urban development and the environmental challenges – systems connections uno svedin, professor...
TRANSCRIPT
Urban Development and the Environmental Challenges –
systems connections
Uno Svedin, Professor
28-29 June 2010, BrusselsDG Regio ”Cities” Conference
Steps of the presentation
Global challengesNatural cycles and
Social Processes
The Urban Ruralnexus
The Urban footprint
The Future - Green development and urban infrastructure/transport
The Future - power and decisionmaking in a culture of garding of the planet
THE THINKING*URBAN SPACE IS A VERY SPECIFIC FORM OF FRAME FOR HUMAN ACTIVITIES (The interdisciplinary charge in combination with specific governance)
* BOTH CORE FUNCTIONS AND THE RELATIONS TO THE “OUTSIDE” ARE IMPORTANT TO CONSIDER
(Systems)
*THE UNDERSTANDING OF THESE SYSTEMS CALLS FOR SPECIFIC EFFORTS
(The knowledge production system)
Ref: www.trivia.se
URBAN SYSTEMS AND THE GLOBAL CHALLENGES
• Environmental challenges (e.g. Climate change)
• Economic challenges
• Demographic and social challenges
• The international knowledge production
Global Mean Temperatures are RisingGlobal Mean Temperatures are Rising
100 0.0740.018
50 0.1280.026
Warmest 12 years:1998,2005,2003,2002,2004,200
6, 2001,1997,1995,1999,1990,200
0
Period Rate
Years /decade
Projections of future global
warming
Période de référence 1980-1999
© ipcc (2007) WGI, ch 10
~ 850 ppm
~ 700 ppm
~ 550 ppm
~ 370 ppm
C02 in 2100
C02 constant
THE IPCC ANALYSIS OF THE IPCC ANALYSIS OF NATURAL-HUMAN INFLUENCES NATURAL-HUMAN INFLUENCES
Vulnerability of Key SectorsVulnerability of Key SectorsG
loba
l war
min
g (
oC
)
A2A2
B1B1
B1 B1 520520
Ref: http://img32.imageshack.us
Ref: Ref: http://3.bp.blogspot.com
POINTS TO DISCUSS
THE NATURAL CYCLES IN RELATION TO
SOCIETAL PROCESSES
The Overall IPCC PictureThe Overall IPCC Picture
IPCC 4th assessment, 2007
Consequences of Ecosystem Change for Human Well-being
Buzz Holling
Holling´s chart
NATURAL RESOURCES
• ENERGY
• WATER• MARINE
• LAND USE: FOOD, FEED AND FIBRE
• BIODIVERSITY
• NON-RENEWABLES
THE BALANCE
+ USING LESS PER FUNCTION (efficiency gain)
+ BETTER SYSTEMS SOLUTIONS+ SLIMMING CONSUMPTION
(new norms of ”less” is better)IN SHORT:
– The substitution ladderTHE BIG QUESTION MARK:
The biosphere capacity to deliver functions
POINTS TO DISCUSS
THE URBAN RURAL CONNECTION
FOOD PRODUCTION
from Wolfgang CRAMER, PIK
POINTS TO DISCUSS
THE ENVIRONMENTAL ”SHADOW” OF THE USE
I.E.
THE FOOTPRINT
Svedin
POINTS TO DISCUSS
GREEN DEVELOPMENT AND URBAN
POSSIBILITIES
Ref: http://www3.mentoronline.se
Ref: http://www.naturskolan.lund.se
THE HAMMARBY SJÖSTAD (”Hammarby Sea City”)
www.Hammarbysjostad.se
• INTERFACES
- OLD INDUSTRIAL-NEW RESIDENTIAL FUNCTIONS
- SEA SCAPE – LANDSCAPE
- TRANSPORTSYSTEMS NETWORKS
- RESOURCES -WASTE FLOWS
- HUMANS AND NATURE
- HUMANS AND TECHNOLOGY
- RICH AND NOT SO RICH
- INTER GENERATIONS
Gotland
Ref: http://www.gotlandia.info , http://www.gotland.se
POINTS TO DISCUSS
URBAN STRUCTURE – INFRASTRUCTURE -
AND TRANSPORT SYSTEMS
Vassijaure Research Station: the most northerly situated research station world-wide in 1902-1910
Svedin
POINTS TO DISCUSS
THE ”GREEN” URBAN INNOVATION
STRUCTURE AND SYSTEMS DESIGN
POINTS TO DISCUSS
URBAN CORES AND THE SYMBOLIC EXPRESSION
OF POWER AND DECISIONMAKING
Ref: http://commons.wikimedia.se
Moscow
NORRKÖPING, Sweden
Photo: Uno Svedin
POINTS TO DISCUSS
THE SOCIAL AND CULTURAL DIMENSIONS
OF URBAN ”GREEN” DEVELOPMENT
RIO
POINTS TO DISCUSS
”GREEN” GOVERNANCE AT
- LOCAL
- REGIONAL AND
- GLOBAL LEVELS
WITH REGARD TO URBANISATION
Ref: Ingela Svedin
POLICYMAKERS IN INTENSE INTERPLAY WITH THE PUBLIC VIA MEDIA
Ref: http://www.gp.se
POINTS TO DISCUSS
TOWARDS GARDENING OF THE PLANET
ANTHROPOCEN AS THE PERIOD AHEAD
• Calling for a planetary management by humankind
• Matching knowledges and action
• Responsibility and ethics
• Implementation capacity and driveAND
THE URBAN DIMENSION
SURPRISING FUTURES
• What is it ?
• What is the character of it?
• Can reflections on surprises help us understand something new –
OR
• is it ”just” deja vue
POINTS TO REMEMBER• CHANGES IN THE KNOWLEDGE PRODUCTION SYSTEM –
(towards more of systems thinking)• RIGHT MIND SET
(connect the local and the global)• NEW GOVERNANCE STRUCTURES
(and capacities to match the grand challenges)
•ALERTNESS TO DEMOGRAPHIC AND SOCIAL CHALLENGES•DO NOT FORGET CULTURE AND NORMS
fractals
Ref: http://www.skane-online.se
Earth
Earth
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