ireland's energy futures

Course MJ 2413 – Energy and Environment

Division of Energy Systems Analysis Department of Energy Technology

Winter Semester 2012/2013

ENERGY FUTURES IN IRELAND

Group Members:

Estrella Piechulek

Sahana Naganathan

Dharshana Siriwardhana

Caroline Saul

Andrea Ranzanici

1. Business as Usual

Transport and Residential the two most demanding sectors

1. Business as Usual

• 87.7% of the demand met by oil and natural gas (2010)• Most of the fossil fuels imported

Serious problem with ENERGY SECURITY

2. Demand Side Management

1. Peak Load Management

2. Efficiency Improvements

2. Demand Side Management

-10 % Energy Demand by 2040

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond

1. REFIT 2 and REFIT 3:Feed-in Tariff: Wind, Hydro, Landfill gas and Biomass

2. TRANSPORTATION: Electric cars: 10% by 2020Biofuel mix: 10% by 2020, 19% by 2040

3. EFFICIENCY MEASURESEfficiency: +20 % in 2020Public Sector: -33% consumption by 2020 (from ‘00 values)

4. OFFSHORE ENERGY (envision)1500 MW of ocean energy by 2020 4500 MW of offshore wind by 2030

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond

202020 + offshore Scenario in 2040: -25% compared to BAU

3. 20/20/20 and Beyond2020 2040

BAU

202020+offshore

4. GHG Mitigation

• Transport scenario not reducing GHGs since no RES defined• The lower values of GHG Emissions for the 202020+offshore

5. References

Statistics:– SEAI– EuroStat– C.S.O– S.E.I.

Projections:– SEAI– I.E.A.– Forfas– S.E.I.