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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria Brett Davis & Emily Killin PIA Congress 2019 Victorian Planning Authority May 2019 Your partner in planning great places for a growing Victoria

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Page 1: Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional ...piacongress19.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/BDavis.pdf · Source: Victorian Auditor General Hospitals 2012-13 2013-14

Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria

Brett Davis & Emily Killin

PIA Congress 2019

Victorian Planning Authority

May 2019

Your partner in planning great places for a growing Victoria

Page 2: Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional ...piacongress19.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/BDavis.pdf · Source: Victorian Auditor General Hospitals 2012-13 2013-14

Victorian Government PrioritiesWho we are

Partnering with DELWP, DJPR and

a wide range of stakeholders,

including communities, councils and

industry, to set plans that enable

others to build future communities

Key role in delivering

Government’s urban growth

management agenda for

Melbourne and the regions

Reporting to the

Minister for Planning

via the VPA board

Land use planning and

infrastructure charging and

co-ordination for designated

areas in:

Melbourne’s Greenfields

established Melbourne

regional cities & peri-

urban towns

Deliver spatial planning for

urban growth

Undertake place-based

planning

Translate policy into place

Work in partnership

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Government context

Ensures strong

economic

performance by

growing industries

and regions

Our key Partner -

Leads cities and

regional growth

policy to deliver

positive outcomes

for everyone who

lives, works,

invests in and

visits Victoria

Your partner in

planning great

places for a

growing Victoria

Develop and

revitalise public

buildings and land

to create spaces

and homes that

help make Victoria

a great place to

live

Plans, builds and

operates an

integrated,

sustainable and

safe transport

system for

Australia’s fastest-

growing state

Department of

Environment,

Land, Water

and Planning

(DELWP)

Department of

Transport

(DOT)

Department of

Jobs, Precincts

and Regions

(DJPR)

Victorian

Planning

Authority

(VPA)

Development

Victoria

(DV)

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Our operating environment

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VPA project roles

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Streamlining for growth….

The Streamlining for Growth Program is a four year $24 million program that consists of the VPA providing grants and VPA staff assistance for councils in regional Victoria and Greater Melbourne.

The program runs over four years and is currently in its final year. For the years 2016-2018, Streamlining for Growth funded 77 projects in Regional Victoria to the value of $6.2million.

Regional focus to date has been to support the Regional Growth Plans and particularly the regional cities of Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo; within the peri-urban region generally (100-150km radius of Melbourne, including coastal areas); along the Loddon Campaspe, Goulburn Valley and Hume corridors.

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Streamlining for growth….

Program Activities

Planning Support:

Technical studies such as drainage, cultural heritage and traffic

Master planning

Precinct structure planning

Project staff resourcing support

Efficiencies and Streamlining:

Process efficiency and improvement programs

More effective use of functional layout plans in the approvals and certification process

Upskilling of staff, embedding knowledge and sharing our IP

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Our toolbox – how we plan for growth

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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria

What’s happened over the past15 years in the regions & beyond

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Source: VPA based on ABS Cat/. 3218.0Regional Victoria population growth 2007-2018: Regional city focus

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Key Regional Cities Peri-Urban and Coastal Other Regional LGAs

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• 8 Regional Growth Plans prepared between 2007 and 2010

• Broad direction for land use and development across Victoria, with a 30-year planning horizon in mind

• Detailed planning frameworks for key regional cities and centres

Regional Growth Plans

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Source: VPA based on ABS Census

Victoria’s population growth: Spatial growth divergence

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Source: ABS Cat. 3222.0 – Series B

Regional Population Growth - Dashboard

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Source: VIF 2016

Total Population and Housing Growth for Regional Victoria to 2051

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Source: ABS Cat. 3222.0 – Series BRegional Victoria population growth: Driven by migration

-10,000

-5,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

201

8

201

9

202

0

202

1

202

2

202

3

202

4

202

5

202

6

202

7

202

8

202

9

203

0

203

1

203

2

203

3

203

4

203

5

203

6

203

7

203

8

203

9

204

0

204

1

204

2

204

3

204

4

204

5

204

6

204

7

204

8

204

9

205

0

Regional Victoria - components of population change

Natural Increase Net overseas migration Net interstate migration

Net interstate & overseas migration is projected to be the key driver of regional growth

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SEIFA map

Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) 2016

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Source: Victorian Auditor General

Hospitals 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Average

Metropolitan average 1.05 1.35 1.51 2.95 0.82 1.54

Regional average 1.25 1.35 1.42 1.16 5.10 2.06

Rural average 1.46 1.21 1.03 0.63 0.81 1.03

Small rural average 0.76 1.00 1.57 0.78 0.66 0.95

Financial year average 1.09 1.32 1.48 2.33 1.74 1.59

Regional public hospitals: Health infrastructure replacement

Note: High Risk, Medium Risk, Low Risk

A ratio below 1.00 means that the hospital assets are being used faster than they are being replaced.

Infrastructure investment in Health and human services are feeling the strain in some regional areas.

The Victorian Auditor General reviewed hospitals spending on assets compared to the rate at which these assets are used and found that in rural areas, these assets are not being replaced fast enough

An ongoing challenge for Government to keep pace with growth

Distorted driven by the capital

funding received by Bendigo

Health Care Group

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Source: Victorian Auditor General

Regional Victoria Public hospitals: Health infrastructure replacement

Note: High Risk, Medium Risk, Low Risk

A ratio below 1.00 means that the hospital assets are being used faster than they are being replaced.

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Reach statewide

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Source: VPA based on ABS CensusPopulation and job growth: Regional Cities (LGA) 2011-2016

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This high level modelling reviews future job and land potential (2016-2056) in key regional cities assuming all current trends and employment profile remains. Changes to population growth and employment self containment will impact these results proportionately, shifts in industry type is unlikely to have major implications on land use need.

0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000

Geelong

Ballarat

Bendigo

Shepparton

Wodonga

Mildura

Latrobe

Warnambool

Horsham

Wantagatta

Additional jobs (2016-2056)

2056 2016

Population growth & employment needs in Regional Victoria

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Source: VPA and Infrastructure Partnerships Australia

Victoria’s economy supported by unprecedented infrastructure boom

Future infrastructure influences

Western Rail Plan

Metro 1

Suburban Rail Loop

LXRA

Western Distributor

North-East Link etc.

Regional Victoria contributes to this boom in manufacturing and supply chain logistics

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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria

Central Highlands Case StudyBacchus Marsh

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans for 38,000 new residents

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Aligning major freeway

WESTERN FREEWAY

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Sensitive Uses taken into account

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Sensitive Uses & Buffers

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Scale brings on train station delivery

BACCHUS MARSH STATION

(EXISTING)

PARWAN STATION

(POTENTIAL)

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Aligning major link road

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Infrastructure aligned

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Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans

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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria

Goulburn RegionCase Study Shepparton

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Shepparton & Mooroopna 2050: Regional City Growth Plan

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Shepparton & Mooroopna: Current growth corridors and investigation areas

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Shepparton North East – Refining Development Contributions (DCPs)

DCP per ndha exhibition

$264,588

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP per ndha exhibition

$264,588

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP per ndha exhibition

$264,588

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP per ndha panel

$174,944

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP per ndha panel

$174,944

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP per ndha panel

$174,944

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Shepparton North East - DCP

DCP post panel

$146,793

Refining the costs brings the “to market” figure in line with expectations and viability. Design refinements still met Council’s requirements, through a process improvement review.

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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria

Central Highland Case StudyBallarat

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Central Ballarat• 17,500 jobs

• Ballarat CBD, Ballarat

Hospital, Council and

Government Services

Western Ballarat• 16,000 jobs

• Wendouree sub-

regional town centre,

Major industrial areas,

Ballarat Airport

Southern Ballarat• 5,000 jobs

• Federation University

(Mt Helen Campus),

Sovereign Hill

Ballarat – aligning growth with Distribution of Existing Jobs

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Ballarat – Planned growth

• Most greenfield development

currently occurring within

Ballarat West and Alfredton

West PSPs.

• New sub-regional centre

being developed at

Delacombe to support this

growth, and complement the

Ballarat CBD and

Wendouree sub-regional

centre

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Ballarat – Urban renewal precincts

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Aligning Infrastructure Delivery Responsibilities

Developer Works

local roads

services (utilities)

construction oflocal parks

Local Council

council arterial roads

community facilities

sports reserves

local drainage

State Government

arterial roads

public transport

health & emergency services

justice

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Development Contributions: General introduction

What are developer contributions?

legal instrument for developers to contribute towards infrastructure

levy not a tax

incorporated into the planning scheme

generally contributes towards local council infrastructure

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Development Contributions: Principles

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Our track record: Aligning infrastructure with investment

Our track record shows that we save the government time and money,

allow for smarter investment in infrastructure through integration with land

use planning, provide greater certainty for industry and community and

streamline processes to alleviate blockages in the planning system

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Where to?

Continue undertaking a pipeline of regional projects and specific growth directions for land use and

development through partnering with regional Councils.

Strong growth in key regional areas located within the central area of the state:

Around the larger regional cities of Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo;

Within the peri-urban region generally within 100-150km radius of Melbourne including coastal

areas; and

Along the Loddon Campaspe, Goulburn Valley and Hume corridors.

Through funding and project assistance, the Streamlining for Growth Program has provided support

and capacity-building initiatives for councils to increase the supply of housing

and employment land.

Next phase will be aligning with DELWP and DJPR to develop a Develop a WoVG regional policy

framework that will articulate a vision for rural and regional Victoria, key outcomes and targets,

priorities and performance measures, including forwarding the decentralisation agenda in a co-

ordinated manner.

Workforce development, access to better health and education facilities, providing a pathway for

youth employment will be a strong focus into the future.

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Questions and feedback