creating abundance in the global innovation econ curtis carlson

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SRI International© 2012 SRI International

The way we work is our most important innovation

Creating Abundance in the Global Innovation Economy

Dr. Curtis R. Carlson President and CEOSRI International

November 1, 2012

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

SRI’s Innovation Model

World’s first virtual computer assistant

Computer speech recognitionMinimally invasive virtual surgery

$26B $7.5B

2

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Our Challenge

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

abundant freedomabundant

technologyabundant labor

abundant land abundant trade

abundant natural resources

abundant energy

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Our Economy is Stuck

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

1970 1990 2010 2030

500%

400

300

200

100

0

?

Drowning in Debt

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

#1 39%

wastecorruption

World’s Worst Business Taxes

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

USA #1 2008

USA #5 2011

Rapidly Declining Competitiveness

USA # 7 2012

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FOR

LEASE

California – Best to Worst

every week

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Not wanted

H-1B: America’s “Genius Card”

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

outcomes = 0

spending >2X

1970 1980 2000 20101990

Educational Results

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

It Gets Worse

8x more likely to go to jail

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

America

China

Students

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Poor Performance

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Year

s on

S&P

500

7060

50

4030

20

100

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 20202030

Companies Going Away– Faster

More Myspace Layoffs

Expected This Week

Oracle buys Sun Microsystems

Google buys Motorola mobile phone division for $12.5bn

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Brutal Corporate Reality"Every CEO will at least give lip service to the idea that the world is moving faster and that we need to do a better job at innovation. But if you go into an organization and ask people to describe their innovation system, you get blank looks. They have none."

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Worldwide Standards

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

most mediamost politiciansmost educators

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

they believe in scarcity…

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

fear

protectionismlooking inward – not outward

not adapting

pessimism

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

this is not a zero sum gamewe can thrive

we have the knowledge

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

I believe in abundance …

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… but we must innovate abundantly

( )

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We Have Been Here Before

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

nothing seems to be working; it’s time to pay attention again

we need a new way of working

but now based on the FUNDAMENTALS of INNOVATION

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Global Innovation

Economy

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

also = intense competition

rapid, exponential improvementunlimited opportunities

huge markets

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Exponential ImprovementIdeas and bits; not just atoms and muscle

10 -9

10 6

10 3

1.0

10 -3

10 -6

1900

Monkey

1920 198019601940 20202000

Multiprocessor Lizard

Worm

Human10 9

After Hans Morevac

Speed/CostMIPS for $10001997 dollars

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Unlimited Opportunities

Additive manufacturing Energy

Cloud, Internet, and mobile devices

Healthcare; regenerative medicine

Digital, on-line education

Social media

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Huge Untapped Markets

7.5%

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Innovation Fundamentals

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high-value innovation is our only path to

environmental

sustainability

securityprosperity

socialresponsibility

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

“Build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door.” Ralph Waldo Emerson

U.S. Patent Office issued > 6,000 mousetrap patents, however, only two have had real

success!

Classic Tech Push

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

creativity and imaginationinvention and IP

teamwork entrepreneurship

technical and business skills

these are all inputs

Innovation is Not Just…

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Definition of Innovation

Creation and delivery of new customer value in the marketplace with a

sustainable business modelfor the enterprise producing it

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

successful innovation is not: the result of luck or a lone genius

it is a discipline

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best teamsimportant global opportunities

complete ecosystem and supportive culturesupportive government policies

compelling, defensible product & business model

value creation best practices

Innovation Fundamentals

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MarketSuccess

SRI’s Five Disciplines of InnovationImportant Customer & Market NeedsProcess of Value Creation

Innovation Champions

Innovation Teams

Organizational Alignment

Disciplines are multiplicative

Top 10 Business

Book of the Year

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Time

B

Valu

e

start overC

new knowledg

e A

important need

Value Creation Is a Process

$ make a profit

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Value Propositions

ApproachNeed

Benefits/costsCompetition or alternatives

important customer

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N A B/$ C

Almost All Presentations

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Hard lesson: value creation can only be understood by doing it

Value Creation Forums: Intense Iteration

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Convenience

Perc

eptu

al q

ualit

y

HDTV

PDAsCD Walkman

Color TV

B&W TV

FM

AM

iPod

iPhone

iPad

Morita-san and Jobs Got It

shirt pocket radio

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Progression of Value

$11B

$560B

experiences

emotions

products

services

commodities

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IndustryGovernmentUniversities

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Not Small Companies – New Ones!

Established

- 1.2%New

+ 3%

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best teams?important global opportunities?

complete ecosystem and supportive culture?supportive government policies?

compelling, defensible product & business model?value creation best practices?

National Laboratory Report CardMajor role in national security; but how about

commercialization?

Failure increases dramatically as innovation activities move away from the fundamental’s of innovation

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Projects – Not ProgramsJust giving researchers money to do good is rarely

effective

Speech translation Computer personal assistant

GPS Internet

• DARPA mostly uses the Silicon Valley innovation model

• Paradigm shifting technologies• 240 employees• $3.2B budget/year• Other U.S. R&D organizations adding DARPA-like agencies

48

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University “Tech Transfer”Must bridge the entire R&D spectrum

Fundamental Science

Basic Research

Applied Research

Product Development Production

University R&D

Tech transfer

office

New companies

and licenses

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Value Creation CentersMust bridge the entire R&D spectrum

Fundamental Science

Basic Research

Applied Research

Product Development Production

University R&D

Value creation center

New companies

and licenses

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Girls Middle School

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Kindergarten to Grad School

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

we have an abundance of opportunities …

the best time ever …

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

we have the knowledge …

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

transform education

use innovation fundamentals

Play to Win …

recruit talent

incentivize new company formation

exceed world standards

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

Jobs

To Create High-Paying, Meaningful …

environmental sustainability

security

prosperity

social responsibility

SRI International© 2012 SRI International

thank you for your attention

discussion

Dr. Curtis R. Carlson curt.carlson@sri.com

650 859 2878

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