analyst briefing

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ANALYST BRIEFING WEDNESDAY 5 WEDNESDAY 5 TH TH DECEMBER 2007 DECEMBER 2007

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ANALYST BRIEFING. WEDNESDAY 5 TH DECEMBER 2007. GLOBAL TOURISM TRENDS ( 8 months to August 2007 ):. Tourism growth for Europe remains unchanged at 4%. Trends in the Americas currently stand at 4% growth representing 2 percentage points increase from last year. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: ANALYST BRIEFING

ANALYST BRIEFING

WEDNESDAY 5WEDNESDAY 5THTH DECEMBER 2007 DECEMBER 2007

Page 2: ANALYST BRIEFING

GLOBAL TOURISM TRENDS ( 8 months to August 2007 ):

Tourism growth for Europe remains unchanged at 4%

Source: UNWTO / World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC)

Trends in the Americas currently stand at 4% growth representing 2 percentage points increase from last year

The Middle East recorded an increase of 8% compared to 4% last year

Asia & the Pacific are currently the top global performer recording an increase in international tourism of 10%

Africa recorded a growth of 8%

Page 3: ANALYST BRIEFING

International Visitor Arrivals for Sub-Saharan Africa (000s)

Sub-Saharan Africa Market Share of Africa Total Demand 2007

TOURISM TRENDS: SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

Page 4: ANALYST BRIEFING

ARRIVAL TRENDS WITHIN ZIMBABWE

Arrivals into Zimbabwe grew by 24% compared to the same period last year

Foreign arrivals into Zimsun hotels grew 17.8% compared to 12 months

Page 5: ANALYST BRIEFING

ARRIVAL TRENDS WITHIN ZIMSUN HOTELS

Below is an indication of the increase of international business into Zimsun properties

Italy (129% UK (21%) Americas (40%) USA (62%) China (139%) South Korea (131%) Zambia (71%) Mozambique (85%)

Page 6: ANALYST BRIEFING

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT: LOCAL

The Group has been resilient in operating in a price controlled environment, however there has been a negative impact on:

• supplies (reliance on imports)• utilities• staff costs

Decreased revenue resulting in increased borrowings

The Group continues to work with the National Incomes and Pricing Commission ( NIPC) to review prices

Page 7: ANALYST BRIEFING

LOCAL OPERATIONS:Product Improvement

The Group continues to invest in utilities namely power and water

Primary Power has been augmented through generators at major hotels

New boreholes were installed, others upgraded to the requirements at major hotels

The Group is on track with current refurbishments including:

–Upgrading of facilities at CPM–Beitbridge Restaurant–250 seater Conference Center, Great Zimbabwe Hotel

Page 8: ANALYST BRIEFING

LOCAL OPERATIONS:Expansion

The Group has new hotels planned in

- Beitbridge

- Eastern Highlands

-Harare

- Vic Falls

- Kariba An additional 832 rooms are planned by

2012

Page 9: ANALYST BRIEFING

LOCAL OPERATIONSTraining & Development

To support growth strategy into Africa HTA will be upgraded to tertiary level status based in Zimbabwe

Satellite facilities will be implemented in West Africa

East Africa will come on board once capacity increases

‘How May I Serve You?’ (HMISY) service culture has been implemented in Zimbabwe and will be replicated throughout Africa

Page 10: ANALYST BRIEFING

OPERATING ENVIRONMENTREGIONAL: S.A.

Inflation as measured by CPIX remains stable closing at 6.7% at the end of September 2007 in comparison to 5.1% in September 2006

The South African Rand appreciated by 12% against the United States Dollar to close at 1USD to ZAR6.91 at the end of September 2007

Interest rates increased by 2 percentage points over the period with a prime lending rate closing at 13.5% at the end of September 2007

Page 11: ANALYST BRIEFING

REGIONAL OPERATIONS The Grace continues to perform above the Group’s

expectations, with occupancies growing from 58% to 72% in this period

The Grace was also nominated as:

One of the top 10 hotels in Africa and the Middle East (Conde Nast traveller awards)

Best hotel in Johannesburg ( Travel & Leisure 2007) Top 10 in Africa & Middle East (Travel & Leisure 2007) Positioning The Grace favorably as blueprint for

regional growth initiatives

Page 12: ANALYST BRIEFING

The Group continues to footprint into Sub-Saharan The Group continues to footprint into Sub-Saharan AfricaAfrica

The following figures depict the confirmed and signed The following figures depict the confirmed and signed mandates for targeted rooms in the region:mandates for targeted rooms in the region:

700 rooms by 2008700 rooms by 2008 2000 rooms by 20092000 rooms by 2009 1500 rooms by 20101500 rooms by 2010

REGIONAL GROWTH

Page 13: ANALYST BRIEFING

2010 SOCCER WORLD CUP STRATEGY

All the Group’s Victoria Falls rooms have been approved for the FIFA family.

The Group is now dealing with MATCH for the final details

The Grace in Rosebank has also been contracted to provide accommodation complete month of the tournament

Page 14: ANALYST BRIEFING

FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR THE 12 MONTHS ENDED

30 SEPTEMBER 2007

Page 15: ANALYST BRIEFING

GROUP PERFORMANCE

Revenue for the 12 months amounted to $1.859 billion, an increase of 45 369% on last year.

Local operations contributed 81% to Group turnover from 84% in the prior reporting period, whilst regional operations contributed 19% to group turnover from 16% in the prior reporting period.

Page 16: ANALYST BRIEFING

TRENDS IN REVENUE DRIVERS: GROUP OCCUPANCIES AND SALES

MIX

12 MONTHS TO 30 SEPTEMBER 2007

18 MONTHS TO 30 SEPTEMBER 2006

Average Occupancy 40% 35%

Foreign Mix (% of total rooms sold)

38% 36%

Contribution of foreign revenue to total revenue

44% 40%

Page 17: ANALYST BRIEFING

TRENDS IN REVENUE DRIVERS: GROUP ROOMNIGHTS SOLD

12 MONTHS TO SEPTEMBER

2007

12 MONTHS TO SEPTEMBER

2006

% CHANGE

Domestic 167 146 140 511 19%

Foreign 103 064 86 759 19%

Total 270 210 227 270 19%

Page 18: ANALYST BRIEFING

YIELD ANALYSIS: LOCAL HOTELSSEPTEMBER

2007SEPTEMBER

2006% CHANGE

Average Revenue per Local Guest

$4 380 794 $11 348 38 502%

Average Revenue per Foreign Guest

$4 732 083 $12 209 38 659%

Revenue Multiple (Foreign Guest vs Local Guest)

1.1x 1.1x

Page 19: ANALYST BRIEFING

YIELD ANALYSIS: LOCAL HOTELS vs. THE GRACE

SEPTEMBER 2007

SEPTEMBER 2006

% CHANGE

Average Revenue/ Guest: Local Hotels

$4 498 424 $11 619 38 616%

Average Revenue/ Guest: The Grace

$18 672 043 $24 986 74 986%

Revenue Multiple (The Grace vs. Local Hotels)

4.15x 2.15x

Page 20: ANALYST BRIEFING

YIELD ANALYSIS: LOCAL HOTELS vs. THE GRACE

The growth in the Revenue Multiple derived from comparing the average revenue per guest at The Grace and average revenue per guest in the local hotels from 2.15 times to 4.15 times in the current year reflects the negative impact that the regulation of selling prices has had on the Group’s local hotels.

Page 21: ANALYST BRIEFING

GROUP PERFORMANCE

Net operating costs increased by 41 415% over expenses to $1.294 billion.

The Group posted an operating profit of $564 billion in comparison to $970 million achieved in the prior reporting period. This represents an increase of 58 078%.

The rate of growth in net operating costs is however lower than the rate of growth in revenue of 45 369%.

Page 22: ANALYST BRIEFING

GROUP PERFORMANCE

Net profit amounted to $361.8 billion. However, the net profit margin declined to

19% from 23% achieved in light

Basic earnings per share amounted to $563 per share (56 311 cents per share), representing a 36 339% increase over basic earnings per share of the prior reporting period.

Page 23: ANALYST BRIEFING

FINANCIAL POSITION Non-current assets stood at $10.2 trillion in

comparison to $41.3 billion in the prior reporting period as a result of re-valuation of PPE.

The investment in Dawn Properties was valued at $3 trillion according to the equity method of accounting for investments in associates.

The market value of the Group’s shareholding in Dawn Property however amounted to $3.7 trillion at 30 September 2007

Page 24: ANALYST BRIEFING

CASHFLOW

The Group generated $427 billion from operating activities.

$283 billion was utilized in investment activities, namely construction of the Beitbridge restaurant and the refurbishment Crowne Plaza Monomotapa facilities

Although selling prices of services were controlled in the last quarter of the financial year, the Group managed to close the period in a positive net cash position.

Page 25: ANALYST BRIEFING

OUTLOOK

Continued operational challenges due to shortages of commodities and erratic supply of utilities

The Group will remain focused on containing the impact of the above adverse effects by utilizing cash generated to maintain adequate stock levels

The increase in foreign arrivals to the Group’s hotels is however expected to continue as a result of the representation in international and regional markets.

Page 26: ANALYST BRIEFING

STRATEGIC GOALS1.To grow rooms in Sub-Saharan Africa to at least

4000 within 5 years

2.To develop and maintain the highest quality of skills and competencies

5.To establish brand leadership

4.To achieve a market capitalization of USD1 billion

3.To be listed on a regional bourse in the next 3 years