top 10 strategic technology trends 2019 · gartner smart spaces maturity model openness...

Arnold C GutmannSenior Executive Partner

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends

2019 and beyond…

“We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next 2 years and under-estimate the change that will occur in the next 10.”Bill Gates

Technology is an inextricable Part of our World

These are the key trends you cannot afford to ignore!

Intelligent Digital Mesh

1 Autonomous Things

2 Augmented Analytics

3 AI-driven Development

4 Digital Twin

5 Empowered Edge

6 Immersive Experience

7 Blockchain

8 Smart Spaces

Privacy and Digital Ethics

Quantum Computing

9

10

Intelligent Digital Mesh

4 © 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.

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1

Autonomous Things with varying Levels of…

Human-Assisted

Partial Automation

Conditional Automation

High Automation

Full Autonomy

Capability Coordination Intelligence

Isolated

Independent

Connected

Collaborative (Swarms)

Dumb and Static

Semi-smart and Dynamic

Individually Smart and Dynamic

Collectively Smart With Dynamic Hive Interaction

1

Autonomous Things … Swarm Intelligence 1


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2

The Future of Analytics is ‘Augmented Analytics’ 2

Semantic Layer-Based Platforms

IT led

Visual-Based DataDiscovery Platforms

Business led

AugmentedAnalytics

Machine led

Citizen

Data

Scientists

Automated Data Science to assist Business Users 2AI Data Preparation:

Algorithms detect schemas, profile, catalogue…

Determine data lineage, metadata and recommend enrichment…

AI Insight Generation:

Natural language query Algorithms find relevant patterns Features and models auto-selected Hypotheses and code auto-generated

AI Human Assistance:

Natural language narrated insights Auto-generated visualizations Results embedded in apps

Finding Unknown Correlations for Crop Yield

!!

Source: SparkBeyond

2


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3

Exploiting AI in the Development Process

*(Specific Vendor Services Vary)

3

Applying AI to the Development Process 3

Technical Knowledge Expertise / Autonomy

Bu

sin

ess

Do

mai

n E

xper

tise

/ A

uto

no

my

Virtual QA Tester

2019+

Virtual Software Engineer

2020+Virtual Intern

2018+

Virtual Data Scientist

2018+

Virtual Architect

2023+

Virtual Business Analyst

2022+

Virtual Solution Architect &

Developer

2025+


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Gartner 2018

4

Digital Twin

24% of Enterprises

implementing IoT

projects are using

Digital Twins

Digital Twin: Digital Representations of Real World Objects

Asset DataOperational Data

Context Data

Operational DataLocal Model

Control

Enterprise Systems

CAD ModelsFEA ModelsPhysics Based ModelStatistical ModelsML/AI Models

Digital TwinModel

Metadata Monitor, Analytics Simulation

Operational History

Maintenance History

Aggregate Fleet Data

4

Digital Twins of ...

People

Processes

Places

Things

4

Beyond Digital Twins of Mechanical Things

Digital Twin of an Organization (DTO)

is a dynamic software model of any organization that relies on operational and/or other data to understand its state, respond to changes, improve operations and add value.

Models

Metadata

Situations

Event Data

Analytics

4


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Empowered Edge

Local

Remote

Isolated

5Enterprise Connected Cloud Connected Cloud Architected

Connecting the Edge with 5G 5

Starts in 2019 and matures in 5-6 Years

20GBit/s download10GBit/s upload 5ms latency

1Mio devices/km2


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6

By 2022

70% of enterprises will

be experimenting with

immersive technologies

for consumer and

enterprise use, and

25% will have deployedto production

Immersive Experience

Flipping the Interaction Model

Humans learn and adapt to Technology

6

SystemHuman

Technology learns and adapts to Humans

SystemHuman

Shifting the Complexity

How we perceive the Virtual World is changing

Training & Simulation Marketing Sales & Demos

Design Visualization Field Service Workspace

6


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People Will Demand Multi-experience 6


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7

What does Blockchain offer? 7

As Blockchain evolves to become viable for commercial implementations, it provides trust without a central authority and reduces friction across the business ecosystem

Gartner Hype Cycle for Blockchain Technologies 7

The Gartner 2019 CIO Survey indicates that 11% of organizations have already deployed Blockchain/distributed ledger technology, or plan to deploy it within 12 months.

In the same survey, 5% of top performers believe Blockchain will be a game changer for their organization.

Blockchain Value Propositions Examples

TradeLens Shipping e-Health Record Digital GoldPermissionlessMarketplaces

7


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8

Gartner Smart Spaces Maturity Model

Openness

Connectedness

Coordination

Intelligence

Scope

Closed

Not Connected

Not Coordinated

Not Intelligent

Team

IsolatedSystems

Open Internally

Connected

Integrated

Not intelligent

Department

ConnectedSystems

Open externally

Connected

Coordinated

Semi-Intelligent

Organization

CoordinatedSystems

Open

Connected

Coordinated

Intelligent

Ecosystem

IntelligentEnvironments

8

Smart Spaces – Smart Cities 8

60% of the world’s population is expectedto live in cities by 2050

Tech Republic


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Billions of Endpoints are collecting Information 9


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Compliance: Are we breaking any rules?

Risk: Is there (reputation) risk, or are we harming others?

Digital Ethics – discern ‘Right’ from ‘Wrong’ and create Value

Values: What do I believe myself is the right thing to do? “It may be possible/allowed, but do we want it?”

Difference: Is digital ethics part of our value proposition? Can we make a difference?

Hierarchy of Intent

9


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What is Quantum Computing?

Quantum Computing (QC) is a type of non-classical computing that is based on the quantum state of subatomic particles

QC takes advantage of the strange ability of subatomic particles to exist in more than one state at any time (“superposition”)

The state of the particles represents information,

expressed in single elements known as Qubits

10

The Power of Qbits

Quantum Bits (Qbits) Equivalent Classical Bits

3 8

10 1,024

20 1,048,576

50 (IBM) 1,125,899,906,842,624

A schematic layout of a quantum statein a Bloch sphere

72 (Google “Bristlecone”) 4,722,366,482,869,645,213,696

300 2.037035976 e90

10

Quantum Computing – Key Use Cases

QCaaS -Quantum Computingas a Service

* in order of complexity

10

Qubit Timeline Estimates

Note: Dates are speculative

Logi

cal Q

ub

its

Mill

ion

s o

f P

hysi

cal Q

ub

its

DecoherenceErrors

QC is a Long-term Trend to be monitored now – not monetized (yet)

10

The Power of Qbits

500 Qbit

Quantum Computer is more powerful than all

Computers of the World together

100 Qbit

Quantum Computeris more powerful than

any Supercomputer

10

First commercial Quantum Computer: IBM Q System One

Dilbert on Quantum Computing

What is YOUR view?

We would like to know…

Gartner predicts… Artificial Intelligence

By 2022, most people in mature economies will consume more false information than true information

By 2022, AI-driven creation of fake content, will outpace AI's ability to detect it, creating digital distrust

In 2019, 50% of organizations lack sufficient AI and data literacy skills to achieve business value

By 2020, AI becomes a positive net job motivator, creating2.3 million jobs while only eliminating 1.8 million jobs

By 2021, 80% of emerging technologies will have AI foundations

By 2022, 40% of customer-facing employees and government workers will consult daily an AI virtual support agent for decision or process support

Arnold C GutmannSenior Executive Partner

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends

THANK YOU

Top 10 Strategic Predictions for 2019 and Beyond

top 10 strategic technology trends 2019 · gartner smart spaces maturity model openness...

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