Additional Approaches to Overcrowding

Presented by:Arlington Traditional School

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GoalsReduce the magnitude of needed boundary

changes.Comply fully with the School Board Charge.Supplement the excellent work done by

such schools as Tuckahoe, Long Branch, Barrett, Campbell, and Randolph.

Let each affected school determine its own balance between non-boundary and boundary changes.

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Assumptions & Methodology—1

Comply with all provisions of the School Board Charge.At least one Pre-K program remains at

each school.One Pre-K program (VPI) is

recommended for McKinley & Nottingham in order to comply with Charge.

Do not count dual enrollees.

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Assumptions & Methodology—2

Our analysis has focused on schools that cannot control their enrollment. The schools that can will be able to control excess demand by lottery or transfer policy changes.

The schools that can control excess demand are: Arlington Science Focus Arlington Traditional Barrett Campbell Claremont Drew Key Randolph

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Assumptions & Methodology—3

Limit Pre-K in overcrowded schools to only one program.Other Spec. Ed. would be moved from Glebe to

another school, assume Carlin Springs.Interlude would be moved from Nottingham to

another school, assume Carlin Springs.

Assume that all classes at overcrowded schools are at or are increased to their official planning factor of 22.33 students per grade on average.

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Assumptions & Methodology—4

Assume that space utilization at each of the over-crowded schools will be reviewed to ensure that classroom space is maximized.

Assume that the APS transfer policy is being fully and correctly applied at each of the overcrowded schools.

Assume that each impacted school will determine its own policy on grand-fathering current attendees and siblings.

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Current Projections Based upon 11/7/2007 APS data, five schools that

cannot control enrollment are projected to have demand in excess of capacity during this period, after excluding dual enrollees.

Schools Projected to Have Excess Demand

School 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Ashlawn -- (10) (25) (38) (40) (43)

Glebe (32) (41) (34) (61) (33) (24)

McKinley (37) (47) (71) (52) (89) (94)

Nottingham

(43) (82) (92) (93) (98) (108)

Tuckahoe (63) (76) (76) (83) (75) (81)

Total (175) (256) (298) (327) (341) (350)

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Action Item 1: Provide Busing

If ECCC adopts proposals that increase choice availability such as those submitted by:CampbellRandolph

Provide busing, piggybacking on existing routes as much as possible, for any affected school. (ATS can share buses with other choice programs.)

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Action Item 1: ImpactAlthough new choice proposals are likely

to draw some students from overcrowded schools, we cannot reliably estimate the volume of that impact.

Thus, this is not reflected in the following numbers.

Some estimate can be developed from previous boundaries process (Barrett).

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Action Item 2: Consolidate Pre-K Montessori

Move Pre-K Montessori out of all elementary schools except Drew.

Relocate to under capacity school(s). This creates significant educational

synergies as well as capacity utilization benefits.

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Action Item 2: Impact Consolidating Pre-K Montessori reduces the total

overcrowding problem by roughly 20%. Biggest impact is at Glebe; it is no longer

overcrowded. Significant educational synergies in the Montessori

program can be realized.School Projected to Have Excess Demand

School 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Current Projections

(175) (256) (298) (327) (341) (350)

After Consolidating

Montessori

(121) (183) (219) (221) (257) (278)

Improvement 54 73 79 106 84 72

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Action Item 3: Increase Class Planning Factor Option

Impacted schools should be allowed to increase their average class planning factor to a level used by other schools in the county if they want to lessen boundary changes or don’t want to send transfers back to their home school.

These schools are: Ashlawn Glebe McKinley Nottingham Tuckahoe

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Action Item 3: Impact If all affected schools were to opt to

increase their average planning factor, the need for boundary changes would be reduced by about 20%.

Schools Projected to Have Excess Demand

School 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Current Projections

(175) (256) (298) (327) (341) (350)

After Inc. Plan Factor

(102) (173) (209) (238) (252) (261)

Improvement 72 83 89 89 89 89

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If All Three Actions Were Combined . . .

Adopt Campbell, & Randolph proposals—provide busing.

Consolidate Pre-K Montessori.Increase Class Planning Factor

Option.

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Impact of Combining All Three Options

Need for Boundary Changes After All Options

School 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Ashlawn -- -- -- -- -- (3)

Glebe -- -- -- -- -- --

McKinley (20) (30) (54) (35) (72) (77)

Nottingham

-- (39) (49) (50) (55) (65)

Tuckahoe (41) (54) (54) (61) (53) (59)

Total (61) (124) (158) (147) (181) (202)

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Comparison of Current Projections with Impact of

Three Options

Need for Boundary Changes

School 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Current Situation

(175) (256) (298) (327) (341) (350)

After Recommended

Changes

(61) (124) (158) (147) (181) (202)

Improvement 114 132 140 180 160 148

The need for boundary changes would be reduced by about 40%.

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Conclusions—1 Educationally sound options exist that could

reduce the magnitude of boundary changes. If adopted by all affected schools, the total

number of students impacted by boundary changes could be reduced significantly.

We recommend that the above actions be combined with other proposals so that the impact of boundary changes may be reduced.

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Conclusions—2The reduction in students moved should

be used to lessen the impact on schools most affected by boundary changes. For example:Lessen impact on McKinley;Keep Arlington Forest at Barrett; and,Respect historical school/neighborhood

associations.