advanced transit technologies (personal rapid transit shown)
Post on 01-Jan-2016
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Advanced Transit Technologies(Personal Rapid Transit shown)
Short Story
A citywide ATN (automated transit network) feeding the BART station would:
reduce CO2 emissions
improve public health and safety
produce a great 10-year ROI (200% - 400%).
Start with small pilot projects paid for by others (OBAG, FTA, foundations, PRT companies, residents).
Reduce CO2 emissions 84% in 38 years(required by AB 32, SB 375, Executive Order S-3-05)
Transportation Mode Share
Silver Bullet: cut SOV in half
Standford Research Park SOV rate of 89% Scenario: ATN from Caltrain station to 20
stations in the Research Park (20,000 employees, 100 buildings, area = 1+ mi2)
Include cell phone apps, smart car-pooling, car-share services, existing transit services
13 one-hour interviews and 62 surveys http://www.cities21.org/silver_bullet.htm
Citywide ATN would connect:
BART/LRT/bus stationGreat MallPost OfficeLibrary/Valley Health CenterTown Center/Senior Center/City HallMilpitas Sports ComplexHetch-Hetchy linear parkMPD/Public Worksvarious schools (MHS/Randall/Pomeroy, Rancho/Sinnott, new school)various shopping centers (Calaveras/Park Victoria, Calaveras/Serra, Milpitas/Dixon)various City parks (Augustine, Hidden Lake, Cardoza)
Cabs: 1-4 people, lightweight (1000 lbs.)
Operating ATN systems(Morgantown, Heathrow, Masdar, Sweden)
Benefits of a citywide ATNthat captures 10% of automobile VMT
Environmental- Reduce CO2 emissions (AB 32, SB 375)- Slow global warming (emergency situation!)
Public Health- cleaner air- reduce auto-related injuries and deaths- transportation equity for cyclists, the poor, and the aged
Economic (next 4 slides)
PRT System Costs: guideway + cabs
Economic Benefits (1 of 3)
A cost-conscious and effective government considers financial benefits (revenue and savings) that accrue to City coffers and to the Milpitas economy. The following assumes a citywide PRT system would capture 10% of trips.
$9M - eliminate the need for a bike/ped crossing of Montague Expressway (BART/Great Mall)
$9M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of Montague Expressway (BART/new school)
$5M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of the railroad tracks at Yosemite/Curtis
$5M - eliminate a bike/ped crossing of railroad tracks from Piper housing developments to the Great Mall
Economic Benefits (2 of 3)
$3M – delay for 10 years expansion of Calaveras crossing of the railroad tracks (5% of project cost)
$2M – delay for 10 years the Montague/Great Mall urban interchange (5% of project cost)
$12M - resident fuel savings of $2.4M/year for 5 years (roughly 10% of 300 gals./car/year x 20,000 cars x $4/gal.) OR$13M - (5 years x $0.55/mile x 12,000 miles/year x 20,000 cars x 2%)
$1M - 1% increase in property values due to improved transit generates 1% increased annual property tax revenues (for 5 years) (2010/2011 total Milpitas property tax revenue = $16.6M)
$1M – 10% reduction in street maintenance costs ($200K/year for 5 years) (137 miles of street)
$1M - increased tourism at PRT "attraction" ($200K/year for 5 years)
Economic Benefits (3 of 3)
$xM - reduce the amount of VTA Outreach service in the area (for 5 years)
$xM - reduce amount of structured parking required in Midtown and Transit Areas ($30,000/space x 100 = $3M)
$xM - rental for utility space (e.g. telecommunications) within guideways
$xM – value of public health/safety benefits
$xM – value of jobs created
up to $51M - reduce bus service in Milpitas for 5 years (3.8% of annual $270M VTA budget)
TOTAL = $48M - $99M City's 20% cost of $120M ATN = $24M
One Bay Area Grant (OBAG)
Two types of projects:
1) bicycle and pedestrian and
2) Transportation for Livable Communities.
All four proposed pilot projects qualify. The Yosemite/Curtis crossing and the BART/Great Mall circulator are PDA-qualified.
Apply for OBAG funding by February 2013.
Advantages to first U.S. city to build ATN
Regional and a national tourist attractionFame, acclaim, and extra sales tax dollars
Pay below 20% for ATNSecure funding from groups interested in our "pilot projects" (OBAG, FTA, foundations, PRT companies, residents) to reduce City's need to fund full 20% ante.
First in line for an extensionWith a demonstrated pilot project in place, Milpitas would be a leading contender for additional funding to extend the project(s).
PRT as horizontal elevator over RR tracks
PRT “ferry” over RR trackshttp://www.electric-bikes.com/prt/ferry.html
Rob's “ask”
Put four projects onto the RTPYosemite/Curtis crossing of RR tracks
Hetch-Hetchy gap closure at north city limit
I-880 crossing near 237 interchange
BART circulator
Encourage Rob to lobby for funding.
California Cities Initiative
Cities interested in forwarding ATN:San Jose, Fresno, Santa Cruz, Mt. View, and Milpitas
San Jose State University ATN project
Ed Porter
Santa Cruz City Council member 2000-2008
retired UCSC professor
10-year proponent of PRT
San Jose State University ATN project
Ed's “ask”
Summary
Advanced transit could reduce CO2 emissions, improve public health and safety, and produce a great ROI. Start with small pilot projects paid for by others.
Lack of action incurs risk of Climate Action Plan rejection by CARB, SANDAG-like lawsuit, financial costs to City and County of “business as usual”, and opportunity costs.
(Slides at http://www.electric-bikes.com/presentations)
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