analysis of conflict between potential resource use and wildlife conservation in the muskuwa-kechika...
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Analysis of Conflict between Potential Resource Use and Wildlife Conservation in The Muskuwa-Kechika Management Area
Nobuya (Nobi) Suzuki, Natural Resources and Environmental Studies InstituteUniversity of Northern British Columbia
Katherine Parker,Natural Resources and Environmental Studies InstituteUniversity of Northern British Columbia
Accomplishment 1: Significantly upgraded 4 resource potential Layers
Mineral Potential Forest Potential
Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential
Accomplishment 2: Developed GIS layers of Multiple Resource Potential and Resource Potential Diversity
6 Spatial Data Tools to assess levels of conflict between potential natural resource development and geographical areas of your interest
Mineral Potential Forest Potential
Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential
Multiple Resource Potential
Resource Potential Diversity
Guide Outfitter Polygons Trap Line Polygons
Application Possibilities6 tools can be applied to assess potential conflict with resource use for any polygons
How we created Resource Potential Layers
BC Metallic Mineral Potential BC Industrial Mineral Potential
How we developed Mineral Potential Layer for the MKMA
BC Metallic Mineral Potential
BC Industrial Mineral Potential
Higher Value of the 2 layers
Combined Metallic-Industrial Mineral Potential
CroppedMKMA
• Mineral Tenure Sites • Mineral Occurrence Database points in
“Prospect” and Developed “Prospect”
• Occurrence of Coal Geology (Gething Formation)
Final Mineral Potential for the MKMA
Vegetation Resource Inventory Data1) Tree Diameter2) Basal Area (Total Cross Sectional Area of Trees/ha) 3) Stand Volume4) Site Index (Site Productivity)
They are highly correlated
• Index of forest potential = statistically combined 4 variables into 1 index value
• Ranked all pixels (50m x 50m) from low to high forest potential
How we developed Forest Potential Layer for the MKMA
How we developed Wind Potential Layer for the MKMA
How we developed Wind Potential Layer for the MKMA
• Wind speed data from Canadian Wind Energy Atlas
• Wind direction data from 16 wildfire weather stations
Obtained Wind Data
Identified Suitable Topography: Ridgelines, Gentle Hills, and High Plateau
Power generation potential of ridgeline
2) Gentle Hills and High Plateau• Slope < 20%• Elevation above the nearest
body of water• Distance to the nearest power
line or Wind power tenure site
1) Ridges • Slope < 20%• 100m wide• Distance to the nearest power line
or wind power tenure site
3) Ridges, Gentle Hills and Plateau Combined
50m pixel values were summed over the 500 ha planning units
Wind power potential values at the planning unit level were scaled to either 0-100 or 0-50.
How we created Oil and Gas Potential Layer for the MKMA
Oil and Gas GeologyGeological Potential of Oil and Gas
Alternative Scoring
Primary Scoring
Resource site potential
Distance to the nearest oil and gas fields, pools, or tenure sites
Pipeline Distance Class
Pipeline Distance Class Elevation
Elevation-Pipeline Distance Combined
Resource site potential
Geological Potential of Oil and Gas
Elevation-Pipeline Distance Combined
Conventional Natural Gas potential
How we developed Multiple Resource Potential and Resource Potential Diversity LayersWhat exactly are they?
Mineral Potential Forest Potential Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential
Multiple Resource Potential
Mineral Potential Forest Potential Wind Power Potential Oil and Gas Potential
Resource Potential Diversity
Shannon Diversity Index
High Value (Dark Orange) indicatesAll 4 resource types may be present in the planning unit and resource potential value of each of the 4 resource may be also high.
Low value (Dark Blue) indicatesVery low number of resource type, may be only 1 resource type present and resource potential value may be also low
Resource Potential DiversitySimultaneously measures number of resource types and how high their resource potential values are
Accomplishment 3:We assessed levels of potential conflict between Resource Use and Wildlife Habitat for the Muskwa-Kechika Management Area.
How we assessed potential conflict between resource use and wildlife habitat
Conservation Area Design (CAD) Study
Highly Suitable Habitat of Species A(Top 30 Percentile)
Multiple Resource Potential
Multiple Resource Potential within Highly Suitable habitat of Species A
Multiple Resource Potential within Highly Suitable habitat of Species A
Eliminated Parks, Reserves, Protected Areas
Stone SheepHighly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-1000
5
10
15
20
25
30
Growing Habitat Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential
Perc
ent o
f Hig
hly
Suita
ble
Hab
itat Medium
Resource PotentialHigh
Resource PotentialLow
Resource Potential
Stone Sheep/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter HabitatMountain Goat
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-1000
5
10
15
20
25
30Growing Habitat Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential
Perc
ent o
f Hig
hly
Suita
ble
Hab
itat
Mountain Goat/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential
LowResource Potential
MediumResource Potential
HighResource Potential
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-1000
5
10
15
20
25
Growing HabitatPe
rcen
t of H
ighl
y Su
itabl
e Ha
bita
t
Caribou/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Po-tential
High Resource Potential
Multiple Resource Potential
Low Resource Potential
Medium Resource Potential
CaribouHighly Suitable Growing Habitat
Highly Suitable Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-1000
5
10
15
20
25
Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential
Perc
ent o
f Hig
hly
Suita
ble
Hab
itat
MediumResource Potential
High Resource Potential
Caribou/Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Multiple Resource Potential
LowResource Potential
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-1000
5
10
15
20
25
Growing Habitat Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential
Perc
ent o
f Hig
hly
Suita
ble
Hab
itat
Caribou/ Highly Suitable Habitat in Potential Conflict with Resource Use
High Resource Potential
MediumResource Potential
Low Resource Potential
MooseHighly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100
0
5
10
15
20
25
Growing HabitatWinter Habitat
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100
0
5
10
15
20
25
Multiple Resource Potential
Perc
ent o
f Hig
hly
Suita
ble
Hab
itat
Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Resource Use
Moose
Elk
HighResource Potential
MediumResource Potential
MediumResource Potential
LowResource Potential
LowResource Potential
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
ElkHighly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter HabitatWolf
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100
0
5
10
15
20
25
Growing Habitat
Winter Habitat
0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100
0
5
10
15
20
25
Early Grow-ing Habitat
Late Growing Habitat
Multiple Resource Potential
Highly Suitable Habitat in Conflict with Resource UsePe
rcen
t of H
ighl
y Su
itabl
e H
abita
t Wolf
Grizzly Bear
Multiple Resource Potential for Comparison
Highly Suitable Growing Habitat Highly Suitable Winter HabitatGrizzly Bear
Elk (W
)
Moose (W
)
Moose (G
)
Wolf (
W)
Elk (G
)
Caribou (W
)
Wolf (
G)
Grizzly
Bear (LG)
Caribou (G
)
Grizzly
Bear (EG)
Stone Sh
eep (W)
Mountain Goat (W)
Stone Sh
eep (G)
Mountain Goat (G)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35Pe
rcen
t of H
ighl
y Su
itabl
e H
abita
t
Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable HabitatConflict Ranking of 7 Wildlife Species
G = Growing HabitatW = Winter Habitat*EG = Early Growing Habitat*LG = Late Growing Habitat* is for Grizzly Bears
Moo
se (G
)
Grizz
ly (E
G)
Grizz
ly (L
G)
Elk
(G)
Moo
se (W
)
Carib
ou (G
)
Shee
p (G
)
Goat
(W)
Carib
ou (W
)
Wol
f (G)
Shee
p (W
)
Elk
(W)
Goat
(G)
Wol
f (W
)050000
100000150000200000250000300000350000400000
High Mineral Potential Ar
ea (h
a)
Moo
se (W
)
Moo
se (G
)
Carib
ou (W
)
Elk
(W)
Wol
f (W
)
Grizz
ly (L
G)
Elk
(G)
Wol
f (G)
Grizz
ly (E
G)
Goat
(W)
Carib
ou (G
)
Shee
p (G
)
Shee
p (W
)
Goat
(G)0100000200000300000400000500000600000700000
High Forest Potential
Area
(ha)
Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat
Carib
ou (W
)
Moo
se (W
)
Elk
(W)
Moo
se (G
)
Wol
f (G)
Wol
f (W
)
Grizz
ly (L
G)
Elk
(G)
Grizz
ly (E
G)
Carib
ou (G
)
Shee
p (G
)
Goat
(G)
Shee
p (W
)
Goat
(W)0
100002000030000400005000060000
High Wind Power PotentialAr
ea (h
a)
Elk
(W)
Moo
se (W
)
Carib
ou (W
)
Elk
(G)
Wol
f (W
)
Moo
se (G
)
Wol
f (G)
Grizz
ly (L
G)
Shee
p (W
)
Carib
ou (G
)
Goat
(W)
Grizz
ly (E
G)
Shee
p (G
)
Goat
(G)0
100000200000300000400000500000600000
High Oil and Gas Potential
Area
(ha)
Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat
CaribouHigher levels of conflict in winter habitat than in growing habitat
Moose and ElkHighest levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat
Wolves Moderate levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat.
GrizzlyLevels of potential conflict are generally low but appear to increase in late growing habitat.
Stone Sheep and Mountain GoatLowest levels of potential conflict in both growing and winter habitat
All SpeciesHigher levels of potential conflict to some extent in winter habitat (or late growing habitat) than in growing habitat (or early growing habitat).
Caveats
• Conflict in our assessment does not address whether it is an adverse effect or not.
• Some species are more sensitive or less sensitive than others.
Task in Progress
Assessment of potential conflict between Resource Use and Wildlife Habitat for Special Resource Management Zones in the Muskwa-Kechika Management Area.
Special Resource Management Zones of the MKMA
• We assessed areas of high multiple resource potential in highly suitable wildlife habitat for 22 Special Resource Management Zones
Suitable Habitat vs. Multiple Resource Potential across Special Resource Management Zone
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Highly Suitable Growing Habitat (All Species)High Multiple Resource Potential
Area
(ha)
Growing Habitat for All Species Combined
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
Highly Suitable Winter Habitat (All Species)
High Multiple Resource Potential
Area
(ha)
Suitable Habitat vs. Multiple Resource Potential across Special Resource Management Zone
Winter Habitat for All Species Combined
Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat Across Special Resource Management Areas
Growing Season Habitat
Winter Habitat
Area of High Resource Potential in Highly Suitable Wildlife Habitat Across Special Resource Management Areas
Obo River
Fox
Alaska
Hwy Corri
dor
Fishing
Muskwa W
est
GRAHAM-NORTH
RMZ 2
Prophet
Term
inal
Churchill
8Mile / S
ulpher
Stone M
ountain
GRAHAM-NORTH
RMZ 1
Toad
River C
orridor
Muskwa R
iver C
orridor
Aeroplan
e
Kechika
River C
orridor
Rabbit
Moodie
Turnag
ain Dall
River C
orridor
BESA HALF
WAY C
HOWADE
Sandpile
Rainbow
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
High Mineral Potential
Area
(ha)
Se-ries1
0
50000
100000
150000
200000High Forest Potential
Are
a (h
a)Areas of High Resource Potential Across 22 Special Resource Management Zones
Obo River
Fox
Alaska
Hwy Corri
dor
Fishing
Muskwa W
est
GRAHAM-NORTH
RMZ 2
Prophet
Term
inal
Churchill
8Mile / S
ulpher
Stone M
ountain
GRAHAM-NORTH
RMZ 1
Toad
River C
orridor
Muskwa R
iver C
orridor
Aeroplan
e
Kechika
River C
orridor
Rabbit
Moodie
Turnag
ain Dall
River C
orridor
BESA HALF
WAY C
HOWADE
Sandpile
Rainbow
050000
100000150000200000250000300000350000
High Oil and Gas Potential
Area
(ha)
Se-ries1
0
10000
20000
30000High Wind Potential
Area
(ha)
Area of High Multiple Resource Potential in Caribou and Moose Habitat for Special Resource Management Areas
050000
100000150000200000250000
Highly Suitable Win-ter Habitat
High Multiple Resource Poten-tial
Are
a (h
a)
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
Highly Suitable Win-ter HabitatHigh Multiple Resource Poten-tial
Are
a (h
a)
Caribou (Winter Habitat)
Moose (Winter Habitat)
Obo River
Alaska Hwy Corridor
Muskwa West
Prophet
Churchill
Stone Mountain
Toad River Corri
dor
Aeroplane
Rabbit
Turnagain Dall R
iver Corri
dor
Sandpile0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
Highly Suitable Winter HabitatHigh Multiple Resource Poten-tial
Area
(ha)
050000
100000150000200000250000300000
Highly Suitable Late Season Growing Habitat
High Multiple Resource Poten-tial
Are
a(ha
)
Wolf (Winter Habitat)
Grizzly Bear(Later Growing Season Habitat)
Area of High Multiple Resource Potential in Wolf and Grizzly Bear Habitat
High Potential Conflict Areas of Selected Species
Caribou/Winter Moose/Winter
Wolf/Winter Grizzly Bear/Late Growing Season