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willistowerswatson.com AI and the Future of Work George Zarkadakis 25 October 2019 Life2019 © 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

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Page 1: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

AI and the Future of Work

George Zarkadakis

25 October 2019

Life2019

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers

Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Page 2: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

What I will cover today

1. Quick introduction to AI

2. The risks of AI

3. Deep dive: impact of AI on work

4. Impact of AI on business organization and culture

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Page 3: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Deep

Learning

Machine

Learning

Artificial

Intelligence

Computer

Science

Artificial intelligence (AI)

A general-purpose technology that will define the 4th Industrial Revolution

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Page 4: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

The 3 things AI can do for you

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Automate tasks and

processes

Develop new products

& services

Gain new data insights

01 02 03

Page 5: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

$14

$16

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

Quality Time Saved Personalization Labor Productivity

The AI Opportunity

AI will add $15 trillion to the World Economy by 2030

AI’s Projected Impact on Global GDP

Trillions of Dollars

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Page 6: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

The risk of not getting AI right

Companies are likely to fail

if they do not adopt AI quickly enough

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Front Runners: +122%

Followers: +10%

Laggards: -23%

Page 7: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

AI risks

Only 16% of companies are currently gaining some value from AI.

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Risk Description

Regulatory GDPR (algorithmic explainability, data security, right to be forgotten, etc.)

Cybersecurity AI accesses sensitive data – and can be “fooled” by hackers

Reputational & Legal • Algorithmic and data bias may negatively impact CX, EX and brand

• AI failures may result in lawsuits

Data • Inadequate, or inexistent, data strategy

• Lack of effective data architectures

• Lack of adequate data sets, or inability to access the right data sets

Talent • Inability to attract, develop, and retain scarce and critical talent

• Impact of automation on work and skills

Organization & Culture • Leadership not understanding enough the risks and potential of AI

• Not having the right strategy for AI; and the necessary commitment to accept many

failures before achieving success

• Lack of sound AI (and data) governance

• Lack of organizational agility

• Wrong behaviours and mindset

Page 8: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Automation, augmentation, transformation, and the battle for skills

The need for a new operating model to win in the AI economy

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Page 9: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Shifting from “jobs” to “work”: the role of AI

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

▪ Employee

▪ Single job

▪ Linear career path/ experiences based on skills

required by job (demand)

▪ Technology supports people in jobs

Ke

y A

ttri

bu

tes

▪ Internal and external talent

▪ Jobs, work tasks, projects

▪ Variety of experiences based on skills required for

work (demand) and skills and interests of

person (supply)

▪ AI becomes a “work partner” to complete repetitive

cognitive work/tasks

Ke

y A

ttri

bu

tes

Supporting

Technology

New relationship

AI &

Automation

Traditional relationship

Person Job Talent Work

Page 10: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Deconstructing jobs into work tasks: the future of underwriting

Current underwriting work task allocation

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Underwriting

Read

Assess

Input Data

Evaluate

Update

Chase

Allocate

RespondMonitor

Approve

Bind/Book

Complex

Judgement

Quote

Interact/

Converse

Negotiate

Fulfil/Issue

Quality

Check

Decide

Identify

Retrieve

Data

Research

Instruct

Estimate Max

Loss

Relationship

Management

Establish

Needs

Select

Illustrative

Page 11: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Deconstructing jobs into tasks: the future of underwriting

Underwriting task allocation with RPA and Artificial Intelligence

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Illustrative

Transform

Interactive, Variable

Automate

Repetitive, independent

Augment

Independent, Variable

Read

Assess

Input Data

Evaluate

Update

Chase Allocate

Respond

Monitor

Approve

Bind/Book

Complex

JudgementQuote

Interact/

Converse

Negotiate

Fulfill/Issue

Quality

CheckDecide

Identify

Retrieve

Data

Research

InstructEstimate

Max Loss

Relationship

Management

Establish

Needs

Select

Underwriting Underwriting & RPA Underwriting & RPA & Artificial Intelligence

Page 12: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Matching skills to work with a talent marketplace

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

I have skills and

interests that extend

beyond my job

requirements – what

are my potential paths?

My Skills My Needs(technical skills enabling

skills, experiences,

attributes, etc.)

(interests, ambitions,

circumstances)

+

Da

ta S

ou

rce

s

Résumé

Talent Profile

Assessments

Succession Management System

HRIS

Performance Management System

Career Development System

How do we identify and

optimize the match of

talent to work based on

peoples’ skills and will?

“What’s Required

Da

ta S

ou

rce

s

Learning Management System

Talent Marketplace

Job Postings

Job Requirements

HRIS

Project Postings

Business

INPUT

OUTPUT

Matching

Algorithm

Optimal pathways to close business

and individual gaps

Here is the degree of fit

of various individuals in

meeting the various

business needs

Here are the types of

work, positions, etc.,

that are going to be

most engaging for you

In order for you to get

there, here's what you

need to do (L&D plan)

Individual OutputBusiness Output

Job

Experiences/

projects

Gig Participation

in decision

making/

initiatives

Tasks

Page 13: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Work Architecture – UK FTSE100 Insurer

Solving for attracting, developing, and retaining critical talent

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Senior Data Scientist

Accounting

Data Mining

Equity Funds

Derivatives

Excel VBA Market Indices

Fraud

Statistics

Pig

Pricing

Claims

PythonCustomer

Analytics

SQL Fraud

Aladdin

Data Mining

Derivatives

Real Assets

Excel VBACustomer

Analytics

SQL Pricing

Statistics

Data Mining

Pricing

Claims

PythonCustomer

Analytics

SQL Fraud

01Generic role on Workday,

including required Skills

and Domains

02Potential candidates identified on Workday that

have matching Skills & Domains

Skills Domains Skills Domains Skills Domains Skills Domains

Candidate selected for new role based

on significant Skill & Domain overlap03

Skill / Domain

matchKey =

Page 14: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Reskilling the workforce

Using a work architecture to operationalize continuous reskilling

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Peter

From oil rig worker to data

dashboard analyst

Automation of offshore oil rigs through AI,

robots and IoT:

Peter had to retrain to read data

dashboards and use his expertise to train

maintenance algorithms and handle

exceptions.

From bank teller to digital factory

product owner

Bank moved to cloud offering mobile only

customer service:

Imani retrained as Scrum Product Owner

and uses her customer service experience

to manage digital product backlogs.

Imani

Page 15: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

AI needs organizational agility. So something needs to change…

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Chief Idea

Killer Officer

VP

of No

VP

of Status Quo

VP of

Stay the Course

Director of Onerous

Reporting

Director

of Bureaucracy

Director

of Rigidity

Director of

Analysis Paralysis

Manager of New

Growth Ideas (Vacant)

Page 16: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Deconstructing the organization: from silos to platforms and ecosystems

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Hierarchies and departmental silosNetwork of loosely coupled full stack

business/software teams (“Micro-businesses”)

Page 17: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Getting AI governance right with cross-disciplinary teams

How to apply systems thinking in reinventing business organization

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Business Design

Design Thinking

Tech

From this: To this:

+ +

Tech

Page 18: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

AI requires a cultural transformation

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

AI-empowered workplace Behaviours and mindset

Agile, real-time work from anywhere Best idea wins

Small teams, rapid iterative innovation Extreme customer responsiveness

Extended, Networked Enterprise (Ecosystems) Partners and contingent workforce

embedded in the business

Data-driven decision making Decisions moving to the edge –

team empowerment

AI-driven automated workflows Augmented problem-solving ability

Open platform for collaboration and innovation Security and Privacy embedded in

infrastructure and workflows

Page 19: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

Thank you

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

@zarkadakis

Books on AI and its impact on work by Willis Towers Watson associates

Page 20: AI and the Future of Work · Linear career path/ experiences based on skills required by job (demand) Technology supports people in jobs tes Internal and external talent Jobs, work

willistowerswatson.com

© 2019 Willis Towers Watson. All rights reserved. Proprietary and Confidential. For Willis Towers Watson and Willis Towers Watson client use only.

Questions