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Alameda Health System Status Report Long Term Financial Planning Compliance with the Permanent Agreement March 9, 2015 Dan Boggan, Jr., Interim CEO David Cox, CFO 1

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Page 1: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Alameda Health System

Status Report

Long Term Financial Planning

Compliance with the Permanent Agreement

March 9, 2015

Dan Boggan, Jr., Interim CEO

David Cox, CFO

1

Page 2: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

AHS Monthly Report –

Cash, Accounts Payable, Operations

2

Page 3: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

AHS Cash Forecast

Primary Risk is in June 2015

3

$120,000,000

$140,000,000

$160,000,000

$180,000,000

$200,000,000

$220,000,00020

15 F

CS

T

7/1

1/1

4

7/2

5/1

4

8/8

/14

8/2

2/1

4

9/5

/14

9/1

9/1

4

10

/3/1

4

10

/17

/14

10

/31

/14

11

/14

/14

11

/28

/14

12

/12

/14

12

/26

/14

1/9

/15

1/2

3/1

5

2/6

/15

2/2

0/1

5

3/6

/15

3/2

0/1

5

4/3

/15

4/1

7/1

5

5/1

/15

5/1

5/1

5

5/2

9/1

5

6/1

2/1

5

6/2

6/1

5

Net Negative Balance Forecast

NNB FORECAST DEBT LIMIT

Page 4: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Core Accounts Payable has been reduced to below $20 million.

AHS is now current!

4

$0

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

$35,000,000

$40,000,000

$45,000,000AHS Accounts Payable

1-30 31-60 61-90 91-120 Over 120

Page 5: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Collections on Patient Revenue Continue to Improve

5

$-

$200,000

$400,000

$600,000

$800,000

$1,000,000

$1,200,000

$1,400,000

$1,600,000

Jul SepNov Jan MarMay Aug Oct DecFeb Apr Jun

$ Collected Per Day

$ Per Day

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

Jul Sep Nov Jan Mar May Aug Oct Dec Feb Apr Jun

Cash Collected On Patient Revenue

Cash Collected

Page 6: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

• PFS

• Established centralized correspondence unit

• Planned re-org is complete

• Denials unit creation is underway

• Revenue Integrity

• EBEW reduced from $90M in December to $45M to date

• Departmental organizational being developed

• Patient Access

• Training complete for 100+ patient access staff

• Authorization unit has been established and pilot underway for Surgery

• Vendor selection of QA system is underway

• Professional (Physician Billing)

• External assessment completed

• Qualified leadership recruited (March 16th)

• Work Plan is in place

Revenue Cycle - Accomplishments

Page 7: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Toyon Report Work Plan and Status

7

Toyon Findings & Recommendations Action Timeline

1. Establish a culture of accountability, including metrics for key initiatives.

We are refining our annual management process to tie accountabilities to our annual operating plan, and are in the

process of reviewing our organizational structure to ensure that we have clear accountabilities.

June

2. Repair the organizations revenue cycle.

We have a comprehensive work plan in place, have recruited key subject matter experts, are fixing system issues, are changing

processes, have metrics in place, and are showing good progress and interrelationships.

June

3. Achieve benchmark performance on operating expenses and put appropriate controls in place.

The Better II Initiative is now underway, the benchmarking analysis is in process, and the plan includes productivity improvement,

clinical resource management, and supply chain initiatives. June

4. Improve Financial and Operational Reporting We are going to need to "re-map" our Chart of Accounts and

General Ledger to achieve this objective. June

5. Evaluate service line and business unit profitability. We need to complete the interface of DSS to ePSI, and then build a

service line support structure - planning, analysis, operations. April

6. Perform a Strategic Reimbursement Analysis to best position AHS under healthcare reform and track payer mix.

AHS has expanded its relationship with Toyon to encompass all Reimbursement issues, and this analysis is now underway.

May

7. Assess and update the current strategic financial plan to ensure long-term financial stability.

We need to update our long-term strategic plan this year and then develop a financial plan that supports our objectives. To do this,

we need to install and rebuild the Kaufmann Hall financial planning tool, and that is in process.

September

8. Develop a plan to repay the loan to the County. We are currently assessing our ability to meet the proposed terms

of the Agreement through 2018, which is contingent on a successful financial turnaround.

March

Page 8: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Long Term Planning

Capital Expenditures and Debt Service

Required Operating Performance

Compliance Plan – Permanent Agreement

8

Page 9: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Financial Performance Requirements are largely driven by the need for

Cash to fund Capital Expenditures and pay Debt Service.

9

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Debt Service -$ 18,681$ 20,252$ 20,848$ 21,726$ 21,726$

Capital Expenditures 6,492$ 28,715$ 36,000$ 39,100$ 32,400$ 24,000$

Total 6,492$ 47,396$ 56,252$ 59,948$ 54,126$ 45,726$

$-

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000

$60,000

$70,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Cash Requirements

Debt Service Capital Expenditures

Page 10: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

AHS has underfunded capital expenditures in past years and will need to

fund $30+ million per year going forward, peaking in 2018.

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Capital Expenditure Plan 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Routine Capital 11,000 12,000 10,000 11,000 12,000

Information Technology 3,000 9,000 6,000 5,000 5,000

ATR Ongoing Maintenance 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000

Alameda Kitchen - - 8,100 7,400 2,000

San Leadro Rehab - 10,000 10,000 4,000 -

Highland ATR Move 9,715 - - - -

Capital Expenditures 28,715 36,000 39,100 32,400 24,000

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

$35,000

$40,000

$45,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Capital Expenditure Plan

Highland ATR Move

San Leadro Rehab

Alameda Kitchen

ATR Ongoing Maintenance

Information Technology

Routine Capital

Page 11: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

The Permanent Agreement will drive Debt Service Requirements –

$20+ million per year.

11

Debt Service Requirements 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

NNB Debt Retirement - 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000

POB Debt Retirement - 12,681 13,252 13,848 7,726 7,726

ATR Debt Service - - - - 7,000 7,000

Other Debt Service - 1,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000

Total Debt Service - 18,681$ 20,252$ 20,848$ 21,726$ 21,726$

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Debt Service Requirements

NNB Debt Retirement POB Debt Retirement ATR Debt Service Other Debt Service

Page 12: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

To fund these requirements, AHS needs to significantly improve

performance quickly, to an EBIDA (free cash flow) Margin of at least 8%.

12

$-

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Required Improvement $ in ,000

Conservative

Plan

-4.0%

-2.0%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EBIDA (Cash Flow) Margin

Conservative Plan

$(40,000)

$(20,000)

$-

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EBIDA (Cash Flow) $

Conservative Plan

Page 13: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

The Plan Scenario is necessary to meet the NNB Target and fund capital

expenditures; the Conservative Scenario falls short.

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$50,000

$70,000

$90,000

$110,000

$130,000

$150,000

$170,000

$190,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Net Negative Balance

Conservative Plan Target

Page 14: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Flexible Maximum Policy – AHS will continue to require 30 -35% Flex

Max due to timing of Supplemental Reimbursement

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120,000,000

130,000,000

140,000,000

150,000,000

160,000,000

170,000,000

180,000,000

190,000,000

200,000,000

210,000,000

AHS Long Term Cash Forecast

NNB FORECAST DEBT LIMIT

Page 15: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

• An aggressive performance improvement plan ($67+ million in 2016) is

required to fund capital needs and avoid an Event of Non-Compliance.

• Management Cost Reductions - $20 million

• Revenue Cycle Improvement - $15 to $20 million

• Other Cost Reductions - $40 million

• Other Revenue Opportunities - $20 million

• Due to the timing of supplemental reimbursements, a Flexible Maximum

policy of 30% - 35% will be required in the initial years of the Agreement.

• Due to the possibility on an Event of Non-Compliance, we recommend that

the Agreement retain the County’s current discretion:

• Retain discretion in the setting of the Flexible Maximum Policy, and plan

on a higher percent in the early years of the agreement, then

decreasing each year going forward.

• Establish a process to resolve an Event of Non-Compliance, short of

termination of the Flexible Maximum Policy.

Conclusions and Recommendations

Page 16: Alameda Health System - ACGOV.org

Discussion

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