and covert war against castro the bay of pigs, missile crisis,jfk.hood.edu/collection/weisberg...
TRANSCRIPT
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S
TE
PH
EN
G. R
AB
E
As such, "the U
nited States chose a policy in the Northeast of coopera•
tion with regional elites and justified the policy in term
s of a comm
unis-tic threat." T
he United S
tates had "contributed to the retention of pow
er by the traditional oligarchy" and "destroyed" a Brazilian pro-
gram to m
odernize the political structure of the Northeast.64
The course of U
nited States reform
policies in Honduras and B
razil pointed to a tension betw
een the Adm
inistration's talk of middle-
class revolution and its search for anti-Com
munist stability. A
s Assis-
tant Secretary M
artin noted to Schlesinger in 1963, the A
lliance for P
rogress contained "major flaw
s." Its "laudable social goals" encour-aged political instability, yet their achievem
ent demanded an 8o per-
cent private investment "w
hich cannot be attracted amid political
instability."65 President K
ennedy recognized the problem, noting,
near the end of his administration, that the U
nited States w
ould have to
learn to
live in
a "dan
gero
us, u
ntid
y w
orld
."66 But little in
the
President's action's or his A
dministration's policies indicated that the
United S
tates was prepared to identify w
ith progressive social revolu-tions. T
he Adm
inistration and the President, B
owles concluded,
never "had the real courage to face up to the implications" of the
principles of the Alliance for P
rogress.67 T
hat the Alliance for P
rogress was a C
old War policy w
as never a subject of dispute. B
ut, in Schlesinger's w
ords, "answering C
astro w
as a byproduct, not the purpose, of the Alliance." W
hat presum-
ably distinguished the Latin A
merican policy of John F
. Kennedy
was th
e belief th
at the k
ey to
stability
and an
ti-com
munism
was
democracy, econom
ic growth and developm
ent, and social change. T
he Alliance for P
rogress, as one observer put it, was "enlightened
anti-comm
unism."68 A
n examination of the course of inter-A
meri-
can relations between 1961 and 1963 points, how
ever, to the need to separate the P
resident's words from
his decisions and his Adm
inistra- tion's deeds. T
hrough its recognition policy, internal security initia- tives, and m
ilitary and economic aid program
s, the Adm
inistration dem
onstrably bolstered regimes and groups that w
ere undemocratic,
conservative, and frequently repressive. The short-term
security that anti-C
omm
unist elites could provide was purchased at the expense
of long-term political and social dem
ocracy. •
Fixation with C
uba: The Bay of Pigs, M
issile Crisis,
and Covert W
ar Against Castro
TH
OM
AS
G. P
AT
ER
SO
N
"My
Go
d," m
uttered
Rich
ard H
elms o
f the C
entral In
telligen
ce A
gency, "these Kennedys keep the pressure on about C
astro."! An-
other CIA
officer heard it straight from the K
ennedy brothers: "Get
off your ass about Cuba." 2 A
bout a y
ear after John F
. Ken
ned
y's
inauguration, a mem
ber of Congress applauded "the w
ay you are gradually strangling C
astro and Com
munism
in Cuba." 3 In 1963 the
President still sought to "dig C
astro out of there." 4 Defense S
ecretary R
obert McN
amara rem
embered that "w
e were hysterical about C
as-tro at the tim
e of the Bay of P
igs and thereafter." 5 As som
eone said,
Cuba w
as one of the four-letter words of the 196os.
President K
ennedy spent as much or m
ore time on C
uba as on any other foreign policy problem
. Cuba stood at the center of his A
dminis-
tration's admitted greatest failure, the B
ay of Pigs, and its alleged
greatest success, the missile crisis. A
multitude of governm
ent agen-cies enlisted in the crusade against revolutionary C
uba: the Com
-m
erce Departm
ent administered trade restrictions; the S
tate Depart-
ment labored to rally the O
rganization of Am
erican States and N
orth A
tlantic Treaty O
rganization allies against Cuba; the F
ederal Bureau
of Investigation spied on pro- and anti-Castro groups; the Im
migra-
tion and Naturalization S
ervice, Coast G
uard, and Departm
ent of H
ealth, Education, and W
elfare handled the steady flow of exiles
from the turbulent island; and the C
IA launched covert operations
desig
ned
to to
pp
le the C
ub
an g
ov
ernm
ent an
d to
assassinate its
leader Fidel C
astro. Contrary to som
e Kennedy inenioitists and schol-
123
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124
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
ars who have claim
ed that Kennedy w
as often trapped by a bureau-cracy he could not control and distracted by other tim
e-consuming
issues, the President w
as knowledgeable, engaged, and influential on
matters C
uban.6 r W
hy did President K
ennedy and his chief advisers indulge such a k
y; 1
i8:14/,
,1 fixation w
ith Cuba and direct so m
any United S
tates resources to an u
9'41\ 4\''
unrelenting campaign to m
onitor, harass, isolate, and ultimately de-
■4/‘, 41).
stroy Havana's radical regim
e? One answ
er springs from a candid
CILL rem
ark by Robert F
. Kennedy. L
ooking back at the early 196os, he W
1\141 wondered "if w
e did not pay a very great price for being more ener-
pu,
gene than wise about a lot of things, especially C
uba."7 The K
enne-
141' dys' fam
ed eagerness for action became exaggerated in the case of
Cuba. T
hey always w
anted to get moving on C
uba, and Castro dared
Lat, them to try. S
ome E
uropeans thought that "we kept slapping at C
as-
al;
t,
tro because he'd had the effrontery to thumb his nose at us," recalled
one Am
erican diplomat.8 T
he popular, intelligent, but erratic Cuban
leader, whose b
arb
ud
os (bearded ones) cam
e down from
the Sierra
MA) ktiffrt
z,Maestra M
ountains in January 1959 to overthrow the U
nited States
tp-vy0 ally Fulgencio B
atista, hurled harsh words at W
ashington and defi-
pi
antly challenged the Kennedy m
odel of evolutionary, capitalist devel- Jo" opm
ent so evident in the Alliance for P
rogress. As charism
atic figures .1).0( ., A
L charting new
frontiers, the President and Jefe M
aximo often personal-
C
ized the Cuban-A
merican contest. K
ennedy harbored a "deep feeling V
4-
3
against Castro," and the C
uban thought the Am
erican "an intelligent 011
cti)
and able leader of Am
erican imperialism
," and, after the Bay of P
igs X
S
invasion, he branded him a new
Hitler.9 T
o Kennedy's great annoy-
, once, C
astro could not be wheedled or beaten.
111U)
Kennedy's ardent w
ar against Fidelism
o may also have stem
med
0,4_ from
his feeling that Castro had double-crossed him
. As a senator,
Kennedy had initially joined m
any Am
ericans in welcom
ing the Cu-
ban Revolution as a decided advancem
ent over the "oppressive" Ba-
y1^ tista dictatorship. Linking C
astro to the legacy of Bolivar, K
ennedy (014
urged a "patient attitude" toward the new
government, w
hich he did '(\"(i\k
vnot se
e a
s Com
munist.10
Denyinkrepeatedly that he w
as a Com
mu, 'P
A^
ANL
nist, Castro had in fact proclaim
ed his allegiance to democracy and
private property. But in the process of legitim
izing his revolution and ity resisting U
nited States pressure, C
astro turned more and m
ore radi- 111
cal. Am
ericans grew im
patient with the regim
e's highly charged anti- .t'
I Yankeeism
, postponement of elections, jailing of critics, and national-
'.' AP
(Ark/kJ/ft ization of property. T
he Cuba olice state s stem
remindectraaty of
f\X s- r
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Cuba
125
Hitler's and S
talin's dreaded totalitarianism. T
he President rejected
the idea that intense United S
tates hostility to the Cuban R
evolution m
ay have contributed to Castro's tightening political grip and flirta-
tion with the S
oviet Union. N
or did Kennedy and other A
mericans
wish to acknow
ledge the measurable benefits of the revolution—
improvem
ents in education, medical care, and housing, and the elim
i-nation of the island's infam
ous corruption that once had been the A
merican M
afia's domain. Instead, K
ennedy officials concluded that C
uba's was a "betrayed revolution.""
ete. itti4; tGs
Richard N
. Goodw
in, the young White H
ouse and State D
epart-m
ent official with responsibilities for L
atin Am
erica, provided another explanation for the K
ennedy fixation with C
uba. He rem
arked that "the entire history of the C
old War, its positions and assum
ptions, converged upon the 'problem
of Cuba.' "" Indeed, the C
old War
dominated international politics, and in the zero-sum
accounting of the tim
e, a loss for "us" meant a gain for "them
." As C
uban-Am
erican relations steadily deteriorated, C
uban-Soviet relations gradually im
-proved. N
ot only did Am
ericans come to believe that a once-loyal ally
had jilted them for the taw
dry embrace of the S
oviets; they also grew
alarmed that C
astro sneered at the Monroe D
octrine by inviting the S
oviet military to the island. W
hen Castro, in late 1961, declared him
-self a M
arxist-Leninist, A
mericans w
ho had long denounced him as a
Com
munist then felt vindicated. A
merican leaders began to speak of
Cuban m
embership in the "Sino-Soviet bloc," thus providing C
omm
u-nists w
ith a "spearhead" to penetrate the Western H
emisphere.' 3
From the m
oment of victory, C
astro had called for Cuban-style revolu-
tions throughout Latin A
merica, and H
avana had sent agents and arms
to other nations to kindle radical fires. Castro's revolutionary m
ission happened to coincide w
ith Nikita K
hrushchev's alarming statem
ent that the Soviet U
nion supported wars of national liberation w
orldwide.
It mattered little to A
mericans that the tw
o appeals appeared indepen- dently or that H
avana and Moscow
differed markedly over the best
method for prom
oting revolutionary change—the S
oviets insisted on utilizing C
omm
unist parties within political system
s, whereas the C
u-bans espoused peoples' rebellions. C
uba came to represent the C
old W
ar in the United S
tates's backyard, and, as such, one senator ex-plained, it becam
e a "target for our national frustration and annoyance w
ith Moscow
and the whole C
omm
unist conspiracy." 14 In addition to the K
ennedy style and the Cold W
ar, Am
erican politics influenced the A
dministration's C
uba policy. In the 196o
du
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illy '
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126
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N 4C
('' 4
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presidential campaign, K
ennedy had seized the Cuban issue to coun-
ter Richard N
ixon's charge that the inexperienced Dem
ocratic candi-date w
ould abandon Quem
oy and Matsu to C
omm
unism and prove
no match for the hard-nosed K
hrushchev. "In 1952 the Republicans
ran on a program of rolling back the Iron C
urtain in Eastern E
u-rope," K
ennedy jabbed. "Today the Iron C
urtain is 90 miles off the
coast of the United S
tates.".5 Privately he asked, "H
ow w
ould we have saved C
uba if we had [had] the pow
er"? but he nonetheless valued the political payback from
his attack. "What the hell," he
informed his aides, "they never told us how
they would have saved
China [in 1949]."16 H
e did recomm
end a controversial method to
reclaim C
uba for the Am
erican system. A
pparently unaware that
PresidentlD
wi h
t D. E
isenh
ow
er had
initiated
a cland
estine C
IA
program to trai C
uban exiles for an invasion of the island, candidate
--• ,. Kennedy
- just such a project.W411-tlit y4,061,
wilV
) A
fter exploiting the Cuban issue, K
ennedy, upon becoming P
resi- v
, den
t, cou
ld n
ot easily
hav
e retreated. P
artisan p
olitics k
ept h
is gaze
A fixed on the defiant leader in the C
aribbean. Hardly a press confer-
" ence went by w
ithout an insistent question about Cuba. R
epublicans
WO
'
and D
emocracts alike peppered the W
hite House w
ith demands for
IP \ .. ., .( 11` a./ u tee
action against Castroism
. The vocal, burgeoning C
uban exile comm
u- ‘,4
ow\
Wj, t .
(ow
jj 14 ,64: 11.40
PO
/RA
I* ti 4.,11:41,i7114:101
8.1:;,4) fV,6
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0'1,
g..-uva ;127
ments the im
perial nations had used to maintain control and order. In
the 195os France w
as driven from Indochina, and G
reat Britain's
position in the Middle E
ast receded dramatically after the S
uez crisis, to cite tw
o prominent exam
ples. T
he Cuban R
evolution exemplified this process of breaking upland
breaking away. A
merican leaders reacted so hostilely to this revolu-
tion not simply because C
astro and his 26th of July Movem
ent taunted them
or because domestic politics and the C
old War sw
ayed them, ' but
because Cuba, as sym
bol and reality, challenged United S
tates hege-
(1 , ror mony in L
atin Am
erica. The specter of "another C
uba" haunted Presi-dent K
ennedy, not just because it would hurt him
politically, but be-
,7 ) cause "the game w
ould be up through good deal of Lati m
e rica."" A
mericans refused to accept a eyoL
uti that not only argete4Batista
and
their islan
d assets b
ut also
tot
IC
the U
nite
d,
States's claim
to political, economic, and m
ilitary leadership in the,
Un
ited` I lA
hemsiphere. "T
he revolution became anti-im
perialism and freedom
, the overthrow
of the monoculture-m
ilitarist-dictatorship-dependence LI.4
structure," remem
bered Carlos F
ranqui, a Fidelista who later w
ent
into exile." Given this fundam
ental conflict, a breakdown in C
uban-A
merican relations w
as inevitable: Cuba sought independence and
radical social change which w
ould necessarily come at the expense of
the United S
tates, and the latter, not unexpectedly, defended its inter-ests against revolutionary nationalism
. As C
astro put it, "the United
States had to fight his revolution."" K
hrushchev, in pondering the A
merican cam
paign against Cuba, once asked: "W
hy should an ele-phant be afraid of a m
ouse?"" The S
oviet leader, who certainly knew
his ow
n nation's imperial record in suppressing its neighbors w
hen they becam
e too independent-minded, surely knew
that the answer to his
question could be found in the Am
erican fear that the Cuban R
evolu-tion w
ould become contagious and further dim
inish United States hege-
mony in the W
estern Hem
isphere. A
fter the United S
tates helped expel Spain from
Cuba in 1898 and
imposed the P
latt Am
endment on the island in 1903, A
mericans
gained influence through military interventions, occupations, threats,
economic penetration, and political m
anipulation:BY
1959 Am
eri-cans dom
inated Cuba's oil, telephone, m
ining, and electric industries an
d p
rod
uced
mo
re than
a third
of its su
gar. T
hat y
ear, too
, the
United S
tates bought 74 percent of Cuba's exports and supplied 65
percent of the island's imports. 24 B
ecause the United S
tates had such trem
endous economic favors to dispense (especially a quota system
nity in Florida never let the issue rest. B
usinessmen protested that the
Cuban governm
ent nationalized Am
erican-owned property w
orth a billion dollars; and they grew
apprehensive that the practice would
become attractive in the hem
isphere. The outgoing T
reasury Secre-
tary told Kennedy that "large am
ounts of capital now planned for
investment in L
atin Am
erica" were being held back, because inves-
tors were "w
aiting to see whether the U
nited States can cope" w
ith C
astro's Cuba." G
eorge Meany, the cantankerous head of the A
FL
-C
IO, decried the com
munization of the C
uban labor federation), T
he Jo
int C
hiefs o
f Staff ad
vised
the P
residen
t to in
vad
e Cuba."
veryone seemed eager to know
when K
ennedy would knock C
astro off his perch, and m
any expected the President to act before the next
election. O
verarching all explanations for Kennedy's obsession w
ith Cuba is
a major phenom
enon of twentieth-century w
orld history: the steady erosion of the authority of im
perial powers, w
hich had built systems
of dependent, client, and colonial governments. T
he strong currents of decolonization, anti-im
perialism, revolutionary nationalism
, and social revolution, som
etimes in com
bination, undermined the instru-
12
8
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
that guaranteed Cuba sugar sales in the A
merican m
arket), Washing-
ton wielded political influence in H
avana. The U
nited States also
stationed a military m
ission in Cuba and sent arm
s to Batista's forces.
The C
IA infiltrated political groups and helped B
atista organize an anti-C
omm
unist police unit. A
fter having underestimated C
astro's 26th of Ad
min
istratio
n
Movem
ent and the depth of the nation's unrest, the E
isenhower A
dministration tried
to manipulate C
uba once again on the very eve of Castro's victory.
With
the P
residen
t's blessin
g an
d C
IA in
structio
ns, W
illiam D
. P
awley, ow
ner of Cuban lands and form
er Am
bassador to Brazil,
traveled to Havana to press B
atista to resign in favor of a military
jun
ta in o
rder to
prev
ent th
e 26
th o
f July
Mo
vem
ent's im
min
ent
triumph. T
he Cuban P
resident balked at this exercise of "Plattism
," and P
awley's m
ission aborted.25 Even after this setback, the U
nited S
tates's continued sense of its strength in Cuba appeared in a C
IA
report that concluded that "no sane man undertaking to govern and
reform C
uba would have chosen to pick a fight w
ith the US
." Because
Castro did not honor traditional U
nited States pow
er in his nation, he m
ust have possessed a "psychotic personality."26 Am
ericans, unable or unw
illing to acknowledge that the C
uban Revolution tapped deep
nationalistic feelings and that their own interventionism
and island interests m
ade the United S
tates a primary target, preferred to depict
Fidel C
astro as a crazed guerrillero whose tem
porarily frenzied peo-ple w
ould toss him out w
hen their rationality returned. T
he Eisenhow
er Adm
inistration bequeathed to its successor an un-productive tit-for-tat process of confrontation w
ith Cuba and a legacy
of failure.27 In 1959-196o, with A
mbassador P
hilip Bonsai thinking
that Castro suffered "m
ental unbalance at times" and E
isenhower
concluding that the Cuban leader "begins to look like a m
adman,"
Havana and W
ashington traded punch for punch.28 In Novem
ber 1959 the P
resident decided to encourage anti-Castro groups w
ithin Cuba to
"check" or "replace" the revolutionary regime, and thus end an anti-
Am
ericanism that w
as "having serious adverse effects on the United
States position in L
atin Am
erica and corresponding advantages for international C
omm
unism."29 In M
arch of the next year Eisenhow
er o
rdered
the C
IA to
train C
ub
an ex
iles for an
inv
asion
of th
eir hom
eland—this shortly after C
uba signed a trade treaty with the Soviet
Union. T
he CIA
, as well, hatched assassination plots against C
astro and staged hit-and-run attacks along the C
uban coast. As C
uba under-took land reform
that struck at Am
erican interests and nationalized
‘r,,_
" 1,
44,&14■1, 4 t•-1-•
,etri ,
I IC
.4164,
. ./.411AV ) 1
4441 -0
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r
i46i4111 ?i ,, VOri C
uba 1
29
GV
- A
merican-ow
ned industries, the United S
tates suspended Cuba's
sugar quota and forbade Am
erican exports to the island, drastically cutting a once-flourishing com
merce. O
n January 3, 1961, fearing an invasion and certain that the A
merican em
bassy was a "nest of spies"
aligned with counter-revolutionaries w
ho were burning cane fields and
sabotaging buildings, Castro heatedly dem
anded that the embassy
staff be reduced to the small size of the C
uban delegation in Washing-
ton.3° The U
nited States prom
ptly broke diplomatic relations w
ith C
uba. E
isenhower failed to topple C
astro, but Am
erican pressure acceler- ated the radicalization of the revolution and helped open the door to 1, vl L' the S
oviets. Moscow
bought sugar, supplied technicians, armed the i/,,;\
militia, and offered generous trade term
s. Although the revolution's
radicalization was probably inevitable,11 w
as not inexoTable —
that C
uba would end up in the S
oviet camp. H
ostile United S
tates policies ensured that outcom
e. Revolutionary C
uba needed outside assistance to survive. "R
ussia came to C
astro's rescue," Bonsai has concluded,
"only after the United S
tates had taken steps designed to overthrow
him."3'
Kennedy's foreign policy troubles have som
etimes been explained
as inheritances from E
isenhower that shackled the new
President
with problem
s not of his own m
aking. To be sure, K
ennedy inherited the C
uban problem from
Eisenhow
er. But he did not sim
ply continue his predecessor's anti-C
astro policies. Kennedy greatly exaggerated
the Cuban threat, attributing to C
astro a capability to export revolu- tion that the C
uban leader never had and lavishing on him an atten-
tion he did not deserve. Castro w
as "an affront to our pride" and a "m
ischief maker," W
alter Lippm
ann wisely w
rote, but he was not a
"mortal threat" to the U
nited States. 32 A
nd because of his obsession w
ith Cuba, K
ennedy significantly increased the pressures against the upstart island. H
e thus helped generate major crises, including the
October 1962 m
issile crisis. Kennedy inherited the C
uban problem—
and he made it w
orse. T
he new P
resident actually made his first im
portant policy choice on C
uba before he entered the White H
ouse. On the day C
uban-A
merican relations w
ere severed, Secretary of S
tate Chi . '
telephoned Secretary-designate D
ean Rusk and a.
reaction. Rusk talked w
ith Kennedy and reported
elect "would not associate him
self with the M
in i.e., he w
ould not take a position for or against .idos
130
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
time. . . ."33 B
y saying nothing, Kennedy accepted a decision that
reduced his own options for dealing w
ith Cuba. T
he United 'S
tates lost an em
bassy which had served as a first-hand listening post; now
W
ashington would have to rely upon a fast dim
inishing number of
CIA
informants and deep-cover agents or upon often exaggerated
information from
exiles. Most im
portant, with econom
ic coercion having failed to bring dow
n Castro and diplom
acy now im
peded, the rupture in relations elevated covert action—
especially an invasion by C
uban exiles—as one of the few
means left to resolve the contest w
ith C
uba. T
he questions of whether and under w
hat conditions to approve an exile expedition dom
inated the President's discussion of C
uba in his first few
months in office.34 A
lthough Kennedy alw
ays reserved the authority to cancel the operation right up to the m
oment of depar-
ture, his choices, made after m
uch deliberation, pointed in one direc-tion: G
o. National security adviser M
cGeorge B
undy later said that the P
resident "really was looking for w
ays to make it w
ork . . . and allow
ed himself to be persuaded it w
ould work and the risks w
ere acceptable."35 N
ot simply a prisoner of events or of the E
isenhower
legacy, Kennedy associated so closely w
ith the covert operation that it becam
e identified as his. H
e listened to but rejected the counsel of doubting advisers, and he never revealed m
oral or legal qualms about
violently overthrowing a sovereign governm
ent. He never requested
a contingency plan to disband the exile brigade. In questioning aides, the P
resident worried m
ost about which m
ethods would deliver suc-
cess and whether the guiding hand of the U
nited States could be
concealed. Kennedy sought deniability of an A
merican role, but
never the demise of the project.
NI 2 •"r‘, I
On M
arch , Kennedy's chief advisers gathered in a critical N
a- A
-101,P` i/s.
tional Security C
ouncil (NS
C) m
eeting. CIA
Director A
llen Dulles
10.; la
. and Deputy D
irector for Plans R
ichard Bissell explained plans for an
■k-
invasion at the tow
n of Trinidad, on C
uba's southern coast near the E
scambray M
ountains, where C
IA-backed rebels w
ere already oper-RA,), ‘)k
'iv ating. The P
resident criticized the plan as too much like a spectacular
rY A
l' W
orld War II am
phibious landing. He asked for som
ething quieter, vIV
A/0. / (and he instructed planners that no A
merican forces w
ere to be used. D
ulles advised that the mission had to go forw
ard, because "we have
a disposal problem." G
reat embarrassm
ent would beset W
ashington if the exile brigade, training in G
uatemala, w
ere to disband and its m
embers return to the U
nited States to bellow
their anger. Kennedy
Cu
ba
13
1
requested "new proposals"; he ordered the C
IA to force bickering
exile groups to unite behind one leader; he directed Arthur M
. Schle-
singer, Jr., the Harvard historian-turned-W
hite House assistant, to
draft a White P
aper to justify an invasion; and he asked the State
Departm
ent to gain OA
S backing for strong anti-C
astro measures.3 6
Officials m
oved fast. The C
IA devised a plan for daw
n landings in the area of B
ahia de Cochinos (B
ay of Pigs). T
he existence of an air strip at the tow
n of Playa G
iron, the surrounding Zapata sw
amps w
ith few
access roads, and the region's sparse population made this an
appealing entry site. In a Miam
i motel, a C
IA operative bluntly
A
forced
exiles to
form
the C
ub
an R
evo
lutio
nary
Co
un
cil un
der Jo
sece .
Miro C
ardona, a former foe of B
atista and a onetime m
ember of
Castro's governm
ent. Schlesinger quickly produced a W
hite Paper.
Issued on April 3, this propagandistic justification for anti-C
astroism „ _
condemned the C
uban radical for betraying his revolutionary prom-
ises, delivering his island to the "Sino-S
oviet bloc," and attempting to c r,., C
'
subvert Latin A
merican governm
ents. 37 After several high-level m
eet- ,,,V4 -
ings and Dulles's assurance that the prospects for O
peration Zapata
v.tl w
ere even greater than they had been for the successful CIA
plot in („I'l is/
1954 against Guatem
ala, Kennedy set A
pril 17 as D-D
ay. 4„._
T
he B
ay o
f Pig
s plan
beg
an to
unrav
el from
the start,/ A
s the
brigade's old, slow freighters, obtained from
the United F
ruit Com
- : 4',‘ t .
\1
pany, plowed their w
ay to Cuba, B
-26 airplanes took to the skies " \isi„.■ from
Nicaragua. O
n April 15, D
-Day m
inus 2, the brigade pilots destroyed several parked planes of C
astro's meager air force. T
hat ̀4 ° y;\
same day, as part of a pre-invasion ploy, a lone, artificially dam
aged B
-26 flew directly to M
iami, w
here its pilot claimed that he had \, ,4"'N, ' \)\'"-
defected from the C
uban military and had just bom
bed his country's airfields. B
ut the cover story soon cracked. Snooping journalists no- \
v„vr. ticed that the nose cone of the B
-26 was m
etal; Cuban planes had
plastic noses. They observed too that the aircraft's guns had not been
, fired. T
he Am
erican hand was being exposed. T
he President, still
insistent upon hiding Am
erican complicity, decided to cancel a sec-
ond D-D
ay air strike against the remnants of the C
uban air force. C
IA officials protested, because they believed the invasion force ;)'\i)
could not succeed unless Castro's few
planes were knocked out. A
fter ,
conferring with S
ecretary Rusk, K
ennedy stuck with his decision.
Shortly after m
idnight on April 17, m
ore than 1400 comm
andos m
otored in small boats to the beaches at B
ahia de Cochinos. T
he invaders im
mediately tangled w
ith Castro's m
ilitia. Som
e comm
andos 0.i 'v
i\, 6
,‘J" \,)
\\,‘ \
, K\ -"\ I
)9-, • \\,
132 T
HO
MA
S G
. PA
TE
RS
ON
C
uba 133
never made it, because their boats broke apart on razor-sharp coral
reefs. In the air, Castro's m
arauding airplanes shot down tw
o brigade B
-26s and, in the water, sank ships carrying essential com
munications
equipment and am
munition. F
ighting ferociously, the brigade none-theless failed to establish a beachhead. W
ould.-Washington try to
salvage the mission? K
ennedy turned down C
IA appeals to dispatch
planes from the nearby U
SS
Essex, but he did perm
it some jets to
provide air cover for a new B
-26 attack from N
icaragua. Manned this
time by A
merican C
IA pilots, the B
-26s arrived an hour after the jets had com
e and gone. Cuban aircraft dow
ned the B-26s, killing four
Am
ericans. With C
astro's boasting that the mercenarios had been
foiled, the final toll was grim
: 114 of the exile brigade dead and 1,189 captured. A
pall settled over the While H
ouse. • "H
ow could I have been so stupid, to let them
go ahead?" Kennedy
asked an assistant.38 Stupid or not, K
ennedy knew the answ
ers to his ow
n q
uestio
n. F
irst, he d
early so
ught to
oust C
astro an
d sco
re a victory in the C
old War. S
econd, his personality and style encouraged action. A
lways driven to w
in, Kennedy believed "that his disapproval
of the plan would be a show
of weakness inconsistent w
ith his general stance."39 O
ne foreign policy observer explained "how the P
resident got such bad advice from
such good advisers":
The decision on w
hich they were asked to advise w
as presented as a choice betw
een action and inaction. . . . None of the P
resident's advisers wants it
said o
f him
by h
is colleag
ues . . . th
at he . . . lo
ses his n
erve w
hen
the
going gets hot. The H
arvard intellectuals are especially vulnerable, the m
ore so from being new
on the scene. They are conscious of the fact that
the tough-minded m
ilitary suspect them of being soft-headed. T
hey have to show
that they are he-men too, that they can act as w
ell as lecture.0
Th
ird, fear of nasty political repercussions influenced the P
resident. T
old to disband, brigade mem
bers might have refused to give up their
arms or even have m
utineed. In any case, Republicans w
ould have scorned a w
eak-kneed Adm
inistration.4' Kennedy approved the op-
eration, finally, because he felt a sense of urgency. CIA
analysts advised that tim
e was on C
astro's side. Delay w
ould permit the S
ovi-ets to strengthen the C
uban military, perhaps w
ith MIG
fighters, and the rainy season w
as about to begin, making m
ilitary maneuver diffi-
cult. The G
uatemalan president, facing aw
kward questions about
Cuban trainees in his country, w
as also beseeching Washington to
move the exiles out by late A
priI.42
( Failures in intelligence, operations, decision-m
aking, and judg-46' m
ent doomed the B
ay. of Pigs undertaking. A
rrogant CIA
architects
0 , knew too little and assum
ed too much about C
uba, particularly about
,34-. 1" . the landing site. Although B
issell and Dulles have staunchly denied
u that they ever told the President that the invasion w
ould ignite an
1a j island-w
ide rebellion against the Castro regim
e and thus ensure the '
fJ \J-
, ascendency of M
iro's provisional government, K
ennedy decision- m
akers nonetheless believed that the invasion would stim
ulate a popu-lar revolt against an unpopular governm
ent. But the C
IA did not
'pe coordinate the invasion with the anti-C
astro underground in Cuba,
because the agency feared leaks and the likely infiltration of o
pposi-
tion groups by Castro's security forces. N
o rebellion erupted.4 3 Ken-
nedy and his advisers also assumed that, should the brigade prove
\ incapable of taking territory, it could m
elt into the mountains and
become a guerrilla arm
y. But, because the invasion site had been
shifted, the mountains now
lay some 8o m
iles away, w
ith impassable
swam
ps between. N
either Kennedy nor C
IA advisers had explored
this problem. T
he guerrilla option, which, like the belief in a rebel-
lion, probably led Kennedy to suppress doubts about the operation,
was actually im
possible. C
IA planners failed in other w
ays. If they overestimated C
uban
C- discontent w
ith Castro, they underestim
ated the effectiveness of his m
ilitary. They anticipated that he w
ould crack; in fact, he expertly led his forces at the B
ay of Pigs, w
here he had vacationed. CIA
analysts had failed to detect the coral reefs. C
IA-issued equipm
ent malfunc-
tioned; crucial comm
unications gear was concentrated in one ship
that sunk; paratroopers did not drop far enough inland to cut off causew
ays.4 4 Another operational failure rem
ained a tightly held se-cret. T
he CIA
had been attempting since 196o to kill F
idel Castro,
even employing M
afia thugs for the task. The C
IA activated assassina-
tion plots in March and A
pril. It seems likely that assassination w
as part of the general B
ay of Pigs plan. B
issell has admitted that he w
as hopeful "that C
astro would be dead before the landing." 43
t,
\ The m
ost controversigl operational question remains the cancelled
,V) second D
-Day air strike. P
ost-crisis critics have complained that the
\ j„.1 \ P
resident lost his nerve and made a decision that condem
ned the ;A,
v ' expedition to disaster.4 6 C
astro and Bissell have agreed that C
uban F s`
,
air supremacy w
as important to C
uba's triumph.47 B
ut was it deci-
. sive?
0, sv
e. A p
re-emptiv
e strike o
n D
-Day
again
st the C
uban
air force
v
would not have delivered victory to the invaders. A
fter the first air
134
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
attack, Castro had dispersed his planes; the brigade's B
-26s would
have encountered considerable difficulty in locating and destroying th
em. A
nd, ev
en if a D
-Day
assault h
ad d
isabled
all of C
astro's
planes, then what? L
a brigada's 1400 men w
ould have had to face v
O1castro's
army of 25,00o and the nation's 200,000 m
ilitia. The com
man-
, d
dos most likely w
ould not have survived the overwhelm
ing power of
t/ the C
uban military.
. A
flawed decision-m
aking system also contributed to failure. B
issell ' IV
" ,, and D
ulles were too em
otionally comm
itted to the project to see the shortcom
ings in their handiwork. C
IA planners w
ere less than candid k' l l )vith the P
resident, for fear that he would term
inate the project. Opera-
1 lion Z
apata was even kept a secret from
many other C
IA professionals
'1 responsible for intelligence analysis. Had they been asked to assess the
chances for national rebellion, for example, they probably w
ould have T ,'-''reported negatively, pointing out C
astro's continued popular appea1.45 A
'1,-" CIA
officials also contributed to the President' thinking that A
meri-
v,t,NA
t can participation could be hidden and plausibly denied. But how
could ,
Ken
nesly
ey
er have th
ou
gh
t that secrecy
was p
ossib
le? Wish
ful th
ink
-
\? N;\ ing provides the best ainsw
er.45 "Trying to m
ount an operation of this ‘„\ii,d'L 1m
agnitude from the U
nited States," a C
IA official w
rote later, "is \i-i about as covert as w
alking nude across Tim
es Square w
ithout attract-i5ct ing attention."5° N
onetheless, until his decision to cancel the second strike, K
ennedy clung to the fiction o T
he Joint Chiefs of S
taff and Secretary of S
tate also failed as advis-ers. A
lthough the generals and admirals had serious reservations,
they always evaluated the operation favorably. S
worn to secrecy,
they did not seek close staff analysis of the CIA
plan. Not "cut in"
until the later stages of planning, they hesitated to "pound the desk," because the operation w
as "not our show."5' N
or did Dean R
usk provide rigorous scrutiny or press his case against the invasion. A
"g
oo
d so
ldier" w
ho
wen
t alon
g w
ith th
e app
arent co
nsen
sus, h
e seem
ed to believe that he sould preside over debate rather than influ-ence it. R
usk later regretted his restraint:
As a co
lon
el of in
fantry
[in th
e Seco
nd
Wo
rld W
ar], I kn
ew th
at this
brig
ade d
idn't h
ave th
e chan
ce of a "sn
ow
ball in
hell." B
ut I w
asn't a
colonel of infantry; I was sitting there in a very special cubicle. I failed
President K
ennedy by not insisting that he ask a question that he did not ask. H
e should have turned to our Joints Chiefs of S
taff and said to them:
"Now
gentlemen, I m
ay want to do this w
ith U.S
. forces, so you tell me
what you w
ould need. . . ." By the tim
e the Joint Chiefs had com
e in with
Cu
ba 1135
their sustained and prolonged bombing, their several divisions, a m
assive fleet, and their big air force, it w
ould have become obvious to the P
resi-dent that that little brigade didn't have a chance at al1.5 2
One w
onders, of course, why K
ennedy himself did not think to 'ask
the question. Rusk also kept departm
ental intelligence and Cuban
specialists in the dark.53 K
ennedy encountered a good deal of dissenting opinion and he rejected it. S
chlesinger, for example, w
rote several mem
oranda to the P
resident, arguing that time w
as actually not on Castro's side and
that the Cuban leader, at least for the m
oment, rem
ained popular.5 4 T
he skeptics included Richard G
oodwin, John K
enneth Galbraith,
Charles E
. Bohlen, C
hester Bow
les, and Adlai S
tevenson. In making
his decision, Kennedy also bypassed C
ongress, further ensuring that he received lim
ited advice. Only S
enator J. William
Fulbright, F
or-eign R
elations Com
mittee chairm
an, was let into the inner circle,
and, at that, only once. Picking up rum
ors of a forthcoming invasion
of Cuba, F
ulbright sent the President a m
emorandum
that strongly disapproved invasion—
it was "of a piece w
ith the hypocrisy and cyni-cism
for which the U
nited States is constantly denouncing the S
oviet U
nion . . . ," he wrote. K
ennedy thereupon invited the Arkansas
senator to attend an April 4
meeting. F
ulbright spoke forthrightly to the assem
bled top-level advisers, chiding them for exaggerating the
Cuban threat. A
s he had told the President earlier, the C
astro regime
"is a thorn in the flesh; but it is not a dagger in the heart."55 No one in
the room agreed w
ith Fulbright.
"Mr. P
resident, it could have been worse," rem
arked a Stevenson
assistant. How
? "It might have succeeded." 56 H
ad all gone well w
ith the chain reaction of beachhead, rebellion, and C
astro's death or departure, the victory w
ould only have "exchanged a Castro pest-
house for a post-Castro asylum
." 57 Tainted as an A
merican stooge,
the head of the new governm
ent would have struggled to w
in public favor. W
ell-armed C
astroites, including Fidel's brother R
aul and Che
Guevara, w
ould probably have initiated a protracted guerrilla war
against the Am
erican-created regime. T
he Soviets m
ight have helped these rebel forces, and volunteers from
around the world m
ight have sw
elled the resistance—like the Spanish C
ivil War of the 193os, Schle-
singer had warned. T
he United S
tates would have had to save its
puppet government through m
ilitary aid, advisers, and maybe even
troops'. To have sustained a successful B
ay of Pigs invasion, then, the
r.
13
6
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
Kennedy A
dministration probably w
ould have had to undertake a prolonged and expensive occupation of the island.58
As it w
as, defeat d
id n
ot ch
asten th
e Adm
inistratio
n. W
hile a
secret presidential panel investigated the disaster, Kennedy and his
advisers huddled. At the A
pril 20 C
abinet meeting, B
owles found his
colleagues "almost savage." R
obert Kennedy becam
e especially agi-tated, and "there w
as an almost frantic reaction for an action program
w
hich people would grab onto."59 W
ith Republicans belittling the
President—
Eisenhow
er said the story ought to be titled "Profile in
Tim
idity and Indecision" and Nixon allow
ed that Kennedy should
have known that "w
hen you comm
it maxim
um U
.S. prestige you
have to comm
it maxim
um U
.S. pow
er to back it up," Kennedy w
as not sym
pathetic to Bow
les's call for patience and caution.6° The U
n-der S
ecretary was "yellow
-bellied," press secretary Pierre S
alinger sn
orted
, and "w
e're goin
g to
get h
im." W
hite H
ouse aid
e Harris
Wofford shot back: "W
hy don't you get those who got us into this
mess?"61 K
ennedy pushed Bow
les out of the State D
epartment later
in the year. O
n April 2
0 the beleaguered P
resident spoke out. "Let the record
show," he boom
ed, "that our restraint is not inexhaustible." Indeed, the U
nited States intended to defend the M
onroe Doctrine and carry
on a "relentless" struggle with C
omm
unism in "every corner of the
globe." In familiar w
ords, Kennedy declared that "the com
placent, the self-indulgent, the soft societies are about to be sw
ept away w
ith the debris of history. O
nly the strong . . . can possibly survive."62 T
hat day, too, Kennedy ordered A
merican m
ilitary advisers in Laos
to put on their uniforms to show
United S
tates resolution in the face of defeat. "A
new urgency" w
as injected into "Kennedy's concern for
counterin
surg
ency
. . . ," recalled G
eneral M
axw
ell Tay
lor, w
ho
headed the post-crisis inquiry.63 Although K
ennedy privately claimed
that the Cuban failure deterred him
from m
ilitary intervention in L
aos, the record of the April 2
2 N
SC
meeting dem
onstrates that the P
resident chose an activist policy of confrontation with the "C
omm
u-nist w
orld."64 S
uch
a postu
re was m
ore in
line w
ith th
e advice a
Bundy aide offered R
obert Kennedy during the B
ay of Pigs crisis.
When the A
ttorney General grow
led that Moscow
would now
judge A
merica w
eak, Walt W
. Rostow
comm
ented that "we w
ould have am
ple opportunity to prove we w
ere not paper tigers in Berlin, S
outh-east A
sia, and elsewhere."65 T
his thinking also resembled the recom
-m
endations of the Taylor S
tudy Group, w
hich on June 13 reported
Cu
ba 137
secretly to the President that "w
e are in a life and death struggle w
hich we m
ay be losing," so henceforth all of the nation's Cold W
ar
resources had to be mobilized. 66
Robert K
ennedy told counterinsurgency specialist Colonel E
dward
Lansdale that the B
ay of Pigs "insult needed to be redressed rather
quickly." 67 But that redressing faced som
e heady obstacles. The anti-
Castro underground lay shattered. C
uban security forces, before and after the landing, rounded up, jailed, killed, or converted thousands of anti-regim
e subversives, most of w
hom w
ere surprised because the C
IA had not forew
arned them about D
-Day. In the U
nited States the
Cuban R
evolutionary Council splintered, as the dem
oralized and an-gry C
uban comm
unity descended once again into fierce factionalism.
Castro trium
phantly exploited patriotic nationalism to strengthen his
regime. 68 Instead of driving the S
oviets out of Cuba, the botched B
ay of P
igs operation drew H
avana and Moscow
closer together. Under-
standably fearing another invasion, perhaps with A
merican troops,
Castro sought S
oviet military assistance. T
he Soviets shipped sm
all arm
s, machine guns, how
itzers, armored personnel carriers, patrol
boats, tanks, surface-to-air missiles, and, ultim
ately, nuclear missiles
that could reach into the United S
tates itself. 69 P
ersuaded that "there can be no long-term living w
ith Castro as a
neighbor," Kennedy officials launched a m
ulti-track program of co-
vert, economic, diplom
atic, and propagandistic elements.r E
ncour-aged by the W
hite House, the C
IA created a huge operations station
in Miam
i called JMW
AV
E to recruit and organize C
uban exiles. In W
ashin
gto
n, R
obert K
enned
y b
ecame a ram
rod fo
r action. A
t a N
ovember 4 W
hite House m
eeting, the Attorney G
eneral made his
pitch: "stir things up on the island with espionage, sabotage, general
disorder . . . ."71 The P
resident himself asked C
olonel Lansdale to
direct Operation M
ongoose—"to use our available assets . . . to help
Cuba overthrow
the Com
munist regim
e." 7' O
peration Mongoose and JM
WA
VE
, although failing to unseat C
astro, punished Cubans. C
IA-handled saboteurs burned cane fields
and blew up factories and oil storage tanks. In a D
ecember 1961 raid,
for example, a seven-m
an team blasted a railroad bridge, derailed an
approaching train, and torched a sugar warehouse. M
yriad exile groups, from
Alpha 66 to the R
evolutionary Student D
irectorate, left the F
lorida Keys to stage hit-and-run attacks along C
uba's coast. CIA
agents contam
inated goods leaving European ports for C
uba, and they bribed E
uropean manufacturers to produce faulty equipm
ent for
Cuba—
as when a G
erman industrialist shipped off-center ball bear-
ings. British-m
ade Leland buses w
ere sabotaged too.73 These spoiling
operations compelled the C
astro government to divert scarce re-
sources from econom
ic and social programs to coastal defense and
internal surveillance. They also pushed C
uba toward greater depen-
dence upon the Soviet U
nion. T
he CIA
devised new plots to kill C
astro. Poisonous cigars, pills,
,\,MaN,)''' and needles w
ere directed Castro's w
ay, but to no avail. Did the K
enne-
e dys know
about these death schemes? R
obert Kennedy learned about
f
\ \i them
them
in mid-1962, and his biographer claim
s that the Attorney G
eneral p V
ord
ered an
end to
assassinatio
n p
rojects. Jo
hn K
enned
y said
at the
time that in general he disapproved of the killing of foreign leaders.14
VA-1/
The P
resident apparently never directly ordered the assassination of ).;`-' ,A.
Castro—
at least no trail of documents leads to the K
ennedy White \
House. B
ut, of course, the word "assassination." w
as never uttered in \ \'''At'
''',/'
the presence of the President or com
mitted to paper, so that he could
be protected by the principle of plausible deniability. What w
as always
mentioned w
as the need to remove C
astro. "And if killing him
was one
of the things that was to be done in this connection," assassination w
as attem
pted because "we felt w
e were acting w
ithin the guidelines." So
( bespoke Bissell's replacem
ent, Richard H
elms.75 P
resident Kennedy
may or m
ay not have known about the assassination plots, but he did
set the general guidelines. Intensified econom
ic coercion joined assassination and sabotage as m
ethods to undermine the C
astro government. A
merican officials did
not expect the economic denial program
alone to force Castro's fall.
But th
ey d
id seek
to in
hib
it the islan
d's eco
nom
ic dev
elopm
ent,
thereby decelerating socialization, spurring Cuban discontent, and
diminishing C
uba's appeal as a model for L
atin Am
erica. In February
1962 Kennedy further tightened the econom
ic screws by banning
most im
ports of Cuban products (especially tobacco). E
l bloqueo, as the C
ubans called the embargo, hurt. C
uba was forced to pay higher
freight costs, enlarge its foreign debt, and suffer innumberable fac-
tory shut-downs due to the lack of spare parts once bought in the
United S
tates. Cuba's econom
ic woes also stem
med from
the flight of technicians and m
anagers, a decline in tourism, high w
orker absentee-ism
, the drying up of foreign capital investment, hastily conceived
policies to diversify the economy, and suffocating governm
ent con-trols. T
he overall effect on Cuba of A
merican econom
ic measures
was not w
hat Washington intended: greater political centralization,
more state m
anagement, closer ties to the S
oviet Union. B
y 1962, 82 percent of C
uba's exports flowed to C
omm
unist countries, and 85 percent of its im
ports came from
them. A
s with m
ilitary defense4 so w
ith the economy: the S
oviet Union becam
e Cuba's lifeline. 6
T
he Kennedy A
dministration also lobbied the O
AS
to isolate C
uba. Eisenhow
er had grown frustrated w
ith the regional organiza-tion's refusal to "do som
ething about Castro."22 S
ecretary Herter
explained in March 196o w
hy the OA
S hesitated: "O
ur own latest
National Intelligence E
stimate does not find C
uba to be under Com
-m
unist control or domination, and w
e lack all of the hard evidence it w
hich would be required to convince skeptical L
atin Am
erican Gov-
ernments and the public opinion behind them
."7 8 But after C
astro declared him
self a Marxist-L
eninist in late 1961, the United S
tates \ m
anag
ed to
ob
tain th
e vo
tes to o
ust C
ub
a from
the O
AS
, even
though M
exico voted "nay" and Argentina, B
olivia, Brazil, C
hile, and E
cuador abstained.2 0 The expulsion registered loudly in H
avana, w
hich interpreted it as "political preparation for an invasion." 80 By
the spring of 1962, moreover, fifteen L
atin Am
erican states had an- sw
ered Washington's call to break relations w
ith Cuba.
Diplom
atic contact between C
ubans and Am
ericans also virtually ceased, w
ith two exceptions. W
hen in May 1961 C
astro offered to trade the B
ay of Pigs prisoners for A
merican farm
tractors, the White
House encouraged a private com
mittee of distinguished A
mericans
to negotiate with C
uba. But the T
ractors-for-Freedom
Com
mittee
could not reach terms and disbanded. T
hen New
York law
yer James
B. D
onovan, working closely w
ith Washington officials, gained C
as-tro's trust and bargained directly w
ith him in H
avana. In Decem
ber 1962, in exchange for food and m
edicine, Castro released the brigade
mem
bers. In a celebration at Miam
i's Orange B
owl, K
ennedy re-ceived their flag. "I can assure you," an em
otional President told the
huge crowd, "that this flag w
ill be returned to this brigade in a free H
avan
a.", A
nother encounter took place during the August 1961 P
unta del E
ste conference that drafted the Alliance for P
rogress charter. Che
Guevara initiated contact w
ith Richard G
oodwin by sending a box of
Cuba's finest cigars to the W
hite House assistant. "S
ince to write to
an enemy is difficult, I lim
it myself to extending m
y hand," read an attached note. 8 2 A
t a farewell party, the tw
o men held an intense
conversation. Che first thanked G
oodwin for the B
ay of Pigs—
it had helped the regim
e solidify its power. G
oodwin rem
arked that the
iI
13
8
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
Cuba
139
i?":01414,
140
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
Cubans could repay the favor by attacking the A
merican naval base
at Guantanam
o. In a frank yet reasonable manner C
he asked for a
modus viven
di w
ith Washington and urged talks on trade, com
pensa-
tion for nationalized property, and Guantanam
o. Cuba w
ould even
be willing to discuss its ties w
ith the Soviets ada C
uban activities in
the hemisphere. G
oodwin carried the prom
ising August 17 overture
to Kennedy, w
ho, smoking one of C
he's cigars, listened to his aide's
appeal for further exploration of the "below ground dialogue" w
ith
the Cubans. T
he President rejected the suggestion: it cam
e too soon
after the humiliating B
ay of Pigs, w
ould likely disturb some L
atin
Am
erican governments, and w
ould legitimize a M
arxist govern-
ment.83 C
he's important initiative died that abruptly—
at JFK
's desk.
By the spring of 1962 C
uba was losing on several fronts in its
contest with the U
nited States: diplom
atic isolation in the hemi-
sphere, ouster from the O
AS
, economic em
bargo, CIA
assistance to
anti-Castro rebels in C
uba, exile raids and sabotage, assassination
plots, Operation M
ongoose, and the successful launching of the anti-
Cuban A
lliance for Progress. A
fter the Am
erican failure at the Bay
of Pigs and in the face of the studied A
merican effort to cripple the
Cuban R
evolution, "were w
e right or wrong to fear direct invasion"
nex
t? Fid
el Castro
later asked
.84 Although K
ennedy had actually
ruled out invasion as a method to overthrow
Castro, in large part
because Latin A
merican opinion w
ould have been so negative and
Am
erican casualties would have been so staggering, C
astro could
only think the worst in 1962. A
fter all, some W
ashington politicians
were shouting for invasion and K
ennedy officials spoke frankly about
getting rid of Castro.
It may be plausibly argued that, had there been no exile expedi-
tion, no destructive covert activities, and no economic and diplom
atic
boycott—had there been no concerted U
nited States vendetta to
quash the Cuban R
evolution—there w
ould not have been an October
missile crisis. T
he principal source for that frightening crisis lay in
Kennedy's unvarnished hostility tow
ard Cuba and in C
astro's under-
standable apprehension that United S
tates invasion was inevitable.
The origins of the m
issile crisis, then, derived largely from U
nited
States-C
uban tensions. To stress only the global dim
ension of Soviet-
Am
erican competition, as is com
monly done, is like saying that a
basketball game can be played w
ithout a court. Cuba w
as the court.
To slight the local or regional sources of the conflict is to m
iss a
central point: Nikita K
hrushchev would never have had the opportu-
Cu
ba
14
1
pity to begin his dangerous missile gam
e if Kennedy had not been
attempting to (expunge C
astro and his revolution from the hem
i-
sphere. This interpretation does not dism
iss but incorporates the
view, predom
inant in the scholarly literature, that the emplacem
ent
of nuclear missiles in C
uba served the Soviet strategic goal of catching
up in the nuclear arms race. 8 5 T
his interpretation emphasizes that
both Cuba and the S
oviet Union calculated that their interests w
ould
be served by putting medium
and intermediate-range rockets on the
island. Havana hoped to gain deterrent pow
er to thwart an expected
Am
erican invasion, and Moscow
hoped to enhance its deterrent
power in the C
old War and save a new
ally."' From
Castro's perspec-
tive, the United S
tates would not start a local, conventional w
ar out
of fear that it would then have to risk a nuclear w
ar. 8 7 "We'd carried
out the Bay of P
igs operation, never intending to use Am
erican mili-
tary force—but the K
remlin didn't know
that," Defense S
ecretary
Robert M
cNam
ara recalled. "We w
ere running covert operations
against Castro" and "people in the P
entagon were even talking about
a first strike [nuclear policy]. . . . So the S
oviets may w
ell have be-
lieved we w
ere seeking Castro's overthrow
plus a first strike capabil-
ity. This m
ay have led them to do w
hat they did in Cuba." 88
Cuba's eagerness for S
oviet military assistance is w
ell documented
in the contemporary record. C
astro and other Cuban officials m
ade
repeated, consistent, and compelling statem
ents that their nation
faced an Am
erican onslaught. "Cuba took m
easures to defend its
security against a systematic policy of hostility and aggression," C
as-
tro privately explained to United N
ations Secretary G
eneral U T
hant
during the October crisis. 89
Contem
porary, secret, now declassified U
nited States docum
ents
reveal that Am
erican decisionmakers knew
that the Cuban-S
oviet
military linkage, w
hich included the June 1962 agreement on nuclear
missiles, grew
from C
uba's fear of invasion. They did not say so I
publicly, of course, for such would have acknow
ledged their own
responsibility for generating the fear. In Septem
ber 1962, CIA
ana-
lysts concluded that "the main purpose of the present m
ilitary build-
up in Cuba is to strengthen the C
omm
unist regime there against w
hat
the Cubans and S
oviets conceive to be a danger that the US
may
attempt by one m
eans or another to overthrow it."90 In early O
ctober
the D
epartm
ent o
f State cab
led its d
iplo
matic p
osts th
at Castro
feared an Am
erican invasion and that "the available evidence sug-
gests strongly that this crash build-up of military and econom
ic assis-
„1:11U, 4:
142
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
tance did not represent a Soviet initiative but rather a response to
insistent demands from
Castro for help."9' E
arly in the crisis, a CIA
office issued a secret report that noted C
uba's numerous "invasion
scares" in the summ
er of 1962. But the C
ubans "felt progressively m
ore secure as the work [S
oviet installation of military equipm
ent) advanced."92 F
inally, to cite yet another example, a post-crisis S
tate D
epartment study indicated that w
hen Soviet "m
ilitary equipment
began arriving in volume in late sum
mer 1962 the U
S governm
ent realized that these chronic [invasion] fears played a part in C
astro's m
otives. "93 W
hy did the Cubans and S
oviets decide upon medium
(MR
BM
) and interm
ediate (IRB
M) m
issiles, with ranges of 1
,020 and 2,20o
nautical miles respectively, instead of upon a m
ilitary pact, non-nuclear, conventional forces, or w
eapons that could satisfy Am
erican tolerance for "defensive” assistance? P
erhaps the Cubans w
ere con-fused about the types of m
issiles they would receive.94 D
uring the 1958 M
iddle East crisis, w
hen Am
erican troops landed in Lebanon,
Khrushchev and G
amal A
bdul Nasser discussed "rockets" and "m
is-siles" for E
gypt. Nasser betrayed considerable ignorance about the
details of these weapons—
as perhaps Castro did later.95 T
he Cubans
may not have paid m
uch attention to missile type, because to them
m
ore powerful w
eapons simply m
eant more deterrence. O
r they may
have assumed that im
pressive surface-to-surface missiles (42 M
RB
Ms
arrived; the IRB
Ms never arrived) w
ere necessary for true deterrence against an aggressive U
nited States. O
ne thinks here of a similar
Am
erican assumption at the end of the S
econd World W
ar that the fanatical Japanese w
ould surrender only under threat of annihilation from
the atomic bom
b. O
n October 14 an A
merican U
-2 plane photographed missile sites
in Cuba, thus providing the first "hard" evidence, as distinct from
the "soft" reports of exiles, that the island w
as becoming a nuclear base.
"He can't do that to m
e!" snapped Kennedy w
hen he saw the pictures
on the 16th.96 He h
ad w
arned
the S
oviets th
at the U
nited
States
would not suffer "offensive" w
eapons in Cuba, although the w
arnings had com
e after the Cuban-S
oviet decision of early summ
er.92 The
President convened his top advisers shortly before noon on O
ctober 16. H
is first questions focused on the firing readiness of the missiles
and the probability that they carried nuclear warheads. T
he tentative answ
ers were negative, although he w
as advised that the missiles
could become operational in a brief tim
e. Discussion of m
ilitary op-
Cuba 1
43
tions (invasion? air strike?) dominated this first m
eeting. Kennedy's
imm
ediate preference became clear: "W
e're certainly going . . . to take out these . . . m
issiles." McG
eorge Bundy urged consideration
not.only of military plans but of a "political track" or diplom
acy. But
Kennedy show
ed little interest in negotiations. When M
cNam
ara m
entioned that diplomacy m
ight precede military action, the P
resi-dent im
mediately sw
itched the discussion to another question: How
long w
ould it take to get air strikes organized? Conspicuously absent
from this first m
eeting was a serious probing of S
oviet and Cuban
motivation. 95 A
t a second meeting on the 16th, R
usk argued against the surprise air strike that G
eneral Maxw
ell Taylor had bluntly advocated. T
he S
ecretary of State recom
mended instead "a direct m
essage to Cas-
tro." At the close of R
usk's remarks, K
ennedy imm
ediately asked: "C
an we get a little idea about w
hat the military thing is?" B
undy then posed a question now
central to the history of the missile crisis:
"How
gravely does this change the strategic balance?" McN
amara,
for o
ne, th
ought "n
ot at all," b
ut T
aylo
r disp
uted
him
. Ken
ned
y
himself w
as uncertain, but he did complain that the m
issile emplace-
ment in C
uba "makes them
look like they're co-equal with us." A
nd, added T
reasury Secretary C
. Douglas D
illon, who obviously knew
the P
resident's competitive personality, the presence of the m
issiles m
ade it appear that "we're scared of the C
ubans." T
hen the rambling discussion turned to K
hrushchev's motivation.
The R
ussian leader had been cautious on Berlin, K
ennedy said. "It's just as if w
e suddenly began to put a major num
ber of MR
BM
s in T
urkey," the President w
ent on. "Now
that'd be goddam danger-
ous. . . ." Bundy jum
ped in: "Well, w
e did, Mr. P
resident." Not liking
the sound of a double standard, Kennedy lam
ely answered, "Y
eah, but that w
as five years ago."99 Actually, the A
merican Jupiter m
issiles in T
urkey, under a 1959 agreement w
ith Ankara, w
ere put into launch position in m
id-1961—during the K
ennedy Adm
inistration—and not
turned over to Turkish forces until O
ctober 22, 1962, the very day
Kennedy inform
ed Moscow
that it must w
ithdraw its S
S-4 m
issiles from
Cuba.10 0
For the next several days, K
ennedy's group of advisers, named the
Executive C
omm
ittee or Ex C
omm
, met frequently in tight secrecy.
Taylor later sum
marized policy options: "talk them
.out," "squeeze them
out," or "shoot them out."'°' In exhausting sessions m
arked by frank disagreem
ent and changing minds, E
x Com
m m
embers w
eighed
14
4
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
the advantages and disadvantages of invasion, bombing, quarantine,
and diplomacy.102 T
he President gradually m
oved with a m
ajority of E
x Com
m advisers tow
ard a quarantine or blockade of Cuba: incom
ing ships w
ould be stopped and inspected for military cargo. M
cNam
ara persistently argued this alternative against the generals, D
illon, CIA
D
irector John McC
one, and Dean A
cheson, all of whom
urged an air strike. W
hen queried if an air strike would knock out all of the know
n m
issiles, Taylor replied: "T
he best we can offer you is to destroy
9o%. . . ." In other w
ords, some m
issiles in Cuba w
ould remain in
place fo
r firing
again
st the U
nited
States. R
ob
ert Ken
ned
y also
w
orrried that the Soviets might react unpredictably w
ith military force,
"which could be so serious as to lead to general nuclear w
ar." In any case, the A
ttorney General insisted, there w
ould be no "Pearl H
arbor type of attack" on his brother's record.1 03
By O
ctober 22 the P
resident had made tw
o decisions. The chief
decision was to quarantine C
uba to prevent further military ship-
ments and to im
press the Soviets w
ith Am
erican resolve to force the m
issiles out. If the Soviets balked, other, m
ore drastic, measures
would be undertaken. T
he second decision was to inform
the Soviets
of U
nited
States p
olicy
thro
ug
h a telev
ision ad
dress rath
er than
through diplom
atic channels. Ex C
omm
advisers have dubiously ar-gued that a surprise public speech w
as necessary to rally world opin-
ion behind United S
tates policy and to prevent Khrushchev him
self from
issuing a "blustering ultimatum
." 104 At least tw
o E
x C
om
m
participants recomm
ended that negotiations be tried first. Form
er A
mbassador to the S
oviet Union C
harles Bohlen advised that M
os-cow
would have to retaliate against the U
nited States after its techni-
cians were killed by A
merican bom
bs. A stern letter to K
hrushchev should be "tested" as a m
ethod to gain withdraw
al of the missiles. "I
do
n't see th
e urg
ency
of m
ilitary actio
n," B
oh
len to
ld th
e Presi-
dent.105 And a grim
Am
bassador to the United N
ations Adlai S
teven-son appealed to an unreceptive K
ennedy: "the existence of nuclear m
issile bases anywhere is negotiable before w
e start anything." 1°6 G
oing into the crisis, Kennedy refused to negotiate w
ith either Khru-
shchev or Castro.
Kennedy's evening television speech on O
ctober 22 sounded famil-
iar themes in A
merican diplom
atic history. He recalled the special
United S
tates relationship with the W
estern Hem
isphere, and he rem
inded Am
ericans that 193os lessons taught them to resist aggres-
sion and surrender. The P
resident lectured the Soviets to reverse
Cuba
145
their "deliberately provocative" decision by dismantling their "strate-
gic" missiles in C
uba, and he announced the Caribbean quarantine as
an "initial" step. The U
nited States Inform
ation Agency beam
ed his w
ords around the world in thirty-seven languages, including S
panish for C
uba itself. For the C
ubans Kennedy had an oft-heard m
essage: C
astro and his clique had become "puppets" of an "international
conspiracy."107 T
he missile crisis becam
e an international war of nerves. M
ore than sixty A
merican ships w
ent on patrol to enforce the blockade. The
Strategic A
ir Com
mand w
ent on nuclear alert, moving upw
ard to D
efense Condition (D
EF
CO
N) 2 for the first tim
e ever (the next level is deploym
ent for combat). B
-52 bombers, loaded w
ith nuclear w
eapons, stood ready, while m
en and equipment m
oved to the south-eastern U
nited States to prepare for an invasion (thousands of road
maps of C
uba were distributed).iol A
merican diplom
ats hastened to inform
NA
TO
allies; two A
frican nations agreed to deny landing rights for Soviet aircraft, so that the Soviets w
ould have trouble resup-plying their m
ilitary on the island; the OA
S voted to endorse U
nited S
tates policy; and the United N
ations Security C
ouncil debated. S
trangely, the Soviets did not m
obilize or redeploy their huge mili-
tary, nor did they take measures to m
ake their strategic forces less vulnerable.'°9 T
he Soviets also refrained from
testing the quarantine: their ships turned around and w
ent home. B
ut what next? O
n the 26th, K
ennedy and some E
x Com
m m
embers, thinking that the S
ovi-ets w
ere stalling, soured on the quarantine. Sentim
ent for military
action
streng
then
ed..
Kennedy also approved a S
tate Departm
ent message to B
razil that invited its am
bassador in Havana to talk w
ith Castro about the "great
jeopardy" in which the S
oviet missiles had placed his governm
ent. Indeed, the C
ubans could expect to suffer "desperate hand-to-mouth
existence" under an expanded Am
erican quarantine. But, if the m
is-siles and S
oviet military personnel departed, "m
any changes in the relations betw
een Cuba and the O
AS
countries, including the US
, could flow
." For the first tim
e in the Kennedy presidency, as nuclear
war threatened, W
ashington was suggesting an accom
modation of
Cuban-A
merican differences. T
his overture, however, m
ay have rep-resented no m
ore than a ploy to divide Moscow
and Havana, for the
President him
self "doubted that it would do any good . .
The "first real blink" in the crisis cam
e in the afternoon of the 26th. A
Soviet em
bassy officer, Aleksander F
omin, called A
BC
correspon-
I
\
14
6
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
dent John Scali and asked for a m
eeting. They talked in a W
ashington restaurant, w
here Scali w
as surprised to hear Fom
in urge him to carry
a message to the television journalist's high-level friends in the S
tate D
epartment: the S
oviet Union w
ould withdraw
the missiles if the
United S
tates would prom
ise not to invade Cuba. S
cali scurried to R
usk, who sent the unusual em
issary back to Fom
in with the reply
that Am
erican leaders were interested in discussing the proposal.m
In the m
eantime, a private K
hrushchev letter arrived with the sam
e offer, as w
ell as with a pointed rem
inder for Kennedy: the m
issiles w
ere in Cuba only because the U
nited States had been threatening
the island.113 B
ut the next morning another letter cam
e. Khrushchev now
upped i the stakes: he w
ould trade the missiles in C
uba for the Am
erican .'„,,),,)‘1" m
issiles in Turkey. A
n angry Kennedy felt boxed, because "w
e are rJ11-
now in the position of risking w
ar in Cuba ancL
in Berlin over m
issiles in T
urkey which are of little m
ilitary value."" Indeed, the President
, in early 1961 had expressed doubts about the military efficacy of the
Jupiters in Turkey and had later directed the D
efense Departinent to
` )).? prepare a study for phasing them
out. But he had not ordered their
removal. "5 N
ow
they
seemed
to stan
d in
the w
ay o
f settling
the
October crisis, for K
ennedy hesitated to accept a swap—
first, be-cause he did not w
ant to appear to be giving up anything in the face of S
oviet provocation; second, because he knew the proud T
urks would
be upset with the appearance of being "traded off in order to appease
an enemy";"6 and third, because acceptance of a m
issile trade would
)c,,̀0---1 lend credence to charges that the United S
tates all along had been applying a double standard. K
ennedy told his Ex C
omm
advisers that K
hrushchev's offer caused "embarrassm
ent," for most people w
ould think it "a very fair trade." Indeed, M
oscow had played "a very good
card."117 Som
e of Kennedy's advisers had explored the issue days
before Khrushchev's second letter. S
tevenson had recomm
ended a horse trade, and A
mbassador W
. Averell H
arriman counseled that
Am
erica's "ring o
f bases" aro
und th
e Soviet U
nio
n h
ad p
roven
"counter-productive." T
he way out of the crisis, H
arriman said, w
as to let K
hrushchev save face through an agreement to w
ithdraw the
Jupiters. Such a bargain w
ould also permit K
hrushchev to gain politi-cally on his tough-m
inded military and "sw
ing" toward im
proved relations w
ith the United S
tates." T
his discussion raises another question: What if the S
oviets and C
ubans had announced in the summ
er of 1962 that they were deploy-
Cuba 1
47
ing a limited num
ber of missiles—
the same num
ber as Am
ericans had stationed in T
urkey (and Italy)? Would the U
nited States have been
Af ,
able to compel reversal of a publicly announced decision and prevent
emplacem
ent without having to abandon the Jupiters in T
urkey'in a ,k1 negotiated deal? S
ome E
x Com
m advisers later suggested that, in
such a case, Washington m
ight not even have sought to force with- 1J'
' draw
al of th
e SS
-4s fro
m C
uba." M
any p
eople ab
road
, inclu
din
g y
l, t som
e European allies, w
ould have asked if the US
SR
had any less right than the U
nited States to practice deterrence. M
oscow no doubt
calculated differently—that W
ashington would attem
pt to halt ship- m
ents of missiles—
and thus tried to sneak them in.
In th
e afterno
on
of th
e 27
th m
ore b
ad n
ews ro
cked
the W
hite
House. A
n Am
erican U-2 plane overflew
the eastern part of the S
oviet Union, probably because equipm
ent malfunctioned. S
oviet fighters scram
bled to intercept it, and Am
erican jets from A
laska took flight to rescue the errant aircraft. A
lthough the spy plane flew
home w
ithout having sparked a dog fight, Moscow
might have read
the incident as provocative. Worse still, a U
-2 was shot dow
n over C
uba by a surface-to-air missile (S
AM
). Cubans, after having fought
Soviet soldiers for control of the S
AM
sites, may have brought dow
n the U
-2.129 Am
erican decisionmakers assum
ed at the time that the
Soviets m
anned the SA
M batteries; thus the shoot-dow
n constituted a dangerous escalation. A
distressed McN
amara now
thought "inva- „„ ■,)_,
sion had become alm
ost inevitable. "01 B
ut K
enned
y h
esitated to
'IN ,
retaliate, surely scared about taking a step in the direction of nuclear ,9\''n',,,<\-
war. U
pon brother Robert's advice, the P
resident decided to ignore ,''' ,;p,;\
Khrushchev's second letter and answ
er the first. And he dispatched
')
the Attorney G
eneral to deliver an ultimatum
to Soviet A
mbassador
Anatoly D
obrynin: start pulling out the missiles w
ithin forty-eight hours or "w
e would rem
ove them.""=
After D
obrynin asked about th
e Jup
iters in T
urk
ey, R
ob
ert Ken
ned
y p
resented
an im
po
rtant
Am
erican concession: they would be dism
antled if the problem in
Cuba w
ere resolved. As the P
resident had said in an Ex C
omm
meet-
ing, "we can't very w
ell invade Cuba w
ith all its toil . . . when w
e could have gotten them
out by making a deal. on the sam
e missiles in
Turkey.""3 B
ut, should the Soviets leak w
ord of a "deal,” Robert
Kennedy told the S
oviet ambassador, the U
nited States w
ould dis-avow
the offer.124 Just in case this unusual style of diplomacy failed,
the President ordered the calling up of A
ir Force reservists. In the last
Ex C
omm
meeting on the 27th, M
cNam
ara reminded his colleagues
74
8
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
that the United S
tates had to have two contingencies ready if a diplo-
matic settlem
ent could not be reached: a response to expected Soviet
action in Europe and a governm
ent to take power in C
uba after an A
merican invasion. S
omeone rem
arked: "Suppose w
e make B
obby m
ayor of Havana."125
On O
ctober 28, faced with an ultim
atum, a concession, and the
1 (-
possibility that the Cubans w
ould shoot down another U
-2 and pre-
cipitate a Soviet-A
merican conflagration, K
hrushchevcretreated: An
4
agreem
ent, alth
ou
gh
no
t written
, was stru
ck: th
e So
viet U
nio
n
‘, A cr1
agreed to dismantle the M
RB
Ms under U
nited Nations supervision
• ,s wq
and the United S
tates pledged not to invade Cuba. "E
veryone knew
AAA
w
ho were haw
ks and who w
ere doves," Bundy told E
x Com
m that
A -v
m
orning, but "today was the doves' day."'26 A
wary P
resident cau- iv\
; ,c ;`
tioned his gleeful advisers that "this is not a time for gloating," for
v problem
s remained: im
plementing supervision, pressing the S
oviets
to remove their IL
-28 bombers from
the island too, and watching for
Soviet mischief elsew
here.127 But the crisis had passed—
just when the
nuclear giants seemed at the brink. A
lthough an embittered C
astro
thwarted a U
nited Nations inspection system
, Am
erican reconnais-
ance planes monitored the departure of the S
S-4s. T
he IL-28 bom
bers w
ere also crated and shipped back to the Soviet U
nion.128 In April
1963 the Jupiter missiles cam
e down in T
urkey. Castro rem
ained
skeptical of the no-invasion pledge. As he once rem
arked to U T
hant, it w
as difficult for Cubans to believe a sim
ple Am
erican "promise not
„ to comm
it a crime."129
John F. K
ennedy's handling of the Cuban m
issile crisis has received 14
high grades as a success story and m
odel for crisis managem
ent. But it
v .c f ;11
l,- was a n
ear miss. "W
e were in
luck
," Am
bassad
or Jo
hn K
enneth
\\
; G
albraith ruminated, "but success in a lottery is no argum
ent for , iotteries.",3. M
any close calls threatened to send the crisis to greater "
levels of danger. Besides the tw
o U-2 incidents, there w
as the serious possibility that a "crackpot" exile group w
ould attempt to assassinate
Castro or raid the island.';' A
s well, O
peration Mongoose sabotage
\, c \ team
s were inside C
uba during the crisis and could not be reached by j.ti
ii+;'‘‘ their C
IA handlers. W
hat if this "half-assed operation," Robert K
en-
nedy worried, ignited trouble?132 O
ne of these teams actually did
blow up a C
uban factory on Novem
ber 8.133 To cite another m
ishap:
not until October 27 did A
dministration officials think to inform
the
Soviets that the quarantine line w
as an arc measured at goo nautical
miles from
Cape M
aisi, Cuba.'34 W
hat if a Soviet captain inadver-
;1■•
Cuba 1
49
tently piloted his ship into the blockade zone? And, w
hen the com-
mander of the S
trategic Air C
omm
and issued DE
FC
ON
2 alert in-
structio
ns, h
e did
so in
the clear, in
stead o
f in co
de, b
ecause h
e w
anted to impress the S
oviets.'35 Alerts serve to prepare A
merican
forces for war, but they also carry the danger of escalation, because
movem
ent to a high category might be read by an adversary as A
meri-
can planning for a first strike. Under such circum
stances, the adver-sary
mig
ht b
e tempted
to strik
e first. Fin
ally, th
e Nav
y's an
ti-
submarine w
arfare activities carried the potential of escalating the crisis. S
oviet submarines prow
led near the quarantine line, and, fol-
lowing standing orders, N
avy ships forced several of them to surface.
In one case, a Navy com
mander exercised the high-risk option of
dropping a depth charge on a Soviet subm
arine.'3 6 As in so m
any of
these examples, decisionm
akers in Washington actually lost som
e
control of the crisis to personnel at the operational level. E
x Com
m m
embers represented considerable intellectual talent
and experience, and the policy they urged upon the President ulti-
mately forced the S
oviets to back down. B
ut a mythology of gran-
deur, illusion of control, and embellishm
ent of performance have
obscured the history of the comm
ittee. The group never functioned
independently of the President. In an exam
ple of "promotional lead-
ership," Kennedy picked his advisers, directed them
to drive the
missiles out, and used his brother as a "policem
an" at meetings.'37 E
x C
omm
debated alternatives under "intense strain," often in a "state
of anxiety and emotional exhaustion." 138 A
pparently two advisers
suffered such stress that they became passive and unable to perform
their responsibilities. 139 An assistant to A
dlai Stevenson recalled that
he had had to become an E
x Com
m "back-up" for the am
bassador
because, "while he could speak clearly, his m
emory w
asn't very
clear. . . ." Asked if failing health produced this condition, V
ice Ad-
miral C
harles Wellborn answ
ered that the "emotional state and ner-
vous tension that was involved in it [m
issile crisis] had this effect."
Stevenson w
as feeling "pretty frightened.".4° So apparently w
as Dean
Rusk. R
obert Kennedy rem
embered that the S
ecretary of State "fre-
quently could not attend our meetings," because "he had a virtually
complete breakdow
n mentally and physically." 1 4 1 W
e cannot deter-
mine how
stress affected the advice Ex C
omm
gave Kennedy, but at
least we know
that the crisis managers struggled against tim
e, sleep,
exhaustion, and themselves, and they did not alw
ays think clear-
headedly at a time w
hen the stakes were very high. H
ad Stevenson
11)1
' , c1.14 4.)
oh.-4
1 0,,,. 7 -1,.,“,),,t
,/t:v- ,2,
L . .../11:(e .
150
T
HO
MA
S G.
and Rusk, both of w
hom recom
mended diplom
acy and comprom
ise,
been steadier, the option of negotiations at the start might have re-
ceived a better hearing and the world m
ight have been spared the
grueling confrontation. C
ontemporaries and scholars have debated K
ennedy's shunning of
formal, private negotiations and traditional, diplom
atic channels and
his opting instead for a public showdow
n through a surprise television
speech. It does not appear that he acted this way because he thought
the Soviets w
ould protract talks until the missiles had becom
e fully
, operational—even before his television address he knew
that many of
the missiles w
ere ready to fire, and Ex C
omm
worked under the as-
■kc \
,,,/.sum
ption that the SS-4s were arm
ed with nuclear w
arheads.142 Nor did
vi km. K
ennedy initially stiff-arm negotiations in order to score a foreign
policy victory just before the Novem
ber congressional elections.
tics does not explain his decisions; indeed, the*nost popular political
position most likely w
ould have been an air strike and invasion to rid
the island of both the missiles and C
astro.143 Did K
ennedy initially
reject diplomacy because the S
oviet missiles intolerably altered the
strategic balance? Kennedy seem
s to have leaned toward M
cNam
ara's
argument that the m
issiles in Cuba did not m
ake a difference, given the
fact that the Soviets already possessed enough capability to inflict
unacceptable damage on som
e Am
erican cities. P
resident Kennedy eschew
ed diplomatic talks before O
ctober 22
because his strong Cold W
ar views, draw
ing of lessons from the past,
and personal hostility toward C
astro's Cuba recom
mended confronta-
tion. His conspicuous style of boldness, toughness, and craving for
victory also influenced him, and he resented that K
hrushchev had
tried to trick him by stating that no offensive w
eapons would be
placed in Cuba and then clandestinely sending them
. Kennedy had
warned M
oscow not to station such w
eapons on the island; if he did
r not force the Soviets to back dow
n, he worried, his personal credibil-
c,
tw
ity would have been underm
ined. And, even if the m
issiles did not A
"— A ,
L V
markedly change the strategic balance, the new
missiles in C
uba gave , 41' \p
'l to
. Av. the appearance of doing so. O
ne Ex C
omm
mem
ber remarked that
\, the question is "psychological," and K
ennedy agreed that the matter
c' w
as as much "political" as "m
ilitary."I44 Kennedy acted so boldly,
too, because the Soviet m
issile deployment challenged the M
onroe
\',VC
Doctrine and U
nited States hegem
ony in Latin A
merica. F
inally,
with other tests in B
erlin and Southeast A
sia looming, the U
nited
\,"" S
tates believed it had to make em
phatic its determination to stand
rN'cN
Q,\■ ‘,)
‘ ,
—
Cuba .1
51
firm in the C
old War. R
emem
ber, Rusk has said, "aggression feeds
upon success."145 P
resident Kennedy helped precipitate the m
issile crisis by harasing
Cuba through his m
ulti-track program. T
hen he reacted to the crisis
by suspending diplomacy in favor of public confrontation. In the end,
he frightened himself. In order to postpone doom
sday, or at least to
prevent a high-casualty invasion of Cuba, he m
oderated the Am
eri-
can response and comprom
ised. Khrushchev w
ithdrew his m
istake,
while gaining w
hat Am
bassador Llew
ellyn Thom
pson thought was
the "important thing" for the S
oviet leader: being able to say, "I
saved Cuba. I stopped an invasion,".4 6
Kennedy m
ay have missed an opportunity to negotiate a m
ore com-
prehensive settlement. H
e and Ex C
omm
gave little attention to a
proposal that Brazil had offered in the U
nited Nations to denuclearize /
Latin A
merica. T
his proposal also sought to guarantee the territorial
integrity of each nation in the region. Harrim
an recomm
ended that the
United S
tates accept the Brazilian plan, but enlarge it: the U
nited
States and the S
oviet Union w
ould agree not to place nuclear weapons
in any nation in the world other than in nuclear pow
ers. Thus G
reat
Britain could hold A
merican m
issiles, but Turkey and Italy could not.
Nor could S
oviet missiles be deployed in C
uba or Eastern E
urope.
Looking beyond the crisis, H
arriman presented his schem
e `tas a first
and important step tow
ards disarmam
ent," but Kennedy officials only
briefly discussed the question of denuclearization. [47 Perhaps there
could have been another aspect of a far-reaching agreement: the
United S
tates would turn G
uantanamo over to C
uba in exchange for a
Cuban pledge to end the S
oviets' military presence on the island. In
short, under this provisions, both Am
erican and Soviet m
ilitaries
would leave C
uba, Latin A
merica w
ould become off-lim
its to nuclear
weapons, C
uba's territorial integrity would be guaranteed, and M
os-
cow and W
ashington would m
ake a modest nod tow
ard arms con-
tro1.148 Would the C
ubans have accepted such a deal? Given his ex-
treme anger w
ith Moscow
after the Soviets disengaged the m
issiles,
Castro m
ay well have grasped an opportunity to begin a process tow
ard
improved relations w
ith Washington.'49 S
uch a bargain, of course,
il,,, A?,
would have required C
uban-Am
erican discussions. Yet K
ennedy
oy t;t,l, P
' never seem
ed open to such talks. Why? B
ecause they would have
(1. All" ,4,2 , legitim
ized the Castro-C
omm
unist government and signified a C
old
V„,-- is'"‘aiii..1 W
ar defeat. ,,w
; PA' (N
.. ti In the end, Castro rem
ained in power, the S
oviets continued to As) ‘,,..!..." 1: ,?1,
0.1. 61'1 , 110 1\1
, , frIA ■,■:' '",k--1v-
\''
152
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
garrison troops on the island and subsidize the Cuban econom
y, the
United
States p
ersisted in
its campaig
n o
f harassm
ent, an
d n
ew
Soviet-A
merican contests over C
uba erupted (197o and 1979). The
Soviets, exposed as nuclear inferiors, vow
ed to catch up in the arms
race. At the sam
e time, perhaps the "jaggedjdges" of K
ennedy's
Cold W
arriorism w
ere smoothed.■50 In the afterm
ath of the missile
crisis, Moscow
and Washington installed a teletype "hot line" to facili-
tate comm
unication. The nuclear w
ar scare during the missile crisis
also nudged the superpowers to conclude the longstanding talks on a
test ban treaty. Negotiated by H
arriman in M
oscow, the L
imited T
est
Ban T
reaty, signed on July 25, 1963, was lim
ited, not comprehensive
(it banned only tests in the atmosphere, outer space, and beneath the
surface of the oceans). Although som
e analysts have trumpeted the
treaty as a major accom
plishment because it started the superpow
ers
on a p
ath to
ward
arms co
ntro
l, the ag
reemen
t did
not p
reven
t a
plethora of underground nuclear detonations or slow the cascading
arms race. It nonetheless stands as one of just a few
successes in the V
diplom
atic record of the Kennedy A
dministration.'s'
After the m
issile crisis, Cubans com
plained, Kennedy played a
EE
double game." T
he President show
ed some interest in accom
moda-
1 u
■, 4" ' 1 tion at the sam
e time that he reinvigorated anti-C
uban programs.152
The A
dministration created a new
State D
epartment office, the C
oor-
dinator of Cuban A
ffairs, and put more econom
ic pressure on the
island, including an unsuccessful attempt to block a U
nited Nations-
' funded crop diversification project.'53 Washington intended by early
1963 to "tighten the noose" around Cuba. '54
Operation M
ongoose had been put on hold during the October
crisis, but raids by exiles, some of them
no doubt perpetrated with
CIA
collaboration, and most of them
monitored but not stopped by
1 Am
erican authorities, remained a m
enace.I55 In March 1963, after an
exile "action group" attacked a Soviet ship in C
uban waters, K
ennedy
speculated that such freelance raids no longer served a "useful pur-
pose." They seem
ed to strengthen the "Russian position in C
uba and
the C
om
munist co
ntro
l of C
uba an
d ju
stify rep
ressive m
easures
within C
uba. . . ."158 He knew
too that some C
uban exiles had devel-
oped links with right-w
ing political groups in the United S
tates—in
essence the exiles had also become a threat to his A
dministration.157
The P
resident ordered restrictions on unauthorized exile activities,
because they had failed to deliver "any real blow at C
astro."158 Repub-
licans and Cuban exile leaders denounced the decision.159 R
aiding
Cu
ba 553
parties still managed to slip out of the F
lorida Keys to sabotage and
kill in Cuba, and the A
dministration itself, to m
ollify the more than
50o anti-Castro groups, m
ay have "backed away" from
enforcing its
own restrictions. 1 6° A
fter the missile crisis, C
astro had sought better relations with
Washington, and he m
ade gestures toward détente. H
e sent home
thousands of Soviet m
ilitary personnel and released some political
prisoners, including a few A
mericans. H
e remarked in an A
pril 1963
interview w
ith AB
C T
elevision's Lisa H
oward that the prisoner re-
lease could mark a beginning tow
ard rapprochement.. 81 B
ut then the
mercurial Jefe M
ciximo departed for a four-w
eek trip to the Soviet
Union, w
here he patched up relations with K
hrushchev and won
promises of m
ore foreign aid.1 8 2 Washington stirred against M
oscow's
"grandiose" reception of Castro, the latter's "vehem
ence" in denounc-
ing the United S
tates, his "tone of defiance rather than conciliation,"
and the refurbished Soviet-C
uban alliance.' 8 3 Soon R
obert Kennedy
asked the CIA
to "develop a list of possible actions which m
ight be
undertaken against Cuba."1 8 4 In m
id-June the NS
C approved a new
sabotage program. T
he CIA
quickly cranked up new dirty tricks and
revitalized its assassination option by making contact w
ith a traitor-
ous Cuban official, R
olando Cubela S
ecades. Code-nam
ed AM
/
LA
SH
, he p
lotted
with
the C
IA to
kill F
idel C
astro. In
Flo
rida,
Am
erican officials intercepted and arrested saboteurs heading for
Cuba, but they seldom
prosecuted and usually released them. A
lpha
66 and Com
mando L
raiders hit oil facilities, sugar mills, and indus-
trial plants.185 In the fall of 1963 C
uba continued to seek an accomm
odation.
Through contact w
ith a mem
ber of Stevenson's U
nited Nations staff,
William
Attw
ood, the Cuban governm
ent signaled once again its
interest in improving relations. T
he President authorized an eager
Attw
ood to work up an agenda w
ith the Cubans. X
66 In late October,
when K
ennedy met w
ith the French journalist Jean D
aniel, the Presi-
dent spoke in both hard-line and conciliatory tones about Cuba.
Aw
are that Daniel w
as journeying to Havana to interview
Castro,
Kennedy asked the reporter to return for another W
hite House discus-
sion. Castro later claim
ed that Daniel carried a "private m
essage"
from K
ennedy, who asked about the prospects for a C
uban-Am
erican
dialogue.1 8 7 Yet, on N
ovember 18, K
ennedy sounded less the concilia-
tor and more the w
arrior. In a tough-minded speech, he reiterated
the familiar charges against C
astro's "small band of conspirators."08
tion of the economic em
bargo and Am
erican respect for Cuban sover-
eignty. As for K
ennedy, could he have quieted the Cuban exile com
mu-
nity, disciplined the CIA
, and persuaded hard-line State D
epartinent officials? W
ould he have been willing to w
ithstand the political back-lash from
his dealing with "C
omm
unist Cuba"? M
ore important, did
he want to im
prove relations with C
uba? Would he have shelved his
intense, sometim
es personal, three-year war against C
uba and dis-banded the m
yriad spoiling operations? Would he ever have accepted
the legitimacy of a radical revolution in the U
nited States sphere of
influence? It does not seem likely that either K
ennedy, had he lived, or C
astro could have overcome the roadblocks that they and their na-
tional interests had erected. T
he Cuban-A
merican confrontation w
as and is a question of the C
old War, dom
estic Am
erican politics, and personalities. But it has
been primarily a question of faltering U
nited States hegem
ony in the hem
isphere. Kennedy struggled to preserve that hegem
ony. In the end, he failed—
he did not achieve his well-defined and ardently pur-
sued goals for Cuba. H
is Adm
inistration bequeathed to successors an im
pressive fixation both resistant to diplomatic opportunity and at-
tractive to political demagoguery.
J iytt,f , (
15
4
TH
OM
AS G
. PA
TE
RSO
N
•
Cuba
155
The P
resident, reported Bundy, sought to "encourage anti-C
astro elem
ents within C
uba to revolt" and to "indicate that we w
ould not perm
it another Cuba in the hem
isphere."■69 In H
avana, meanw
hile, Daniel and C
astro met. O
n Novem
ber 22, w
hile discussing chances for Cuban-A
merican détente, the new
s of the assassination in D
allas arrived. "Es una m
ala noticia" ("This is
bad news"), the stunned C
uban mum
bled repeatedly.'i° What w
ould becom
e of his overture? he wondered. In W
ashington, the new L
yn-don B
. Johnson Adm
inistration decided in fact to put the "tenuous" and "m
arginal" contacts "on ice."171 Castro also w
orried that he w
ould be held personally responsible for Kennedy's death, because
is- the alleged assassin Lee H
arvey Osw
ald had professed to be pro- tc- ,? I C
astro (he may actually have been leading a covert life as an anti-
'
1 Castro agitator). S
ome A
mericans did blam
e the Cuban regim
e. Sev-
eral official investigations have concluded that--quban officials played no part in the assassination, but conspiracy theories persist. O
ne theory actually points an accusing finger at disgruntled antitC
astro .,C
uban exiles in the United States.172
,104 A
t the time of his death, K
ennedy's Cuba policy w
as moving in
VJ
' "
opposite directions—probing for talks but sustaining m
ulti-track pres- ,
sures. "How
can you figure him out?" C
astro had asked in late Octo-
J' y
) ber 1963)73 O
n the very day that Kennedy died, A
M/L
AS
H rendez-
voused with C
IA agents in P
aris, where he received a ball-point pen
rigged with a poisonous hyperderm
ic needle intended to produce C
astro's instant death.'74 But A
M/L
AS
H w
as but one obstacle to im
proved Cuban-A
merican relations. F
or Kennedy and C
astro to have reached détente, each w
ould have had to suppress his strong ideological biases. W
ould Castro have risked a cooling of his close
relationship with the S
oviet Union and C
uban Com
munists at a tim
e w
hen Washington still w
orked for his ouster, some A
mericans yelped
constantly for a United S
tates invasion, and the next presidential election m
ight send a conservative Republican to the W
hite House?
Would C
astro have been willing to sever his lifeline? W
ould Castro
have abandoned his bonds with L
atin Am
erican revolutionaries in order to w
in a lifting of Am
erican economic sanctions?
From
the Kennedy 196os to the R
eagan io8os United S
tates policy has consistently dem
anded two C
uban concessions: an end to support for revolutions in the hem
isphere and an end to the Soviet m
ilitary presence on the island. H
avana has just as consistently refused to budge on either point before seeing U
nited States concessions: aboli-
+t o
1 144,14,0 ic O
st
34
2 N
otes to Pages 118-121
1962, NS
F: M
emoranda and M
eetings Series, N
SA
M #177 F
older, Box 338,
JFK
L.
51. "Sum
mary of T
raining for Latin A
mericans in U
.S. M
ilitary Schools
and Institutions," October 16, 1961, and C
hester Bow
les to Kennedy, "R
e-port on P
olice Training in L
atin Am
erica," Septem
ber 30, 1961, both in NS
F:
Mem
oran
da an
d M
eeting
s Series, N
SA
M #
88
Fo
lder, B
ox
33
1, JF
KL
; S
choultz, Hum
an Rights, 179-83, 211-47.
52. MacN
amara testim
ony in Senate, F
oreign Assistance A
ct of 1962, pp. 6
0, 7
6; testim
on
y o
f Gen
eral En
emark
, Sen
ate, Executive Sessions, 1962,
XIV
, 433. 53. B
owles to K
ennedy, Septem
ber 30, 1961; NS
F: M
emoranda and M
eet-ings S
eries, NS
AM
#88 Folder, B
ox 331, JFK
L.
. 54. O
ffice of A
ssistant S
ecretary o
f Defen
se, Intern
ational S
ecurity
Af-
fairs, "U.S
. Policies T
oward L
atin Am
erican Military F
orces," February 25,
1965, Vol. III (1-6/65), and m
emorandum
, Robert S
ayre to Bundy, O
ctober 8, 1964, V
ol. II (9-12/64), both in Box 2, N
SC
(Latin A
merica-C
ountry) F
iles, LB
JL.
55. Lieuw
en, Generals vs. P
residents, 127; U
.S. C
ongress, Senate, C
om-
mittee on F
oreign Relations, F
oreign Assistance A
ct of 1963, 88th Cong., 1st
sess. (Washington, D
C, 1963), 206-8. T
he Kennedy A
dministration actually
discouraged Bosch from
purging his security forces of Trujillist elem
ents. See
Briefing M
emorandum
for the President, "P
rincipal Problem
s Confronting
Dr. B
osch," January 2, 1963, Box 115A
, PO
F, JF
KL
. 56. B
urrows O
H; W
illiams O
H.
57. Mem
orandum of conversation, K
ennedy and Brazilian F
oreign Minis-
ter Clem
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, Office of C
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or th
e United
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le in th
e overth
row
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56; Phyllis R
. Parker, B
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X, 1979).
68
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OH
; mem
oran
du
m o
f con
versatio
n, K
enn
edy
and
Celso
F
urtado, Director of B
razilian Developm
ent Agency, S
UD
EN
E, July 14,
1961, NS
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ee also "A
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A C
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O:
Costa R
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. 63. M
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urtado, July 14, 1961, and m
emorandum
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ordon, October 22, 1961,
both
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SF
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2, JF
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Ro
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343
64. Roett, P
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ee also Ruth L
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65. Draft m
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ance for Progress F
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66. PP
P, JF
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67. Chester B
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H, JF
KL
. 68. S
chlesinger, "The A
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e Slater, "D
emoc-
racy V
ersus S
tability
: The R
ecent L
atin A
merican
Policy
of th
e United
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ale Review
LV
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braham F
. Low
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nited States P
olicy Tow
ard Latin A
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VIII (S
pring
19
e i2 ,2
44x.
vittiL, m
, ivt _p
t i g tv
al' w, t, 1
,044
1
,(144,,,, c,:i.
i., C
hap
ter 5. C
ub
a
ork, i. Q 19u8o I), I7
Q
uoted in Thom
as Pow
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he M
an
Wh
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2. R
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avid Horow
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3. C
laude Pepper to K
ennedy, April 27, 1962, B
ox 23-G-4-2F
, Senatorial
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ubert H. H
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. 4. P
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.
5. Q
uoted in U.S
. Senate, S
elect Com
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tudy Governm
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7. A
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8. W
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he Tw
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9. T
heo
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. Soren
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rank
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11
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1961, p. 369; Mem
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1961, Box 1
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344 N
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7. R
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19
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25. William
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ision and R
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," February 21, 1961, C
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27. For 1959-1961, see S
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A; E
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SR
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345
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EL
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34. For the B
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Perfect F
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Tad
Szu
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vasio
n
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Yo
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2); L
ucie'n
S.
Vandenbroucke, "A
natomy of a F
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CIX
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35. Quoted in H
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36. Discussion on C
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ational Security A
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38. Quoted in S
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3490 / Lb 0i d u i. s, 2 H 9 Zile to W
alter Lippm
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41. U.S
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her-
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43. Richard M
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H Interview
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niver-
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en-
ate, Executive Sessions, 1961, X
III, Part I, p. 392.
44. For these and other operational failures, see S
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42 , 412; B
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.
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ar College
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II (Decem
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ew Y
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55 1 ; Barton J. B
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idel Castro, 14 and 15 June, on the Invasion of
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niversity, Wash-
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x-
perien
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urin
g, an
d A
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7 A
pr 1
96
1 In
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t-
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DR
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45. Interview w
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ent of Dirty T
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XL
IV (A
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40. 46
: Ch
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traigh
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LX
IV (S
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aval
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aul Brem
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346 N
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33
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7
1965, Box 138, A
llen Dulles P
apers, Princeton U
niversity Library, P
rince-to
n, N
J; "Interv
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Pau
l D. B
ethel . . an
d O
rlando C
uerv
o o
f C
uban Brigade 2506," January 30, 1963, K
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XX
IX
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ork, 1976), 324- 49- R
obert Jervis, Perception and M
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5o. Kirkpatrick, "P
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51. Adm
iral Arleigh B
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aval Institute. See
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ords and Plow
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Robert D
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"Anatom
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resident John F. K
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t Ch
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ou
th C
arolin
a, 1981),177-200.
52. Dean R
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54. Arthur M
. Schlesinger, Jr., M
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New
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an on Cuba," ibid.; S
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256. 55. J. W
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58. Schlesinger, A
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59• Chester B
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6o. M
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dum
, June 5
, 1961,. B
ox to
, Post-p
residen
tial Pap
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DE
P, D
DE
L; "O
ff-the-R
ecord
Break
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Nix
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64. On L
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ox 1, Robert H
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ZA
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77. Bryce N
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78. Christian A
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80. Szulc, F
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157. Departm
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3. S
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47, q
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• 4. S
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5. S
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6. W
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7. K
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8. C
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9. B
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to. S
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Ken
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. Speech of N
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12. S
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13. L
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H
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. 15. E
dward T
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19. M
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