tunis business school leadership talks 2013

LEADERSHIP TALKS 2013About International Growth: Paradoxes, Preconceptions &

Perspectives.

Presented by Mondher Khanfir

November 20th, 2013

WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THOSE MEN?

GROWTH

The world’s population has ballooned from 2.5 billion to nearly 7 billion people since 1950, as shown in the chart from the Economist.

To put that in better perspective, it took 250 million years to reach 2.5 billion people, but only 60 years to add another 4.5 million people.

GROWTH CONSEQUENCESThis dramatic population growth has led to unprecedented levels of global consumption and demand for the earth’s limited supply of natural resources.

The chart below from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) shows the sharp increase in global carbon emissions that has accompanied the dramatic population growth and economic development since 1950.

WHAT’S BEHIND INTERNATIONAL GROWTH?

HEAVY TRENDS AFFECTING THE GLOBAL ECONOMY

1. International trade is increasing faster than wealth production

2. The overall supply of goods and services has far exceeded the aggregate demand

3. Fragmentation of value chains and increase of South-South trades

4. The service sector of the economy is taking larger magnitude

5. The advent of the cognitive era, with a new perception of Time and ... the Living.

Overview on structural changes….

International trade is growing

faster than the wealth production

30% of goods and services produced in the world are exported today …..

Overview on structural changes….

The overall supply of goods and

services has far exceeded the

aggregate demand!

The acceleration of trade and South-South investment is one of the most significant recent developments in the global economy traits.

Since 2000, we are witnessing a significant increase in trade and investment flows between Africa and Asia.

Fragmentation of value chains

and increase of South-South

trades

Overview on structural changes….

La part des services dans le PIB dans les pays de l’OCDE

The service se

ctor of th

e economy is

taking larger magnitude

Overview on structural changes….

Overview on structural changes….

The advent of the cognitive era,

with a new perception of Time and

... the Living.

PARADOXE

Growth is not necessary helping humanity to get better life and well being

Does Man evolve because he changes? …Or does he change because he evolves?

Tools producer

Machines producer

Energy producer

Living materials producer

PRECONCEPTION

Scientific progress is infinite, ….. then growth is also infinite!

BACK TO NATURE LAW

Nothing can grow forever ...

There is an overall balance called Nature.

The production of wealth has an impact on ecosystems

Nothing is created, nothing is lost, everything is transformed.

WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THOSE MEN?

THANKS !