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Risk Management and the Risk Management and the UNECE Policy FrameworkUNECE Policy Framework

Michael P. Malloy, Ph.D.Michael P. Malloy, Ph.D.Distinguished Professor and ScholarDistinguished Professor and Scholar

University of the Pacific McGeorge School of LawUniversity of the Pacific McGeorge School of Law

19 October 201219 October 2012

FIABCI-USA UN Symposium

Raising the Standard of Real Estate Development around the World

Copyright Copyright © 2012 Michael P. Malloy .© 2012 Michael P. Malloy .

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors Maintaining safety and soundness in FS sectors

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors Maintaining safety and soundness in FS sectors Harmonization and efficiency across borders

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors Maintaining safety and soundness in FS sectors Harmonization and efficiency across borders

Traditional/standard approaches to risk supervision and management

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors Maintaining safety and soundness in FS sectors Harmonization and efficiency across borders

Traditional/standard approaches to risk supervision and management Examination

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Focus on risk management as a fundamental principle of financial services regulation

Objectives of FS regulation Supporting public confidence in the FS sectors Maintaining safety and soundness in FS sectors Harmonization and efficiency across borders

Traditional/standard approaches to risk supervision and management Examination Supervisory standards

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles Risk-weighted capital adequacy standards (Basel I and

its sequels)

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles Risk-weighted capital adequacy standards (Basel I and

its sequels) Stress testing

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Stress Testing

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles Risk-weighted capital adequacy standards (Basel I and

its sequels) Stress testing

Blind spots in traditional approaches

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles Risk-weighted capital adequacy standards (Basel I and

its sequels) Stress testing

Blind spots in traditional approaches Limitations of risk analysis and management

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk analysis and management principles Risk-weighted capital adequacy standards (Basel I and

its sequels) Stress testing

Blind spots in traditional approaches Limitations of risk analysis and management Complexity of U.S. regulatory structure

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework makes an important contribution to the twin objectives of FS regulation

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework makes an important contribution to the twin objectives of FS regulation Rigorous analytical foundation to the evaluation of an

extremely significant asset category

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework makes an important contribution to the twin objectives of FS regulation Rigorous analytical foundation to the evaluation of an

extremely significant asset category Framework Principles provide a conceptual structure

that other risk management approaches cannot match

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

UNECE Policy Framework Integrated national framework harmonized with regional and

international norms Efficient registration system Necessity of consistency with “rule of law,” including local practice Recognition of the role of real estate in economic development Clarity in financial and investment rules Access to credit, including mortgages and microfinance Transparency and credible valuation rules, particularly in advanced

financial products Credible appraisal criteria Recognition of the social policy dimension of real estate Necessity of professional development within the industry

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Complexity of U.S. Regulatory Structure

Tour d’horizon Tour d’horizon of U.S. Regulatory Structureof U.S. Regulatory Structure(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)

Federal Reserve Board (FRB) → SSFIs

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

State Regulators → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OCC → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, FDIC, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator FDIC, State OCC State OCC

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Origins of the Meltdown of

U.S. Financial Services Markets

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Identifying Key Regulatory and Supervisory

Problems The Death of Consumer Protection

Structural Problems in Regulation and

Supervision

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Identifying Key Regulatory and Supervisory

Problems The Death of Consumer Protection Structural Problems in Regulation and

Supervision

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Structural gaps in regulation make for ineffective oversight

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

U.S. Financial Regulatory System ― pre-DFAU.S. Financial Regulatory System ― pre-DFA(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Two-Tiered StructureTwo-Tiered Structure

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Formal Multiplicity of DepositoriesFormal Multiplicity of Depositories

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Multiplicity of Chartering AuthoritiesMultiplicity of Chartering Authorities

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________↑ ____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| State | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS Regulator RS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Two Deposit InsurersTwo Deposit Insurers

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Federal Regulators of Depository Institution SecuritiesFederal Regulators of Depository Institution Securities

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

______________________________________|

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OTS, → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, FDIC Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Federal Regulators of Securities ActivitiesFederal Regulators of Securities Activities

Federal Reserve Board (FRB)

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of thurrency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________| ___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OOTS → → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations f insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, FDIC tate Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator State OTS State OTS

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Origins of the Meltdown of

U.S. Financial Services Markets

Identifying Key Regulatory and Supervisory

Problems The Death of Consumer Protection Structural Problems in Regulation and

Supervision Failure of “Safety and Soundness” (“Prudential”)

Supervision

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders(Mortgagees)

InstitutionalInvestors

MortgageFinance

Companies,Banks and

Other Lenders

Credit RatingAgencies

InvestmentBanks

Home Buyers(Mortgagors)

SubprimeMortgage

Market

MortgageTo Lender

SubprimeLoans Lenders

to Home PackageOwner (“securitize”)

or Buyer SubprimeLoans

Proceeds of CDOSales Fund Collateralized

Increasing Debt Obligations

Loans (“CDOs”)Marketed

Failure of “safety and soundness” supervision by the federal banking regulators

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Home Buyers (Mortgagors)Appraisers

Anatomy of a Meltdown:Some Empirical Observations

on the Social Utility of Financial Services

and the Housing Market

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement•Slide into collapse

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement•Slide into collapse•Persisting bankruptcy

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement•Abrupt collapse

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

•Lags in market reaction•Counterintuitive price movement•Abrupt collapse•Swift return to operations (after JPMorgan Chase acquisition)

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

“Case Resolution Approach”

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

“Case Resolution Approach”

● Individualized

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

“Case Resolution Approach”

● Individualized

● Microeconomic

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

“Case Resolution Approach”

● Individualized

● Microeconomic

● Swift turnaround

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

“Centralized Approach”

● Programmatic

● Macroeconomic

● Prolonged

● Favors large, institutional interests

“Case Resolution Approach”

● Individualized

● Microeconomic

● Swift turnaround

● Emphasizes interests of depositors and borrowers

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Dodd-Frank Act (“DFA”) and the

current status of its implementation

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Essential structural problems persist

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

U.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFAU.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFA(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)

Federal Reserve Board (FRB) → SSFIs,

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

State Regulators → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OCC → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator FDIC, State OCC FDIC, State OCC

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

U.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFAU.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFA(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)

Federal Reserve Board (FRB) → SSFIs,

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

State Regulators → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OCC → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator FDIC, State OCC FDIC, State OCC

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

U.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFAU.S. Regulatory Structure post-DFA(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)(excluding Investment Firms and Securities Firms)

Federal Reserve Board (FRB) → SSFIs,

Secretary of the Treasury Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC)

State Regulators → Holding ← Department of Justice [DOJ]

State Regulators Companies

|

FRB → Depository ← SEC

Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Institutions DOJ

_____________________________________|___________________________________________

| | |

Commercial ← FDIC → Savings NCUA → Credit

Banks (insurer) Associations Unions

______|_____ _____________________|__________________ __|__

| | | | | |

State National Savings & Loan ← OCC → Savings State Federal

________|_____ ↑ ↑ Associations if insured Banks ↑ ↑

| | OCC FRB _____|_______ _____|______ State NCUA

FRS FRS | | | | Regulator

Member non-member State Federal State Federal

↑ ↑ | | | | | | | |

FRB, State Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock Mutual Stock

State Regulator ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑

Regulator FDIC, State OCC FDIC, State OCC

Regulator Regulator

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Mortgage Market Regulators – pre-DFA

FSOC

Post-Dodd-Frank

& CFTC

CFPB

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Mortgage Market Regulators – post-DFA

Essential structural problems persist DFA delayed its own effectiveness for at least

one year, and as much as two years, now further slowed by regulatory delays

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Essential structural problems persist DFA delayed its own effectiveness for at least

one year, and as much as two years, now further slowed by regulatory delays

Does not address operations of government-sponsored housing finance enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reform of the mortgage markets, or the foreclosure crisis

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

Selective approach to resolution of failures of “systemically significant,” nonbanking firms is untested, ad hoc, and prone to public choice dilemmas

Risk Management and the UNECE Policy Framework

NOW LET THESE

PEOPLE ASK

SOME

QUESTIONS !

AND LET THESE

PEOPLE ASK

SOME

QUESTIONS !

GOOD IDEA !

ROLL THE CREDITS !

Risk Management and the Risk Management and the UNECE Policy FrameworkUNECE Policy Framework

THANK YOU! ..

Risk Management and the Risk Management and the UNECE Policy FrameworkUNECE Policy Framework

malloympm@aol.com

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