tourism & covid-19 impact assessment & measures in the mrs

Tourism & COVID-19 Impact Assessment & Measures in the MRS

14 September 2020

George DrakopoulosFounder & CEO

Aim of the project

Methodology

Understanding Tourism Economies

Previous crises & COVID-19

Impact assessment & Measures taken

Preparing the restart

Presentation outline

to access the impact of COVID-19

on the tourism sector

at MRS Member-Countries

Aim of the project

Employment

Infra structure

GDPPrioritysector

Capacities

Understanding tourism economies

Int vs

Domestic

Employment

Infra structure

GDPPrioritysector

Int vs

Domestic

MultipliersCapacities

Understanding tourism economies

MultipliersCapacities

Understanding tourism economies

MultipliersCapacities

Understanding tourism economies

Indicator / Country EE DE SE

T&T % share of GDP (direct) 3,8 3,5 2,4

T&T % share of GDP (total) 11,7 9,1 8,2

Income multiplier 3,1 2,6 3,4

T&T % share of Employment (direct) 4,0 6,8 3,5

T&T % share of Employment (total) 11,3 12,5 9,8

Employment multiplier 2,8 1,8 2,8

Prioritization of T&T (max=7) 5,4 5,0 4,5

Tourist service infrastructure (max =7) 5,4 5,9 4,8

Rank (out 0f 140 on world level) 46 3 22

Understanding tourism economies

Indicator / Country IT CH FR

Int tourist arrivals vs Population 0,97 1,30 0,28

Available capacity (bed places over 1000 inhabitants)

37,2 32,39 10,59

% share of international guests 49 49 30

% share of domestic guests 51 51 70

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

AL

AT

BA

BG

CH CZ

DE

DK

EE FI

FR

GR

HR

HU IT LT

LV

MD

ME

MK PL

RO RS

SE SI SK UA

T&T % share of GDP

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

30,0

35,0

AL

AT

BA

BG

CH CZ

DE

DK

EE FI

FR

GR

HR

HU IT LT

LV

MD

ME

MK PL

RO RS

SE SI SK UA

T&T % share of GDP

T&T % share of Employment

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0AL

ATBA

BG

CH

CZ

DE

DK

EE

FI

FR

GRHR

HUITLT

LV

MD

ME

MK

PL

RO

RS

SE

SI

SKUA

Prioritization ofT&T

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0AL

ATBA

BG

CH

CZ

DE

DK

EE

FI

FR

GRHR

HUITLT

LV

MD

ME

MK

PL

RO

RS

SE

SI

SKUA

Prioritization ofT&T

Tourist serviceinfrastructure

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

LV EE LT DK FI SE DE PL

% share of domesticguests

% share ofinternational guests

Intraregional tourism flows

DE Inbound arrivals (%)

NL 12

CH 9

US 7

UK 7

AT 5

REST 60

DE Outbound departures (%)

AT 13

FR 11

IT 11

ES 11

NL 5

REST 49

Bookings recovery from Sep 11

Δ% Arrivals & Receipts during SARS

Δ% Arrivals, Global Economic Crisis

Capacity(ASK) & Revenue (RPK)

Depth of impact

Revenue (RPKs)

Flights traffic variation

Number of flights variation

0

1.000

2.000

3.000

4.000

5.000

01-Mar-2020 15-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020

Fli

gh

ts

EUSALP

AT

CH

DE

FR

IT

SI

COVID-19 “tourist season”

Total T&T GDP loss projection Europe 2020, US$

Total T&T job loss projections Europe 2020 (mi.)

COVID-19 response measures

Temporary Framework for State aid measures

Coronavirus Response Investment Initiative (CRII)

Temporary Support to mitigate Unemployment Risks in an Emergency (SURE)

European Globalisation Adjustment Fund

Source: DG GROW

35

COVID-19 response measures

Int tourist arrivals 2020

Restarting

Recommendations & measures

▪ Liquidity for businesses

▪ Support for jobs

Health & Travel Intelligence

Rebooting tourism

Survey

Level of readiness - Crisis Mgt - Cooperation

• Travel restrictions

• Travel Intelligence

• Health Intelligence

• Decline in demand

• Job losses

Survey

Recommendations & Measures

EU wide MRS specific

Completed questionnaires

MRS No. of Qs

EUSAIR 8

EUSALP 5

EUSBSR 5

EUSDR 12

Total 30

E-survey responses

32

5

12 2

15

wk 1 wk 2 wk 3 wk 4 wk 5 wk 6 wk 7

16.07.2020 07.09.2020

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Re

spo

nse

s

MRS

Towards the “new normal”

14 September 2020

www.tourism-generis.com

Tourism & COVID-19 Impact Assessment & Measures in the MRS