the minister does not really care about econometrics benjamin.mitra-kahn@ipo.gov.uk

The minister does not really care

about econometrics

Benjamin.Mitra-Kahn@ipo.gov.uk

New trends in patent analysis

New trends in patent analysis

for

One good example, is worth a theories.

Stanley Fischer, ret. Deputy Director IMF

Intangible vs. Tangible Investment% of Mkt GVA

Intangible

Tangible

Summary of submission

Timing: Routine / urgent

Recommendation

New trends in patent analysis

For policy making

Average

Company Name

Business data

IP portfolio

Available

Why is there a drunk by the lights?

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Single PatentIntertwined Patents

Percentile of Patents

Cum

ulati

ve v

alue

of p

aten

ts

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Single patents: Top 0.8% represents 42% of total patent value.Top 3.5% represents 77%

Intertwined Patents:Top 0.8% represents 52% of total patent value.Top 6.1% represents 87.2%.

Patents are good for some

CIS ?

Stock market

Citations…

Courts CIS ?

SEC

PatstatStock market

Citations…Admin data

Patent

Patents

Ideas can be protected, but much of it is .... in unpatented R&D, business processes and skills

Source; Imperial College for IPO

Business Organisation

Workplace skills

Design

Software

R&D

Branding

Artistic Originals

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

Covered by IPRs, £bn Not covered by IPRs, £bn

And there is a link to innovationEU Innovation Scoreboard with Intangible-tangible ratio

Unite

d Ki

ngdo

m

Unite

d St

ates

Swed

en

Finl

and

Denm

ark

Fran

ce

Germ

any

Cana

da*

Japa

n*

Port

ugal

*

Aust

ria

Spai

n

Aust

ralia

Czec

h Re

publ

ic

Italy

Slov

ak R

epub

lic

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

1.64 1.60

1.23 1.20

0.89 0.89 0.86 0.840.73 0.71

0.65

0.46 0.44 0.400.30

0.23

to patents

& patents

to patents

The world is changing…

USA

EU15

Japan

Others

Asian Tigers

China

India

51%

16%

6%

27%

USA

EU15Japan

Others

Asian TigersChina

India 21%

51%

12%

16%

Year 2000

World GDP Distribution

The world is changing…

USA

EU15

Japan

Others

Asian Tigers

China

India

51%

16%

6%

27%

USA

EU15Japan

Others

Asian TigersChina

India 21%

51%

12%

16%

Year 2000 Year 2040forecast

World GDP Distribution

Thank you