annual general meeting presentation · 2020-06-03 · the presentation may contain projections and...
TRANSCRIPT
ESRAnnual General Meeting Presentation
3 June 2020
Disclaimer
1
The presentation may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the Company’s current views with respectto future events and financial performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. In some cases,these forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms “believe”,“continue”, “could”, “estimate”, “forecast”, “plan”, “prepare”, “project”, “anticipate”, “expect”, “intend”, “may”, “will” or “should” or,in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives,goals, future events or intentions. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. By theirnature, forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risk and uncertainty because they relate to future events andcircumstances. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, andactual results may differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors and assumptions,many of which are beyond the Company’s control. Prospective investors are cautioned not to rely on such forward-lookingstatements. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, advisors, representatives or underwriters has any obligation to, nor doany of them undertake to, revise or update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect future eventsor circumstances, except where they would be required to do so under applicable law.
This presentation material includes measures of financial performance which are not a measure of financial performance underInternational Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”), such as Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Profit. These measures arepresented because the Company believes they are useful measures to determine the Company's financial condition andhistorical ability to provide investment returns. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Profit and any other measures of financialperformance in this presentation material should not be considered as an alternative to cash flows from operating activities, ameasure of liquidity or an alternative to net profit or indicators of the Company's operating performance on any other measureof performance derived in accordance with IFRS. Because Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Profit are not IFRS measures,Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Profit may not be comparable to similarly titled measures presented by other companies.
2
Contents
• Key Operational Highlights & Updates On COVID-19 Situation
• Industry Update
• Business Overview
• FY2019 Financial Highlights
• ESG Strategy, Achievements & Awards
• Outlook
3
Key Operational Highlights & Updates On COVID-19 Situation
Minor disruptions across our markets
▪ Estimated 2-3 months’ delays on selected projects; majority of projects are operating per plan
1
2
3
Continue to focus on well-being/safety of our stakeholders
▪ Steps to ensure safe operations continue to be in place
AUM growth remains strong
▪ Raised approximately US$2 billion of capital from 3 new funds across China, Australia and South Korea in the first 4 months of 2020
▪ Demonstrates strong support from capital partners
5 Liquidity remains strong and balance sheet is well-capitalised
▪ Cash of US$884 million as of 31 December 2019
▪ Closed two significant Group-level loans YTD: (i) US$250 million 3-year syndicated unsecured senior loan (Libor +3%) and (ii) S$225 million 5-year Singapore bond (5.1% rate)
4 Maintained high occupancy of 93%1 across entire portfolio despite challenging market conditions brought on by Covid-19
▪ Strong demand from e-commerce players and tenants from food and consumer staples
Note:(1) Based on assets on balance sheet and stabilised assets
4
Successful IPO On SEHK
“The IPO is
really just the
beginning of a
long and
exciting
journey ahead.
The ESR team
is ready for this
new challenge
and remains
focused on
delivering long-
term value for
our
shareholders.”
US$1.8b IPO3rd largest fundraising on SEHK in 2019
US$600mof new capital raised
Cornerstoned by
OMERS and anchored by leading global investors
5
▪ Mar 2019 –Completed the acquisition of 100% of Australia-based PLG with AUM of US$1.2b (which also held stake in CNI REIT)
Notes:(1) Current equity commitment of US$699m; total commitment including upsize option is US$1.8 billion(2) Including overallotment option
▪ Mar 2019 –Acquired Sachiura, a prime parcel of land in Southern Yokohama for US$392m
▪ May 2019 –Owned Sabana REIT Manager (100% as at Jan 2020)
▪ Jun 2019 -Established RJLF III with equity commitment of up to US$1.8b1 with Singapore sovereign wealth fund and a leading European pension fund as anchor LPs
▪ Jan 2019 – A large Japanese conglomerate leased 200k sqm of space at Baraki DC
FY2018 AUM
US$16.0b
FY2019 AUM
US$22.1b
▪ Jan 2019 – Closed NCI Core Fund (RMB); disposed 7 BS properties which contributed to a US$16.5m gain
1st Nov 2019 -U$600m of new capital raised with a US$1.8b 2 IPO issue on Hong Kong Stock Exchange
▪ Nov 2019 – Increased stake in AIMS APAC REIT from 5% to 10%
▪ Nov 2019 – Purchased a prime 21-ha site in New South Wales, to be developed into ESR Horsley Logistics Park
▪ Nov 2019 – Established new US$240m mandate with China Merchants Capital Investment Co. Ltd (EALT) for Australia assets
▪ Dec 2019 – Established new US$94m mandate for core-plus business park and industrial assets (EOP IV) in Australia
▪ Jan 2020 – Signed new 72,392 sqm lease with Amazon in Japan
▪ Jan 2020 – US$500m JV with GIC for development in China
▪ Feb 2020 – Plans to build 76.84-acre logistics park in Sohna, New Delhi
▪ Feb 2020 – To invest JPY27b to develop ESR Yatomi KisasakiDistribution Centre
▪ Feb 2020 – Issued S$225m 5.1% five-year notes
▪ Mar 2020 – Drawdown of US$250 mil 3-year unsecured term loan at Libor +3%
▪ Mar 2020 – Launched A$1b ESR Australia Logistics Partnership (EALP)
▪ Apr 2020 – US$1b development JV with APG and CPPIB in South Korea
Strategic Achievements In 2019 And YTD 2020Strong track record in growing AUM
▪ Jun 2019 –Disposed 18.1% stake in CIP REIT for US$100m which was acquired initially for US$92m (~9% gain)
6
FY2019 Highlights – Exceptional Performance & Robust Balance Sheet
US$549m
Total
EBITDA
US$245m
Total
PATMI
US$227m
Core
PATMI
US$22.1b
Total
AUM
26.6%
NetDebt/
Total Assets
US$884m
Cash
42.9% 20.8% 53.6%
38.7% 52.2%6.8pp
Kunshan Friend Park I, China
7
Section 1 Industry Update
APAC Logistics – Largest Secular Growth Opportunity In Asia
Continued Rise of E-commerce Across Asia
Paradigm Shift in Capital Flows For Region and
Sector
Superior Risk / Reward Proposition of Logistics
to Drive Cap Rate Compression and Capital
Value Growth
ESR has and will continue to uniquely leverage on the key secular trends to further solidify its market leading position in Asia
8
APAC Logistics Market Growth Well-Supported By Increasing E-commerce Across The Region
The PRC1
28.2%
40.4%
2019 2024E
Japan3India4
South Korea2
Australia65 Singapore
Source: Euromonitor
28.2%38.2%
2019 2024E
4.7%
8.5%
2019 2024E
9.1%11.6%
2019 2024E
9.2%
14.5%
2019 2024E
10.8%
14.0%
2019 2024E
Increasing e-commerce penetration will continue to support long-term demand for modern logistics facilities
9
E-commerce penetration across Asia
Increasing Online Retail Sales Penetration Driving Demand for Logistics Properties Amid COVID-19
21.2%
30.3%
Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20
Source: China National Bureau of Statistics
E-commerce penetration increased by c.9 percentage
points since 2019
China’s accelerating e-commerce penetration unfazed by the pandemic, underscoring the robust demand for logistics facilities
10
China online retail sales as % of total retail sales
(%)
25 May 2020
26 May 2020
Total cross-border investment transaction breakdown by region
Capital flows are already starting to pivot towards APAC, but APAC still remains under-penetrated
Superior growth prospects coupled with strong demographic and urbanisation trends are fuellingdemand for APAC
Expected change in capital flows into different markets over the next five years
Global Funds Are Under Allocated to APAC With Over 75% Investors Indicating Plans To Boost Allocation To The Region
13%18% 19%
60% 51%57%
27%31%
24%
2017 2018 2019
APAC EMEA Americas
6.9
6.2
6.1
5.8
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
APAC
Europe
Americas
Middle East / Africa
Large decline
Stay the same
Large increase
Sources:Real Capital Analytics, PwC
11
Logistics-focused funds gaining vs. retail-focused funds
Capital Allocation Increasingly Skewed Towards Funds Focused On Logistics Due To E-commerce
Investors will continue to cycle out of retail and into logistics, given the transformative impact of e-commerce
0
20
40
60
80
100
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Logistics Hospitality Multi-family / Residential Office Retail
Source: PERE, Real Capital Analytics
(%)
Note:(1) Based on c. US$ 1Tn estimated investment volume for 2019
(US$ billion)
8.0 8.9
2.0
>12.0
2014 20142018 2018
Retail Logistics
0
10
20
30
Retail Industrial
Q3 2008
Q3 2010
Q3 2012
Q3 2014
Q3 2016
Q3 2018
Q3 2019
Logistics 2019 deal activity expected to exceed US$160 billion, representing c.16% of global investment activity
c.25% of investment volume
12
As investors have shifted focus in favour of logistics, investments in logistics sector have surpassed retailAllocation to logistics real estate on the rise
Global fundraising by sector specific strategies % of global investment
Fundraising – logistics vs. retail
Logistics
13
Risk/Reward for Logistics Will Continue To Transform Capital Values
365 350 333 310 300255 225
180 175100
51
Sin
gap
ore
Osaka
Tokyo
Gu
an
gzh
ou
Seo
ul
Melb
ourn
e
Syd
ney
Beiji
ng
Sha
ng
ha
i
Lo
nd
on
US
avera
ge
(Basis points)
0.2%
2.1%
1.3%
US China North Asia (ex-China)
APAC offers more attractive valuation premium spreads compared to more mature markets in the US and UK
Cap rate tightening and differential shrinking will drive higher logistics asset values, generating outsized returns for the asset class
Source: Real Capital Analytics, NCREIF, JLL, 4Q 2019Notes:(1) U.S. primary office markets (Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Boston, New York, Chicago, Washington D.C., Silicon Valley-San Jose); U.S. primary industrial markets (Atlanta, Chicago,
Dallas, Inland Empire, Los Angeles, Northern NJ, Oakland-East Bay, Philadelphia and Eastern PA). China: simple average of Beijing, Shanghai & Guangzhou; North Asia: simple average of Tokyo, Osaka & Seoul
(2) As of 2019. Debt costs are based on investment grade borrowers, core stabilized assets fixed pricing on typical market maturities. In the calculation of the market yield, the transaction costs of purchasing or leasing of space are not included. The market yield therefore reflects the returns to investment before transaction costs, assuming full occupancy and that the current income being paid is the market effective rent
~190bps
~110bps
Potential for meaningful cap rate compression in the APAC logistics real estate sector
Key logistics hubs in APAC offer more attractive premia
Spreads between logistics & office cap rates1
Logistics gross rental yields over costs of debt2
Chibakita Distribution Center, Japan
14
Section 2 Business Overview
15
#1 Asia Focused Logistics Real Estate PlatformWith Top Positions In Its Respective MarketsWell-diversified portfolio provides resilience and mitigates risks
US$22.1bAssets under management1
17.2m sqmGFA in operation and under development2
6.0m sqmGFA in development pipeline with MOUs3
Information as at 31 December 2019.
Notes:(1) As at 31 December 2019(2) Consisting of approximately 9.2 million sqm of GFA of completed properties, approximately 4.7 million sqm of GFA of properties under construction and approximately 3.3 million sqm of
GFA to be built on land held for future development as at 31 December 2019(3) MOUs as at 31 January 2020
CHINA
US$4.8 billionAUM
6.9m sqmGFA
SOUTH KOREA
US$4.6 billionAUM
2.9m sqmGFA
JAPAN
US$7.7 billionAUM
3.0m sqmGFA
INDIA
US$0.5 billionAUM
1.4m sqmGFA
SINGAPORE
US$3.0 billionAUM
1.8m sqmGFA
AUSTRALIA
US$1.5 billionAUM
1.2m sqmGFA
16
Investment SegmentStrong leasing demand from e-commerce, 3PL and cold chain logistics
A
Notes:(1) As at 31 December 2019(2) By leased are and based on assets on balance sheet and portfolio assets held in the funds and investment vehicles (3) Based on stabilised assets on balance sheet
234
256
FY2018 FY2019
(US$ million)
Investment Segmental Result
JD.com Coupang Amazon
Cai Niao Askul Corporation
Portfolio Top 10 Tenants – E-commerce related
4.2 yearsPortfolio WALE2
93%High Occupancy3
60%Tenant base by leased area comprise e-commerce and 3PL companies
5%Rental reversion on renewed leases3
(1Q 2020: 4.2 years)
(1Q 2020: 93%)
(1Q 2020: 61%)
2.0m sqmLeased across Portfolio in FY2019
(1Q 2020: 4%)
(1Q2020: Already signed 300,000 sqm
new leases)
17Note:(1) Excludes ESR-GIC JV formed in December 2019, but announced in January 2020
Fund AUM
Total equity commitment
Uncalled capital to be deployed
Fund Management SegmentAccelerating growth of fund management business
B
US$6.5b
US$1.8b
110
132
FY2018 FY2019
(US$ million)
Fund Management Segmental Result
US$19.2b1
18
Development SegmentContinue to be asset-light on balance sheet and leverage on third party capital to fund
development starts
C
New development starts in FY2019
Development completions in FY2019
Landbank(GFA)
Development pipeline (land, under development and MOUs)
US$1.9b
3.3m sqm
US$2.0b
14.1m sqm
115
245
FY2018 FY2019
(US$ million)
Development Segmental Result
Mainly contributedby (i) disposal
gains coming from the recycling of seven balance sheet assets to NCI Core Fund, (ii) increase in share of profits from JVs and
associates, as well as (iii) fair value
gains on investment
properties under construction
(1Q 2020: US$0.7b)
(Mar 2020: 3.4m sqm)
Goyang Logistic Park, Korea
19
Section 3 FY2019 Financial Highlights
20
FY2019 Financial Highlights
US$549m US$245m US$227m
ESR achieved exceptional performance for FY2019
▪ Delivered strong earnings across key business segments with well-diversified contributions from ESR’s six markets
▪ Total EBITDA of US$549 million, 42.9% y-o-y
▪ Total PATMI of US$245 million, 20.8% y-o-y
▪ Core PATMI of US$227 million, 53.6% y-o-y
Total
EBITDATotal
PATMICore
PATMI
21
Active Capital Recycling Strategy
Total gross divestment value
Divested on balance sheet assets into funds and investment vehicles
US$490.7m
19 properties
FY2019
Successfully leveraging our fund management platform to recycle balance sheet
assets which releases capital and crystallizes strong returns
848 Boundary Road, Richlands, Queensland, Australia13 Boundary Road, Northmead, New South Wales, Australia
22
Well-Capitalised Balance Sheet As at 31 December 2019
Net Debt/Equity
51.9%26.6%
Net Debt/Total AssetsCash -21.5pp+6.8pp
US$884m
+52.2%
▪ Weighted average debt maturity of 3 years with only 9% of borrowings due for refinancing in FY2020, majority maturing in 2022
▪ Access to wider funding options at competitive rates
▪ The Group proactively builds up sufficient cash reserves and refinancing existing borrowings to meet its short-term obligations, ongoing development expenditures and opportunistic investments
Post-IPO Financing Activities
Issued S$225 million five-year notes at 5.1%, reducing borrowing costs and extending bond tenure
February 2020
US$250 million three-year unsecured senior term loan at Libor +3% March 2020
Redemption of US$100 million perpetual securities as part of strategy to redeem higher cost debt that was raised pre-IPO June 2020
ESR has reduced its cost of corporate borrowing by over 150bps since IPO
RW NankoNaka DC, Japan
23
Section 4 ESG Strategy, Achievements &
Awards
24
ESG Strategy & Achievements In 2019
DiversityImplemented Board diversity policy and workplace diversity
Customer Engagement6 day care centres in our Japan properties
Corporate Social Responsibility▪ ESR Smart Program in India
equips local schools with computer centres and scholarships for high-performing graduates from local secondary schools
▪ >60hours of community service (South Korea office)
▪ Qin Charity Fund provides educational and extracurricular courses for underprivileged children living in rural China
Solar Power• Robust pipeline of rooftop solar
power initiatives providing a total of 50MW of clean energy installed capacity
• ESR Australia installed energy-efficient lighting in 12 properties, representing 23% of portfolio by GFA
Climate Risk AssessmentESR Australia is developing a climate risk assessment framework (mid-2020)
Sustainable Building Certifications▪ 50 properties obtained certifications
in 2019 in accordance with globally recognised standards including LEED and CASBEE
▪ WELL Gold Certification for BucheonLogistics Park (South Korea)
Corporate GovernanceESR Australia development and implementation of a new Modern Slavery Policy to eradicate all forms of modern slavery throughout our value chain
Disclosure & Reporting7 unlisted portfolios in Australia, China, Japan and South Korea were submitted for GRESB, which revealed opportunities for better alignment across the Group
Risk ManagementImplemented group wide risk management system and ESG screening for supply chain and customers
People & Partners Property Portfolio Corporate Performance
Creating a positive and supportive environment is our social responsibility to the communities in which we operate, and to our employees, ourtenants and our suppliers
Develop and manage modern, state-of-the-art logistics facilities for the new economy and help create the backbone for the 21st centurycommerce across Asia Pacific
Effective corporate governance is critical to our success, providing the foundation for sustained growth over the long term
People & Partners
Corporate Performance
Property Portfolio
25
Awards & Accolades In 2019
Business & Performance Excellence
Sustainability
Product Excellence
PERE 100 (2019)Ranked 21st among the world’s leading private equity real estate firms
• BEST100 – KLÜBB Lounge East & West and BARNKLÜBB of Ichikawa Distribution Centre, Japan
• Selected Works – KLÜBB Lounge and BARNKLÜBB of Kuki Distribution Centre, Japan
• Goyang Logistics Park, South Korea
• Suzhou BaojinyanLogistics Centre Phase I, China
• Bucheon Logistics Park, South Korea
• Noda Distribution Centre, Japan
• Ichikawa Distribution Centre, Japan
• Nagoyaoda Distribution Centre, Japan
74-84 Main Road, Clayton, Victoria,
Australia
26
Section 5 Outlook
27
ESR’s Strategy And Outlook
Market Trends Impact
Global supply chain adjusting to new environment
More investments into logistics real estate assets
COVID-19 situation will be here to stay for a while
1 Adjustments made to consumption patterns, increasing shift to e-commerce for purchasing of necessities, food orders, etc
Flight to quality by capital partners and investors
Gradual shift to a greater localization of inventory;new areas of growth such as cold chain logistics
2
3
Macro Environment
E-commerce is expected to be a long-term beneficiary from COVID-19
Growth Opportunities Competitive Advantage & Focus
Consumption behaviour and patterns are adjusting to the structural changes brought by COVID-19 and the shift towards e-commerce becomes increasingly more permanent
Strong support remains from best-in-class institutional investors who are shifting to logistics real estate assets
▪ YTD 2020, ESR has set up three major funds representing approximately US$4 billion AUM across China, Australia and South Korea
Steady execution of development pipeline as ESR actively recycles its balance sheet assets
Continue to deepen presence in Asia Pacific region
Well-positioned to participate in M&A and partnership opportunities that arise across the Asia Pacific region
1
2
11
2
3
ESR Chakan 1 Industrial & Logistics
Park, India
28
Thank You
For enquiries, please contact Ms. Chang Rui Hua,
MD Group Capital Markets & Investor Relations
DID: +852 55067719
Email: [email protected]
www.esr.com