urban development and the environmental challenges – systems connections uno svedin, professor...

Urban Development and the Environmental Challenges –

systems connections

Uno Svedin, Professor

28-29 June 2010, BrusselsDG Regio ”Cities” Conference

Steps of the presentation

Global challengesNatural cycles and

Social Processes

The Urban Ruralnexus

The Urban footprint

The Future - Green development and urban infrastructure/transport

The Future - power and decisionmaking in a culture of garding of the planet

THE THINKING*URBAN SPACE IS A VERY SPECIFIC FORM OF FRAME FOR HUMAN ACTIVITIES (The interdisciplinary charge in combination with specific governance)

* BOTH CORE FUNCTIONS AND THE RELATIONS TO THE “OUTSIDE” ARE IMPORTANT TO CONSIDER

(Systems)

*THE UNDERSTANDING OF THESE SYSTEMS CALLS FOR SPECIFIC EFFORTS

(The knowledge production system)

Ref: www.trivia.se

URBAN SYSTEMS AND THE GLOBAL CHALLENGES

• Environmental challenges (e.g. Climate change)

• Economic challenges

• Demographic and social challenges

• The international knowledge production

Global Mean Temperatures are RisingGlobal Mean Temperatures are Rising

100 0.0740.018

50 0.1280.026

Warmest 12 years:1998,2005,2003,2002,2004,200

6, 2001,1997,1995,1999,1990,200

0

Period Rate

Years /decade

Projections of future global

warming

Période de référence 1980-1999

© ipcc (2007) WGI, ch 10

~ 850 ppm

~ 700 ppm

~ 550 ppm

~ 370 ppm

C02 in 2100

C02 constant

THE IPCC ANALYSIS OF THE IPCC ANALYSIS OF NATURAL-HUMAN INFLUENCES NATURAL-HUMAN INFLUENCES

Vulnerability of Key SectorsVulnerability of Key SectorsG

loba

l war

min

g (

oC

)

A2A2

B1B1

B1 B1 520520

Ref: http://img32.imageshack.us

Ref: Ref: http://3.bp.blogspot.com

POINTS TO DISCUSS

THE NATURAL CYCLES IN RELATION TO

SOCIETAL PROCESSES

The Overall IPCC PictureThe Overall IPCC Picture

IPCC 4th assessment, 2007

Consequences of Ecosystem Change for Human Well-being

Buzz Holling

Holling´s chart

NATURAL RESOURCES

• ENERGY

• WATER• MARINE

• LAND USE: FOOD, FEED AND FIBRE

• BIODIVERSITY

• NON-RENEWABLES

THE BALANCE

+ USING LESS PER FUNCTION (efficiency gain)

+ BETTER SYSTEMS SOLUTIONS+ SLIMMING CONSUMPTION

(new norms of ”less” is better)IN SHORT:

– The substitution ladderTHE BIG QUESTION MARK:

The biosphere capacity to deliver functions

POINTS TO DISCUSS

THE URBAN RURAL CONNECTION

FOOD PRODUCTION

from Wolfgang CRAMER, PIK

POINTS TO DISCUSS

THE ENVIRONMENTAL ”SHADOW” OF THE USE

I.E.

THE FOOTPRINT

Svedin

POINTS TO DISCUSS

GREEN DEVELOPMENT AND URBAN

POSSIBILITIES

Ref: http://www3.mentoronline.se

Ref: http://www.naturskolan.lund.se

THE HAMMARBY SJÖSTAD (”Hammarby Sea City”)

www.Hammarbysjostad.se

• INTERFACES

- OLD INDUSTRIAL-NEW RESIDENTIAL FUNCTIONS

- SEA SCAPE – LANDSCAPE

- TRANSPORTSYSTEMS NETWORKS

- RESOURCES -WASTE FLOWS

- HUMANS AND NATURE

- HUMANS AND TECHNOLOGY

- RICH AND NOT SO RICH

- INTER GENERATIONS

Gotland

Ref: http://www.gotlandia.info , http://www.gotland.se

POINTS TO DISCUSS

URBAN STRUCTURE – INFRASTRUCTURE -

AND TRANSPORT SYSTEMS

Vassijaure Research Station: the most northerly situated research station world-wide in 1902-1910

Svedin

POINTS TO DISCUSS

THE ”GREEN” URBAN INNOVATION

STRUCTURE AND SYSTEMS DESIGN

POINTS TO DISCUSS

URBAN CORES AND THE SYMBOLIC EXPRESSION

OF POWER AND DECISIONMAKING

Ref: http://commons.wikimedia.se

Moscow

NORRKÖPING, Sweden

Photo: Uno Svedin

POINTS TO DISCUSS

THE SOCIAL AND CULTURAL DIMENSIONS

OF URBAN ”GREEN” DEVELOPMENT

RIO

POINTS TO DISCUSS

”GREEN” GOVERNANCE AT

- LOCAL

- REGIONAL AND

- GLOBAL LEVELS

WITH REGARD TO URBANISATION

Ref: Ingela Svedin

POLICYMAKERS IN INTENSE INTERPLAY WITH THE PUBLIC VIA MEDIA

Ref: http://www.gp.se

POINTS TO DISCUSS

TOWARDS GARDENING OF THE PLANET

ANTHROPOCEN AS THE PERIOD AHEAD

• Calling for a planetary management by humankind

• Matching knowledges and action

• Responsibility and ethics

• Implementation capacity and driveAND

THE URBAN DIMENSION

SURPRISING FUTURES

• What is it ?

• What is the character of it?

• Can reflections on surprises help us understand something new –

OR

• is it ”just” deja vue

POINTS TO REMEMBER• CHANGES IN THE KNOWLEDGE PRODUCTION SYSTEM –

(towards more of systems thinking)• RIGHT MIND SET

(connect the local and the global)• NEW GOVERNANCE STRUCTURES

(and capacities to match the grand challenges)

•ALERTNESS TO DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL CHALLENGES•DO NOT FORGET CULTURE AND NORMS

fractals

Ref: http://www.skane-online.se

Ref: http://merteknik.se

Earth

Earth

/