air quality impact assessment of the proposed enviroserv ...€¦ · 1. description of baseline...
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Address: 480 Smuts Drive, Halfway Gardens | Postal: P O Box 5260, Halfway House, 1685 Tel: +27 (0)11 805 1940 | Fax: +27 (0)11 805 7010
www.airshed.co.za
Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan
Municipality
Project done on behalf of the SLR Consulting (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd
Project Compiled by: L W Burger
Project Manager L W Burger
Project Assistants R Bornman
Report No: 18SLR25 | Date: May 2018
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 i
Report Details
Reference No. 18SLR25
Status Rev 0.0
Report Title Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Date May 2018
Client SLR Consulting (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd
Prepared by Lucian Burger, PhD (Univ of Natal) MSc Eng (Chem), BSc Eng (Chem)
Assistance Rochelle Bornman, MPhil (GIS & Remote Sensing), B.Land Surveying
Reviewed by Hanlie Liebenberg-Enslin, PhD (Univ of Johannesburg) MSc (Geography) BSc Hons
Notice
Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty) Ltd is a consulting company located in Midrand, South Africa, specialising in all aspects of air quality, ranging from nearby neighbourhood concerns to regional air pollution impacts as well as noise impact assessments. The company originated in 1990 as Environmental Management Services, which amalgamated with its sister company, Matrix Environmental Consultants, in 2003.
Declaration Airshed is an independent consulting firm with no interest in the project other than to fulfil the contract between the client and the consultant for delivery of specialised services as stipulated in the terms of reference.
Copyright Warning
Unless otherwise noted, the copyright in all text and other matter (including the manner of presentation) is the exclusive property of Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty) Ltd. It is a criminal offence to reproduce and/or use, without written consent, any matter, technical procedure and/or technique contained in this document.
Revision Record
Revision Number Date Reason for Revision
Rev 0.0 18 April 2019 Initial Release
Rev 0.1 14 May 2019 Minor Editorial Changes
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 ii
Specialist Report Requirements
A specialist report prepared in terms of the Environmental Impact Regulations of 2014 must contain:
Section in report
a details of-
(i) the specialist who prepared the report; and
(ii) the expertise of that specialist to compile a specialist report including a curriculum vitae;
Report details (page i)
Section 1.5
Appendix C
b a declaration that the specialist is independent in a form as may be specified by the competent authority;
Report details (page i)
c an indication of the scope of, and the purpose for which, the report was prepared; Section 1.1 & 1.2
d the date and season of the site investigation and the relevance of the season to the outcome of the assessment;
Section 3
e a description of the methodology adopted in preparing the report or carrying out the specialised process;
Section 1.3
f the specific identified sensitivity of the site related to the activity and its associated structures and infrastructure;
Section 3
g an identification of any areas to be avoided, including buffers; Section 5 and Section 6
h a map superimposing the activity including the associated structures and infrastructure on the environmental sensitivities of the site including areas to be avoided, including buffers;
Figure 1-2, Figure 1-3, Figure 4-2,
Figure 5-1, Figure 5-2, Figure 5-3,
Figure 5-4, Figure 5-5, Figure 6-1
i a description of any assumptions made and any uncertainties or gaps in knowledge; Section 1.4
j a description of the findings and potential implications of such findings on the impact of the proposed activity, including identified alternatives on the environment;
Section 5 and 6
k any mitigation measures for inclusion in the EMPr; Section 6
l any conditions for inclusion in the environmental authorisation; Section 6
m any monitoring requirements for inclusion in the EMPr or environmental authorisation; Section 6
n a reasoned opinion- (I) as to whether the proposed activity or portions thereof should be authorised; and
(ii) if the opinion is that the proposed activity or portions thereof should be authorised, any avoidance, management and mitigation measures that should be included in the EMPr, and where applicable, the closure plan;
Section 6
Section 6
o a description of any consultation process that was undertaken during the course of preparing the specialist report;
N/A
p a summary and copies of any comments received during any consultation process and where applicable all responses thereto; and
N/A
q any other information requested by the competent authority. N/A
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 i
Abbreviations °C Degree Celsius
µg/m3 Micro grams per cubic meter (concentration)
AEL Atmospheric Emission License
AERMIC American Meteorological Society/EPA Regulatory Model Improvement Committee
Airshed Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty) Ltd
AMSL Above Mean Sea Level
AST Anemometer Starting Threshold
ATSDR US Federal Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
CALEPA California Environmental Protection Agency
CAMx Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions
CARB California Air Resources Board
CLS Chloorkop Landfill Site
CO Carbon monoxide
CoJ City of Johannesburg
DEA Department of Environmental Affairs
DOE U.S. Department of Energy
DWAF Department of Water Affairs and Forestry
EC European Community
EIA Environmental Impact Assessment
FDA US Food and Drug Administration
GDARD Gauteng Department: Agriculture and Rural Development
GHG Greenhouse Gas
GWIS Gauteng Waste Information System
g/s Grams per second
HEAST U.S. EPA Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables
HP High-Pressure
IRIS US EPA Integrated Risk Information System
K Kelvin
LFG Landfill Gas
MES Listed Activities and Minimum National Emission Standards
mg/Nm3 Milligram per normal cubic meter
N/A Not applicable
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NAERR Atmospheric Emissions Reporting Regulations
NAEIS Atmospheric Emissions Inventory System
NEM:AQA National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act of 2004
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 ii
NDCR National Dust Control Regulations
NERGs National Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting Regulations
NMBM Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality
NPi Australian National Pollutant Inventory
NSW EPA New South Wales Environment Protection Authority
NO Nitrogen oxide
NO2 Nitrogen dioxide
NOx Nitrogen oxides
O3 Ozone
OEHHA Californian Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment
ORTIA OR Tambo International Airport
OU Odour Unit
Pb Lead
PM10 Thoracic particulate matter with a diameter of less than 10 µm
PM2.5 Respirable particulate matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 µm
ppb Parts per billion (concentrations)
ppm Parts per million
PPRTV US EPA Provisional Peer Reviewed Toxicity Values
RAIS US EPA’s Risk Assessment Information System
REL Reference exposure levels
RfC Reference Concentrations
SA South Africa
SAAQIS South African Air Quality Information System
SAWS South African Weather Services
SEA Strategic Environmental Assessment
SO2 Sulfur dioxide
t/a Tonnes per annum
TSP Total suspended particulates, also PM (particulate matter)
UK EA United Kingdom Environmental Agency
UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
URF Unit risk factors
US EPA United Stated Environmental Protection Agency
VOC Volatile organic compound
WBG World Bank Group
WHO World Health Organization
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 3
Executive Summary
Airshed Planning Professionals was appointed by SLR Consulting (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd (‘SLR’) to undertake an air quality
impact evaluation of the proposed expansion of the Chloorkop Landfill Site (CLS), which is in the Chloorkop Industrial area on
Portion 63 of Klipfontein 12-IR in the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality. The closest residential area is Phomolong to the
east and Klipfontein View to the west (approximately 0.5 km). The site is surrounded by industrial areas to the north, south
and east.
The CLS has been operating since 1997 and was originally proposed to operate until 2017 (21 years). The site was classified
by the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry (DWAF as a GLB- site, which according the Minimum Requirements for the
Handling, Classification and Disposal of Hazardous Waste (MRHW); 2nd Ed.1998 classification system allows the disposal of
‘moderate risk waste’. The design capacity required was originally expected to be approximately 4.5 million m³. The CLS has
been developed over the past two decades with six engineered waste disposal cells that form the waste body. As the landfilling
progressed, progressive capping of the landfill took place as follows:
o 2007 - Cells 1 to 3 filled and capped;
o 2010 - Cell 4 filled and capped;
o 2013 - Cell 5 filled and capped; and
o 2017 - Cell 6 filled and capped.
In 2007, Cells 1 to 3 were the first to be fitted with a landfill gas (LFG) pipe collection system for the purpose of flaring. Gas
collection were later also fitted to Cells 4 to 6. Two flare systems were installed with typical extraction rates per flare varying
from 400 m³/hr to a maximum design capacity of 2000 m³/hr.
The waste body at the CLS has finite airspace, defined by the permitted footprint, height and design parameters. In 2016, the
Gauteng Department: Agriculture and Rural Development (GDARD) granted approval for the permitted height of the waste
body to be increased from 10 m to a maximum of 25 m above ground level. This provided additional airspace on the original
footprint and thereby could accommodate a further two years (2018 and 2019) waste disposal.
Given the current and future waste generation potential of the Midrand region, EnviroServ is proposing to expand the CLS
onto adjacent properties to the north of the site. The targeted properties include Erf 334 and 335 of Chloorkop Extension 6,
which are approximately 14 ha in extent. The proposed expansion of the CLS involve the establishment of three engineered
waste disposal cells on the target properties (Phase 1A, Phase 1B Cell1 and Phase 1B Cell 2), as well as an additional cell
(Cell 7) on the original CLS footprint, which is currently accommodating the leachate dam. These additional waste disposal
cells would join with the current CLS waste body. The proposed expansion would be Class B, as per the revised DWAF
classification scheme). It is also proposed that the facility would include a small Material Recovery Facility (MRF) for the
separation of clean recyclables from the waste. Supporting infrastructure would be integrated with the CLS and/or redeveloped
as appropriate.
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 4
Objective and Scope
The objective of the study is to quantify the potential change in the air quality due to the proposed expansion of the CLS and
thereby provide the significance of this impact for the purposes of submitting a Basic Assessment (BA) to the Department of
Environmental Affairs (DEA)
The requested scope of work is as follows:
1. Description of baseline conditions, based on existing air quality observations made by Geozone Environmental and
meteorological measurements;
2. Model the air quality impact of the facility for the current landfill operations and extrapolate for the years after capping;
3. Model the air quality impact considering several waste disposal and recycling options (to be supplied); and
4. Assess and identify the need for any changes in the existing Management Plan.
At the time of the assessment no detailed waste disposal and recycling options were supplied for analysis and it was therefore
not included in the report.
Approach
The air quality impact assessment included the current impacts (Baseline), the proposal to develop Cell 7 over the current
leachate dam, and the proposed expansions of the operation to the north of the current site (Phase 1A and Phase 1B). The
assessment aimed at assessing odour, nuisance dust and health impacts associated with the air emissions emanating from
the landfill disposal areas, leachate dams/tanks and the flares. These air emissions include several potential gaseous
compounds as well as airborne particulate matter. The latter pollutants are mainly due to operations that produce fugitive dust
such as vehicle movement and material transport. Although the flares also produce particulate matter emissions, these are
insignificant when compared to the fugitive dust.
Air emissions from waste disposal sites are known to be difficult to quantify due to the complex and varying nature of the
waste, the landfill design and inhomogeneity of the waste body. Emissions also depend on meteorological parameters
including rainfall, atmospheric pressure and wind speed. The UK developed GasSim landfill emission model was selected to
estimate air emissions from the disposal area and the flares. In order to account for the variability in waste character and
trace gases contained in the LFG, the calculation methodology followed a probabilistic technique rather than a deterministic
technique. Trace gas composition is provided as probability density functions which assume a minimum, a maximum and a
mean concentration value. Where information was available from onsite measurement of the CLS LFG, these were used to
replace the default means included in the GasSim database. Whereas a deterministic technique would be based on a single
result obtained from inputting single concentration values into the model, such as the US EPA Landgem model, the GasSim
model calculates emissions based on random sampling of the various probability density functions and produce emissions
based on percentiles less than a specific emission rate. The 95th percentiles were used for further analyses in the atmospheric
dispersion modelling. Emissions from the flares were similarly calculated in GasSim and contained combustion products,
such as carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, oxides of nitrogen and particulates, as well as trace gases (assuming
99% destruction of organic compounds). Air emissions from the leachate pond and tanks were also estimated using a
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 5
dissociation model coupled to a mass transfer model that considers the gas transfer through the liquid/air interface and effects
of wind speed.
Although many trace gas emissions were calculated to originate from the CLS, not all were deemed necessary for inclusion
in the detailed analyses. Screening of pollutants took place in two steps. The first step was done using the GasSim Tier 1
screening methodology using health risk endpoints. According to the GasSim screening, only arsenic, ethylene dichloride and
hydrogen sulfide (H2S) were identified for inclusion in further analyses. However, based on onsite monitoring campaigns by
Geozone Environmental and comparisons with relevant internationally published health and odour risk criteria, it was further
decided to also include limonene, ammonia (NH3), acetaldehyde, benzene and formaldehyde. Since the flares produce
insignificant particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10)1, only emissions from landfill fugitive dust sources were assumed for further
analyses. To be conservative, the emission rates corresponding to the end of each scenario (Baseline, Phase 1A & Cell7 and
Phase 1B) were used in the atmospheric dispersion simulations.
The US EPA AERMOD model was used to simulate the atmospheric dispersion of the selected pollutants. Three years of
hourly average meteorological data which were measured at OR Tambo International Airport by the South African Weather
Services (SAWS), were used in these simulations. This weather station is approximately 13km from the CLS and since the
terrain including the CLS and OR Tambo International Airport is relatively flat, these meteorological observations were
considered adequate for use in the dispersion model representing the CLS.
In the second screening exercise of the selected (first screened) pollutants, the predicted maximum ground level air
concentration (using AERMOD) was used to determine the health and nuisance risks associated with each compound. Key-
pollutants were selected with each representing carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic (irritational) impacts, as well as nuisance
impacts (odour and dustfall). This screening resulted in the selection of benzene for carcinogenic impacts, PM10 for irritational
impacts, H2S for odour impacts and total suspended particulates (TSP)2 for fallout dust. The odour impact from the CLS was
based on the New South Wales Environmental Protection Agency (NSW EPA) odour assessment policy which accepts that
existing facilities with an odour performance criterion of approximately 7-fold the odour threshold concentration (or 7OU) is
likely to represent the level below which “offensive” odours should not occur for an individual with a “standard sensitivity” to
odours. However, the NSW EPA also recognises that this criterion does not adequately address the nuisance value with
denser populations. Accordingly, they recommended a sliding scale, starting with 7OU (sparsely populated) down to 2OU for
urban areas, where more than 2000 people could be affected by the odour. The latter criterion was used in the assessment.
Assumptions and Limitations
• For practical reasons only key odiferous and toxic components and indicator species of the LFG were included in
the detailed investigation. The following criteria were for the selection or exclusion of compounds:
o Compounds typically recorded at various other landfills were included for consideration, (82 compounds).
1 PM2.5 and PM10 refer to inhalable particulate matter can be breathed into the nose or mouth. PM10, it consists of particles with a mean
aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or smaller and deposit efficiently along the airways. This fraction is known as thoracic particulate matter and it is that fraction of inhalable coarse particulate matter that can penetrate the head airways and enter the airways of the lung. Respirable particulate fraction is that fraction of inhaled airborne particles that can penetrate beyond the terminal bronchioles into the gas-exchange region of the lungs. Also known as fine particulate matter, it consists of particles with a mean aerodynamic diameter equal or less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) that can be inhaled deeply into the lungs. 2 Total suspended particulates (TSP) refer to all airborne particles and may have particle sizes as large as 150 µm, depending on the ability of the air to carry such large particles.
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 6
o Compounds for which sub-surface gaseous probe measurements are available for local, general landfill
sites.
o From these compounds ‘indicator’ or ‘marker’ species were identified for further analysis based on toxicity
and/or odour nuisance. Compounds frequently included due to their potential impacts on human health
include carcinogens (e.g. benzene, formaldehyde, carbon tetrachloride, methylene chloride) and several
non-carcinogenic toxins (e.g. chlorobenzene, toluene and tetrachloroethylene).
• The following GasSim model assumptions also apply:
o GasSim can only be used to assess the risk of exposure from LFG and cannot be used to assess exposure
from soils or ground waters;
o Migration of gas is not modelled in the saturation zone;
o The model does not determine the pressure generated by the landfill and to simplify the model, pressure
has been excluded from all modules;
o LFG is only abstracted from the capped area of the landfill and gas generated from the operational area
is emitted directly to atmosphere;
o Lateral migration is determined using a conservative one-dimensional advection and diffusion equation.
The diffusivity is determined for the diffusivity of the gas in air, which is corrected for the porosity and
moisture content of the medium. Methane is not included in this module.
o The biological methane oxidation module assumes that all fissures/discrete features emit the same
quantity of gas and that these emissions are not reduced by methane oxidation.
o Since subsurface measurements of H2S were available from several monitoring, the H2S module included
in the GasSim model was not used to estimate the production rate of H2S.
o The predicted air quality impact of the LFG from the existing CLS was based on estimates of the
subsurface concentrations of the various compounds included in the GasSim model. These
concentrations were assumed to represent the mean value, whilst the minimum and maximum
concentrations assumed in the probability densities adopted the default range provided in GasSim.
o The order in which the subsurface concentrations were adopted was as follows: Contra Odour sampling
campaign (latest sampling) was used in preference, or if they did not include a specific compound or if the
observation was below the respective detection limit, then the Levago concentration result was used
unless their observation was below detection limit or not included in the campaign, in which case the
Bogner and Saner results were used. If none of the campaigns included a specific compound, then the
GasSim defaults were used.
o The H2S emission rate from the flares were based on a mass balance, assuming the Lavego sampling
results (17.35 µg/m³, 60.09 µg/m³, 212.6 µg/m³) and an air to fuel ratio of 11.
o The NO2 emission rates from the flares were based on the default flare exhaust gas concentrations
assumed in the GasSim model for enclosed flares, i.e. a triangular distribution with 43 µg/m³ (minimum),
85 µg/m³ (mean) and 149 µg/m³ (maximum).
• A progressive installation of horizontal gas collection trenches is assumed to be installed after the start of waste
filling within each of the proposed landfill cells.
• An interim cap is assumed to be progressively constructed after the completion of waste filling in each cell and a
final cap is to be constructed in the year after finalizing waste filling.
• It was assumed that the vertical LFG wells would be installed and commissioned 3 months after installing the final
cap. Gas collection reduces emission by between 25-30% (no final cover) to 80-95% (final cover).
• Combustion of LFG is the most common method used to reduce the volatility, global warming potential and hazards
associated with LFG. Combustion methods include flares, electricity generation units and energy recovery
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 7
technologies (e.g. boilers). The current assessment assumed gas collection and flaring at the end of the cell’s
operational life. Of the combustion methods, flaring is the most commonly used. Two different types of flares
available, i.e. open and enclosed flares. The current flare system at the CLS employs enclosed flares. The same
method was assumed in for the proposed expansion project. Destruction efficiencies of about 99% for gases such
as H2S in the flare are possible and therefore has the potential to reduce odour nuisance significantly.
• Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) is predominantly released as nitric oxide (NO) with lower fractions as nitrogen dioxide
(NO2. The conversion of NO to NO2 was conservatively assumed to be instantaneous. Typically, NO2 would be
less than 20% of the NOx concentration nearby the source where the concentrations are higher than further
downwind where the NO2 fraction could be up to 80%;
• Upset conditions were not included in the dispersion simulations due to the difficulty in estimating the emission rates
of air pollutants during such an event.
• The quantification of sources of emission was restricted to the existing CLS and the proposed expansion. Although
other existing sources of emission within the study area were identified, such sources were not quantified as part of
the emissions inventory and simulations.
• Use was made of data provided by the SAWS for the weather station located at OR Tambo International Airport
approximately 13 km from the CLS. It was assumed that the data is representative of the project area. The
Regulations Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling prescribes the use of a minimum of one year’s on-site data or at
least three years of appropriate off-site data for use in Level 2 assessments. It also states that the meteorological
data must be for a period no older than five years to the year of assessment. The data set includes a three-year
period from January 2016 to December 2018, which complies with the requirements of these regulations.
• Ambient air quality criteria apply to areas where the Occupational Health and Safety regulations do not apply, thus
outside the property or lease area. Ambient air quality criteria are therefore not occupational health indicators but
applicable to areas where the general public has access i.e. off-site.
• There will always be some error in any geophysical model, but it is desirable to structure the model in such a way
to minimise the total error. A model represents the most likely outcome of an ensemble of experimental results. The
total uncertainty can be thought of as the sum of three components: the uncertainty due to errors in the model
physics; the uncertainty due to data errors; and the uncertainty due to stochastic processes (turbulence) in the
atmosphere. Typically, complex topography with a high incidence of calm wind conditions, produce predictions
within a factor of 2 to 10 of the observed concentrations. When applied in flat or gently rolling terrain, the USA
Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) considers the range of uncertainty to be -50% to 200%. The accuracy
improves with strong wind speeds and during neutral atmospheric conditions.
Main Assessment Results
The baseline predictions represent the LFG emissions just prior to the proposed development of Cell 7, i.e. including gas
collection and flaring for Cells 1 to 6. The results for Phase 1A and Phase 1B, represent the maximum emissions prior to final
capping and flaring of these cells, respectively. In other words, the combined emissions at the end of Phase 1A would include
the emissions from Cells 1 to 7 assuming gas collection and flaring, but no flaring yet for Phase 1A. Similarly, the emissions
at the end of Phase 1B include all emissions from Cells 1 to 7 and Phase 1A (gas collection and flaring), but not yet any
collection and flaring from Phase 1B.
The results from the dispersion simulations are summarised in Table A for the predicted health risks, and Table B for predicted
nuisance impacts, i.e. odour and fallout dust. Apart from odour impacts that could potentially extend far beyond the CLS, all
other impacts were predicted to occur in the near vicinity of the CLS. This includes both carcinogens and irritants.
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 8
Table 1-1: Assessment of health risk impacts
Measure of Assessment Scenario Calculation Result
The exceedance of the daily average PM10 NAAQS,
showing both unmitigated and 75% mitigated scenarios
Baseline Mitigated – PM10 daily average concertation exceedances is limited to four exceedances just offsite of the CLS,
i.e. by about 50m to the east and 30m to the south of the landfill boundary
No mitigation, PM10 daily average concentration exceedances extends to about 150m east and 100m south. The
predicted isopleth depicting this NAAQS with no mitigation is marginally offsite for Phase 1A, and about 20m (east)
and 15 m (west) of the extended portion of the CLS for Phase 1B. With 75% mitigation, the NAAQS is predicted
not to be exceeded
Phase 1A Mitigated – no exceedances of the PM10 daily average concertation beyond the landfill boundary
No mitigation – PM10 daily average concentration exceedances marginally offsite towards the east
Phase 1B Mitigated – no exceedances of the PM10 daily average concertation beyond the landfill boundary
No mitigation – PM10 daily average concertation exceedances extends about 20m (east) and 15 m (west) of the
extended portion of the CLS
The incremental cancer risk based on the predicted annual
average benzene concentrations
Baseline The predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The incremental cancer risk is predicted to be trivial (1-in-10 million increased risk)
Phase 1A With gas collection and flaring, the predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the
NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The 1-in-a-million incremental risk (generally accepted as a Low Risk) isopleth extends about 20m (east) and 10m
(west) of the CLS boundary for Phase 1A (& Cell 7)
Phase 1B With gas collection and flaring, the predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the
NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The 1-in-a-million incremental risk isopleth extends about 100m (east), and about 50m (north) for the CLS boundary
for Phase 1B
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 9
Table 1-2: Assessment of nuisance impacts
Measure of Assessment Scenario Calculation Result
Odour Impact
The NSW EPA applies the odour recognition concentration
to the short-term concentrations (1- to 3-minute averages).
The AERMOD model is restricted to providing hourly
average concentrations (or longer), and shorter averaging
times were therefore extrapolated
Baseline The hourly average 2OU is predicted to marginally extend by about 20m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 300m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
Phase 1A The hourly average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 400m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a large portion of Commercia to the northeast (about 800m from
the CLS expansion)
The impact towards the east (200m) and west (50m) are less significant for the 3-minute average prediction
The odour impact to the south is confined to the CLS
Phase 1B The hourly average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 500m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a large portion of Commercia to the northeast (about 950m from
the CLS expansion)
The impact towards the east (200m) and west (200m) are less significant for the 3-minute average prediction
The odour impact to the south is confined to the CLS
Fallout dust Baseline The unmitigated fallout zone is enclosed by about 200m south and 100m to the east
The mitigated fallout zone stretches about 50m to the east and south
Phase 1A With mitigation, the fallout is predicted to be within the landfill boundaries
With no mitigation, the predicted fallout zones for Phases 1A are limited to about 30m east and west of the CLS
expansion
Phase 1B With mitigation, the fallout is predicted to be within the landfill boundaries
With no mitigation, the predicted fallout zones for Phases 1A are limited to about 30m east and west of the CLS
expansion
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 i
The health risk results are also summarised in Figure A. The figure combines the zones predicted by the incremental cancer
risk of 1-in-a-million and PM10 exceedances of the. For the Base Case, only the unmitigated PM10 impact is shown since the
mitigated impacts are confined to the CLS. The zone of impact for Phase 1A and Phase 1B are mainly due to the predicted
incremental cancer risk. The cancer risk is based on the 95th percentile benzene emission rates at the end of each of the two
expansion phases (Phase 1A and Phase 1B), and therefore reflect an upper, worst case estimate. A more realistic emission
rate would have been the 50th percentile, which for the Base Case (1997-2019) is a factor of 2.2 lower, and for Phase 1A+Cell 7
(2019-2024) and Phase 1B (2019-2028), a both factor of 5.5 lower. Given this level of conservatism, it is more likely that the
1-in-a-million isopleth is within the proposed CLS expansion. Given that regular watering of the access roads would be taking
place, as per current practice, the predicted unmitigated impact zones in Figure A would most likely not be realistic. A more
realistic prediction would more likely be closer to the mitigated predictions. Therefore, it is predicted that the National Ambient
Air Quality Standards for PM10 daily average concentrations may be exceeded only immediately beyond the eastern boundary
of the expansion, i.e. east of Phase 1B Cell 2.
Figure A: Predicted health risks including benzene incremental cancer risk (isopleth represents 1-in-a-
million incremental cancer risk) and PM10 (unmitigated and mitigated isopleths represents NAAQS)
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 ii
The odour impact from the CLS is based on the quantification of H2S emissions from the landfill, leachate dams/tanks and the
flares. The NSW EPA applies the odour recognition concentration to the short-term, 1- to 3-minute averaged concentrations.
The AERMOD model is restricted to providing hourly average concentrations (or longer), and therefore for shorter averaging
times these results had to be extrapolated. Hourly and 3-minute average predictions, assuming are provided in Figure B and
Figure C respectively. The predicted baseline represents emissions prior to the operation of Cell 7. The conditions for
Phase 1A and Phase 1B assume maximum emissions just prior to final capping. Whereas the hourly average 2OU is predicted
to extend by about 500m towards the northeast of the CLS expansion, the 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a
large portion of Commercia to the northeast (about 950m from the CLS expansion). The impact zones towards the east and
west are less significant, i.e. approximately 300m for the 3-minute average prediction. The odour impact to the south is
confined to the CLS.
Figure B: Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S concentrations
(Isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria. The
baseline predictions represent the emissions just prior to the proposed development of Cell 7. The results for Phase
1A and Phase 1B, represent the maximum emissions prior to capping and flaring.)
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 iii
Figure C: Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations (Isopleths
represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria. The baseline
predictions represent the emissions just prior to the proposed development of Cell 7. The results for Phase 1A and
Phase 1B, represent the maximum emissions prior to capping and flaring)
Conclusions
The results depicted in Figure A and Figure C may be used to define a health and management buffer zone, respectively.
Given the assumption of gas collection and flaring at the end of each cell’s operation, the calculations showed that the health
risk due to emissions from the landfill is governed by particulate air emissions. Additional mitigation for LFG emissions were
therefore not included in the calculations.
The significance of the health risk is based on the following classifications as defined in the SLR Significance Rating Criteria
provide in Appendix C:
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 iv
Phase 1A & Cell 7 – Health Risk
Unmitigated – No dust suppression Mitigated – Dust suppression
Intensity of Impacts M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
L: Minor (Slight) change, disturbance or nuisance. Associated with minor consequences or deterioration. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern rarely exceeded. Require only minor interventions or clean-up actions. Sporadic complaints could be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts L:
Whole site
L:
Whole site
Consequences MEDIUM LOW
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/frequent
Significance MEDIUM LOW
Phase 1B Cell 1 and Cell 2 – Health Risk
Unmitigated – No dust suppression Mitigated– Dust suppression
Intensity of Impacts M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
L: Minor (Slight) change, disturbance or nuisance. Associated with minor consequences or deterioration. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern rarely exceeded. Require only minor interventions or clean-up actions. Sporadic complaints could be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts M:
Beyond the site boundary, affecting immediate
neighbours
L:
Whole site
Consequences MEDIUM LOW
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance MEDIUM LOW
The predicted nuisance impact zone is mainly determined by the potential odour impacts from the CLS. Whereas the worse-
case predictions for the Base Case was predicted to impact mainly over the industrial activities to the east of the CLS, a
significant portion of Commercia, to the northeast of the CLS could experience odours from facility during Phases 1A and 1B.
The worse-case prediction is based on the highest 95th percentile emission rates calculated in GasSim for each phase.
Furthermore, it represents any short-term exposure of a few minutes in duration. With the hourly average odour estimates,
which provide the odour levels for durations from 15 minutes to one hour, the impacts were predicted to be limited to the
aggregate works, east and north-east of the CLS. The significance of the odour risk is as follows:
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 v
Phase 1A & Cell 7 – Odour Risk
Unmitigated – Flares not Operating Mitigated – Flares Operating
Intensity of Impacts H: Prominent change, disturbance or degradation. Associated with real and substantial consequences. May result in illness or injury. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern regularly exceeded. Will require intervention. Threats of community action. Regular complaints can be expected when the impact takes place.
M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
Consequences HIGH HIGH
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance HIGH MEDIUM
Phase 1B Cell 1 and Cell 2 – Odour Risk
Unmitigated – Flares not Operating Mitigated – Flares Operating
Intensity of Impacts H: Prominent change, disturbance or degradation. Associated with real and substantial consequences. May result in illness or injury. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern regularly exceeded. Will definitely require intervention. Threats of community action. Regular complaints can be expected when the impact takes place.
M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
Consequences HIGH HIGH
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance HIGH MEDIUM
Recommendations
Background concentrations of airborne particulates are already high and the CLS operator should therefore control on-site
fugitive dust emissions by effective management and mitigation. At least a 70% dust control efficiency is required on unpaved
roads to ensure dustfall rates are reduced to the levels predicted.
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 vi
It is recommended to continue gas collection and flaring, as with the current operation of the CLS. Flares should be maintained
in accordance with the manufacturer’s recommendations. Full records should be available for inspection.
Management measures should be put in place to ensure
• that upsets in the landfill gas collection system are avoided, which would result in the flares not operating effectively;
• that upsets such as the emission of concentrated, un-combusted organic compounds during flare downtime do not
occur. If the flare is not operational no gas extraction and venting through the stack should be permitted.
• minimal downtime of flares since the odour impact could otherwise be significant
Measures should be put in place to reduce the potential for subsurface gas liberation during waste disturbance and gas
extraction network installation activities.
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 vii
Table of Contents
Specialist Report Requirements ................................................................................................................................................ ii
Abbreviations .............................................................................................................................................................................. i
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................... 3
1 Introduction..................................................................................................................................................................... 13
1.1 Objective ............................................................................................................................................................... 17
1.2 Scope of Work ...................................................................................................................................................... 17
1.3 Methodology ......................................................................................................................................................... 18
1.3.1 Air Emissions Inventory ................................................................................................................................... 18
1.3.2 Study Area ....................................................................................................................................................... 19
1.3.3 Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations ............................................................................................................... 20
1.3.4 Health Risk Assessment .................................................................................................................................. 20
1.3.5 Odour Impact Assessment .............................................................................................................................. 21
1.4 Assumptions and Limitations ................................................................................................................................ 21
1.5 Competency Profile: L W Burger (PhD(Natal) MScEng (Chem) BScEng (Chem), FSACheE, FIChemE) ........... 24
2 Regulatory Requirements and Assessment Criteria ...................................................................................................... 26
2.1 Regulatory Requirements ..................................................................................................................................... 26
2.1.1 Listed Activities and Minimum National Emission Standards (MES) ............................................................... 26
2.1.2 Atmospheric Emissions Reporting Regulations (NAERR) ............................................................................... 26
2.1.3 National Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting Regulations (NGERs)............................................................ 27
2.1.4 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) .......................................................................................... 28
2.1.5 National Dust Control Regulations (NDCR)) .................................................................................................... 29
2.1.6 Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling Regulations .............................................................................................. 30
2.1.7 Air Quality Management Plans (AQMP) – the Highveld Priority Area (HPA) ................................................... 31
2.1.8 Gauteng Waste Information System (GWIS) ................................................................................................... 32
2.1.9 Gauteng Pollution Buffer Zones Guideline ...................................................................................................... 33
2.2 Ambient Air Quality Guidelines ............................................................................................................................. 33
2.2.1 Irritational Health Risk Factors ......................................................................................................................... 33
2.2.2 Cancer Health Risk Factors ............................................................................................................................. 36
2.2.3 Odour Impact Evaluation ................................................................................................................................. 37
3 Environmental Baseline.................................................................................................................................................. 42
3.1 Topography .......................................................................................................................................................... 42
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 viii
3.1 Atmospheric Dispersion Potential ......................................................................................................................... 42
3.1.1 Surface Wind Field .......................................................................................................................................... 42
3.1.2 Precipitation ..................................................................................................................................................... 46
3.1.3 Atmospheric Stability ....................................................................................................................................... 47
3.2 Air Pollution Measurements .................................................................................................................................. 48
3.2.1 Air Pollution Measurements ............................................................................................................................. 48
3.2.2 Onsite Ambient Air Monitoring ......................................................................................................................... 52
4 Landfill Gas Emissions ................................................................................................................................................... 57
4.1 Landfill Gas Generation ........................................................................................................................................ 57
4.2 Gaseous Emissions from Leachate Dams ........................................................................................................... 62
4.3 Flare Emissions .................................................................................................................................................... 64
4.4 Fugitive Particulate Emission ............................................................................................................................... 64
4.5 Litter ...................................................................................................................................................................... 65
4.6 Pathogens ............................................................................................................................................................ 65
4.7 Quantification of Air Pollutant Emissions .............................................................................................................. 65
4.7.1 Landfill Gas Emissions .................................................................................................................................... 65
4.7.2 Flare Emissions ............................................................................................................................................... 75
4.7.3 Leachate Pond Gas Emissions ........................................................................................................................ 76
4.7.4 Fugitive Particulate Emissions ......................................................................................................................... 77
4.8 Greenhouse Gas Emissions ................................................................................................................................. 78
5 Dispersion Simulations ................................................................................................................................................... 85
6 Conclusions and Recommendations .............................................................................................................................. 94
6.1 Conclusions .......................................................................................................................................................... 98
6.2 Recommendations ................................................................................................................................................ 99
7 References ................................................................................................................................................................... 101
8 APPENDIX A: GasSim Model Input Parameters .......................................................................................................... 105
9 APPENDIX B: SLR Significance Rating Criteria .......................................................................................................... 139
10 APPENDIX C: CURRICULUM VITAE OF SPECIALIST .............................................................................................. 142
11 APPENDIX D: Dispersion Model Results ..................................................................................................................... 143
11.1 Dispersion Model Results for Phase 1A (including Cell 7) ................................................................................. 143
11.2 Dispersion Model Results for Phase 1B ............................................................................................................. 150
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 ix
List of Tables
Table 1-1: Assessment of health risk impacts .................................................................................................................... 8
Table 1-2: Assessment of nuisance impacts ...................................................................................................................... 9
Table 1-1: List of potential compounds in LFG ................................................................................................................. 22
Table 2-1: National Ambient Air Quality Standards ......................................................................................................... 29
Table 2-2: Acceptable dust fall rates ................................................................................................................................. 29
Table 2-3: International health risk criteria for pollutants not included in the NAAQS ...................................................... 34
Table 2-4: Unit risk factors ................................................................................................................................................ 36
Table 2-5: Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (as applied by New York Department of Health) .............................................. 37
Table 2-6: Odour threshold values for common odorants ................................................................................................. 38
Table 2-7: NSW EPA odour performance criteria defined based on population density (NSW EPA, 2017) .................... 40
Table 2-8: Odour performance criteria used in various jurisdictions in the US and Australia (after NSW EPA, 2001b) ... 40
Table 3-1: Monthly temperature summary (2016 - 2018) ................................................................................................. 44
Table 3-2: Long-term monthly rainfall total compared observations for the period 2016 to 2018 at ORTIA SAWS weather
station 46
Table 3-3: Maximum and average air pollution concentrations recorded at the AECI Ester Park monitoring station during
the 2002-3 period (values given in bold print represent exceedances of air quality limits) ...................................................... 52
Table 3-4: Summary of diffusive passive sampler results for the period June 2014 to January 2019 (source: Geozone
Environmental) ......................................................................................................................................................................... 54
Table 3-5: Extrapolated short-term concentration from June 2014 to January 2019 air quality monitoring data (source:
Geozone Environmental) ......................................................................................................................................................... 55
Table 3-6: Extrapolated short-term concentration from January 2017 to January 2019 air quality monitoring data (source:
Geozone Environmental) ......................................................................................................................................................... 56
Table 4-1: Historical waste amounts received at the CLS from 1997, i.e. the start of operations .................................... 58
Table 4-2: Percentage split of different waste streams to assist the classification of waste received at the CLS ............ 59
Table 4-3: Summary of subsurface gas concentrations measurements campaigns at CLS............................................. 60
Table 4-4: Inorganic chemical analyses (17 August 2018) of Leachate dam at the CLS ................................................. 63
Table 4-5: Leachate dam VOC chemical analyses (4 April 2019) at the CLS .................................................................. 63
Table 4-6: Annual waste disposal rates for the CLS (shaded cells are projected rates assumed in the assessment based
on estimated schedules in Table 4-8) ...................................................................................................................................... 67
Table 4-7: Details of the cells proposed in the northern expansion of the CLS ................................................................ 69
Table 4-8: Assumed periods of operating cells proposed for the northern expansion ...................................................... 69
Table 4-9: GasSim default Environmental Quality Standards (EQS) and Environmental Assessment Levels (EAL) values
for use in Tier 1 screening evaluation ...................................................................................................................................... 70
Table 4-10: GasSim calculated emission rates for baseline and two proposed phases ..................................................... 75
Table 4-11: Calculated (GasSim) flare air pollutant emission rates (two flares combined emission rates) ........................ 75
Table 4-12: Calculated H2S emission rates from the current leachate dam and proposed tanks ....................................... 77
Table 4-13: Emission rate equations used to quantify fugitive dust emissions ................................................................... 80
Table 4-14: Fugitive particulate emission rates for baseline conditions .............................................................................. 82
Table 4-15: Fugitive particulate emission rates for Phase 1A ............................................................................................. 82
Table 4-16: Fugitive particulate emission rates for Phase 1B ............................................................................................. 83
Table 4-17: Calculated GHG inventory for the Baseline, Phase 1A (+Cell 7) and Phase 1B ............................................. 84
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 x
Table 5-1: Comparison with NAAQS ................................................................................................................................ 86
Table 5-2: Incremental cancer risk estimates ................................................................................................................... 87
Table 5-3: Hazard index .................................................................................................................................................... 87
Table 6-1: Assessment of health risk impacts .................................................................................................................. 96
Table 6-2: Assessment of nuisance impacts .................................................................................................................... 97
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 xi
List of Figures
Figure 1-1: Location of the Chloorkop Landfill Site ............................................................................................................ 14
Figure 1-2: Satellite imagery showing Chloorkop landfill site and adjacent landuse including the residential areas of
Phomolong and Klipfontein View. ............................................................................................................................................ 15
Figure 1-3: Satellite imagery showing the CLS (existing and proposed expansion) and adjacent land-use including
Phomolong and Klipfontein View residential areas .................................................................................................................. 16
Figure 1-4: Layout of the original CLS (1997 to 2017) ....................................................................................................... 17
Figure 1-5: The different scales of the impacts of gas from landfills (after Kjeldsen, 1996) ............................................... 20
Figure 2-1: Modelled frequency of exceedance of the 24-hour ambient PM10 standard in the HPA, indicating the modelled air
quality Hot Spot areas .............................................................................................................................................................. 32
Figure 3-1: Period average, day-time and night-time wind roses (measured data; 2016 to 2018) .................................... 43
Figure 3-2: Seasonal wind roses (measured data; 2016 to 2018) ..................................................................................... 44
Figure 3-3: Monthly average temperature profile (measured data; 2016 to 2018; ORTIA SAWS station) ........................ 45
Figure 3-4: Comparison of monthly mean temperatures at ORTIA for 1951-1984 (Schultz 1986) and 2016-2018 ........... 45
Figure 3-5: Monthly rainfall figures (measured data; 2016 to 2018; ORTIA SAWS station) .............................................. 47
Figure 3-6: Diurnal atmospheric stability (AERMET processed SAWS data, 2016 to 2018) ............................................. 47
Figure 3-7: CLS in relationship with the air quality monitoring stations in and near CoJ from City of Tshwane (CoT),
Ekurhuleni (EKHL), West Rand (WRDM) and Vaal Triangle Airshed Priority Area (VTAPA) networks (City of Johannesburg
Air Quality Management Plan, 2017) ....................................................................................................................................... 49
Figure 3-8: Simulated PM10 air concentrations for 2014 (99th percentile, daily average) ................................................. 50
Figure 3-9: Simulated SO2 air concentrations for 2014 (99th percentile, daily average) .................................................... 51
Figure 3-10: Locations of passive sampling at the CLS .................................................................................................. 53
Figure 4-1: Fractions of sulphide species (H2S, HS-, S2-) present in aqueous solution as function of pH at 25°C [Source:
Snoeyink and Jenkins (1980)] .................................................................................................................................................. 62
Figure 4-2: Proposed expansion of the CLS (Cell 7, Phase 1A Cell 1 and Phase 1B Cell2) ............................................. 66
Figure 4-3: GasSim simulated LFG generation rate .......................................................................................................... 72
Figure 4-4: GasSim simulated 95th percentile H2S landfill generation rate ........................................................................ 73
Figure 4-5: GasSim simulated 95th percentile benzene landfill generation rate ................................................................. 74
Figure 4-6: Calculated H2S air emissions from leachate dam for a 2016 to 2018 .............................................................. 77
Figure 4-7: Calculated GWP for the CLS and proposed expansion ................................................................................... 79
Figure 5-1: Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4 daily exceedances per
calendar year) 89
Figure 5-2: The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from the CLS (an incremental
cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see Table 2-5) ................................... 90
Figure 5-3: Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S concentrations (isopleths
represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7) ................. 91
Figure 5-4: Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations (isopleths represent
the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7) ................................. 92
Figure 5-5: Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed more than 600 mg/m²-day)
93
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 xii
Figure 6-1: Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and mitigated) and benzene
incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth represents the 1-in-a-million
incremental cancer risk) ........................................................................................................................................................... 95
Figure 11-1: Phase 1A - Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4 daily
exceedances per calendar year) ............................................................................................................................................ 143
Figure 11-2: Phase 1A - The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from the CLS
(an incremental cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see Table 2-5) ....... 144
Figure 11-3: Phase 1A - Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7)
145
Figure 11-4: Phase 1A - Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7)
146
Figure 11-5: Phase 1A - Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed more than
600 mg/m²-day) 147
Figure 11-6: Potential zone of odour nuisance over lifetime of landfill up to and including Cell 7 and Phase 1A ......... 148
Figure 11-7: Phase 1A - Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and mitigated)
and benzene incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth represents the 1-in-a-
million incremental cancer risk) .............................................................................................................................................. 149
Figure 11-8: Phase 1B - Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4 daily
exceedances per calendar year) ............................................................................................................................................ 150
Figure 11-9: Phase 1B - The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from the CLS
(an incremental cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see Table 2-5) ....... 151
Figure 11-10: Phase 1B - Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7)
152
Figure 11-11: Phase 1B - Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7)
153
Figure 11-12: Phase 1B - Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed more than
600 mg/m²-day) 154
Figure 11-13: Potential zone of odour nuisance over lifetime of landfill up to and including Phase 1B .......................... 155
Figure 11-14: Phase 1B - Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and mitigated)
and benzene incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth represents the 1-in-a-
million incremental cancer risk) .............................................................................................................................................. 156
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 13
1 INTRODUCTION
Airshed Planning Professionals was appointed by SLR Consulting (South Africa) (Pty) Ltd (‘SLR’) to undertake an air quality
impact evaluation of the proposed expansion of the Chloorkop Landfill Site (CLS), which is in the Chloorkop Industrial area on
Portion 63 of Klipfontein 12-IR in the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality. EnviroServ Waste Management (Pty) Ltd
(‘Énviroserv’) owns the CLS and operates it in terms of a waste management licence (Ref: 16/2/7/A230/D17/Z1). Municipal
solid waste is received from the Midrand area, including the City of Johannesburg and the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality,
and is accessed from Marsala Road. The CLS is situated in the Northern Service Delivery Area of the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan
Municipality. It is approximately 13 km from the OR Tambo International Airport, 7 km from the Buccleuch Interchange and 7
km from the Allandale off-ramp from the N1 (Figure 1-1). The closest residential area is Phomolong to the east and Klipfontein
View to the west (approximately 0.5 km). The site is surrounded by industrial areas to the north, south and east (Figure 1-2
and Figure 1-3).
The CLS has been operating since 1997 and was originally proposed to operate until 2017 (21 years). The site was classified
by the Department of Water Affairs and Forestry (DWAF as a GLB- site, which according the Minimum Requirements for the
Handling, Classification and Disposal of Hazardous Waste (MRHW); 2nd Ed.1998 classification system allows the disposal of
‘moderate risk waste’. The design capacity required was originally expected to be approximately 4.5 million m³. The CLS has
been developed over the past two decades with six engineered waste disposal cells that form the waste body, as illustrated
in Figure 1-4. The waste body covers an area of approximately 23.2 ha. As the landfilling progressed, progressive capping of
the landfill took place as follows:
o 2007 - Cells 1 to 3 filled and capped;
o 2010 - Cell 4 filled and capped;
o 2013 - Cell 5 filled and capped; and
o 2017 - Cell 6 filled and capped.
In 2007, Cells 1 to 3 were the first to be fitted with a landfill gas (LFG) pipe collection system for the purpose of flaring, thereby
disposing of flammable constituents safely, particularly methane, and to control odour nuisance, health risks and adverse
environmental impacts. Gas collection were later also fitted to Cells 4 to 6. Two flare systems were installed with typical
extraction rates per flare varying from 400 m³/hr to a maximum design capacity of 2000 m³/hr.
The waste body at the CLS has finite airspace, defined by the permitted footprint, height and design parameters. In 2016, the
Gauteng Department: Agriculture and Rural Development (GDARD) granted approval for the permitted height of the waste
body to be increased from 10 m to a maximum of 25 m above ground level. This provided additional airspace on the original
footprint and thereby could accommodate a further two years (2018 and 2019) waste disposal. Given the current and future
waste generation potential of the Midrand region, there is an ongoing need for waste disposal services, even with growing
levels of waste diversion. EnviroServ is therefore proposing to expand the CLS onto adjacent properties to the north of the
site. The targeted properties include Erf 334 and 335 of Chloorkop Extension 6, which are approximately 14 ha in extent. The
proposed expansion of the CLS involve the establishment of three engineered waste disposal cells on the target properties
(Phase 1A, Phase 1B Cell1 and Phase 1B Cell 2), as well as an additional cell (Cell 7) on the original CLS footprint, which is
currently accommodating the leachate dam. These additional waste disposal cells would join with the current CLS waste
body. The proposed expansion would be Class B, as per the Norms and Standards for Disposal of Waste to Landfill
(Government Gazette R636 of 2013). A small Material Recovery Facility (MRF) is also proposed for the separation of clean
recyclables from the waste. Supporting infrastructure would be integrated with the CLS and/or redeveloped as appropriate.
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 14
Figure 1-1: Location of the Chloorkop Landfill Site
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 15
Figure 1-2: Satellite imagery showing Chloorkop landfill site and adjacent landuse including the residential areas of Phomolong and Klipfontein View.
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Figure 1-3: Satellite imagery showing the CLS (existing and proposed expansion) and adjacent land-use including Phomolong and Klipfontein View residential areas
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 17
Figure 1-4: Layout of the original CLS (1997 to 2017)
1.1 Objective
The objective of the study is to quantify the potential change in the air quality due to the proposed expansion of the CLS and
thereby provide the significance of this impact for the purposes of submitting a Basic Assessment (BA).
1.2 Scope of Work
The requested scope of work was as follows:
• Description of baseline conditions, based on existing air quality observations made by Geozone and meteorological
measurements;
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 18
• Model the air quality impact of the facility for the current landfill operations and extrapolate for the years after capping;
• Model the air quality impact considering several waste disposal and recycling options (to be supplied); and
• Assess and identify the need for any changes in the existing Management Plan.
1.3 Methodology
1.3.1 Air Emissions Inventory
The establishment of an air emission inventory for the current and proposed expansion of the CLS forms the basis for the
assessment of the impact of these emissions on the receiving environment. The establishment of an emissions inventory
comprises the identification of sources of emission, and the quantification of each significant source’s contribution to ambient
air pollution concentrations, including the following:
• Gaseous emissions from the working surface and covered portions of the landfill and vehicles on the access road;
• Gaseous emissions from open leachate dam and storage areas; and
• Fugitive particulate emissions as a result of vehicles travelling on unpaved road surfaces, materials handling,
construction and covering operations etc.
In the quantification of fugitive dust (including vehicle entrainment, materials handling, wind erosion, etc.) and vehicle
emissions use is made of emission factors which associate the quantity of a pollutant to the activity associated with the release
of that pollutant. In the absence of locally generated emission factors, use is made of international factors such as those
published by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US-EPA) and Australian National Pollutant Inventory (NPI).
The US-EPA AP-42 emission factors are of the most widely used in the field of air pollution. Empirically derived predictive
emission factor equations are available for vehicle-entrained dust from roadways, aeolian erosion from open areas, and for
materials handling operations. Predictive equations explain much of the observed variance in measured emission by relating
emissions to parameters, which characterise the source (US EPA 1995). Such parameters may be grouped into three classes:
• Measures of source activity or energy expended (e.g. the speed and weight of a vehicle on an unpaved road);
• Properties of the material being disturbed (e.g. the content of suspendble fines in the surface material on an unpaved
road); and
• Climatic parameters (e.g. wind speed and number of precipitation free days per year, when a maximum of emissions
occur).
Airborne particulate matter has conveniently been divided into the following classes based on their size:
• Total suspended particulates (TSP) refer to all airborne particles and may have particle sizes as large as 150 µm,
depending on the ability of the air to carry such large particles. Generally, however, suspended particles larger than
75 to 100 µm do not travel far and deposits close to the source of emission.
• Inhalable coarse particulate matter is that fraction of a dust cloud that can be breathed into the nose or mouth.
o Thoracic particulate matter is that fraction of inhalable coarse particulate matter that can penetrate the
head airways and enter the airways of the lung. Also referred to as PM10, it consists of particles with a
mean aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm or smaller and deposit efficiently along the airways. Particles larger
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 19
than a mean size of 10 µm are generally not inhalable into the lungs. These particles are typically found
near roadways and dusty industries.
o Respirable particulate fraction is that fraction of inhaled airborne particles that can penetrate beyond the
terminal bronchioles into the gas-exchange region of the lungs. Also known as fine particulate matter, it
consists of particles with a mean aerodynamic diameter equal or less than 2.5 µm (PM2.5) that can be
inhaled deeply into the lungs. These particles can be directly emitted from sources such as forest fires, or
they can form when gases emitted from power plants, industries and automobiles react in the air.
o Ultrafine particles (PM0.1), are the smallest, and consist of particles with a mean aerodynamic diameter
equal or smaller than 0.1 µm and have widespread deposition within the respiratory tract. These particles
are typically as a result of secondary chemical reactions in the atmosphere.
Gaseous emissions from the landfill emanate from the work face, trenches (if any) and covered portions. In the estimation of
gaseous emissions from the working faces and covered portions of the landfill, the United Kingdom Environmental Agency’s
(UK EA) GasSim model was employed. This model was developed to provide a standard risk assessment methodology for
the UK EA, landfill operators and consultants. GasSim is designed to aid LFG risk assessment, by enabling LFG generation,
emissions, migration/dispersion and impact/exposure to be assessed in a reproducible manner by those familiar with the
subject, but without the need to build multiple models. In order to quantitatively evaluate the risks of landfill processes and the
magnitude of the impacts, GasSim considers the uncertainty in input parameters using a Monte Carlo Simulation. The model
allows the calculation of bulk LFG gas emissions (methane, carbon dioxide and hydrogen) as well as trace LFG gases such
as hydrogen sulfide (H2S). The generation of LFG for an individual site is based on the mass of waste deposited and the
composition of the waste streams. The waste is degraded following the first order decay model that calculates the LFG
generation for up to 200 years. The emission model of GasSim takes this output and uses it to calculate LFG emissions, of
bulk and trace gases, to the environment after allowing for LFG collection, flaring, utilisation (energy recovery) and biological
methane oxidation. This is undertaken by using information on the site gas collection system, flare, engine and engineered
barriers (cap and liner), if present. The model assumes that LFG generated and not collected is in equilibrium and will be
emitted from the landfill cap or liner at a steady state, i.e. the model does not consider transient storage of LFG. Additionally,
the model calculates the concentrations of other major and trace gasses emitted from flare and engines following combustion.
Emission inventories were compiled for base case (i.e. landfilling and LFG recovery up to and including January 2019) and
for the proposed expansion phases, i.e. Phase 1A (and Cell 7) and Phase 1B (Cells 1 and 2), comprising on-going waste
disposal activities together with landfill gas recovery and flaring. Although the combined landfill gas emissions were expected
to vary as the landfill is developed due to biological activities, particulate releases due to fugitive dust emissions were
anticipated to remain unchanged. (The majority of dust emissions are from waste hauling and soil handling operations which
remain the same for both scenarios.)
Emissions from the leachate dam were based on the dissociation of compounds such as hydrogen sulfide and ammonia in
the liquid and the subsequent evaporation from the surface of the dam or tanks. The dissociation depends strongly on the pH
of the liquid, as well as liquid temperature. The evaporation is a function mainly of the liquid surface area, ambient air
temperature and wind speed.
1.3.2 Study Area
These potential airborne releases from the waste disposal activities have various impacts on their surroundings and act on
different scales, as illustrated by Figure 1-5. Odours could potentially be detected at downwind distances of kilometres, whilst
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 20
dust fallout would occur less than 500 metres from the facility, and the consequences of explosions and fires from tens to a
few hundred metres from the incident. Whilst methane constitutes (CH4) both a very short term and acute explosion hazard
it also has a much more far-reaching and long-term effect on global warming. Based on these impact zones and experience
from previously completed LFG impact assessments, a study area of 5 km by 5 km was selected in the current modelling.
Figure 1-5: The different scales of the impacts of gas from landfills (after Kjeldsen, 1996)
1.3.3 Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations
Regulations Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling were promulgated in Government Gazette No. 37804 vol. 589; 11 July 2014
and recommend a suite of dispersion models to be applied for regulatory practices as well as guidance on modelling input
requirements, protocols and procedures to be followed. Chapter 2 of the Regulations present the typical levels of
assessments, technical summaries of the prescribed models (SCREEN3, AERSCREEN, AERMOD, SCIPUFF, and
CALPUFF) and good practice steps to be taken for modelling applications. Based on a review of the levels, it was decided to
employ the US EPAs AERMET/AEROMD modelling suite. This model is recommended when the assessment of air quality
impacts is part of license application or amendment processes, and where the impacts are the greatest within a few kilometres
downwind (less than 50km).
In the absence of an onsite weather station, hourly average meteorological data from the South African Weather Services
(SAWS) weather station located at OR Tambo International Airport (Approximately 13 km southeast of the CLS) were used in
the dispersion model. Hourly average meteorology for the period 2016 to 2018 was included in the analysis.
1.3.4 Health Risk Assessment
The dispersion simulations undertaken for particulate and gaseous emissions facilitate a preliminary assessment of the health
implications of the CLS emissions, through the comparison of simulated concentrations with local and international ambient
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Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 21
air quality guidelines and standards. For pollutants for which no ambient guidelines are available, use is made of health and
odour thresholds from the general literature with preference being given to refereed sources, e.g. US-EPA Integrated Risk
Information System (IRIS) data base. In instances where predicted ambient concentrations and/or deposition levels exceed
permissible levels, frequencies of exceedance are estimated and recommendations made as to alternative and/or additional
measures which may be adopted to curb emissions.
1.3.5 Odour Impact Assessment
Due to the absence of detailed local guidance, reference was made to the international literature in identifying a suitable
method to use in assessing the potential acceptability of odour impacts associated with the CLS. Reference was primarily
made to approaches adopted in the US and in the Australia, e.g. California Air Resources Board (CARB) method of assessing
H2S related odours and the policy developed for the New South Wales Environment Protection Authority (NSW EPA) on the
assessment and management of odours from stationary sources.
It was recommended that the NSW EPA approach be adopted for use in the current study given that it is comprehensively
documented (NSW EPA 2017). Reference was, however, made to the CARB method of selecting detection limits for use in
the odour unit calculation. The approach adopted may be summarised as follows:
• 3-Minute average air pollutant concentrations were calculated based on predicted 1-hourly average concentrations
(most dispersion models, including the Australian regulatory model Ausplume and the US-EPA AERMOD model
used in this study, do not allow for the prediction of averages over a shorter time interval than 1 hour);
• The detection range for substances of interest were identified and the geometric mean detection limit calculated;
• Odour units were calculated by calculating ratios between the 99th percentile, 3-minute average air pollutant
concentrations and the respective geometric mean detection limits; and
• The odour performance criteria set out by the NSW EPA was applied.
1.4 Assumptions and Limitations
• For practical reasons only key odiferous and toxic components and indicator species of the LFG could be included
in the current investigation. The following criteria were adopted during the current investigation for the selection or
exclusion of compounds:
o Compounds typically recorded at various other landfills were included for consideration (see Table 1-1).
o From these compounds ‘indicator’ or ‘marker’ species were identified for further analysis based on toxicity
and/or odour nuisance. Compounds frequently included due to their potential impacts on human health
include carcinogens (e.g. benzene, carbon tetrachloride, methylene chloride) and several non-
carcinogenic toxins (e.g. chlorobenzene, toluene and tetrachloroethylene).
o Compounds for which sub-surface gaseous probe measurements are available for local, general landfill
sites.
• The GasSim model furthermore makes the following assumptions:
o GasSim can only be used to assess the risk of exposure from LFG and cannot be used to assess exposure
from soils or ground waters;
o Migration of gas is not modelled in the saturation zone;
o The model does not determine the pressure generated by the landfill and to simplify the model, pressure
has been excluded from all modules;
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Table 1-1: List of potential compounds in LFG
1,1,1,2-Tetrafluorochloroethane Ethyl toluene (all isomers)
1,1,1-Trichlorotrifluoroethane Ethylbenzene
1,1,2-Trichloroethane Ethylene
1,1-Dichloroethane Ethylene dichloride
1,1-Dichloroethene Fluorotrichloromethane
1,1-Dichlorotetrafluoroethane Formaldehyde (methanal)
1,2-Dichloropropane Freon 113
1,2-Dichlorotetrafluoroethane Hexane
1-Chloro-1,1-difluoroethane Hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCHCs) (Total)
2-butoxy ethanol Hydrogen sulfide
2-Chloro-1,1,1-trifluoroethane Limonene
2-Propanol Methanethiol (methyl mercaptan)
Acetaldehyde (ethanal) Methyl chloride (chloromethane)
Acetone Methyl chloroform (1,1,1-Trichloroethane)
Acrylonitrile Methyl ethyl ketone (2-butanone)
Ammonia Methyl isobutyl ketone
Benzene n-Butyl acetate
Benzo(a)pyrene Odour Units (Predicted)
Butadiene (modeled as 1,3-Butadiene) PAH (reported as Naphthalene)
Butane para-Dichlorobenzene
Butene isomers Pentane
Carbon disulphide Pentene (all isomers)
Carbon monoxide Propane
Carbon tetrachloride (tetrachloromethane) Propanethiol
Carbonyl sulphide Sulphide, total simulations with H2S
Chlorobenzene Sulphide, total simulations without H2S
Chlorodifluoromethane Sulphur reduced (reported as SO2)
Chloroethane t-1,2-Dichloroethene
Chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) (Total) Tetrachloroethane
Chlorofluoromethane Tetrachloroethylene (Tetrachloroethene)
Chloroform (trichloromethane) Toluene
Chlorotrifluoromethane Total chloride (reported as HCL)
Dichlorodifluoromethane Total fluoride (reported as HF)
Dichlorofluoromethane Total non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOCs)
Dichloromethane (methylene chloride) Trichlorobenzene (all isomers)
Diethyl disulphide Trichloroethylene (trichloroethene)
Dimethyl disulphide Trichlorofluoromethane
Dimethyl sulphide Trichlorotrifluoroethane
Ethane Trimethylbenzene (all isomers)
Ethanethiol (ethyl mercaptan) Vinyl chloride (chloroethene, chloroethylene)
Ethanol Xylene (all isomers)
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o LFG is only abstracted from the capped area of the landfill and gas generated from the operational area
is emitted directly to atmosphere;
o Lateral migration is determined using a conservative one-dimensional advection and diffusion equation.
The diffusivity is determined for the diffusivity of the gas in air, which is corrected for the porosity and
moisture content of the medium. Methane is not included in this module.
o The biological methane oxidation module assumes that all fissures/discrete features emit the same
quantity of gas and that these emissions are not reduced by methane oxidation.
• Since subsurface measurements of H2S were available from several monitoring campaigns (Saner 2004 & 2005,
Bogner, Lavego 2009, and Contra Odour 2015), the H2S module included in the GasSim model was not used to
estimate the production rate of H2S. H2S emissions are controlled by the quantity of degraded organic material and
available calcium sulphate and iron in the waste; all of which are required by GasSim if the H2S module is to be
used.
• The predicted air quality impact of the LFG from the existing CLS was based on estimates of the subsurface
concentrations of the various compounds included in the GasSim model. These concentrations were assumed to
represent the mean value, whilst the minimum and maximum concentrations assumed in the probability densities
adopted the default range provided in GasSim.
• The order in which the subsurface concentrations were adopted was as follows: Contra Odour sampling campaign
(latest sampling) was used in preference, or if they did not include a specific compound or if the observation was
below the respective detection limit, then the Levago concentration result was used unless their observation was
below detection limit or not included in the campaign, in which case the Bogner and Saner results were used. If
none of the campaigns included a specific compound, then the GasSim defaults were used.
• A progressive installation of horizontal gas collection trenches is assumed to be installed after the start of waste
filling within each of the proposed landfill cells.
• An interim cap is assumed to be progressively constructed after the completion of waste filling in each cell and a
final cap is to be constructed in the year after finalizing waste filling. Gas collection reduces emission by between
25-30% (no final cover) to 80-95% (final cover).
• It was assumed that the vertical LFG wells would be installed and commissioned 3 months after installing the final
cap.
• Combustion of LFG is the most common method used to reduce the volatility, global warming potential and hazards
associated with LFG. Combustion methods include flares, electricity generation units and energy recovery
technologies (e.g. boilers). The current assessment assumed gas collection and flaring at the end of the cell’s
operational life. Of the combustion methods, flaring is the most commonly used. Two different types of flares
available, i.e. open and enclosed flares. The current flare system at the CLS employs enclosed flares. The same
method was assumed in for the proposed expansion project. Destruction efficiencies of about 99% for gases such
as H2S in the flare are possible and therefore has the potential to reduce odour nuisance significantly.
• The H2S emission rate from the flares were based on a mass balance, assuming the Lavego sampling results
(17.35 µg/m³, 60.09 µg/m³, 212.6 µg/m³) and an air to fuel ratio of 11.
• The NO2 emission rates from the flares were based on the default flare exhaust gas concentrations assumed in the
GasSim model for enclosed flares, i.e. a triangular distribution with 43 µg/m³ (minimum), 85 µg/m³ (mean) and
149 µg/m³ (maximum).
• Oxides of nitrogen (NOx) is predominantly released as nitric oxide (NO) with lower fractions as nitrogen dioxide
(NO2. The conversion of NO to NO2 was conservatively assumed to be instantaneous. Typically, NO2 would be
less than 20% of the NOx concentration nearby the source where the concentrations are higher than further
downwind where the NO2 fraction could be up to 80%;
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• Upset conditions were not included in the dispersion simulations due to the difficulty in estimating the emission rates
of air pollutants during such an event.
• The quantification of sources of emission was restricted to the existing CLS and the proposed expansion. Although
other existing sources of emission within the study area were identified, such sources were not quantified as part of
the emissions inventory and simulations.
• Use was made of data provided by the SAWS for the weather station located at OR Tambo International Airport
approximately 13 km from the CLS. It was assumed that the data is representative of the project area. The
Regulations Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling prescribes the use of a minimum of one-year on-site data or at least
three years of appropriate off-site data for use in Level 2 assessments. It also states that the meteorological data
must be for a period no older than five years to the year of assessment. The data set includes a three-year period
from January 2016 to December 2018, which complies with the requirements of these regulations.
• Ambient air quality criteria apply to areas where the Occupational Health and Safety regulations do not apply, thus
outside the property or lease area. Ambient air quality criteria are therefore not occupational health indicators but
applicable to areas where the general public has access i.e. off-site;
• There will always be some error in any geophysical model, but it is desirable to structure the model in such a way
to minimise the total error. A model represents the most likely outcome of an ensemble of experimental results. The
total uncertainty can be thought of as the sum of three components: the uncertainty due to errors in the model
physics; the uncertainty due to data errors; and the uncertainty due to stochastic processes (turbulence) in the
atmosphere. Typically, complex topography with a high incidence of calm wind conditions, produce predictions
within a factor of 2 to 10 of the observed concentrations. When applied in flat or gently rolling terrain, the USA-EPA
(EPA 1986) considers the range of uncertainty to be -50% to 200%. The accuracy improves with strong wind speeds
and during neutral atmospheric conditions.
1.5 Competency Profile: L W Burger (PhD(Natal) MScEng (Chem) BScEng (Chem), FSACheE, FIChemE)
Dr Burger is a Fellow of the South African Institute of Chemical Engineers (Fellow: No. 4533) and an Associate Fellow of the
Institute of Chemical Engineers (IChemE) (Fellow: No. 99963108). Dr Burger holds an MSc and PhD in chemical engineering
from the University of Natal. Following the completion of his bachelor’s degree (cum laude) in chemical engineering in 1982,
his experience in air pollution started in 1983 with the development and implementation of a real-time atmospheric dispersion
model for processing industries (as partial fulfilment of his MSc Eng). This model was further developed for execution on
different computer platforms as an off-the-shelf software package known as “HAWK” and was marketed by the Atomic Energy
Commission (later known as NECSA).
During the period 1984 to 1986, a more complex atmospheric dispersion model was developed, which contributed towards
his PhD and later formed part of an international contract on the evaluation and validation of transport models as applied to
the Chernobyl accident of April 1986 (International Atomic Energy Agency).
Lucian Burger currently serves on the board of directors of Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty) Ltd and of Riscom (Pty) Ltd.
Airshed Planning Professionals is a technical and scientific consultancy providing scientific, engineering and strategic air
pollution impact assessment and management services and policy support to assist clients in addressing a wide variety of air
pollution related risks and air quality management challenges. Riscom specialises in quantitative process risk assessments,
including hazan, hazop, what-if analyses, detailed risk assessments, Major Hazard Installation and incident investigations,
and other risk related studies.
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He has been involved in several Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) and Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA)
projects and has conducted specialist studies for both quantified process risk assessments and air pollution impact
components of these. Over the past three decades Dr Burger has been actively involved in the development of atmospheric
dispersion modelling and its applications, air pollution compliance assessments, health risk assessments, mitigation
measures, development of air quality management plans, meteorological and air quality monitoring programmes, strategy and
policy development, training and expert witnessing.
Whilst most of his working experience has been in South Africa, a number of investigations were made in countries elsewhere,
including Angola, Botswana, Central African Republic, Congo, Democratic Republic of Congo, England, Ethiopia, Equatorial
Guinea, Ghana, Iran, Ireland, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Mozambique, Namibia, Suriname, Togo, Ukraine, Zimbabwe and
Zambia.
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2 REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AND ASSESSMENT CRITERIA
2.1 Regulatory Requirements
Prior to assessing the impact of proposed activities on human health and the environment, reference needs to be made to the
environmental regulations governing the impact of such operations i.e. air emission standards, greenhouse gas reporting,
ambient air quality standards and dust control regulations:
• Air emission standards are generally provided for point sources and specify the amount of the pollutant acceptable
in an emission stream and are often based on proven efficiencies of air pollution control equipment. The DEA
published a list of activities (Listed Activities and Minimum National Emission Standards), identifying those activities
that are regulated by the DEA and which require the application for an Atmospheric Emission License (AEL).
• As a requirement under the Paris Climate Agreement, which South Africa ratified in November 2016, the National
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting Regulations were published in 2017 to allow the DEA to gather information
from businesses to assist South Africa to update and maintain a National Greenhouse Gas Inventory.
• Air quality guidelines and standards are fundamental to effective air quality management, providing the link between
the source of atmospheric emissions and the user of that air at the downstream receptor site. The ambient air
pollution concentration standards included in the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) indicate safe
daily exposure levels for most of the population, including the very young and the elderly, throughout an individual’s
lifetime. These air quality standards are normally given for specific averaging or exposure periods.
• Dust controls are regulated under the National Dust Control Regulations (NDCR) and provide dustfall rate standards
for residential and non-residential areas.
This section summarises legislation for criteria pollutants and dustfall, as well as screening criteria for non-regulated pollutants,
including carcinogens other than benzene. Regulations regarding the Highveld Priority Area (HPA) air quality management,
dispersion modelling and emissions reporting are also provided.
2.1.1 Listed Activities and Minimum National Emission Standards (MES)
The Minister, in terms of Section 21 of the National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act of 2004 (NEM:AQA)
(Government Gazette No. 27318), published a list of activities which result in atmospheric emissions and which are believed
to have significant detrimental effects on the environment, human health and social welfare. All scheduled processes as
previously stipulated under Air Pollution Prevention Act 45 of 1965 (APPA) were included as listed activities with additional
activities being added to the list. The Minimum Emission Standards (MES) were first published on 31 March 2010 (Government
Gazette No. 33064) with a revision of the schedule on the 22 November 2013 (Government Gazette No. 37054).
The current and proposed expansion of the CLS include landfilling activities, flaring and waste recycling options (not requiring
heat or chemical reactions). According to Section 21 of the NEM:AQA none of these activities fall under the Act and therefore
does not require an AEL to operate.
2.1.2 Atmospheric Emissions Reporting Regulations (NAERR)
The National Atmospheric Emission Reporting Regulations (Government Gazette No. 38633) came into effect on 2 April 2015.
The purpose of the regulations is to regulate the reporting of data and information from an identified point, non-point and
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mobile sources of atmospheric emissions to an internet-based National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory System (NAEIS).
The NAEIS is a component of the South African Air Quality Information System (SAAQIS). Its objective is to provide all
stakeholders with relevant, up to date and accurate information on South Africa's emissions profile for informed decision
making. All activities requiring an Atmospheric Emissions Licence (AEL) must report their annual atmospheric emissions on
the system by 31 March of each year.
Although the CLS is excluded from an AEL, by virtue of not falling under any of listed activities in the MES, the requirement to
report emissions on the NAEIS may still be required under the NEM:AQA National Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting
Regulations, discussed in the next section.
2.1.3 National Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting Regulations (NGERs)
The NEM:AQA National Greenhouse Gas Emission Reporting Regulations (NGERs) came into effect on 3 April 2017
(Government Gazette No. 40762). Each company’s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Report will be used as the basis for
their carbon tax calculations. Companies, in control of certain GHG emitting activities and which exceed a predetermined
threshold, will be required to submit GHG emission data calculated in line with technical guidelines and in a format prescribed
by the NGERs. Listed activities and associated capacity thresholds that require a GHG Emissions Report are provided in
Annexure 1: List of Activities for which GHG Emissions must be Reported to the Competent Authority of the NGERs. The DEA
separately published the Technical Guidelines for Monitoring, Reporting and Verification of Greenhouse Gas Emissions by
Industry (‘Technical Guideline‘) as a companion to the NGERs that provides details of the reporting methodology as specified
in the NGERs. According to the NGERs, a data provider is defined as any person in control of or conducting an activity listed
in Table 5.2 of the Technical guideline and shall include:
• its holding company or corporation or legal entity, registered in South Africa in accordance with the Legislation of
South Africa;
• all its subsidiaries and legally held operations, including joint ventures and partnerships where it has a controlling
interest, or is nominated as the responsible entity for the purpose of reporting under these Regulations (i.e. NGER);
and
• all facilities generally over which it has operational control, which are not part of another data provider as provided
for in these Regulations (i.e. NGER).
An IPCC emission source is defined in the NGERs as “any process or activity which releases a greenhouse gas, an aerosol
or a precursor of a greenhouse gas into the atmosphere which is identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) code in Annexure 1 of the NGERs”. These emission sources are divided into the following main groups:
1. Energy
2. Industrial Processes and Product Use
3. Agricultural, Forestry and Other Land Use
4. Waste
Each of these groups are further subdivided into subcategories, each of which is covered in Technical Guideline companion
to the NGERs. The scope of activities listed for mandatory reporting as per Table 5.2 of the Technical Guideline does not
include land-based emissions covered by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
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categories ‘Agriculture and Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry. However, emissions from fuel combustion or any other
listed emission source, and which originate from a facility operating within a land-based industry are, nonetheless, covered.
The fourth category 4 Waste Emissions is of relevance to the current project, which deals with emissions mainly released from
the decomposition of organic material in landfills or wastewater handling facilities and waste incineration. More specifically,
subcategory 4A Solid Waste Disposal 4A1 Managed Waste Disposal Sites applies. The requirement in Annexure 1 of the
NGERs (Table 5.2 of the Technical Guidelines) states that a data provider shall report when their total installed waste capacity
is 25000 tonnes (or more) or if the facility receives 5 tonnes per day (or more). The method of determining GHG emissions
shall be Tier 1 or Tier 2, i.e. Tier 1 methodologies allow for the use of default emission factors readily available in the 2006
IPCC Guidelines. Tier 2 methodologies require more appropriate emission factors such as country-specific emission factors.
(Tier 3 methodologies require facility or technology specific parameters that describe carbon inputs and process conditions.)
The greenhouse gases covered by the NGERs include:
• carbon dioxide (CO2)
• methane (CH4)
• nitrous oxide (N2O)
• hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
• perfluorocarbons (PFCs)
• sullur hexafluoride (SF6)
The IPCC methodology for estimating CH4 emissions from solid waste disposal sites (SWDS) is based on the First Order
Decay (FOD) method. This method assumes that the degradable organic component (degradable organic carbon, DOC) in
waste decays slowly throughout a few decades, during which CH4 and CO2 are formed. If conditions are constant, the rate of
CH4 production depends solely on the amount of carbon remaining in the waste. As a result, emissions of CH4 from waste
deposited in a disposal site are highest in the first few years after deposition, then gradually decline as the degradable carbon
in the waste is consumed by the bacteria responsible for the decay. (2006 IPCC Guidelines Chapter 3)
According to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines, emissions from flaring are not significant, as the CO2 emissions are of biogenic origin
and the CH4 and N2O emissions are very small, so good practice in the waste sector does not require their estimation.
Emissions from flaring are hence not treated at Tier 1. (2006 IPCC Guidelines Chapter 3)
2.1.4 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)
The initial NAAQS were published for comment in the Government Gazette on 9 June 2007. The revised NAAQS were
subsequently published for comment in the Government Gazette on the 13th of March 2009. The final NAAQS was published
in the Government Gazette on the 24th of December 2009 (Government Gazette 32816) and additional standards for
particulate matter less than 2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) was published on the 29th June 2012. The standards
were developed for those pollutants that are most commonly found in the atmosphere, that have proven detrimental health
effects when inhaled and are regulated by ambient air quality criteria. These generally include CO, NO2, SO2, benzene, lead
(Pb), PM10, PM2.5, and ground level ozone (O3), as listed in Table 2-1.
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Table 2-1: National Ambient Air Quality Standards
Pollutant Averaging Period Concentration
(µg/m³)
Permitted Frequency
of Exceedance Compliance Date
Sulphur Dioxide
(SO2)
10 minutes 500 526 Immediate
1 hour 350 88 Immediate
24 hours 125 4 Immediate
1 year 50 0 Immediate
Benzene 1 year 5 0 1 January 2015
Carbon
Monoxide (CO)
1 hour 30000 88 Immediate
8 hour(a) 10000 11 Immediate
Lead (Pb) 1 year 0.5 0 Immediate
Nitrogen Dioxide
(NO2)
1 hour 200 88 Immediate
1 year 40 0 Immediate
Ozone (O3) 8 hour(b) 120 11 Immediate
PM2.5
24 hours 40 4 1 January 2016 till 31 December 2029
24 hours 25 4 1 January 2030
1 year 20 0 1 January 2016 till 31 December 2029
1 year 15 0 1 January 2030
PM10 24 hours 75 4 1 January 2015
1 year 40 0 1 January 2015
Notes: (a) Calculated on 1-hour averages. (b) Running average.
2.1.5 National Dust Control Regulations (NDCR))
The NDCR were published on 1 November 2013, with the purpose of prescribe general measures for the control of dust in all
areas including residential and non-residential areas. The standard for acceptable dustfall rates is set out in Table 2-2 for
residential and non-residential areas. According to these regulations the dustfall rates at the boundary or beyond the boundary
of the premises where it originates cannot exceed 600 mg/m²/day in residential and light commercial areas; or
1 200 mg/m²/day in areas other than residential and light commercial areas.
Table 2-2: Acceptable dust fall rates
Restriction Area Dust-fall rate (D) (mg/m²/day, 30-
day average) Permitted frequency of exceeding dust fall rate
Residential D < 600 Two within a year, not sequential months.
Non-residential 600 < D < 1 200 Two within a year, not sequential months
Note: The method to be used for measuring dustfall rate and the guideline for locating sampling points shall be ASTM D1739: 1970, or
equivalent method approved by any internationally recognized body
In addition to the dust fall limits, the NDCR prescribe monitoring procedures and reporting requirements. This will be based
on the measuring reference method ASTM 01739:1970 (or an equivalent method approved by any internationally recognised
body) averaged over 30 days.
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2.1.6 Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling Regulations
Air dispersion modelling provides a cost-effective means for assessing the impact of air emission sources, the major focus of
which is to determine compliance with the relevant ambient air quality standards. Dispersion modelling provides a versatile
means of assessing various emission options for the management of emissions from existing or proposed installations. The
Regulations Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling recommend a suite of dispersion models to be applied for regulatory practices
as well as guidance on modelling input requirements, protocols and procedures to be followed. These Regulations are
applicable –
• in the development of an air quality management plan, as contemplated in Chapter 3 of the NEM:AQA;
• in the development of a Priority Area Air Quality Management Plan, as contemplated in Section 19 of the NEM:AQA;
• in the development of an Atmospheric Impact Report (AIR), as contemplated in Section 30 of the NEM:AQA; and,
• in the development of a specialist air quality impact assessment study, as contemplated in Chapter 5 of the
NEM:AQA.
Three Levels of Assessment are defined in the Regulations. The three levels are:
• Level 1: where worst-case air quality impacts are assessed using simpler screening models
• Level 2: for assessment of air quality impacts as part of license application or amendment processes, where impacts
are the greatest within a few kilometres downwind (less than 50km)
• Level 3: require more sophisticated dispersion models (and corresponding input data, resources and model operator
expertise) in the following situations:
o where a detailed understanding of air quality impacts, in time and space, is required;
o where it is important to account for causality effects, calms, non-linear plume trajectories, spatial variations
in turbulent mixing, multiple source types & chemical transformations;
o when conducting permitting and/or environmental assessment process for large industrial developments
that have considerable social, economic and environmental consequences;
o when evaluating air quality management approaches involving multi-source, multi-sector contributions
from permitted and non-permitted sources in an air-shed; or,
o when assessing contaminants resulting from non-linear processes (e.g. deposition, ground-level O3,
particulate formation, visibility).
Chapter 3 of the Regulation prescribes the source data input to be used in the model. Dispersion models are particularly useful
under circumstances where the maximum ambient concentration approaches the ambient air quality limit value and provide a
means for establishing the preferred combination of mitigation measures that may be required.
Chapter 4 of the Regulations prescribes meteorological data input from onsite observations to simulated meteorological data.
The chapter also gives information on how missing data and calm conditions are to be treated in modelling applications.
Meteorology is fundamental for the dispersion of pollutants because it is the primary factor determining the diluting effect of
the atmosphere.
Topography may also be an important geophysical parameter. The presence of significant terrain differences can lead to
significantly higher ambient concentrations than would occur in the absence of the terrain feature. Where there is a significant
relative difference in elevation between the source and off-site receptors large ground level concentrations can result.
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The modelling domain would normally be decided on the expected zone of influence; the extent being defined by simulated
ground level concentrations from initial model runs. The modelling domain must include all areas where the ground level
concentration is significant when compared to the air quality limit value (or other guideline). Air dispersion models require a
receptor grid at which ground-level concentrations can be calculated. The receptor grid size should include the entire modelling
domain to ensure that the maximum ground-level concentration is captured and the grid resolution (distance between grid
points) sufficiently small to ensure that areas of maximum impact adequately covered. No receptors should however be
located within the property line as health and safety legislation (rather than ambient air quality standards) is applicable within
the site.
Chapter 5 provides general guidance on geophysical data, model domain and coordinates system requirements, whereas
Chapter 6 elaborates more on these parameters as well as the inclusion of background air pollutant concentration data.
Chapter 6 also provides guidance on the treatment of NO2 formation from NOx emissions, chemical transformation of SO2
into sulfates and deposition processes.
Chapter 7 of the Regulation outlines how the plan of study and modelling assessment reports are to be presented to
authorities.
The first step in the dispersion modelling exercise requires a clear objective of the modelling exercise and thereby gives clear
direction to the choice of the dispersion model most suited for the purpose. Accordingly, Level 2 was deemed the most
appropriate due to the relatively uncomplicated nature of the study area as well as the anticipated impacts to be confined
within 50 km of the project location.
2.1.7 Air Quality Management Plans (AQMP) – the Highveld Priority Area (HPA)
The Highveld Airshed Priority Area (HPA) was declared the second national air quality priority area (after the Vaal Triangle
Airshed Priority Area) by the Minister of Environmental Affairs at the end of 2007 (HPA 2011). This required that an AQMP
for the area be developed. The plan includes the establishment of emissions reduction strategies and intervention programmes
based on the findings of a baseline characterisation of the area. The implication of this is that all contributing sources in the
area will be assessed to determine the emission reduction targets to be achieved over the following few years. Most of the
HPA experiences relatively good air quality, but there are nine extensive areas where ambient air quality standards for SO2,
NO2, PM10 and O3 are exceeded. These “hot spots” are illustrated in Figure 2-1 by the number of modelled exceedances of
the 24-hour PM10 limit. The air quality hot spots result from a combination of emissions from the different industrial sectors
and residential fuel burning, with motor vehicle emissions, mining and cross-boundary transport of pollutants into the HPA
adding to the base loading. The CLS is in the Ekurhuleni Hot Spot (HPA 2011) and the current particulate emissions from the
CLS is likely to also contribute to the existing compromised air quality of the HPA.
The DEA published the AQMP for the Highveld Priority Area on the 2nd of March 2012 (Government Gazette No. 35072).
Included in this management plan are seven goals, each of which has a further list of objectives that must be met. The seven
goals for the Highveld Priority area are as follows:
• Goal 1: By 2015, organizational capacity in government is optimized to efficiently and effectively maintain,
monitor and enforce compliance with ambient air quality standards.
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• Goal 2: By 2020, industrial emissions are equitably reduced to achieve compliance with ambient air quality
standards and dust fall-out limit values.
• Goal 3: By 2020, air quality in all low-income settlements is in full compliance with ambient air quality standards.
• Goal 4: By 2020, all vehicles comply with the requirements of the National Vehicle Emission Strategy.
• Goal 5: By 2020, a measurable increase in awareness and knowledge of air quality exists.
• Goal 6: By 2020, biomass burning, and agricultural emissions will be 30% less than current.
• Goal 7: By 2020, emissions from waste management are 40% less than current.
Since the CLS is in the HPA, any means of mitigating air pollution emissions from the plant, such as improved fugitive
particulate emission control measures, would be beneficial to the air quality in the HPA.
Figure 2-1: Modelled frequency of exceedance of the 24-hour ambient PM10 standard in the HPA, indicating the
modelled air quality Hot Spot areas
2.1.8 Gauteng Waste Information System (GWIS)
Regulated under Provincial Regulations (Gauteng Waste Information Regulations, 2004. Gazette No: 372, Notice No: 3035b),
the GWIS was developed and implemented within the Province in 2004. The GWIS was instituted in order to make data and
information of waste available to the public and organs of state. A further objective of the system was to make available waste
information for education, research and development, public health and disaster management. The information required for
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input into the GWIS includes the quantity of waste disposed, recycled or treated, the type of waste and the source of the
waste. The CLS is registered with GWIS with number GPF-00-038.
2.1.9 Gauteng Pollution Buffer Zones Guideline
The GDARDs Gauteng Pollution Buffer Zones Guideline (initially developed in 2002 and reviewed in 2017) was developed to
ensure that pollution buffer areas are created between the pollution sources and the nearest human settlements. A buffer
zone in terms of the guideline refers to an area of land required to filter out the deleterious effects of the pollution source that
is buffered (based on current understanding of the pollution type and mode of dispersal). The purpose of the guideline is to
ensure that residents are protected from air emissions from pollution generators and thereby establish buffers around them to
ensure that only the compatible land uses are allowed in the buffer areas.
This Guideline classified industry into eight categories based on the GDARDs brief and the release or potential for the release
of harmful effluent or emissions and associated nuisance factors like noise. The classification was made based on the nature
and level of pollution or potential release of effluents or emissions associated with specific industrial areas. Industrial areas
with pollution risks that can have potentially serious health effects on a large scale have been placed in Category 1 Industries.
Industrial areas with pollution risks that may cause minor health effects or with activities that result in nuisance rather than
actual health impacts were placed in Category 2 Industries. Industrial areas that pose little or no health impacts and that may
result in a nuisance on a localised scale have been placed in Category 3 Industries. The other categories include Sewage
Treatment Works; Landfill Sites/Waste Disposal Facilities; Mine Dumps; Mine Slimes Dams and Ash Dumps; and Nuclear
Complexes. Landfill sites are further subcategorised into the type of waste that the site can receive, i.e. Type 0 to Type 4.
The CFS can receive Type 2 Waste, hence Class B landfill. Accordingly, the Guideline provides a generic maximum buffer
of 1000 m for Class B landfill. The buffer zones around hazardous landfill sites in the Guideline were based on expert opinion
and the potential toxicity of waste accepted at the site. As stated in the Guideline, an additional safety factor was built into the
buffers for landfill sites, thus the buffers prescribed are generally larger than the buffers prescribed by the landfill licensing
conditions.
2.2 Ambient Air Quality Guidelines
2.2.1 Irritational Health Risk Factors
Air quality criteria for non-criteria pollutants are published by various sources. Such criteria include:
• World Health Organization (WHO) guideline values,
• Chronic and sub-chronic inhalation reference concentrations and cancer unit risk factors published by the US EPA
in its Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS),
• U.S. EPA Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables (HEAST)
• Reference exposure levels (RELs) published by the Californian Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment
(OEHHA), and
• Minimal risk levels issued by the US Federal Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry (ATSDR).
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Table 2-3: International health risk criteria for pollutants not included in the NAAQS
ANALYSIS CAS #
Chronic Reference Concentration
Subchronic Reference Concentration Short-Term Reference
Concentration Acute Reference Concentration
Concentration [µg/m³]
Reference Concentration
[µg/m³] Reference
Concentration [µg/m³]
Reference Concentration
[µg/m³] Reference
Acetaldehyde 75-07-0 9 IRIS 470 CALEPA
Acetonitrile 75-05-8 60 IRIS 500 HEAST Current
Acrolein 107-02-8 0.02 IRIS 0.092 ATSDR Final 0.092 ATSDR Final 6.88 ATSDR Final
Ammonia 7664-41-7 500 IRIS 100 PPRTV Current 1184.1 ATSDR Final
Arsenic 7440-38-2 0.015 CALEPA 70 PPRTV Current 0.2 CALEPA
Benzaldehyde 100-52-7
Benzene 71-43-2 30 IRIS 80 PPRTV Current 19.17 ATSDR Final 28.75 ATSDR Final
Butylacetate 123-86-4
Carbon Tetrachloride 56-23-5 100 IRIS 188.7 ATSDR Final 188.7 ATSDR Final 1900 CALEPA
Chloroform 67-66-3 97.7 ATSDR Final 244.1 ATSDR Final 244.1 ATSDR Final 488.3 ATSDR Final
Cresol, m- 108-39-4 600 CALEPA
Cresol, o- 95-48-7 600 CALEPA
Cresol, p- 106-44-5 600 CALEPA
Ethyl Acetate 141-78-6 70 PPRTV Current 700 PPRTV Current
Ethylene Dichloride 107-06-2 7 PPRTV Current 70 PPRTV Current
Formaldehyde 50-00-0 9.8 ATSDR Final 36.8 ATSDR Final 36.85 ATSDR Final 49.13 ATSDR Final
Hexane, N- 110-54-3 700 IRIS 2000 PPRTV Current
Hydrogen Sulfide 7783-06-4 2 IRIS 27.9 ATSDR Final 27.88 ATSDR Final 97.57 ATSDR Final
Methyl Ethyl Ketone 78-93-3 5000 IRIS 1000 HEAST Current 13000 CALEPA
Methyl Isobutyl Ketone 108-10-1 3000 IRIS 800 HEAST Current
Pentane, n- 109-66-0 1000 PPRTV Current 10000 PPRTV Current
Phenol 108-95-2 200 CALEPA 5800 CALEPA
Propionaldehyde 123-38-6 8 IRIS
Tetrachloroethylene 127-18-4 40 IRIS 40.69 ATSDR Draft 40.69 ATSDR Draft 40.69 ATSDR Draft
Toluene 108-88-3 5000 IRIS 5000 PPRTV Current 7600 ATSDR Final
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ANALYSIS CAS #
Chronic Reference Concentration
Subchronic Reference Concentration Short-Term Reference
Concentration Acute Reference Concentration
Concentration [µg/m³]
Reference Concentration
[µg/m³] Reference
Concentration [µg/m³]
Reference Concentration
[µg/m³] Reference
Trichloroethylene 79-01-6 2 IRIS 2.15 ATSDR Draft 2.15 ATSDR Draft
Trimethylbenzene, 1,2,3- 526-73-8 60 IRIS 200 IRIS
Trimethylbenzene, 1,2,4- 95-63-6 60 IRIS 200 IRIS
Trimethylbenzene, 1,3,5- 108-67-8 60 IRIS 200 IRIS
Vinyl Chloride 75-01-4 100 IRIS 76.7 ATSDR Final 76.7 ATSDR Final 1.28 ATSDR Final
Xylenes 1330-20-7 100 IRIS 400 PPRTV Current 2605.4 ATSDR Final 8684.662577 ATSDR Final
Notes: IRIS – IRIS U.S. EPA Integrated Risk Information System
PPRTV – U.S. EPA Provisional Peer Reviewed Toxicity Values
ATSDR – Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry minimal risk levels (MRLs)
CALEPA – California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA) Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment (OEHHA) Chronic Reference Exposure Levels (RELs)
HEAST – U.S. EPA Health Effects Assessment Summary Tables
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Various non-carcinogenic exposure thresholds for pollutants of interest in the current study are given in Table 2-3. These
Reference Concentrations (RfC) were obtained from the US EPA’s Risk Assessment Information System (RAIS). RAIS has
been sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Environmental Management, Oak Ridge Operations
(ORO) Office through a contract between URS | CH2M Oak Ridge LLC (UCOR) and the University of Tennessee. The
database is subject to quality assurance review before being published.
2.2.2 Cancer Health Risk Factors
Unit risk factors (URFs) are applied in the calculation of carcinogenic risks. These factors are defined as the estimated
probability of a person (60-70 kg) contracting cancer as a result of constant exposure to an ambient concentration of 1 µg/m³
over a 70-year lifetime. Unit risk factors were obtained from the sources described in the previous section and summarised
in Table 2-4.
Table 2-4: Unit risk factors
Chemical Inhalation Unit Risk (µg/m3)-
1 Inhalation Unit Risk Source
1,1,2,2-Tetrachloroethane 3.0E-06 WHO
1,1,2-Trichloroehane 1.6E-05 IRIS
1,1-Dichloroethane 1.6E-06 CALEPA
1,2-Dichloroethane (Ethylene dichloride) 2.8E-06 WHO
1,3-Butadiene 3.0E-05 WHO
Acetaldehyde 9.0E-07 WHO
Acrylonitrile 2.0-05 WHO
Arsenic 1.5E-03 WHO
Benzene 7.5E-06 WHO
Benzo(a)pyrene 8.7E-02 WHO
Bromodichloromethane 3.7E-05 CALEPA
Cadmium 1.8E-03 IRIS
Carbon tetrachloride 6.0E-06 IRIS
Chloroform 4.2E-07 WHO
Chromium (hexavalent) 8.4E-02 IRIS
Formaldehyde 1.3E-05 IRIS
Lead 1.2E-05 CALEPA
Methylene chloride 4.7E-07 IRIS
Nickel 2.4E-04 WHO
PCDD/PCDF (i-TEQ) 33 IRIS
Tetrachloroethylene 5.9E-06 CALEPA
Trichloroethylene 4.3E-07 WHO
Vinyl chloride 1.0E-06 WHO
Notes: IRIS – IRIS U.S. EPA Integrated Risk Information System
CALEPA – California Environmental Protection Agency Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment
WHO – World Health Organization (WHO) guideline values
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The identification of an acceptable cancer risk level has been debated for many years and it possibly will continue as societal
norms and values change. Some people would easily accept higher risks than others, even if it were not within their own
control; others prefer to take very low risks. An acceptable risk is a question of societal acceptance and will therefore vary
from society to society. Despite the difficulty to provide a definitive “acceptable risk level”, the estimation of a risk associated
with an activity provides the means for a comparison of the activity to other everyday hazards, and therefore allowing risk-
management policy decisions. During the middle 1970s, the US EPA and US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued
guidance for estimating risks associated with small exposures to potentially carcinogenic chemicals. Their guidance made
estimated risks of one extra cancer over the lifetime of 100 000 people (US EPA) or 1 million people (FDA) action levels for
regulatory attention. Estimated risks below those levels are considered negligible because they add individually so little to the
background rate of about 250 000 cancer deaths out of every 1 million people who die every year in the United States, i.e.
25%. Accepting 1 in 100 000 or 1 in a million risk translates to 0.004% or 0.0004% increase in the existing cancer risk level,
respectively. Similarly, the European Parliament and the European Council, when considering the proposal for a Directive on
Drinking Water, agreed that an excess lifetime risk of 1-in-a-million should be taken as the starting point for developing limit
values. Whilst it is perhaps inappropriate to make a judgment about how much risk should be acceptable, through reviewing
acceptable risk levels selected by other well-known organizations, the US EPA’s application is the most suitable, i.e.
“If the risk to the maximally exposed individual (MEI) is no more than 1x10-6, then no further action is required. If not, the
MEI risk must be reduced to no more than 1x10-4, regardless of feasibility and cost, while protecting as many individuals as
possible in the general population against risks exceeding 1x10-6”
Some authorities tend to avoid the specification of a single acceptable risk level. Instead a “risk-ranking system” is preferred.
For example, the New York Department of Health produced a qualitative ranking of cancer risk estimates, from very low to
very high (Table 2-5). Therefore, if the qualitative descriptor was "low", then the excess lifetime cancer risk from that exposure
is in the range of greater than one per million to less than one per ten thousand.
Table 2-5: Excess Lifetime Cancer Risk (as applied by New York Department of Health)
Risk Ratio Qualitative Descriptor
Equal to or less than one in a million Very low
Greater than one in a million to less than one in ten thousand Low
One in ten thousand to less than one in a thousand Moderate
One in a thousand to less than one in ten High
Equal to or greater than one in ten Very high
2.2.3 Odour Impact Evaluation
Odour thresholds are defined in several ways including absolute perception thresholds, recognition thresholds and
objectionability thresholds. At the perception threshold one is barely certain that an odour is detected but it is too faint to
identify further. Recognition thresholds are normally given for 50% and 100% recognition by an odour panel. Various odour
thresholds published in the literature for odorous compounds are given in Table 2-6. Reported odour threshold data varies
considerably, as much as four orders of magnitude for certain chemicals, as is evident from the thresholds included in Table
2-6. Reasons for this variability include differences in experimental methodologies and in human olfactory responses.
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Table 2-6: Odour threshold values for common odorants
Pollutant
Detection Thresholds Odour Recognition Thresholds
Concentration Reference
Concentration Reference
µg/m³ µg/m³
1-Pentane 3800 Nagata 2003 350 000 Laffort and Dravnieks 1973
1-Pentene 6.2 Verschueren, 1996
1,1-Dichloroethane 200000 Rylova 1953 493200 Verschueren, 1996
1,1-Dichloroethene 23000 Verschueren, 1996
1,2-Dichloropropane 490 Verschueren, 1996
1,1,2,2-
Tetrachloroethane 1600 Dravnieks & Laffort 1972 20000
Lehmann & Schmidt-Kehl
1936
1,3 Butadiene 3540 Verschueren, 1996
Acetaldehyde 1000 Naus 1982 10000 Naus 1982
Acetone 1000 Naus 1982 20000 Naus 1982
Acrylonitrile 22000 Nagata 2003
Ammonia 1100 Nagata 2003 35000 Naus 1982
a-pinene 64 Verschueren, 1996
Benzene 1500 Naus 1982 16000 Naus 1982
Butane 2880000 Nagata 2003 6160000 Mullins 1955
Butyl mercaptan 0.01 Nagata 2003 3 Wilby 1969
Carbon disulphide 100 Naus 1982 1000 Naus 1982
Carbon tetrachloride 29 Nagata 2003 135000 Leonardos et al 1969
Chlorobenzene 1000 Don 1986 3000 Smith and Hochstettler 1969
Chloroform 500 Naus 1982 20000 Naus 1982
Cresol (all isomers) 0.24 Nagata 2003 4.4 Leonardos et al 1969
Cumene 41 Nagata 2003 230 Hellman and Small 1974
Cyclohexane 8500 Nagata 2003 120000 Schley 1934
Cyclohexanone 480 Hellman and Small 1974 480 Hellman and Small 1974
Dimethyl disulphide 6.6 Nagy 1991 29 Wilby 1969
Dimethyl sulphide 1 Glindemann et al 2006 49 Moschandreas & Jones 1983
Ethyl benzene 730 Nagata 2003 1900 Nagy 1991
Ethyl butyrate 280 Verschueren, 1996
Ethyl chloride 10000 Backman 1917
Ethyl mercaptan 1 Wilby 1969 2.5 Leonardos et al 1969
Formaldehyde 600 Nagata 2003 12000 Leonardos et al 1969
Hydrogen sulphide 0.57 Nagata 2003 7 WHO
Limonene 10 Apell 1969 58 Fuller et al 1964
Methylene chloride 560000 Nagata 2003 730000 Leonardos et al 1969
Methyl ethyl ketone 1300 Nagata 2003 29000 Leonardos et al 1969
Methyl mercaptan 0.14 Nagata 2003 2 Wilby 1969
n-Butyl Acetate 77 Nagata 2003 180 Hellman and Small 1974
Phenyl mercaptan 0.14 Stuiver 1958 1.2 Katz & Talbert 1930
Naphthalene 450 Nagy 1991 3370 Morimura 1934
Phenol 21 Nagata 2003 180 Leonardos et al 1969
Propionic acid 17 Nagata 2003 100 Hellman and Small 1974
Tetrachloroethylene 8000 WHO 2000
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Pollutant
Detection Thresholds Odour Recognition Thresholds
Concentration Reference
Concentration Reference
µg/m³ µg/m³
Trichloroethylene 1500 Verschueren, 1996 20000 Naus 1982
Toluene 1300 Nagata 2003 20000 Naus 1982
Vinyl chloride 520000 Hori et al 1972 910000 Hori et al 1972
Xylene (all isomers) 180 Nagata 2003 2000 Leonardos et al 1969
Due to the absence of detailed South African guidance, reference was made to the international literature in identifying a
suitable method to use in assessing the potential acceptability of odour impacts associated with the proposed landfill.
Reference was primarily made to approaches adopted in the US and in the Australia due to the availability of literature on the
approaches adopted in these countries. There are two main steps in odour assessment, viz.: (i) calculation of odour units
based on predicted or measured ground level air pollution concentrations, and (ii) evaluation of odour unit acceptability based
on defined odour performance criteria. The manner with which these steps are carried out are discussed in subsequent
subsections and a method recommended for adoption in the current study.
The detectability of an odour is a sensory property that refers to the theoretical minimum concentration that produces an
olfactory response or sensation. This point is called the odour thresholds and defines one odour unit per cubic metre (OU/m³).
The odour unit is the concentration of a substance divided by the number of dilutions required for the sample to reach the
threshold as observed by a testing panel in a laboratory. This odour threshold is typically the numerical value equivalent to
when 50% of the testing panel correctly detect an odour. Alternative, and applicable to the assessment of modelled
concentrations, the odour unit is the predicted concentration of a substance divided by the odour threshold for that substance.
Therefore, an odour criterion of less than 1 OU would theoretically result in no odour impact being experienced. Based on the
literature available, the level at which an odour is perceived to be of nuisance can range from 2 OU to 10 OU, depending on
a combination of several factors, including:
o Odour quality – i.e. whether the odour results from a pure compound or from a mixture of compounds. (Pure
compounds tend to have a higher threshold – lower offensiveness – than a mixture of compounds
o Population sensitivity – any given population contains individuals with a range of sensitivities to odour. The
larger the population, generally the greater the number of sensitive individuals contained.
o Background level – refers to the likelihood of cumulative odour impacts due to the co-location of sources
emitting odours
o Public expectation – whether a given community is tolerant of a specific odour and does not find it offensive.
Background agricultural odours may, for example, not be considered offensive until a higher threshold is
reached whereas odours from a waste disposal site or chemical facility may be considered offensive at lower
thresholds.
o Source characteristics – emissions from point sources are more easily controlled that are diffuse sources,
e.g. waste disposal sites
o Health effects – whether an odour is likely to be associated with adverse health effects. In general, odour
from an agricultural operation is less likely to present a health risk than emissions from a waste disposal or
chemical facility.
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Experience gained in NSW through odour assessments for proposed and existing facilities has indicated that an odour
performance criterion of 7 OU/m³ is likely to represent the level below which “offensive” odours should not occur for an
individual with a “standard sensitivity”3 to odours. The NSW EPA (NSW 2017) policy therefore recommends that, as a design
criterion, no individual be exposed to ambient odour levels of greater than 7 OU/m3. Where several the factors listed above
simultaneously contribute to making an odour ‘offensive’, an odour criterion of 2 OU/m3 at the nearest sensitive receptor
(existing or any likely future receptor) is appropriate. This is given as generally occurring for affected populations equal to or
above 2000 people. A summary of the NSW EPA’s odour performance criteria for various population densities is shown in
Table 2-7.
Table 2-7: NSW EPA odour performance criteria defined based on population density (NSW EPA, 2017)
Population of Affected Community Odour performance criteria (odour units/m³)
Urban area (>2000) 2.0 500 – 2000 3.0
125 – 500 4.0
30 – 125 5.0
10 – 30 6.0
Single residences (2) 7.0
The odour performance criteria specified by the NSW EPA is compared to that used in other jurisdictions in Table 2-8. It is
evident that the odour performance criteria range specified by the NSW EPA includes the criteria stipulated in various other
jurisdictions. The exception being the South Coast Air Quality Management District in the US which permits odour units of up
to 10 OU in certain instances.
Table 2-8: Odour performance criteria used in various jurisdictions in the US and Australia (after NSW EPA,
2001b)
Jurisdiction
Odour Performance
Criteria (given for application to
odour units) (OU)
New South Wales EPA (NSW EPA, 2001a, 2001b) 2 to 7 California Air Resources Board (Amoore, 1999) 5
South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) (CEQA, 1993) 5 to 10
Massachusetts (Leonardos, 1995) 5
Connecticut (Warren Spring Laboratory, 1990) 7
Queensland (Queensland Department of Environment and Heritage, 1994) 5
It is recommended that the NSW EPA approach (NSW EPA 2017) be adopted for use in the current study. The approach
may be summarised as follows:
(i) It is recognised that the predicted model results from dispersion models such as AERMOD need to be extrapolated
to shorter intervals from the typical hourly average concentration results to more accurately simulate atmospheric
dispersion of odours. This is because the instantaneous perception of odours by the human nose typically occurs
3 “Standard Sensitivity” is defined by the Australian and European CEN Standards, which require that the geometric mean of individual odour thresholds estimates must fall between 20 ppb and 80 ppb for n-butanol (the reference compound).
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over a time scale of a few seconds, whereas dispersion model predictions are typically valid for time scales
equivalent to ten minutes to one hour averaging periods. To estimate the effects of plume meandering and
concentration fluctuations perceived by the human nose, it is more appropriate to multiply dispersion model
predictions by a correction factor. The prediction of peak concentrations from estimates of ensemble means can be
obtained from a ratio between extreme short-term concentration and longer-term averages. Properly defined peak-
to-mean ratios depend upon the type of source, atmospheric stability and distance downwind. The NSW EPA (NSW
EPA 2017) recommend different factors for estimating peak concentrations depending on different source types,
stabilities and distances. The peak to mean ratio for area sources in the near-field4 is 2.3 (stable atmospheric
conditions and 2.5 (unstable and neutral atmospheric conditions), and in the far field the ratio is 1.9 (stable
atmospheric conditions and 2.3 (unstable and neutral atmospheric conditions), respectively. For the purposes of the
current assessment, a value of 2.3 was adopted for all atmospheric stabilities and downwind distances. This ratio is
similar to the recommendation provided in the DEA Regulations Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling (Section 6.4.1)
for an approximation of the 1-minute average concentration. The extrapolation is performed with the following
equation:
𝐶1
𝐶2
= (𝑇2
𝑇1
)𝑝
where
𝐶1 and 𝐶2 are concentrations for averaging times 𝑇1 and 𝑇2, respectively;
𝑇1 and 𝑇2 are any two averaging times – in this instance 𝑇1 = 1 and 𝑇2 = 60 minutes
p is a parameter ranging from 0.16 to 0.68, depending on the atmospheric stability.
Most widely used values range between 0.16 and 0.25. The DEA Regulations
Regarding Air Dispersion Modelling (Section 6.4.1) recommend using 0.2, which if
applied to the equation provides a ratio of 2.3
(ii) recognition of the detection range for a substance and calculation of the geometric mean detection limit within the
range;
(iii) calculation of odour units by calculating ratios between the 99.9th percentile 3-minute average air pollutant
concentrations and the respective geometric mean detection limits; and
(iv) application of the odour performance criteria set out by the NSW EPA in Table 2-8.
4 The near field is typically 10 times the largest source dimension, either height or width (NSW EPA 2016).
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3 ENVIRONMENTAL BASELINE
3.1 Topography
There are no significant topographical features in the study area. The topography rises gradually from the CFS towards the
southeast and northeast. From the southern boundary at an elevation of about 1620 m above mean sea level (AMSL), the
topography rises to about 1674 m AMSL at about 1 km southeast from the CFS. From the eastern boundary at an elevation
of about 1600 m AMSL, the topography rises to about 1632 m AMSL at about 1 km southeast from the CFS. The topography
rises slightly from about 1585 m AMSL at the northern boundary of the CFS to approximately 1597 m AMSL at about 390 m
northwest from the boundary. From here it falls to approximately 1560 m AMSL at about 1.4km from the CFS. There is a
similar fall towards the west of the CFS, i.e. dropping from approximately 1602m AMSL to approximately 1552 m AMSL at
about 1 km from the western boundary of the CFS. The topography increases again to approximately 1578 m AMSL at about
1.6 km. The average slope varies from +5% to the southeast, +3% to the northeast, -4% to the northwest and -5% to the west
for the CFS. These are not significant, and it is therefore reasonable not having to include detailed topography data into the
dispersion model.
3.1 Atmospheric Dispersion Potential
Physical and meteorological mechanisms govern the dispersion, transformation, and eventual removal of pollutants from the
atmosphere. The analysis of hourly average meteorological data is necessary to facilitate a comprehensive understanding of
the dispersion potential of the site. The primary meteorological parameters for air pollutant dispersion include wind speed,
wind direction and ambient temperature. Other meteorological parameters that influence the air concentration levels include
rainfall (washout) and a measure of atmospheric stability. Atmospheric stability is not normally measured but rather derived
from other parameters such as the vertical height temperature difference or the standard deviation of wind direction. The depth
of the atmosphere in which the pollutants can mix is similarly derived from other meteorological parameters by means of
mathematical parameterizations. The meteorological data used for the assessment was from the SAWS OR Tambo
International Airport (ORTIA) meteorological station for the three-year period 2016 to 2018. The weather station is
approximately 13 km southeast of the CLS. The parameters of interest are discussed below.
3.1.1 Surface Wind Field
The wind regime recorded at the weather station largely reflects the synoptic scale circulation. Situated in the subtropical
high-pressure (HP) belt, southern Africa is influenced by several HP cells, in addition to various circulation systems prevailing
in the adjacent tropical and temperature latitudes. The mean circulation of the atmosphere over southern Africa is anticyclonic
throughout the year (except near the surface) due to the dominance of three HP cells, viz. the South Atlantic HP off the west
coast, the South Indian HP off the east coast, and the continental HP over the interior. Seasonal variations in the position and
intensity of the HP cells determine the extent to which the tropical easterlies and the circumpolar westerlies impact on the
atmosphere over the subcontinent. The tropical easterlies, and the occurrence of easterly waves and lows, affect most of
southern Africa throughout the year. In winter, the HP belt intensifies and moves northward, the upper level circumpolar
westerlies expand and displace the upper tropical easterlies equatorward. The winter weather of South Africa is, therefore,
largely dominated by perturbations in the westerly circulation. Such perturbations take the form of a succession of cyclones
or anticyclones moving eastwards around the coast or across the country. During summer months, the anticyclonic belt
weakens and shifts southwards, allowing the tropical easterly flow to resume its influence over South Africa. A weak heat low
characterises the near surface summer circulation over the interior, replacing the strongly anticyclonic winter-time circulation
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(Schulze, 1986; Preston-Whyte and Tyson, 1988). The wind field for the study area is described with the use of wind roses.
Wind roses comprise 16 spokes, which represent the directions from which winds blew during a specific period. The colours
used in the wind roses below, reflect the different categories of wind speeds; the yellow area, for example, representing winds
in between 4 and 5 m/s. The dotted circles provide information regarding the frequency of occurrence of wind speed and
direction categories. Calm conditions are periods when the wind speed was below 1 m/s. These low values can be due to
“meteorological” calm conditions when there is no air movement; or, when there may be wind, but it is below the anemometer
starting threshold (AST).
The period, day-time and night-time wind roses are shown in Figure 3-1 for the ORTIA SAWS station, and seasonal wind
roses are shown in Figure 3-2. The ORTIA station wind field was dominated by winds from the north and north-west, with
winds of increased speeds more frequently originating to the north. Winds were infrequently from the south-west. Calm
conditions occurred approximately 1.5% of the time, most frequently at night (2.4%). During the day, winds at higher wind
speeds occurred more frequently from the north and north-west. Night-time airflow had was also dominated by north and
north-westerly winds but at lower wind speeds.
Calm conditions were most frequently recorded in autumn and most infrequently in spring (Figure 3-2). Although the seasonal
wind fields were similar than the period average, slight variations were observed. The autumn and winter wind fields showed
more frequent winds from the south, with a predominance of north-westerly winds. Winds in the higher wind speed categories
are most common in spring, with the fewest calm conditions. The wind field in summer shows a predominance of northerly
winds.
Figure 3-1: Period average, day-time and night-time wind roses (measured data; 2016 to 2018)
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Figure 3-2: Seasonal wind roses (measured data; 2016 to 2018)
3.1.1.1 Temperature
Air temperature is important, both for determining the effect of plume buoyancy and determining the development of the mixing
and inversion layers. The monthly temperature trends are presented in Table 3-1 and Figure 3-3. The warmest temperatures
experienced from October to February, while the coolest temperature occur in June and July. Figure 3-4 is a comparison of
the monthly mean temperatures recorded at ORTIA for the two periods 1951 to 1984 (Schultz 1986) and the more recent 2016
to 2018. The latter three years’ averages were significantly higher than the long-term averages by approximately 8% (a
minimum of 2% for February and a maximum of 22% for June).
Table 3-1: Monthly temperature summary (2016 - 2018)
Hourly Minimum, Hourly Maximum and Monthly Average Temperatures (°C)
ORTIA SAWS Weather Station (2016 - 2018)
Statistic Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Minimum 8.3 10.7 7.3 5.7 2.3 -1.1 -2.3 0.0 -0.6 2.8 3.9 10.7
Average 20.3 19.9 19.3 17.3 13.9 12.2 11.4 14.2 18.1 18.4 19.1 20.5
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Maximum 35.0 31.1 29.4 28.3 22.8 21.8 21.8 26.8 30.7 32.8 31.8 32.8
Figure 3-3: Monthly average temperature profile (measured data; 2016 to 2018; ORTIA SAWS station)
Figure 3-4: Comparison of monthly mean temperatures at ORTIA for 1951-1984 (Schultz 1986) and 2016-2018
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3.1.2 Precipitation
Precipitation is important to air pollution studies since it represents an effective removal mechanism for atmospheric pollutants
and inhibits dust generation potentials. According to the rainfall data from the ORTIA station, the mean annual precipitation is
650 mm (for the three-year period 2016 to 2018 - Figure 3-5). Precipitation occurs as showers and thunderstorms and falls
mainly from October to May (approximately 90 days of measurable rain per year. The winter months are dry with the combined
rainfall in June, July and August making up only 1 % of the annual total.
The average of the three years’ monthly totals are compared to the long-term average monthly totals (1951-1984) in Table
3-2.Table 3-2: Long-term monthly rainfall total compared observations for the period 2016 to 2018 The most significant
differences are noted for the months of April and May; and August and September. Lower rainfall was received during April,
August and September for the 2016-2018 period, whereas nearly double the rainfall where received for May when compared
to the long-term statistics. The annual rainfall for 2016 was slightly higher (797 mm), whereas the rainfall for 2017 (641 mm)
and 2018 (510 mm) were significantly lower than the long-term average of 718 mm (Schultz 1986).
Table 3-2: Long-term monthly rainfall total compared observations for the period 2016 to 2018 at ORTIA
SAWS weather station
Comparison of Monthly Rainfall for the periods 1951-1984 and 2016-2018
Period Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2016-2018 101 92 93 34 39 4 6 0 6 61 112 102
1951-1984 131 95 81 55 19 7 6 6 26 72 114 106
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2016 123 65 137 14 49 11 15 0 3 50 210 120
2017 116 118 26 64 46 0 2 0 4 81 76 109
2018 63 93 115 23 24 0 1 0 11 52 50 78
0
50
100
150
200
250
Rai
nfal
l (m
m)
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Figure 3-5: Monthly rainfall figures (measured data; 2016 to 2018; ORTIA SAWS station)
3.1.3 Atmospheric Stability
The new-generation air dispersion models describe atmospheric stability as a continuum rather than discrete classes used in
older models. The atmospheric boundary layer properties are therefore described by two parameters; the boundary layer
depth and the Obukhov length. The Obukhov length (LMo) provides a measure of the importance of buoyancy generated by
the heating of the ground and mechanical mixing generated by the frictional effect of the earth’s surface. Physically, it can be
thought of as representing the depth of the boundary layer within which mechanical mixing is the dominant form of turbulence
generation (CERC 2004). The atmospheric boundary layer constitutes the first few hundred metres of the atmosphere. During
daytime, the atmospheric boundary layer is characterised by thermal turbulence due to the heating of the earth’s surface.
Night-times are characterised by weak vertical mixing and the predominance of a stable layer. These conditions are normally
associated with low wind speeds and lower dilution potential.
Diurnal variation in atmospheric stability, as calculated from modelled data, and described by the inverse Obukhov length and
the boundary layer depth is provided in Figure 3-6. The highest concentrations for ground level, or near-ground level releases
from non-wind dependent sources would occur during weak wind speeds and stable (night-time) atmospheric conditions. For
elevated releases, unstable conditions can result in very high concentrations of poorly diluted emissions close to the stack.
This is called looping and occurs mostly during daytime hours. Neutral conditions disperse the plume equally in both the
vertical and horizontal planes and the plume shape is referred to as coning. Stable conditions prevent the plume from mixing
vertically, although it can still spread horizontally and is called fanning. For ground level releases, the highest ground level
concentrations will occur during stable night-time conditions.
Figure 3-6: Diurnal atmospheric stability (AERMET processed SAWS data, 2016 to 2018)
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Together with topography, atmospheric stability accounts for occurrence of low-level inversion layers where pollutants may
not disperse effectively. The upper air profile, generated by the AERMET pre-processor, accounts for periods when inversion
layers develop in the upper air.
3.2 Air Pollution Measurements
Reference is made to ambient air quality monitoring information from onsite measurements, fence line samplers and air quality
monitoring stations located in the greater region for the purpose of assessing existing air pollution levels and determining the
potential which exists for cumulative concentrations and hence impacts.
3.2.1 Air Pollution Measurements
The City of Johannesburg (CoJ) currently operates three stations nearest to the CLS. These include a station located at the
Buccleuch Interchange, and a station located within Alexandra at the East Bank Clinic, both of which were commissioned in
2004; and later, in 2009, a monitoring station was commissioned in Ivory Park (see Figure 3-7). The former monitoring location
was specific to the purpose of monitoring vehicular exhaust emissions whereas the latter two are in low income communities
with a strong reliance on domestic combustion. The Buccleuch station has only recently been operational again, after an
extended period of experiencing power connection problems. The station is equipped to monitor meteorological parameters,
SO2, NOx, ozone, PM2.5 and PM10. Similarly, the stations in Ivory Park and Alexandra is equipped to monitor meteorological
parameters, SO2, and PM10. Unfortunately, these two stations also experienced problems and only Alexandra has very
recently been collecting data again. Long term availability of air quality data from these stations is limited and relatively old –
Buccleuch up to and including 2011, Alexandra up to and including 2008 (availability for 2006 to 2008 below 80%) and Ivory
Park for the years 2008 to 2012 but availability less than 10% for the entire period (City of Johannesburg Air Quality
Management Plan, 2017).
Ekurhuleni District Municipality operates two air quality monitoring stations which are located further east from the Ivory Park
station, as shown in Figure 3-7. The station in Olifantsfontein records measurement of meteorological parameters, SO2, NOx
CO, PM10, PM2.5, benzene, toluene, and ethyl benzene. This station has reportedly good data recovery; however, these
observations, just like the other monitoring stations are not relevant to describe the air quality in the vicinity of the CLS. Apart
from the relatively large separation distances between the various monitoring stations and the CLS (order of 10 km) these
observations reflect the concentrations of air pollutants which are due primarily from very local air emission sources. Instead,
it may be more relevant to derive the baseline air quality at the CLS from air quality simulation studies such as the results
published in the draft City of Johannesburg Air Quality Management Plan (2017). The primary aim of the air quality modelling
was to identify air pollutant hotspots. This was achieved by simulating the transport and transformation of pollutant emissions
on an hourly basis within the CoJ boundary and applying various analyses to the output. The air quality model employed to
achieve this was the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx) developed by Ramboll-ENVIRON. The authors
pointed out that only a limited comparison with model output and measurements were performed due to the sparse
measurement data available for this purpose. It was therefore difficult to ascertain the actual performance of the model.
Nonetheless, the simulations clearly identified areas near communities with heavy residential fuel burning and mine tailings
storage facilities as hotspots for PM10 (Figure 3-8). The Tembisa and Ivory Park area was identified as a hotspot, and the
predicted PM10 concentration over the CLS is in the range 75 to 120 µg/m³ towards the east and north, and below 75 µg/m³
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towards the southwest. The study area may therefore be prone to occasional exceedances of the daily average NAAQS for
PM10 of 75 µg/m³.
Figure 3-7: CLS in relationship with the air quality monitoring stations in and near CoJ from City of Tshwane
(CoT), Ekurhuleni (EKHL), West Rand (WRDM) and Vaal Triangle Airshed Priority Area (VTAPA) networks (City of
Johannesburg Air Quality Management Plan, 2017)
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Figure 3-8: Simulated PM10 air concentrations for 2014 (99th percentile, daily average)
The hotspot analysis identified a large area impacted by SO2 emissions in the current study area (Figure 3-9). The SO2 99th
percentile daily average concentrations predicted at the CLS is in the range of 48 ppb to 354 ppb (125 µg/m³ to 927 µg/m³),
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which is above the NAAQS limit value of 125 µg/m³. The authors pointed out that this hotspot simulation was dominated by
the SO2 emissions from Kelvin power station (south of the CLS), but further cautioned that an analysis of the monitoring data
did not support the many exceedances of the SO2 limit, as predicted by the model.
Figure 3-9: Simulated SO2 air concentrations for 2014 (99th percentile, daily average)
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Privately owned monitoring stations in the study area include the Chlorchem and AECI networks. Chlorchem, however, only
monitors chlorine air concentrations and therefore not relevant to the study. AECI operates an air quality monitoring station
located south-south east of the CLS in Ester Park, as shown in Figure 3-7. The AECI station can monitors meteorological
parameters as well as SO2, NOx, PM10 and ammonia (NH3). Unfortunately, at the time of the current study, information from
this station was not available for analysis.
Highest hourly, highest daily and annual average pollutant concentrations recorded at the AECI Ester Park monitoring station
during the 2002-2003 are given in Table 3-3. NAAQS limit exceedances are indicated in the table in bold print. Exceedances
of the limit values were noted to occur for PM10, NO2 and SO2. Frequencies of exceedance of the stringent air quality limits
were calculated to be 1.06% for NO2, 0.1% for SO2 and 31.3% for PM10. Although the NAAQS limit values were exceeded
for NO2 and SO2, these were within the 1% allowable frequency of exceedance and hence within their respective NAAQS
standards.
Table 3-3: Maximum and average air pollution concentrations recorded at the AECI Ester Park monitoring
station during the 2002-3 period (values given in bold print represent exceedances of air quality limits)
Pollutants Air Pollutant Concentrations (µg/m³)
Highest Hourly Average Highest Daily Average Annual Average (2003)
PM10 498.7 146.0(a) 54.0(b)
NO2 960.0(c) 302.2 87.5(d)
SO2 574.1(e) 129.4(f) 32.2
NH3 510.0 252.3 27.7
(a) Exceeds the NAAQS daily average limit (75 µg/m³) (d) Exceeds the NAAQS annual average standard (40 µg/m³)
(b) Exceeds the NAAQS annual average standard (40 µg/m³) (e) Exceeds the NAAQS hourly average limit (350 µg/m³)
(c) Exceeds the NAAQS hourly average limit (200 µg/m³) (f) Exceeds the NAAQS daily average limit (125 µg/m³)
3.2.2 Onsite Ambient Air Monitoring
Enviroserv commissioned Geozone Environmental to perform regular measurement of the air quality at the CFS. These
measurements have been made at two fence line locations at the CLS, as shown in Figure 3-10. The sampling method used
passive diffusive samplers which were exposed for monthly (approximate) periods at a time. The samplers were used to
measure H2S, NH3 and volatile organic compounds. Measurement data consisting of 26 monthly samples from July 2014 to
January 2019 were made available for analysis. A summary of the results is provided in Table 3-4. Of the 31 different
compounds listed in the Geozone Environmental results, 6 were found to be below detection, including 2-butoxyethanol,
carbon tetrachloride, cresol, phenol, tetrachloroethylene and trichloroethylene
The results in the table are ranked from highest mean concentration for the period June 2014 to January 2019. The compound
with the highest mean air concentration was observed to be NH3, with a mean value of 37.6 µg/m³ and a maximum of 195.1
µg/m³ (measured for a month during May 2017 and June 2017). Although this was the compound with the highest
concentration, it was still below the chronic and sub-chronic RfCs provided in Table 2-3. The only compounds that exceeded
their respective chronic RfCs include H2S (chronic RfC = 2 µg/m³) and acrolein (chronic RfC = 0.02 µg/m³). Only acrolein
exceeded its sub-chronic RfC of 0.09 µg/m³ when compared to the observed maximum concentration. However, according to
the Geozone data, acrolein was below the detection limit from 2015 onwards.
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Figure 3-10: Locations of passive sampling at the CLS
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Table 3-4: Summary of diffusive passive sampler results for the period June 2014 to January 2019 (source: Geozone Environmental)
Compound
Sampling Location 1 Sampling Location 2
June 2014 - January 2019 2016-2018 2018 June 2014 - January 2019 2016-2019 2018
Mean Maximum Mean Maximum Mean Maximum Mean Maximum Mean Maximum Mean Maximum
Ammonia 37.6 195.1 53.4 195.1 38.9 54.25 10.4 73.2 12.4 50.3 7.4 9.26
White spirits 19.5 90.9 26.6 90.9 22.1 29.66 33.6 76.0 26.2 54.0 31.2 43.12
Xylenes (all isomers) 9.2 17.1 10.8 17.1 10.6 17.13 15.3 38.3 11.7 16.2 11.0 16.16
Toluene 7.5 13.5 8.6 13.5 9.3 13.54 13.3 50.0 9.5 13.5 9.8 13.54
Limonene 7.4 57.1 1.6 5.5 3.2 5.46 11.3 81.6 1.8 6.1 3.7 6.13
Pentane 4.8 9.8 5.7 9.8 5.6 9.32 6.5 14.1 5.8 11.0 5.8 9.08
Hydrogen Sulphide 4.0 27.5 11.6 27.5 12.8 27.52 2.8 18.4 6.9 18.4 6.9 11.95
Formaldehyde 3.6 16.0 0.8 2.0 1.1 1.95 3.9 18.1 1.1 2.7 1.2 2.11
Benzene 3.3 15.6 4.5 15.6 2.3 3.11 3.3 15.7 4.3 15.7 2.5 3.08
Trimethylbenzenes 3.2 7.8 2.6 5.5 3.9 5.52 5.0 13.7 3.1 6.3 4.4 5.76
Ethyl acetate 2.9 7.7 4.4 7.7 4.9 7.69 3.7 14.2 3.6 5.4 3.9 5.38
Ethylbenzene 2.6 6.3 2.8 4.8 2.9 4.77 3.6 9.3 3.4 5.6 3.5 5.55
Isohexane 2.3 4.3 2.7 4.3 2.4 3.95 2.9 5.6 2.9 5.3 2.6 3.96
Butyraldehyde 2.2 13.8 2.2 6.7 3.9 6.66 3.0 16.2 2.3 7.0 2.3 6.97
Acetaldehyde 2.0 11.5 0.8 2.1 1.1 2.09 2.4 13.5 1.2 3.4 1.3 2.6
n-Hexane 1.7 2.7 1.8 2.7 1.8 2.65 2.6 15.7 1.9 2.7 2.0 2.65
Acrolein 1.5 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.8 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
Acetonitrile 1.0 26.4 3.8 26.4 8.8 26.41 0.1 1.5 0.2 1.5 0.5 1.49
Propionaldehyde 0.4 2.3 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.82 1.1 16.3 0.3 1.6 0.5 1.56
Benzaldehyde 0.4 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.5 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
n-Butyl acetate 0.3 1.8 0.5 1.8 1.0 1.77 0.8 3.7 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.16
Methyl ethyl ketone 0.3 2.5 1.0 2.5 1.5 2.5 0.4 5.1 0.7 5.1 0.0 0
Methyl isobutyl ketone 0.3 1.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.53 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.34
Chloroform 0.1 2.2 0.3 2.2 0.0 0 0.2 5.2 0.7 5.2 0.0 0
Naphthalene 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.8 19.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
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The incremental cancer risk for the carcinogenic compounds found in the samples was calculated using the unit risk factors
from Table 2-5. Of the potential carcinogens included in the analysis, only acetaldehyde and benzene were detected.
Carbon tetrachloride, chloroform, tetrachloroethylene and trichloroethylene were below detection limits. The incremental
cancer risks on the site (i.e. conservatively assuming lifetime exposure to the average passive diffusive sampler results)
are:
• Acetaldehyde : 1 in a million
• Benzene : 18 in a million
Testing the for the most significant odours were done using the odour recognition concentrations in Table 2-6. In order to
compare the observed passive sampler concentrations, the monthly mean values need to be extrapolated to short-term
concentrations (1-minute or 1-hour averages). The methodology to extrapolate from hourly to minute average
concentrations were discussed in Section 2.2.3. However, since the observations represent monthly means, a slightly
different exponent for the equation is used. The observed monthly means is first extrapolated to a daily mean value using
the formula as discussed in Section 2.2.3, i.e.
𝐶1
𝐶2
= (𝑇2
𝑇1
)𝑝
where
𝐶1 and 𝐶2 are concentrations for averaging times 𝑇1 = 1 and 𝑇2 = 30 days
p 0.53 (Beychok 2005)
The calculated conversion ratio is approximately 6.06. The next extrapolation is from a daily mean to an hourly mean.
Applying the above formula with 𝑇1 = 60 and 𝑇2 = 24𝑥60 = 1440 minutes and p = 0.2, the calculate conversion ratio
is approximately 1.89. The overall conversion ratio is then obtained as the product, i.e. 11.45.
Through comparison of the compounds contained in Table 3-4, with their respective odour recognition concentrations
(Table 2-6), H2S, NH3, limonene and formaldehyde were initially identified as potential nuisance odorants. However, when
applying the above extrapolation to estimate short-term concentrations of the pollutants, only H2S and limonene flagged
as significant odorants, i.e. exceeding the odour recognition concentrations, as shown in Table 3-5.
Table 3-5: Extrapolated short-term concentration from June 2014 to January 2019 air quality monitoring
data (source: Geozone Environmental)
Compound
Odour Recognition
Concentration
[µg/m³]
Extrapolated Observations
98th Percentile 99th Percentile Peak
Location 1 Location 2 Location 1 Location 2 Location 1 Location 2
H2S 7 263 176 289 193 315 211
Limonene 58 623 882 639 908 654 882
Formaldehyde 12000 182 201 182 204 182 201
NH3 35000 1569 713 1902 776 2234 839
Although other reduced sulphurs other than H2S (e.g. methyl mercaptan, ethyl mercaptan, dimethyl sulphide, etc.) were
not included in the Geozone Environmental data, it is suspected that H2S adequately represents this group of compounds
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for its odour significance. Furthermore, although both H2S and limonene were identified as significant odorants, the
observed H2S concentrations are much higher relative to its odour recognition concentration than limonene, and hence
assuming no synergistic effects, the H2S odour would dominate the impact from the landfill.
It is noticeable that monitoring Location #1 recorded higher H2S values than at Location #2 (50% higher). On the other
hand, lower concentrations of limonene were recorded at Location #1 than Location #2 (30% lower). This difference may
be due to different emission locations, and it is suspected the higher H2S concentrations were possibly due to the proximity
of the leachate dam to Location #1. Limonene is more likely to only be released from the landfill whereas H2S would be
from both the landfill and the leachate dam. This is further illustrated when the results in Table 3-5 are compared with the
observations for January 2017 to January 2019 (Table 3-6). The limonene and formaldehyde concentrations have reduced
significantly during the past two years (i.e. lower LFG production), whilst the H2S and NH3 concentrations have remained
relatively similar than the long-term statistics. The latter may be due to a reduction of the limonene and formaldehyde
emissions from the landfill, whereas the leachate dam still emits H2S and NH3 (see Section 4.6.2 for discussion on leachate
dam).
Table 3-6: Extrapolated short-term concentration from January 2017 to January 2019 air quality
monitoring data (source: Geozone Environmental)
Compound
Odour Recognition
Concentration
[µg/m³]
Extrapolated Observations
98th Percentile 99th Percentile Peak
Location 1 Location 2 Location 1 Location 2 Location 1 Location 2
H2S 7 299 201 307 206 315 211
Limonene 58 61 68 62 69 63 70
Formaldehyde 12000 28 30 28 31 29 31
NH3 35000 2040 511 2137 544 2234 544
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4 LANDFILL GAS EMISSIONS
Under standard operating practices, a landfill site is characterised by two main sources of gaseous emissions, namely the
working surface and covered portions of the landfill. Although gaseous emissions can also originate from the leachate dam
(or tanks), this is often less significant – once the leachate has been collected and removed from the landfill, it must undergo
some type of treatment and disposal which also reduces air emissions, particularly volatile organic compounds (VOCs). If the
LFG is captured and flared, emissions from the flare would represent a further source of gaseous and particulate emissions.
Sources of fugitive dust emissions include vehicle-entrained dust from paved and unpaved roads, materials handling
operations (e.g. waste movement, compaction and tipping operations), wind erosion of open areas and soil cover, and vehicle
activity on the landfill site, including general vehicle traffic (tractors, trucks, etc.) and earthmoving activities.
This chapter describes the methods employed for the quantification of routine landfill gas and fugitive dust emissions, and
emission rates estimated for each of the pollutants selected for inclusion in the investigation. The following three operational
scenarios were considered during the current study:
• Base Case: current (2019) landfill operations with capping employed on the closed portions of the fill (cells 1 to 6),
and gas collection or flaring in place. This scenario includes surcharge over the previously capped landfill cells.
• Phase 1A: Proposed landfill operations with the gas recovery project in place for Cells 1 to 7 and Phase 1A (i.e. with
capping employed on the closed portions of the fill, collection of gaseous emissions conducted with flaring of these
emissions to atmosphere).
• Phase 1B: Proposed landfill operations with the gas recovery project in place for Cells 1 to 7, Phase 1A and Phase
1B (Cell1 and Cell 2) (i.e. with capping employed on the closed portions of the fill, collection of gaseous emissions
conducted with flaring of these emissions to atmosphere).
4.1 Landfill Gas Generation
Organic waste in a landfill decomposes to form gaseous products and manifests itself as LFG. The waste decomposition
process involves several stages during which different groups of bacteria break down complex organic substances such as
carbohydrates, proteins and lipids into successively simpler compounds. When the degradation process slowly moves from
aerobic condition (presence of free oxygen) to anaerobic condition (absence of free oxygen), carbon dioxide levels continue
to be high, gradually falling as the methane concentration builds up. Upon commencement of the degradation process, bacteria
consume any oxygen contained within the waste and release mainly carbon dioxide, water and heat. In the presence of
atmospheric air, that is near the surface of the landfill, the natural organic compounds are oxidised aerobically, which is a
reaction that is like combustion because the products are carbon dioxide and water vapour. Methane production
(methanogenesis) only starts after anaerobic conditions have been established in the waste, typically 3-6 months after waste
placement (IE EPA 2012). Anaerobic digestion takes place in three stages. In the first stage, fermentative bacteria hydrolyse
the complex organic matter into soluble molecules. In the second stage, these molecules are converted by acid forming
bacteria to simple organic acids, carbon dioxide and hydrogen; the principal acids produced are acetic acid, propionic acid,
butyric acid and ethanol. Finally, in the third stage, methane is formed by methanogenic bacteria, either by breaking down
the acids to methane and carbon dioxide, or by reducing carbon dioxide with hydrogen (Themelis and Ulloa 2007). During
peak gas production the bulk gas consists typically of 50 to 60% methane and 40 to 50% carbon dioxide (IE EPA 2012). Once
all biodegradable substrate in the waste has been consumed, gas production slows and the gas composition in the waste
returns to atmospheric conditions.
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Apart from methane and carbon dioxide there are more than 500 substances contained in LFG (IE EPA 2012). The list of
compounds included in the assessment were provided in Table 1-1. Many of these trace gases are toxic, odorous, or both.
Their combined total concentration is typically in the order of a few per cent. Their release to atmosphere occurs mainly
because bulk landfill gas, which is produced in much larger volumes, acts as a carrier gas and flushes the trace gases out of
the body of waste and into the surrounding environment. Certain compounds of both bulk and trace landfill gas can be defined
as VOCs. These include the chemical groups known as alcohols, aldehydes, alkanes, aromatics, halocarbons, ketones and
halogenated derivatives of these substances. VOCs are often grouped into methane and other non-methane VOCs
(NMVOCs). While many VOCs have no odour (such as methane), several VOCs are highly odorous, for example the sulphur
containing mercaptans and dimethyl sulphides.
The quantity of LFG generation would vary with time. An analysis of several anaerobic digestion operations by Verma and
Themelis (2004) showed that the reported rate of generation of biogas ranged from 100 to 200 Nm³ of biogas (54 to108 Nm³
methane) per tonne of wastes digested (using an estimated 60% biomass content). For a landfill containing about 70% of
biomass materials, Themelis and Ulloa (2007) showed that the theoretical generation rate is 208 Nm³ per one tonne of
municipal waste of biogas or 0.149 tonnes of methane per of one tonne of municipal waste, assuming complete reaction.
Table 4-1 summarises the waste disposal rates per year since the start of operation at the CLS. Using the Verma and Themelis
(2004) emission factor range, the estimated average LFG generation over the lifetime of the CLS is calculated to vary between
about 2500 m³/hr and 5000 m³/hr.
Table 4-1: Historical waste amounts received at the CLS from 1997, i.e. the start of operations
Year Waste Receival Rate [tonne]
Waste Only Cover Material Waste and Cover Material
1997 14067 2345 16412
1998 117536 19589 137125
1999 169919 28320 198239
2000 268172 44695 312867
2001 290343 48390 338733
2002 281077 46846 327923
2003 271812 45302 317114
2004 321101 53517 374618
2005 321329 53671 375000
2006 (July-Dec) 180312 59321 239633
2007 344116 114023 458138
2008 291784 70755 362540
2009 322074 65890 387963
2010 308410 64631 373042
2011 310255 46251 356506
2012 310680 14745 325425
2013 10990 51680 62669
2014 66351 49997 116347
2015 120052 34849 154900
2016 146357 5793 152150
2017 144206 25597 169803
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Year Waste Receival Rate [tonne]
Waste Only Cover Material Waste and Cover Material
2018 256719 1918 258637
2019 (Jan-Feb) 81509 536 82045
Although the exact composition of the waste received at the site was not available, an estimate of the composition for the
purposes of input into the GasSim model is based on the original study by Jarrod Ball (Ball J & Ass, 2001). This waste
composition is compared with a detailed analysis completed for the Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality (NMBM) (2005) and a
more recent analysis for the City of Johannesburg Municipality by Aurecon (2015). The table also includes the waste
composition which was determined for the Robinson Deep Landfill. Although some variations exist between the analyses,
these are relatively small and the original analysis of Jarrod and Ball (2001) is still determined adequate for the current study.
Table 4-2: Percentage split of different waste streams to assist the classification of waste received at the CLS
Waste Classification NMBM (2005)
Robinson Deep
Aurecon (2015)
IPCC (2006)
Jarrod Ball (2001)
Do
mes
tic
Was
te
Food/Putrescible
73.0%
34% 24.8% 34% 38% 23% 36%
Garden 3% 2.2%
Paper/Card 14% 10.2% 12% 18% 25% 17%
Wood 10% 7.3% 15%
Textiles 2% 1.5% 3%
Plastics (other inert) 19% 9% 10%
Non-Degradable 37% 27.0% 14% 8% 8%
Miscellaneous 18% 27% 37% 30%
Co
mm
erci
al W
aste
Food/Putrescible
4.0%
34% 1.4% 14%
Garden 3% 0.1%
Paper/Card 14% 0.6% 17%
Wood 10% 0.4%
Textiles 2% 0.1% 8%
Plastics (other inert) 0.0% 34%
Non-Degradable 37% 1.5% 17%
Miscellaneous 10%
Industrial Waste 1.20% 100% 1.2%
Inert Waste 14.0% 100% 14.0%
Liquid Waste 3.50% 100% 3.5%
Unknown 4.30% 100% 4.3%
The GasSim model requires various input parameters based on the characterisation of the waste type and the way the waste
is to be stored and managed. The details regarding the waste input, breakdown and composition are discussed in the next
chapter. In addition to these parameters, the GasSim model makes provision for the input of site-specific gaseous
concentrations within the waste (i.e. subsurface gas concentrations) despite comprising default values based on information
from UK landfill sites. Several subsurface concentration campaigns have been completed at the CLS since its inception.
Table 4-3 summarises these campaigns and includes both pre-2006 and more recent 2009 and 2013 measurement
campaigns. The older (pre-2006) campaigns were discussed and summarised in the Air Quality Impact Assessment for The
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Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Gas Recovery Project (Scorgie et al, 2006). These include the sampling campaigns conducted
by Margot Saner & Associates (Pty) Ltd and Jean Bogner from Landfills Plus. Levego was contracted by Enviroserv to carry
out the measurement of the LFG in 2009 to quantify specific pollutant concentrations entering the CLS gas collection system.
The sampling position was located on the duct downstream of the blower leading to the flare. The Levago campaign also
determined that methane and carbon dioxide were present in the fractions of 41.5% and 36.4%, respectively. More recently,
in 2013, Contra Odour were requested by EnviroServ to undertake an analysis of the collected LFG to determine the quantity
of contaminants found in the gas at a representative sample point before the blower entering the current high temperature
combustion flare.
The analyses from all the surveys are summarised in Table 4-3. Compounds that could potentially be in the LFG that were
below the limit of detection (LOD) are displayed in italics. Various imputation methods for values below the LOD have been
proposed, including: replacement by zero, LOD, LOD/2, LOD/√2 and the truncation and use of the observed values and
bootstrap methods. For the purposes of the current assessment, the relatively simple LOD/√2 was adopted to represent the
concentration for the applicable compounds. This is a reasonable trade-off between replacing it with zero or the LOD, and
slightly more conservative than assuming LOD/2.
Table 4-3: Summary of subsurface gas concentrations measurements campaigns at CLS
Compound Concentration [mg/Nm³]
Scorgie et al (2006) Levago (2009) Contra Odour (2013)
1,1,1-trichloroethane 0.7 0.07
1,1,2-Trichloroethane 0.546 0.7
1,1-Dichloroethane 0.405 0.7 0.07
1,1-Dichloroethene 0.405 0.7 0.07
1,2-Dichloroethane 0.7 0.07
1,2-Dichloropropane 0.7
1,2,3-Trimethyl benzene 19.5
1,2,4-Trimethyl benzene 18.3
1,3,5-Trimethyl benzene 6
Ammonia 74.4
a-Pinene 63.7
Benzene 0.957 2.2
Bromochloromethane 0.7
cis-1,2-Dichloroethene 5.4
Carbon Disulphide 0.592 3.5
Chlorobenzene 0.462 0.7
Chloroethane 0.264 0.7
cis-1,2-Dichloroethylene 28.0
cis-1,3-Dichloropropene 0.7
Dibromochloromethane 0.7
Dichlorobenzene 0.7
Dichloromethane 1.355 2.6 0.07
Diethyl Sulfide 0.7
Diethyldisulphide 0.254 0.7
Dimethyldisulphide 0.193 1.7
Dimethylsulphide 0.368 7.1
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Compound Concentration [mg/Nm³]
Scorgie et al (2006) Levago (2009) Contra Odour (2013)
Ethane Thiol 0.127 0.7
Ethylmethylsulphide 0.7
Freon 114 0.7
Freon 142b (semi-quantitative) 0.7
Freon 21 0.7
Freon 22 0.7
Hydrogen Sulfide 2.793 - 174.519 96.7
Methane Thiol 0.669 3.0
d-3-Carene 8.7
Decamethylcyclopentasiloxane (D5) 5.6
Decamethyltetrasiloxane (L4) 0.07
Dichlorodifluoromethane (F12) 12.859 4.3 0.1
Ethyl Benzene 1.275 45.9
Hexamethylcyclotrisiloxane (D3) 0.3
Hexamethyldisiloxane (L2) 1.5
i-Propylbenzene 2.8
i-Propyltoluene 178
Limonene 1.352 - 50.703 203
m- & p-Ethyltoluene 0.492 20.4
m-Xylene p-Xylene 17.487 87.6
n-Propylbenzene 2.8
Octamethylcyclotetrasiloxane (D4) 11
Octamethyltrisiloxane (L3) 0.1
o-Ethyltoluene 0.492 7.4
o-Xylene 17.487 30.5
ß-Pinene 6.8
Styrene 3.7
Tetrachloroethene 3.234 19.1 2.2
Tetrachloromethane (carbon tetrachloride) 0.629 0.7 0.07
Tetramethylsilane 0.07
Toluene 15.099 51.5
trans-1,2-Dichloroethene 1.0 0.07
Trichloroethene 1.856 4.9 0.9
Trichlorofluoromethane (F11) 0.7 0.07
Trichloromethane (chloroform) 0.488 0.7 0.07
Trichlorotrifluoroethane (F113) 0.766 0.7 0.07
Trimethylsilanol 1.4
Vinyl Chloride 0.256 1.7 0.9
Total Volatile Organic Compounds 4340
Total Chlorinated Compounds 57.2
Total Fluorinated Compounds 4.3
Total Organo-Sulphur Compounds 15.2
Total Chlorinated Compounds as Cl 47.1
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4.2 Gaseous Emissions from Leachate Dams
Leachate and evaporation dam emissions can occur through diffusive and/or convective mechanisms. Diffusion occurs when
constituent concentrations on the surface of the dam are much higher than the ambient air concentrations. This leads to the
volatilization of these constituents to reach equilibrium between the liquid and vapour phases. Convection occurs when air
flows over the storage dam surface vapours are “swept” from the surface to the air. The rate of volatilisation is directly related
to the wind speed over the leachate dam surface (NPI, 1999).
Typical evaporating emissions from leachate dam surfaces include sulphides, especially in the form of H2S which could result
in significant odour impacts. Other gases may include NH3 and potentially organic vapours. The latter would typically only
when there are evaporating ponds containing waste oils and solvents.
Sulphates in the leachate have the potential to react with organic media in the waste to form aqueous H2S. This formation is
dependent on the presence of anaerobic bacteria, and the amount of sulphur available. Organic acids such as lactic acid,
propionic acid, and acetic acid produced in the anaerobic decomposition process of organic matter are utilised together with
sulphate ions to produce H2S. Depending on the pH of the liquid, aqueous H2S exists in equilibrium with the bisulphide anion
(HS-) and the sulphide anion (S2-) as shown in Figure 4-1. H2S and HS- are in equilibrium at a pH of 7, whereas HS- and S2-
are in equilibrium at a pH of 12.9. The dissociation of molecular H2S in water increases at pH values above 7 and, as pH
shifts from alkaline to acidic (pH <7), the potential for H2S emissions increases. For example, at a pH of 6, the H2S fraction
(i.e. available to the atmosphere) is around 91%, at a pH=7.0, the fraction is about 60%, and at a pH = 9.0, the fraction would
only be about 1%.
Figure 4-1: Fractions of sulphide species (H2S, HS-, S2-) present in aqueous solution as function of pH at 25°C
[Source: Snoeyink and Jenkins (1980)]
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A chemical analysis of the current CFS leachate pond was completed by Enviroserv to quantify the concentrations of both
organic and inorganic compounds in the liquid. The results of the August 2018 inorganic analysis is provided in Table 4-4 and
the organic analysis, which were done in April 2019, is provided in Table 4-5. The parameters required to estimate the H2S
emissions include the pH, which was observed to be 8.12 and the sulphates concentration (35 mg/L). The only other
compound that is relevant include NH3, since the metals would not become airborne from the pond. All the VOCs include in
the organic analysis where below their respective detection limits, which apart from Hexachlorobutadiene, are all less than
1 µg/L. It is therefore reasonable to assume that the VOCs originating from the leachate pond is insignificant compared to
the LFG.
Table 4-4: Inorganic chemical analyses (17 August 2018) of Leachate dam at the CLS
Determinant Detection Limit Result
pH 1 8.12
Ammonia 0.01 612 mg/L
Sulphates, as SO4 35 35 mg/L
Chloride 0.5 1703 mg/L
Fluoride 0.1 0.16 mg/L
Arsenic 0.01 Below Detection Limit (BDL)
Barium 0.01 0.72 mg/L
Boron 0.03 3.2 mg/L
Cadmium 0.002 BDL
Calcium 0.01 101 mg/L
Chromium (total) 0.01 0.38 mg/L
Chromium (Hexavalent) 1 BDL
Copper 0.01 BDL
Iron 0.1 BDL
Lead 0.01 0.03 mg/L
Magnesium 0.03 94 mg/L
Manganese 0.01 0.78 mg/L
Potassium 0.01 826 mg/L
Sodium 0.01 1399 mg/L
Table 4-5: Leachate dam VOC chemical analyses (4 April 2019) at the CLS
Determinant Detection Limit [µg/L] Result
Benzene 0.02 Below Detection Limit (BDL)
Chlorobenzene 0.02 BDL
Chloroform 0.05 BDL
1,2-Dichlorobenzene 0.12 BDL
1,4-Dichlorobenzene 0.07 BDL
1,2-Dichloroethane 0.01 BDL
1,1-Dichloroethene 0.34 BDL
1,2-0ichloroethene 0.08 BDL
Ethylbenzene 0.09 BDL
Hexachlorobutadiene 1.63 BDL
Styrene 0.21 BDL
1,1,1,2-Tetrachloroethane 0.19 BDL
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4.3 Flare Emissions
The current CLS utilises two enclosed flares, at locations shown in Figure 1-4. It is also proposed to continue with these flares
for the proposed expansions to the CLS. The exact locations of the proposed flares were not available at the time of the
assessment; however, it was indicated that it would be located in the top, northern corner of the expansion, as indicated in
Figure 4-2. The purpose of flaring is to dispose of the flammable constituents safely, particularly methane, and to control
odour nuisance, health risks and adverse environmental impacts. The quantity of LFG extraction from a landfill will vary with
time and between cells for the same reasons that account for compositional differences. As indicated in Section 4.1, the
theoretical LFG generation rates for the CLS is calculated to vary between about 2500 m³/hr and 5000 m³/hr. The ultimate
amount available for the flare also depend on the efficiency of the extraction and collection system. Enviroserv indicated that
the current LFG feed varies between 400 Nm³/hr and 2000 Nm³/hr, and they have estimated the collection efficiency to be
80% to 90%. The theoretical rate estimated using the LFG generation factor in Section 4.1 therefore appears to be too high.
The quality of the capping material significantly influences the degree to which landfill gas escapes through the surface of the
site to atmosphere and the quantities of water that may enter the body of the waste. As a landfill ages further and the intensity
of anaerobic activity subsides, so the rate of gas generated will decline. It is expected that the rate of gas extraction will
decrease proportionately, though relatively greater quantities of air might be drawn in. Landfill gas production may continue
for several hundred years (UK Environment Agency, 2002).
4.4 Fugitive Particulate Emission
Vehicle-entrained dust emissions have been found to account for the greatest portion of fugitive dust emissions from many
local waste disposal operations. The force of the wheels of vehicles travelling on unpaved roadways causes the pulverisation
of surface material. Particles are lifted and dropped from the rotating wheels, and the road surface is exposed to strong air
currents in turbulent shear with the surface. The turbulent wake behind the vehicle continues to act on the road surface after
the vehicle has passed. The quantity of dust emissions from unpaved roads varies linearly with the volume of traffic. The silt
content given by the US-EPA as being typical for disposal routes at municipal solid waste landfills ranges between 2.2% to
21% (US EPA 2006a).
The fugitive dust generated from handling of the waste (tipping, compacting, and covering) is dependent on climatic
parameters, such as wind speed and precipitation, as well as parameters such as the nature and volume of the material
handled. The crushing of building rubble on-site, for use in road stabilisation and as daily cover material, may also occur.
.
1,1,2,2-Tetrachloroethane 0.19 BDL
Tetrachloroethylene 0.36 BDL
Toluene 0.04 BDL
Trichlorobenzene 0.57 BDL
1,1,2-Trichloroethane 0.11 BDL
1,1,1-Trichloroethane 0.04 BDL
Trichloroethylene 0.09 BDL
m/p-Xylene 0.05 BDL
a-Xylene 0.04 BDL
Carbon Tetrachloride 0.06 BDL
Vinyl chloride 0.04 BDL
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4.5 Litter
A significant fraction of litter items are plastic bags, which are particularly prone to becoming litter due to their low weight and
ability to become airborne and travel in wind. Litter at landfill sites is largely associated with delivery and unloading of waste,
as well as during picking and sorting for recycling purposes. This is rather than with compaction and burial operations since
the compaction and burial process generally punctures the plastic bags and covers the waste material making bags less likely
to become windblown.
4.6 Pathogens
Pathogens are mainly associated with discarded carcasses if these are disposed of on a landfill site. The distribution of
pathogens and the predicted risk associated with pathogens at landfills are not easily quantifiable. The limitations in
quantifying these impacts are generally the lack of knowledge as to concentration of a pathogen that may be attached to
windblown dust or simply blown from the landfill, as pathogens may not be evenly distributed in the waste. Using best
management practice, when carcasses arrive on the site, they should be disposed of immediately and covered. Furthermore,
carcasses should always be disposed of in a dedicated section of the landfill, where trenching is not carried out. The addition
of lime inhibits pathogens by controlling the environment required for bacterial growth. The high alklinity also provides a vector
attraction barrier (i.e. prevents flies and other insects from infecting the treated biological waste).
4.7 Quantification of Air Pollutant Emissions
4.7.1 Landfill Gas Emissions
Numerous factors affect the ultimate rate with which gases may be released from the covered portions of the landfill. Such
factors include advection, diffusion, accumulation, generation, adsorption, biodegradation, leaching, capillary action and
evaporation. Due to the complexity of predicting emissions from the CLS, use was made of the GasSim Model. This model
was used to quantify the emissions emitted by the landfill during different operating scenarios. The emissions were quantified
considering working faces, covered cells, gas extraction and flaring at site as well as the release of gaseous emissions from
fissures in the capped portions of the fill. The CLS has been operating since 1997, with the original closure scheduled for
2017 (21 years). However, GDARD subsequently issued a permit allowing Enviroserv to increase the operating height of the
landfill, thereby providing the opportunity to place additional waste on the previously closed operating Cells 1 to 6 (Chapter 1,
Figure 1-4). The proposed expansion includes the development of Cell 7, Phase 1A, Phase 1B Cell 1 and Phase 1B Cell 2,
as shown in Figure 4-2.
The annual waste acceptance rate for the period 1997 to 2019 was summarised in Table 4-1. The projected rates for the
expansion is assumed to be 420 000 tonnes per annum (35 000 per month), which would be allocated as projected for the
different developments of the cells in the northern expansion, as summarised in Table 4-7. Proposed Cell 7 has approximately
11 months of life, whilst Phase 1A has approximately 44 months (3.66 years), Phase 1B Cell 1 (1.46 years) and Phase 1B
Cell 2 (4.18 years). This would extend the operating life of the CLS from 2019 to 2028 (Table 4-8) with the assumed waste
disposal rates as summarised in Table 4-6. The following assumptions were made regarding the capping of the landfill:
• 2005 – Cells 1 and 2 filled and partially capped;
• 2007 – Cells 1 to 3 filled and capped;
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Figure 4-2: Proposed expansion of the CLS (Cell 7, Phase 1A Cell 1 and Phase 1B Cell2)
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Table 4-6: Annual waste disposal rates for the CLS (shaded cells are projected rates assumed in the assessment based on estimated schedules in Table 4-8)
Year Cell 1 Cell 2 Cell 3 Cell 4 Cell 5 Cell 6 Surcharge Cell 7 Phase 1A Phase 1B Cell1 Phase 1B Cell 2
1997 14067
1998 117536
1999 84960 84960
2000 134086 134086
2001 145172 145172
2002 140539 140539
2003 135906 135906
2004 107034 107034 107034
2005 107110 107110 107110
2006 119816 119816
2007 152713 152713 152713
2008 362540
2009 387963
2010 186521 186521
2011 356506
2012 325425
2013 31335 31335
2014 116347
2015 154900
2016 152150
2017 169803
2018 258637
2019 315000 105000
2020 280000 140000
2021 420000
2022 420000
2023 420000
2024 140000 280000
2025 350000 70000
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Year Cell 1 Cell 2 Cell 3 Cell 4 Cell 5 Cell 6 Surcharge Cell 7 Phase 1A Phase 1B Cell1 Phase 1B Cell 2
2026 420000
2027 420000
2028 245000
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• 2010 – Cell 4 filled and capped;
• 2013 – Cell 5 filled and capped;
• 2017 – Cell 6 filled and capped;
• 2020 – Surcharge area capped
• 2021 – Cell 7 filled and capped
• 2025 – Phase 1A filled and capped
• 2026 – Phase 1B Cell 1 filled and capped
• 2029 – Phase 1B Cell 2 filled and capped
The detailed input file used in the GasSim model can be found in Appendix A. The file includes the assumed pollutant
distributions used as initial concentrations in the LFG based on the analytical results contained in Table 4-3. The procedure
assumed the concentrations from the latest subsurface analytical results first, i.e. Contra Odour (2013); and if not included or
BDL, then those obtained in the Levago (2009) survey were used. The Scorgie et al (2006) summaries were only used when
neither the Contra Odour nor Levago had results to use. Where measurements of compounds in GasSim were not part of the
two surveys, default GasSim values were assumed. These concentrations replaced the mean values in the Gassim default
probability distribution functions (pdfs) unless none of the datasets could be used. The Gassim pdfs, as well as the default
minimum and maximum concentrations were used in the calculations.
Table 4-7: Details of the cells proposed in the northern expansion of the CLS
Waste Cell Area [m²] Volume [m³]
Disposal Duration Construction Duration
[months] [months] [years]
Phase 1A (Incl. Cell 7) 46 500.00 1 538 530.00 43.96 3.66 6.64
Phase 1B Cell 1 40 200.00 613 510.00 17.53 1.46
Phase 1B Cell 2 22 900.00 1 140 806.00 32.59 2.72
Phase 1B Total 63 100.00 1 754 316.00 50.12 4.18 9.01
Table 4-8: Assumed periods of operating cells proposed for the northern expansion
Cell Projected Disposal Period
Start End
Cell 7 Oct-19 Aug-20
Phase 1A Aug-20 Apr-24
Phase 1B1 Apr-24 Oct-25
Phase 1B2 Oct-25 Jul-28
The hours of operation at the site were given as 07h00 to 17h00 Monday to Friday, 07h00 to 15h00 on Saturday and 07h00
to 12h00 on Sunday. Work faces are covered at the end of each day. Dust suppression includes watering with odour controls
being implemented on leachate areas “as required”. The emission rates calculated by the GasSim model were estimated
using the subsurface gas concentrations specified in Table 4-3 and 95th percentiles calculated across the 200 iterations
simulated. The assumed probability density functions and statistical values (minimum, mean and maximum) used in the
respective functions’ emissions are given in the GasSim input file which is provided in Appendix A. The historical and projected
annual waste amounts provided in Table 4-1 as well as the waste composition from Table 4-2 were assumed in the GasSim
model.
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Anker Street separates part of the expansion area from the CLS and thus a phased approach is likely. The figure includes the
current emissions (Baseline), the development of Cell 7, Phase 1A, and Phase 1B Cell 1 and Cell 2 (Phase 1B). Phase 1A
would entail the development and use of waste disposal cells between the CLS and Anker Street. Phase 1B would involve the
development and use of waste disposal cells on the northerly portion of the site, connecting with the CLS and Phase 1A. The
second phase would only proceed if Anker Street had been relocated or closed (subject to municipal engagement and
approvals).
Emission rates for all compounds contained in Table 4-3, as well as several compounds included in the GasSim default
database were calculated. Based on the GasSim Tier 1 screening methodology as well as the observed Geozone
Environmental results (Section 3.2.2), the following emissions were the highest ranked with respect to the respective rate of
release, and its toxicity and/or odour concerns. GasSim uses as the basis for Tier 1 screening the data from the Environment
Agency guidance “Screening method for emissions to air from landfill sites” (Environment Agency, 2004b). This provides
several tables that can be used to calculate a ground-level concentration of a gaseous emission at a receptor, based on the
95th percentile emission rate from the process, its height, and the distance to the receptor. Separate tables are provided for
short-term and long-term concentrations.
The GasSim Tier 1 screening methodology is based on health risk endpoints provided as default Environmental Quality
Standards (EQS) and Environmental Assessment Levels (EAL) values, as given in Table 4-9. Gases without an EAL/EQS is
not screened by the model. The first pair of rules determines whether the impact is insignificant or not, over the short-term (1
hour) or long-term (annual) assessment period. The second pair of rules determines whether the impact requires detailed
modelling or if GasSim is sufficient. The look-up tables have been developed to be conservative:
• The tables are not directional, so you do not need meteorological data;
• The tables are essentially based on the 100th percentile emissions;
• The tables are derived from a representative and not extreme wind rose; and
• The tables evaluate the Environment Agency’s H1 assessment equations.
Ground level air concentrations are taken from the lookup tables for locations along the landfill boundary and at the nearest
defined receptor locations. Based on a comparison with the EQS or EAL, recommendations would be provided whether
further, more detailed dispersion modelling is required.
According the Tier 1 screening results, short-term simulations are recommended for arsenic, ethylene dichloride and hydrogen
sulfide, whereas no long-term screening levels were exceeded. For the proposed expansions, the screening also included
vinyl chloride in the list. Nonetheless, since limonene, ammonia, benzene and formaldehyde were identified in the Geozone
monitoring results as potentially significant, it was decided to include these in addition to ethylene dichloride in the next
simulations.
Table 4-9: GasSim default Environmental Quality Standards (EQS) and Environmental Assessment Levels
(EAL) values for use in Tier 1 screening evaluation
Pollutant Short Term EQS or
EAL [μg/m³] Long Term EQS or EAL
[μg/m³]
Acetalehyde (ethanal) 9200 370
Acetone 362000 18100
Acrylonitrile 264 8.8
Arsenic 0.003 0
Benzene 0 5
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Pollutant Short Term EQS or
EAL [μg/m³] Long Term EQS or EAL
[μg/m³]
Benzo(a)pyrene -flare emissions 0 0.00025
Butadiene (modelled as 1,3-Butadiene) 0 2.25
Butane 181000 14500
Carbon disulphide 100 64
Carbon monoxide -flare emissions 10000 0
Carbon monoxide 10000 0
Carbon tetrachloride (tetrachloromethane) 3900 130
Chloroform (trichloromethane) 2970 99
Dichloromethane (methylene chloride) 3000 700
Ethylbenzene 55200 4410
Ethylene dichloride 700 42
Formaldehyde (methanal) 100 5
Hexane 21600 720
Hydrogen chloride, or (Total chloride (reported as HCl)) -flare emissions 750 0
Hydrogen fluoride, or (Total fluoride (reported as HF)) -flare emissions 160 16
Hydrogen sulphide 150 140
Mercury 7.5 0.25
Methyl chloride (chloromethane) 21000 1050
Methyl chloroform (1,1,1-Trichloroethane) 222000 11100
Methyl ethyl ketone (2-butanone) 89900 6000
Nitric acid 1000 52
Nitrogen oxides (NOx) -flare emissions 200 40
PAH (reported as Naphthalene) 8000 530
para-Dichlorobenzene (modelled as 1,4-Dichlorobenzene) 30600 1530
Phenol 3900 200
PM10s -flare emissions 0 40
PM10s 24 hour -flare emissions 50
Sulphur dioxide -flare emissions 350 0
Sulphur dioxide 15 min -flare emissions 266
Sulphur dioxide 24 hour -flare emissions 125
Tetrachloroethylene (Tetrachloroethene) 8000 3450
Toluene 8000 1910
Trichlorobenzene (all isomers) 2280 76
Trichloroethylene (trichloroethene) 1000 1100
Trimethylbenzene (all isomers) 37500 1250
Vinyl chloride (chloroethene, chloroethylene) 1851 159
Xylene (all isomers) 66200 4410
The temporal variation of LFG emissions throughout the landfill’s lifetime is illustrated in Figure 4-3. These emission rate
calculations included gas extraction for flare operation throughout the proposed phases and 7 years beyond the final waste
acceptance i.e. 2028.
Similarly, emission rates for H2S, limonene, NH3, acetaldehyde, benzene, formaldehyde, ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride
and arsenic were calculated. As shown in the examples included Figure 4-4 for H2S and Figure 4-5 for benzene, the emission
rate closely follow the bulk LFG generation curve in Figure 4-3. The landfill gas emission rates for the selected key pollutants
are provided in Table 4-10.
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Figure 4-3: GasSim simulated LFG generation rate
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Figure 4-4: GasSim simulated 95th percentile H2S landfill generation rate
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Figure 4-5: GasSim simulated 95th percentile benzene landfill generation rate
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Table 4-10: GasSim calculated emission rates for baseline and two proposed phases
Key-Pollutant
Landfill Emission Rate (g/h)
Baseline Phase 1A Phase 1B
2018 2024 2029
Arsenic 0.02 0.11 0.09
Acetadehyde 1.15 1.43 1.38
Benzene 4.1 32.0 40.2
Ethylene dichloride 75.2 201.1 219.2
H2S 245.6 1854.7 1278.8
Formaldehyde 0.05 0.11 0.12
Vinyl chloride 122.7 278.5 274.7
Limonene 54.7 115.5 142.7
NH3 61.5 140.3 158.5
4.7.2 Flare Emissions
During the current assessment a landfill gas throughput of maximum 2 000 m³/hr (per flare; 1-2 flares in operation) at a
combustion temperature of 1000 °C was assumed, emitted from a 7.85 m high stack with a diameter of 1.8 m. Each flare was
also assumed to be enclosed. The projected emission rates for the flare operations, as projected using the GasSim model,
are given in Figure 4-3. The flare destruction efficiency was assumed to be in excess of 99%. Each flare was assumed to
operate for a period of 7 years after closure of Phase 1B, i.e. 2036. The GasSim generated flare emission rates for the given
the calculated LFG and assumed compositions, as discussed in the previous section, for the baseline, Phase 1A (& Cell 7),
and Phase 1B are provided in Table 4-11.
Table 4-11: Calculated (GasSim) flare air pollutant emission rates (two flares combined emission rates)
Air Pollutant
Baseline Phase 1A & Cell 7 Phase 1B
Concentration
[mg/m³]
Emission
[g/s]
Concentration
[mg/m³]
Emission
[g/s]
Concentration
[mg/m³]
Emission
[g/s]
NOx expressed as NO2 12.9 0.48 12.1 0.60 12.1 0.69
SO2 1.7 0.06 1.9 0.09 1.9 0.11
CO 110.9 4.16 110.0 5.47 110.0 6.26
NH3 0.0065 0.00024 0.0049 0.00024 0.0054 0.00031
H2S 0.05 0.0020 0.06 0.0030 0.05 0.0029
Benzene 0.0018 0.00007 0.0015 0.00007 0.0015 0.00009
Acetaldehyde 0.00016 0.000006 0.00012 0.000006 0.00011 0.000006
Formaldehyde 0.0018 0.00007 0.0015 0.00007 0.0015 0.00009
Ethylene Dichloride 0.0074 0.0003 0.0089 0.0004 0.0093 0.0053
Vinyl Chloride 0.036 0.0014 0.031 0.0015 0.029 0.0016
VOC 300.9 11.28 310.1 15.42 310.1 17.66
NMVOC 2.5 0.09 2.5 0.12 2.5 0.14
PM10 1.8 0.066 1.6 0.077 1.5 0.084
Exhaust Flow Rate [m³/hr] 135 000 179 000 205 000
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4.7.3 Leachate Pond Gas Emissions
As indicated in Section 4.2, sulfates (and hence potentially the formation of H2S) and NH3 are the only compounds that flag
as potential air pollutants from the leachate dam. NH3 in solution (𝑁𝐻3(𝑎𝑞)) rapidly dissociates into NH3+ and OH-, as follows:
𝑁𝐻3(𝑎𝑞) ⇌ 𝑁𝐻4+ + 𝑂𝐻−
𝑁𝐻3(𝑔) ⇌ 𝑁𝐻3(𝑎𝑞)
This equilibrium depends strongly on the pH of the solution; shifting the equilibrium to the left when the pH is high (in other
words more 𝑂𝐻−) and hence more potential to release NH3 into the atmosphere. At lower pH, the equilibrium is shifted to the
right, and therefore lower concentration of 𝑁𝐻3(𝑎𝑞). This is equilibrium may be expressed as constant, defined as
𝐾𝑙 ⇌[𝑁𝐻4
+][𝑂𝐻−]
[𝑁𝐻3(𝑎𝑞)]
The equilibrium constant is a function of temperature. At 25°C it is approximately 1.75x10-5. At the pH of the lagoon (i.e.
pH=8.12, Table 4-4), the equilibrium is shifted well to the right with the result that only a very small fraction (<0.001%) of the
NH3 is available for atmospheric release and therefore not regarded significant enough to be included as a source in the
simulations.
H2S, on the other hand, could potentially be released in larger quantities from the leachate dam and proposed tanks. These
emissions were estimated using the model developed by Blunden, Aneja and Overton (2008). These authors developed a
model that simulates H2S emissions across the gas-liquid interface of an anaerobic swine waste treatment storage system.
Although the conditions within the landfill may not be the same as in a swine waste treatment plant, the speciation of the
sulphide ions obey the same chemical rules and the same theory is therefore assumed to be applicable to the leachate in the
landfill.
The Blunden et al (2008) simulation utilises a two-film model with three different modelling approaches: Coupled Mass Transfer
with Chemical Reactions Model with the assumption (a) pH remains constant in the liquid film and (b) pH may change
throughout the liquid film due to diffusion processes that occur within the film; and (c) a Mass Transfer Model which neglects
chemical reactions in the gas and liquid films. The model requires knowledge on the sulphide concentration in solution, the
pH of the leachate, leachate temperature and ambient temperature to estimate the available H2S that could be released from
the liquid surface. The mass transfer above the leachate liquid surface is determined by the atmospheric conditions such as
the wind speed and ambient air temperature. Wind speed has the effect of increasing evaporation rates from open liquid
surfaces. The model was subsequently used to calculate the H2S flux rate from the existing dam using the sulphate and pH
conditions in the leachate dam (Table 4-4) and the meteorological parameters for the period 1 January 2016 to 31 December
2018, as shown in Figure 4-6.
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Figure 4-6: Calculated H2S air emissions from leachate dam for a 2016 to 2018
Assuming the same leachate conditions for the proposed tanks, representation H2S emission rates were estimated as
summarised in Table 4-12. It was conservatively assumed that the tank would be open to wind. Emissions from closed tank
vents can be controlled hence reducing any air emissions from the leachate.
Table 4-12: Calculated H2S emission rates from the current leachate dam and proposed tanks
Percentile H2S Flux Rate [mg/m²-min]
Emission Rate [g/hr]
Baseline Cell 7 New Leachate Tank Phase 1A & 1B Leachate Tanks
100 1.61 156.6 10.9 61.2
99 1.08 104.7 7.3 40.9
98 1.01 98.0 6.8 38.3
95 0.76 74.2 5.2 29.0
90 0.57 55.4 3.9 21.6
4.7.4 Fugitive Particulate Emissions
The emissions of fugitive dust occur at the working face (materials handling, and bulldozing and compaction), open areas
without permanent cover (wind erosion), and as a result of vehicle entrainment on unpaved and paved roads. Materials
handling operations include the transfer of material by means of tipping, loading and off-loading of trucks. The quantity of dust
generated from such loading and off-loading operations will depend on various climatic parameters, such as wind speed and
precipitation, in addition to non-climatic parameters such as the nature (moisture content) and volume of the material handled.
Fine particulates are most readily disaggregated and released to the atmosphere during the material transfer process, as a
result of exposure to strong winds. Increases in the moisture content of the material being transferred would decrease the
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potential for dust emission, since moisture promotes the aggregation of fines to the surfaces of larger particles. Section 13.24
of the US EPA’s well-known emission factors handbook AP-42 (US EPA 2007) provides emission factors for these activities.
The relevant equation is provided in Table 4-13.
Emissions from bulldozing and compaction assumed on trash compactor and one front-end loader to be working
simultaneously at the active working face (during the working hours of the site). The equation used to determine the TSP
emission factor (in kg/hr) was taken from Table 11.9-2 in the US-EPA AP42 (Western Surface Coal Mining - for bulldozers on
material other than coal). The scaling factors for PM10 and PM2.5 were given as 0.75 and 0.105 respectively. The moisture
contents for landfill cover and waste (12% and 20% respectively) were taken from the US-EPA recommended moisture content
for municipal landfills.
Dust emissions due to wind erosion of exposed areas occur when the threshold wind speed is exceeded (Cowherd et al.,
1988; EPA, 1995). The threshold wind speed is dependent on the erosion potential of the exposed surface, which is expressed
in terms of the availability of erodible material per unit area (mass/area). Any factor that binds the erodible material, or
otherwise reduces the availability of erodible material on the surface, decreases the erosion potential of the fugitive source.
High moisture content, whether due to precipitation or deliberate wetting, promotes the aggregation and cementation of fines
to the surfaces of larger particles, thus decreasing the potential for dust emissions. Surface compaction and ground cover
similarly reduces the potential for dust generation. The default emission factor from the US-EPA AP42 (Western Surface Coal
Mining) (Table 11.9-4) was used to estimate particulate emissions due to wind erosion. The emission factor for TSP is given
as 0.85 tons per hectare per annum. The US-EPA recommends that in this situation, the PM10 fraction of the TSP is about
50% (EPA, 1992). An assumption was made that 30% of the active workface would be available to wind erosion per year.
Vehicle-entrained dust emissions have been found to account for a great portion of fugitive dust emissions from industrial
operations. The US-EPA paved, and unpaved road particle size-specific emission equations are provided in Table 4-13. The
particle size multiplier in the equation (k) varies with aerodynamic particle size range and is given as 1.5 for PM10, 0.15 for
PM2.5 and 4.9 for TSP. The mean vehicle weight for the delivery of waste was calculated as 13.06 tonne (Enviroserv provided
average empty weight of 10.83 tonne and a full weight of 15.28 tonne). The silt content value of the road surface material was
assumed to be 6.4%. A maximum control efficiency of 75% dust suppression was applied to emissions due to vehicle
entrainment of unpaved roadway dust. It should be noted however, that whilst 75% is achievable through water application,
efficiencies closer to 50% is more commonly achieved in practice. The current entrance to the CLS is from the southern
boundary, whereas the support services and infrastructure associated with the proposed expansion has not been finalised.
The assumption made for the assessment is that the site entrance, access controls and weigh bridge would be via Marsala
Road, off the M38. A summary of the particulate emissions are given in Table 4-14, Table 4-15 and Table 4-16 for the baseline,
Phase 1A and Phase 1 B, respectively. The tables show that the particulate emissions from unpaved and paved roads are
clearly the main contributors.
4.8 Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Landfills emit GHG which are associated with global warming and climate change. The risk to the global atmosphere from
LFG emissions is determined by estimating the detrimental effect using the Global Warming Potential (GWP), which compares
the effect of each compound to CO2, for a specified timeframe, i.e. CH4 been assessed to have 21 to 28 times the effect of
CO2 over a 100-year period. The annual GWP is displayed in Figure 4-7. The figure clearly illustrates the positive effect upon
the installation of the flares. It also illustrates that the flares could potentially operate for a period longer than the anticipated
7 years following final closure in 2028. Table 4-17 is a summary of the GHG inventory and GWP reductions for three scenarios.
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Figure 4-7: Calculated GWP for the CLS and proposed expansion
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Table 4-13: Emission rate equations used to quantify fugitive dust emissions
Activity Emission Equation Source Information assumed/provided
Materials handling
𝐸 = 0.0016(𝑈
2.2⁄ )1.3
(𝑀2⁄ )
1.4
Where,
E = Emission factor (kg dust / t transferred)
U = Mean wind speed (m/s)
M = Material moisture content (%)
The PM2.5, PM10 and TSP fraction of the emission factor is 5.3%, 35% and 74% respectively.
An average wind speed of 4.2 m/s was used based on data for ORT Airport for the period 2016 – 2018.
US-EPA AP42 Section 13.2.4
The moisture content of materials are as follows:
Waste: 35% (provided by client)
Throughputs were calculated from the number of vehicle trips per day and the capacity of the vehicles.
Hours of operation were given as:
7:00 – 17:00 (week days)
7:00 – 15:00 (Saturdays)
7:00 – 12:00 (Sundays)
Vehicle entrainment on unpaved surfaces 𝐸 = 𝑘 (
𝑠
12)
a
(𝑊
3)
b
∙ 281.9
Where,
E = particulate emission factor in grams per vehicle km travelled (g/VKT)
k = basic emission factor for particle size range and units of interest
s = road surface silt content (%)
W = average weight (tonnes) of the vehicles travelling the road = 10.55 t waste).
The particle size multiplier (k) is given as 0.15 for PM2.5 and 1.5 for PM10, and as 4.9 for TSP
The empirical constant (a) is given as 0.9 for PM2.5 and PM10, and 4.9 for TSP
The empirical constant (b) is given as 0.45 for PM2.5, PM10 and TSP
US-EPA AP42 Section 13.2.2
In the absence of site-specific silt data, use was made of US EPA default mean silt content of 6.4% (for industrial unpaved roads at municipal solid waste landfill).
Hours of operation as shown above.
The capacity of the haul trucks to be used was given as 4.45 tonnes.
The number of trips per day were given as follows:
260 – 400 (week days)
240 – 285 (Saturdays)
115 – 144 (Sundays)
The layout of the roads for the baseline was provided. The layouts of roads for Phase 1A and 1B were assumed. The width of the roads was assumed as 10 m.
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Activity Emission Equation Source Information assumed/provided
Vehicle entrainment on paved surfaces
𝐸 = 𝑘(𝑠𝐿)0.91(𝑊)1.02
Where,
E = particulate emission factor in grams per vehicle km travelled (g/VKT)
k = basic emission factor for particle size range and units of interest
s = road surface silt loading (g/m²)
W = average weight (tonnes) of (all) the vehicles travelling the road
The particle size multiplier (k) is given as 0.15 for PM2.5, 0.62 for PM10, and 3.23 for TSP
US EPA AP42 Section 13.2.1
In the absence of site-specific silt data, use was made of US EPA default mean silt loading of 7.4 g/m² (for paved roads at municipal solid waste landfill).
Average weight of vehicles travelling on the paved road was assumed to be the same as the waste tankers, viz. 10.55 t.
The layout of the paved roads was assumed from Google Earth images (access road to the current landfill and access roads from Anker street for Phase 1A and 1B).
Bulldozing 𝐸 = 𝑘 ∙ (𝑠)a/(𝑀)b
Where,
E = Emission factor (kg dust / hr / vehicle)
s = Material silt content (%)
M = Material moisture content (%)
The particle size multiplier (k) is given as 2.6 for TSP, and 0.34 for PM10
The empirical constant (a) is given as 1.2 for TSP, and 1.5 for PM10
The empirical constant (b) is given as 1.3 for TSP, and 1.4 for PM10
Fraction of PM2.5 assumed to be 10% of PM10
NPI Section: Mining
The silt contents recommended by the US-EPA for landfill cover and miscellaneous fill materials (16% and 12% respectively) were used as input into the bulldozer equation.
The moisture contents for landfill cover and waste (12% and 20% respectively) were taken from the US-EPA recommended moisture content for municipal landfills and from previous landfill studies.
Compaction was assumed to take place over 7 hours on a week day, 5 hours on a Saturday and 3 hours on a Sunday.
Wind Erosion 𝐸 = 0.85 𝑡𝑜𝑛𝑠/ℎ𝑎/𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑚
Where,
E = particulate emission factor for TSP
The US-EPA recommends that in this situation, the PM10 fraction of the
TSP is about 50% (EPA, 1992). It was assumed that the PM2.5 fraction of
the TSP is about 10%.
US-EPA AP42 Table
11.9-4 Wind erosion was modelled for the active workface for each scenario.
An assumption was made that 30% of the active workface would be
available to wind erosion per year.
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Table 4-14: Fugitive particulate emission rates for baseline conditions
Activity Unmitigated Emissions [tonne per annum] Mitigated Emissions [tonne per annum]
PM2.5 PM10 TSP PM2.5 PM10 TSP
Materials handling 0.002 0.01 0.03 0.002 0.01 0.03
Compaction 0.79 5.65 7.53 0.79 5.65 7.53
Wind erosion 0.53 2.63 5.25 0.53 2.63 5.25
Unpaved roads 5.27 51.31 190.07 1.28 12.83 47.52
Paved roads 1.81 8.23 42.86 0.50 2.06 10.72
Total 8.4 67.8 245.7 3.1 23.2 71.0
Table 4-15: Fugitive particulate emission rates for Phase 1A
Activity Unmitigated Emissions [tonne per annum] Mitigated Emissions [tonne per annum]
PM2.5 PM10 TSP PM2.5 PM10 TSP
Materials handling 0.002 0.01 0.03 0.002 0.01 0.03
Compaction 0.79 5.65 7.53 0.79 5.65 7.53
Wind erosion 0.11 0.57 1.13 0.11 0.57 1.13
Unpaved roads 1.96 9.03 33.47 0.49 2.26 8.37
Paved roads 3.79 16.40 85.45 0.99 4.10 21.36
Total 6.8 31.7 127.6 2.4 12.6 38.4
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Table 4-16: Fugitive particulate emission rates for Phase 1B
Activity Unmitigated Emissions [tonne per annum] Mitigated Emissions [tonne per annum]
PM2.5 PM10 TSP PM2.5 PM10 TSP
Materials handling 0.002 0.01 0.03 0.002 0.01 0.03
Compaction 0.79 5.65 7.53 0.79 5.65 7.53
Wind erosion 0.11 0.53 1.06 0.11 0.53 1.06
Unpaved roads 3.62 36.20 134.08 0.90 9.05 33.52
Paved roads 3.97 16.40 85.45 0.99 4.10 21.36
Total 8.5 58.8 228.1 2.7 19.2 62.5
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Table 4-17: Calculated GHG inventory for the Baseline, Phase 1A (+Cell 7) and Phase 1B
Species
Total for 1997 to 2019 Total for 2019 to 2024 Total for 2024 to 2029
Gas Release [t]
Global Warming Potential [t CO2]
Gas Release [t]
Global Warming Potential [t CO2]
Gas Release [t]
Global Warming Potential [t CO2]
CH4 Surface Emissions 44945.5 943711 9607 201700 56725.5 1191111
Flare Emissions 1003.9 21066 493.1 10350 1609.9 33806
CO2 Surface Emissions 134377.4 134377.4 28750 28750 169607.4 169607.4
Flare Emissions 515700 515700 253200 253200 827300 827300
Chloroform (trichloromethane) 0.04861821 1.458457 0.009 0.2701 0.06137821 1.841657
Dichloromethane (methylene chloride)
0.4738844 4.263896 0.1415 1.273 0.6390844 5.749896
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) (Total) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) (Total) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total CH4 45941.5 965011 10103 212100 58331.5 1225211
Total CO2 649787.4 649787.4 281800 281800 996487.4 996487.4
Trace Gases 0.722774 9.67946 0.1751 2.224 0.932774 12.10946
Total 695939.9 1614799 291900 494000 1055139.9 2220799
CH4 Burned [t] 100390 49310 160990
GWP Reduction [t CO2] 1829100 900000 2937100
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5 DISPERSION SIMULATIONS
Dispersion modelling was undertaken to determine highest hourly, highest daily and annual average ground level
concentrations for each pollutant, with 3-minute average concentrations being calculated for H2S using the extrapolation
method discussed in Section 1.3.5. These averaging periods were selected to facilitate the comparison of predicted pollutant
concentrations with relevant air quality guidelines, odour thresholds, and health effect screening levels.
Gaussian-plume models are best used for near-field applications where the steady-state meteorology assumption is most
likely to apply. One of the most widely used Gaussian plume model is the US EPA AERMOD model, which was also used in
this study. AERMOD is a model developed with the support of the American Meteorological Society/Environmental Protection
Agency Regulatory Model Improvement Committee (AERMIC), whose objective has been to include state-of the-art science
in regulatory models (Hanna et al 1999). AERMOD is a dispersion modelling system with three components, namely:
AERMOD (AERMIC Dispersion Model), AERMAP (AERMOD terrain pre-processor), and AERMET (AERMOD meteorological
pre-processor).
AERMOD is an advanced new-generation model. It is designed to predict pollution concentrations from continuous point, flare,
area, line, and volume sources. AERMOD offers new and potentially improved algorithms for plume rise and buoyancy, and
the computation of vertical profiles of wind, turbulence and temperature however retains the single straight-line trajectory
limitation. AERMET is a meteorological pre-processor for AERMOD. Input data can come from hourly cloud cover
observations, surface meteorological observations and twice-a-day upper air soundings. Output includes surface
meteorological observations and parameters and vertical profiles of several atmospheric parameters. AERMAP is a terrain
pre-processor designed to simplify and standardise the input of terrain data for AERMOD. Input data includes receptor terrain
elevation data. The terrain data may be in the form of digital terrain data. The output includes, for each receptor, location and
height scale, which are elevations used for the computation of air flow around hills. A disadvantage of the model is that spatial
varying wind fields, due to topography or other factors cannot be included. Input data types required for the AERMOD model
include source data, meteorological data (pre-processed by the AERMET model), terrain data, information on the nature of
the receptor grid and pre-development or background pollutant concentrations or dustfall rates. Version 7.9 of AERMOD and
its pre-processors were used in the study.
All potential air pollutant emissions for the each of the baseline and proposed expansions from the CLS were quantified, as
discussed in the previous section. Most of the air pollutants were already screened out in the previous section using health
risk endpoints (EQS/EAL) which forms part of the GasSim Tier 1 screening methodology. According to the GasSim screening,
only arsenic, ethylene dichloride and H2S were identified for further analyses. However, based on the Geozone Environmental
passive diffusive sampling campaigns conducted at the CLS and comparisons with relevant health risk endpoints, it was
further decided to include limonene, NH3, acetaldehyde, benzene and formaldehyde in the simulations. In addition to these
gaseous pollutants, airborne particulates (PM2.5 and PM10) and fallout dust from fugitive landfill sources, as well as exhaust
gas from the flares were quantified and included further analysis using dispersion modelling. Flare emissions included criteria
pollutants such as SO2, NO2, CO and PM10/PM2.5.
The pollutants specific to health risks include arsenic, ethylene dichloride, PM10/PM2.5, NH3, H2S, SO2, NO2, benzene and
formaldehyde. Of these pollutants, arsenic, ethylene dichloride, benzene and formaldehyde are potential carcinogens,
whereas, SO2, NO2, CO, NH3, H2S and PM2.5/PM10 were analysed as potential irritants. Nuisance impacts include odour
and fallout dust. The key pollutants for the analysis of nuisance include H2S and limonene as odorants, and fugitive dust
fallout for its soiling potential.
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Since several the key-pollutants may still be below their respective health criteria, a further screening was done based on the
maximum concentrations calculated with the AERMOD simulations. The three screening criteria used for this purpose
included:
(a) comparison with the NAAQS limit values (Table 2-1);
(b) calculating the incremental cancer risks using the unit risk factors contained in Table 2-4;
(c) calculating hazard indices using the reference concentrations from Table 2-3;
(d) estimating odour nuisance through comparisons with the odour thresholds established in Table 2-6; and
(e) estimating the significance fallout dust through comparisons with the NDCR provided in Table 2-2.
The simulations of the various emissions were completed for the three scenarios: Baseline, Phase 1A (& Cell7) and Phase
1B. Furthermore, the simulations included all sources of gaseous emissions, i.e. landfill operations, leachate dams and flares
as well as particulate emissions. The latter air emissions were mainly as a result of activities that generate fugitive dust. The
PM10PM2.5 emissions from the flares were low and contributed very little to the overall particulate emissions (Table 4-11).
A comparison of the relevant pollutants with the limit values contained in the NAAQS is summarised in Table 5-1. None of
the criteria gases were predicted to exceed their respective limit values; only PM2.5 and PM10 were. Furthermore, the
mitigated PM2.5 concentrations were all below the limit value of 40 µg/m³ (daily) and 20 µg/m³ (annual). However, the
unmitigated PM2.5 exceeded both limit values. Given that these concentrations were predicted at the boundary of the landfill,
exceedances of the limit values were predicted to mainly occur in the immediate vicinity of the CLS. Since the PM10
concentrations were predicted to exceed the limit values more significantly for all three scenarios, it was selected to serve as
a key-pollutant to establish the zone of impact based on health risks.
Table 5-1: Comparison with NAAQS
Pollutant NAAQS Limit Value
[µg/m³]
Factor of Limit Value
Baseline Phase 1A & Cell 7 Phase 1B
CO 30000 (hourly) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
Benzene 5 (annual) 0.007 0.16 0..37
SO2
350 (hourly) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
125 (daily) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
50 (annual) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
NO2 200 (hourly) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
40 (annual) <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
PM2.5 (unmit) 40 (daily) 3.4 1.6 2.2
20 (annual) 2.5 1.2 1.4
PM2.5 (mit) 40 (daily) 0.9 0.5 0.7
20 (annual) 0.6 0.4 0.5
PM10 (unmit) 75 (daily) 11.6 8.1 11.5
40 (annual) 6.5 5.8 6.6
PM10 (mit) 75 (daily) 3.0 2.3 3.4
40 (annual) 1.7 1.8 2.2
The calculated incremental cancer risks for the screened carcinogens are summarised in Table 5-2. The incremental cancer
risk for benzene and vinyl chloride were calculated to be the most significant and very similar; with the maximum predicted
during Phase 1B for both compounds, viz. 13.9 per million and 12.7 per million for benzene and vinyl chloride, respectively.
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Based on these results, benzene was selected as a key-pollutant, in addition to PM10 to establish the zone of impact based
on health risks.
Table 5-2: Incremental cancer risk estimates
Pollutant Unit Risk Factor
1/[µg/m³]
Cancer Risk per Million
Baseline Phase 1A & Cell 7 Phase 1B
Acetaldehyde 9.0E-7 0.002 0.03 0.06
Arsenic 1.5E-3 0.09 4.3 6.2
Benzene 7.5E-6 0.26 6.1 13.9
Ethylene Dichloride 2.8E-6 0.07 1.87 3.7
Formaldehyde 1.3E-5 0.01 0.12 0.3
Vinyl Chloride 1.0E-6 0.3 7.1 12.7
Non-carcinogenic impacts were evaluated based on the respective RfCs (Table 2-3) for the compounds of interest. As shown
in Table 5-3, only H2S flagged (i.e. maximum concentration calculated to be above the acute RCF of 97.57 µg/m³). H2S was
therefore also included as a key pollutant to determine the health risk impact. This pollutant as well as limonene also carries
a potential odour nuisance value. The predicted maximum hourly average concentration for limonene were 0.75 µg/m³
(Baseline), 14.97 µg/m³ (Phase 1A & Cell7) and 31.03 µg/m³ (Phase 1B), respectively. With a threshold odour concentration
of 58 µg/m³ (Table 2-6) for limonene, it was predicted that this odour would be detected marginally at the CLS boundary,
whereas a comparison of the predicted H2S concentrations shows a significant odour nuisance, i.e. with an odour threshold
of 7 µg/m³ (Table 2-6). H2S was therefore selected to determine the odour impact zone. The predicted nuisance impact zone
was determined using both the odour impact and fallout dust.
Table 5-3: Hazard index
Pollutant Acute RfC
[µg/m³]
Hazard Index
Baseline Phase 1A & Cell 7 Phase 1B
Acetaldehyde 470 0.00003 0.0004 0.0006
Benzene 28.72 0.01 0.14 0.30
Ethylene Dichloride 70 0.0002 0.003 0.059
Formaldehyde 49.13 0.0001 0.001 0.002
Vinyl Chloride 1.28 0.05 0.54 0.97
NH3 100 0.01 0.18 0.34
H2S 97.57 1.32 2.30 2.63
Having screened out the key-pollutants which should be used to estimate the air quality impacts from the CFS and the
proposed expansion phases, it remains to provide the spatial aspects of the predictions. These are provided as contours of
different impacts superimposed on a background map of the study area.
Results are presented in two groups, representing background to establish a health impact zone and a nuisance impact zone,
as follows:
• Health impact zone:
o Health risks represented by the exceedance of the daily average PM10 NAAQS (i.e. allowed four
exceedances of the daily average concentration limit value of 75 µg/m³)
o Incremental cancer risk applying the acceptable risk criteria listed in Table 2-5 and using the predicted
annual average benzene concentrations to represent 24-hour exposures over a 70-year lifetime. This is
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a conservative assumption. According to the table, an incremental risk of 1-in-a-million and lower is Very
Low and 1-in-a-hundred thousand to 1-in-ten thousand, a Low risk.
• Nuisance impact zone:
o Simulated areas of exceedance of odour threshold concentrations associated with H2S. Both hourly
average predictions and 3-munte extrapolations were used in the estimation of this zone. The hourly
average was used to provide the zone within which more frequent exceedances of the odour threshold is
expected and the 3-minute peaks was used to indicate where short periods of exceedences may occur
o Simulated areas of exceedance of dust fallout levels as specified in the NDCR
The predicted zones have been provided for the Baseline, Phase 1A (including Cell7) and Phase 1B. The basis for determining
buffer zones, given predicted odour and health impact zones, has been a point of contention. However, it is proposed that
the above two definitions be considered to establish a Health Buffer Zone and a Management Zone, respectively. These zones
are defined as follows:
• Management zone - indicative of the odour and dust impact areas, with reductions in the extent of such impact areas
requiring the implementation of emission reduction measures at the landfill site; and,
• Health buffer zone - delineated exclusively based on health impact and of crucial importance in terms of determining
land use potentials.
From experience, depending on the type of landfill, particulate fallout (nuisance dust) and odorous emissions often determine
a “management” buffer zone, i.e. the impact zone that can be mitigated through water sprays, covering of waste, etc.
Furthermore, this buffer zone can extend a few hundred metres (but typically less than 1000m). This buffer zone can be used
for development, but would normally not include housing developments, but may include farming and industry. Other air
emissions emanating from the landfill, including PM10 and carcinogens such as benzene, chlorinated hydrocarbons,
formaldehyde, etc. normally define the “health” buffer zone where the land is more strictly controlled and may be considered
unsuitable for most developments, including industrial.
The simulation results for the various phases are provided in Appendix D with summaries provided in this section as follows:
• Health impact zone:
o Figure 5-1, the exceedance of the daily average PM10 NAAQS, showing both unmitigated and mitigated
scenarios.
o Figure 5-2, the incremental cancer risk based on the predicted annual average benzene concentrations
• Nuisance impact zone:
o Figure 5-3 and Figure 5-4 depicting 2 odour units (OU) based on the predicted hourly average and
3-minute peak H2S concentrations, respectively
o Figure 5-5, the area predicted to exceed the dust fallout rate specified for residential areas
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Figure 5-1: Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4 daily
exceedances per calendar year)
As shown in Figure 5-1 for the Baseline scenario, when mitigated to reduce particulate air emissions by 75%, the impact
expressed as PM10 daily average concertation exceedances is limited to four exceedances just offsite of the CLS, i.e. by
about 50m to the east and 30m to the south of the landfill boundary. With no mitigation, the same line of exceedance would
extend to about 150m east and 100m south. The predicted isopleth depicting this NAAQS with no mitigation, is marginally
offsite for Phase 1A, and about 20m (east) and 15 m (west) of the extended portion of the CLS for Phase 1B. With 75%
mitigation, the NAAQS is predicted not to be exceeded.
As a conservative approach, the health impact zone may be expressed by the combined unmitigated isopleth for the three
scenarios. However, since the Baseline condition would terminate once Cell 7 is operational, this section of the impact zone
would only be temporary. Furthermore, given that regular watering of the access roads would be taking place, as per current
practice, the predicted unmitigated impact zones would most likely not be realistic. A more realistic prediction would more
likely be closer to the mitigated predictions. Therefore, it is predicted that the NAAQS may be exceeded only immediately
beyond the eastern boundary of the expansion, i.e. east of Phase 1B Cell 2.
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Figure 5-2: The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from the CLS (an
incremental cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see Table 2-5)
The predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below 5 µg/m³ for all three scenarios, and therefore
meets the NAAQS. The Baseline incremental cancer risk based on benzene is predicted to be trivial (1-in-10 million chance),
as shown in Figure 5-2. Whilst still very low, the incremental cancer risks predicted for Phase 1A (& Cell 7) and Phase 1B are
slightly above 1-in-a-million, respectively. As indicated in the figure, the 1-in-a-million incremental risk isopleth extends about
20m (east) and 10m (west) of the CLS boundary for Phase 1A (& Cell 7). The same isopleth extends a little further east,
approximately 100m (east), and about 50m (north) for Phase 1B.
Given that a risk smaller than 1-in-a-million is regarded as trivial, this isopleth may be considered for the definition of
demarcating the health impact zone. The land currently included by this isopleth forms part of the aggregate works in the east
and undeveloped land to the north. However, as noted in Table 5-2, the maximum incremental cancer risk is about 6-in-a-
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million and 1-in-a hundred thousand for Phase 1A (& Cell 7) and Phase 1B, respectively. These maximums were predicted to
occur inside the CLS. The predicted impact in the nearby residential areas is insignificant.
Figure 5-3: Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table
2-7)
The odour impact from the CLS is based on the quantification of H2S emissions from the landfill, leachate dams/tanks and the
flares. It was recommended to follow the NSW EPA odour assessment policy, as discussed Section 2.2.3. The NSW EPA
found that it is accepted that existing facilities with an odour performance criterion of 7OU (i.e. approximately 7-fold the odour
threshold concentration) is likely to represent the level below which “offensive” odours should not occur for an individual with
a “standard sensitivity” to odours. However, the NSW EPA also recognises that this criterion does not adequately address
the nuisance value with denser populations. Accordingly, they recommend a sliding scale, starting with 7OU (sparsely
populated) down to 2OU for urban areas, where more than 2000 people could be affected by the odour (Table 2-7).
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Furthermore, the NSW EPA applies the odour recognition concentration to the short-term, 1- to 3-minute averaged
concentrations. The AERMOD model is restricted to providing hourly average concentrations (or longer), and shorter
averaging times need to be extrapolated (Section 1.3.5). Hourly and 3-minute average predictions are provided in Figure 5-3
and Figure 5-4, respectively.
Figure 5-4: Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations (isopleths
represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table 2-7)
Whereas the hourly average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 500m towards the northeast of the CLS expansion, the
3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a large portion of Commercia to the northeast (a distance of about 950m from
the CLS expansion). The impact zones towards the east and west are less significant, i.e. approximately 300m for the 3-minute
average prediction. The odour impact to the south is confined to the CLS.
Unlike PM2.5 and PM10, that remains airborne over relatively large distances, larger particles (typically larger than 75 micron),
fall out relatively close to the source. The travelling distances also depend on wind strength, with stronger winds offering more
carrying capacity and hence deposits particles further downwind than during calm low wind conditions. The predicted
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deposition patterns for the three simulation scenarios are provided in Figure 5-5. The isopleth represents the maximum
tolerable fallout rate for residential areas, namely 600 mg/m²-day (NDCR). Both unmitigated and mitigated conditions have
been provided.
Figure 5-5: Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed more than 600
mg/m²-day)
The unmitigated fallout zone based on this limit for the Baseline scenario depicts a zone enclosed by a distance of about 200m
south and 100m to the east, as shown in the figure. The mitigated fallout zone stretches about 50m to the east and south.
The predicted fallout zones for Phases 1A and 1B are limited to about 30m east and west of the CLS expansion. With
mitigation, the fallout is predicted to be within the landfill boundaries.
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6 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Many trace gas emissions are possible from the CLS. These gases were screened in two steps. The first step was done
using the GasSim Tier 1 screening methodology using health risk endpoints (EQS/EAL). According to the GasSim screening,
only arsenic, ethylene dichloride and H2S were identified for inclusion in further analyses. However, based on the Geozone
Environmental passive diffusive sampling campaigns conducted at the CLS and comparisons with relevant health risk
endpoints, it was further decided to also include limonene, NH3, acetaldehyde, benzene and formaldehyde. Since the flares
produce insignificant particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), only emissions from fugitive landfill sources were assumed for
further analyses. To be conservative, the emission rates corresponding to the end of each scenario (Baseline, Phase 1A &
Cell7 and Phase 1B) were used in the atmospheric dispersion simulations. The US EPA AERMOD model was used to
simulate the atmospheric dispersion of the selected pollutants. Three years of hourly average meteorological data which were
measured at OR Tambo International Airport by the SAWS, were used in these simulations. This weather station is
approximately 13km from the CLS and since the terrain including both the CLS and OR Tambo is relatively flat, these
meteorological observations are considered adequate for use in the dispersion model representing the CLS. In the second
screening of the selected pollutants, the predicted maximum ground level air concentration was used to determine the health
and nuisance risks each compound. Key-pollutants were selected with each representing carcinogenic and non-carcinogenic
(irritational) impacts, as well as nuisance impacts (odour and dustfall). This screening resulted in the selection of benzene for
carcinogenic impacts, PM10 for irritational impacts, H2S for odour impacts and total suspended particulates for fallout dust.
The odour impact from the CLS was based on the NSW EPA odour assessment policy which accepts that existing facilities
with an odour performance criterion of 7OU (i.e. approximately 7-fold the odour threshold concentration) is likely to represent
the level below which “offensive” odours should not occur for an individual with a “standard sensitivity” to odours. However,
the NSW EPA also recognises that this criterion does not adequately address the nuisance value with denser populations.
Accordingly, they recommend a sliding scale, starting with 7OU (sparsely populated) down to 2OU for urban areas, where
more than 2000 people could be affected by the odour.
The results from the dispersion simulations are summarised in Table 6-1: Assessment of health risk impactsTable 6-1
for the predicted health risks, and Table 6-2 for predicted nuisance impacts, i.e. odour and fallout dust. The health risk results
are also summarised in Figure 6-1. The figure combines the zones predicted by the incremental cancer risk of 1-in-a-million
and PM10 exceedances of the. For the Base Case, only the unmitigated PM10 impact is shown since the mitigated impacts
are confined to the CLS. The zone of impact for Phase 1A and Phase 1B are mainly due to the predicted incremental cancer
risk. The cancer risk is based on the 95th percentile benzene emission rates at the end of each of the two expansion phases
(Phase 1A and Phase 1B), and therefore reflect an upper, worst case estimate. A more realistic emission rate would have
been the 50th percentile, which for the Base Case (1997-2019) is a factor of 2.2 lower, and for Phase 1A+Cell 7 (2019-2024)
and Phase 1B (2019-2028), a both factor of 5.5 lower. Given this level of conservatism, it is more likely that the 1-in-a-million
isopleth is within the proposed CLS expansion.
Given that regular watering of the access roads would be taking place, as per current practice, the predicted unmitigated
impact zones in Figure 6-1 would most likely not be realistic. A more realistic prediction would more likely be closer to the
mitigated predictions. Therefore, it is predicted that the NAAQS may be exceeded only immediately beyond the eastern
boundary of the expansion, i.e. east of Phase 1B Cell 2.
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Figure 6-1: Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and mitigated) and
benzene incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth represents the 1-
in-a-million incremental cancer risk)
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Table 6-1: Assessment of health risk impacts
Measure of Assessment Scenario Calculation Result
The exceedance of the daily average PM10 NAAQS,
showing both unmitigated and 75% mitigated scenarios
Baseline Mitigated – PM10 daily average concertation exceedances is limited to four exceedances just offsite of the CLS,
i.e. by about 50m to the east and 30m to the south of the landfill boundary
No mitigation, PM10 daily average concentration exceedances extends to about 150m east and 100m south. The
predicted isopleth depicting this NAAQS with no mitigation is marginally offsite for Phase 1A, and about 20m (east)
and 15 m (west) of the extended portion of the CLS for Phase 1B. With 75% mitigation, the NAAQS is predicted
not to be exceeded
Phase 1A Mitigated – no exceedances of the PM10 daily average concertation beyond the landfill boundary
No mitigation – PM10 daily average concentration exceedances marginally offsite towards the east
Phase 1B Mitigated – no exceedances of the PM10 daily average concertation beyond the landfill boundary
No mitigation – PM10 daily average concertation exceedances extends about 20m (east) and 15 m (west) of the
extended portion of the CLS
The incremental cancer risk based on the predicted annual
average benzene concentrations
Baseline The predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The incremental cancer risk is predicted to be trivial (1-in-10 million increased risk)
Phase 1A With gas collection and flaring, the predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the
NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The 1-in-a-million incremental risk (generally accepted as a Low Risk) isopleth extends about 20m (east) and 10m
(west) of the CLS boundary for Phase 1A (& Cell 7)
Phase 1B With gas collection and flaring, the predicted annual average benzene concentration is predicted to be below the
NAAQS limit value of 5 µg/m³
The 1-in-a-million incremental risk isopleth extends about 100m (east), and about 50m (north) for the CLS boundary
for Phase 1B
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Table 6-2: Assessment of nuisance impacts
Measure of Assessment Scenario Calculation Result
Odour Impact
The NSW EPA applies the odour recognition concentration
to the short-term concentrations (1- to 3-minute averages).
The AERMOD model is restricted to providing hourly
average concentrations (or longer), and shorter averaging
times were therefore extrapolated
Baseline The hourly average 2OU is predicted to marginally extend by about 20m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 300m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
Phase 1A The hourly average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 400m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a large portion of Commercia to the northeast (about 800m from
the CLS expansion)
The impact towards the east (200m) and west (50m) are less significant for the 3-minute average prediction
The odour impact to the south is confined to the CLS
Phase 1B The hourly average 2OU is predicted to extend by about 500m towards the east of the CLS leachate dam
The 3-minute average 2OU is predicted to include a large portion of Commercia to the northeast (a distance of
about 950m from the CLS expansion)
The impact towards the east (200m) and west (200m) are less significant for the 3-minute average prediction
The odour impact to the south is confined to the CLS
Fallout dust Baseline The unmitigated fallout zone is enclosed by a distance of about 200m south and 100m to the east
The mitigated fallout zone stretches about 50m to the east and south
Phase 1A With mitigation, the fallout is predicted to be within the landfill boundaries
With no mitigation, the predicted fallout zones for Phases 1A are limited to about 30m east and west of the CLS
expansion
Phase 1B With mitigation, the fallout is predicted to be within the landfill boundaries
With no mitigation, the predicted fallout zones for Phases 1A are limited to about 30m east and west of the CLS
expansion
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6.1 Conclusions
The significance of the health risk is based on the following classifications as defined in the SLR Significance Rating Criteria
provide in Appendix C:
Phase 1A & Cell 7 – Health Risk
Unmitigated – No dust suppression Mitigated – Dust suppression
Intensity of Impacts M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
L: Minor (Slight) change, disturbance or nuisance. Associated with minor consequences or deterioration. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern rarely exceeded. Require only minor interventions or clean-up actions. Sporadic complaints could be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts L:
Whole site
L:
Whole site
Consequences MEDIUM LOW
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/frequent
Significance MEDIUM LOW
Phase 1B Cell 1 and Cell 2 – Health Risk
Unmitigated – No dust suppression Mitigated– Dust suppression
Intensity of Impacts M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
L: Minor (Slight) change, disturbance or nuisance. Associated with minor consequences or deterioration. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern rarely exceeded. Require only minor interventions or clean-up actions. Sporadic complaints could be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts M:
Beyond the site boundary, affecting immediate
neighbours
L:
Whole site
Consequences MEDIUM LOW
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance MEDIUM LOW
The predicted nuisance impact zone is mainly determined by the potential odour impacts from the CLS. Whereas the worse-
case predictions for the Base Case was predicted to impact mainly over the industrial activities to the east of the CLS, a
significant portion of Commercia, to the northeast of the CLS could experience odours from facility during Phases 1A and 1B.
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The worse-case prediction is based on the highest 95th percentile emission rates calculated in GasSim for each phase.
Furthermore, it represents any short-term exposure of a few minutes in duration. With the hourly average odour estimates,
which provide the odour levels for durations from 15 minutes to one hour, the impacts were predicted to be limited to the
aggregate works, east and north-east of the CLS. The significance of the odour risk is as follows:
Phase 1A & Cell 7 – Odour Risk
Unmitigated – Flares not Operating Mitigated – Flares Operating
Intensity of Impacts H: Prominent change, disturbance or degradation. Associated with real and substantial consequences. May result in illness or injury. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern regularly exceeded. Will definitely require intervention. Threats of community action. Regular complaints can be expected when the impact takes place.
M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
Consequences HIGH HIGH
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance HIGH MEDIUM
Phase 1B Cell 1 and Cell 2 – Odour Risk
Unmitigated – Flares not Operating Mitigated – Flares Operating
Intensity of Impacts H: Prominent change, disturbance or degradation. Associated with real and substantial consequences. May result in illness or injury. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern regularly exceeded. Will definitely require intervention. Threats of community action. Regular complaints can be expected when the impact takes place.
M: Moderate change, disturbance or discomfort. Associated with real but not substantial consequences. Targets, limits and thresholds of concern may occasionally be exceeded. Likely to require some intervention. Occasional complaints can be expected.
Duration of Impacts H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
H:
Long term, between 10 and 20 years. (Likely to cease at the end of the operational life of the activity)
Extent of Impacts H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
H:
Local area, extending far beyond site boundary
Consequences HIGH HIGH
Probability H:
Probable
M:
Possible/Frequent
Significance HIGH MEDIUM
6.2 Recommendations
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Background concentrations of airborne particulates are already high and the CLS operator should therefore control on-site
fugitive dust emissions by effective management and mitigation. At least a 70% dust control efficiency is required on unpaved
roads to ensure dustfall rates are reduced to the levels predicted.
It is recommended to continue gas collection and flaring, as with the current operation of the CLS. Flares should be maintained
in accordance with the manufacturer’s recommendations. Full records should be available for inspection.
Management measures should be put in place to ensure
• that upsets in the landfill gas collection system are avoided, which would result in the flares not operating effectively;
• that upsets such as the emission of concentrated, un-combusted organic compounds during flare downtime do not
occur. If the flare is not operational no gas extraction and venting through the stack should be permitted.
• minimal downtime of flares since the odour impact could otherwise be significant
Measures should be put in place to reduce the potential for subsurface gas liberation during waste disturbance and gas
extraction network installation activities.
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Wilby, E.V. (1969). Variation in Recognition Odor Threshold of a Panel. J. Air Pollut. Control Assoc. 19:96–100.
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9 APPENDIX B: SLR SIGNIFICANCE RATING CRITERIA
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10 APPENDIX C: CURRICULUM VITAE OF SPECIALIST
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Curriculum Vitae: Lucian Burger
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CURRICULUM VITAE LUCIAN BURGER
CURRICULUM VITAE
Name of Staff Lucian Burger
Name of Firm Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty) Ltd
Position Director and Principal Consultant
Profession Chemical Engineer/Air Quality and Process Risk Specialist
Date of Birth 24 May 1960
Years with Firm 28 years
Nationalities South African
MEMBERSHIP OF PROFESSIONAL SOCIETIES Registered with the Engineering Council of South Africa (ECSA) as a Professional Engineer
(Registration No. 20170291)
Fellow of the South African Institute of Chemical Engineers (FSAIChE) (Fellow: No. 4533)
Associate Fellow of the Institute of Chemical Engineers (AFIChemE) (Fellow: No. 99963108)
National Association of Clean Air (NACA)
Accredited Inspectorate Authority (AIA) for completion of risk assessments as partial fulfilment
of Major Hazard Installation Regulations (SANAS No. MHI0013 and Department of Labour No.
MHI0005) (2005 - 2008)
SANAS Risk Assessment Specialist Technical Committee (2003 - 2010)
Member of the Technical Committee on Air Quality Standards Setting (2002 - 2003)
SABS Air Quality Standards Specialist Technical Committee (Chairman of Working Group 1)
KEY QUALIFICATIONS Air Pollution Dispersion Modelling (execution and development of models)
Loss of Containment Simulations and Consequence Modelling (Fires, Explosions, Toxic
Clouds - execution and development of models)
Process Failure Rate Analysis
Micrometeorology
Quantitative Risk Assessment
Nuclear Site Safety Report Analysis – Meteorology and Dispersion Modelling
Ambient Air Monitoring
Chemical Engineering
Development of Air Emissions Inventories (Mining and Ore Handling, Metal Recovery,
Chemical Industry, Petrochemical Industry, Power Generation, Pulp and Paper, Waste
Disposal (landfills, incineration, pyrolysis) and Recycling, Transport [motor vehicles, aircraft,
ships])
Air Quality Management Programmes
Formulation of National Strategies
Project Management
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RELEVANT EXPERIENCE Policy, Strategic Planning and Air Quality Management:
Co-author of Air Quality Section in Fuggle & Rabie’s Environmental Management in South
Africa (2nd edition [2011] ISBN No. 978-0-7021-8134-4 (2011) and 3rd edition [2018] ISBN No.
9781485126102, Juta). The book sheds light on the legal frameworks in regional and
international environmental law, administrative law and the National Environmental
Management Act (NEMA).
Development of Guidelines For Thermal Treatment of Wastewater Sludge – Development of
the position paper and subsequent guidelines on the air emissions impact from thermal
treatment options of wastewater sludge. The Water Research Commission published the
complete set of guidelines in 2009 [Herselman JE; Burger LW; Moodley P (2009) Guidelines
for the utilisation and disposal of wastewater sludge Volume 5 of 5: Requirements for
thermal sludge management practices and for commercial products containing sludge, ISBN
No: 978-1-77005-711-1].
Site selection for South Africa’s Nuclear Installations. Specialist (climatology, micro-
meteorology and atmospheric dispersion modelling) with the Nuclear Site Safety Team
appointed by Eskom for the period 2007 to 2021.
Dispersion modelling regulations – Group Chairman of the Dispersion Modelling Working
Group for standardizing and setting requirements for the use of dispersion models for
regulatory purposes, in conjunction with the South African Department of Environmental
Affairs. Published in 2014 (National Environmental Management: Air Quality Act, 2004 (Act
No. 39 of 2004) Regulation No. R 533, Government Gazette 37804).
Review and Implementation of the new Air Emission License (National Environmental
Management Air Quality Act) role out programme (2006-2008). This included the
development of the framework, technical workshops with industry and training of local
authorities. The tasks were divided between principal consultants within Airshed Planning
Professionals. Lucian Burger was responsible for the Power Generation and Pulp & Paper
sectors.
List of Activities, Setting of Minimum Emission Standards. Served as technical advisor to the
Department of Environmental Affairs for the development of air pollution emission rates for
all major stationary industrial activities. Original published in 2010 (Government Gazette
33064)
As chairman of Working Group 1, Lucian Burger was involved in the development of the
South African Air Quality Standards Framework (SANS 69) and the Air Quality Standards for
Criteria Pollutants (SANS 1929), in conjunction with the South African Bureau of Standards
(SABS).
Low Smoke Fuels Standards- Served on the Technical Committee on the Low Smoke Fuels
Standards Development Committee administered by the Department of Minerals and
Energy (1998-2003).
Mercury emission limits - The South African Regulations for Mercury Waste Disposal was
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drafted in 2001. These regulations were completed together with Infotox (Pty) Ltd,
specialists in toxicology.
Air Quality Management for Development Planning
o Gauteng Pollution Buffer Zones Guideline – Gauteng Department of Agriculture and
Rural Development (GDARD) commissioned the development of buffer zone
guidelines in 2002, which was reviewed in 2006 and 2017, respectively. The
guideline was developed to ensure that pollution buffer areas are created between
the pollution sources and the nearest human settlements. The guideline includes
air, noise, water and land-based pollution, as well as risks associated with nuclear
facilities. Dr Burger provided recommended buffer zones for different industry
categories defined by size and industry type, as well as sewerage treatment works,
landfill sites, mine dumps and slimes dams, and ash dumps.
o Coega Industrial Development Zone (IDZ) - An air pollution management strategy
was developed in 1997 for the Coega IDZ. Air quality guidelines were developed and
a method of determining emissions for potential developers. The objective was to
allow equal opportunity for development without exceeding unacceptable air
pollution levels. Developed an air-shed air quality management model for
application at Coega in 1999. The model was developed in-house so as to assist the
Coega Development Corporation in the proactive allocation of emission limits to
prospective investors in the IDZ. The purpose being to maximise development
opportunities whilst ensuring the maintenance of good air quality in the long-term.
o Saldanha IDZ – Part of an integrated team of specialists appointed by Wesgro that
developed the proposed development and management strategies for the IDZ. Air
quality guidelines were developed and a method of determining emissions for
potential developers. The investigation included the establishment of the current
air emissions and air quality impacts (baseline) with the objective to further
development in the IDZ and to allow equal opportunity for development without
exceeding unacceptable air pollution levels.
Air Quality Baseline Assessments for the Development of Air Quality Management Plans
o National Economic Development and Labour Council (NEDLAC) 'Dirty Fuels Project' -
The project undertaken for NEDLAC comprised the development of emissions
inventories for several major conurbations across South Africa, the prediction of
resultant air pollutant concentrations and the quantification and costing of health
risks due to inhalation exposures. The study enabled the identification and
quantification of various implementation plans to reduce air pollution on a
nationwide scale, whilst focussing on energy generated air pollution sources. The
project included a detailed cost-benefit analysis. Project was completed in 2004.
o Vaal Triangle Airshed Priority Area Air Quality Management Plan– Served as
technical advisor to the Department of Environmental Affairs for the development
of South Africa’s first Air Pollution Priority Area Air Quality Management Plan. This
included the establishment of a comprehensive air pollution emissions inventory,
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atmospheric dispersion modelling, focusing on impact area “hotspots” and
quantifying emission reduction strategies. The management plan was published in
the Government Regulation Gazette No. 32263 on 28 May 2009, Viol. 57 No. 9090
(Part1 and 2)
o Cape Town - An air quality situation assessment was undertaken on behalf of the
City of Cape Town in 2002 in support of their plans for the development of an air
quality management plan for the City.
o Johannesburg - An air quality baseline assessment was undertaken and an air quality
management plan compiled for Johannesburg on behalf of the City. The project was
completed during September 2003.
o Gauteng - An air quality baseline assessment was completed for Gauteng in 1999 to
inform their proposed air quality management plan. This project was funded by
Danish International Development Agency (DANIDA).
o Ekurhuleni – An air quality baseline study and an Air Quality Management Plan has
been developed for the Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality. This work was
completed in 2005.
o UMhlathuze – An air quality situation analysis has being undertaken for the
uMhlathuze District Municipality and guidance given in terms of the air quality
implication of the municipality’s spatial development framework. Work is was
completed in 2005.
o Tswane – An air quality baseline study was completed for the Tswane Metropolitan
Municipality (2005).
Landfill Waste Disposal
Health Impact Assessments:
o Proposed Chloorkop Class1 Landfill Site (Kempton Park) [Waste-Tech] 1993
o Margolis Landfill Site (Germiston) [Waste-Tech] 1994
o Umlazi H:H Landfill Site (Isipingo, KZN, RSA) [Waste-Tech] 1996
o Bissasar Road Landfill Site (Durban) [Durban Metropolitan Council] 1996
o Vissershok CoCT Waste Disposal Site and Evaporating Ponds) [City of Cape Town] 1996
o Aloes Landfill Site (Port Elizabeth) 1996 and 2009
o Sasol 2 & 3 Black Products Disposal Site (Secunda) [Sasol] 1998
o Holfontein H:H Landfill (Pretoria) [Enviroserv] 1998
o Goudkoppies GLB Landfill (Johannesburg) 1998
o Rosslyn H:H Landfill (Pretoria) [Enviroserv] 1998 and 1999
o Proposed Lekoa Vaal Regional H:H Waste Disposal Facility (Vereeniging) 1999
o ISCOR Hazardous Waste Disposal Site (Vereenging) [Iscor] 1999
o ISCOR Solid Waste Disposal Site (Vanderbiljpark) [Iscor] 1999
o Sasol 1 GLB Landfill (Sasolburg) [Sasol] 1999
o Shongweni H:H Landfill (Shongweni, KZN) [Enviroserv] 1999
o Luipaardsvlei Landfill (Krugersdorp) [Mogale City Local Municipality 2004
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o Proposed Kingstonvale Waste Disposal Site (Nelspruit) [MMC] 2004
o Proposed Hazardous Waste Site In Cacucao (Luanda, Angola) [Intels] 2004
o Pappas Quarry Manganese Waste Disposal Site (Nelspruit) [MMC] 2005
o East London Regional Waste Disposal site (East London) [Buffalo City Council] 2006
o Ekundustria Landfill (Bronkorstspruit) 2008
o Devon Landfill Site (Devon) [Lesedi Local Municipality] 2012
Health Impact Assessments and Buffer Zone Delineations:
o Vissershok HH Landfill Site (Cape Town) 1996, 2004 and 2009
o Proposed East London Regional Hazardous Waste Disposal site (Berlin, East London)
1998 and 1999
o Holfontein H:H Landfill (Pretoria) [Enviroserv] 2001, 2003 and 2009
o Proposed Beluluane Hazardous Waste Landfill Site(Matola, Mozambique) [Mozal &
Mozambique Authorities] 2002
o Proposed City of Cape Town New Regional Landfill Site (Atlantis) [CoCT] 2002-2007 and
2010
o Proposed City of Cape Town New Regional Landfill Site Kalbaskraal [CoCT] 2002-2007
and 2010
o Shongweni H:H Landfill (Shongweni, KZN) [Enviroserv] 2003, 2008 and 2018
o Proposed Coega Landfill (Coega, Port Elizabeth) [Coega IDZ] 2003 and 2008
o Aloes Landfill Site (Port Elizabeth) [Enviroserv] 2004
o Rosslyn H:H Landfill (Pretoria) [Enviroserv] 2004, 2006 and 2011
o Proposed ISPAT ISCOR Solid Waste Disposal Site (Vanderbijlpark) [Iscor] 2005
o Proposed Waterfal General Landfill (Rustenburg) 2009
o Luipaardsvlei Landfill (Krugersdorp) [Mogale City Local Municipality 2009 and 2011
o Proposed Eden District Municipality (Mossel Bay) [Eden District Municipality] 2011
o Vissershok CoCT Waste Disposal Site Expansion[City of Cape Town] 2014
Waste Incineration
Existing Operations, including Medical waste incinerators at Rietfontein (Germiston) [Waste-
Tech] 1995; Medical waste incinerators at Aloes Landfill Site (Port Elizabeth) [Waste-Tech] 1996;
Medical waste incinerators at Vissershok Landfill Site (Cape Town) [Waste-Tech] 1996; Medical
waste incinerators at Tembisa Hospital (Tembisa) 2001; Medical waste incinerators Thembo
Memorial Hospital (Boksburg) 2001; Waste Rubber Incinerators at Ergo (Brakpan) [Ergo] 2002;
Voorberg Correctional Facility Incinerator (Porterville) (Department of Correctional Services,
DCS) 2012; Drakenstein Correctional Facility Incinerator (Paarl) (DCS) 2012; Helderberg
Correctional Facility Incinerator (Caledon) (DSC) 201
Proposed Operations, including Medical Waste Incinerator at Two Potential Sites (Rietfontein
and Randvaal) [Waste-Tech] 1996; Proposed Eastern Cape Medical and General Waste
Incinerator 2001; Thor Chemicals Plant (Kwazulu-Natal) [Department of Environmental Affaisrt
and Tourism] 2001; Aid Safe Waste Incinerator (Benoni) [Aid Safe] 2001; Startech Plasma Gas
Converter [Startech] 2002; KwaMashu Waste Water Treatment Facility Incinerator (Phoenix,
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Durban) [EThekwini Municipality] 2002; Shongweni Medical Waste Incinerator (Shongweni, KZN)
[Enviroserv] 2003;
Wastewater Treatment Works
Rondebult Wastewater Treatment Plant (Germiston) [East Rand Water Care Company, Erwat];
Waterval Wastewater Treatment Plant (Klip River) [Erwat], Vlakplaats Wastewater Treatment Plant
(Vosloorus) [Erwat], Dekema Wastewater Treatment Plant (Katlehong) [Erwat]; Zeekoegat
Wastewater Treatment Plant (Roodeplaat Dam, Nokeng tsa Taemane Local Municipality);
Baviaanspoort Wastewater Treatment Plant (Mamelodi, Pretoria); Rooiwal Wastewater Treatment
Plant ( ; Proposed Sishen South Sewerage Treatment Plant (Sishen); Fishwater Flats Wastewater
Treatment Plant (Port Elizabeth); Lusikisiki Wastewater Treatment Plant (Lusikisiki, Eastern Cape
Province)
Transport Sector: Bakwena Toll Road Concession (Pretoria – Rustenburg); N1/N2 Protea Toll Road
(Cape Town – Paarl – Somerset West); Protea Toll Road Tunnel Options; N14 (Germiston) On-
/Offramp; N3TC Toll Road Concession De Beers Pass Alternatives; Gauteng Heavy Vehicles Freeway
Re-Routing Study; SAPIA Vehicle Emissions Management Strategy; Gauteng Department of
Transport Air Quality Management Plan; MMT Fuel Additive Monitoring Campaign (Afton); Sasol
Vehicle Emissions Ambient Air Monitoring Campaign; Cape Town International Airport Air Quality
Management Plan; OR Tambo International Airport Detailed Air Emission Inventory and Air Quality
Management Plan; Sir Seretse Kama (Botswana) Air Impact Assessment; Iron Ore Train Transport
(Sishen Mine to Saldanha Bay Iron Ore Port); Coal Train Transport (Moatize to Nicala Port,
Mozambique); Bauxite Ore Long-haul Road Transport (Bakhuis to Nickerie, Suriname); Baseline
Assessment of Iron Ore Transport (Zanaga Mine to Pointe Noir, Republic of Congo (Brazzaville)).
Quantitative Risk Assessments and Consequence Modelling: Air Products Durban plant (Hydrogen);
Comprehensive Risk Assessment of AECI (chlorine, ammonia, acrylonitrile, sulphur dioxide),
Umbogintwini Factory Complex; Oleum Storage Tank Farm Lever Brothers. Boksburg; Ammonia
Tank Farm Palabora Mining Company, Palaborwa; Ammonia Refrigeration Unit, Palabora Mining
Company, Palaborwa; Chlorine Dosing facility Palabora Mining Company, Palaborwa; Accidental
liquid Bromine spills and fugitive gas emissions at Delta-G Scientific, Halfway House; Accidental
emissions and spills of organo-pesticides at Sanachem, Verulam. Burning of waste dumps in
Botswana (Botswana Government). Chlorine Dosing Facility at mining operations (Rustenburg);
Dispersion and Consequence Modelling of Toxic Liquid Spills (e.g. Acrylonitrile and Propylene Oxide),
Combustion Products (e.g. Hydrogen Cyanide), Bund Fires and Vapour Cloud Explosions of a large
number of storage tanks at Vopak Tank Terminals, Durban Harbour, Investigation of Fire at Sapref
Refinery Alkylation Unit; Risk assessment of ammonia, hydrogen fluoride and nitric acid Columbus
Stainless (Middelburg); Natural Gas Pipeline from Mozambique to Secunda (Sasol Gas). Hydrogen
gas pipeline from Vanderbijlpark to Springs (Air Products), Crude oil and white product pipelines
from Chevron Refinery (Cape Town) to Cape Town Harbour, Crude oil and white product pipelines
from Chevron Refinery (Cape Town) to Saldanha Bay, Liquid Fuels Transportation Infrastructure from
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Staatsolie Refinery To Ogane, Sol And Chevron Product Storage Depots, Suriname (Staatsolie
Maatschappij Suriname N.V.) – Overland and Riverbed assessments; Liquid Fuels Transportation
Infrastructure From Milnerton Refinery Area To Ankerlig Power Station (Atlantis Industrial Area),
Western Cape Province (Eskom). Sunrise Liquid Petroleum Gas Ship Offloading and Pipeline
Transportation Saldanha Bay – Sea and Land Spillages, Transnet Pipeline Greenvale Diesel Spill –
Hillcrest, KwaZulu-Natal
Mining and Ore Handling (Blasting; quarrying; grinding; crushing; conveying; vehicles; tailings dams).
BHP-Billiton Bauxite Mine (Suriname), Exxaro Heavy Minerals Mine and Processing (Madagascar),
Tenke Copper Mine and Processing Plant (DRC), Sari Gunay Gold Mine (Iran), Zaldivar Copper Mine
(Chile); Gold Mine at Omagh (Ireland); ZCCM Luancha Copper mine (Zambia); Skorpion Zinc mine
(Namibia); Rossing Uranium (Namibia); Trekkopje Uranium (Namibia); Gokwe Coal Mine
(Zimbabwe); Murowa Diamond Mine (Zimbabwe); Gamsberg Zinc Mine (Aggeneys); Prieska Copper
mine (Prieska); Numerous coal collieries, including Riversdale (Tete Province Mozambique, Anglo
Coal, Exxaro, Xstrata); Lime Quarries (La Farge, formerly Blue Circle, East London and Otjiwarongo,
Namibia); Clinker Grinding and Cement Blending Plant (La Farge, Richards Bay); Bluff Mechanical
Appliances – Durban Coal Terminal; Portnet’s Saldanha Ore Port Facility; and others.
Metal Recovery (Smelting; electro-wining). Samancor Air Quality Baseline for all South African
Chromium Smelter and Mines (Ferroveld, Ferrometals, MFC, Columbus, Tubatsi, Western Chrome
Mines, Eastern Chrome Mines), Hexavalent Chromium Air Quality Reference Document (FAPA),
Hartley Platinum Smelter (Zimbabwe); Mufulira Smelter (Zambia), Nkana Smelter (Kitwe, Zimbia);
Waterval Smelter (Amplats, Rustenburg); Lonrho Smelter (Brits); Ergo (Anglo American Corporation,
Springs); Coega Zinc Refinery (Billiton, Port Elizabeth); Hexavalent Chrome and Lead (Winterveld
Chrome Mines); Hexavalent Chrome Xstrata (Rustenburg); Pitch releases from graphite electrode
(EMSA, Union Carbide, Meyerton); Copper Smelting (Palabora Mining Company, Phalaborwa);
Portland Cement Plant (La Farge, East London and Otjiwarongo, Namibia); Westplats – Mooinooi
Smelter (Brits), Holcim Alternative Fuels Project (Lichtenburg, Ulco and Blending Plant –
Roodepoort), PPC Riebeeck West Expansion Project, Expansion projects for ArcelorMittal South
Africa Vanderbijlpark Works, Expansion projects for ArcelorMittal South Africa Saldanha Bay Works
Chemical Industry (bulk chemical; fertilizer; herbicides; pesticides). Comprehensive air pollution
impact assessment of AECI (Pty) Ltd Operations, including Modderfontein, Umbogintwini, Somerset
West, New Germany and Richards Bay; Kynoch Fertilizer plants in Milnerton and Potchefstroom;
Fedmis Fertilizer Plant in Phalaborwa; Pesticides and Herbicides at Sanachem (Canelands); Chrome
Impacts from various Bayer (Pty) Ltd operations (Newcastle and Durban); Fibre Production (Sasol
Fibres, Durban); NCP Chloorkop Expansion project, NCP Chloorkop Contaminated Soils Recovery
Petrochemical Industry (Petroleum refineries, tank farms). Baseline and Expansion of Liquid Natural
Gas Refinery (Equatorial Guinea); Site Selection for New South African Petroleum Refinery (DME),
Proposed new Greenfields Petroleum Refinery at Coega (PetroSA), Hydrogen sulphide and sulphur
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dioxide emissions from SASOL operations (Sasolburg and Secunda); Sasol Coal to Gas Conversion
Project (Sasolburg), Natref Refinery Expansion Project (Sasolburg); Engen Emissions Inventory
Functional Specification (Durban); Air impact of air emissions from Sapref Refinery (Durban) Odour
Impact assessment at ChevronTexaco Refinery (Cape Town); StaatsOlie expansion project
(Suriname); Marathon LNG Expansion (Equatorial Guinea); PetroSA (Mossel Bay), Air impact of air
emissions from Killarney, Milnerton and Saldanha Bay bulk storage tanks, Ambient air sampling
campaign and Health Risk Analysis at Highway, Toll Plazas, Filing Stations & Taxi Ranks (Sasol), Air
Products - Cryodrains at Sasol Secunda Oxygen Plants: Steam Ejector Vaporiser Vent Design
Pulp and Paper Industry. Expansion of Mondi Richards Bay, Odour Assessment and Panel
Development for Mondi Richards Bay, Multi-Boiler Impact Assessment for Mondi Merebank
(Durban), Impact Assessment for Sappi Ngodwana (Nelspruit), Impact Assessment for Sappi Stanger,
Air Quality Monitoring Network and Air Pollution Management Plan for Sappi Saiccor (Umkomaas),
Comprehensive Emissions Inventory and Screening Health Risk Assessment for Sappi Enstra
(Springs), Impact Assessment for Sappi Tugela, Expansion Project for Cape Sawmills (Stellenbosch),
Comprehensive Emissions Inventory and Screening Health Risk Assessment for Global Forest (Sabie),
Air Impact Assessment for Pulp United (Richards Bay), MTO George Saw Mill (George)
Power Generation:
Coal Power Stations
Kelvin Power Station (Johannesburg); Athlone Power Station (Cape Town); Tatuka, Kendal,
Matimba, Duvha and Majuba Power Stations, ESKOM; Open Cycle Gas Turbine Peaking Power
Station (Mosselbay), Inhambane Power Station, Mozambique, Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Power
Plant In Moamba, Mozambique.
Nuclear Installations
Participating member in the ATMES Phase 1 project to assess the emergency preparedness to
nuclear accidents following the Chernobyl Accident, Development and Implementation of a real-
time emergency dispersion model for NECSA (Pelindaba); Development of a real-time emergency
dispersion model for Koeberg Nuclear Power Station; Environmental Impact Assessment for the
proposed demonstration Pebble Bed Modular Reactor (PBMR); Environmental Impact Assessment
for the proposed Nuclear-1 Power Station; Meteorological monitoring and development of
Meteorological Chapter of Site Safety Report for potential Nuclear-1 Power Station (Thyspunt,
Bantamsklip and Duynefontein).
Solar Installations
Proposed 150 MWp Photovoltaic (PV) Power Plant (Bronkhorstspruit), Baseline and Impact
Assessment near Grootvlei Power Station for Solar Energy PV Power Facility, Air Quality Impact
Assessment for the Abengoa KaXu Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) station (Pofadder, Northern
Cape).
Software Development. Development of real time atmospheric dispersion model - HAWK: Atomic
Energy Corporation of South Africa; CALTEX, Cape Town; NCP CHLOORKOP, Kempton Park;
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MOSSGAS, Mosselbay; PALABORA MINING COMPANY, Palaborwa; AECI, Umbogintwini; AECI,
Modderfontein; SASOL, Secunda; SASOL, Sasolburg; SAPREF Refinery, Durban; ENGEN Refinery,
Durban; ESKOM, Majuba Power Station; South Durban Air quality management system (Joint
venture between major industries, authorities and community); SAPPI-SAICCOR, Umkomaas;
HARTLEY PLATINUM, Zimbabwe, Richards Bay Air Quality Committee (Joint venture between major
industries, authorities and community), ISCOR, Newcastle; ISCOR, Vanderbijlpark.
Provision of Expert Testimony: [e.g. Herbicide Contention Case: Victory Farm v HL&H Timber
Products (Pty) Ltd, Rautenbach Aerial Spraying Ltd, Alan James McEwan; SAPREF Alkylation Unit Fire,
Rhone-Poulenc Warehouse fire, Shell-Sasol Alcohol Reformulation Contention; Kudu Oils v
Department of Environmental Affairs and Tourism), Global Forest Products (Pty) Ltd & Others v Lone
Creak River Lodge (Pty) Ltd & Others; Pride Milling Company (Pty) Ltd v Klipspruit Colliery & Others;
Triple S Diensstasie Edms Bpk / P Senekal; PetroSA v Langeberg Shopping Mall, PetroSA v Visigro
Investments, Koedoeskloof Landfill in Uitenhage Nelson Mandela Municipality v Pentree; Interwaste
(Pty) Ltd FG Landfill//Abader, Ishaam N.O. and Others; Enviroserv Waste Management (Pty) Ltd//The
Department of Environmental Affairs and Others.]
EDUCATION University
1984 - 1986 : PhD student at the University of Natal (Department of Chemical Engineering), Durban.
Completed December 1986. Degree awarded March 1987
Supervisor: Prof M Mulholland
1983 - 1984 : MSc Eng student at the University of Natal (Department of Chemical Engineering), Durban.
Completed April 1984. Degree awarded March 1985
Supervisor: Prof M Mulholland
1980 - 1982 : BSc Eng student at the University of Natal, Durban. Completed a BSc Eng (Chemical Engineering) - Cum Laude
1979 : BSc Eng student at the University of Port Elizabeth, 1st Year Chemical Engineering
Matriculated
1978 : Cradock High School, Cradock, South Africa. Aggregate: A
ADDITIONAL COURSES
1996 Risk Assessment for Environmental Decision Making - Presented by Harvard University
School of Public Health at the CSIR, Pretoria, RSA.
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COUNTRIES OF WORK EXPERIENCE
Central African Republic, Republic of Chile, Democratic Republic of Congo, Federal Democratic
Republic of Ethiopia, Republic of Equatorial Guinea, Republic of Ghana, Kingdom of Lesotho,
Republic of Liberia, Republic of Madagascar, Republic of Mozambique, Republic of Namibia, Republic
of Congo, Republic of South Africa, Republic of Suriname Togolese Republic, Republic of Zambia,
Republic of Zimbabwe
EMPLOYEMENT RECORD Jan 1990 to 2018 Managing Director/Director. Airshed Planning Professionals (Pty)
Ltd, Midrand (Previously known as Environmental Management
Services 1990 to 2003)
A consulting firm providing services in the Air Quality and Noise Assessments and Management field
to industry and national, provincial and local authorities. Work includes the preparation of emission
inventories, dispersion modeling, impact assessment and mitigation planning in the mining,
metallurgical and general industrial sectors. Legal compliance audits have been carried out.
Jan 1989 to Dec 1990 Process Engineer, AECI Engineering Department, Modderfontein,
Johannesburg.
Part of process engineering team for the design of Coal to Liquid (CTL) processing plant, responsible
for energy integration. Conceptual design of new Calcium Carbide smelter. Detailed engineering and
commissioning of Gold Potassium Cyanide Plant.
Jul 1987 to Dec 1988 Research Engineer, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research
(CSIR), Pretroria
Responsible for the development (design and construction) of a gas dynamic laser for industrial
applications. Development of a real-time atmospheric dispersion model for emergency response
applications
Jan 1984 to Dec 1986 Research Assistant, Department Chemical Engineering, University of
Natal, Durban.
Development of prototype real-time atmospheric dispersion model for air pollution management
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applications at a petroleum refinery. Development of a new theoretical model for complex
atmospheric applications.
CONFERENCE AND WORKSHOP PRESENTATIONS AND PAPERS
Burger L W and Mulholland M. Real-time prediction of point-source distributions using an
anemometer-bivane and a microprocessor, Atmospheric Environment, Volume 22, Issue 7, 1988,
Pages 1309–1317
Burger L W Air pollution modelling as part of an EIA study, Western Cape Annual Air Pollution
Symposium, National Association for Clean Air, 11 September 1997
Burger, C.J.H. & Kornelius, G. Dust dispersion from a dust road and the attenuation thereof by tree
plantations beside the road: A mathematical model. CEMSA ‘98 International Conference and
Exhibition on Integrated Environmental Management. East London, February 1998
Burger, L.W., Coetzee, L.A., Sowden, M., Kornelius, G., Simpson, D., Swanepoel, P.A., van Niekerk, A.S., &
van Niekerk, W.C.A. Development and implementation of the Integrated Energy Decision Support
Model (IEDS) to improve health conditions in residential areas. Proc 11th World Clean Air and
Environment Congress, Durban 1998.
Hurt Q E, Burger L W, Bell C. A Tool For Air Quality Management : The Importance Of Quality Assurance,
Intelligent Assimilation Of Data And The Effective Representation Thereof To Industry, The Regulatory
Authorities And The Community. Proc 11th World Clean Air and Environment Congress, Durban 1998.
Burger L W and Scorgie Y The Value Of A Quantitative Acute And Chronic Health Risk Assessment In
Town Planning Around A Large Industrial Complex. Proc 11th World Clean Air and Environment
Congress, Durban 1998
Burger L W, Coetzee L A, Sowden M, Kornelius G, Simpson D, Swanepoel P A , Van Niekerk A S and Van
Niekerk WCA, Development And Implementation Of The Integrated Energy Decision Support Model
(Ieds) To Improve Health Conditions In Residential Areas. Proc 11th World Clean Air and Environment
Congress, Durban 1998
Burger L W and Hurt QE, A Tool for Air Quality Management: Real-Time Atmospheric Dispersion
Modelling In Two Large Industrial Regions - South Durban And Richards Bay. Proc 11th World Clean Air
and Environment Congress, Durban 1998
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Burger L W and Terblanche A P, Atmospheric Dispersion Calculations Of Toxic Gases Originating From
Waste Disposal Facilities, Proc 11th World Clean Air and Environment Congress, Durban 1998
Burger L W, Grundling A, Van Heerden J, Truter T, Rautenbach H. A Case Study: Predicting the Surface
and Upper Atmospheric Dispersion Of Satellite Launching Rocket Exhaust Gases, Proc 11th World Clean
Air and Environment Congress, Durban 1998
Burger L W. Quantifying Flue Gas Temperature to Minimise Condensation in Scrubber Stack Plumes,
National Association for Clean Air Conference 2004
Burger L W and Scorgie Y, Air Quality Management Systems: Pitfalls and Harmonization, National
Association for Clean Air Conference, 2005
Burger, L W, Uncertainty in Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling, National Association for Clean Air
Conference, East London 2006
Burger L W, Stead M and Moldan A. Prediction Of Motor Vehicle Air Emission Reductions Through
Intervention Policies, National Association for Clean Air Conference, Vereenging 2009
Burger L W, Complexities In The Estimation Of Emissions And Impacts Of Wind Generated Fugitive Dust,
National Association for Clean Air Conference, Polokwane 2010
Burger L W, A Dynamic Model for The Simulation Of Sulphur Dioxide Emissions From A Self-Propagating
Sulphur Storage Fire, 16th IUAPPA World Clean Air Congress, 29 Sep to 4 Oct 2013, Cape Town
Herselman JE; Burger LW; Moodley P (2009) Guidelines for the utilisation and disposal of wastewater
sludge Volume 5 of 5: Requirements for thermal sludge management practices and for commercial
products containing sludge, ISBN No: 978-1-77005-711-1].
Liebenberg-Enslin, H, Annegarn, H.J and Burger, L.W (submitted Aeolian Research for publication in
2015), A Best Practice Prescription For Quantifying Wind-Blown Dust Emissions from Gold Mine Tailings
Storage Facilities.
Scorgie Y, Burger L W and Sowden, M: Application of Source-Receptor Modelling to Regional Air Quality
Management, National Association for Clean Air Conference, ‘Into the Next Millennium’, held at BMW
Pavilion, Cape Town on 6-8 October 1999.
Scorgie Y, Burger L W and Annegarn, H.J: Air Quality Management within the Vaal Triangle, Air Pollution
Action Committee (APAC) meeting, held at the Lethabo Power Station, Sasolburg, South Africa, 24 May
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2000.
Scorgie Y, Burger L W, Annegarn, H.J and Piketh S: Background Study for the Development of an Air
Quality Management Strategy for Gauteng: Characterisation of Existing Air Quality and Assessment of
Future Trends and Driving Forces, National Environmental Research Institute of Denmark, 25 October
2000.
Scorgie Y, Burger L W and Annegarn, H.J: Air Quality Management System Development and
Implementation in South Africa, paper to be presented at the Third International Conference on Urban
Air Quality Conference entitled Measurement, Modelling and Management, 19-23 March 2001,
Loutraki, Greece.
Scorgie Y, Annegarn, H.J and Burger L W: Air Quality over South Africa – Persistent Problems And
Emerging Issues, 14th IUAPPA World Congress, Brisbane, 2007
LANGUAGES
Speak Read Write
English Home language Good Good
Afrikaans Good Good Good
CERTIFICATION
I, the undersigned, certify that to the best of my knowledge and belief, these data correctly describe
me, my qualifications, and my experience.
_ 30/10/2018 _
Physical: 480 Smuts Drive, Halfway Gardens, Halfway House, 1685
Postal : P O Box 5260, Halfway House, 1685
Tel : +27 (0)11 805 1940
Email : [email protected]
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 143
11 APPENDIX D: DISPERSION MODEL RESULTS
11.1 Dispersion Model Results for Phase 1A (including Cell 7)
Figure 11-1: Phase 1A - Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4
daily exceedances per calendar year)
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 144
Figure 11-2: Phase 1A - The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from
the CLS (an incremental cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see
Table 2-5)
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Air Quality Impact Assessment of the Proposed Enviroserv Chloorkop Landfill Expansion, Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality
Report No.: 18SLR25 Rev 0.1 145
Figure 11-3: Phase 1A - Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S
concentrations (isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour
performance criteria Table 2-7)
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Figure 11-4: Phase 1A - Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table
2-7)
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Figure 11-5: Phase 1A - Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed
more than 600 mg/m²-day)
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Figure 11-6: Potential zone of odour nuisance over lifetime of landfill up to and including Cell 7 and Phase 1A
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Figure 11-7: Phase 1A - Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and
mitigated) and benzene incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth
represents the 1-in-a-million incremental cancer risk)
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11.2 Dispersion Model Results for Phase 1B
Figure 11-8: Phase 1B - Predicted daily exceedances of the NAAQS limit value of 75 µg/m³ (NAAQS allows 4
daily exceedances per calendar year)
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Figure 11-9: Phase 1B - The predicted incremental cancer risk based on exposure to benzene emissions from
the CLS (an incremental cancer risk of 1 in a million (or 1:1 000 000) and less is considered to be Very Low – see
Table 2-5)
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Figure 11-10: Phase 1B - Potential zone of odour nuisance based the 98th percentile hourly average H2S
concentrations (isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour
performance criteria Table 2-7)
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Figure 11-11: Phase 1B - Potential zone of odour nuisance based on estimated 3-minute peak H2S concentrations
(isopleths represent the equivalent of 2OU – assessment follows New South Wales odour performance criteria Table
2-7)
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Figure 11-12: Phase 1B - Predicted highest monthly average fallout dust (residential areas should not exceed
more than 600 mg/m²-day)
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Figure 11-13: Potential zone of odour nuisance over lifetime of landfill up to and including Phase 1B
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Figure 11-14: Phase 1B - Prediction results for combined health risks, including the PM10 (unmitigated and
mitigated) and benzene incremental cancer risk (PM10 isopleth represents the NAAQS, and the benzene isopleth
represents the 1-in-a-million incremental cancer risk)