pattern for progress presentation, july 2013, dr. sipple
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The Changing Demography of NYS: Tools and Implictions
John W. Sipple, PhDAssociate ProfessorNYS Center for Rural Schools (NYRuralSchools.org)Community and Regional Development InstituteCornell University
Pattern for Progress, July 31, 2013
My Goals
• Tease New Research• Impact of Schools on Community Vitality• Shared Services (Municipal & Schools)
• Demonstrate Tools to provide demographic overview of NYS – but really to build your capacity. Website 3.0 (NYRuralSchools.org)• More Interactive and Integrated
Central Questions/Themes
• Schools Communities?• Communities Schools?• How did Schools and Communities become
separate by design?• Information is better than guessing. • Short- vs. Long Term planning/decisions
Ability to Pay19
9319
9519
9719
9920
0120
0320
0520
0720
09$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
Median Income Wealth/Pupil
NYCBig 4Small CityHN RuralAve NeedLow Need
Ability to Levy Tax19
9319
9519
9719
9920
0120
0320
0520
0720
09$0
$200,000
$400,000
$600,000
$800,000
$1,000,000
$1,200,000
Median Property Wealth/Pupil
NYCBig 4Small CityHN RuralAve NeedLow Need
Lyson Hypothesis
• A school is vital to the survival of rural communities.
• Viable villages generally contain schools: dying and dead ones either lack them or do not have them for long.
• The capacity to maintain a school is a continuing indicator of a community's wellbeing.
• School district consolidation has deleterious effects on small rural communities.
Population 500 or less
Population 501 to 2,500
Population 2,500+ (urban)
2010 PlacesTotal: 1,189
73 66
272 245
2000 2010
exclude 32 outliers (based on village’s median house value)
705 846
Lyson Redux1990 2000 2010
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
Median House value (1990 $)
SM-SchoolSM-No SchoolLG-SchoolLG-No School
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Cornell University• Dept. of Development Sociology• Dept. of City and Regional Planning
New York Conference of Mayors
New York State Association of Towns
New York State Association of Counties
New York State Council of School Superintendents
American Planning Association, New York Chapter
PI’s: John W. Sipple, Mildred WarnerResearchers: George Homsy, David Kay
Shared Service Study Partners
To the Tools…
http://NYRuralSchools.org
http://pad.human.cornell.edu
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