a presentation of takeo ogawa ver2 - aabc2009 2050 the ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 by 2050, 1 in 3...

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An Agenda on Population Aging and Caring for Older Persons in Asia Pacific Takeo Ogawa President Asian Aging Business Center 10 August, 2014. Nishitetsu Inn Fukuoka Forum on a Conception of Harmonization of Long-Term Care Certificate between Japan and Indonesia: Beyond a Framework of Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement

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Page 1: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

An Agenda on Population Aging and Caring for Older Persons

in Asia Pacific

Takeo OgawaPresident

Asian Aging Business Center

10 August, 2014. Nishitetsu Inn FukuokaForum on a Conception of Harmonization of Long-Term Care Certificate

between Japan and Indonesia: Beyond a Framework of Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement

Page 2: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Background of Aging in Asia Pacific

• Looking for a economical wealthy country,• Engaging high productive work• Child-bearing fewer and rearing with care• Living longer• This strategy introduces the economic

development in Asian Pacific countries, although it caused population aging too.

• Not only Japan, but also Indonesia and others.

Page 3: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Economical Growth and Aging in 1970-1995 in Asia Pacific

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18

Japan

USA

Canada, Australia

China

Thailand

Korea

SingaporeHong Kong

Malaysia

Vietnam

New Zealand

Philippines

US$/Capita

% of 65+

Bubble= PopulationIndonesia

Page 4: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Economical Growth and Aging in 1995-2010 in Asia Pacific1995-2010

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

0 5 10 15 20 25

Japan

Australia

CanadaSingapore

Korea

Hong KongNew Zealand

Philippines

MalaysiaChina

ThailandIndonesia

Vietnam

US$/Capita

USA

Bubble= Population

% of 65+

Page 5: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Economical Growth and Aging in 2010-2030 in Asia Pacific2010-2030

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Korea

USA

Australia

Hong Kong

Singapore

Japan

China

US$/Capita

Bubble= Population

% of 65+

Canada

Page 6: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

0 10 20 30 40 50

World

US

Europe

Malaysia

Indonesia

Australia

China

Singapore

Korea

Japan

20092050

The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050

By 2050, 1 in 3 people in

Asia-Pacific will be age 60+

%

Page 7: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Japanese Challenges toward Aging

• 1970s: Universal Social Security System• 1990s: Infra-structure Improvement for the Care-

needed Elderly• 2000s: Public Long-term Care Insurance System• 2010s: Comprehensive Reform of Tax and Social

Security• In the future, 2025~2040, Japanese government will

reconstruct of a resilient country (Sustaining one hundred million population).

• Convey Japanese challenges for developing countries.

Page 8: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Changed and Estimated Population in Japan

83208928

93429828

10372

1119411706

12105 12361 12557 12693 12777 12806 12660 1241012066

1166211212

1072810221

9708

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Page 9: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Transition of the Ratio of 65+ and History of Social Security

4.9 5.3 5.7 6.3 7.1 7.99.1

10.312.1

14.6

17.4

20.2

23

26.8

29.130.3

31.633.4

36.137.7

38.8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

目標年次

介護保険

国民年金

国民健康保険

老人福祉法

老人医療無料

老人保健法

ゴ|ルドプラン

高齢社会対策基本法

後期高齢者医療

社会保障税一体改革

EPA

看護介護Aging Society

Aged Society Super Aged Society

Page 10: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Applicability of Japanese Aging Strategies for Future Indonesia

4 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.84.2

4.7 4.9 55.4

6.3

7.7

9.2

10.9

12.7

14.2

15.8

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Japanese in 1990sLong-term Care for the Elderly?

Aging Society

Japanese in 1960sSocial Security?

Page 11: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Perspectives on the Comprehensive Reform of Tax and Social Security

(Ten Thousand)• Medical Doctor 29• Nurses 141• LTC staffs 140

• Clients of LTC 426Within In-home 304

In-Assisted 31In-Institution92

• MD32~34• Nurses 195~205• LTC staffs 232~244

• Clients of LTC 641Within In-home 449In-Assisted Living 61

In-Institution 232~244

2011 2025

Page 12: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Nursing and LTC for Aging • Increasing the Support-needed Elderly on Longevity (I

ADL)• Increasing the LTC needed Elderly in Senility, lifestyle-

related disease, Fall, Dementia, Disability con valescence (ADL)

• Division of Labor and Job Development between Nursing and LTC

• Qualification for Securing the Quality of LTC Competency

• Training Programs for Certificating LTC Competency• Trials and Errors for Mitigating the Imbalance of LTC

Workforce Internationally

Page 13: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Recognized Ratio of LTC needed by Age

Page 14: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Japanese Concept of Long-term Care

Social WorkNursing CareLong-term Care

KAIGO

Basic Requirement

Professional

Household Work

Page 15: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Acceptance of Nurses and Certified Care Workers on EPA

Social WorkNursing Care Long-term CareKAIGO

Basic Requirement

Professional

Household Work

Nurse Certified Care Worker

Page 16: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Origins of Nurses and Certified Care Workers of EPA

Philippines

Vietnum

Indonesia

As candidatesAfter National Exam.

Successful ones can engage in Institutional Care

Page 17: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Nurses and Certified Care Workers under the Bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement

Nurse Certified Care WorkerTraining SchoolOn the Job Training

Entry

6-months Language Training

Work & Studyat Hospital

Work & Studyat Nursing Home

2-years Study

Challenge to National Exam.

Challenge to National Exam.

Graduate=Certified

Special VisaFor 3 Years

Special VisaFor 4 Years

Special VisaFor Graduation

Page 18: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Results of Accepting Nurses and Certified Care Workers at March, 2014

AccumulatedImmigrants

AccumulatedExaminees of National Exam.

AccumulatedSuccessful Candidaters

Nurses2008-2012

440(100%)

1740(395.5%)About 4 times/capita

125(19.9%)

Certified Care Workers2008-2013

608(100%)

519(85.4%)

241(39.6%)

December, 2002: Those who immigrated until 2002 on EPA are working in Japanese hospitals and Facilities after successful National Exam; Nurses 60/629 and Certified Care Workers 22/933.

Page 19: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Deregulation on the Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Structural Reform

• Expanding Acceptances of Foreign Companies • Expanding Acceptances of Foreign Workers • Prolonging the Length of Stay for the Technical

Intern and Expanding to Care Workers• Lifting of a ban for Employing Foreign Domiciliary

Workers

• How coordinate a framework of EPA and new deregulation policies.

• Harmonization on the Life-long Education System.

Page 20: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Basic Policies for Structural Reform

Social WorkNursing Care Long-term CareKAIGO

Basic Requirement

Professional

Household Work

Technical Intern

Maid

Page 21: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

LTC Workforce in Neighborhood Communities: A New Agenda

• Establishing Professional Partnership• Enhancing the Self Management with

Developing Techno-aide• Supporting Family Carers and Constructing

Comprehensive Service Stations• Improvement the Literacy of LTC for regional

volunteers and Establishing Coordination Center

• Community Business Incubation

Page 22: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Japanese Integrated Community Care System

Page 23: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Long-Term Care Network in the Community in Yogyakarta

VOLUNTEER

Sub village

Older person Family

Community Volunteer

Small shops

Population and FP Field

staff

Community

LeaderHealth Center

Village-Subdistr

ict

Red cross

Hospital

Institutional Care

Page 24: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

The Bed Bath is Common with Each Other Country

Page 25: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

The Relaxation is Differ with Each Other Country

Page 26: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

The Common Point of LTC Training

• In order to realize “Aging in Place”, the LTC will be provided in neighborhood communities.

• It needs not only for professionals but also family carers, community volunteers, non-skilled workers and all generations to be trained of the LTC literacy.

• The “Train the Trainers” program should be installed for the professional education internationally.

Page 27: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Certified Nurse in

Nurse

Nurse Aid

U

Unqualified Care Givers

Japanese Qualification System of Nurses and Certified Care Workers

Home Helper 3

Home Helper 2

Home Helper 1

Certified Care Worker

Certified Care Worker in

Geriatrics & Gerontology

Geriatric Nursing

Care Manager

Aborition

Capacity Building forFamily Carers・Volunteers・All Generations

Dementia Care?

Page 28: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

海外から

Preparing Career Grading System of LTC

Certified Care Worker

Technical Intern

Page 29: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Certified Nurse in

Nurse

Nurse Aid

Unqualified Care Givers

Unqualified Care Givers

Ideas of Harmonization

Certified Care Worker

Certified Care Worker

in

Unqualified Care Givers

Unqualified Care Givers

Kadar

NurseDiplomaⅠ

NurseDiplomaⅡ

Nurse DiplomaⅢ

Japan Indonesia

Level 1

Level2

Level 3

Level 4

Level 5

Level6

Level 7

Level 8

PramuruktiCapacity Building of LTC

TRAIN the TRAINER

Page 30: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Toward Global KAIGO from Japan

• Environmental Improvement for Hygiene and LTCThe Support Center for LTC Intern, Sanitary ware, & Coordinator for Assisted Living.

• Culinary Arts for LTC and Oral HygieneCutting, Thickening, Presenting, Chewing Power-up, & Teeth Brushing

• Changing Position based on Body MechanismAncient Japanese Martial Arts, Slow Fitness Exercise, & Brain Training

Page 31: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Study of Foreign LTC Methods

• Jamu in Indonesia• Massage in Thailand• Laughter Yoga in India• Inclusive Networking for Promoting LTC in

Neighborhood Communitiesex. Kadel/Posiandu, Pramrukti, Nurse/Puskesmas

Page 32: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

Next Step

• Let’s start collaboration of exchange program for training the trainers.

• Let’s declare a proposition for establishing a training center for harmonization of long-term care and aging studies in Fukuoka-city and Jakarta and Yogyakarta.

Page 33: A Presentation of Takeo Ogawa ver2 - AABC2009 2050 The Ratio of 60+ from 2009-2050 By 2050, 1 in 3 people in Asia-Pacific will be age 60+ % Japanese Challenges toward Aging • 1970s:

A Proposal of the Training Center on Asia Pacific Aging

• With/beyond EPA, an acceptance framework of foreign LTC workforce should be considered.

• The technical intern program should be improved on its criticism.• A common field of LTC for the Elderly should be neighborhood communities

(patches) in Asia Pacific.• LTC institutions and hospitals should take responsibilities not only acute and

terminal care but also for research and development and teaching LTC knowledge and skills for preventive and rehabilitation care.

• The competency of the geriatric nursing and the LTC should be integrated in the lifelong education system and its accumulated career should be evaluated with each other.

• The LTC job should be redesigned for clarify its needed knowledge and skills.• The trainer of trainers who teach LTC should be exchanged on bilateral exchange

program. • In order to Harmonize LTC certificate, a training center should be established both

in Japan and in Indonesia.