a new energy transition is beginning and copper is …...a new energy transition is beginning and...
TRANSCRIPT
A new energy transition is beginning and copper is at the heart of it.
In the past two centuries, humankind has rapidly evolved its sources of power with each new scientific innovation, from muscle
power and burning wood, to coal and nuclear fuel.
100
80
60
40
20
0
90
70
50
30
10
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
quadrillion British thermal units
Source: EIA
Renewables
Nuclear
Petroleum
Natural gas
Coal
U.S. primary energy consumption (by major sources between 1950 and 2017)
80 1006040200
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
Wind & Solar (PV)NuclearHydroGasCoal & Oil
Power generation forecast Global electricity generation (% of total in 2040)
Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
900
LCOE ($/MWh, 2018 real)
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
02009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019
Utility PV, no tracking
Offshore wind
Onshore wind
Energy storage (4 hours)
Implied using historic battery pack prices
Utility PV, tracking
Global benchmarks (PV, wind and batteries)
Energy TransitionsAmerica’s energy mix is rapidly diversifying.
In the future, clean energy sources are set to take a larger portion of the global energy mix.
The declining costs of wind, solar (PV) and energy storage technologies will contribute to the clean energy transition.
Copper is 100% recyclable and can be used over and
over without losing its engineering properties.
Without copper, for the same efficiency, electrical
equipment such as motors, transformers and
cables would use 20% more materials.
Copper's ability to be bent and easily shaped
into wires or sheets, make it the ideal metal
for a variety of electrical uses.
Electrons can move freely through copper,
making it a good conductor of heat and
electricity.
Source: ThinkCopper
Why Copper?
With each energy transition comes a new
need for materials.
Wind, solar, and the associated battery technologies are mineral intensive, using many niche and base metals.
Cobalt Graphite VanadiumLithiumNickel Aluminum
Copper connects and delivers clean energy to the world.
Copper has the superior properties that allow it to be used for many types of clean energy.
It is these properties that make it
the critical material for wind and solar technology,
energy storage, and electric vehicles.
The generation of clean energy from solar and wind has a copper usage that is typically
4-6 timesmore than fossil fuels.
There is one metal that stands out:
Copper
CONDUCTIVITY DUCTILITY RECYCLABILITYEFFICIENCY
Source: Navigant Research
2004$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$30
$25
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182005
Billion, nominal
1.94.3
8.7
12.5
17.6
9.6
17.7
10.6
14.312.2
10.712.7
15.5
20
24.8
U.S. LARGE-SCALE WIND PROJECTS (financing)
Source: BloombergNEF Energy in America 2018
ONSHORE VS. OFFSHORE
Onshore Wind Installations:
7,766 LBS COPPER PER MW
Offshore Wind Installations:
21,067 LBS COPPER PER MW
53% 4%24% 19%
Source: Navigant Research
Copper in Wind Farms
Offshore wind farms require significantly more copper per MW on average than onshore wind farms, with copper cabling accounting for up to 82% of copper usage.
A 3 megawatts (MW) wind turbine contains up to
CABLE AND WIRING
TRANSFORMERSTURBINE/POWER GENERATION
TURBINE TRANSFORMER
Since 2004, $177 billion has been invested in U.S. large-scale wind projects.
4.7 TONS OF COPPER.
Source: SEIA
70%2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
$6
$5
$4
$3
$2
$1
$0
Ann
ual i
nsta
lled
sola
r pv
capa
city
(MW
dc)
Ble
nded
ave
rage
sol
ar P
V sy
stem
pri
ce ($
/Wat
t)
U.S. SOLAR PV price declines & deployment growth
Source: SEIA
Source: Navigant Research
PROJECTED COPPER USAGE IN NORTH AMERICA (from 2018 to 2027)
1.9BILLION LBS of copper 262 GW will be needed to power of new solar installation
Copper in Solar TechnologyThere are approximately
Commonly used in
HEAT EXCHANGERS
CABLINGWIRING
of copper in solar power systems.
Used to transfer solar energy to heat water or air
in heating systems
A group of insulated conductors used for transmitting electrical
power or signals
Used for conducting electricity
Source: Navigant Research
The cost to install solar has dropped by more than 70% over the last decade which has increased the annual installed capacity of solar power.
5.5 TONS PER MW
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Advanced Lead Acid 20
<20
520
320
460
440
500
540
Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES)
Flow Battery
Flywheel
Lithium Ion
Sodium Batteries
Pumped Hydro
Ultracapacitors
(lbs/MW)
COPPER CONTENT (by Energy Storage Technology)
Source: Navigant Research
>500MW
500-200MW
200-100MW
100-50MW
50-5MW
<5MW CA2,886
WA22.2
ID26.1
MN17.2
CO286
TX189
NV350
AZ205
AK40.7
OR61.7
MT161
IN33.4
OH75.4
SC8.0
NC32.9
PA147
NY154
WY1.0
SD0.2
WI
IA1.1
MO5.2
ND
NE
ARNM5.9
OK0.4
KS0.1
LA0.3
UT5.0
IL181
KY3.0
MS1.0
TN 1.6
AL112
GA1.0
VA4.1
ME
NH
MA
RI
CT
NJ
DE
MD
17.2
1.8
176.10.3
32.2
68.12.8
14.3
VT 17.3
HI 534
WV 66.5
FL72.7
MI5.7
Source: BloombergNEF Energy in America 2018
U.S. ENERGY STORAGE PROJECTS (announced and commissioned)
Copper in Energy Storage
Source: BloombergNEF Energy in America 2018
CABLING SWITCHESWIRING
Copper wiring and cabling connect renewable power generation with energy storage devices while the copper in the switches of transformers help to deliver power at the right voltage.
Across the United States, a total of 5,752 MW of energy storage capacity has been announced and commissioned.
Source: Copper Development Association
Source: Reuters
COPPER CONTENT BY VEHICLE TYPE
Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV)Hybrid Electric
Vehicle (HEV)Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)
88LB 48LB 183LB
2018
Q1Q2Q3Q4
2017201620152014201320122011201020092008
70 available EV models
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Fuel cell vehicles (FCV)
Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV)
Battery electric vehicles (BEV)
EV MODEL AVAILABILITY IN NORTH AMERICA
Copper in Electric Vehicles
Source: BloombergNEF Energy in America 2018
Electric vehicles rely heavily on copper for the motor coil that drives the engine.
Additionally, the cabling for charging stations of electric vehicles will be
another source of copper usage.
By the fourth quarter of 2018, there were
available to consumers for purchase in North America.
4FCVs
32PHEVs
29BEVs
For example, BYD charging ports ranging from 3.3 kW to 200 kW contain between two
to 17 pounds of copper. According to IDTechEx, BYD’s total sale of chargers in
2016 used more than 295,000 lbs. of copper.
Electric vehicles are becoming more accessible as more options enter the market.
WWW.COPPER.ORG
@copperenergy | @ThinkCopperUSA
CopperDevelopment
Copper Development Association
CopperVideo
With each energy transition comes a new need for materials. The transition to wind and solar energy and electric vehicles will be accelerated by energy storage technologies. Copper is a critical material component for the next great energy transition.
Copper Development Association Inc.7918 Jones Branch Drive, Suite 300McLean, VA 22102Office: (202) 558-7625Cell: (202) 674-9838Skype: (212) 251-7238
Zolaikha StrongDirector – Energy Policy and Electrical Markets
Copper Development Association Inc.7918 Jones Branch Drive, Suite 300McLean, VA 22102Office: (202) 558-7625Cell: (202) 674-9838Skype: (212) 251-7238
Zolaikha StrongDirector – Energy Policy and Electrical Markets