enp board exam coaching session on planning and information management

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PLANNING & INFORMATION MANAGEMENT

ENVIRONMENTAL PLANNING BOARD EXAM COACHING SESSION #3

Presented by Jean Palma3 April 2016

OUTLINE

Recap of previous conceptsI.  Plan hierarchiesII.  CDP + CLUP overviewIII.  Data management and analysisIV.  Basic researchV.  Geographic information systems

PLANNING HIERARCHY

PREVAILING NATIONAL PLANS

http://caraga.neda.gov.ph/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/phil-development-plan-2011-20161.jpg

REGIONAL PLANS

http://www.neda.gov.ph/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/RegIX_RDP_2011-2016.pdfhttp://rdc2.gov.ph/neda/images/rpfp/rpfppp.jpghttp://nro8.neda.gov.ph/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/rdip.png

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

SPATIAL CONTEXT

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

SECTORALDEV’T

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

MEANS OF IMPLEMENTATION

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

SPATIAL CONTEXT=

4 POLICY AREAS for land use

POLICY AREAS

SPACE FOR LIVING

SPACE FOR MAKING A

LIVING

LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM

PROTECTED AREASNIPAS,  Non-­‐NIPAS,  protected  agricultural,  environmentally-­‐constrained,  heritage  sites  

SETTLEMENT AREASUrban,  rural,  indigenous  peoples’  

settlements  

INFRASTRUCTURE AREASTransport  network,  social  infrastructure,  economic  

infrastructure,  administrative  support  

PRODUCTION AREASAgricultural,  industrial,  

commercial,  tourism,  mining  Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

RO

AD

POLICY AREAS

SPACE FOR LIVING

SPACE FOR MAKING A

LIVING

LIFE SUPPORT SYSTEM

PROTECTED AREASNIPAS,  Non-­‐NIPAS,  protected  agricultural,  environmentally-­‐constrained,  heritage  sites  

SETTLEMENT AREASUrban,  rural,  indigenous  peoples’  

settlements  

INFRASTRUCTURE AREASTransport  network,  social  infrastructure,  economic  

infrastructure,  administrative  support  

PRODUCTION AREASAgricultural,  industrial,  

commercial,  tourism,  mining  Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

Built  Form  

Unbuilt  

Environm

ent  

RO

AD

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT

=5 DEVELOPMENT

SECTORS

DEVELOPMENT SECTORS

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

SOCIALECONOMIC

ENVIRONMENTAL

PHYSICAL

INSTITUTIONAL

CLUP CDP

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

SPATIAL SECTORAL

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

MEANS OF IMPLEMENTATION

= PPPAs

MEANS OF IMPLEMENTATION

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

1 Policy  2 Programs  3 Projects  4 Activities  

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

PLAN

PROGRAM 1 PROGRAM 4PROGRAM 3PROGRAM 2

PROJECT 1 PROJECT 2 PROJECT 3

ACTIVITY 1 ACTIVITY 4ACTIVITY 3ACTIVITY 2

TASK 1 TASK 5TASK 4TASK 3TASK 2

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

TOOL FOR PRIORIT-IZATION

TOOLS FOR PRIORITIZATION

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

Investment  Program  Budget  

Executive  Legislative  Agenda  

QUICK RECAP 1

What  are  the  four  policy  areas?  (Think  of  the  weights.)  

QUICK RECAP 1

What  are  the  5  development  sectors?  (Think  of  the  Jlower.)  

PLANNING PROCESSAn  overview  

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

LET’S GO LOCAL.

COMPREHENSIVE LAND USE PLAN

Settlement Policies Protection Land Policies

Production Land Policies

Infrastructure Policies

COMPREHENSIVE DEVELOPMENT PLAN

Social Economic Physical Environmental Institutional

Zoning Ordinance

ELA

AIP and Budget

LOCAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT PROGRAM

Non-capital “soft” projects

Capital “hard” projects

LEGISLATIVE SUPPORT MEASURES

Other planning laws, taxation and fiscal measures, incentives,

environmental laws

Improved public services, new or improved public facilities and infrastructure, increased public awareness and participation

Increased private sector investment in local economic and social development

Change in social and economic well-beingChange in quality of the environmentChange in local institutional capacities

LONG-TERM FRAMEWORK PLAN

MULTI-YEAR MULTI-SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN

IMPLEMENTATION INSTRUMENTS

OUTPUTS

OUTCOMES

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

CLUP PROCESS

HLURB CLUP Guidebook Volume 1

SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT ISSUES

AND CONCERNS

DETAILED SECTORAL STUDIES

SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT

OBJECTIVES AND STRATEGIES

SECTORAL PROGRAMS AND PROJECTS

PROJECT IDEAS OR PROJECT BRIEFS

LOCAL DEVELOPMENT INVESTMENT PROGRAM

PROGRAMS AND PROJECT

IMPLEMENTATION

NGA PROGRAMSECOLOGICAL PROFILE

LGU MANDATES AND THRUSTS

DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES AND

POLICIES

NEW LOCAL LEGISLATION

LOCAL LEGISLATIVE AGENDA

CLUP POLICIES

ZONING AND OTHER LEGISLATION

SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING PROCESS

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

VISION STATEMENT

VISION ELEMENT (by sector)

ELEMENT DESCRIPTORS

SUCCESS INDICATORS OF EACH DESCRIPTOR

CURRENT REALITY

VISION-REALITY GAP

SECTORAL GOALS

SECTORAL OBJECTIVES AND TARGETS

TIME OR RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS

SECTORAL STRATEGIES / POLICIES

PROPOSED NEW LEGISLATIONS

LEGISLATIVE AGENDA

CLUP POLICIES

SECTORAL PROGRAMS / PROJECTS

LDIP / AIP

EXECUTIVE-LEGISLATIVE AGENDA

SIMPLIFIED SECTORAL PLANNING PROCESS

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

ECOLOGICAL PROFILESTATISTICAL COMPENDIUM

DECISION ZONESPROBLEM-SOLUTION MATRIX

SIMPLIFIED PLANNING PROCESS (CLUP-CDP INTEGRATION)

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

Elaboration    of  ends  

SpeciCication    of  means  

VISION

PHYSICAL PLANNING GOALS

CLUP

ELEMENT DESCRIPTORS

SUCCESS INDICATORS

CURRENT REALITY

•  ECOLOGICAL PROFILE

•  STATISTICAL COMPENDIUM

•  THEMATIC MAPS

VISION-REALITY GAP

SECTORALGOALS

SECTORALOBJECTIVES /

TARGETS

CDP

SPATIALSTRATEGIES

LOCATION PRINCIPLES

Protection,  production,  settlement,  infrastructure  

DEVELOPMENTPolicies,  strategies,  programs,  projects,  

legislation  

What  it  takes  to  close  the  gap  

What  can  be  reasonably  done  in  

3  years  

IF YOU HAVE A PROJECT, WHAT DO YOU DO FIRST?

1  Get  data,  look  at  the  situation  2  Assess  the  situation  3  Envision  something  4  Narrow  down,  specify  targets  5  Strategize  6  Package  the  plan  7  Implement  8  Check  from  time  to  time  9  Back  to  step  1  

EVALUATION ASSESSMENT

PLANNING

IMPLEMENT-ATION

MONITORING

EVALUATION ASSESSMENT

PLANNING

IMPLEMENT-ATION

MONITORING

Assessment against targetsImprovement

Analysis Problem identification

Visioning Goals, objectives, targets StrategiesBudgeting, prioritization, financing

Policy Program Project Activity Task

Data gathering

EVALUATION ASSESSMENT

PLANNING

IMPLEMENT-ATION

MONITORING

EP

CLUPCDPThematic Plans

ZOELALDIPAIP

ECOLOGICAL PROFILE

Formerly  SEP  Situationer  and  database  of  the  planning  area  

“Snapshot  in  time”  Presented  by  sector  

Written  by  the  local  planning  ofJice  

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

DATA MANAGEMENTAND ANALYSIS

ECOLOGICAL PROFILE

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines; https://cdn2.iconfinder.com/data/icons/inverticons-fill-vol-2/32/money_finance_coins_economy_gold_cash_withdraw_expenses-512.png;; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/4223-200.png ; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/15214-200.png ; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/48890-200.png ; https://cdn3.iconfinder.com/data/icons/computers-programming/512/Infrastructure_B-512.png

Population  and  social  services  

Economic  structure,  local  specialization,  linked  industries  

Natural  resource  inventory,  environmental  assessment  

Inventory  of  infrastructure  and  support  facilities,  land  use  and  area  

Government  organization,  Jiscal  management,  and  legislation  

ECOLOGICAL PROFILE

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines; https://cdn2.iconfinder.com/data/icons/inverticons-fill-vol-2/32/money_finance_coins_economy_gold_cash_withdraw_expenses-512.png;; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/4223-200.png ; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/15214-200.png ; https://d30y9cdsu7xlg0.cloudfront.net/png/48890-200.png ; https://cdn3.iconfinder.com/data/icons/computers-programming/512/Infrastructure_B-512.png

POPULATION PROJECTION1.  ANNUAL AVERAGE GROWTH2.  COMPOUNDED GROWTH3.  COHORTS

LINKAGESLOCATION QUOTIENT

SOCIAL SECTOR

Demographic Socio-economicPopulation size Dependency ratio

Population pyramid Percent urban populationCrude birth / death rate Labor force participation rate

Age-specific fertility rate, total fertility rate, gross reproductive rate Unemployment rate

Life expectancy at birth Enrolment rate

Sex ratio Educational attainment of population

Number of households Average household size incomeAverage household size Poverty incidence

Index of income concentration

Rationalized Planning System of the Philippines

INDICATORS AND TOOLS DESCRIBING WELL-BEING AND POPULATION SIZE AND COMPOSITION

Age Groups AgeDependent 0-14, 65 and aboveLabor force 15-64School age 3-6, 7-12, 13-16 (old educational system)

6-11, 12-15, 16-17 (K-12)Female reproductive age 15-49

Rationalized Planning System of the PhilippinesDepartment of Education

AGE GROUPS

http://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/philippines-population-pyramid-2014.gif

POPULATION PYRAMID

http://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/philippines-population-pyramid-2014.gif; http://cdn.mysitemyway.com/etc-mysitemyway/icons/legacy-previews/icons/magic-marker-icons-people-things/115850-magic-marker-icon-people-things-speech.png

PLANNING ASSESSMENTS START WITH POPULATION PROJECTION

1st  Method:  AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH (AAG)  Increase  of  population  between  2  periods  of  time    Used  for  short  to  medium  term  projections  

Taguig  increased  13.3  thousand  people  per  year  from  1980  to  1990.  

PSA

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

1. Assign Time 1 and Time 2.

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

2. Get the respective population figures from the table.

Pt1  (population  of  1980)  =  134  Pt2  (population  of  1990)  =  267  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  Pt1    =  134  Pt2  =  267  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  Pt1    =  134  Pt2  =  267  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Pt2  –  Pt1  

t2  –  t1  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  Pt1    =  134  Pt2  =  267  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Pt2  –  Pt1  

t2  –  t1  

267  -­‐  134  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

1990  -­‐1980  -­‐    133  

10  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

t2  –  t1  

267  -­‐  134  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

1990  -­‐1980  -­‐    133  

10  

Taguig  increased  13.3  thousand  people  per  year  from  1980  to  1990.  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

By  how  many  people  per  year  did    NCR  increase  from  2000  to  2010?  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  2000  t2  =  2010  Pt1    =  9,932  Pt2  =  11,836  

SOLUTION

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  2000  t2  =  2010  Pt1    =  9,932  Pt2  =  11,836  

Pt2  –  Pt1  

t2  –  t1  

SOLUTION

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  2000  t2  =  2010  Pt1    =  9,932  Pt2  =  11,836  

Pt2  –  Pt1  

t2  –  t1  

11,836  –  9,932  

2010  -­‐  2000  -­‐    1,904  

10  

SOLUTION

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH METHOD

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

NCR  increased  190.4  thousand  people  per  year    

from  2000  to  2010.  

SOLUTION

http://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/philippines-population-pyramid-2014.gif; http://cdn.mysitemyway.com/etc-mysitemyway/icons/legacy-previews/icons/magic-marker-icons-people-things/115850-magic-marker-icon-people-things-speech.png

POPULATION PROJECTION

1st  Method:  AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH (AAG) RATE    

•  Taguig’s  population  almost  doubled  from  1980  to  1990    

•  The  growth  rate  for  this  period  is  9.9%  increase  per  year  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

By  how  much  did  the  population  of  Taguig  change  from  1980  to  1990?  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE

Pt2  –  Pt1  

t2  –  t1  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

%Δ  1980-­‐1990:   (  P90  –  P80   )  P80  (100)    =    99%  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

By  how  much  per  year  did  the  population  of  Taguig  change  from  1980  –  1990?      

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE

Pt2  –  Pt1  t2  –  t1  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

AAGR80,90    :  (  P90  –  P80   )  P80  1990  -­‐  1980  

(100)  =  9.9%  every  year  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

By  how  much  per  year  did  the  population  of  Taguig  change  from  2000  to  2010?  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

By  how  much  per  year  did  the  population  of  Taguig  change  from  2000  to  2010?  

AVERAGE ANNUAL GROWTH RATE

Pt2  –  Pt1  t2  –  t1  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

AAGR00,10    :  (  P10  –  P00   )  P00  2010  -­‐  2000  

(100)  =  3.8%  every  year  

SOLUTION

http://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/philippines-population-pyramid-2014.gif; http://cdn.mysitemyway.com/etc-mysitemyway/icons/legacy-previews/icons/magic-marker-icons-people-things/115850-magic-marker-icon-people-things-speech.png

POPULATION PROJECTION

2nd    Method:  COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE    

The  population  of  Taguig  in  2020  will  be  1.2  million.    

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

What  will  be  the  population  of  Taguig  in  2020?  

COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE

Pt2  –  Pt1  

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

Pt2  =  Pt1  (1+r)  (t2  –  t1)    

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

But  Jirst,  let’s    compute  for  r.    

 r  is  the  rate  of  

population  growth.  It  can  be  derived  from  any  two  population  years  with  available  

data.  

COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  Pt1    =  134  Pt2  =  267  

r  =    Pt2  Pt1  (   )  

1  (t2  –  t1)  

-­‐1  

SOLUTION

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  1980  t2  =  1990  Pt1    =  134  Pt2  =  267  

r  =    Pt2  Pt1  (   )  

1  (t2  –  t1)  

-­‐1   r80,90  =    267  134  (   )  

1  (10)  

-­‐1  

r80,90  =  0.07    

SOLUTION

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

Now  that  we  have  the  value  of  r,  let’s  plug  it  in  to  the  

compounded  growth  formula  and  assign  new  time  and  

population  values,  where  the  2020  population  is  missing.  

COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

t1  =  2010  t2  =  2020  Pt1    =  644  Pt2  =  ?  

PSA

Area 1970 1975 1980 1990 1995 2000 2010

Taguig 55 74 134 267 381 467 644

NCR 3,957 4,970 5,926 7,948 9,454 9,932 11,836

PHILS 36,684 42,070 48,098 60,703 68,616 76,507 92,338

COMPOUNDED GROWTH RATE

Population, Census Years 1970-2010 (in thousands)

r  =  0.07  t1  =  2010  t2  =  2020  Pt1    =  644  Pt2  =  ?  

(t2  –  t1)    Pt2  =  Pt1  (1+r)  

Pt2  =  644  (1+0.07)  2020-­‐2010  

P20  =  1,266.86  thousand  

SOLUTION

POPULATION PROJECTION

COHORTS: People experiencing the same thing at the same time

Age group

Population Philippines, 2010

Projected Births, 2020

2020 Population Projections

Projected Births, 2030

2030 Population Projections

Male   Female   Male   Female   Male   Female  

0-9 109 104 117 112

10-19 99 95 57 108 104

20-29 84 83 108 98 94

30-39 65 65 64 83 82

40-49 51 50 63 64

50-59 35 35 47 48

60+ 29 34 45 52

COHORT SURVIVAL (in 100 thousands)

POPULATION PROJECTION

COHORTS: People experiencing the same thing at the same time

Age group

Population Philippines, 2010

Projected Births, 2020

2020 Population Projections

Projected Births, 2030

2030 Population Projections

Male   Female   Male   Female   Male   Female  

0-9 109 104 117 112

10-19 99 95 57 108 104

20-29 84 83 108 98 94 ? ?

30-39 65 65 64 83 82

40-49 51 50 63 64

50-59 35 35 47 48

60+ 29 34 45 52

COHORT SURVIVAL (in 100 thousands)

THE LOCAL ECONOMY

INDUSTRIES

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Employment of larger reference area, industry x

Total employment of larger reference area, industry x

Primary

Secondary Tertiary

Quaternary

Quinary

THE LOCAL ECONOMY

LINKAGES  Connections  between  industries    May  be  forward,  backward,  supporting,  etc.    

LINKAGES

https://hazygreen.files.wordpress.com/2010/05/tamban1.jpg

LINKAGES

http://static.rappler.com/images/sardine-fishing-basilan-20130312.jpg http://www.pcaarrd.dost.gov.ph/home/ssentinel/images/stories/2014/img120214_01a.jpg http://www.dipolognon.com/111104MontanoProducts.JPG http://www.dipolognon.com/111104MontanoProducts.JPG

LINKAGES

http://previews.123rf.com/images/badboo/badboo0704/badboo070400030/889144-Blank-food-can-over-white-background-Stock-Photo.jpg http://charlottetown.kkpcanada.ca/Assets/Corporate/Images/marketing1.jpg http://luganofurniture.com/media/wysiwyg/shipping-stock2.gif http://farm7.static.flickr.com/6067/6108511422_7dc6be98bd_m.jpg http://dipologcity.com/1st%20Sardines&Mango%20Festival3.JPG http://img12.deviantart.net/2058/i/2005/099/7/8/down_at_the_sari_sari_shop_by_misstiza.jpg http://www.alphagraphics.com/images/1600/filestorage/4023/marketing.jpg http://thumbs4.ebaystatic.com/d/l225/m/m70ocWOvGQHHU13betzGHDw.jpg http://www.lakwatsero.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/Zamboanga.jpg

THE LOCAL ECONOMY

LOCATION QUOTIENT  Specialization  of  an  area  with  regard  to  a  larger  reference  area    Measured  in  terms  of  employment    Can  be  expressed  in  %  or  proportion    If  greater  than  1,  the  specialization  has  a  comparative  advantage      among  other  industries  

     

LOCATION QUOTIENT

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Employment of larger reference area, industry x

Total employment of larger reference area, industry x

Percent employment in smaller area

Percent employment in

larger area

LOCATION QUOTIENT

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Employment of larger reference area, industry x

Total employment of larger reference area, industry x

Region Total Primary Secondary TertiaryPhilippines 30,439 11,410 4,568 14,461NCR 4,002 52 902 3,048CAR 562 333 55 174Region I 1,622 734 194 694Region II 1,221 712 88 421

Does  Region  I  specialize  in  tertiary  industries?  

EMPLOYMENT (in thousands) by industry group, 2002

PSA

LOCATION QUOTIENT

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Region Total Primary Secondary TertiaryPhilippines 30,439 11,410 4,568 14,461NCR 4,002 52 902 3,048CAR 562 333 55 174Region I 1,622 734 194 694Region II 1,221 712 88 421

EMPLOYMENT (in thousands) by industry group, 2002

PSA

% employment, R1 tertiary

% employment, country tertiary

6941,622

14,46130,439

0.89 < 1

SOLUTION

LOCATION QUOTIENT

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Employment of larger reference area, industry x

Total employment of larger reference area, industry x

Region Total Primary Secondary TertiaryPhilippines 30,439 11,410 4,568 14,461NCR 4,002 52 902 3,048CAR 562 333 55 174Region I 1,622 734 194 694Region II 1,221 712 88 421

Does  NCR  specialize  in  tertiary  industries?  

EMPLOYMENT (in thousands) by industry group, 2002

PSA

LOCATION QUOTIENT

Employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Total employment of smaller reference area, industry x

Region Total Primary Secondary TertiaryPhilippines 30,439 11,410 4,568 14,461NCR 4,002 52 902 3,048CAR 562 333 55 174Region I 1,622 734 194 694Region II 1,221 712 88 421

EMPLOYMENT (in thousands) by industry group, 2002

PSA

% employment, NCR tertiary

% employment, country tertiary

3,0424,002

14,46130,439

1.62 > 1

SOLUTION

BASIC RESEARCH

QUESTIONNAIRES FOCUS GROUPS INTERVIEWS

CASE STUDY APPRAISAL EIA

CENTRAL TENDENCY

 

HYPOTHESIS

µ DISTRIBUTION

PARTICIPATORY MAPPING

SWOT ANALYSIS GIS

S  W  O  T  

GIS

GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS

What  goes  where  

https://www.gislounge.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/11/gis_layers.png

LOCATION DATA

LOCATION DATA

ATTRIBUTE DATA

LOCATION DATA

ATTRIBUTE DATA

GIS HISTORY

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1962Roger  Tomlinson,  the  “Father  of  GIS,”  pioneers  the  Jield.  His  work  is  recognized  as  the  ‘beginning  of  GIS.’  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1965 Dec 1Origin  of  the  “GIS”  term  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1966URISA  (Urban  and  Regional  Information  Systems  Association)  was  established.  The  Jirst  conference  was  held  in  1967  in  Garden  City,  New  York.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1969ESRI  (Environmental  Systems  Research  Institute)  was  established  by  Jack  and  Laura  Dangermond  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/https://suzanneodonovan.files.wordpress.com/2013/06/7_mcharg-staten-island.jpg

1969Design  with  Nature  by  Ian  McHarg  was  published,  advocating  for  responsible  landscape  planning.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/http://space.skyrocket.de/img_sat/landsat-1.jpg

1972, July 23The  Jirst  Landsat  satellite  was  launched.  This  began  the  monitoring  of  the  earth  through  remote  sensing.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1979MOSS  (Map  Overlay  and  Statistical  System),  the  earliest  open  source  GIS,  became  operational  in  1979.    It  was  developed  by  the  US  Department  of  Interior  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1982ARC/INFO  was  released  by  ESRI.  This  was  the  Jirst  commercial  software  of  GIS  that  was  released  publicly.    

1985Grass  GIS  was  released.    

1991ArcView  was  released.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

1999ArcGIS,  the  “overhaul”  of  GIS  software,  was  released  by  ESRI.      

2002QGIS  was  Jirst  released.  It  is  the  biggest  open  source  GIS  software  to  date.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

2004 AugustOpenStreetMap  was  founded  in  the  UK.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

2005 FebruaryGoogle  Maps  was  launched.    

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

2005 JuneGoogle  Earth  was  released.  

https://www.gislounge.com/gis-timeline/

2007 MayStreet  View  was  launched.  

littlemissurbanite.wordpress.com1  Mindsetting  and  preparatory  activities  2  Exam  overview  3  Application  4  Expectations  5  Planning  bibles  

+ lots and lots of TIPS. J

Thank  you  to  my  profs  for  the  knowledge    

ROSARIO “CHIT” JIMENEZJUN CASTRO

RACHEL RACELISJOEY REGUNAYCARMI LIWAG

CHUMMY CHAVES

And  to  my  study  buddies  for  greater  appreciation  and  the  big  #push  

RESOURCESRATIONALIZED PLANNING SYSTEMhttp://www.dilg.gov.ph/PDF_File/reports_resources/DILG-Reports-2011712-ea7ba5859e.pdf

RA 7160 (THE LOCAL GOVERNMENT CODE)http://www.lawphil.net/statutes/repacts/ra1991/ra_7160_1991.html

HLURB GUIDEBOOKShttp://hlurb.gov.ph/local-government-units/?tabgarb=tab3

PHILIPPINE DEVELOPMENT PLANhttp://www.neda.gov.ph/2013/10/21/philippine-development-plan-2011-2016/

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