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CONTINENTAL OUTDOOR MEDIA – ROMItrack
ALLSOME RICE – CONTROL / TEST STORE ANALYSIS
AGENDA
1 Business Question & Solution
2 Scope
4 Volume drivers
5 Results & Insights
6 Summary of findings
BUSINESS QUESTIONS
• How efficient was the Allsome Rice Billboard campaign in Motherwell? • Did product sales increase during and after the campaign, and why?
BUSINESS SOLUTION
The activity achieved a 10% net uplift
SCOPE
Target brand: • Allsome
Competitors: • Own brands • Tastic • Spekko • Sasko Campaign Test Period: • Start date: 01 October 2013 • Mid campaign date: 31 December
2013 • End date: 31 March 2014
Test Area: • Motherwell (EC)– 10km radius Control Area: • Tsakane (GP) – 10km radius Market Breakdowns: • Pick n Pay • Shoprite • Checkers
STORE LOCATIONS
CHAIN NAME STORE_TYPE RETAILER
Pick n Pay Picknpay Penford (Penford Centre, Uitenhague) Pick n Pay Super Uitenhage EC
Pick n Pay Picknpay Cleary Park + Liquor Pick n Pay Super Cleary Park EC
Pick n Pay Pnp Family New Brighton Port Elizabeth Pick n Pay Family New Brighton EC
Pick n Pay Picknpay Uitenhage Cbd ( Eastern Cape ) Pick And Pay PICKNPAY UITENHAGE CBD ( EASTERN CAPE )
Pick n Pay Uitenhage EC Pick n Pay Super Uitenhage EC
Shoprite Shoprite Motherwell Shoprite Motherwell EC
Shoprite Shoprite Despatch Shoprite Despatch EC
Shoprite Shoprite Bethelsdorp EC Shoprite Bethalsdorp EC
Shoprite Shoprite Uitenhage Shoprite Uitenhage EC
Shoprite Shoprite Zlyabuya Makwenkwe Street Kwadwesi E/Cape Shoprite Zlyabuya EC
Shoprite Uitenhage EC Checkers Uitenhage EC
Shoprite Shoprite New Brighton Plaza Shoprite SHP
Shoprite Shoprite Liquorshop Kwanobuhle Shoprite Shoprite LiquorShop Kwanobuhle
Shoprite Shoprite Liquorshop Ziyabuya Shoprite Shoprite LiquorShop Ziyabuya
Shoprite Shoprite Daku Rd Ibayi Cnr Arx&Marongo Shoprite SHOPRITE DAKU RD IBAYI CNR ARX&MARONGO
Shoprite Shoprite Kwanobuhle EC Shoprite Shoprite Kwanobuhle EC
Shoprite Shoprite Daku EC Shoprite Shoprite Daku EC
10KM RADIUS AROUND TEST & CONTROL AREA Motherwell – test area
11%
5% 1%
64%
6%
12%
GAUTENG
NWLMMP
FREE STATE/N CAPE
KWAZULU NATAL
EASTERN CAPE
WESTERN CAPE
ALLSOME RICE SALES BY REGION Majority of Allsome rice sales going through KZN. Test stores are in Eastern Cape while Control Stores are in Gauteng
Chart data - Latest 6 months of data NWLPMP = Northwest/Limpopo/Mpumalanga
AVERAGE PRICE BY REGION Allsome Rice 2kg having an average price of R16 across all regions
Table data - Latest 6 months of data
Allsome Tastic Spekko No Name Ritebrand Housebrand
Gauteng 15.9 26.0 23.9 17.3 17.3 18.1
NWLPMP 12.6 26.0 24.2 17.4 17.5 18.4
Free State 12.7 26.4 24.1 17.5 17.5 18.5
KZN 16.1 25.5 24.1 17.4 17.0 17.4
Eastern Cape 16.6 27.1 22.7 17.1 - -
Western Cape 16.0 26.5 24.1 17.3 17.5 18.3
NWLPMP = Northwest/Limpopo/Mpumalanga
CATEGORY VOLUME DRIVERS – TOTAL SA Total category growing YOY with all the main items in the market contributing positively to the sales growth. Allsome was launched in September 2013 and only contributing 5% among the top brands in Modern Trade
127
134
3.8
0.5 0.2 0.7 1.0
0.7
12MMDEC12'
Allsome Tastic Spekko No Name Ritebrand Sasko 12MMDEC13'
Sale
s V
alu
e (
mill
ion
s)
Total Rice – Modern Trade
5.5%
Total Rice* = Items included in SCOPE
5%
50% 23%
4% 13%
5% Allsome
Tastic
Spekko
No Name
Rite Brand
Sasko
Pie chart data – latest 6 months of data**
34
40 2.1
2.6
1.4 0.2 0.2 0.2
Pre Test(Jul - Sep
13')
Allsome Tastic Spekko No Name Ritebrand Sasko Test (Oct -Dec 13')
Sale
s V
alu
e (
mill
ion
s)
Total Rice – Modern Trade
CATEGORY VOLUME DRIVERS – TOTAL SA 19.6% increase in volume for total defined rice category. Mainly driven by Allsome, Tastic and Spekko
19.6%
Total Rice* = Items included in SCOPE
Pre Test Period
Test Period
DATA WATCH-OUTS
• Brand is new and lacks good distribution
• Stores have very sporadic sales, change a huge amount each week
• i.e. very few stores sell every week
• Has not settled into a regular “run rate”
• Rate of Sale is very low
• i.e. Some stores sell only 1-2 packs of Allsome per week
IMPACT OF OUTDOOR CAMPAIGN
From an ROI perspective, one of the most important, and predictable, factors for a brand is dollar sales. Consider the following hypothetical example:
SALES AD SPEND AD LIFT
SMALL BRAND $50,000 $5,000 10%
LARGE BRAND $200,000 $5,000 5%
AD-DRIVEN SALES INCREASE
MARGIN AD-DRIVEN PROFIT
SMALL BRAND $5,000 30% $1,500
LARGE BRAND $10,000 30% $3,000
AD-DRIVEN PROFIT/SPEND SHORT-TERM ROI
SMALL BRAND $1,500/$5,000 $0.30
LARGE BRAND $3,000/$5,000 $0.60
In this example, both brands spent the same amount on advertising, and even though we “stacked the deck” by
assigning the Small Brand a greater percentage sales lift (10% vs. 5%), the Large Brand realized a greater ROI on its
advertising investment. A large brand has the ability to leverage fixed costs of advertising across its existing business.
This example illustrates how ROI for a large brand can exceed that of a smaller brand, even when the percentage sales
lift generated is greater for the smaller brand.
SIZE OF BUSINESS IS A KEY INDICATOR OF ROI POTENTIAL
Prepared for SC Johnson
Nielsen Normative Marketing ROI by size of Brand
$0.43
$0.63
$0.81
LESS THAN $100MM
$100MM - $400MM
OVER $400MM
ANNUAL DOLLAR SALES OF BRAND
OU
TLIE
R
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
25
-Au
g-1
3
01
-Sep
-13
08
-Sep
-13
15
-Sep
-13
22
-Sep
-13
29
-Sep
-13
06
-Oct
-13
13
-Oct
-13
20
-Oct
-13
27
-Oct
-13
03
-No
v-1
3
10
-No
v-1
3
17
-No
v-1
3
24
-No
v-1
3
01
-Dec
-13
08
-Dec
-13
15
-Dec
-13
22
-Dec
-13
29
-Dec
-13
Control Stores Test Stores
STORE MATCHING – TOTAL ALLSOME Close match of test and control stores during pre-test period. Since Test starts, sales of test stores grow vs. control.
Pre-test period
Test period
Ave
rage
Sal
es V
alu
e p
er
sto
re
Promo Period Outlier
OU
TLIE
R
-1500
-1000
-500
0
500
1000
1500
25
-Au
g-1
3
01
-Sep
-13
08
-Sep
-13
15
-Sep
-13
22
-Sep
-13
29
-Sep
-13
06
-Oct
-13
13
-Oct
-13
20
-Oct
-13
27
-Oct
-13
03
-No
v-1
3
10
-No
v-1
3
17
-No
v-1
3
24
-No
v-1
3
01
-Dec
-13
08
-Dec
-13
15
-Dec
-13
22
-Dec
-13
29
-Dec
-13
Gap
TEST VS. CONTROL GAP – TOTAL ALLSOME Close match of test and control stores during pre-test period. Since Test starts, sales of test stores grow vs. control.
Pre-test period
Test period
Ave
rage
Sal
es V
alu
e p
er s
tore
Te
st v
s. C
on
tro
l
Promo Period Outlier
-45
201 245
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Pre Test With Advert Difference
TEST SALES MINUS CONTROL SALES During the pre-test period (before advert) the control stores we very similar to the test stores. When the advert starts, the test stores overtake the control stores **Please note, calculated excluding outlier weeks
R245 extra
sales per store / week
Understanding the impact of outdoor media on sales
Advertised Brand Name Allsome Rice
Manufacturer Willowton
Type of Advertising Billboard
Location of Advertising Motherwell, Eastern Cape – 10km radius
Store Selection Criteria Pick n Pay, Shoprite, Checkers in 10km radius
Date of Execution Start Oct 2013 End Dec 2013
Investment
(half for 3
months)
Sales Uplift Revenue
Generated
Return on Investment
(ROI)
(First 3 months)
R58,500 19% R73,590 R1.26
Please note Total Investment is R117k
Benchmark for Similar Execution R0.71
Source of Benchmark SA Outdoor Food
Above Expected Expected Below Expected
SUMMARY
• New Brand, Allsome has driven growth within the rice category
• Test vs. Control stores see a positive impact in Test Area (Motherwell, Eastern Cape)
• This is a large 19% uplift per store /week
• This equates to R245 per store/week additional sales
• Which yields an interim (based on 3 months) ROI of R1.26
• Allsome have to market their product aggressively to grow market share, particularly with Category Captaincy i.e. Tastic drives the category.