under the influence: agile markov . . . love
Post on 04-Jul-2015
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(chain) (PM)
(chain) (PM)
A Markov
Chain is . . .
A Markov
Chain is . . .
1
A Markov
Ah…
Love!
A Markov
Ah…
Love!
A Markov
Ah…
Love!
A Markov
Ah…
Love!
A Markov Chain takes
where something is at
today, at this moment,
and looks into the future
starting with today!
What will that future hold?
That is the power of a
Markov Chain, which will
attempt to tell us what
comes next!!
How a Markov Chain Works
Where are
How a Markov Chain Works
G
S
R
Where are
you
at today?
Growth Pattern
Same
Regressing
How a Markov Chain Works
G
S
R
Where will you
be Next Year?
?
?
?
How a Markov Chain Works
G S
R
Where will you
be Next Year?
G.50
.30
.20
How a Markov Chain Works
S
R
.30
.20
G
G.50
Where will you
be in 2 Years?
S
R
G.50
.30
.20
How a Markov Chain Works
G G.50
Year 2
S
R
G.50
.30
.20
Today Year 1
How a Markov Chain Works
G G.50
Year 2
S
R
G.50
.30
.20
Today Year 1
(.50)(.50) = 25%
(.50)(.30) = 15%
(.50)(.20) = 10%
Probability
What Else Can You Do With a Markov Chain?
What Else Can You Do With a Markov Chain?
What is
a Markov
Chain?
Could This Work
with Agile?
Agile is . . .
Agile is . . .
Agile is . . .A way of doing a project,
“that is completed in small
sections called Sprints.
Each Sprint is reviewed and
critiqued by the project team
. . . each project iteration is
typically scheduled to be
completed within two
weeks.”
-Margaret Rouse, WhatIs.com
Oh, the Things I Must Do!!
}} }
Oh, the Things I Must Do!!
}} }
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Oh, the Things I Must Do!!
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Oh, the Things I Must Do!!
My Team
1 Sprint
55 55
5
11
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30 30
1
} 183 Points
55 55
5
11
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30 30
1
} 183 PointsIn 2 Weeks!
55 55
5
11
55
30 30
1
} 183 Points
Will my team
make it?
B
M
F
Beat The # Points
Meet The # Points
Fall Short
of # Points
B
M
F
Familiar?
Beat The # Points
Meet The # Points
Fall Short
of # Points
So, The Markov Chain Helps
Me!
So, The Markov Chain Helps
Me!
What will, probably, my team
accomplish over the course of
two (2) Sprints?
two (2) Sprints?
B
M
F
Beat The # Points
Meet The # Points
Fall Short of #
Points
Predict Where My Team Will
Be in Two Sprints (1 Month)
B B.50
Sprint 2
M
F
B.50
.30
.20
Today Sprint 1
(.50)(.50) = 25%
(.50)(.30) = 15%
(.50)(.20) = 10%
Probability
Ah…
Love!
Agile &
Markov!
by Jeffery Sparks
by Jeffery Sparks
CIM 130 | Prof. E. Nord
Interactive Media Concepts
Summer | 2014
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