top 10 strategic technology trends 2019 · gartner smart spaces maturity model openness...
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“We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next 2 years and under-estimate the change that will occur in the next 10.”Bill Gates
Technology is an inextricable Part of our World
These are the key trends you cannot afford to ignore!
Intelligent Digital Mesh
1 Autonomous Things
2 Augmented Analytics
3 AI-driven Development
4 Digital Twin
5 Empowered Edge
6 Immersive Experience
7 Blockchain
8 Smart Spaces
Privacy and Digital Ethics
Quantum Computing
9
10
Intelligent Digital Mesh
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1
Autonomous Things with varying Levels of…
Human-Assisted
Partial Automation
Conditional Automation
High Automation
Full Autonomy
Capability Coordination Intelligence
Isolated
Independent
Connected
Collaborative (Swarms)
Dumb and Static
Semi-smart and Dynamic
Individually Smart and Dynamic
Collectively Smart With Dynamic Hive Interaction
1
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2
The Future of Analytics is ‘Augmented Analytics’ 2
Semantic Layer-Based Platforms
IT led
Visual-Based DataDiscovery Platforms
Business led
AugmentedAnalytics
Machine led
Citizen
Data
Scientists
Automated Data Science to assist Business Users 2AI Data Preparation:
Algorithms detect schemas, profile, catalogue…
Determine data lineage, metadata and recommend enrichment…
AI Insight Generation:
Natural language query Algorithms find relevant patterns Features and models auto-selected Hypotheses and code auto-generated
AI Human Assistance:
Natural language narrated insights Auto-generated visualizations Results embedded in apps
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3
Applying AI to the Development Process 3
Technical Knowledge Expertise / Autonomy
Bu
sin
ess
Do
mai
n E
xper
tise
/ A
uto
no
my
Virtual QA Tester
2019+
Virtual Software Engineer
2020+Virtual Intern
2018+
Virtual Data Scientist
2018+
Virtual Architect
2023+
Virtual Business Analyst
2022+
Virtual Solution Architect &
Developer
2025+
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Gartner 2018
4
Digital Twin
24% of Enterprises
implementing IoT
projects are using
Digital Twins
Digital Twin: Digital Representations of Real World Objects
Asset DataOperational Data
Context Data
Operational DataLocal Model
Control
Enterprise Systems
CAD ModelsFEA ModelsPhysics Based ModelStatistical ModelsML/AI Models
Digital TwinModel
Metadata Monitor, Analytics Simulation
Operational History
Maintenance History
Aggregate Fleet Data
4
Beyond Digital Twins of Mechanical Things
Digital Twin of an Organization (DTO)
is a dynamic software model of any organization that relies on operational and/or other data to understand its state, respond to changes, improve operations and add value.
Models
Metadata
Situations
Event Data
Analytics
4
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5
Connecting the Edge with 5G 5
Starts in 2019 and matures in 5-6 Years
20GBit/s download10GBit/s upload 5ms latency
1Mio devices/km2
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6
By 2022
70% of enterprises will
be experimenting with
immersive technologies
for consumer and
enterprise use, and
25% will have deployedto production
Immersive Experience
Flipping the Interaction Model
Humans learn and adapt to Technology
6
SystemHuman
Technology learns and adapts to Humans
SystemHuman
Shifting the Complexity
How we perceive the Virtual World is changing
Training & Simulation Marketing Sales & Demos
Design Visualization Field Service Workspace
6
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6
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6
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7
What does Blockchain offer? 7
As Blockchain evolves to become viable for commercial implementations, it provides trust without a central authority and reduces friction across the business ecosystem
Gartner Hype Cycle for Blockchain Technologies 7
The Gartner 2019 CIO Survey indicates that 11% of organizations have already deployed Blockchain/distributed ledger technology, or plan to deploy it within 12 months.
In the same survey, 5% of top performers believe Blockchain will be a game changer for their organization.
Blockchain Value Propositions Examples
TradeLens Shipping e-Health Record Digital GoldPermissionlessMarketplaces
7
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8
Gartner Smart Spaces Maturity Model
Openness
Connectedness
Coordination
Intelligence
Scope
Closed
Not Connected
Not Coordinated
Not Intelligent
Team
IsolatedSystems
Open Internally
Connected
Integrated
Not intelligent
Department
ConnectedSystems
Open externally
Connected
Coordinated
Semi-Intelligent
Organization
CoordinatedSystems
Open
Connected
Coordinated
Intelligent
Ecosystem
IntelligentEnvironments
8
Smart Spaces – Smart Cities 8
60% of the world’s population is expectedto live in cities by 2050
Tech Republic
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9
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9
Compliance: Are we breaking any rules?
Risk: Is there (reputation) risk, or are we harming others?
Digital Ethics – discern ‘Right’ from ‘Wrong’ and create Value
Values: What do I believe myself is the right thing to do? “It may be possible/allowed, but do we want it?”
Difference: Is digital ethics part of our value proposition? Can we make a difference?
Hierarchy of Intent
9
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10
What is Quantum Computing?
Quantum Computing (QC) is a type of non-classical computing that is based on the quantum state of subatomic particles
QC takes advantage of the strange ability of subatomic particles to exist in more than one state at any time (“superposition”)
The state of the particles represents information,
expressed in single elements known as Qubits
10
The Power of Qbits
Quantum Bits (Qbits) Equivalent Classical Bits
3 8
10 1,024
20 1,048,576
50 (IBM) 1,125,899,906,842,624
A schematic layout of a quantum statein a Bloch sphere
72 (Google “Bristlecone”) 4,722,366,482,869,645,213,696
300 2.037035976 e90
10
Qubit Timeline Estimates
Note: Dates are speculative
Logi
cal Q
ub
its
Mill
ion
s o
f P
hysi
cal Q
ub
its
DecoherenceErrors
QC is a Long-term Trend to be monitored now – not monetized (yet)
10
The Power of Qbits
500 Qbit
Quantum Computer is more powerful than all
Computers of the World together
100 Qbit
Quantum Computeris more powerful than
any Supercomputer
10
Gartner predicts… Artificial Intelligence
By 2022, most people in mature economies will consume more false information than true information
By 2022, AI-driven creation of fake content, will outpace AI's ability to detect it, creating digital distrust
In 2019, 50% of organizations lack sufficient AI and data literacy skills to achieve business value
By 2020, AI becomes a positive net job motivator, creating2.3 million jobs while only eliminating 1.8 million jobs
By 2021, 80% of emerging technologies will have AI foundations
By 2022, 40% of customer-facing employees and government workers will consult daily an AI virtual support agent for decision or process support
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