air qqyuality issues -- the challenges
TRANSCRIPT
Air Quality Issues -- the ChallengesQ y g
Masters Leadership Program MissionTo provide proven leaders with a unique opportunity to
learn firsthand about the issues and needs in Bexar County, while encouraging the use of their skills for the
betterment of the community.
Thank you!
Peter BellaAlamo Area Council of GovernmentsMasters Leadership Program 2013 – Environmental DayMarch 6 2013March 6, 2013
The Alamo Area Council ofCouncil of Governments
• AACOG provides direct services• AACOG provides direct services & planning supporting communities and local governments in a 12 county area of south central Texas
• Contains the 8 county San Antonio – New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical AreaMetropolitan Statistical Area (MSA):
Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina, andGuadalupe, Kendall, Medina, and
Wilson Counties
http://www.aacog.com/
What is ozone?What is ozone?• Ozone is an odorless, colorless gas., g• Ground-level ozone can cause:
– shortness of breath– coughing or wheezing– headaches nausea– throat and lung irritation
• Ground-level ozone’s effects are most profound pon children, the elderly, and those with reduced lung capacity.
• The Clean Air Act: ozone regulation.
What Causes Ozone?What Causes Ozone?
Oxides of Nitrogen (NOx) &Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC)Volatile Organic Compounds (VOC)
Emission Trends for VOC and NOx in
San Antonio / New Braunfels MSA 1996 to 2018/
atio
ny
MS
A P
opul
ani
o 8-
Cou
nty
San
Ant
o
Does Not Include Eagle Ford Emissions
2008 Ozone Standard & AACOG region2008 Ozone Standard & AACOG region
KEY2008 Ozone Standard: “3‐Year Average”
needs to be less than 76 parts per billion (ppb).
Monitoring SiteFourth Highest Average Current
Three-Year2010 2011 2012 Averageg
Camp Bullis C58 78 75 87 80
Calaveras Lake C59 67 71 70 69
San Antonio Northwest C23 72 79 81 77
Violation: the three year average of ozone levels on local monitors was too high
San Antonio Northwest C23 72 79 81
levels on local monitors was too high.
Data: http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/compliance/monops/8hr_attainment.pl
Eagle Ford & SA‐NB Metropolitan Statistical Area
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration,http://www.eia.gov/oil_gas/rpd/shaleusa9.pdf
Initial Estimations: EFS, 2012Draft NOx Emissions in tons per day from 24‐county Eagle Ford shale play
Emissions Source 2012
Initial Estimations: EFS, 2012
* 2012 estimations for Production does not include all sources. Production may
create up to 20 additional tons of NOx/day
Exploration and Pad Construction 1.0Drilling 25.8Hydraulic Fracturing 16.3Wellhead Compressors 22 3 create up to 20 additional tons of NOx/day
in 2012. Wellhead Compressors 22.3Wellhead Flares 21.3Midstream Facilities 18.3
Total* Estimated Emissions 105.0
NOx Emissions in tons per day from Point Sources, 8‐County San Antonio‐New Braunfels MSA
Type of Industry / Year 2008 2013 2018Electricity Generation 46.5 42.9 42.9Cement Industry 20.9 25 25Petroleum Industry 5.7 5.7 5.7Manufacturing 1.1 1.1 1.4Military Bases 0.9 0.9 0.9Other Sources 0.6 0.6 0.6Total 75.9 76.4 76.6
EPA Nonattainment RequirementsEPA Nonattainment Requirements• Nonattainment New Source Review:
– Seeks industry and business emission reductions
– Allowances are reduced under emissions permits
• Transportation Conformity– The MPO is the responsible agency for complianceThe MPO is the responsible agency for compliance in Transportation Conformity.
– Projects in the Transportation Improvement j p pProgram and the Metropolitan Transportation Plan must not add net pollution.
EXTREME(20 Years)
SEVERE(15‐17 Years)
SERIOUS(9 Years)
Enhanced Enhanced Enhanced Enhanced
MODERATE(6 Years)
MARGINAL(3 Years)
Clean Fuels and Clean Fuels and Clean Fuels and Clean Fuels and Vehicle Miles Vehicle Miles
Traveled Growth Traveled Growth Vehicle Miles Vehicle Miles
Traveled Growth Traveled Growth
Enhanced Enhanced Monitoring and Monitoring and Inspection and Inspection and MaintenanceMaintenance
Modeled Attainment Modeled Attainment DemonstrationDemonstration
3% per Year VOC 3% per Year VOC
Enhanced Enhanced Monitoring and Monitoring and Inspection and Inspection and MaintenanceMaintenance
Modeled Attainment Modeled Attainment DemonstrationDemonstration
3% per Year VOC 3% per Year VOC
Basic Inspection and Basic Inspection and MaintenanceMaintenance
RACT & RACM RACT & RACM Emissions ReductionsEmissions Reductions
Basic Inspection and Basic Inspection and MaintenanceMaintenance
RACT & RACM RACT & RACM Emissions ReductionsEmissions Reductions
Emissions InventoryEmissions Inventory
Emissions Emissions StatementsStatements
Emissions InventoryEmissions Inventory
Emissions Emissions StatementsStatements
Controls for BoilersControls for Boilers
Traffic Controls Traffic Controls During CongestionDuring Congestion
Controls for BoilersControls for Boilers
Traffic Controls Traffic Controls During CongestionDuring Congestion
OffsetOffset
Major Source Fees Major Source Fees for Failure to Attain for Failure to Attain
(185 Fees)(185 Fees)
OffsetOffset
Major Source Fees Major Source Fees for Failure to Attain for Failure to Attain
(185 Fees)(185 Fees)
Reductions After 6 Reductions After 6 YearsYears
RFP Milestone RFP Milestone Contingency Contingency MeasuresMeasures
Clean Fuels ProgramClean Fuels Program
Reductions After 6 Reductions After 6 YearsYears
RFP Milestone RFP Milestone Contingency Contingency MeasuresMeasures
Clean Fuels ProgramClean Fuels Program
Attainment Attainment DemonstrationDemonstration
Contingency Contingency MeasuresMeasures
Attainment Attainment DemonstrationDemonstration
Contingency Contingency MeasuresMeasures
Nonattainment NSR Nonattainment NSR Program & Emissions Program & Emissions
OffsetsOffsets
RACT FixupsRACT Fixups
Nonattainment NSR Nonattainment NSR Program & Emissions Program & Emissions
OffsetsOffsets
RACT FixupsRACT Fixups
Clean Fuels ProgramClean Fuels Program
VMT DemonstrationVMT Demonstration
Stage II Gasoline Stage II Gasoline Vapor RecoveryVapor Recovery
Clean Fuels ProgramClean Fuels Program
VMT DemonstrationVMT Demonstration
Stage II Gasoline Stage II Gasoline Vapor RecoveryVapor Recovery
RFP RFP ‐‐ 15% VOC 15% VOC Reductions within 6 Reductions within 6
years years
RFP RFP ‐‐ 15% VOC 15% VOC Reductions within 6 Reductions within 6
years years
Inspection and Inspection and MaintmenanceMaintmenanceCorrectionsCorrections
Inspection and Inspection and MaintmenanceMaintmenanceCorrectionsCorrections
1010
1 5 : 11 5 : 11 5 : 11 5 : 1
2525
1 3 : 11 3 : 11 3 : 11 3 : 1
5050
1 2 : 11 2 : 11 2 : 11 2 : 1
100100
1 15 : 11 15 : 11 15 : 11 15 : 1
100100
1 1 : 11 1 : 11 1 : 11 1 : 11.5 : 11.5 : 11.5 : 11.5 : 1 1.3 : 11.3 : 11.3 : 11.3 : 1 1.2 : 11.2 : 11.2 : 11.2 : 1 1.15 : 11.15 : 11.15 : 11.15 : 1 1.1 : 11.1 : 11.1 : 11.1 : 1
Houston-Galveston-Brazoria: Marginal NA for 2008 O3 std. (12/31/15), Severe NA for 1997 O3 std. (6/15/19)Dallas-Fort Worth: Moderate NA for 2008 O3 standard (12/31/18), Serious NA for 1997 O3 standard (6/15/13)
What is the AIR Committee Doing?What is the AIR Committee Doing?• Ozone Advance
– EPA program to provide assistance to areas interested in staying in attainmenty g
– Voluntary program for voluntary progress
– If we are subject to a nonattainment designation, AND we have implementedAND we have implemented adequate reduction, EPA administrator MAY allow time.
What is the AIR Committee Doing?What is the AIR Committee Doing?• Ozone Advance
– Outreach to local business and industry• Catalogue existing “clean” practices
– July 25, 2013: “Path Forward” letter to EPA with list of control strategies to put in place
• South Tx. Natural Gas Vehicle Consortium– Mission: increase natural gas vehicle fleets, refueling
f Sinfrastructure and transportation market in S. Texas
• Eagle Ford Emissions Inventory Group
Questions / CommentsQuestions / Comments
Contact Information:Contact Information:Peter Bella
Director Natural Resources AACOGDirector Natural Resources, AACOG
(210) 362-5249(210) 362 5249
EPA Timeline: NonattainmentEPA Timeline: Nonattainment• EPA review of 2008 standard complete: December 2013
• One of Multiple Scenarios following review:– December 2013: EPA toughens 2008 Ozone Standard; p blishes draft 2013 O one Standardpublishes draft 2013 Ozone Standard
– December 2014: 2013 Ozone Standard promulgated
– 2015 (*CAA: 1 year after promul ) Governor submits list2015 ( CAA: 1 year after promul.), Governor submits list
– 2016 (*CAA: 2 years after promul.), EPA makes nonattainment designations
– 2016 Non Attainment designation: 2013‐2015 data decides
• Section 107(d)(1)(B)(i): http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/42/7407• CAA = Clean Air Act• EPA = Environmental Protection Agency
Rural Ozone Increases Downwind from
Ozone Increases Further Due to
High Ozone ExtendsBackground
Ozone LevelRelatively low
Wind Direction
Downwind from Major Combustion
Sources
Further Due to Numerous Urban
Sources
Extends Downward from
Urban Areas
Rural Sources
C
Major Combustion
S
UrbanSources
C T k
Wind Direction
CarsTrucksLocomotivesSmall Engines
SourcesPower Generation
Cement Industry
Cars TrucksBuses AirportsIndustries ConstructionLawn & Garden Equipmentg
VegetationCement IndustryManufacturing
q pVegetation
Courtesy TCEQ
EPA Default Boundary: MSAEPA Default Boundary: MSA
Metropolitan Image CourtesySA-BC MPOp
Statistical AreaArea
Atascosa, Bandera BexarBandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe,Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina, and Wilson Countiesand Wilson Counties
See page 3, “Area Designations for the 2008 Revised Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards”:http://www.epa.gov/groundlevelozone/designations/2008standards/documents/2008-12/Area_Designations_for_the_2008_Revised_Ozone_NAAQS.pdf
Transport
Image courtesy of the Capital Area Council of Governments
C23 Back Trajectories on Days with 8‐Hour Ozone > 75 ppb and the Location of Eagle Ford, 2008‐2011
NOAA, Feb. 26, 2010. “Realtime Environmental Applications and Display sYstem (READY)”.Available online: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html. Accessed 01/12/12.
Ozone Precursor Totals, 2008 & 2013, SA-NB MSA, ,
250.0
230 7 T P D
95.0
200.0180 Tons Per Day
VOC, 2008172.2 Tons Per Day
VOC, 2013
230.7 Tons Per DayNOx, 2008
183.6 Tons Per DayNOx, 2013
10 8
48.1 35.6 53.1150.0 On‐Road
Point
10.710.8
75.976.4
100.0
Area
Non‐Road
Does Not94.4 100.9
20.521.4
50.0
Does Not Include
Eagle FordEmissions
26.8 24.939.4 32.7
0.02008 VOC 2013 VOC 2008 NOx 2013 NOx
Emissions
Major Texas shale playsMajor Texas shale plays
“West Texas shale could dwarf Eagle Ford”February 24, 2013 By Jennifer Hiller Fuel Fix / Houston Chronicle
Texas: 839 drilling rigs operating — nearly half of all rigs in the U.S. and 22.7 percent of rigs worldwidepercent of rigs worldwide
USGS: Eagle Ford 7-10 billion in recov. reserves, Bakken Shale up to 4.3 billion barrels; Cline Shale in Permian, up to 30 billion barrels of oilbarrels of oil.
EMISSION GROUP RANKING SYSTEM
RANK 1 Largest Sources- EX: Pump Trucks (Fracturing/Perfing)
RANK 2 Medium Sources- EX: Fracturing Water Pumps
RANK 3 Small SourcesEX Li ht C t
22
- EX: Light Carts
Eagle Ford IntroductionEagle Ford Introduction
• How MuchHow Much Does Eagle Ford ShaleFord Shale Development Add to LocalAdd to Local Ozone Levels?
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