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BIOENERGY IN BRAZILCONSUMPTION AND TRADE
Jose Roberto MoreiraBrazilian Reference Center on
Biomass/IEE/Univ. of Sao Paulo
2005 2030Planted area (Mha) 5.6 13.9Sugar cane production (Mt/yr) 431 1140
Production (Mt/yr)
Planted area
Cane production
Area (million ha)
•Significant growth in ethanol/bioelectricity •Country will continue to be an ethanol exporter
Biofuel Availability – 2007 View
Share of biofuels energyin road transport (2008)
Figure 28a: Ethanol production for different scenarios – 2008-2017
Sugar cane mills geographycal profile in Brazil
EVOLUTION OF AUTO AND LIGHT COMMERCIAL FLEETS IN BRAZIL (OTTO CYCLE)
Mill
ion
of u
nits
Figure 32: Total fuel demand for Otto-cycle light vehicles – 2008-2017
Figure 29 : Potential bioelectricity from sugar cane – Brazil 2008-2020
Law 11.097/2005: Determine minimum percent blend of biodiesel in diesel and monitors the introduction of the new fuel in the market
Allowed Compulsory CompulsoryReality Allowed 2008 = 3% 2009=4% 2010=5%
Figure 16 - Biodiesel Legislation and Reality
Figure 12: Monthly biodiesel production – Brazil 2005-2009
Figure 30: Forecasted biodiesel consumption – Brazil 2008-2017
Figure 31 : Vegetable oil availability – Brazil 2008-2017
•Surprising enough is the volume of investments in the oil sector•Such investments surpass electricity investments; very unusual at globe level
Brazil oil and gas historical reservesMillion boe
Includes only 3 areas
Future
Land
shallow water
deep water
Ultra deep water
Pre-salt
Oil Availability - 2011 View
•Nevertheless, reserves shown are too small•No reference to available total reserves and resources provided
1955
1959
1963
1967
1971
1975
1979
1983
1987
1991
1995
1999
2003
2007
2011
2015
2019
2023
2027
2031
2035
2039
2043
2047
2051
2055
2059
2063
2067
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Present oil reserves without pre-salt, Expected oil reserves with pre-salt, Oil consumption, and Ethanol oil displacement in High and Low Scenarios
Producing Fields (Million bbl) Peak= 768 Mbbl/Br Reserve=25 billion Oil Consumption BP+trend 1970/2009
Total EOR Pre-salt+Producing Fields Total OilProduction Mbbl
Ethanol Production 5 yrs avg. BEN (Million bbl/y) Low scenario Liquid Fuel+ Electricity Low Scenario
Ethanol Production BEN/Trend 2003/10 High Scenario Liquid Fuel+ Electricity High scenarioYear
Eth
ano
l E
lect
. O
il P
rod
uct
ion
an
d C
on
sum
pti
on
(m
illi
on
bb
l)
Dai
ly L
iqu
id F
uel
Pro
du
ctio
n a
nd
Co
nsu
mp
tio
n (
mil
lio
n b
bl)
Consumption
EUR=25 Billion
REAL DATA
TOTAL 65 Bil-lion
Ethanol+Elect.High Sce-nario
TOTAL 71 Bil-lion
ImportationProduction
Consumption
FORECAST
Total=25 Billion
REAL DATA
Ethanol Elect.. Low Scenario
BEST(BioEthanol for Sustainable Transport)
Venues: Rio de Janeiro, RJ; and São Paulo, SP
The City of Sao Paulo Receives the First Bus Fleet of Diesel Engine Busses Running on Ethanol May
25th, 2011
60 busses already sold10 busses in operation by May 27, 201150 busses in operation by June 30, 2011
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
2,0 3,5 5,0 7,0 8,0
Euro I
Euro II
Euro III
Emission Limits for diesel enginesN
Ox
(g/k
Wh)
MP (g/kWh)
Euro V Euro IV
Third engine generationSecond engine
generationSource:SEKAB
Figure 14 Crop specific LUC. Sources of emissions
Source: Kiel Institute for the World Economy, 2011
Figure 2: Total emission savings (%) using Monte Carlo simulation results (from Laborde 2011, p. 57) for LUC emission values and EU-RED values for WtW emissions
Sugar Cane Bagasse
Wood Wastes from Pulp & Paper Industry
RE costs are still higher than existing energy prices, but in various settings RE is already competitive.
Binary cycle plant
Domestic pellet heating system
Palm oil biodiesel
Small scale CHP (steam turbine)
Figure 18: Charcoal consumption by end-sectors – Brazil 1970-2008
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