ad tech deck 2013 07-22
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Embedded Specialized Accomplished
OMMA DDM ConferenceJuly 24, 2013
The Imminent Ad Tech Shakeout: Is Consolidation in the
Horizon?
2
VC Investment in Ad Tech Declining
Source: Headwaters MB
Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
$1,200.0
$1,400.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
$645.3
$786.9
$1,242.0
$543.1
$431.0
$945.9
$573.3
$257.8 $253.3
$324.5
109
9890
99 96
75
6357
4856
$7.3 $8.8
$17.7
$6.8 $5.3
$14.6$11.5
$5.5 $6.2 $7.1
Aggregate Deal Value Number of Deals Avg. Deal Size
Valu
e (in
$ m
m)
Num
ber o
f Dea
ls
Ad tech businesses have largely proven to be unprofitable and challenging businesses to exit successfully
3
M&A Activity Increasing as Investors Lose Patience
Ad tech transactions for the first half of 2013 doubled YoY from the beginning of 2012― Investors in the ad tech space are losing patience with slow returns, pushing their companies to
either find buyers or show a clear path to profitability
H1 2012 H1 20130.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
$0.0
$400.0
$800.0
$1,200.0
$1,600.0
17
34
$163
$1,246
Number of Deals Deal Size
Num
ber o
f Dea
ls
Valu
e (in
$ m
m)
4
Recent M&A Activity
Date Target Buyer / Investor CommentsJul 2013 IgnitionOne
(spinout from Dentsu led by management)
ABS Capital, Persimmon Capital
• Buyside marketing tech platform• Single stack solution for multi-
channel media buying in search, display, mobile, and social
• Competes with Turn, MediaMath, Adobe, Marin Software, Kenshoo, Criteo and Rocketfuel.
• $100M revenueApr 2013 Dedicated Media LIN TV • Multichannel ad buying platformJan 2013 Akamai’s Advertising
Decision Solutions Unit
MediaMath • Akamai’s data co-op and management platform
• Pixel-free tracking technologyJan 2013 MediaWhiz - $10M Matomy • Multichannel performance marketing
platformJan 2013 TapIt! Media - $23M Phunware • Mobile display ad mediation
5
What’s Driving This?Investors have realized that Ad Tech Businesses are generally profit-challenged
Too many “point solutions” funded – Too much overlap and competition
Not enough revenue / profit in the market – unnecessary duplicative costs
― Every dollar of agency spend nets a publisher $0.45 on average
― Remainder gets cut up among trading desks, DSPs, exchanges, networks, data suppliers, data aggregators, ad verification, tag management, retargeters, optimization, SSPs, etc.
Agencies used to be able to manage multiple vendors – now they all want to consolidate their vendor relationships
Only a handful of players are achieving size, scale, profitability (AppNexus)
― Often play the role of consolidator(s) in the space and stepping in where large media strategics have bowed out; can attract growth capital
Most players are running out of funding and not in a position to receive more
Many driven by impatient investors to exit – oftentimes at unattractive valuations
Too large ? … go IPO Too small or undifferentiated? … wind down (AdBrite)
6
Ad Tech IPOs
Tremor Video’s recent IPO suggests previous unsuccessful attempts at securing buyers as those with interest in the space – strategic or financial – become scarce ― Tremor raised only $75.0mm of the $90.0mm it was seeking; unprofitable - $16.0mm loss in 2012
YuMe has recently filed S-1 and others are expecting to follow suit
Recent IPOs Indicative of “Last Resort” Options for Ad Tech Companies
Tremor Video Stock Price Performance since IPO
28-Ju
n-13
29-Ju
n-13
30-Ju
n-13
1-Jul-1
3
2-Jul-1
3
3-Jul-1
3
4-Jul-1
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5-Jul-1
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6-Jul-1
3
7-Jul-1
3
8-Jul-1
3
9-Jul-1
3
10-Ju
l-13
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l-13
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$6.50
$7.00
$7.50
$8.00
$8.50
$9.00
$9.50
Clos
ing
Pric
e
Performance
- 16% from IPO open of
$10.00
7
Ad Tech Public Companies
Few ad tech companies are publicly traded; few that are public are performing well― Millennial Media currently at $9.00 vs IPO open $13.00, close $23.50 (down 60%) – unprofitable― Velti currently at $1.00 vs Mar 2012 price of $13.55 (down 92%)― ValueClick is the rare exception – its stock has risen over 30% since Mar 2012 price of $19.74
Publicly traded pure play ad tech companies are few and rare; not many are performing well
Stock Price Performance
Performance
ValueClick+30%
Millennial Media- 60%
Velti- 95%
1-Mar-
12
1-Apr-1
2
1-May
-12
1-Jun-12
1-Jul-1
2
1-Aug-12
1-Sep
-12
1-Oct-
12
1-Nov-1
2
1-Dec
-12
1-Jan
-13
1-Feb
-13
1-Mar-
13
1-Apr-1
3
1-May
-13
1-Jun-13
1-Jul-1
3$0.00
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
$30.00
$35.00
Millennial Media Velti ValueClick
Clos
ing
Pric
e
8
Market Still Controlled by Small Number of Top Vendors
Advertising agencies agree there is too much overlap amongst companies that only provide simple point solutions over sustainable services
― For every one successful company, there are 35-40 unprofitable companies offering redundant products, splitting a revenue pie that is too small to sustain the entire ecosystem
Few end up achieving the size and scale needed to become attractive acquisition targets or to be consolidators in the space
2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
73.0%
82.0%
90.0%
Top 50Top 25Top 10
Indu
stry
Rev
enue
%
Top 10 Ad Companies Command 73.0% of Industry Revenues
9
Display Ad Landscape – Unsustainable Number of Players
Source: LUMAscape
10
Search Ad Landscape – Same Here
Source: LUMAscape
11
Video Ad Landscape – … and Here
Source: LUMAscape
12
Mobile Ad Landscape – and it’s becoming an issue Here
Source: LUMAscape
13
Social Advertising Landscape – as well as Here
Source: LUMAscape
14
Agencies / Advertisers Want to Deal with Fewer Vendors and More Single Stack, Multichannel Solutions
Source: LUMAscape
DYNAMIC ADINTELLIGENCE
PLATFORM
CENTRALIZEDAD-SERVING
OPTIMIZATIONRE-TARGETING
DATA MGMTREPORTING
ACCESS INVENTORY TO REACH AUDIENCE
ACROSS PREMIUM PUBLISHERS ANDAD NETWORKS:
VERTICALSBEHAVORIALCONTEXTUAL
VIDEOSMOBILESOCIAL
15
So What’s Happening? Consolidation of Point Solutions toward Broader Platform Offering
Source: LUMAscape
16
Potential Consolidators?
Company Capital Raised Investors CommentsAppNexus $75.0M (Jan 2013) TCV, Venrock, Tribeca • DSPVideology $68.3M (May 2013) NEA, Comcast, Valhalla, Pinnacle,
Catalyst• Video advertising• DSP
RocketFuel $50.0M (Jun 2012) Mohr Davidow, Summit, Northgate, Nokia
• Multichannel DSP
PubMatic $45.0M (Jun 2012) August, DFJ, Nexus, Helion • SSPOpenX $27.5M (Dec 2012) Accel, SAP, Index, Samsung, Mitsui • Ad Exchange and
DSPJumpTap $27.5M (Jun 2012) Summerhill, Redpoint, Valhalla,
General Catalyst• Mobile RTB
Flurry $25.3M (Nov 2012) DFJ, InterWest, Menlo, CrossLink, Union Square
• Mobile analytics and advertising
DataLogix $25.0M (April 2013) IVP, Sequel, General Catalyst • DSPCollective Media $20.0M (May 2013) Accel, Samsung, Cox • Ad exchangeNexage $15.0M (May 2012) Hearst, GrandBanks Capital, Relay,
SingTel• Ad exchange,
mediation and DSP
17 Spring 2013Online Advertising Report
Strategic Buyer Interests
Low Interest / Valuation High
Mobile /Video
Social
Online
Str
ateg
ic I
nte
rest
/ P
rio
rity
RTB Auction
ExchangesDSPs
Self-ServePlatforms
Local / SMB
Search
Agency
SMS / MMS
Marketing
In-AppDisplay
FB Game Ads
Ad NetworksAffiliate Networks
Display
User Acquisition Marketing
In-App
Video
Ad tech companies with strong technology and high potential for scalability in the areas of mobile, video and / or social attract highest interest
18
DMP Trends
DMPs have become fragmented as well – need for a DMP for DMPs / DSPs to emerge― Validate and “cleanse” data from multiple DMPs / DSPs― Provide mediation across various DMPs / DSPs in order to maximize targeting accuracy, reach― Provide integrated DCO, tag management, ad verification capabilities as part of solution
Key trend is the separation of the data layer from the execution layer in the marketing stack― Brands want to leverage learnings of their audience profiles and customer data and apply that to
all marketing and consumer touch-points – online and offline
Biggest opportunity for growth lies in ability to use accurate data profiles across all consumer marketing channels― Huge opportunity in using data to inform offline media buying― Important areas of focus also include social, video and mobile
Current implementation efforts are focused on the core purpose of targeted media buying
Long-term potential for DMPs to be integrated into core business software systems to facilitate data-driven decision making on sales, product dev, fin mgmt
19
DMP Trends
Advertising Yield Optimization
Site Content Optimization
Creative Content Optimization
CRM Program Optimization
Channel Optimization
Emerging Channel Deployment
Multichannel Integration & Optimization
Campaign Channel Attribution
Targeted Media Buying
Customer Insight Development
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0%
59.0%
69.0%
73.0%
76.0%
83.0%
84.0%
84.0%
86.0%
90.0%
93.0%
Priority Applications for Future DMPsGenerally Supported Applications by Existing DMPs
Emerging Channel Deployment
Creative Content Optimization
Site Content Optimization
CRM Program Optimization
Advertising Yield Optimization
Multichannel Integration & Optimization
Campaign Channel Attribution
Channel Optimization
Customer Insight Development
Targeted Media Buying
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
23.0%
32.0%
32.0%
36.0%
37.0%
40.0%
44.0%
45.0%
78.0%
82.0%
Survey conducted by IAP & Winterberry Group