tourism & covid-19 impact assessment & measures in the mrs
TRANSCRIPT
Tourism & COVID-19 Impact Assessment & Measures in the MRS
14 September 2020
George DrakopoulosFounder & CEO
Aim of the project
Methodology
Understanding Tourism Economies
Previous crises & COVID-19
Impact assessment & Measures taken
Preparing the restart
Presentation outline
to access the impact of COVID-19
on the tourism sector
at MRS Member-Countries
Aim of the project
Employment
Infra structure
GDPPrioritysector
Capacities
Understanding tourism economies
Int vs
Domestic
Employment
Infra structure
GDPPrioritysector
Int vs
Domestic
MultipliersCapacities
Understanding tourism economies
MultipliersCapacities
Understanding tourism economies
MultipliersCapacities
Understanding tourism economies
Indicator / Country EE DE SE
T&T % share of GDP (direct) 3,8 3,5 2,4
T&T % share of GDP (total) 11,7 9,1 8,2
Income multiplier 3,1 2,6 3,4
T&T % share of Employment (direct) 4,0 6,8 3,5
T&T % share of Employment (total) 11,3 12,5 9,8
Employment multiplier 2,8 1,8 2,8
Prioritization of T&T (max=7) 5,4 5,0 4,5
Tourist service infrastructure (max =7) 5,4 5,9 4,8
Rank (out 0f 140 on world level) 46 3 22
Understanding tourism economies
Indicator / Country IT CH FR
Int tourist arrivals vs Population 0,97 1,30 0,28
Available capacity (bed places over 1000 inhabitants)
37,2 32,39 10,59
% share of international guests 49 49 30
% share of domestic guests 51 51 70
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
AL
AT
BA
BG
CH CZ
DE
DK
EE FI
FR
GR
HR
HU IT LT
LV
MD
ME
MK PL
RO RS
SE SI SK UA
T&T % share of GDP
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
AL
AT
BA
BG
CH CZ
DE
DK
EE FI
FR
GR
HR
HU IT LT
LV
MD
ME
MK PL
RO RS
SE SI SK UA
T&T % share of GDP
T&T % share of Employment
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0AL
ATBA
BG
CH
CZ
DE
DK
EE
FI
FR
GRHR
HUITLT
LV
MD
ME
MK
PL
RO
RS
SE
SI
SKUA
Prioritization ofT&T
0,0
1,0
2,0
3,0
4,0
5,0
6,0
7,0AL
ATBA
BG
CH
CZ
DE
DK
EE
FI
FR
GRHR
HUITLT
LV
MD
ME
MK
PL
RO
RS
SE
SI
SKUA
Prioritization ofT&T
Tourist serviceinfrastructure
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
LV EE LT DK FI SE DE PL
% share of domesticguests
% share ofinternational guests
Intraregional tourism flows
DE Inbound arrivals (%)
NL 12
CH 9
US 7
UK 7
AT 5
REST 60
DE Outbound departures (%)
AT 13
FR 11
IT 11
ES 11
NL 5
REST 49
Bookings recovery from Sep 11
Δ% Arrivals & Receipts during SARS
Δ% Arrivals, Global Economic Crisis
Capacity(ASK) & Revenue (RPK)
Depth of impact
Revenue (RPKs)
Flights traffic variation
Number of flights variation
0
1.000
2.000
3.000
4.000
5.000
01-Mar-2020 15-Jun-2020 30-Jun-2020
Fli
gh
ts
EUSALP
AT
CH
DE
FR
IT
SI
COVID-19 “tourist season”
Total T&T GDP loss projection Europe 2020, US$
Total T&T job loss projections Europe 2020 (mi.)
COVID-19 response measures
Temporary Framework for State aid measures
Coronavirus Response Investment Initiative (CRII)
Temporary Support to mitigate Unemployment Risks in an Emergency (SURE)
European Globalisation Adjustment Fund
Source: DG GROW
35
COVID-19 response measures
Int tourist arrivals 2020
Restarting
Recommendations & measures
▪ Liquidity for businesses
▪ Support for jobs
Health & Travel Intelligence
Rebooting tourism
Survey
Level of readiness - Crisis Mgt - Cooperation
• Travel restrictions
• Travel Intelligence
• Health Intelligence
• Decline in demand
• Job losses
Survey
Recommendations & Measures
EU wide MRS specific
Completed questionnaires
MRS No. of Qs
EUSAIR 8
EUSALP 5
EUSBSR 5
EUSDR 12
Total 30
E-survey responses
32
5
12 2
15
wk 1 wk 2 wk 3 wk 4 wk 5 wk 6 wk 7
16.07.2020 07.09.2020
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Re
spo
nse
s
MRS
Towards the “new normal”
14 September 2020
www.tourism-generis.com
Tourism & COVID-19 Impact Assessment & Measures in the MRS