http://www.edusci.umu.se/np-pb/nap/http://www.edusci.umu.se/np-pb/nap/ap-uppgiftskonstruktion/http://www.edusci.umu.se/om-institutionen/personal/anna-lind-pantzare Webbsidahttp://www.edusci.umu.se/om-institutionen/personal/goran-bergqvist Webbsida

Göran Bergqvist Nationell provbank i kemi

Anna Lind Pantzareprojektledare för projektet Nationella prov – ämnesprov i biologi, fysik och kemi för årskurs 9

AN OPEN LETTER to ... Sweden’s National Test makers in Science

Q: Are Göran and Anna doing a good job?

Are they being professional?

Are they scientific ?

A: The ”against” argument follows .........

Brady CaldwellScience teacherhttp://skepticalswedishscientists.wordpress.com/

goran.bergqvist@edusci.umu.se anna.lind.pantzare@edusci.umu.se

Will Skolverket test makers give Swedish teachers back their Science subjects too?

http://civitas.org.uk/newblog/2007/06/a-physics-teacher-begs-for-his-subject-back/

(Skolverket’s National Tests in Science)

Real-World Science versus Pseudo-ScienceMaking our world an even better place ... or ... Feel-Good Environmentalism?

A: WWII began in 1942. B: No, that is wrong! A: Yes, it’s right because ... – it rhymes, - lots of people think so, – we should be kind to the Germans, - and ... what’s a few years anyway?

”We don’t care what we teach, only how.”

A Gradeanswers!

&

Does ?

The Problem

So, what’s the problem ? ... CO2 ”fixation”. (3 of 9 questions assume that CO2 is bad ����)

... and some bonus political/ideological: ”We must change our lifestyles,now!”assumptions in question 6. ����

Q: Why is CO2 fixation a problem for Skolverket Science questions?A: The (boring?) Science points one way and Skolverket goes the other way.

All 14 Land, Oceans and Satellite global temp records are decreasing with increasing CO2 ... for the last 15 years!

Failing old and new computer models -observed temperaturesare now even below the error bars in all the 20 computer modelpredicted temperatures!

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/04/08/are-climate-models-realistic-now-includes-at-least-february-data/

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2002890/Pseudo-science-climate-change-lessons-says-schools-adviser.htmlhttp://climatelessons.blogspot.se/p/climate-in-curricula.htmlhttp://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/no-climate-change-in-school-lnp/story-e6frgczx-1226425782372http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304537904577275401501628534.htmlhttp://articles.latimes.com/2012/jan/16/nation/la-na-climate-change-school-20120116

If the Science test makers don’t want to follow the Science then ... maybe they would like to follow the changing crowd?

http://cjonline.com/news/2013-02-18/bill-asks-teachers-question-climate-change-classhttp://www.thegwpf.org/british-government-abandons-climate-change-education-children-age-14/http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2013/mar/17/climate-change-cut-national-curriculum

Or more recently ... UK and US school boards are now sticking to Science.

Will Swedish national test makers also ”follow the crowd” to follow Science?

Skolverket replies : ....likely real reasons:- we don’t know & we don’t care- groupthink- money (grants for researchers) - politics abuses science, again- fear of the future- the end justifies the means

likely given excuses:- you are a bad person- we can’t be wrong- everybody does it - all the scientists agree- this evidence doesn’t matter- but, it’s all for a good cause

Q: What will Skolverket science test makers most likely do about this?: ... A: Nothing,until the Swedish media & politicians follow the rest of the world.

Oh well ... while we are waiting, lets look at some real science with real evidence ...

http://www.axess.se/magasin/default.aspx?article=44http://www.axess.se/magasin/default.aspx?article=1512

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.se/2013/02/noaa-slays-billion-dollar-disaster-meme.htmlhttp://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/07/090731-green-sahara.htmlhttp://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/11/19/sea-level-rise-less-than-0-7-mmyear-and-falling/http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/10/01/dr-ryan-maue-releases-new-hurricane-frequency-data-showing-a-negative-trend-in-the-last-30-years/http://www.c3headlines.com/2013/week3/index.html

Climate Model Problems boring data with no scary pictures ☺☺☺☺

Sea level rises slowing

Deserts greening & Earth too

Lower atmosphere cooling

Hurricanes decreasing

No climate crop losses

Temps go down as CO2 goes up

test makers say, but ...

Why does Skolverket go against the Science?

A: Too much influence from political activist international organisations?

WWF under the spotlight ?

https://dl.dropbox.com/u/19152363/WWF_Katt.pdfhttp://www.theclimatescam.se/2013/02/06/varldnaturfondens-morka-sidor/http://www.gmwatch.eu/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=13705http://www.redd-monitor.org/2012/05/29/wwf-scandal-part-4-the-dark-side-of-the-panda/

http://www.timeshighereducation.co.uk/features/profits-of-doom/412726.article

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/7488629/WWF-hopes-to-find-60-billion-growing-on-trees.html

http://www.economist.com/news/science-and-technology/21574461-climate-may-be-heating-up-less-response-greenhouse-gas-emissionshttp://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21574490-climate-change-may-be-happening-more-slowly-scientists-thought-world-still-needs

However, the international Media is pulling back from the CO2 scare

http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/features/twenty-year-hiatus-in-rising-temperatures-has-climate-scientists-puzzled/story-e6frg6z6-1226609140980?sv=7962c617c5f22f78fa30b4df54624e14

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2294560/The-great-green-1-The-hard-proof-finally-shows-global-warming-forecasts-costing-billions-WRONG-along.html

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2301757/Governments-climate-watchdog-launches-astonishing-attack-Mail-Sunday--revealing-global-warming-science-wrong.html

The Australians and British are pulling back from the CO2 scare

The Europeans are pulling back from the CO2 scare

http://notrickszone.com/2013/04/08/potsdam-we-have-a-problem-as-observed-reality-diverges-from-models-europes-media-grows-skeptical/

http://www.svd.se/opinion/ledarsidan/sjalvspakning-biter-inte-pa-uppvarmningen_8048504.svd http://www.theclimatescam.se/2013/04/03/vartecken-i-dagens-svd/

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2013/04/04/the_end_of_an_illusion_117795.html

http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2013/04/at-long-last-the-mainstream-media-are-paying-attention-to-global-warming-sceptics/

Leading Swedish press are now disagreeing with Skolverket

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/01/130125103927.htmhttp://www.dn.se/debatt/flera-studier-pekar-pa-lagre-klimatkanslighethttp://warhoonwinter.com/a-moderate-voice-on-the-climate-says-we-shoulhttp://www.theclimatescam.se/2013/02/03/fragor-och-svar/http://www.drroyspencer.com/research-articles/global-warming-as-a-natural-response/http://www.svd.se/nyheter/utrikes/ny-forskning-uppvarmningen-har-kraftigt-bromsats-upp_7861588.svdhttp://www.theclimatescam.se/2013/01/26/sensationellt-for-pk-media-inte-for-oss/

Climate Sensitivity to ... Zero? ...OR ...

Does a doubling of C02 now lead to NO rise in temperatures?

Skolverket is still allied with some Swedish press in the CO2 scare ... but ...

!

Yes, SMHIs basis is the (failing) computer models ... all the way down!

http://www.drroyspencer.com/2013/04/global-warming-slowdown-the-view-from-space/

If human CO2 causes global warming then the world’s temperature will rise

The world’s temperature is not rising

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Human CO2 is not causing Global Warming

If human CO2 causes global warming then the world’s sea levels will rise faster

The world’s sea levels are not rising faster

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Human CO2 is not causing Global Warming

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.se/2012/12/noaa-2012-report-finds-sea-levels.html

http://www.c3headlines.com/2013/01/satellites-confirm-atmospheric-global-cooling-reigns-not-the-ipccs-predicted-co2-global-warming.html

SKOLVERKET test makers should ... check the facts (& fallacies) AND ... how they are logically (or not) put into arguments.

For example, it has recently been cogently argued that:http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2261577/Global-warming-stopped-16-years-ago-Met-Office-report-reveals-MoS-got-right-warming--deniers-now.html?ito=feeds-newsxml

http://www.skolverket.se/skolutveckling/itiskolan/kollakallan/kallkritik/artikelarkiv/2012/naturvetenskap-1.165842

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S-nsU_DaIZEhttp://reason.com/reasontv/2013/03/13/matt-ridleyhttp://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323374504578217621593679506.htmlhttp://www.aei-ideas.org/2013/03/matt-ridley-burning-fossil-fuels-is-greening-the-planet/http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/3/14/plant-food.htmlhttp://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/03/14/a-must-watch-greening-the-planet-dr-matt-ridley/

Swedish science test makers should listen to Skolverket’s advice: -Be Honest!

Instead ... Skolverket starts students thinking that CO2 is so worrying that we need to measure CO2 in everyday life.

bad molecule good molecule good molecule bad molecule bad energy

- so say Skolverket science test makers

Then ... Skolverket pushes the CO2 scare and supports the ”locavores” .

http://www.economist.com/news/business/21575771-environmental-lunacy-europe-fuel-future

Problems for Locavores (Local Omnivores) & Food Miles?

http://timworstall.com/2011/01/05/killing-the-locavore-argument-stone-dead/http://www.bishop-hill.net/blog/2010/9/5/more-on-locavores.htmlhttp://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/budiansky-and-local-food?nocache=1#comment-511http://timworstall.com/2011/03/19/bill-mckibben-where-do-these-numpties-come-from/http://thewhitedsepulchre.blogspot.se/2011/03/final-imported-nail-in-locavore-coffin.htmlhttp://mercatus.org/publication/yes-we-have-no-bananas-critique-food-miles-perspectivehttp://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/06/opinion/06mcwilliams.html?_r=3&oref=slogin&http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/25/always-trust-your-gut-extinct/http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/peak-farmland-is-here.aspx

Peak Cropland already and Peak Farmland just reached

1 per 100 year documented mammal extintion rate

http://www.newsmill.se/artikel/2010/11/04/h-llbarhetsideologerna-lever-i-en-1700-talsv-rldhttp://www.americanthinker.com/2011/04/the_sustainable_development_ho.html

The ”Sustainable Development” fallacy

Internationally, sustainable development is hotly debated as a politically undemocraticideology ... but is strongly supported by the Stockholm Resilience Centre ...

... and Skolverket Science test makers����

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.se/2013/04/planetary-boundries-as-power-grab.html

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.se/2013/04/planetary-boundaries-as-millenarian.html

Skolverket science test makers... not ”leading the way” ... ....but ”going the wrong way” ����

Skolverket next promotes F-grade science answers to get A-grade marks ����

Haven’t we heard this Skolverket test maker’s doomsday prophecy before?...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/europe-is-becoming-a-green-energy-basket-case/2013/04/21/4b1b81d0-a87e-11e2-b029-8fb7e977ef71_story.html

Thomas Malthus(The first Malthusian pessimist ☺☺☺☺ )

1798 –Essay on Population– “food supply cannot keep pace with population because of the finite productivity of the land”

Thomas Robert Malthus - EconomistPopulations really increase like this

guano fertiliser Haber-Bosch nitrogen internal combustion engine tractor Marquis wheat

Discoveries and Inventions that saved The West from famine

Modern Doomsayers

(1963) -”Population-food collision is inevitable, it is foredoomed”

- Haiti, Egypt and India should be left to starve

- stop research to increase food production in high growth populations

(1968) – Paul R. Ehrlich (butterfly ecologist)”In the 1970s and 1980s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death ... nothing can be done to prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate”

Modern Doomsayers 2

-1992 would be the end of known supplies of:

zinc, gold, tin, copper, oil and natural gas

- in school textbooks all around the world

World3 computer model☺

1973 – Limits to Growth

computer models begin to replacereal world observations as facts

What is real Green Science and the realGreen Revolution?While these doomsayers were preaching, in the background, away from Media scare stories, real science was improving the world.

Norman Borlaug (1914-2009) Nobel Peace Prize 1970-the father of the “Green Revolution”-the man who saved over a billion people from starvation

Norman Borlaug’s Obstacles(1963-1966)-Jealous local researchers (under fertilised test plots)- Customs officials (delayed shipments & killed off half the seeds with too much fumigation)- Indian Grain Companies (lobbied against seeds & spread rumours that seeds were diseased)- Indian Government (stopped fertilizer imports to protect Indian fertilizer companies)- War started (between India and Pakistan)

→→→→?

Skolverket’s ”one final push” in support of the CO2 scare ����

- the ”more CO2 raises temps” fallacy- the ”limited resources” fallacy– the ”peak oil” fallacy– the ”recycling” fallacy– the ”saving energy -> using less energy ” fallacy– the ”stable ecosystem” fallacy– the ”decreasing biodiversity” fallacy

Skolverket’s F-grade ”biased answers” in support of the CO2 scare ����

- the ”CO2 independent of temps” science fact- the ”unlimited resources” economic fact– the ”unlimited oil” geological fact– the ”uselessness of recycling” evidence– the ”saving energy -> more energy used” fact– the ”non-balanced ecosystem” scientific fact– the ”increasing biodiversity” evidence

Real evidence-based-science answers to the test makers ”loaded” questions ☺☺☺☺

Paper should be used! Both aluminium and plastic cost more to produce, primarily because they need more energy to make, eventhough bauxite and oil are unlimited resources. Paper can be recycled but it does not need to be since just about all of it comesfrom specially grown trees. The area taken up is extremely small. Recycling paper wastes more energy than just burning it, which doesnot increase the greenhouse effect since world temps are nowcooling with increasing CO2. Aluminium can be recycled but mostpeople wil just throw away the aluminium with the chocolate box so recycling is a useless activity. Plastic can be recycled however extra amounts of energy and resources are wasted to do this and comesfrom tax money given away to recycling companies which produceuseless goods that do not compete equally on the open market or are shipped to China to be dumped into landfills. Paper forests do not disrupt ecosystems since the ”balanced ecosystem” theory is not scientific and new species just move in, increasing biodiversity.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lPS3QXBqHchttp://www.perc.org/pdf/ps28.pdfhttps://mises.org/resources/4991http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2011/1/13/recycling-recycling.html

The ”recycling” fallacy

http://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&feature=endscreen&v=-ljrFzvPz-shttp://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2304773/The-great-recycling-trick-How-carefully-sorted-waste-dumped-abroad.htmlhttp://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2013/4/6/recycled-policy.html

http://perc.org/sites/default/files/ps47.pdf

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2012/03/24/we-dont-consume-resources-we-create-them/http://thinktankwest.com/american-foreign-policy/return-of-the-neo-malthusianshttp://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/12/19/dont-tax-development-it-hurts-the-poor/http://www.learnliberty.org/content/are-we-running-out-resourceshttp://opinion.financialpost.com/2011/05/26/the-running-out-of-resources-myth/

http://www.spiked-online.com/site/article/9867/

The ”limited resources” fallacy

The ”decreasing biodiversity” fallacy~1 600 000 species currently named~1060 species extinct since 1600~50 species extinct since 1950

0 species extinct since 2000

The present polar bear populationis now about 25,000 up from around5,000 in the 1950s, even with 300-500 polar bears still hunted yearly.Of the 13 populations of polar bear,11 are stable or increasing

A dead computer model environmental "science" Dodo

“No continental forest bird or mammal is recorded as having gone extinct from any cause.”-3 continental mammals have gone extinct.- 6 continental birds have gone extinct- over 500 years!

A real extinct Dodo

http://news.sciencemag.org/sciencenow/2010/10/new-species-slideshow.htmlhttp://drtimball.com/2012/david-suzuki-and-scientific-and-social-responsibility/http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/01/photogalleries/100120-new-species-pictures-ecuador-snake-frog-gecko/

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/25/always-trust-your-gut-extinct/

Oil price 1871-2020 in 2000 US$, and world production 1882-2020, US Energy InformationAgency prediction from 2001-20. Source: Simon et al. 1994, EIA 1999c:63, 273, 2000e:127, 153,2001a:117, 137, 2001c:13, CPI 2001.

The “peak oil” fallacy

Peak Oil? ... Peak Oil? ....Peak Oil?.... Peak Oil? ... Peak Oil?

Are we here?

“BP Oil Spill: Clean-Up Crews Can't Find Crude in the Gulf”26 July 2010 – After 86 days “they're having trouble finding it.”

Huge Continuing Natural Oil Leaks

Oil reserves increase with time.

Is oil really harder to find and recover?

Subsequent “ultra deepwater” discoveries—those in water deeper than 1,500 metres—have included finds off the coasts of Angola, Sierra Leone and Nigeria, and a spate of finds in the Gulf of Mexico, where Anadarko made five discoveries in 2009 alone.”

In 2007 Petrobras, a Brazilian oil giant, stunned the industry with the announcement that it had found as much as 8 billion barrels of oil at its Tupifield, 240km off the coast of Rio de Janeiro... the largest offshore find ever made.

A 3-D seismic rendering of the Thunder Horse field in the Gulf of Mexico

http://www.energytribune.com/11720/whatever-happened-to-peak-oilhttp://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/jul/02/peak-oil-we-we-wrong

Peak Oil?

The Use and Abuse of Vegetational Concepts. This is the story of how our modern scientific idea of nature, the self-regulating ecosystem, is actually a machine fantasy. It has little to do with the real complexity of nature. It is based on cybernetic ideas that were projected on to nature in the 1950s by ambitious scientists. A static machine theory of order that sees humans, and everything else on the planet, as components – cogs – in a system.Curtis argues that technologists, engineers, biologists, politicians, and ecologists misinterpreted and perhaps misused the data from systems and ecological experiments to make a case for technology to bringing equilibrium and stability to society.http://topdocumentaryfilms.com/all-watched-over-by-machines-of-loving-grace/http://rutube.ru/tracks/4487452.html http://www.iftf.org/node/4106

The ”Stable Ecosystem” fallacy

http://rogerpielkejr.blogspot.se/2013/04/planetary-boundaries-as-millenarian.html

http://www.thegwpf.org/the-burst-pipe-dream-of-energy-saving/

The ”energy efficiency -> less energy use” fallacy

Let’s not forget our final bonus political-ideological assumptions in Question 6: ”We must change our lifestyles, now!” ����

http://www.newsmill.se/node/36645http://www.unt.se/debatt/ett-hav-av-logner-om-ostersjon-1136975.aspxhttp://www.newsmill.se/artikel/2011/05/23/sparas-stersj-n-h-ller-inte-p-att-kv-vas-till-d-dshttp://www.newsmill.se/artikel/2011/05/27/experter-ger-fel-r-d-om-tg-rder-f-r-stersj-nhttp://www.theclimatescam.se/2013/02/24/den-kritiske-miljojournalisten

Again, F-grade science answers to get A-grade marks ����

Real “evidence-based science” points this way to our future society ...

More of everything:• More energy use• More consumption• Cleaner environment • More people• More live in cities• More wilderness• Healthier people• Happier people• Longer lives

(Check the evidence ...... not the emotion :-) (Check the facts ...... not the fiction :-)

http://www.rd.com/best-of-america/cheer-up-17-reasons-its-a-great-time-to-be-alive/http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2012/4/2/optimistography-josh-159.htmlhttp://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/reader's-digest.aspx

Instead, Science test maker questions – are running with the herd &... ... stampeding students over the cliff of missing scientific evidence.

So, let us all pray to Thor, Odin and Freya ... to deliver us from the pseudo-science of the Swedish national science test makers ...

... because it is only their politics-of-fear and save-the-earth religion that are the basis of their science test questions: ”Gods, HELP US!”