ai and the future of work · linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job...
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AI and the Future of Work
George Zarkadakis
25 October 2019
Life2019
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Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.
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What I will cover today
1. Quick introduction to AI
2. The risks of AI
3. Deep dive: impact of AI on work
4. Impact of AI on business organization and culture
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Deep
Learning
Machine
Learning
Artificial
Intelligence
Computer
Science
Artificial intelligence (AI)
A general-purpose technology that will define the 4th Industrial Revolution
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The 3 things AI can do for you
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Automate tasks and
processes
Develop new products
& services
Gain new data insights
01 02 03
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$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
$16
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Quality Time Saved Personalization Labor Productivity
The AI Opportunity
AI will add $15 trillion to the World Economy by 2030
AI’s Projected Impact on Global GDP
Trillions of Dollars
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The risk of not getting AI right
Companies are likely to fail
if they do not adopt AI quickly enough
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Front Runners: +122%
Followers: +10%
Laggards: -23%
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AI risks
Only 16% of companies are currently gaining some value from AI.
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Risk Description
Regulatory GDPR (algorithmic explainability, data security, right to be forgotten, etc.)
Cybersecurity AI accesses sensitive data – and can be “fooled” by hackers
Reputational & Legal • Algorithmic and data bias may negatively impact CX, EX and brand
• AI failures may result in lawsuits
Data • Inadequate, or inexistent, data strategy
• Lack of effective data architectures
• Lack of adequate data sets, or inability to access the right data sets
Talent • Inability to attract, develop, and retain scarce and critical talent
• Impact of automation on work and skills
Organization & Culture • Leadership not understanding enough the risks and potential of AI
• Not having the right strategy for AI; and the necessary commitment to accept many
failures before achieving success
• Lack of sound AI (and data) governance
• Lack of organizational agility
• Wrong behaviours and mindset
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Automation, augmentation, transformation, and the battle for skills
The need for a new operating model to win in the AI economy
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Shifting from “jobs” to “work”: the role of AI
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▪ Employee
▪ Single job
▪ Linear career path/ experiences based on skills
required by job (demand)
▪ Technology supports people in jobs
Ke
y A
ttri
bu
tes
▪ Internal and external talent
▪ Jobs, work tasks, projects
▪ Variety of experiences based on skills required for
work (demand) and skills and interests of
person (supply)
▪ AI becomes a “work partner” to complete repetitive
cognitive work/tasks
Ke
y A
ttri
bu
tes
Supporting
Technology
New relationship
AI &
Automation
Traditional relationship
Person Job Talent Work
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Deconstructing jobs into work tasks: the future of underwriting
Current underwriting work task allocation
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Underwriting
Read
Assess
Input Data
Evaluate
Update
Chase
Allocate
RespondMonitor
Approve
Bind/Book
Complex
Judgement
Quote
Interact/
Converse
Negotiate
Fulfil/Issue
Quality
Check
Decide
Identify
Retrieve
Data
Research
Instruct
Estimate Max
Loss
Relationship
Management
Establish
Needs
Select
Illustrative
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Deconstructing jobs into tasks: the future of underwriting
Underwriting task allocation with RPA and Artificial Intelligence
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Illustrative
Transform
Interactive, Variable
Automate
Repetitive, independent
Augment
Independent, Variable
Read
Assess
Input Data
Evaluate
Update
Chase Allocate
Respond
Monitor
Approve
Bind/Book
Complex
JudgementQuote
Interact/
Converse
Negotiate
Fulfill/Issue
Quality
CheckDecide
Identify
Retrieve
Data
Research
InstructEstimate
Max Loss
Relationship
Management
Establish
Needs
Select
Underwriting Underwriting & RPA Underwriting & RPA & Artificial Intelligence
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Matching skills to work with a talent marketplace
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I have skills and
interests that extend
beyond my job
requirements – what
are my potential paths?
“
My Skills My Needs(technical skills enabling
skills, experiences,
attributes, etc.)
(interests, ambitions,
circumstances)
+
Da
ta S
ou
rce
s
Résumé
Talent Profile
Assessments
Succession Management System
HRIS
Performance Management System
Career Development System
How do we identify and
optimize the match of
talent to work based on
peoples’ skills and will?
“What’s Required
Da
ta S
ou
rce
s
Learning Management System
Talent Marketplace
Job Postings
Job Requirements
HRIS
Project Postings
Business
INPUT
OUTPUT
Matching
Algorithm
Optimal pathways to close business
and individual gaps
Here is the degree of fit
of various individuals in
meeting the various
business needs
Here are the types of
work, positions, etc.,
that are going to be
most engaging for you
In order for you to get
there, here's what you
need to do (L&D plan)
Individual OutputBusiness Output
Job
Experiences/
projects
Gig Participation
in decision
making/
initiatives
Tasks
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Work Architecture – UK FTSE100 Insurer
Solving for attracting, developing, and retaining critical talent
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Senior Data Scientist
Accounting
Data Mining
Equity Funds
Derivatives
Excel VBA Market Indices
Fraud
Statistics
Pig
Pricing
Claims
PythonCustomer
Analytics
SQL Fraud
Aladdin
Data Mining
Derivatives
Real Assets
Excel VBACustomer
Analytics
SQL Pricing
Statistics
Data Mining
Pricing
Claims
PythonCustomer
Analytics
SQL Fraud
01Generic role on Workday,
including required Skills
and Domains
02Potential candidates identified on Workday that
have matching Skills & Domains
Skills Domains Skills Domains Skills Domains Skills Domains
Candidate selected for new role based
on significant Skill & Domain overlap03
Skill / Domain
matchKey =
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Reskilling the workforce
Using a work architecture to operationalize continuous reskilling
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Peter
From oil rig worker to data
dashboard analyst
Automation of offshore oil rigs through AI,
robots and IoT:
Peter had to retrain to read data
dashboards and use his expertise to train
maintenance algorithms and handle
exceptions.
From bank teller to digital factory
product owner
Bank moved to cloud offering mobile only
customer service:
Imani retrained as Scrum Product Owner
and uses her customer service experience
to manage digital product backlogs.
Imani
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AI needs organizational agility. So something needs to change…
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Chief Idea
Killer Officer
VP
of No
VP
of Status Quo
VP of
Stay the Course
Director of Onerous
Reporting
Director
of Bureaucracy
Director
of Rigidity
Director of
Analysis Paralysis
Manager of New
Growth Ideas (Vacant)
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Deconstructing the organization: from silos to platforms and ecosystems
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Hierarchies and departmental silosNetwork of loosely coupled full stack
business/software teams (“Micro-businesses”)
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Getting AI governance right with cross-disciplinary teams
How to apply systems thinking in reinventing business organization
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Business Design
Design Thinking
Tech
From this: To this:
+ +
Tech
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AI requires a cultural transformation
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AI-empowered workplace Behaviours and mindset
Agile, real-time work from anywhere Best idea wins
Small teams, rapid iterative innovation Extreme customer responsiveness
Extended, Networked Enterprise (Ecosystems) Partners and contingent workforce
embedded in the business
Data-driven decision making Decisions moving to the edge –
team empowerment
AI-driven automated workflows Augmented problem-solving ability
Open platform for collaboration and innovation Security and Privacy embedded in
infrastructure and workflows
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Thank you
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@zarkadakis
Books on AI and its impact on work by Willis Towers Watson associates
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