC+A

    CSP+ RO +D

    CSP+ RO+I

    CSP+ RO+A

    CSP+ MED+D

    CSP+ MED+I

    CSP+ MED+A

    CSP+MSF+D

    CSP+MSF+I

    CSP+MSF+A

    Wind+VC+D

    Wind+VC+I

    Wind+VC+AScenario II

    Fig. 15. Seawater desalination systems for scenarios I and II.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 113

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    16/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    different solutions or alternatives (energy sources+desalinationand technology+mode of water use). This study can conclude

    that:

    Wind and CSP are the best strategies for scenarios I and II

    (coastal cities) and PV is the more important source in other

    scenarios (isolated regions).

    RO for the desalination of brackish water and seawater is

    becoming more important for all scenarios.

    RO and the ED desalination process powered by PV are

    appropriate solutions for scenarios III and VI (all scenarios

    with low demand and with brackish water).

    RO powered by wind or CSP is the most suitable system for

    great cities located on the coast (scenarios I and II).

    References

    Antonio Valero, Javier Uche, Luis Serra, 2001. La Desalacion como Alternativa alPHN, realizado por el Centro de Investigacion de Recursos y ConsumosEnergeticos (CIRCE). Universidad de Zaragoza para el Gobierno de Aragon,Spain.

    Bakary Mohamed Semega, 2008. Energie eolienne et dessalement dans le contextemauritanien, des modeles de developpement pour le sud. Energie Francopho-nie N179-2ieme trimestre.

    Bakary Mohamed Semega, 2006. Le dessalement de leau de mer une alternativepour la desserte du littoral Mauritanien. Universite de Nouakchott, Mauritanie.

    Cadre des D epenses en moyenne terme du Secteur de lEnergie en Mauritanie,2003.

    Concentrating Solar Power, 2003. A Vision for Sustainable Electricity Generation.Developpement des Energies Renouvelables en Mauritanie, 2004. RevueRenouvelle N16-7.

    Essam, Mohamed, Papadakis, G., 2008. A direct coupled photovoltaic seawaterreverse osmosis desalination system toward battery based systemsatechnical and economical experimental comparative study, University ofAthenes, Greece. Desalination 221, 1722.

    Etude Strategique de Deploiement de lEnergie Eolienne en Afrique, 2004. Presentepar la Banque Africaine de D eveloppement.

    Experiencia del ITC en Proyectos de Cooperacion Internacional, 2008. Suministrode Agua Potable mediante desalacion en Africa, exposicion internacional, Aguay Desarrollo Sostenible.

    Fiorenza, G., Sharma, V.K., Braccio, G., 2003. Techno-economic evaluation of a solarpowered water desalination plant, ENEA Centro Ricerche Trisaia, Italy. EnergyConversion and Management 44, 22172240.

    Informe Sectorial de las Energas Renovables en Mauritania, Marzo, 2004.Informes sobre Consumos de Agua en Mauritania, 2005.

    Jorge Lechuga, A., Marisela Rodrguez, y., Joaqun Lloveras, M., 2006. An alisis de losprocesos para desalinizacion de agua de mar aplicando la inteligencia

    competitiva y tecnologica.

    Energy resources for four scenarios of Mauritania

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Scenario I

    Scenarios

    Weights(10^3)

    PV Wind Diesel Hybrid CSP

    Scenario II Scenario III Scenario VI

    Fig. 16. Energy resources for scenarios I, II, III and VI.

    Seawater desalination technologies for scenarios I and II

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    Scenario1Scenarios

    Weights(10^3)

    RO

    ED

    MSF

    MED

    VC

    Scenario2

    Fig. 17. Seawater desalination technologies for scenarios I and II.

    Brackish water desalination systems for scenarios III and VI

    0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    Scenario III

    Scenarios

    Weights(10^11)

    PV+RO+D

    PV+RO+A

    PV+ED+D

    PV+ED+A

    Wind+RO+D

    Wind+RO+A

    Wind+ED+DWind+ED+A

    Diesel+RO+D

    Diesel+RO+A

    Diesel+ED+D

    Diesel+ED+A

    Hybrid+RO+D

    Hybrid+RO+A

    Hybrid+ED+DHybrid+ED+A

    Scenario VI

    Fig. 18. Brackish water desalination systems for scenarios III and VI.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115114

  • 8/4/2019 Application Ofamulti-criteriaanalysisfortheselectionofthemostsuitable Energy SourceandwaterdesalinationsysteminM

    17/17

    ARTICLE IN PRESS

    Kalogirou, 2001. Effect of fuel cost on the price of desalination water: a case forrenewable, Higher Technical Institute, Cyprus. Desalination 138, 137144.

    Kellogg, W., Nehrir, M.H., 1996. Optimal unit sizing for a hybrid wind/photovoltaicgenerating system, department of electrical engineering, Montana StateUniversity, USA. Electric Power Systems Research 39, 3538.

    Lemei, A., Van der Zaag, P., 2006. Basic cost equation to estimate unit productioncosts for RO desalination and long-distance piping to supply water to tourism-dominated arid coastal regions of Egypt. Desalination 225, 112.

    Martinez Beltan, J., Koo-Oshima, S., 2004. Water desalination for agriculturalapplications. Proceedings of the FAO Expert Consultation on Water Desalina-tion for Agricultural Applications (pp. 2627), 2627 Rome.

    Ministere de lHydraulique et de lEnergie de Mauritanie, 2001, Monographie EauPotable.

    Mohamed Lemine Ould Fagel, 2003. Tesis, Utilizacion de la Energa Eolica paraDesalacion de Agua en el Norte de Mauritania. Aplicacion a la Wilaya deDakhlet Nouadhibou, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canarias, Spain.

    NASA, 2008. /http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/SSES.Ricard Munoz Martinez, 1998. Abastecimiento electrico del centro socioeducativo

    de jovenes de Niamana, Mal.Societe Nationale des Eaux de Mauritanie (SNDE), 2004. Approvisionnement en

    Eau des principales villes de Mauritanie.Water resource in Mauritania, FAO, 2001.

    A.A. Bayod Rujula, N.K. Dia / Energy Policy 38 (2010) 99115 115

    http://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/SSEhttp://eosweb.larc.nasa.gov/SSE