study overview, findings, survey results · more people + more jobs = more transit demand portland...

STUDY OVERVIEW, FINDINGS, SURVEY RESULTS

February 15, 2017

“…evaluate the long-term transportation strategies and investments needed to sustain the county’s economic health and quality of life in the coming decades”

2013 Legislative charge

Public

• Online open houses and community briefings

Advisory Committee

• Advised project team throughout the

study

Agency Coordination

• Reviewed approach and analysis

Public process shaped study

Our Past: Growth and transition

Grew faster than predicted

Much more ethnically diverse

Land use plans responded to changing community values and economic conditions

Implemented transportation funding strategies

Our Future: Urban form takes hold

Growth scenarios based on Local plans and 2040

Growth Concept Urban and Rural

Reserves Changing demographics

and technology

Two scenarios Current Trends Increased Trade and

Technology

More people + more jobs = more urban Population could increase 40%-55%

Growth targeted to urban centers and corridors

Employment could increase 100%-145% More daily trips into the county than out of the county;

and the share of daily trips within the county will increase

More people + more jobs = more trips Total trips increase up to

60%

Driving trips to increase by 50%

Walking and biking trips increase by nearly 100%

Transit trips increase by over 200%

More trips = more traffic delay and congestion

Congested regional access points

Truck hours of delay, especially on freeways,

increases over four-fold More cut-through traffic

Vehicle hours of delay (PM Peak) % increase compared to 2010

165%

365%

Longer travel times,

especially on freeways

A. Adopted Plans, Enhanced Transit and Demand Management

B. Builds upon A with an Enhanced Arterial Network

C. Builds upon A with New Major Roadway and Transit Capacity

Transportation Investment Packages

B C A Adopted Plans

Bicycle & Pedestrian

Transit

Arterials

Highways

Centers + corridors = fewer vehicle trips VMT per person trip continue

to decline

Improved street connectivity, parking management, and commuter programs

Increase non-auto use by 50% in centers

More roads = more VMT

Smart technology = better efficiency and safety

Increased efficiency with smart streets (signal and communications technology)

Improved safety, and reliability with smart cars (connected/ autonomous vehicles)

May increase VMT

More people + more jobs = more transit demand Portland transit trips more than double

Transit trips within county increase by nearly 300%

Transit demand increases an additional 20% with express

service and park & ride

80% of households within ¼ mile of transit

More than 80% of low-income households within ¼ mile

Improved arterials = better traffic distribution

Reduce traffic delay by 5%

Improve safety

Shift traffic out of

neighborhoods

Limited freight and travel time improvement

Improved arterial capacity, new connections and access management could:

New roads + highway capacity = reduced delay and improved travel time

Reduce traffic delay up to

15%

Reduce cut-through traffic in urban centers by up to 14%

Improve travel times between key regional centers

Northern Connector

North-South Limited Access Road

New road connections = reduced regional traffic on parallel routes

New Northern Connector: Reduces traffic on US 26,

including 60% of trucks Improves travel time to

PDX and I-5 Northbound Rural, community and

environmental impacts

Northern Connector

North-South Limited Access Road

New North-South Limited Access Road: Reduces traffic on TV Hwy

and rural roads Improves travel time

between Hillsboro and Clackamas County

Rural, community and environmental impacts

New road connections = reduced regional traffic on parallel routes

Managed highway lanes = improved travel times • Managed lanes for trucks, transit

and carpool could: Reduce delay for

trucks by over 40%

Increase carpooling

• Demand stills exceed capacity

Pricing = reduced congestion

Tolling can help better manage traffic flow

BUT May increase cut-through traffic

Road user charges (VMT charge) can reduce travel demand by as much as 15%

IF Implemented as a variable fee - by

time and location

Complete streets + trails = improved health and safety 200% increase in walking and biking

Almost 80% of the households will have access to a complete street (with sidewalks and bike lanes) or a trail Protected bike lanes, trails, and complete streets improve safety and access

* Estimated costs in 2016 dollars, subject to refinement

*

Bicycle & Pedestrian

Transit

Arterials

Highways

Relative costs Costs range from

$11 B to $26 B New revenue

needed

What does the public

think?

How did the County get input? ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • 5,319 People participated (Also,

42 participated in Spanish-language survey)

• BIG INCENTIVE!

RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • Telephone survey among 400

Washington County residents age 18 years and older

• Margin of error +-5%

Transportation priorities OVERALL • People support a multimodal system • Improving traffic flow is top objective ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • Ranked transit as top priority; closely followed by

new freeway lanes

RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • Ranked roads and highways as top priority; closely

followed by transit

Support for new funding sources

ONLINE OPEN HOUSE • 2 out of 3 support or strongly

support a gas tax, and over half support/strongly support paid parking.

RANDOM SAMPLE PHONE SURVEY • 3 out of 4 people would be

willing to pay $100 per year • 48% willing to pay $300/year

Other key findings 88% expect transportation will be a problem in the

future.

80% support exploring ways to use smart technologies to reduce the need for widening or building new roads

Over 70% said very important to reduce freeway congestion within and connecting to Washington County

60%-70% support new limited access N-S roadways Increased support if it reduces congestion Decreased support if it increases GHG, impacts farm

and forest

• Continued review of the findings • Collect input on next steps:

– Investments – Studies – Policies – Partnership

What’s next?

Questions

Study Contact Information

www.WCTransportationFutures.org

Department of Land Use and Transportation 503-846-4530

Thank you!