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May 2019

July , 2019

DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS STATISTICSECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE CABINET OFFICE JAPANESE GOVERNMENT

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Composite Indexes

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Composite Indexes Leading Index

Coincident Index

Lagging Index

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Composite Indexes (no outlier replacement) Leading Index

Coincident Index

Lagging Index

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Components of Composite Indexes

Leading IndicatorsL1 L2 L3 L4 L5 L6 L7 L8 L9 L10 L11

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Coincident IndicatorsC1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7 C8 C9

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Lagging IndicatorsLg1 Lg2 Lg3 Lg4 Lg5 Lg6 Lg7 Lg8 Lg9

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Direction of Change in Components of Diffusion Indexes

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Lagging Index

Diffusion Indexes

Leading Index

Coincident Index

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Diffusion Indexes Leading Index

Coincident Index

Lagging Index

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Cumulated Diffusion Indexes

DI( DI)t ( DI)t 1 + (DIt )

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