aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional...
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Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria
Brett Davis & Emily Killin
PIA Congress 2019
Victorian Planning Authority
May 2019
Your partner in planning great places for a growing Victoria
Victorian Government PrioritiesWho we are
Partnering with DELWP, DJPR and
a wide range of stakeholders,
including communities, councils and
industry, to set plans that enable
others to build future communities
Key role in delivering
Government’s urban growth
management agenda for
Melbourne and the regions
Reporting to the
Minister for Planning
via the VPA board
Land use planning and
infrastructure charging and
co-ordination for designated
areas in:
Melbourne’s Greenfields
established Melbourne
regional cities & peri-
urban towns
Deliver spatial planning for
urban growth
Undertake place-based
planning
Translate policy into place
Work in partnership
Government context
Ensures strong
economic
performance by
growing industries
and regions
Our key Partner -
Leads cities and
regional growth
policy to deliver
positive outcomes
for everyone who
lives, works,
invests in and
visits Victoria
Your partner in
planning great
places for a
growing Victoria
Develop and
revitalise public
buildings and land
to create spaces
and homes that
help make Victoria
a great place to
live
Plans, builds and
operates an
integrated,
sustainable and
safe transport
system for
Australia’s fastest-
growing state
Department of
Environment,
Land, Water
and Planning
(DELWP)
Department of
Transport
(DOT)
Department of
Jobs, Precincts
and Regions
(DJPR)
Victorian
Planning
Authority
(VPA)
Development
Victoria
(DV)
Our operating environment
VPA project roles
Streamlining for growth….
The Streamlining for Growth Program is a four year $24 million program that consists of the VPA providing grants and VPA staff assistance for councils in regional Victoria and Greater Melbourne.
The program runs over four years and is currently in its final year. For the years 2016-2018, Streamlining for Growth funded 77 projects in Regional Victoria to the value of $6.2million.
Regional focus to date has been to support the Regional Growth Plans and particularly the regional cities of Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo; within the peri-urban region generally (100-150km radius of Melbourne, including coastal areas); along the Loddon Campaspe, Goulburn Valley and Hume corridors.
Streamlining for growth….
Program Activities
Planning Support:
Technical studies such as drainage, cultural heritage and traffic
Master planning
Precinct structure planning
Project staff resourcing support
Efficiencies and Streamlining:
Process efficiency and improvement programs
More effective use of functional layout plans in the approvals and certification process
Upskilling of staff, embedding knowledge and sharing our IP
Our toolbox – how we plan for growth
Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria
What’s happened over the past15 years in the regions & beyond
Source: VPA based on ABS Cat/. 3218.0Regional Victoria population growth 2007-2018: Regional city focus
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Key Regional Cities Peri-Urban and Coastal Other Regional LGAs
• 8 Regional Growth Plans prepared between 2007 and 2010
• Broad direction for land use and development across Victoria, with a 30-year planning horizon in mind
• Detailed planning frameworks for key regional cities and centres
Regional Growth Plans
Source: VPA based on ABS Census
Victoria’s population growth: Spatial growth divergence
Source: ABS Cat. 3222.0 – Series B
Regional Population Growth - Dashboard
Source: VIF 2016
Total Population and Housing Growth for Regional Victoria to 2051
Source: ABS Cat. 3222.0 – Series BRegional Victoria population growth: Driven by migration
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
201
8
201
9
202
0
202
1
202
2
202
3
202
4
202
5
202
6
202
7
202
8
202
9
203
0
203
1
203
2
203
3
203
4
203
5
203
6
203
7
203
8
203
9
204
0
204
1
204
2
204
3
204
4
204
5
204
6
204
7
204
8
204
9
205
0
Regional Victoria - components of population change
Natural Increase Net overseas migration Net interstate migration
Net interstate & overseas migration is projected to be the key driver of regional growth
SEIFA map
Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) 2016
Source: Victorian Auditor General
Hospitals 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 Average
Metropolitan average 1.05 1.35 1.51 2.95 0.82 1.54
Regional average 1.25 1.35 1.42 1.16 5.10 2.06
Rural average 1.46 1.21 1.03 0.63 0.81 1.03
Small rural average 0.76 1.00 1.57 0.78 0.66 0.95
Financial year average 1.09 1.32 1.48 2.33 1.74 1.59
Regional public hospitals: Health infrastructure replacement
Note: High Risk, Medium Risk, Low Risk
A ratio below 1.00 means that the hospital assets are being used faster than they are being replaced.
Infrastructure investment in Health and human services are feeling the strain in some regional areas.
The Victorian Auditor General reviewed hospitals spending on assets compared to the rate at which these assets are used and found that in rural areas, these assets are not being replaced fast enough
An ongoing challenge for Government to keep pace with growth
Distorted driven by the capital
funding received by Bendigo
Health Care Group
Source: Victorian Auditor General
Regional Victoria Public hospitals: Health infrastructure replacement
Note: High Risk, Medium Risk, Low Risk
A ratio below 1.00 means that the hospital assets are being used faster than they are being replaced.
Reach statewide
Source: VPA based on ABS CensusPopulation and job growth: Regional Cities (LGA) 2011-2016
This high level modelling reviews future job and land potential (2016-2056) in key regional cities assuming all current trends and employment profile remains. Changes to population growth and employment self containment will impact these results proportionately, shifts in industry type is unlikely to have major implications on land use need.
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 180000
Geelong
Ballarat
Bendigo
Shepparton
Wodonga
Mildura
Latrobe
Warnambool
Horsham
Wantagatta
Additional jobs (2016-2056)
2056 2016
Population growth & employment needs in Regional Victoria
Source: VPA and Infrastructure Partnerships Australia
Victoria’s economy supported by unprecedented infrastructure boom
Future infrastructure influences
Western Rail Plan
Metro 1
Suburban Rail Loop
LXRA
Western Distributor
North-East Link etc.
Regional Victoria contributes to this boom in manufacturing and supply chain logistics
Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria
Central Highlands Case StudyBacchus Marsh
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans for 38,000 new residents
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Aligning major freeway
WESTERN FREEWAY
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Sensitive Uses taken into account
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Sensitive Uses & Buffers
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Scale brings on train station delivery
BACCHUS MARSH STATION
(EXISTING)
PARWAN STATION
(POTENTIAL)
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Aligning major link road
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans: Infrastructure aligned
Bacchus Marsh Precinct Structure Plans
Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria
Goulburn RegionCase Study Shepparton
Shepparton & Mooroopna 2050: Regional City Growth Plan
Shepparton & Mooroopna: Current growth corridors and investigation areas
Shepparton North East – Refining Development Contributions (DCPs)
DCP per ndha exhibition
$264,588
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP per ndha exhibition
$264,588
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP per ndha exhibition
$264,588
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP per ndha panel
$174,944
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP per ndha panel
$174,944
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP per ndha panel
$174,944
Shepparton North East - DCP
DCP post panel
$146,793
Refining the costs brings the “to market” figure in line with expectations and viability. Design refinements still met Council’s requirements, through a process improvement review.
Aligning infrastructure with population growth in regional Victoria
Central Highland Case StudyBallarat
Central Ballarat• 17,500 jobs
• Ballarat CBD, Ballarat
Hospital, Council and
Government Services
Western Ballarat• 16,000 jobs
• Wendouree sub-
regional town centre,
Major industrial areas,
Ballarat Airport
Southern Ballarat• 5,000 jobs
• Federation University
(Mt Helen Campus),
Sovereign Hill
Ballarat – aligning growth with Distribution of Existing Jobs
Ballarat – Planned growth
• Most greenfield development
currently occurring within
Ballarat West and Alfredton
West PSPs.
• New sub-regional centre
being developed at
Delacombe to support this
growth, and complement the
Ballarat CBD and
Wendouree sub-regional
centre
Ballarat – Urban renewal precincts
Aligning Infrastructure Delivery Responsibilities
Developer Works
local roads
services (utilities)
construction oflocal parks
Local Council
council arterial roads
community facilities
sports reserves
local drainage
State Government
arterial roads
public transport
health & emergency services
justice
Development Contributions: General introduction
What are developer contributions?
legal instrument for developers to contribute towards infrastructure
levy not a tax
incorporated into the planning scheme
generally contributes towards local council infrastructure
Development Contributions: Principles
Our track record: Aligning infrastructure with investment
Our track record shows that we save the government time and money,
allow for smarter investment in infrastructure through integration with land
use planning, provide greater certainty for industry and community and
streamline processes to alleviate blockages in the planning system
Where to?
Continue undertaking a pipeline of regional projects and specific growth directions for land use and
development through partnering with regional Councils.
Strong growth in key regional areas located within the central area of the state:
Around the larger regional cities of Geelong, Ballarat and Bendigo;
Within the peri-urban region generally within 100-150km radius of Melbourne including coastal
areas; and
Along the Loddon Campaspe, Goulburn Valley and Hume corridors.
Through funding and project assistance, the Streamlining for Growth Program has provided support
and capacity-building initiatives for councils to increase the supply of housing
and employment land.
Next phase will be aligning with DELWP and DJPR to develop a Develop a WoVG regional policy
framework that will articulate a vision for rural and regional Victoria, key outcomes and targets,
priorities and performance measures, including forwarding the decentralisation agenda in a co-
ordinated manner.
Workforce development, access to better health and education facilities, providing a pathway for
youth employment will be a strong focus into the future.
Questions and feedback