building a bridge to the future: efficiency enabled
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Building a Bridge to the Future:
Efficiency Enabled
Dr. Branko Terzic, P.E.
Regulatory Policy Leader, Energy & Resources, Deloitte Services LP
April 26, 2012
National Environmental Balancing Bureau
Global issues
• Increasing demand for energy
• Increasing global warming probability
• Increasing national security concerns
• Increasing prices under any scenario
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Primary Energy Consumption by Source and Sector, 2010 (quadrillion Btu)
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
National Petroleum Council
• Letter of President Bush of October 5, 2005, to NPC
– “What does the future hold for global oil and natural gas supply?”
– “What…oil and gas…supply and/or demand side strategies does
the council recommend…?”
• Answer of NPC in HARD TRUTHS: Facing the Hard Truths about
Energy” July 18, 2007
– Sorry, Mr. President, but “an understanding of all energy forms
necessary to provide meaningful advice on oil and gas.” Thus the
response can back about electricity production and fuels!
– First “moderate demand by increasing energy efficiency
– Then “Expand and diversify U.S. energy supply”
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Climate change consensus
• Let us agree with UK’s Stern Review
– Climate change can be considered as insurable risk
– Payment of annual insurance premium is acceptable
– Premium payment is in form of funding of research
and programs
– Select programs according to Terzic Classifications
Order of Risk and Reward
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Terzic classes of climate change action
• Class I: Practical, affordable solutions we
can implement today;
• Class II: Less economical solutions with
significant societal value that deserve
consideration; and
• Class III: Difficult but impactful solutions
without associated societal benefits.
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
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Manufacturing energy balance
Petroleum (Aviation, Diesel, Propane,
Gasoline, Fuel Oil, Bunker)
Natural Gas (Gas supply, Pipeline
transportation, Distribution
delivery, Bundled natural
gas service)
Coal
Renewable (Biomass, Solar, Wind)
Electricity (Supply, Distributed
delivery, Bundled electricity
service)
Electricity Stand-by
Generation
Co-Generation (Electricity, Process steam)
Manufacturing (Process equipment, Refrigerated
storage)
Buildings (Office, Warehouse)
Transportation (Airplanes, Trucks, Cars)
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
The wise energy way
• Evaluate needs carefully
• Determine acceptable levels of risk
• Benchmark against peers
• Consider demand and supply options
• Check assumptions
• Build in flexibility
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Efficient Building Systems Utility
Communications
Dynamic Systems Control
Data Management
Distribution Operations
Distributed Generation & Storage
Plug-In Hybrids
Smart End-Use Devices
Control Interface
Advanced Metering
Consumer Portal & Building EMS
Internet Renewables
PV
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Policy recommendations
• Enable energy efficiency
• Get the pricing right
• Remove barriers
• Educate policymakers, the media and
public
• Join the Climate Change/Energy
Conversion debate
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
About Deloitte
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each
of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte
Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP
and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.
Copyright © 2012 Deloitte Development LLC. All rights reserved.
Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited
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