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Tel: +44 (0) 121 55 000 44 Fax: +44 (0) 121 585 99 44Fountain House, Great Cornbow, Halesowen, B63 3BL, UK
www.paragonsimulation.com
CSIM3 – The Model Explained
Vinod BhatiaOperations Director
vinod.bhatia@paragonsimulation.com
Data Menu Results MenuTrade Data Menu
Regions Demand
CO2 Prices
Region Capacity Menu
Simulation Variables
Absolute Carbon Caps
Carbon Intensity Caps
Scenario Details
Energy Price Inflation
Results Menu forR-pCSIM-uPSL-cNoCommitments
Region Material Menu
Material CO2 Emissions
Alternative Fuel Carbon Ratings
Carbon Cap Policies
Import Road Transport Costs
Import Border Taxes
Sea Transport Costs
Export Road Transport Costs
Export Border Taxes
Import Trade Quotas
Export Trade Quotas
Trading Partnerships
Transport Fuel and Carbon
Border Carbon Adjustments
Free Allocations
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Introduction
This document is technical model overview of CSIM3 model version 3-6-0
Detailed information is provided in the associated Function Specification version 3-6-0
All data provided in this document is illustrative
All data provided in the associated model files are examples of the scenarios examined by WBCSD-CSI
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Overview
Technical Framework
The Data Manager
The Cement Production Cost
The Trading Position
Model Files Supplied
Scenarios Supplied
Model Quick Start
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Technical Framework
Data ManagerExcel
Results Manager Template
Excel
CSIM3 Model Engine
VBA
Results Manager Excel
All data used by the model is held in the Data Manager.
Change the data as needed.
When the Data Manager is opened, it installs the model engine and a
toolbar, which has a button for running the model
When the simulation has completed, the model takes the results and saves them in an Excel file, using the Scenario ID as the name of the file. It is important that the Scenario ID is a
unique for different data sets. The format of the results is defined by a Results Manager template.
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The Data Manager
Data Menu Results MenuTrade Data Menu
Regions Demand
CO2 Prices
Region Capacity Menu
Simulation Variables
Absolute Carbon Caps
Carbon Intensity Caps
Scenario Details
Energy Price Inflation
Results Menu forR-pCSIM-uPSL-cNoCommitments
Region Material Menu
Material CO2 Emissions
Alternative Fuel Carbon Ratings
Carbon Cap Policies
Import Road Transport Costs
Import Border Taxes
Sea Transport Costs
Export Road Transport Costs
Export Border Taxes
Import Trade Quotas
Export Trade Quotas
Trading Partnerships
Transport Fuel and Carbon
Border Carbon Adjustments
Free Allocations
Each one of the buttons takes you to a separate
area of the Data Manager
Yellow buttons contain data that is used by the model
Red buttons take you to another menu
Green buttons take you to other useful sheets
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Model Flow Diagram
This diagram shows the logical flow of information and the classification of the different data types.
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Regions
The first thing to do is to define the
Regions and some basic information
User-definable data when
yellow
Not used by model when grey
Up to 20 regions can
be set up – to date we have
used eight
NameInclude In Simulation
Importers Price
Differential (%) Profit Margin
Gross Margin (%)
Gross Margin ($/t)
Finance Period (y)
Investment Discount
RateCarbon Scheme
Europe Yes - Fixed Margin 33.0% 34.32 15 8.00% SanctionsJapan - Australia - New Zealand Yes - Fixed Margin 10.0% 26.71 15 8.00% SanctionsNorth America Yes - Fixed Margin 33.0% 38.41 15 8.00% SanctionsCIS Yes - Fixed Margin 10.0% 20.54 15 8.00% SanctionsChina Yes - Fixed Margin 25.0% 9.38 15 8.00% SanctionsAsia excluding China Yes - Fixed Margin 10.0% 35.46 15 8.00% SanctionsLatin America Yes - Fixed Margin 20.0% 108.17 15 8.00% SanctionsAfrica and Middle East Yes - Fixed Margin 10.0% 50.23 15 8.00% Sanctions
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Cement Demand
Demand (Mt)
Year
RegionPrice Increase (%)
Demand Reduction (%) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Europe - 1.0% 259 265 268 271 274 Japan - Australia - New Zealand - 1.0% 69 67 67 67 67 North America - 1.0% 136 137 139 140 141 CIS - - 79 88 91 94 97 China - - 1,075 1,218 1,278 1,342 1,409 Asia excluding China - - 373 401 421 442 464 Latin America - - 117 125 128 130 133 Africa and Middle East - - 231 252 261 269 279
Price Elasticity
Not changeable
by user when green
The model’s first task is to try and meet
cement demand from
domestic clinker
capacity
It does this by looking at each
Region’s clinker-making capacity which
is defined elsewhere
If there is insufficient
capacity, it can either build
new capacity or import cement
A decision to import is based on the economics of trade vs. domestic production
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Regional Capacity
There is a lot of capacity information,
so each Region has
it’s own page
Region Capacity Menu
Capacity for Europe
Capacity for North America
Capacity for China
Capacity for Latin America
Capacity for I
Capacity for K
Capacity for M
Capacity for O
Capacity for Q
Capacity for S
Capacity for Japan - Australia - New Zealand
Capacity for CIS
Capacity for Asia excluding China
Capacity for Africa and Middle East
Capacity for J
Capacity for L
Capacity for N
Capacity for P
Capacity for R
Capacity for T
To do this the model needs to how much it will cost to make clinker from its own
facilities
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Capacity – Kiln Types & Options
# Option Kiln TypeApply Abatement to Capacity Option(s) Abatement Type
Include In Simulation?
1 New Dry Yes2 Abatement All Existing Energy Efficiency Yes3 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No4 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No5 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No6 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No7 Abatement All All Blending No8 Abatement All All Blending No9 Abatement All All Blending No
10 Abatement All All Blending No11 Abatement Dry All Plant Refurbishment No12 Abatement Wet All Plant Refurbishment No13 Abatement Dry New CCS Yes14 Abatement Dry Existing CCS Yes15 Existing Wet Yes16 Existing Dry Yes17 Existing Shaft No
A lot of options can be specified
for each Region, and options can
be added and removed as
needed
Here we have specified that this Region has existing dry and wet kilns, and three abatement
options
Every Region always has the ability to add New Dry
capacity – so the user can’t de-select
The tables are quite large so
they have been split up in the presentation
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Capacity & Availability (in t clinker)
Remaining Life/Life
Expectancy
# Option Kiln TypeApply Abatement to Capacity Option(s) Abatement Type
Include In Simulation? y
Nominal (Mt/y)
Availability (%)
Existing Production
(Mt/y)
Yearly Capacity
Reduction1 New Dry Yes 60 1.00 85.0% 0.85 -2 Abatement All Existing Energy Efficiency Yes 0 - - 0.00 -3 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No 0 - - 0.00 -4 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No 0 - - 0.00 -5 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No 0 - - 0.00 -6 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No 0 - - 0.00 -7 Abatement All All Blending No 0 - - 0.00 -8 Abatement All All Blending No 0 - - 0.00 -9 Abatement All All Blending No 0 - - 0.00 -
10 Abatement All All Blending No 0 - - 0.00 -11 Abatement Dry All Plant Refurbishment No 0 - - 0.00 -12 Abatement Wet All Plant Refurbishment No 0 - - 0.00 -13 Abatement Dry New CCS Yes 0 - - 0.00 -14 Abatement Dry Existing CCS Yes 0 - - 0.00 -15 Existing Wet Yes 60 10.70 85.0% 9.10 -16 Existing Dry Yes 60 226.70 85.0% 192.70 -17 Existing Shaft No 60 - 85.0% 0.00 -
Kiln Capacity (Clinker)
We can specify the actual capacity, availability,
remaining life and whether there is planned retirement
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Capital Investment Investment
Fixed Production Costs/Fixed
Production Costs Change
Other Production Costs/Other
Production Costs Change
Option Kiln TypeApply Abatement to Capacity Option(s) Abatement Type
Include In Simulation? $/t $/t/y $/t/y $/t/y
New Dry Yes 250 29.21 8.82 8.27Abatement All Existing Energy Efficiency Yes 2.39 0.28 - -Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel No 0 0.00 - -Abatement All All Blending No 0 0.00 - -Abatement All All Blending No 0 0.00 - -Abatement All All Blending No 0 0.00 - -Abatement All All Blending No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Dry All Plant Refurbishment No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Wet All Plant Refurbishment No 0 0.00 - -Abatement Dry New CCS Yes 150 17.52 21.63 4.75Abatement Dry Existing CCS Yes 225 26.29 21.63 4.75
Existing Wet Yes 24 2.80 8.82 8.27Existing Dry Yes 24 2.80 8.82 8.27Existing Shaft No 24 2.80 5.00 5.00
CAPEX OPEX
Non-Energy & Material Costs
Here we can specify the investment costs and general production costs – note that materials
and fuel costs are done separately
Investment costs are based on a cost per tonne of clinker, annualised by discounting at a specific rate over
its economic lifetime. Interest Rate and Period is specified at Regional level.
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Electricity & Fuel
The Fuel requirement is entered for each optionFuel is expressed in two parts: GJ / t clinker; and % Mix. For Existing Kilns which have not been abated, this Mix
doesn’t change
Electricity Consumption
Rate
Fuel Consumption
Rate Coal Petroleum Coke Gas Heavy Fuel Oil Biomass Alternative Fuel
MWh/t(clinker) GJ/t(clinker) % % % % % % Fuel Check0.11 3.20 29.00 48.27 1.00 4.00 4.08 13.64 100.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 - - - 51.44 38.56 100.000.11 0.00 80.00 - - - 11.44 8.56 100.000.11 0.00 10.00 - - - - - 10.000.11 0.00 80.00 - - - - - 80.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 0.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 60.000.11 6.23 29.00 48.27 1.00 4.00 4.08 13.64 100.000.11 3.56 29.00 48.27 1.00 4.00 4.08 13.64 100.0020.00 21.00 100.00 - - - - - 100.00
Alternative FuelsConventional Fuels
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Raw Materials & Blending
Raw Materials is also expressed in two parts: t material / t clinker; and % Mix
Blended Materials are expressed as a % of Cement, excluding Gypsum – the Gypsum % is set elsewhere
Raw MaterialsAlternative Raw
MaterialBlending Materials
Raw Material Consumption
Rate Limestone(Not Including
Gypsum)
t/t(clinker) % %Raw Material
Check % (of Cement)1.14 100.00 - 100.00 21.24
10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 12.86 12.86 12.86 25.72 12.86 2.86 2.86 2.86 5.72 2.86 - - - 0.00 - - - - 0.00 -
10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 45.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 20.00 10.00 1.14 100.00 - 100.00 21.24 1.14 100.00 - 100.00 21.24
10.00 100.00 - 100.00 10.00
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Abatement - Penetration
Abatement options can be specified in a lot of detail.In this section on the Capacity sheets, you can define when an abatement starts, how fast it penetrates, and
what the maximum ‘share of parc’ is.
# Option Kiln TypeApply Abatement to Capacity Option(s) Abatement Type
Share applied in 2005
Share Of Parc
Year Becomes Available
Minimum Lifetime Remaining for Installation (y)
Year Changes
BeginInstant
Change?
Year Changes Take Off
Fast Period
(y)1 New Dry 1.00% 100.00% 2005 0 2007 Yes 2010 72 Abatement All Existing Energy Efficiency - 20.00% 2006 6 2006 No 2006 43 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel - 60.00% 2013 2 2013 No 2013 154 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel - 60.00% 2013 2 2013 No 2013 155 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 26 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 27 Abatement All All Blending - 100.00% 2013 2 2013 No 2013 158 Abatement All All Blending - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 29 Abatement All All Blending - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 2
10 Abatement All All Blending - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 211 Abatement Dry All Plant Refurbishment - 100.00% 2005 2 2006 No 2006 212 Abatement Wet All Plant Refurbishment - 100.00% 2005 0 2006 No 2006 213 Abatement Dry New CCS - 50.00% 2016 15 2016 No 2016 814 Abatement Dry Existing CCS - 50.00% 2016 15 2016 No 2016 815 Existing Wet - 100.00% 2005 0 2007 No 2010 716 Existing Dry - 100.00% 2005 0 2007 No 2010 717 Existing Shaft - 100.00% 2005 0 2007 No 2010 7
Abatement Diffusion Parameters
Once the data has been set up you can get the system to draw an S-Curve of the parameters that you have
entered for an option – this curve is for Energy Efficiency
Growth S-Curve for 0.0% changing to 20.0%
-
2.0
0 3.0
0
5.0
0
5.0
0
3.0
0
1.2
9
0.4
7
0.1
6
0.0
5
0.0
2
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
20
05
20
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20
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20
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20
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20
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20
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20
30
Year
%
Total Installed Penetration Changed Penetration
For Abatement options you can control what type of kiln it is applied to (Dry, Wet, Shaft,
All)
…and whether it can be applied to Existing, New or
All capacity
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Abatement - Impact
Fuel Consumption
Change
Electricity Consumption
ChangeCarbon Storage
Rate
# Option Kiln TypeApply Abatement to Capacity Option(s) Abatement Type % % %
1 New Dry - - -2 Abatement All Existing Energy Efficiency -18.00% - -3 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel - - -4 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel - - -5 Abatement Dry All Alternative Fuel - - -6 Abatement Wet All Alternative Fuel - - -7 Abatement All All Blending - - -8 Abatement All All Blending - - -9 Abatement All All Blending - - -
10 Abatement All All Blending - - -11 Abatement Dry All Plant Refurbishment - - -12 Abatement Wet All Plant Refurbishment - - -13 Abatement Dry New CCS 123.00% -100.00% 85.00%14 Abatement Dry Existing CCS 123.00% -100.00% 85.00%15 Existing Wet - - -16 Existing Dry - - -17 Existing Shaft - - -
Abatement Reductions
Finally, for each abatement option you can specify what it does to Fuel & Electricity Consumption, and for CCS
what the Carbon Storage Rate is
Fuel consumption goes down in this
case
Fuel consumption goes up in this case
…but electricity goes down
…and CO2 is stored rather than
emitted
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Regional MaterialsRegion Material Availabilities Menu Region Material Prices Menu
Materials For Europe
Materials For Japan - Australia - New Zealand
Materials For North America
Materials For CIS
Materials For China
Materials For Asia excluding China
Materials For Latin America
Materials For Africa and Middle East
Materials For I
Materials For J
Materials For K
Materials For L
Materials For M
Materials For N
Materials For O
Materials For P
Materials For Q
Materials For R
Materials For S
Materials For T
Material Prices For Europe
Material Prices For Japan - Australia - New Zealand
Material Prices For North America
Material Prices For CIS
Material Prices For China
Material Prices For Asia excluding China
Material Prices For Latin America
Material Prices For Africa and Middle East
Material Prices For I
Material Prices For J
Material Prices For K
Material Prices For L
Material Prices For M
Material Prices For N
Material Prices For O
Material Prices For P
Material Prices For Q
Material Prices For R
Material Prices For S
Material Prices For T
Each Region has it’s own
page for materials
availability and price
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Fuel & Materials Availability
Materials availability can change year-by-yearYou can set a material to “Unlimited Availability” by
entering -1
YearMaterial Category Sub-Category Units 2005 2006
Electricity Electricity Electricity MWh -1 -1Coal Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1
Petroleum Coke Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1Heavy Fuel Oil Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1
Gas Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1Bunker Fuel Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1
Diesel Fuel Conventional GJ -1 -1MSW Fuel Alternative GJ 4,224,156,166 4,235,660,335Tyres Fuel Alternative GJ 92,994,798 93,248,062
Solvents Fuel Alternative GJ 117,000,000 117,318,641Other AF Fuel Alternative GJ - -
Animal bone meal Fuel Biomass GJ 1,408,052,055 1,411,886,778Sewage sludge Fuel Biomass GJ 176,006,507 176,485,847Other biomass Fuel Biomass GJ 14,227,699 14,266,447
Limestone Raw Material Conventional t -1 -1Blast Furnace Slag Raw Material Alternative t - -
Gypsum Blending Material Conventional t -1 -1Fly Ash Blending Material Conventional t 54,657,114 54,474,923
Slag Blending Material Conventional t 16,424,334 17,104,632Limestone Fines Blending Material Conventional t 23,147,708 23,721,463Cement Kiln Dust Blending Material Conventional t - -
Silica Fumes Blending Material Conventional t - -
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Fuel & Materials Costs
Materials costs can change year-by-year
YearMaterial Category Sub-Category Unit 2005 2006
Electricity Electricity Electricity $/MWh 172.53 172.53Coal Fuel Conventional $/GJ 3.39 3.39
Petroleum Coke Fuel Conventional $/GJ 3.39 3.39Heavy Fuel Oil Fuel Conventional $/GJ 6.77 6.77
Gas Fuel Conventional $/GJ 7.89 7.89Bunker Fuel Fuel Conventional $/GJ 28.34 28.34
Diesel Fuel Conventional $/GJ 28.34 28.34MSW Fuel Alternative $/GJ 1.70 1.70Tyres Fuel Alternative $/GJ 1.70 1.70
Solvents Fuel Alternative $/GJ 1.70 1.70Other AF Fuel Alternative $/GJ 1.70 1.70
Animal bone meal Fuel Biomass $/GJ 1.70 1.70Sewage sludge Fuel Biomass $/GJ 1.70 1.70Other biomass Fuel Biomass $/GJ 1.70 1.70
Limestone Raw Material Conventional $/t 0.00 0.00Blast Furnace Slag Raw Material Alternative $/t 0.00 0.00
Gypsum Blending Material Conventional $/t 50.00 50.00Fly Ash Blending Material Conventional $/t 14.18 14.18
Slag Blending Material Conventional $/t 37.81 37.81Limestone Fines Blending Material Conventional $/t 37.81 37.81Cement Kiln Dust Blending Material Conventional $/t 37.81 37.81
Silica Fumes Blending Material Conventional $/t 37.81 37.81
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Fuel & Materials CO2 Emissions
For each Region, the CO2 emissions can be set up for each material
RegionEuropeJapan - Australia - New ZealandNorth AmericaCISChinaAsia excluding ChinaLatin AmericaAfrica and Middle East
Animal bone meal
Sewage sludge
Other biomass Limestone
Blast Furnace Slag
Biomass Fuel
Biomass Fuel
Biomass Fuel Raw Material Raw Material
kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/t kgCO2/t- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -- - - 525.00 -
Gypsum Fly Ash SlagLimestone
FinesCement Kiln
Dust Silica FumesBlended Material
Blended Material
Blended Material
Blended Material
Blended Material
Blended Material
kgCO2/t kgCO2/t kgCO2/t kgCO2/t kgCO2/t kgCO2/t- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -- - - - - -
Electricity CoalPetroleum
CokeHeavy Fuel
Oil Gas Bunker Fuel Diesel MSW Tyres Solvents Other AFConventional
FuelConventional
FuelConventional
FuelConventional
FuelConventional
FuelConventional
FuelConventional
FuelAlternative
FuelAlternative
FuelAlternative
FuelAlternative
FuelkgCO2/MWh kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ kgCO2/GJ
398.85 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 7.65 7.65 7.65 7.65496.91 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 7.70 7.70 7.70 7.70529.16 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 8.04 8.04 8.04 8.04838.48 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 7.88 7.88 7.88 7.88982.70 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 7.92 7.92 7.92 7.92731.08 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 7.92 7.92 7.92 7.92197.79 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 8.01 8.01 8.01 8.01669.16 96.00 92.80 77.30 56.10 77.30 74.00 8.18 8.18 8.18 8.18
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The model so far…
We have defined
All the capacity details for each Region
The Electricity, Fuel and Raw Materials requirements
The investment, fixed , and variable costs
The abatement options
The CO2 emissions from domestic production
We can therefore calculate
The costs of making cement from existing facilities
The costs of introducing new capacity
The costs and benefits of the abatement options
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The Cement Production Cost
CapacityRegion A
Demand
Incr
easi
ng
co
st
For each Region, the model works out how much existing clinker capacity it needs to use to meet the demand for cement. If there is insufficient
capacity, it will nominally “build” new capacity until the demand is met. Using the information on
costs, the Cement Production Cost (CPC) can be calculated for each facility
The facilities are stacked in increasing cost order
The most expensive facilities set the starting cement price for trading
For each Region, the model considers, one tranche at a time (e.g. 1Mt)
1. How much will it cost to make one extra tranche of cement?
2. How much will it save to reduce production by one tranche?
The model has now calculated the marginal cost of production / non-production, and this provides the information needed to consider
whether to make this tranche, or to buy it
Cement Price
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Potential Trade Quantity (t)
Every Region can trade with “A”. The black line represents the final trade line for importer “A”, trading with exporters “B”, “C”, and “D” for different tranches.
The Trading Position
Price $/t
A
D
C
B
Trade Quantity
Trade Price
Each import curve is unique for each region, and each export curve is unique for each trading relationship.
The import curve is the importers cement price plus gross margin; the export curve is the exporters cement price plus transport costs
When there is no more profit to be made by an exporter, trading ceases
An import curve (blue) and export curve (red) can be developed from the cost
information
0 trade
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The Trading Position
C Exports
Price
Trade Quantity
Trade Price
B Exports
D Exports
B Exports
Profit from A
The exporter decides who it will trade with based on maximising profit
Each time a trade occurs, the trading positions have to be re-evaluated
1 2 3Tranche
etc
A
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Traded Quantity (Q)
Price (P)
A
B
C
D
Traded Quantity (Q)
Price (P)
B
D
C
A
Traded Quantity (Q)
Price (P)
C
B
D
A
Traded Quantity (Q)
Price (P)
D
A
C
B
The Trade Position: World Trade
There are multiple trading curves – one for each Region
Each export curve (red) is specific to the trading partnership, because the costs are modified to take account of Land and Sea Transport costs which are specific to the trading partnership
Each import curve (blue) is specific to the region, as the costs and gross margin are specific
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What about the other data?
All the other data in the model is used to modify either: The Cement Production Cost, or The Trading Position
This effects World Trade Emissions
Profit
TradingPartnerships
Trade Quotas
CO2 Prices
Energy PriceInflation
TransportCosts
Border Taxes
Border CarbonAdjustments
Carbon CapPolicies
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Model Files Supplied
Model folder, e.g. “C:\CSIM3-6-0”
A Data Manager for each of five scenarios. There are named ERM-CSI_CSIM_xxx_3-6-0.xls, where xxx is a scenario descriptor. Typically, you should only have one file open at a time
A Model Engine file ERM-CSI_CSIM_ModelEngine_3-6-0.xla which cannot be edited
A Configuration file config.xml which should not be edited
Results Template sub-folder e.g. “C:\CSIM3-6-0\Results Template”
A Results Manager Template ERM-CSI_CSIM_ResultsTemplate_3-6-0.xls which should not be edited
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Scenarios Supplied
ERM-CSI_CSIM_DATA_NoCommitmentsBaseline_3-6-0.xls
ERM-CSI_CSIM_DATA_EUCapsOnly_3-6-0.xls
ERM-CSI_CSIM_DATA_Annex1Caps_3-6-0.xls
ERM-CSI_CSIM_DATA_SectoralApproach_3-6-0.xls
ERM-CSI_CSIM_DATA_GlobalCaps_3-6-0.xls
All these files are protected
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Quick Start
Open one of the Data Manager files supplied. This will attach the Model Engine and enable the CSIM3 toolbar
Change the data as required. Remember to change the name of the “Scenario ID” in the “Scenario Details” sheet – the Scenario ID is used as the name of the Results Manager file created
Save the Data Manager using a unique file name; you can follow the file naming approach suggested or develop your own
Run the model
Examine the results in the Results Manager file
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The CSIM3 Toolbar
Goto Main Data Menu
Returns the user to the Data Menu
Run Simulation Launch the simulation
Create S-Curve Displays S-Curve data parameter data as a graph
Goto Results Menu
Opens results file for current scenario (if available)
Run BatchRun a batch of scenarios (for use with Paragon
Information Manager, not supplied)
About Displays model version information
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