ajm global iron ore & steel forecast conference 2013

19
BHP Billiton Iron Ore Leveraging our strengths to deliver value Tony Ottaviano Vice President Planning 19 March 2013

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Page 1: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

BHP Billiton Iron Ore Leveraging our strengths to

deliver value

Tony Ottaviano

Vice President Planning

19 March 2013

Page 2: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Disclaimer

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 2

Forward-looking statements

This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 regarding future events,

conditions, circumstances and the future financial performance of BHP Billiton, including for capital expenditures, production volumes, project capacity, and

schedules for expected production. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of the words such as “plans”, “expects”,

“expected”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “intends”, “anticipates”, “believes” or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events, conditions,

circumstances or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees or

predictions of future performance, and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control, and which may

cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the statements contained in this presentation. For more detail on those risks, you should refer to

the sections of our annual report on Form 20-F for the year ended 30 June 2012 entitled “Risk factors”, “Forward looking statements” and “Operating and financial

review and prospects” filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. All estimates and projections in this presentation are illustrative only. Our actual

results may be materially affected by changes in economic or other circumstances which cannot be foreseen. Nothing in this presentation is, or should be relied on

as, a promise or representation either as to future results or events or as to the reasonableness of any assumption or view expressly or impliedly contained herein.

No offer of securities

Nothing in this presentation should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell BHP Billiton securities in any jurisdiction.

Reliance on third party information

The views expressed in this presentation contain information that has been derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No

representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. This presentation should not be relied upon as a

recommendation or forecast by BHP Billiton.

Page 3: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Disclaimer

Slide 3

Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves

This presentation includes information on Mineral Resources (inclusive of Ore Reserves) and Ore Reserves.

These have been compiled by: P Whitehouse (MAusIMM) – Western Australia Iron Ore (WAIO) who is employed by BHP Billiton at the time of reporting. This is

based on information in the BHP Billiton Annual Reports from 2007 to 2012 and other investor presentations which can be found at www.bhpbilliton.com. All

information is reported under the „Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves, 2004‟ (the JORC Code).

The Compiler verifies that this report is based on and fairly reflects the Mineral Resources and Ore Reserve information in the supporting documentation and

agrees with the form and context of information presented.

Ore Reserve and Mineral Resource classifications are contained in Table 1.

Proved Reserve

(Bt)

Probable Reserve

(Bt)

Measured Resource

(Bt)

Indicated Resource

(Bt)

Inferred Resource

(Bt)

FY2012 1.4 2.0 2.3 3.7 14.6

FY2011 1.4 2.1 2.2 3.9 13.2

FY2010 1.3 2.0 1.9 3.5 10.7

FY2009 1.3 1.8 1.8 3.2 7.5

FY2008 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.9 6.8

FY2007 1.3 1.1 1.7 2.1 4.2

Table 1

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 4: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Long term drivers of demand remain intact

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 4

Global population growth (historical and forecast) (billion people)

1. Total global population CAGR.

Source: United Nations (Population Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs).

0

3

6

9

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030

Rural population Urban population

60%

52%

34%

GDP change between 2011 and 2025 (2005 real PPP US$ trillion)

India

China

Brazil Russia

South Korea

European Union

Japan

Australia

USA

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 20 40 60

GDP per capita (2005 real PPP US$‟000s)

Page 5: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Global growth is strengthening, Chinese

commodities demand is moderating

Slide 5

Contribution to global GDP growth (% YoY)

Chinese commodity consumption growth rates (% YoY)

(1)

0

1

2

3

4

5

CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13e CY14e

China United States Eurozone

Asia (ex-China) Rest of the world

0

10

20

30

40

CY02 CY04 CY06 CY08 CY10 CY12

Finished steel Copper Aluminium

• The global economy looks set to benefit from

a period of improving economic growth

• China will remain the primary driver of

commodities demand and its cyclical recovery

is in place

• Rebalancing of the Chinese economy suggests

resource intensity will consolidate at a fraction

of its GDP growth rate (rather than a multiple)

• Demand growth rates for many of our core

products within China are expected to remain

in the range of 2% to 4% per annum

Note: Real growth rates weighted for share of world GDP; 2005 US$ (market exchange rates).

Source: Global Insight.

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 6: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Iron ore prices will remain volatile in the

short term

Slide 6

Iron ore spot prices (US$/t, 62% Fe, CIF China)

Schematic iron ore cost curve (US$/t, CIF China)

0

15

30

45

60

0

50

100

150

200

Jun 12 Aug 12 Oct 12 Dec 12

Seaborne iron ore inventory (RHS)

Price (LHS)

• Over the last decade, Chinese demand for

seaborne iron ore overwhelmed the capacity

of the low cost supply basins

• Prices responded to induce high cost supply,

which led to a steepening of the cost curve

• With the addition of low cost supply, customer

inventory cycles now significantly impact the

market price

• Substantially more low cost supply is either

planned or in construction

• This will ultimately lead to a flattening of the

cost curve and prices will mean revert

Source: BHP Billiton analysis; Platts; Mysteel survey of 55 small steel mills.

Steel mill inventory (days of inventory)

2012 stocking cycle

Iron ore price volatility

Cumulative volume (million tonnes)

Current cost curve

Future cost curve

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 7: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

8.0

11.7 12.5

16.1

19.3 20.6

2.4 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

Resource

Reserve

Our world class resource base is a competitive

advantage

Slide 7

Pilbara mineral resources more than doubled in six years... within a concentrated footprint

Existing

Future

Finucane Island

Nelson Point Boodarie

YARRIE

MAC

South Flank Jinidi

Port Hedland

Port

Hedland

Newman

Railway

Yandi

OB 23/25

Newman

Wheelarra

Jimblebar

OB 18

~250km

WAIO resources and reserves (billion wet tonnes, 100% basis)

Marillana

Note: Refer to disclaimer on slide 3.

1. Represents the Mineral Resource (inclusive of Ore Reserves) divided by the FY12 production rate and does not imply that any mine planning has been completed. The life of

individual mines may be more or less than the number stated above.

+100 years

mine life1

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 8: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Major projects in execution are progressing well

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 8

• Major growth projects are on schedule and

within budget

– Port Hedland Inner Harbour Expansion

achieved first production in Q4 CY12

– Jimblebar Mine Expansion delivers

35 mtpa of mining capacity with larger

processing capacity, first production

scheduled for Q1 CY14

– Rail Yard Facilities Expansion creates

flexibility and increases our direct load

capability with commissioning expected in

H2 CY14

• Inner Harbour optimisation studies

progressing well

WAIO production (mtpa, 100% basis)

FY11 FY12 FY13e FY14e FY15e FY16e

100

150

200

250

300 >220 mtpa

Car

dumper 5

Jimblebar Mine

Expansion and

Mooka Staging

Facility

Debottlenecking

Page 9: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Jimblebar Mine Expansion on schedule

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 9

Jimblebar: Ore Handling Plant (February 2013)

Page 10: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

• 5 car dumpers installed with optimised

throughput potential of 55 to 60 mtpa per

dumper

• 8 shiploaders installed with optimised

throughput potential of 35 to 40 mtpa per

shiploader

• Low cost opportunity to debottleneck the

conveyor, stockyard and stacker-reclaimer

system

• Achieved 145 mtpa with

single track infrastructure

although the large

number of passing loops

created inefficiency

• Dual track in place since

May 2011 can deliver

>300 mtpa of capacity

with modest investment

• 35 mtpa Jimblebar Mine

Expansion will take total

mine capacity to

220 mtpa by Q1 CY14

• Jimblebar readily

expandable from 35 to

55 mtpa

• Mobile crushers can unlock

a further 20 mtpa across

our portfolio of mines

• Only one new mining hub

required for >300 mtpa

Capital efficient growth across the value chain

Slide 10

Mines Stockpiles Rail Ship-

loaders

Car

dumpers

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 11: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

We can significantly increase capacity by

debottlenecking the port

Slide 11

SL1

SL3

SL4

SL8

SL7

SL2

SL5

SL6

CD4

CD5

CD1

CD3

CD2

BWR 6 STK 7

South Yard

STK 6

BWR 5 STK 8

North Yard

STK 5

BWR 8 STK 12

East Yard

STK 11

Mooka

BWR 7

STK 10

West Yard

BWR 10

STK 9

Optimise dumper

performance and choke

feed them

Ensure all low cost,

incremental investment

in shiploader capacity

has been fully explored

Test dynamic scheduling

opportunities and

product strategies to

improve system

performance Mooka marshalling yard; CD: Car dumper; STK: Stockyard; BWR: Bucket wheel reclaimer; SL: Shiploader.

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 12: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Debottlenecking examples: car dumper and

conveyor belt optimisation

Slide 12 Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

1. Regrade track leading to the

car dumper

2. Increase speed of train input

into car dumper (increase

pusher arm torque, apron

feeder speed control)

3. Optimise dump cycle logic

(for example, tuning tip angle,

bin level detection)

Actions Car dumper performance (ktph)

Post-regrade Pre-regrade

Actions Conveyor belt load profile

1. Conveyor system

optimisation allowed

increased belt loading

2. Throughput rate increased

from 10.5 ktph to 11.5 ktph

8

10

12

14

May 12 Jun 12 Jul 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12

Daily average net rate

Average

One-off commissioning

Historic

Optimised

Schematic only.

Page 13: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Preserving the valuable dual harbour option

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 13

Port Hedland Outer Harbour Port Hedland Inner Harbour

BP1

BP2

BHP - D

BHP - C

PH4

BHP - G

BHP - H

SP1

SP2

SP3

SP4

AP4

AP5

AP1

AP2

AP3

BHP - A

BHP - B

BHP - E

BHP - F

PH1

PH2

PH3

Smith

Point

Sting Ray Creek

Burgess

Point

Nelson

Point

Stanley

Point

Anderson

Point Lumsden

Point

South East

Creek

Hunt Point

Port Hedland

town area

Finucane

Island

BHP Billiton berths Option secured for 2 additional

BHP Billiton berths at Burgess Point

NEW CHANNEL

Page 14: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Productivity enablers

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 14

Clear

processes and

responsibilities

Common systems

and data

Next Generation

Mining

• Common philosophy, systems and

processes across the company

• Transparent and granular data

facilitates company-wide benchmarking

• Ability to leverage technology and best

in class practices across all divisions

• Enables productivity gains throughout

the organisation

Page 15: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

We have clear processes and responsibilities with

common systems and data

Slide 15 Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

“Our Organisational Design Protocol delivers a

simple and accountable organisation that operates

in an effective and common way”

People Enable our people to perform at

their best

Economies

of scale

Leverage our global expertise

through standard roles, alignment

of structures and simple systems

and processes

Best practice Benchmark and implement best

practices across the Group

Enhance

performance

Deliver predictable outcomes and

operational excellence to improve

safety, increase productivity and

lower costs

Illustrative capacity benchmarking (%)

CD1 CD2 CD3 CD4

Availability 82 81 80 85

Utilisation 52 45 54 66

Worst performer Best performer

Downtime: No train in yard

Downtime: Spotting

Downtime: Equipment related

Downtime: Railroad 12

3

8

CD2 CD4

9

5

5

15 1

Page 16: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Next Generation Mining: Integrated Remote

Operations Centre (IROC) fully operational

Slide 16

• IROC is fully operational

• Delivered under budget and ahead of schedule

• Real-time management of supply chain

(pit to port) to reduce supply chain variability

• Optimised scheduling (production and

maintenance) to improve productivity

• Co-location of controllers, schedulers and

planners to improve collaboration, decision

making and role consolidation

• Deployable at all BHP Billiton large mining hubs

with our Metallurgical Coal business next to

benefit from implementation

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Role

excellence Collaboration Transparency

Reduced

variability

Integrated Remote Operations Centre

Continuous Improvement

Page 17: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Next Generation Mining: autonomous equipment

and rapid resource modelling

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013 Slide 17

Autonomous equipment

• Clear, simple processes enable the introduction of

scalable autonomous technology

• Autonomous haul trucks (AHT) have been trialled

in our New Mexico coal operations since mid CY11

• AHT trial at WAIO to commence in H2 CY13

• Delivering safer, more predictable, more

productive operations

Rapid resource modelling

• Real-time elemental measurement with down hole

tools, and accurate measurement of mineralogy

• Automated interpretation of drill data based on

pattern recognition algorithms

• Automated, integrated 3D modelling

• Fast results, better quality, repeatable models

• More effectively deliver product specifications

Image courtesy of Caterpillar Inc.

Autonomous Caterpillar truck

at New Mexico Coal

Automated drill data interpretation

Page 18: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013

Key themes

Slide 18

• Industrialisation and urbanisation will continue to support the expansion of our

world-class iron ore business in the Pilbara

• Major projects in execution are on schedule and on budget

• Significant opportunity for high-return, capital-efficient growth

• Ongoing program of debottlenecking and optimisation is delivering value

• Common processes, systems and data combined with next generation mining

technologies will deliver substantial productivity gains across the organisation

Tony Ottaviano, Vice President Planning, 19 March 2013

Page 19: AJM Global Iron Ore & Steel Forecast Conference 2013