not for public distribution democrats vs republicans u.s. elections november 6

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Democrats

VS

Republicans

U.S. ElectionsU.S. ElectionsNovember 6November 6

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Parties begin and changeParties begin and change

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Republicans and Democrats Republicans and Democrats

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Other PartiesOther Parties

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IndependentsIndependents

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Primaries & CaucusesPrimaries & Caucuses

•1st : New Hampshire, January1st : New Hampshire, January•January to JuneJanuary to June•38 states, Wash. DC : 38 states, Wash. DC : similar to a normal electionsimilar to a normal election

•1st : Iowa, January1st : Iowa, January•January to JuneJanuary to June•Citizens gather to decide Citizens gather to decide on candidateson candidates

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Primary Day in NH, 2008Primary Day in NH, 2008

PawlentyPawlentyRepublicansRepublicans

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Primary Candidates Primary Candidates

ObamaObama

CaineCaine SantorumSantorum

GingrichGingrich

BachmannBachmann

PerryPerry

HuntsmanHuntsman

RomneyRomney

DemocratsDemocrats

PaulPaul

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National Conventions National Conventions

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• Conventions are lively and fun

• Platforms are finalized

• VP selection is announced

Dem Convention 2008Dem Convention 2008

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Campaign fundingCampaign funding

Super PACs•Restore our Future•Priorities USA Action•Winning Our Future•Red, White and Blue Fund

Citizens United decision

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The Electoral CollegeThe Electoral College

270 out of 538 to win270 out of 538 to win

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The crucial swing statesThe crucial swing states

The electorates in motion

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• 538 electoral votes

• Different Scenarios

The odds today?The odds today?

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Changing electorateChanging electorate

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Hispanic and Asian AmericansHispanic and Asian Americans

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Demographics of eligible voters Demographics of eligible voters

2008 Election 2012 election2008 Election 2012 election

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Young votersYoung voters

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Many election factorsMany election factors

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• Where does Romney stand on the challenges of our time?

• How has Obama followed through on his campaign commitments?

• Differences?

Impact on US Foreign PolicyImpact on US Foreign Policy

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Romney’s Foreign PolicyRomney’s Foreign Policy

Maintain the strongest Maintain the strongest military in the worldmilitary in the world

I will bolster our I will bolster our alliancesalliances

I will promote open markets, representative I will promote open markets, representative government, and respect for human rights.government, and respect for human rights.

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Obama’s Foreign PolicyObama’s Foreign Policy

He signed and passed the START Treaty with RussiaHe signed and passed the START Treaty with RussiaHe has strengthened the US’s commitment to the He has strengthened the US’s commitment to the Transatlantic Partnership and its role in addressing global Transatlantic Partnership and its role in addressing global challengeschallenges

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Incumbent vs. Non-incumbents on Incumbent vs. Non-incumbents on foreign policyforeign policy

•The president has the weight ofThe president has the weight ofthe office on him; actually must make decisionsthe office on him; actually must make decisionsAnd is held more accountable for And is held more accountable for statements on foreign affairsstatements on foreign affairs

•Most non-incumbents are limited in foreign affairs Most non-incumbents are limited in foreign affairs experienceexperience•The non-incumbent can make more promisesThe non-incumbent can make more promises

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Swearing in CeremonySwearing in Ceremony

President George Washington President George Washington April 30, 1789April 30, 1789

President Barack ObamaPresident Barack ObamaJanuary 20, 2009 January 20, 2009

Next swearing in ceremony Next swearing in ceremony is January 21, 2013 is January 21, 2013