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A
GLOBAL STUDY REPORT
ON
‗Opportunities for Indian Private Equity Players in Brazil‘
Submitted to:
Sal Institute of Management
IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE
REQUIREMENT OF THE AWARD FOR THE DEGREE OF
MASTER OF BUSINESS ASMINISTRATION
In
Gujarat Technological University
Project Guide:
Asst.Proff. Nilesh Patel
SAL Institute of Management, Ahmedabad.
Submitted By:
Students of Finance,
SEM: IV,
MBA: 2010-12,
SAL Institute of Management.
SAL INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
MBA PROGRAMME
Affiliated to Gujarat Technological University, Ahmadabad.
March, 2012.
Certificate
This is to certify that this Comprehensive Project Report title,
‗Opportunities for Indian Private Equity Players in
Brazil‘
is the bonafide work of Students of Finance, SEM: IV, MBA: 2010-12, Sal
Institute of Management who carried out the research under my
supervision. I also certify further, that to the best of my knowledge the
work reported herein does not form part of any other project report or
dissertation on the basis of which a degree or award was conferred on an
earlier occasion on this or any other candidate.
Project Guide:
Asst.Proff. Nilesh Patel Dr. Viral Bhatt
SAL Institute of Management, A‘bad. Prinicipal,
Sign: _________ Sign: __________
SAL INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT
Affiliated to Gujarat Technological University, Ahmedabad.
We, Students of Finance, SEM: IV, MBA: 2010-12, SAL Institute of
Management, hereby declare that the Global Study Project entitled
‗Opportunities for Indian Private Equity Players in Brazil‘ is a result of
our own work and our indebtedness to other work publications, references,
if any, have been duly acknowledged.
Sign,
Date: 24/04/2012
Place: Ahmedabad
Students of Finance,
SEM: IV,
MBA: 2010-12,
SAL Institute of Management.
―Experience is the best teacher‘‘ This saying has played a guiding role in
including GSR as a part of the curriculum of the M.B.A. programme of the
Gujarat Technological University. This study Report allows students to do
practical work and to study real global business environment which
develops a feeling about the difficulties and challenges in the business
world.
In this direction, we have tried our best to present a project
report. This project report will help the readers to know in-depth about the
Opportunities lying in Various Sectors of Brazil for Private Equity Players.
The preparation of this project is based on facts and findings
noted and information collected from various secondary sources such as
internet, Books, News Papers, Magazines and written and published
documents.
In spite of our best efforts, there may be omission and
commissions which may please be excused..!
Acknowledgements
We are extremely thankful to Mr. Nilesh Patel, Asst. Professor of Sal
Institute of Management for their valuable guidance and the help they have
provided to us throughout the completion of our project, undertaken as a
part of our M.B.A curriculum. He was always there to lend a helping hand
& directed us towards preparing the project. He has always welcomed our
queries and doubts regarding the project work and also in the subjects,
they have taken great interest to teach us. Without their help and right
guidance the completion of the project would have been very difficult.
The level of knowledge he possess has covered entire aspects of the
management expertise in different fields particularly in our project related
to Finance. We are also thankful to our college SAL Institute of
Management for offering us such a great subject that binds all the
knowledge we have gained through this subject as a report. And last but
not the least we would like to thank all our students for their valuable
contribution in successful completion of project.
With Thanks…
Students of Finance,
SEM: IV,
MBA: 2010-12,
SAL Institute of Management.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
S.NO. PARTICULARS PAGE NO.
1
Introduction and Research Methodology
Chapter I The Journey of BRICS
1
1.1 Origin and History
1.1.1 Importance of BRICS
1.1.2 Economic Overview of BRICS
1.1.3 Further Development
1.2 Why Brazil
1.2.1 Comparative Study Amongst BRICS country
1.2.2 SWOT analysis of Brazil
1.3 Why Private Equity
1.4 Why Private Equity in Brazil
1.4.1 Reasons for investment in private equity in brazil
1
1
2
2
3
3
4
10
11
11
1.4.2 Attractiveness of Private Equity investments amongst the BRICS
countries
15
2. Chapter II Country at a glance 19
2.1 History of Brazil 19
2.2 Geography 24
2.3 People 25
3.
2.4 PESTEL analysis of Brazil
Chapter III Conceptual Framework of Private Equity
3.1. Meaning of Private Equity
3.2. Process of Private Equity
3.3. Evolution and Growth of Private Equity
3.4. Development of Private Equity in Brazil
3.5. Current Scenario of Private Equity in Brazil
3.6. Private Equity Scenario In India
28
43
43
44
45
51
54
55
4. Chapter IV Comparison of Private Equity investment in India and Brazil 61
4.1 Private Equity investment in india 61
4.2 Private Equity deals in brazil
4.3 Comparison of Private Equity investment in India and Brazil
4.4 Forecasting of Private equity investment in India using regression
4.5 Forecasting of Private equity investment in Brazil using regression
4.6 Comparison between India and Brazil
4.6 Hypothesis testing ( T test)
4.7 Major Private Equity players in brazil
62
63
64
66
67
68
69
5. Chapter-V Sector Analysis 73
5.1 Healthcare Sector
5.1.1 Current Situation in Brazilian Healthcare Sector
5.1.2 Areas of Investment opportunities for Private Equity
5.1.3 Participating Companies
5.1.4 Restructuring of Healthcare sector
5.1.5 Healthcare sector in India
5.1.6 Potentiality of Healthcare for P.E investor
5.1.7 Role of Private Equity in accelerating growth in healthcare sector
5.1.8 Opportunities for Indian Private equity players in healthcare
5.2. Infrastructure Sector
5.2.1. Overview of Infrastructure Sector of Brazil
5.2.2. Current Scenario in Infrastructure
5.2.3. Infrastructure Investment requirements in Brazil
5.2.4. Investment Opportunity in Infrastructure
5.2.5. Indian Infrastructure
73
73
76
79
80
82
85
88
89
93
93
93
94
95
99
5.3 IT Sector
5.3.1. Overview of Brazilian Information Technology
5.3.2 Current Scenario Of IT in India
102
102
104
5.4 Agriculture Sector
5.4.1. The Brazilian Agribusiness Background
5.4.2. Current Status Of Brazil‘s Global Market Share Projections
107
107
109
5.4.3. Challenges in Agribusiness in Brazil
5.4.4. Opportunity for Private Equity firms in Agribusiness
5.5 Education Sector
5.6 Oil and Gas Sector
110
113
116
124
6. Chapter-VI Findings & Suggestions 130
7. Chapter-VII Conclusion& Future Scope 133
8. Chapter-VIII Bibliography 138
LIST OF TABLES & GRAPHS
SR.
NO. PARTICULARS
TABLE/GRAPH
NO.
PAGE
NO.
1. Ranking of BRIC countries according to various parameter (T-1) 2
2. Future Estimates regarding GDP of BRIC countries (T-2) 2
3. Private Equity Penetration (G-1) 12
4. Public Offerings (G-2) 13
5. Attractiveness of PE Investment among BRICS (T&G-3) 15
6. Population Growth (T&G-4) 25
7. Birth Rate (T-5) 26
8. Death Rate (T-6) 26
9. Real GDP Growth Rate (T-7, G-5) 31
10. Per Capita GDP (T-8, G-6) 32
11. Inflation Rate (T-9, G-7) 32
12. PE Investment by Stages in India (T-10) 58
13. Private Equity Investment in India (T-11, G-8) 61
14. Private Equity Investment in Brazil (T-12, G-9) 62
15. Comparison of PE Investment in India And Brazil (T-13, G-10) 63
16. Prediction about Future P.E investment in India (T-14, G-11) 65
17. Prediction about Future P.E investment in Brazil (T-15, G-12) 66
18. Comparison between India and Brazil (T-16, G-13) 67
19. Infrastructure Investment requirements in Brazil (T-17, G-14) 94
20. Estimated Investment in Infrastructure (T-18, G-15) 96
21. Private Equity Deal flow in IT (G-16) 102
22. PE Transaction by Sector in IT (G-17) 104
23. Brazil‘s Global Market share Projections in Agriculture
Sector
(T-19) 109
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Global Study Report is conducted to find out the opportunity for the Indian Private
Equity players in Brazil. We study the country importance of BRICS in current time and the
reason for choosing brazil as well as private equity than we studies brazil at a glance which
includes profile of Brazil and the history of the same. We analyzed economic overview of the
country which includes demographic profile of the country, political factors, economic
factors, socio-cultural factors, educational background, science and technological factors,
environmental and legal factors.
It is followed by the conceptual framework of Private Equity evolution in growth of the
Industry in Brazil, historical development of Private Equity in Brazil and other parameters for
such Investment opportunities. We analyzed strategic opportunities in the Brazil that gives
clear idea about the investment.
This report also includes various sectors of Brazil where Indian Private Equity players have
opportunities. The major sectors which are mainly covered under this Report is
1) Healthcare
2) Infrastructure
3) Information Technology
4) Agriculture
5) Education
6) Oil and Gas
Out of these 6 sectors, in 3 sectors private Equity players have opportunities. As we are
studying the opportunity for Indian private equity players, we have to compare these sectors
with Indian sectors.
The sectors where Indian Private Equity players have opportunities are
1) Healthcare 2) Infrastructure 3) Information Technology
Opportunities in Different Sectors
1) Healthcare
Health care sector in Brazil is having huge potential for Indian Private Equity players
but the problem with this sector is government restrictions on FDI. As FDI is ban in
this sector, it restricts the Indian Private Equity players from investing; The
Opportunity can be taped by Indian players only if there is any change in the
regulations or in the FDI policy by the Brazilian government.
2) Infrastructure
The Infrastructure sector is on the high front and is expected to boom mainly because of two
reasons
a) FIFA World Cup 2014
This event will receive almost R$ 105 billion in investment projects. The investment
will be required mainly in the area of Development of Airports and constructions and
modernization of Stadiums.
b) Olympic Games 2016
The Rio Olympic Games of 2016 are expected to see an investment of R$ 30 billion.
Rio de Janeiro plans to develop a better metro system for easy and safe access to the
game site. In order to house the millions of new tourists the city projects it will need
about 300 hotels, or 86 thousand new rooms.
3) Information Technology
The Brazilian IT market represents an attractive opportunity for private equity
investments. Brazilian IT industry in 2011 should grow 13.1% - almost double the
global rate of growth of 7% - to reach total revenues of US$39 billion. Brazil has
extensive experience in technology outsourcing, with a well developed local market in
information technology outsourcing (ITO) and business process outsourcing (BPO).
The offshore ITO and BPO markets potentially represent a significant growth
opportunity for developing countries as major global players continue to increase their
presence in a few well-positioned in Brazil.
Research Methodology:
Marketing Research is the systematic design, collection, analysis and reporting
of the data and findings relevant to a specific marketing situation face by
marketers.
What to study?
Project Title: ‘OppOrtunities fOr indian private equity
players In Brazil ’
Why to study?
Exploratory studies provide information to use in analyzing a situation, but uncovering
conclusive evidence to determine a particular course of action is not the purpose of
exploratory research. Usually, exploratory research is conducted with the expectation that
subsequent research will be required to provide conclusive evidence, It is a serious mistake to
rush into detailed surveys before less expensive and more readily available sources of
information have been exhausted.
Primary Objectives:
The primary objective of this study is to find out opportunities for Indian private
equity players in the Brazilian market so that Indian private equity players can
tap this opportunities in order to get returns.
Secondary objectives:
1) To understand the growing importance of BRICS in current times and
position of Brazil amongst the BRICS countries.
2) To analyze Brazil at a glance in accordance with different parameters.
3) To understand Evaluation and growth of Private Equity with Indian as
well as Brazilian Scenario and identify the major private equity players
currently working in Brazil.
4) To carry out Strategic Analysis of Brazil with respect to Private Equity
5) To analyze major sectors of Brazil to identify opportunities for Private
equity players
Data Collection:
Data are collected from secondary data sources.
Data are collected through internet websites, Books, News Papers,
indexes other publications etc.
Tools of Data Analysis and Interpretation:
Regression analysis
Time series analysis
Column Chart
Scatter chart
Data Analysis Software:
spss
excel
Place: Ahmadabad
Limitations:
The study related with finding the opportunities for Indian private equity
players in Brazil is done on the basis of secondary data, therefore minor
deviations, misprint and misinterpretations may generate the error in further
calculations, analysis and related implications.
The various frame works, data collections, suggestions and
recommendations are strictly restricted and applicable to brazil only
Various policies, annual reports of various boards and other vital information
and some of the data collection part is the biggest challenge, constraint of
this project.
In this exploratory study time duration and cost were also one of the major
limitations.
Chapter 1
Journey of BRICS
1
1.1 Origin and History
Various sources refer to a supposed "original" BRIC agreement that predates the Goldman
Sachs thesis. Some of these sources claim that President Vladimir Putin of Russia was the
driving force behind this original cooperative coalition of developing BRIC countries
The BRIC [Brazil, Russia, India and China] idea was first conceived in 2001 by Goldman
Sachs as part of an economic modeling exercise to forecast global economic trends over the
next half century. These countries are all deemed to be at a similar stage of newly advanced
economic development
BRIC Foreign Ministers at their meeting in New York on 21st September 2010 agreed that
South Africa may be invited to join BRIC. Accordingly, South Africa was invited to attend
the 3rd BRICS Summit in Sanya on 14 April 2011.
1.1.1 Importance of BRICS
The economic potential of Brazil, Russia, India and China is such that they could become
among the four most dominant economies by the year 2050. These countries encompass over
25% of the world's land coverage and 40% of the world's population and hold a combined
GDP of 18.486 trillion dollars. On almost every scale, they would be the largest entity on the
global stage. These four countries are among the biggest and fastest growing emerging
markets.
This Group has come into widespread use as a symbol of the shift in global economic power
away from the developed G7 economies towards the developing world. It is estimated that
BRIC economies will overtake G7 economies by 2027
It has been argued that geographic diversification would eventually generate superior risk-
adjusted returns for long-term global investors by reducing overall portfolio risk while
capturing some of the higher rates of return offered by the emerging markets of Asia, Eastern
Europe and Latin America. By doing so, these institutional investors have contributed to the
financial and economic development of key emerging nations such as Brazil, India, China,
and Russia. For global investors, India and China constitute both large-scale production
platforms and reservoirs of new consumers, whereas Russia is viewed essentially as an
exporter of oil and commodities- Brazil and Latin America being somehow "in the middle
It is estimated that China and India will become the dominant global suppliers of
manufactured goods and services, while Brazil and Russia will become similarly dominant as
suppliers of raw materials. It should be noted that of the four countries, Brazil remains the
only nation that has the capacity to continue all elements, meaning manufacturing, services,
and resource supplying simultaneously. Cooperation is thus hypothesized to be a logical next
step among the BRICs because Brazil and Russia together form the logical commodity
suppliers to India and China. Brazil is dominant in soy and iron ore while Russia has
enormous supplies of oil and natural gas..
2
1.1.2 Economic Overview of BRICS
Ranking of BRIC countries according to various parameter (Table-1)
Statistics
Categories Brazil Russia India China
Area 5th 1st 7th 3rd
Population 5th 9th 2nd 1st
Population growth rate 107th 221st 90th 156th
Labor force 5th 7th 2nd 1st
GDP (nominal) 8th 11th 9th 2nd
GDP (PPP) 7th 6th 4th 2nd
GDP (nominal) per capita 55th 54th 137th 95th
GDP (PPP) per capita 71st 51st 127th 93rd
GDP (real) growth rate 15th 88th 5th 6th
Human Development Index 73rd 65th 119th 89th
Exports 18th 11th 16th 1st
Imports 20th 17th 11th 2nd
Current account balance 47th 5th 169th 1st
Received FDI 11th 12th 29th 5th
Foreign exchange reserves 7th 3rd 6th 1st
External debt 28th 24th 26th 23rd
Public debt 47th 122nd 29th 98th
Future Estimates regarding GDP of BRIC countries (Table-2)
Rank
2050 Country 2050 2045 2040 2035 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 2006
1 China 70,710 57,310 45,022 34,348 25,610 18,437 12,630 8,133 4,667 2,682
3 India 37,668 25,278 16,510 10,514 6,683 4,316 2,848 1,900 1,256 909
4 Brazil 11,366 8,740 6,631 4,963 3,720 2,831 2,194 1,720 1,346 1,064
6 Russia 8,580 7,420 6,320 5,265 4,265 3,341 2,554 1,900 1,371 982
1.1.3 Further Development (Planning to Expand to BRIMCK)
Mexico and South Korea are currently the world's 13th and 15th largest by nominal GDP,
just behind the BRIC and G7 economies, while both are experiencing rapid GDP growth of
5% every year, a figure comparable to Brazil from the original BRICs. it did not consider
Mexico, but today it has been included because the country is experiencing the same factors
that the other countries first included present. While South Korea was not originally included
in the BRICs, recent solid economic growth led to Goldman Sachs proposing to add Mexico
and South Korea to the BRICs, changing the acronym to BRIMCK.
3
1.2 Why Brazil
Brazil moved past India as the centre of investor‘s interest. According to a team of private equity firm from the US, Brazil was considered the ―best of the BRICS‖ with a huge growth potential.
1.2.1 Comparative study amongst the brics country
The competition is now no longer between India versus China, it‘s India versus Brazil. For
global investors, China is now no longer alternative. The Asian giant is powering ahead with
a 9%-plus growth rate and emerging as the only credible state to challenge the battered but
still supreme economic might of the US.
Within the BRICS pack, Russia is considered risky and South Africa is developing, so that
leaves investors with India and Brazil. MNCs allocating capital with an eye on the changing
global economic order will place their bets on both countries.
Experts feel that it is government policies that have made the difference. According to the
World Bank report ―The Ease of Doing Business‖, Brazil has improved five steps to 120
from the previous year, while India‘s position has remained static at 166.
Despite growth concerns in Brazil, it seems to be overtaking India in terms of perception and
therefore the key issue for India is to start working on its economic issues and win back the
confidence of investors.
In India, corruption, political deadlocks, opaque and cumbersome regulations and tight
monetary policy that are stagnating growth, seem to have dented investor confidence and
investment. Brazil, on the other, carries on the progressive policies of former Presidents
Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva that have developed the South
American state into a sound economy with a political and fiscal environment conducive to
growth. Last month, Brazil emerged as the sixth largest economy in the world, right after
India.
4
1.2.2 SWOT Analysis of Brazil
5
STRENGTH
1) SOUND FINANCIAL POLICIES-:
Latin America has been able to resist many of the economic woes of the 2007-2010
recessions with a little luck and some sounds financial policies. After the debt crisis,
Latin America has thrown away the policies of protectionism and fiscal profligacy and
has embraced some capitalistic qualities such as, flexible exchange rate, independent
central banks, more responsible fiscal policies and tighter regulation of banks. Latin
American citizens were the biggest benefactors of these changes in fiscal policy.
Between 2002-2010 approximately 40 million of the 480 million citizens rose from the
ranks of poverty and the income distribution became a bit less unequal.
2) BRAZILIAN AGRICULTURE MIRACLE-:
Brazil is the only tropical weather food exporting giant. They achieve this great feat
through deregulation and science."The increase in Brazil's farm production has been
stunning. Between 2000 and 2010, the total value of the country's crops rose from 23
billion reais ($23 billion) to 108 billion reais, or 365%. Brazil increased its beef exports
tenfold in a decade, overtaking Australia as the world's largest exporter. It has the world's
largest cattle herd after India's. It is also the world's largest exporter of poultry, sugar
cane and ethanol."
3) BANK OF AMERICA INVESTING IN BRAZIL-:
Foreign investments in a country bring in more capital and talent to improve the
productivity and abilities of the country. Bank of America's investments will create jobs
and increase competition that benefit Brazil
4) NATURAL SUGARCANE HEDGE-:
Brazil's sugar companies are lucky to have a natural hedge, in that when the sugar price
is low many can produce ethanol instead. This can be consumed by motorists in the
domestic market or exported for use in alcoholic drinks or other industries." This natural
hedge allows sugar producers to guarantee a reasonable price for their crops, which
allows them to make long term investment plans more accurately.
6
WEAKNESSES
1) INCOME INEQUALITY-:
Income inequality has a negative effect on the economy in many countries. It makes it
difficult to move from one social economic status to the next. It also creates disincentives
to work hard, because social economic mobility is impossible.
Official data for the last three decades show that Brazil has one of the world's most
unequal distributions of income. This article examines the relevant data and then
explains the causes of this persistent inequality, considering them also in cultural and
historical context. It discusses the politics of continuing inequality and possible strategies
for reducing it. Many economic hardships occur when dealing with income inequality.
Income inequality is a reflection of how economic systems distribute wealth unevenly to
the citizens.
The middle class usually has a large influence on economic development and
government policies. If income is unevenly distributed, the wealth exert dominant
control over poorer citizens, which may create political and economic tension between
the classes. The tension can result in strikes or other forms of demonstrations that acutely
hurt production and growth. More general tensions may result in a submissive underclass
that has no ability (skills) or incentive to work hard.
2) EDUCATION-:
Education plays a significant and positive roll in the performance of countries; however,
education achievement is declining in Brazil. "Even in the richer areas, however, the
standards have been falling over the past decades. A cycle was observed in Brazil: the
State invested little in education; the standards of public education dropped; the middle
class moved their children to private schools; the middle class stopped to care about
public education; the State invested even less in education; the standards fell even more;
Education is open to free enterprising, under official supervision. Nowadays, practically
all the middle class sends their children to private schools. Costs may vary from as little
as R$ 50 (US$ 20) in smaller cities to R$ 500 in São Paulo or Rio de Janeiro (cities
where services are most expensive in Brazil).
Declining educational systems will have an effect on future economy growth, because
high paying jobs will need highly skilled workers. Without a good education system,
those skilled jobs will have to move to other countries."
7
3) INEFFICIENT TAX SYSTEM-:
According to the World Bank's most recent business survey, Brazil ranks 150th out of
183 countries on how easy it is to pay taxes. Not only is the tax system extremely
difficult to navigate, it amounts to a huge percentage of profits, upwards of 69%
according to World Bank's study.
4) INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT IN BRAZIL-:
Brazil has a history of underinvestment in their infrastructure. According to the
Economist, "in 2007, Brazil invested just 0.1% of GDP to improve their transportation."
The World Bank Growth Commission stated that 7% of GDP should go into
infrastructure in order to maintain developing world GDP growth rates. Brazil needs to
increase their rate of development in order to fulfill their potential economic growth.
Improving infrastructure has many benefits, such as getting products to export and
import more quickly. It also brings together a sprawling nation.
5) CRIME-:
High levels of crime deter foreign investments in a country and increase the cost of
business due to bribery and safe concerns of employees. High crime can also affect
tourism and create a general image of volatility / risk. If crime is epidemic, it could also
affect laws and judicial procedures that ensure fair treatment for local businesses and
foreigners looking to investing with the country.
OPPORTUNITIES
1) POSITIVE DISCRIMINATION FOR BLACKS-:
Although Brazil regards itself as a true melting pot, the majority of its "black" population
earns half of their "white" counterparts. The disparity in income is causing the
government to question how to bridge the gap. Some ideas call for University quotas to
increase the numbers of minorities. This policy has already had positive effects on black
enrollment. Equality between different ethnic groups and races helps reduce poverty and
welfare, while giving an entire generate of poor students an opportunity to contribute
unique business ideas.
8
2) PEAK OIL SUPPLY-:
The peak of increasing oil supply, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA),
will happen sometime around the 2020 to 2030. This could increase the demand for oil
extracting companies and peripheral technology that can find oil in more difficult
locations. The manufacturing of oil from coal and natural gas is a potential benefit of a
peak in oil supply. This peak in demand will benefit countries with lots of untapped oil,
such as Brazil and Saudi Arabia. The importance of oil will only grow over time.
Sources of unconventional oil will also benefit as the demand for these more expensive
sources increases.
3) OIL DISCOVERY-:
Countries tend to profit when they contain natural resources such as oil. Brazil recently
discovered a vast amount of deep water oil reserves off it‘s' coast.
Excitement about the potential of Brazil as a massive new source of oil and gas
intensified yesterday after a senior energy ministry official declared that the newly found
Carioca field could have 33bn barrels in place.
The comments by Haroldo Lima, head of Brazil's National Petroleum Agency, that the
country was harbouring an oil find that vied with the largest in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait,
sent the price of shares in BG, the UK exploration company, up 5% and helped lift the
wider London market. The news of the discovery also contradicts pronouncements that
growth in world oil production may have peaked.
Oil experts said it was the biggest find anywhere in the world for at least seven years and
would push Brazil's reserves into the global top 10 but comparisons to Saudi Arabia may
be over-optimistic. Brazil's total reserves will rise to about 20bn barrels as a result of the
discovery, compared with Saudi Arabia's 260bn, whose daily production is four times
that of the Brazil.
Countries tend to gain profit from exporting oil and cut any cost from the importation of
oil. The economy can use the additional revenues to increase funding in areas that lead to
long term positive growth, such as in the education and health sectors.
9
To get to the oil, the Brazilian government is spending $174 billion over the next few
years. These expenditures will benefit firms such as GE, Petrobras, Schlumberger, and
Halliburton, as well as many foreign firms.
4) HYDROELECTRICITY-:
Total installed capacity increased from 4.8 million kW in 1980to 8.5 million kW in 1990
and to 73.4 million kW in 2000. Production for 2010 was 339.5 billion kWh, of which
hydropower contributed 89%. Consumption of electricity was 360.6 billion kWh in the
same year. Brazil's hydroelectric potential is estimated at 16.5 billion kW, three times its
current capacity. Construction of the Itaipu Dam on the Paraná Rive has joint Brazilian-
Paraguayan project, the world's largest hydroelectric plant, attained its full capacity of
12.6 million kW, at a cost of $15 billion. About 70% of Brazil's population is served by
Itaipu, which generates about 75 billion kWh per year. Each of Brazil's nine turbines
(Paraguay controls the other nine) at Itaipu has a capacity of 700,000 kW, which can be
transmitted up to 1,000 km (620 mi) away. Brazil regularly purchases a large portion of
Paraguay's half of its Itaipu electricity production."
5) AGRICULTURE-:
With soil so rich that almost any crop will grow, Brazil is potentially one of the world's
greatest agricultural nations. It exports cognac, champagne and wine to Argentina, the
U.S. and Europe—including 30 million liters last year to France. It is the world's No. 1
producer and exporter of coffee, ranks seventh in soybeans and rice; sixth in tomatoes,
sweet potatoes and peanuts; fifth in jute; fourth in tobacco and cotton; second in sisal,
cane sugar, cacao, corn, oranges. Yet its agricultural technology is primitive and its
export potentiality (it grows more bananas and pineapple than any other country, but
exports little) is barely tapped.
THREATS
1) EXPORT DRIVEN ECONOMY-:
Exports helped to expand Brazil's economy, but they can rapidly change direction and
slow Brazil's economy.
10
2) VERY HIGH INTEREST RATES-:
High interest rates can debilitate an economies ability to invest. High rates draw money
into savings accounts, because savings accounts offer better returns and less risk than
investing in riskier assets. Interest rates are meant to drive down inflation, but high
government spending would have to drop in order for inflation to slow down to a
reasonable level. High interest rates also increase the value of currencies. For emerging
countries that focus on exports, a high rate slows down export demand.
1.3 Why Private Equity
Reason #1 - Substantial Liquidity
Private equity transactions are an excellent way for owners wanting to remain private to
obtain significant liquidity at an attractive valuation without having to transact an outright
sale. Most private equity firms prefer to purchase over 50% of the equity in a typical
transaction. This can generate substantial liquidity for the owners to "take some chips off
the table" and diversify their net worth, while maintaining significant ongoing ownership,
providing for new ownership opportunities for the next generation and retaining day-to-
day operational control.
Reason #2 - Growth Capital
In addition to providing liquidity for the selling shareholders, private equity firms will
provide additional debt and equity capital for internal and external growth opportunities.
In many businesses, the management team has excellent growth plans but does not have
the capital or is not willing to "bet the farm" to execute a given strategy. This could
include opening branch offices, entering a new product or service line or making select
acquisitions of marketplace competitors. Private equity investors are more than willing to
provide the capital necessary to execute growth plans that make strategic sense.
Reason #3 - Eliminate Personal Guarantees and Retain Operational Control
Many owners have created substantial personal wealth and are looking to eliminate
personal guarantees to the bonding companies and banks. In the past, this was difficult to
do without selling the business to a competitor and giving up control to a larger company.
In a typical private equity transaction, all shareholder guarantees are eliminated and day-
to-day control remains with the management team. While most investors prefer to
purchase over 50% of the equity, they have no interest in running the business on a daily
basis. Private equity firms will have approval rights on major issues such as new
acquisitions, capital raises, strategic plans, and future liquidity events but investors will
11
leave the daily operation of the business in the hands of the management team.
Reason #4 - Obtain a Strong Partner with Aligned Goals
Private equity professionals not only bring financial strength to help finance the business,
they traditionally possess relationships and contacts that can help generate new customers
and new supplier relationships. The investors will participate in the business at the Board
of Directors level and many possess significant operational expertise and have extensive
merger and acquisition experience. The investors also have many other portfolio
companies that could be facing similar growth issues or could provide a complementary
service or customer or supplier relationship. Further-more, the goal of a private equity
investor is to maximize the value of their investment in the company which in-turn
maximizes the management's ownership interest in the company.
Reason #5 - "Second Bite at the Apple"
In a typical private equity transaction, the management team will still own a large
percentage of the business (10% to 50%) through a combination of retained ownership
and new stock options granted by the investor. Therefore, in three to seven years when
the outside investor is ready to exit their investment, the management team will receive
substantial additional value for the business. Hopefully, since the initial investment, the
business will have grown and retired debt and will be worth much more than the original
valuation. In many instances, owners can receive more money from the "second bite at
the apple" than from the first.
1.4 Why Private Equity in Brazil
1.4.1 Reasons for investment in private equity in brazil
Beyond the general economic drivers there are some specific characteristics that explain PE
investor confidence, among them: (i) limited private equity penetration, (ii) the size of the
Brazilian economy, (iii) a growing middle class, (iv) increasing exit opportunities and
maturation of Brazilian capital markets, and (v) multiple industries with a high degree of
fragmentation
12
Limited Private Equity Penetration (Graph-1)
According to EMPEA, the country‘s PE investment as a percentage of GDP was only 0.16%
at December 31, 2009.24 China is ahead and India had almost three times as much as Brazil.
The only country behind Brazil among the BRICs was Russia, but since Russia is seen as the
least attractive destination for private equity investments among the BRICs according to the
2011 data. The relatively small percentage in Brazil suggests that there is still a lot of room
for private equity investments to grow before the market becomes crowded and returns start
to diminish.
Size of the Economy
Brazil is the largest and most populous country in Latin America, with almost 200 million
people. It covers an area greater than the continental United States. São Paulo, the biggest
city in Brazil, is one of the world‘s five largest cities. The Brazilian economy is the largest in
Latin America and the fifth largest in the world, with an estimated GDP of approximately $2
trillion in 2010. In the past few years, the country has experienced continued GDP growth,
with real GDP increasing by 7.6% in 2010, according to IBGE. Economic projections for the
next few years predict strong growth and a continued improvement in the country‘s key
macroeconomic metrics.
13
Growing Middle Class
The improved economic environment in Brazil has led to continuous improvements in real
wages. A large portion of the population has seen a significant increase in purchasing power
and is now consuming more sophisticated products, boosting the growth of consumer-driven
businesses. Previous governments launched several income distribution programmes to
improve living standards for the lower and middle classes. Among such programmes, the
Bolsa Família Programme (BFP) deserves special mention. This is a comprehensive measure
to stimulate growth and social progress at the family level by offering cash incentives
conditional on behavior such as school attendance, use of health cards, and other social
services. Since its launch, the BFP has grown exponentially to include approximately 50
million people, of which two thirds are classified as low-income families. In terms of the
numbers of beneficiaries, the BFP is by far the largest cash incentive programme in the
developing world. Brazil‘s strong macroeconomic performance, together with the success of
the BFP, has helped to reduce poverty and income inequality significantly in recent years. By
2014, projections estimate that 50 million new members will be added to the already large
Brazil.
Increasing Exit Opportunities and Maturation of Brazilian Capital Markets (Graph-2)
The São Paulo Stock Exchange (BM&FBovespa) is Brazil‘s largest. As of December 31,
2010 its 471 companies had a market capitalization of US$1.54 trillion, making it the tenth
largest in the world 30. Yet at the beginning of the 90s, the Brazilian equity markets suffered
from economic instability and political uncertainty. After the stabilization of the currency in
1994, some analysts predicted that Brazil‘s capital markets would experience a period of
strong growth, with a significant increase in the number and size of listed companies.
However, the final push to the development of the Brazilian capital markets only came in
2000 with the creation of a new corporate governance segment known as the Novo Mercado.
14
Novo Mercado required stricter corporate governance, thereby reducing risk for investors and
helping to boost demand for Brazilian publicly traded companies. This in turn generated
greater interest from local companies in accessing the capital markets to finance growth and
provide liquidity for existing shareholders. Consequently, from 2005 to 2010 there were 182
equity offerings on the Bovespa, with more than R$320 billion raised.31 In 2010, the world‘s
largest public share offering occurred on the BM&FBovespa, with the Brazilian oil company
Petrobras raising US$70 billion to finance its future growth.
Multiple Industries with a High Degree of Fragmentation
Brazil‘s growth prospects should provide expansion opportunities within various industries
while increasing the need for capital to finance such growth. Furthermore, a large number of
industries in Brazil are still highly fragmented, presenting interesting consolidation dynamics.
15
1.4.2 FACTORS BY WHICH IS PLAYING A ROLE IN DETERMINING
THE ATTRACTIVENESS OF PE INVESTMENT IN BRIC
COUNTRIES(Table-3)
Entry valuations
are too High
weak exit
Environment
challenging tax/regultory
Envornment
political
risk
India 58% 14% 8% 11%
china 45% 14% 31% 24%
Russia 2% 17% 30% 63%
Brazil 31% 11% 11% 3%
Graph-3
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Entry valuations are too High
weak exit Environment
challenging tax/regultory Envornment
political risk
India
china
Russia
Brazil
16
Analysis of the Factors
In BRIC countries, Brazil is generating average 30% return on private Equity. While
considering risk between BRIC countries Brazil is comparative less risky than other countries
With respect to Entry valuation
Entry valuation is very low as compare to other countries. There by with less amount of
capital private equity players can enter into the market which makes the market attractive for
small P.E players as well.
With respect to Political risk
If we compare political risk Russia has highest political risk and Brazil has lowest political
risk. which states that Brazilian economy is politically stable and that leads to stable
government policies.
With respect to weak exit environment
In brazil, Weak Exit environment is lowest amongst the BRIC countries which states that P.E
players can exit the market with easy through IPO or other means.
With respect to weak exit environment
While considering challenging tax & regulatory environment, India and brazil both have less
challenging environment comparing other countries and both are investor friendly country.
Comparing that four risk factor for BRIC countries, India and Brazil Have the low risk than
Russia and China, but Brazil seems to be a more attractive country than India because of
lower entry valuations. Brazil is the country which can provide high return with lower risk.
17
Chapter 2
The Country at a Glance
18
Official Name: Federative Republic of Brazil (República Fede-rativa do Brasil).
Short Name: Brazil (Brasil).
Term for Citizen(s): Brazilian(s).
Capital: Brasília.
Independence: September 7, 1822 (from Portugal).
19
2.1 History of Brazil
The Empire Flag (October 12, 1822 — November 15, 1889)
Brazil was one of only three modern states in the Americas to have its own home-based
kingdom (the other two were Mexico and Haiti) - for a period of almost 90 years. In an
unusual reversal, Brazil, rather than Portugal itself, was the capital of the Portuguese Empire
from 1808 to 1821.
In 1808, the Portuguese court, fleeing from Napoleon's attack of Portugal during the
Peninsular War in a large fleet accompanied by British men-of-war, moved the government
tools to Brazil, establishing them in the city of Rio de Janeiro. From there the Portuguese
king ruled his huge empire for 13 years, and there he would have remained for the rest of his
life if it were not for the chaos aroused in Portugal due, among other reasons, to his long stay
in Brazil after the end of Napoleon's control.
In 1815 the king vested Brazil with the dignity of a united kingdom with Portugal and
Algarve‘s. When King Joao VI of Portugal left Brazil to return to Portugal in 1821, his elder
son, Pedro, stayed in his stead as regent of Brazil. One year later, Pedro stated the reasons for
the secession of Brazil from Portugal and led the Independence War, instituted a
constitutional kingdom in Brazil assuming its head as Emperor Pedro I of Brazil.
Also known as "Dom Pedro I", after his resignation in 1831 for political incompatibilities
(displeased, both by the landed elites, who thought him too liberal and by the intellectuals,
who felt he was not liberal enough), he left for Portugal leaving behind his five-year-old son
as Emperor Pedro II, which led the country ruled by regents between 1831 and 1840. This
period was beset by rebellions of various motivations, such as the Sabinada, the War of the
Farrapos, the Male Revolt, Cabanagem and Balaiada, among others. After this period, Pedro
II was declared of age and assumed his full privileges. Pedro II started a more-or-less
parliamentary control which lasted until 1889, when he was drive out by a coup d'état which
instituted the republic in Brazil.
20
Externally, apart from the Independence war, stood out decades of pressure from the United
Kingdom for the country to end its participation in the Atlantic slave trade, and the wars
fought in the region of La Plata river: the Cisplatine War (in 2nd half of 1820s), the War
against Oribe & Rosas (in 1850s), the War against Aguirre and the Great War of La Plata (in
the 1860s). This last war against Paraguay also was the bloodiest and most expensive in
South American history, after which the country entered a period that continues to the present
day, averse to external political and military involvements
The Old Republic (1889–1930)
Temporary Republican Brazilian Flag (November 15–19th 1889)
Pedro II was removed on November 15, 1889, by a Republican military coup led by General
Deodoro da Fonseca, who became the country's first de facto president through military
ascension. The country's name became the Republic of the United States of Brazil (which in
1967 was changed to Federative Republic of Brazil.).
From 1889 to 1930, although the country was formally a constitutional democracy, in
practice women and the illiterate (the majority of the population) were prevented from voting.
Also, to ensure that the outcome of the polls reflected the will of the landlords, the vote also
was not secret, with the presidency alternating between the dominant states of Sao Paulo and
Minas Gerais. Thus, the first Republican period was widespread with economic chaos,
followed by political and social revolutions hold backed by the government. Between 1893
and 1926 several movements, civilians and military shook the country. The military
movements had their origins both in the lower officers' corps of the Army and Navy (which,
dissatisfied with the regime, called for democratic changes) while the civilian ones, such
Canudos and Contestado War, were usually led by messianic leaders, without conventional
political goals.
Internationally, the country would stick to a course of conduct that extended throughout the
twentieth century: an almost isolationist policy, interspersed with sporadic automatic
alignments with major western powers, its main economic partners, in moments of high
21
turbulence. Standing out from this period: the resolution of the Acreanian's Question and the
tiny role in the World War I (basically limited to the anti-submarine warfare).
This period, known as the "Old Republic", ended in 1930 with a military coup that placed
Getulio Vargas in the presidency.
Populism and development (1930–1964)
After 1930, the successive governments continued industrial and agriculture growth and
development of the vast interior of Brazil. Getúlio Vargas led a military rule that had took
control in 1930 and would remain ruling from 1930 to 1945 with the backing of Brazilian
military, especially the Army. In this period, he faced internally the Constitutionalist Revolt
in 1932 and two separate coup d‘état attempts: by Communists in 1935 and by local Fascists
in 1938.
A democratic government prevailed from 1945–64. In the 1950s after Vargas' second period
(this time, democratically elected), the country experienced an economic boom during
Juscelino Kubitschek's years, during which the capital was moved from Rio de Janeiro to
Brasília.
Externally, after a relative separation during the first half of the 1930s due to the effects of
the 1929 Crisis. In the second half of the 1930s, there was a rapprochement with the fascist
governments of Italy and Germany. However, after the fascist coup attempt in 1938 and the
naval blockade imposed on these two countries by the British navy from the beginning of
World War II, in the decade of 1940 there was a return to the old foreign policy of the
previous period. During the 1940s, Brazil joined the allied forces at Battle of Atlantic and in
the Italian Campaign during WWII; in the 1950s the country began its participation in the
United Nations' peace keeping missions with Suez Canal in 1956 and in the beginning of the
1960s, during the presidency of Janio Quadros, the first attempts to break the automatic
alignment (that had started in the 1940s) with the U.S.A.
The institutional crisis of succession for the presidency, triggered with the Quadros'
resignation, coupled with other factors, would lead to the military coup of 1964 and to the
end of this period.
22
Military Dictatorship (1964–85)
New Professionalism and the Escola Superior de Guerra
By the late 1950s and early 1960s, the success of revolutionary warfare techniques against
conventional armies in China Algeria and Cba led the conventional armies in the developed
and underdeveloped worlds to concentrate on finding military and political strategies to fight
domestic revolutionary warfare. This led to an adoption of what Stepan called, in 1973, ―New
Professionalism.‖ The New Professionalism was formulated and spread in Brazil through the
Escola Superior de Guerra, which had been established in 1949. By 1963 New
Professionalism had come to dominate the school, when it declared its primary mission to be
preparing ―civilians and the military to perform executive and advisory functions (Decreto
Lei No. 53,080 December 4, 1963).‖ This new attitude towards professionalism did not arise
out of nowhere. Though its domination of the ESG was completed by 1963, it had begun to
penetrate the college much earlier than that — assisted by the United States and its policy of
encouraging Latin American militaries to assume as their primary role in counter-guerrilla
and counter-insurgency warfare programs, civic action and nation-building tasks.[10]
By 1964, at the same time that the military elite were unsatisfied with the natural delay,
transfers and accommodation, characteristics of the negotiation processes in democratic
governments and was also eager to impose their development project, saw a leftist revolution
as a real possibility (through the paradigm of internal warfare doctrines of the new
professionalism). Events like the rising strike levels, the inflation rate, embraced demands by
the Left for broaden political process; land reform and the growing claims of the enlisted men
were seen as "evidence" that Brazil was facing the serious possibility of a leftist internal
insurgency.
Knocking on the barracks door
From 1961 to 1964, Brazilian President Joao Goulart had been initiating economic and social
reforms that were clearly failing to address the economic problems of the country; policies
which satisfied neither Brazil's elites nor its increasingly mobilized working classes. The cost
of living index, rather low in late 1950s began to rise sharply, and per capita GDP growth fell
sharply, from 4.5% in 1957 to negative growth by 1963. Goulart also began to take steps that
alienated the Brazilian military and stoked their worst fears of revolutionary leftism. Goulart
was a member of the wealthy agrarian elite of the country, was a Catholic, possessed huge
amounts of land and supported the United States during the Cuban missiles crisis. But he also
tolerated communists within his government, pursued a neutralist foreign policy, passed a law
23
limiting the amount of profits multinationals could transmit out of the country, a subsidiary of
ITT was nationalized and showed favoritism towards military officers labelled "ultra-
nationalist" (he claimed they were loyal to him), which worried the pro-American national
military and the United States government, concerned that Goulart could be too leftist for
their tastes.[12]
Military response
By early 1964 important sections of the military had developed a consensus that intervention
in the political process was necessary. The development of this consensus was likely helped
by important civilian politicians, such as governor of Minas Gerais, and the United States
government. Though many in the trumclaim the coup was "revolutionary," most historians
agree that that is not so, since there was no real transition of power; military dictatorship was
the fastest way to implement neoliberal economic policies in the country while suppressing
growing popular discontent, and the coup was thus a way for Brazil's already-ruling elite to
secure its power. At first, there was intense economic growth, due to neoliberal economic
reforms, but in the later years of the dictatorship, the reforms had left the economy in
shambles, with soaring inequality and national debt, and thousands of Brazilians were
deported imprisoned, tortured, or murdered. Politically motivated deaths numbered in the
hundreds, mostly related to the guerrilla-antiguerrilla warfare in the 1968–73 period; official
censorship also led many artists into exile.
Redemocratization to present (1985–Present)
Tancredo Neves was elected president in an indirect election in 1985 as the nation returned to
civilian rule. He died before taking oath in, and the elected vice president, José Sarney took
the oath as president in his place.
Fernando Collor de Mello was the first elected president by popular vote after the military
regime in December 1989 defeating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in a two round presidential
race and 35 million votes. Collor won in the state of São Paulo against many prominent
political figures.
24
2.2 Geography:
Location: Eastern South America, bordering the Atlantic Ocean
Geographic
coordinates:
10 00 S, 55 00 W
Map references: South America
Area: total: 8,511,965 sq km
land: 8,456,510 sq km
water: 55,455 sq km
note: includes Arquipelago de Fernando de Noronha, Atol das Rocas, Ilha
da Trindade, Ilhas Martin Vaz, and Penedos de Sao Pedro e Sao Paulo
Area -
comparative:
slightly smaller than the US
Land
boundaries:
total: 16,885 km
border countries: Argentina 1,261 km, Bolivia 3,423 km, Colombia 1,644
km, French Guiana 730.4 km, Guyana 1,606 km, Paraguay 1,365 km,
Peru 2,995 km, Suriname 593 km, Uruguay 1,068 km, Venezuela 2,200
km
Coastline: 7,491 km
Maritime
claims:
territorial sea: 12 nm
contiguous zone: 24 nm
exclusive economic zone: 200 nm
continental shelf: 200 nm or to edge of the continental margin
Climate: mostly tropical, but temperate in south
Terrain: mostly flat to rolling lowlands in north; some plains, hills, mountains, and
narrow coastal belt
Elevation
extremes:
lowest point: Atlantic Ocean 0 m
highest point: Pico da Neblina 3,014 m
Natural
resources:
bauxite, gold, iron ore, manganese, nickel, phosphates, platinum, tin,
uranium, petroleum, hydropower, timber
Natural recurring droughts in northeast; floods and occasional frost in south
25
hazards:
Environment -
current issues:
deforestation in Amazon Basin destroys the habitat and endangers a
multitude of plant and animal species indigenous to the area; there is a
lucrative illegal wildlife trade; air and water pollution in Rio de Janeiro,
Sao Paulo, and several other large cities; land degradation and water
pollution caused by improper mining activities; wetland degradation;
severe oil spills
Environment -
international
agreements:
party to: Antarctic-Environmental Protocol, Antarctic-Marine Living
Resources, Antarctic Seals, Antarctic Treaty, Biodiversity, Climate
Change, Climate Change-Kyoto Protocol, Desertification, Endangered
Species, Environmental Modification, Hazardous Wastes, Law of the Sea,
Marine Dumping, Ozone Layer Protection, Ship Pollution, Tropical
Timber 83, Tropical Timber 94, Wetlands, Whaling signed, but not
ratified: none of the selected agreements
Geography -
note:
largest country in South America; shares common boundaries with every
South American country except Chile and Ecuador
2.3 People
a) Population growth
Population Growth Rate (%) (1) (Table-4)
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund- 2011 World Economic Outlook
Graph-4
Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Population
Age growth 0.94 0.91 0.87 1.15 1.11 1.06 1.04 1.01 1.23 1.2 1.17 1.13
26
b) Life Expectancy at Birth
Life expectancy at birth: Total population: 72.53 years
Male: 68.97 years
Female: 76.27 years (2011)
c) Age Structure and Aging
Age structure:
0-14 years: 26.2% (male 27,219,651/female 26,180,040)
15-64 years: 67% (male 67,524,642/female 68,809,357)
65 years and over: 6.7% (male 5,796,433/female 7,899,650) (2011)
d) Birth Rate
Birth rate: 17.79 births/1,000 population (2011 est.)
BIRTH RATE (2) (Table-5)
Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Brazil Birth
Rate 18.84 18.45 18.08 17.67 17.25 16.83 16.56 16.3 18.72 18.43 18.11 17.79
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund- 2011 World Economic Outlook
e) Death Rate
Death rate: 6.36 deaths/1,000 population (July 2011 est.)
DEATH RATE (3) (Table-6)
Country 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Brazil
Death
Rate
9.37 9.34 9.32 6.13 6.14 6.15 6.17 6.19 6.35 6.35 6.35 6.36
SOURCE: International Monetary Fund- 2011 World Economic Outlook
Languages: Portuguese (official), Spanish, English, French
27
2.4 PESTEL Analysis of Brazil
28
PESTEL ANALYSIS
Of
BRAZIL
Official Name: Federative Republic of Brazil (República Fede-rativa do
Brasil).
Short Name: Brazil (Brasil).
Term for Citizen(s): Brazilian(s).
Capital: Brasília.
Independence: September 7, 1822 (from Portugal).
Political Factor
The Brazilian Federation is based on the binding association of three autonomous political
entities: the States, the Municipalities and the Federal District. A fourth entity originated in
the aforementioned association: the Union. There is no hierarchy among the political entities.
The Federation is set on six fundamental principles: sovereignty, citizenship, dignity of the
people, social value of labor, freedom of enterprise, and political pluralism.
On 1 January 2011, Dilma Rousseff of the Workers‘ Party (PT) was sworn in as Brazil‘s first
female president. Brazil will host the football World Cup in 2014 and Rousseff is responsible
for preparing the country for the Olympics in 2016.
Traditionally, Brazilian foreign policy was mainly concerned with protecting its autonomy
and promoting national development.Brazil‘s ambitions have been complemented by a
growing international appreciation for the potential benefits that democratic and peaceful
midsized powers can bring to the emerging multipolar global order.
29
Political Parties
Several political parties are represented in Congress. Since representatives to the lower house
might switch parties, the proportion of congressional seats held by particular parties can
change. Brazil's major political parties include
Workers' Party (PT-center-left)
Democrats (DEM-center-right)
With respect to Private Equity
Political condition have a direct influence on the Policies and structure within the courtry. If
the political condition is stable within the country. There will be lower fluctuations in the
country and less variability in the returns .so Stable policy will lead to higher return for
private equity players and vice versa.
Economical Factor
Characterized by large and well-developed agricultural, mining, manufacturing, and service
sectors, Brazil's economy outweighs that of all other South American countries, and Brazil is
expanding its presence in world markets. In 2008, Brazil became a net external creditor and
two ratings agencies awarded investment grade status to its debt. After record growth in 2007
and 2008, the onset of the global financial crisis hit Brazil in September 2008. Brazil
experienced two quarters of recession, as global demand for Brazil's commodity-based
exports dwindled and external credit dried up. However, Brazil was one of the first emerging
markets to begin a recovery. Consumer and investor confidence revived and GDP growth
returned to positive in 2010, boosted by an export recovery. Brazil's strong growth and high
interest rates make it an attractive destination for foreign investors.
To see how and why Brazil is becoming one of the greatest opportunities for property
investors, there are some key reasons which are briefly explained below. We have to
highlight the capital growth, the low cost of living in the country, the booming property
market, the favourable currency exchange, the low inflation and the economic expansion
among others.
30
Economic facts & figures: Brazil World
GDP (ppp) $2.282 trillion (2011 est.) N/A
GDP per capita $11,600 (2011 est.) US$10,764
Real GDP growth 2.7% (2011 est.) 3.3%
Unemployment rate 6% (2011 est.) 8.7%
Population 201 million 6.8 billion
Inflation rate 6.5% (2011 est.) 82%
Exchange rate 1.602 (2011 est.) reals per USD N/A
Population
Population: 203,429,773 (July 2011 est.)
Population growth rate: 1.134% (2011 est.)
The average annual percent change in the population, resulting from a surplus (or
deficit) of births over deaths and the balance of migrants entering and leaving a
country. The rate may be positive or negative. The growth rate is a factor in
determining how great a burden would be imposed on a country by the changing needs
of its people for infrastructure.
The age structure of a population affects a nation's key socioeconomic issues. Countries
with young populations (high percentage under age 15) need to invest more in schools,
while countries with older populations (high percentage ages 65 and over) need to
invest more in the health sector. The age structure can also be used to help predict
potential political issues.
Impact of private equity due to increase in population
The population of Brazil in 2011 was around 201 million and would increase in the coming
years. So more & more people will engage with the different sectors of Brazil indirectly it
will lead to development of that particular industry. With growth of various industry more
capital will be required and so the industry will prefer for the Private Equity option and there
by the private Equity investment in Brazil would increase
31
Gross Domestic Product (GDP):
The Brazilian economy‘s solid performance during the 2008 financial crisis and its strong
and early recovery, including 2010 growth of 7.5%, have contributed to the country‘s
transition from a regional to a global power. Expected to grow 3.5% in 2011 and 4.0% in
2012, the economy is the world‘s seventh-largest and is expected to rise to fifth within the
next several years.
GDP - real growth rate (%) (Graph-5)
Table-7
Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Real GDP 0.8 4.2 1.9 1 -0.2 5.1 2.3 3.7 5.4 5.1 -0.2 7.5 2.7
Per Capita GDP: (Graph-6)
-5
0
5
10
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Pe
rce
nta
ge
Years
Real GDP
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
1999 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
US
$
Years
Per Capita GDP
32
Table-8
Year 1999 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Per capital
GDP 6,150 7,400 7,600 7,600 8,100 8,300 8,800 9,500 10,200 10,100 10,800 11,600
With respect to Private Equity
GDP has direct relationship with the investment of a country. High GDP indicate that a
country is in growing position. In 2011 GDP of Brazil was 2.7%. So it indicates that Brazil‘s
economic condition has gone down, hence it would not attract international private equity
investors
Inflation rate:
Low unemployment and strong domestic demand pushed 12-month inflation to 7.3% through
the first three quarters of 2011, above the upper limit of the government‘s target of 2.5%-
6.5%. The central bank believes, however, that the global economic downturn will dampen
inflationary pressure and projects inflation to fall within the target band by the end of 2011
and throughout 2012
Inflation rate (consumer prices) (%) (Graph-7)
Table-9
Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Inflation Rate 5 6 7.7 8.3 14.7 7.6 6.9 3 3.6 5.7 4.9 4.9 6.5
With respect to Private equity
The inflation rate of Brazil in 2011 is 6.5%, if the inflation rate increases consumer
spending will decrease. Thus it would affect their investment decision. This would
affect the private equity investment of the country and would hamper its growth.
0
5
10
15
20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Per
cen
tage
Years
Inflation Rate
33
SOCIO CULTURAL FACTOR
Mainly there are two major parts of socio cultural factors in Brazil,
The social characteristics and
The knowledge/education.
Social characteristics give an outline over society classes, ethnicity, inequality, crime and
health in Brazil. These factors will certainly influence Brazilian society.
SOCIAL CHARACTERISTICS
Society Classes
The modern Brazilian society cannot be reduced to a typecast Latin American society;
a wealthy landed elite masses versus masses of poor peasant and workers.
The high class people have more property and prestige.
The middle class is divided into formally employed people, a technical work force
based on knowledge and skills, and the informally employed people, self-employed
businessmen who accounted nearly half of the economically active population.
Ethnicity
In the sixteenth century, at the time of the first European contact, the original
Amerindian population of Brazil range from 2 to 5 million.
Portuguese were the first European immigrants who entered in Brazil.
Many racial and cultural groups arrived in Brazil intermingled and intermarried.
Inequality
Brazilian society had initially the double moral standard for men and women.
Men were expected to exhibit their masculinity, while a sophisticated woman was
supposed to remain virgins till marriage and to be truthful to their husbands.
Men were routinely main heads of households and married women were legally
subordinate to support their husbands.
Crime
Brazil stands 1st in terms of high rates of violent crimes, such as murders and
robberies.
Other crimes like carjacking, express kidnapping, trafficking, domestic abuse, slavery
and internet hacking are also prevalent in Brazil.
A major problem is that the human rights are violated during capture and custody of
crime suspects.
34
Health
Based on the Human Development Report Brazil is a high developed country.
For Brazil the HDI is 0,800, which makes Brazil just a high developed country.
The infant mortality rate (IMR) is a major indicator for the health situation of a
country, because births are not affected by the population‘s age structure.
Sports:
The Brazilian people can be introduced as sports loving people. Most of the people
regularly follow and participate in veracious kinds of sports.
The most admired sport of Brazil is football. It can be said that football is in the blood
of Brazilian people and can be considered a cultural event.
Brazil is the only country which have participated in all the Football World Cups and
even won the tournament five times (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994 and 2002).
Brazil had around 5 million visitors in 2008, of which 82,000 from the Netherlands.
Therefore Brazil is 49th on the world ranking, direct revenues reached USF 5.78
billon.
Apart from football, Volleyball is also now becoming popular among the Brazilian
people.
Human
developme
nt index
(HDI)
value
Life
expectancy
at birth
(years)
Physicians
(per
100,000
people)
Population
using
improved
sanitation
(%)
Population
using an
improved
water
source (%)
Infant
mortality
rate (per
1,000 live
births)
Brazil
0,800 71,7 115 75 90 31
71,7 115 75 90 31
115
75
90
31
35
EDUCATION / KNOWLEDGE
Education
Education expenditures:
The principles or main beliefs for education in Brazil were established in the 1988 Brazilian
foundation, and it was decided that education is a right for all.
The education system is divided into 3 different categories; fundamental, intermediate
and higher education. Playgroup or preschooler education is added to this hierarchical
structure aiming to provide assistance to children below 7 years of age.
With the growth of the economy of the last years it is surprising, that the quality of
education is getting worse.
Following are some well-known universities of brazil and are ranked as follows:
Institution (Brazil) World Rank
University of Sao Paulo 196
University of Campinas 248
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro 334
Knowledge
Brazil is a leader in the export of oranges, sugarcane and coffee. It also exports other
important products like soy beans, rice, tobacco, bananas and cotton.
It can be said that Brazil has a fertile land where any crop can grow easily. Therefore
Brazil is well known for the agriculture.
Brazil‘s electricity consists for over 80% of hydro power and in the future there are
plans for constructing over 30 dams in the Amazon.
Language:
Portuguese is the official language, spoken by all but few lonely Amerindians, who
preserve their languages, and immigrants who have not yet gained expertise in
Portuguese.
There are no official regional dialects. Brazil is the only Portuguese-speaking country
in South America.
36
With respect to Private Equity
Brazil stands high in crime rate. There are many cases of Robbery and kidnapping .This
states that the laws are not implemented properly which leads to insecurity amongst the
investors regarding security of their investment.
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGICAL FACTOR
Large investments were made in the country's infrastructure for the production of
steel, machine tools, energy, communications, and transportation.
Some high-technology projects with expected voter spinoffs were started in atomic
energy, aeronautics, and space research.
Brazil's attempt to strengthen its scientific base involved international attention and
was considered an example of how a country might move from underdevelopment,
poverty, and international dependency to economic growth, better living standards,
and self-sufficiency.
The investments in science and technology of the previous years were not sufficient to
fight off the coming debt crisis and uncontrolled inflation.
The crisis resulted from a combination of factors, including the outdated pattern of
domestic economic growth through import-substitution industrialization, the increase
in international interest rates and oil prices, and the unexpected increase in public
expenditures resulting from transfer of government and extensive investment.
Modern science and technology are products of Western culture and tradition and are
not transposed easily to other societies and cultures.
A relationship between Brazil and the Asian countries indicate important differences
in the two experiences and possible explanations for the different outcomes of their
science and technology policies.
With respect to private Equity
As the investment in technology is not sufficient, there is a large scope for private equity
players to provide the funding require for developing the technological environment within
the country. Such environment will help to generate innovations within the country.
37
ENVIRONMENTAL AND LEGAL FACORS OF BRAZIL
Deforestation
Deforestation has been a major source of pollution, biodiversity loss, and greenhouse
emissions worldwide, but deforestation has been Brazil‘s prime cause of
environmental and ecological ruin.
Recent policy
Brazil's National Institute for Space Research (INPE) has helped reduce deforestation
over the course of 2011 through its Real Time Deforestation Detection System.
The Government is taking strict measures to efficiently enforce its deforestation
reduction policy through closing down illegal sawmills and stopping illegal timber
and vehicles.
Brazilian governmental tax policies, tax incentive systems, rules of land allocation,
and the agricultural credit system, not only harm the environment, but also ―reduce
the chances of the poor to become farmers".
This structure harms the small, poor farmer, since the low tax rate level becomes
capitalized into the price of land, reflected in high land prices, making it loss-making
for the poor farmers of Brazil. This forces them to move into the Amazon in search of
cheap, unclaimed land, following to the rules of land allocation that indirectly
encourage deforestation.
Interest rates on loans for agriculture purpose are lower than those for non-agricultural
sectors. The system of credit goes beyond harming the environment, as it encourages
mechanization and technological updating which reduces employment. The extent of
break down to the environment, and more particularly the Amazon, is hard to
measure, but it is true that it does increase deforestation rates.
Desertification
Desertification means that the soils and vegetation of dry lands are badly degraded,
not essentially that land turns into desert.
Expert environmental agencies were formed at the federal level and in some states,
and many national parks and reserves were set up.
38
National environmental policy
The primary aim of this policy is to form standards that make sustainable
development possible, using mechanisms and instruments that are capable of ensuring
more protection for the environment.
The NEP involves many environmental issues, including the specification of standards,
licensing, environmental impact assessments, special areas for preservation, incentives for
cleaner production, etc.
Pollution
Air pollution
Brazil the only area of the world which broadly utilizes ethanol, air quality issues in
Brazil relate more to ethanol emissions.
About 40% of fuel consumed in Brazilian vehicles sourced from ethanol, air pollution
in Brazil differs from that of other nations where predominately petroleum or natural
gas-based fuels are used.
Atmospheric concentrations of acetaldehyde, ethanol and possibly nitrogen oxides are
higher in Brazil than most other parts of the world due to their emissions being high in
vehicles using ethanol fuels
Water pollution
Water pollution is also resulting from ethanol production.
The major problem related with land taxes is how land use is defined. Basically, the
more the land is used, the less it is burdened by tax.
Imprecise forest land is considered unused, resulting in higher taxes. If that land were
cleared for no reason, taxes would reduce.
Land and income taxes effect deforestation highly, but other parts of the tax system
such as capital gains and commodity taxes, seems to have had no effect on
deforestation. Some particular tax breaks exist at the local level that encourages
unsustainable forest use, but overall these taxes were relatively benign.
39
Legal factors of Brazil
Fiscal crisis
Brazil felt the financial crisis at its most at the end of 2008 and industry was affected
highly. Yet the situation began to recover in the second quarter of 2009.
It‘s GDP reduced by 2.9% in 2008 and by 0.9% in the first quarter of 2009. After that
period, the economy returned to growth. This is much more better than in the
developed countries and far better than in countries such as Russia and Mexico .
The minimum leverage requirement of the banks is 11%, higher than the 8% ratio
usually suggested by the Basel agreements.
Graph1. Capital/asset ratio of the 50 largest Brazil banks (%)
The country recently received an investment grade, which consolidated the capital
inflow and foreign exchange reserves, reaching US$197 billion in October 2008.
Foreign debt continued to reduce, standing at US$214 billion by the end of 2008.
Public debt also reduced to just US$67 billion and the National Treasury, after a long
period of time, and hence was no longer a foreign debtor but become a creditor
40
Graph : Evolution of foreign debt (US$ billion)
Therefore, the depreciation of the Brazilian real would not lead, to any type of fiscal
pressure on the government. On the contrary, the resulting foreign exchange gains led
to a reduction of the debt primarily.
Brazil experienced the financial crisis most strongly at the end of 2008 and industry
was particularly affected as it was distinguished in three ways.
First was, exports of manufactured goods reduced significantly during the last quarter
of that year, by approximately 37%.
The problem that the Brazilian exporter faced was a major drop in sales to emerging
countries, i.e., the main customers of its industrial sector that mainly specialized in
medium-technology products. .
Secondly, in addition to the shrinkage, as in the rest of the world, US$ funding for
exports was severely punched. As the Brazilian real was devalued by more than 30%
over the last months of 2008, companies were badly affected and some went into
bankruptcy.
Even though the crisis, the real personal income overall grew by 2.2% between
October 2008 and January 2009. Retail trade continued its positive trend and ended
the year with an estimated growth of 5.6%.
41
With respect private equity
Brazil‘s complicated tax system and its restrictive labour laws make it vital for the
parties to involve experienced financial and legal advisors who can help them work
through these issues.In general terms, Brazil‘s legal and regulatory environment is
well suited to supporting private equity deal structures.
In particular, that financial and securities laws and regulations are generally modern,
clear and stable. generally accepted that the referred regulatory arrangements have
prevented major impacts to the national economy during the 2008 financial crisis.
Accordingly, the Brazilian judiciary system is slow and, in several instances, has
generated unpredictable decisions. To a certain extent, related to the immaturity of the
Brazilian private equity industry. Specifically, since there are no consolidated
precedents referring most of issues involved in such sector, market participants are
not able to anticipate how certain rules are to be interpreted and applied in concrete
circumstances. foreign exchange regulation can be considered another pitfall, since it
is unstable and often obscure. Finally, intellectual property rights protection is
negatively affected due to inefficiencies in bureaucratic processes.
42
Chapter 3
Conceptual Framework of Private
Equity
43
3.1 MEANING OF PRIVATE EQUITY
Private equity organizations are partnership specializing in venture capital, leverage buyouts,
mezzanine investments (which combine debt and equity contract characteristics), build-ups,
distressed debt, and other related investments. Typically private equity and venture capital
firms are frequently labeled as ‗financial sponsors‘. Private equity includes both organized
as well as unorganized market, the previous being referred to as the professional
management of investments in unregistered securities of private firms and to a certain extent
the public firms also while the later refers to as unregistered securities being sold to
institutional investors and qualified individuals.
The European Private Equity and Venture Capital Association defines private equity as ―any
equity investment in a company which is not quoted on a stock exchange‖. Private equity
can be used to develop new products and technologies, to expand working capital, to make
acquisition, or to strengthen a company‘s balance sheet. It can also resolve ownership issues
and management issues.
Private equity had started in order for financing young industrial firms, as a result of which
significant capital was required in improve growth and provide sufficient funds. These
companies have important intangible and limited tangible assets, they expect a period of
negative earnings and their prospects are uncertain. Private equity organizations finance the
high risk situations of companies and they expect high returns at the later stage. They conduct
due diligence before making any investment regarding business, financial, legal and
regulatory framework, and environmental issues applicable for the company, in order to
protect the value of their equity investments.
Usually private equity investors do not mainly invest their own capital, but rather raise the
majority of their funds from institutions and high net worth individuals.
44
3.2. PROCESS OF PRIVATE EQUITY
Stages Company
Company And
Private Equity
Firm
Private Equity
Firm
Approach the
Private Equity
Firm/ Evaluate
the Business
Plan
1. Appoint
Advisers
2. Prepare
Business Plan
3. Contact Private
Equity firms
Review Business
Plan
Initial Enquiries
and Negotiations
Provide
additional
information
1. Meet to discuss
Business Plan
2. Build relationship
3. Negotiate outline
Terms
1. Conduct initial
enquiries
2. Value the
business
3. Consider
financing
Structure
Due Diligence Disclose all the
relevant
information/
Documents
1. Liaise with
accountants
2. Liaise with other
external consultants
Initiate external
Due Diligence
Final
Negotiation/
Completion
1. Liaise with
Legal Advisers
2. Liaise with
Consultants
1. Negotiate final
terms
2. Document
constitution and
voting rights
Draw up
completion
Documentation
Monitoring and
Exit
1. Provide Periodic
Management
Accounts
2. Communicate
regularly with
Investors
1. Monitor
investment
2. Constructive
Input
3. Involvement in
major decisions
45
3.3 Start and Development of the Private Equity Industry
Private equity industry has developed since World War II at the same time in the United
States and in Europe, though the level and speed of its development since then different
significantly on the two continents. The origins of the modern private equity industry outline
back to 1946 with the formation of the first venture capital firms. It was not until after World
War II that what is measured today to be true private equity investments began to emerge
marked by the founding of the first two venture capital firms in 1946: American Research
and Development Corporation (ARDC) and J.H. Whitney & company.
The thirty-five year period from 1946 through the end of the 1970s was characterized by
comparatively small volumes of private equity investment, undeveloped firm organizations
and limited knowledge of and familiarity with the private equity industry.
The second half of the 1970s and the first years of the 1980s saw the appearance of several
private equity firms that would be survive through the various cycles both in leveraged
buyouts and venture capital. Among the firms founded during these years were:
• The Cinvan a European buyout firm, founded in 1977.
• Forstmann Little & Company one of the largest private equity firms through the end
of the 1990s, founded in 1978 by Ted Forstmann , Nick Forstmann and Brian Little.
• The company Clayton, Dubilier & Rice found originally as Clayton & Dubliner, in
1978.
• The company Welsh, Carson, Anderson & Stowe was founded by Pat Welsh, Russ
Carson, Bruce Anderson and Richard Stowe in 1979.
• Candover , one of the earliest European buyout firms, founded in 1980.
• The company like GTCR and Thoma Cressey (originally Golder Thoma & Cressey,
later Golder Thoma Cressey & Rauner) founded in 1980 by Golder , who built the
private equity program at Fist Chicago Corporation that backed by the Fedral Express.
46
The 1982 to 1993 first private equity phase
During 1980-90 is perhaps more closely associated with the leveraged buyout than any other
time in past. For the first time, the public became aware of the ability of private equity to
affect majority companies and "corporate raiders" and "hostile takeovers" entered the public
alertness. The decade would see one of the largest booms in private equity culminating in the
1989 leveraged buyout of RJR Nabisco, which would supremacy as the largest leveraged
buyout transaction for nearly 17 years. In 1980, the private equity industry would raise
approximately $2.4 billion of annual investor commitments and by the end of the decade in
1989 that figure stood at $21.9 billion marking the fabulous growth experienced.
The beginning of the first boom period in private equity would be marked by the well-
publicized success of the Gibson Greetings acquisition in 1982
In January 1982, Mr. William Simon who was former US Secretary of the Treasury, and a
group of investors, which would later famous as Wesray Capital co., acquired Gilbson
greetings, Who produce greeting cards. The purchase price for Gibson was $80 million, of
which only $1 million was rumored to have been contributed by the investors. By mid-1983,
just sixteen months after the original deal, Gibson completed a $290 million IPO and Simon
made around $66 million. Simon and Wesray would later complete the $71.6 million
acquisition of Atlas Van Lines. The success of the Gibson Greetings investment attracted the
attention of the media to the emerging boom in leveraged buyouts.
As there was high leverage in the transactions in 1980s, the deals failed regularly, but as there
was attractiveness of returns, successful investments attracted more capital. As there was
increased leveraged buyout activity and investor interest, private equity firms increased
Among the major firms founded in this period were:
Bain Capital
Chemical Venture Partners,
Hellman & Friedman
Hicks & Hass (later it was known as Hick Muse Tate & Furst)
The Blackstone Group
Doughty Hanson
BC partners
The Carlyle Group
47
Additionally, as the market developed, new niches within the private equity industry began to
emerge. In 1982,Venture Capital Fund of America the first private equity firm focused on
acquiring secondary market interests in existing private equity funds was founded and the
first private equity firm named First Reserve Corporation focused on the energy sector, was
founded in 1984.
The Corporate raiders, hostile takeovers and greenmail
A corporate raid typically featured a leveraged buyout that involved a hostile takeover of the
company, which had perceived asset stripping, major layoffs or other significant corporate
restructuring activities. Management of many large publicly traded corporations reacted
negatively to the threat of potential hostile takeover or corporate raid and undertook
defensive measures including poison pills, golden parachutes and increasing debt levels on
the company‘s balance-sheet. The threat of the corporate raid lead to the practice of
"greenmail", where a corporate raider or other party acquired a significant stake in the stock
of a company and received an incentive payment from the company in order to avoid a
hostile takeover of the company. Greenmail represented a transfer payment from a company's
existing shareholders to a third party investor and provided no value to existing shareholders
but did benefit existing managers.
The second private equity phase and the beginning of a modern private
equity 1993-2002
Beginning approximately in 1992, three years after the RJR Nabisco buyout, and ongoing
through the end of the decade the private equity industry once again experienced a
tremendous boom, both in venture capital (as will be discussed below) and leveraged buyouts
with the appearance of brand name firms managing multi-billion dollar sized funds. After
declining from 1990 through 1992, the private equity industry began to increase in size
raising approximately $20.8 billion of investor commitments in 1992 and reaching a high
water mark in 2000 of $305.7 billion, outpacing the growth of almost every other asset class.
New start of leveraged buyouts
In 1980s there were corporate raids, hostile takeovers, asset stripping, layoffs, plant closings
and outsized profits to investors. Private equity began to earn a new degree of legality and
respectability. Many of the acquisitions were made in 1980 which were unsolicited and
unwelcome, so private equity firms in the 1990s focused on making buyouts attractive
propositions for the management as well as the shareholders. Big companies that were once
not ready at an approach from a private-equity firm are now pleased to do business with
48
them. Additionally, private equity investors increased their focus on the long term
development of companies they acquired, using less leverage in the acquisition. In the 1980s
leverage would routinely represent 85% to 95% of the purchase price of a company as
compared to average debt levels between 20% and 40% in leveraged buyouts in the 1990s
and the first decade of the 21st century. In addition, private equity firms increased
investments in capital expenditures and provided incentives for management in order to
build long-term value.
The bursting of the Internet Bubble and the private equity crash (2000 to 2003)
The NASDAQ crashed and there was a technology slump in March 2000. This shook the
entire venture capital industry as the valuations for startup technology companies collapsed.
As a result, many venture firms wrote-off their large proportions of their investments and
many funds had their the values below the amount of capital invested. Venture capital
investors reduced size of commitments they had made to venture capital funds and in
numerous instances, investors sought to unload existing commitments for cents on the dollar
in the secondary market. Total venture capital investments were during 2003 through the
second quarter of 2005.
The third private equity phase and the Golden Age of Private Equity
during 2003-2007
As 2003-2007 time is known as golden age for private equity. Almost two and half years
before 2003 private equity sector reel huge losses in telecommunications and technology
companies. After 2003, in next five years private equity recovered and resulted in
completion of 13 of the 15 largest leveraged buyout transactions which is unique or highest
level of investment activity and investor commitments and a huge expansion and maturation
of leading private equity firms or institutions.
Due to important factors like combination of decreasing interest rates, loosening lending
standards and regulatory changes for publicly traded companies lead the private equity for the
largest boom in history had ever seen. For the first time, many large corporations saw private
equity ownership more potentially more attractive than remaining public. The increased
fulfillment costs would make it nearly impossible for venture capitalists to bring young
companies to the public markets and dramatically reduced the opportunities for exits via IPO.
Instead, venture capitalists have been forced increasingly to rely on sales to strategic buyers
for an exit of their investment.
49
In 2002, decrease in interest rates reduces the cost of borrowing and due to that capacity of
private equity firms increase to finance large acquisitions. Lower interest rates encourage
investors to go back to comparatively dormant high yield debt secured loan markets, making
debt easily available to finance buyouts. Besides that substitute investment also increase
significantly due to investors had focus on yield instead of risk, so this higher yielding
investments search of investor‘s lead larger funds and it converted in larger deals, and that
looking like impossible turn in to reality.
In 2002-2003, Europe where finance were easily available for certain buyouts. Like in year
2001 Apex partners and Hicks company purchased international yellow pages directories
business from BT Group for £2.14 billion which made it largest non-corporate LBO in
Europe. Later Yell bought US directories publisher McLeod USA for about $600 million, and
floated on London's FTSE in 2003.
The Credit Crunch and post-modern private equity (2007 – 2008)
In July 2007, the credit markets had been affected by turmoil spilled over into the leveraged
finance high-yield debt markets. The markets were seemed to highly healthy during the first
six months of 2007, because of extremely issuer friendly developments (like payable in Kind)
and huge availability of finance for large leveraged buyouts. Month of July and August saw
a notable slowdown in issuance levels in the high yield and leveraged loan markets with only
few issuers accessing the market. Such uncertain market situation lead to slowdown which
leads companies to led plans to issue debt on hold until the autumn. By the end of September,
the full quantity of the credit situation became obvious as major lenders (including Citygroup
and UBS AG) announced major write-down due to credit losses. That made leveraged
finance markets almost idle. The sudden change in the market resulted that buyer‘s starts
withdraw from or renegotiate the deals completed at the top of the market, most remarkable
transactions involved:
Harman International (announced and withdrawn 2007)
Sallie Mae (announced 2007 and withdrawn 2008)
Clear Channel communications (2007)
BCE (2007)
Additionally, the credit crunch also encouraged buyout firms to follow a new group of
transactions in order to organize their massive investment funds. These transactions have
included PIPE transactions as well as purchases of debt in existing leveraged buyout
transactions. Some of the most notable of these transactions completed in the depths of the
50
credit crunch include Apollo Management‘s acquisition of the City group Loan Portfolio
(2008) and TPG Capital‘s PIPE investment in Washington Mutual (2008).
The 2008-20011 Latest Private Equity phase
Let‘s start with evaluation of 2010, a mixed year in many respects. From 2009, deal making
start to recover, with plenty of dry powder, good-quality assets and available credit laying a
foundation for higher levels of investment. During that time, inflated asset prices driven by
high public-market comparables, intense competition and sellers‘ sticky price expectations
prevented many transactions from reaching end. In fund-raising, the news almost across the
globe was poor, as new capital raised hit, and repeated low. While this was expected certain
the lag effect of limited partners‘ (LPs) funding commitments. The weak exit root for private
equity market was seemed to very defficult throughout the first three quarters of 2010 and it
remains continued for fund-raising in 2011. Here we can hope for a fundraising recovery
arrived in the 2012 as exit markets opened up with better conditions ahead. Returns also
rebounded, but the lack of liquidity overall for 2010 left many LPs scratch their heads about
the true value of their PE holdings.
As looking at 2011 international PE markets must take into account not only the incompatible
forces at work in 2010, it also the continued weakness of the global economic recovery and
credit markets. Market indicators undoubtedly point that PE activity would be stronger across
the board in 2011: More deals will be consummated, more deals exited, with high returns.
Researchers also firmly believe that the credit crunch of 2008 and the Great Recession have
unleashed forces that will basically change the PE industry over the next decade. Private
equity has long been a cyclical business—whether driven by conglomerate breakup values
and junk bonds in the 1980s, growing multiples on the back of strong equity markets in the
1990s or credit market-enabled multiple expansion in the early 2000s. Whatever the cause,
there has always been a healthy market beta driving returns along. Researchers believe that
future PE returns would be shaped more by alpha. Most of what can be called alpha will be
created by four interconnected factors:
Having a well clear PE strategy
Professionalizing organizations and positioning them to win
creating truly proprietary investment theses supported by accurate due diligence; and,
very critically
Building real, repeatable value-creation processes that run through the life cycle of an
investment partnership.
51
3.4 DEVELOPMENT OF PRIVATE EQUITY IN BRAZIL
Brazil has developed into the major market for private equity in Latin America, accounting
for more than Mexico and Argentina combined. In 2010, total PE investments in the country
were US$4.6 billion,3 representing 69% of the Latin American PE industry. Brazil is today
the most attractive emerging market for private equity investments.
The PE industry has benefitted from positive macroeconomic developments in the country.
Over past 15 years, Brazil had political stability, and a strict monetary policy and finally
controlled inflation, creating a kind investment climate. Also during that time, capital markets
have expanded, there were improvements in corporate governance and minority shareholder
protection, which provided a viable exit route for PE investors.
Today economic conditions are favourable for the growth of the Brazilian PE industry. The
emerging middle class, eager to benefit from ever-increasing disposable income and credit
availability, is boosting internal consumption of a broad range of products, from food to
government-subsidized housing, making Brazil one of the leading consumer markets
worldwide. The Brazilian government is stimulating this growth, mainly by means of large
investments in infrastructure, including the World Cup in 2014 and the Olympic Games in
2016. Other sectors such as commodities and energy will continue to play an important role
in the continued growth of GDP, backed by solid internal and external consumer markets.
First Steps (1994-2000)
The initial conditions for the growth of the private equity market in Brazil emerged in the
wake of the Plano Real. Launched in 1994, this economic plan focused on shoring up the
Real as a stable currency, controlling inflation through interest rates, and initially fixing
the exchange rate. Previous periods of hyperinflation and political instability had
prevented most investors from acquiring privately held assets. Capital liberalization in
the 1990s was another important milestone that resulted in increasing competition from
foreign companies, underlining the need for local companies to improve productivity.
The government also contributed to the emergence of the PE industry in Brazil by
privatizing inefficient state owned companies in several sectors during the early 1990s.
This attracted private equity investments into the country, such as the acquisition of ALL
(the largest private railway in Brazil) and Telemar (one of the largest telecommunication
companies) by PE funds in the 90s. The early years of the private equity industry saw
increasing activity among major Brazilian banks, the emergence of local independent
firms, and a number of uncertain forays by international funds. These players invested in
52
many different sectors and in companies at different stages, ranging from large scale
privatizations to internet start-ups.
During the mid- 90s, low valuations and emerging markets attracted investors promising
outstanding returns. At the end of 1998, the PE industry in Brazil were able to raise US$
3.7 billion as investment into the country.
But due to the Asian and the Russian crisis, investors were reminded abouth the political
and economic risks , due to which they were pulling back their capital from emerging to
developed economies. In 1999, there were major currency deflations in Brazil and there
was also sharp increase in the interest rates, in order to control the inflation, these all had
a bad effect on the real economy. As a result of this fund managers could not meet the
expectations of investors as they poorly performed, and thus they left the markets as they
could no longer raise capital.
Brazilian Private Equity Shake-Out (2001-2004)
In the early 2000s, Brazil went through a period of macroeconomic uncertainty when it
could no longer attract capital, with the Asian crisis still lingering most of the emerging
economies. The terrorist attacks of September 11 2001 had a strong impact on financial
markets and investments globally. The election of leftwing candidate Luis Inácio Lula da
Silva as president encouraged investor concerns that the previous monetary policies,
including inflation targets and primary surplus control, would be discontinued. During
2002, the exchange rate to the dollar reached more than 3.5 and interest rates soared to
24.9%.
Private equity fund raising went as a result of the macroeconomic environment and
disappointing returns from previous vintages. Funds struggled to raise capital.
International players pulled back investments and several left the country, while
independent local players started to fill the gap. As competition dwindled, most of the
deals were done at low multiples. Exits from PE investments were only possible via sales
to strategic players, as the capital markets in Brazil were still in their early years.
Despite this adversity, the period was marked by several important regulatory measures
that established the basis for the future development of the PE industry. In 2002, there
were new norms that allowed local pension funds to allocate part of their funds to
alternative investments, such as private equity. This created an important source of
domestic funding as Brazilian pension funds would grow to about US$342 billion in
assets under management by 2010. In 2003, the Fundo de Investimentos em
53
Participações, allowed PE firms to increase fund raising and investors to arrange capital
through a less risky, more transparent and tax-efficient instrument. Corporate governance
and the protection of minority shareholders in Brazil were also improved during this
period.
Private Equity Matures (2005- 2010)
From 2005, there was favorable macro-economic environment, due to falling interest
rates, inflation under control, and no sign of political instability. Market concerns about
President Lula‘s policies proved to be overly pessimistic as he maintained the previous
government‘s economic power, while boosting income distribution policies. Political
stability was enhanced after his re-election in 2006. The positive momentum for Brazil
culminated with its upgrade by S&P to investment grade (in 2008/ 09), which prompted
a massive capital inflow to the country.
The middle class increased spending, which boosted the growth in the sectors from real
estate to consumer goods. Credit availability increased which led to consumption boom,
as credit penetration increased from 25% in 2005 to 44% of GDP in 2009.
There was positive economic climate which benefited the entire PE cycle: attracting
investment, deploying capital, exiting investments and generating returns. Starting in
2005, fund raising resumed on a large scale, the pace of investment accelerated and funds
started exiting their investments, some through the capital markets.
The global financial crisis of 2008/09 did affect the PE industry in Brazil negatively, but
to a much lesser extent than in the developed and most other emerging countries. Thanks
to Brazil‘s flexible and favorable macroeconomic fundamentals, PE development was
halted for only a short period of time. Despite a slight decrease in fund raising in 2009,
billion-dollar funds were still being raised, for example GP Investments‘ US$1.4 billion
fund in 2008 and Advent International‘s US$1.65 billion fund in 2010. Yet while
investors continued to deploy capital in the country, they did so at a reduced pace,
instead focusing their attention on managing portfolio companies.
However, by 2010 PE investments in Brazil had improved even beyond pre-crisis levels,
the PE firms‘ regained confidence in the country‘s fundamentals and favorable outlook.
As a result, the PE industry resumed its activity, reaching a record level of US$10.5
billion invested in the Country.
54
3.5 Current Status of Private Equity in Brazil
Currently there are around 150 private equity institutions operating in Brazil. This number
has increased rapidly during the past few years due to the growth of the local economy and
the arrival of large international funds.
The private equity funds active in Brazil can be divided into two large groups according to
their origins:
(i) local funds, (ii) international funds.
The first group is comparatively limited in number, but large in terms of assets under
management (AUM). According to a PwC Survey, 58% of total assets under management
for private equity in Brazil were raised by local funds. These funds were mainly
established during the 90s and the beginning of the 2000s, and survived the economic crises
and changes that Brazil went through during this period. When Lula da Silva took office in
2003, most of the international funds that had once dominated the PE industry had already
left Brazil, as a result of which local funds prospered both in terms of fund raising and new
investments.
A relevant subgroup of the local funds, which was established relatively recently (around
2008), are institutional-backed funds, consisting of PE firms associated with large financial
institutions such as investment and commercial banks. The main players in this segment
are Bradesco-Espirito Santo, Kinea-Itau and BTG Pactual. These firms were established
to take advantage of the strong growth of the private equity industry in Brazil over the last
few years and to leverage the multiple business relationships that their parent banks
maintained with Brazilian companies. But, this subgroup generally deployed capital at a
slower speed than the other players, because their private equity business divisions are still
growing.
The international funds include well-known institutions such as Actis, Advent International,
Apax Partners, Carlyle and General Atlantic. With the exception of Advent International,
these funds entered Brazil very recently, establishing local offices during the third phase of
development of the industry, mainly after 2008. These have support from parent companies
in terms of fund raisind as well as operating expertise. But as they are relative newcomers,
they lack the breadth and depth of the connections of local players.
55
3.6 Private Equity Scenario in India
Risk Capital Foundation id the first VC-PE firm to start operations in India in 1975. During
1976-1995, domestic financial institutions like Industrial Finance Corporation of India
(IFCI), Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI), and Industrial Credit and Investment
Corporation of India (ICICI Bank) were some of the few private organizations that provided
any Venture Capital or Private Equity capital, and the actual investment made by them was
also insignificant. During the period 1996-2000, several international and domestic VC and
PE firms raised capital internationally and started investing tiny amounts in India.
The total investment in India made by these firms was only US $20 million in 1996 and US
$80 million in 1997. Even though PE-VC investment was only $20 million in 1996 and $80
million in 1997, the pace of growth was very healthy largely due to the worldwide dot-com
boom. Unfortunately, because this growth was driven by of the dot-com bubble, it came
crashing down soon after NASDAQ lost 60% of its value in 2000 – for example, the total
number of deals went down from 280 in 2000 to 110 in 2001 – and this investment reached
its low point both in the number of deals and total value in 2003. From 2003 onwards, India‘s
economy started growing at 8% to 9% annually in real terms and at 13% to 15% in nominal
terms (including inflation), and since some sectors (the services sector and the high-end
manufacturing sector) started growing at 10% to 14% a year in real terms and 15% to 20% in
nominal terms, VC-PE firms started investing again in 2004. They invested US $1.65 billion
in 2004, surpassing the investment of $1.16 billion in 2000 by 42%. The table below shows
the number and value of deals in India during the period from 1996 to 2006.
Number and Value of Deals (in million US $)
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Number
of Deals
280 110 78 56 71 146 299 470 450 270 300 454
Value
of Deals
($)
1160 937 591 470 1650 2183 7460 13000 11000 4000 8150 9400
Sources: Evalueserve, IVCA and Venture Intelligence India
56
In the last two decades, there were many economic reforms and general ways of doing
business improved, which has helped to increase the growth in India. There has been
globalization as a result of which the economy has improved and there will be many global
transactions in future.
India has never welcomed foreign companies. As a result of restrictions on ownership, red
tape and many other barriers, it was difficult for retail giants and banks to have a grip in one
of the fastest growing economies. But the story is not so with foreign private equity.
Foreign private-equity investments in Indian companies doubled to $2.2 billion in 2005 from
the previous year, then increased in the first nine months of 2006 to $5.4 billion. And unlike
South Korea and Japan, where foreign private-equity groups have been called as "vultures,"
they have been welcomed in India--even after scoring big profits.
At first, foreign private equity chased India's IT and outsourcing boom. But now there are
also opportunities in everything from finance to pharmaceuticals. Rising corporate
profitability--the profits of listed companies have been growing 20% to 30% annually. And
although the average deal size in 2005 was only $21 million, compared with $163 million in
South Korea, the investments are getting larger. Last April, TPG New Bridge put $100
million into Shriram, making it one of the largest and best-capitalized truck-finance
57
companies in India. In October, Providence Equity Partners, another U.S. private-equity firm,
bought 16% of Idea Cellular, an Indian wireless company, for $400 million. Singapore's
government-owned Temasek Holdings has also invested heavily, buying a 9.9% stake in Tata
Teleservices for about $300 million, the first time the $21.9 billion Tata Group has brought in
a private-equity investor.
At the BSE foreign funds have also made money, where SENSEX went from 3000 to 13000
in four years. It is assumed that it was easy to make money earlier, but now it is tougher
through the private equity route. There are many potential firms for private equity
investments, but they are turning towards the public markets, because the offer higher
valuations. The new funds which are coming in India, may not be having a long term and
growth building horizons. The period of investments will become shorter as funds are aiming
at flipping their investments, instead of aiming at building up companies, and this could spoil
the attractiveness of the private equity concept.
But now, as the economy of India is improving and there are steady growth projections, there
seems to be more attractiveness for the private equity concept.
Stages of Private Equity
The stages of Private Equity Market are as follows.
CATEGORY DEFINITION
Seed
Financing
Providing small sums of capital necessary to develop a business idea.
Start-up
financing
Providing capital required for product development and initial marketing
activities.
First-stage Financing the commercialization and production of products.
Second-stage Providing working capital funding and required financing for young firms
during a first growth period.
Third-stage Financing the expansion of growth companies.
Bridge
financing
Last financing round prior to an initial public offering of a company.
Source: RATT(1981)
58
PE Investments by stage: 2010 (Table-10)
STAGE OF COMPANY NO. OF DEALS AMOUNT (US$M)
Early stage 59 236
Growth Stage 42 393
Late Stage 104 3663
PIPE 61 1314
Buyout 11 1125
Others 22 769
Late stage and PIPE deals accounted for around 70% of overall value of PE
transactions (PIPE: Banking, pharma and auto componenets)
No. of PE Deals according to Stage of Company
Value of Deals according to Stage of Company
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Early stage
Growth Stage
Late Stage PIPE Buyout Others
NO
. OF
DEA
LS
STAGE OF COMPANY
NO. OF DEALS
NO. OF DEALS
59
As it is evident from the table and graph that Private equity is majorly used for late stage
financing almost 50%, such financing suggest that most of the firms use Private equity to
bridge the gap that is require for going for IPO.
The graph shows that private equity is the least used during the early stage and the growth
stage. Though the number of deals in the early and the growth stage are more than incurred
for the buyout and other purposes, yet in value this shows a reverse picture.
We can also see that Private equity for the purpose of buyout is not used because Private
equity in buyout terms to be very costly as well as risky.
3%
5%
49%18%
15%
10%
AMOUNT (US$M)
Early stage
Growth Stage
Late Stage
PIPE
Buyout
Others
60
Chapter 4
Comparison of PE Investment In
India and Brazil
61
Comparative analysis between private equity investments in India and
brazil
4.1 Private equity investment in India (Table-11)
Year 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Number
of Deals
280 110 78 56 71 146 299 470 450 270 300 454
Value of
Deals ($)
1160 937 591 470 1650 2183 7460 13000 11000 4000 8150 9400
(Graph-8)
P.E funding across the world is largely driven by U.S Economy there by any changed in U.S
economy has direct influence in the Private equity investment in India.
We can see during 2000 the private equity investment in India was 1160 million but it went
down in 2001 due to 9/11 attacks and further recession in the us economy kept it down till
2003, but us economy revived in 2004 so as private equity investment in India. It reached its
pick during 2007 but once again the us economy was suffered from recession which kept the
Private equity investment down during 2009.
1160 937 591 470
16502183
7460
13000
11000
4000
8150
9400
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
MIL
LIO
N
$
VALUE OF DEALS (MILLION $)
VALUE OF DEALS (MILLION $)
62
4.2 Private equity investment In Brazil (Table-12)
Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
PE
investment
(million $) 474 1342 5285 1983 2332 10544 10330
Graph-9
as we have seen earlier also, private equity investment is largely driven by changes in the
fazes of U.S economy. Private equity investment in brazil is showing an increasing trend
from 2005 till 2007. But recession during 2008 and 2009 in u.s kept the investment low. But
it once again revived in 2010 and 2011.
.
4741342
5285
1983 2332
10544 10330
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
MIL
LIO
N
$
YEARS
PE investment (million $)
PE investment (million $)
63
4.3 COMPARISION OF PE INVESTMENT IN INDIA AND BRAZIL
(Table-13)
Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
PE investment
in Brazil
(million $)
474 1342 5285 1983 2332 10544 10330
PE investment
in India
(million $)
2183 7460 13000 11000 4000 8150 9400
Graph-10
This chart shows very interesting scenario between two countries. From the year 2005-2009
private equity investment in India is very high as compare to brazil but from 2009 onwards
private equity investment in brazil has overtaken India. And in coming year it is also
expected to be higher than india.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
4741342
5285
1983 2332
10544 10330
2183
7460
13000
11000
4000
8150
9400
MIL
LIO
N
$
YEARS
Comparitive analysis
PE investment in Brazil (million $)
PE investment in India (million $)
64
4.4 Forecasting of opportunities for private Equity investment in
India using Regression Analysis
Regression Analysis
Regression analysis is a statistical technique with the help of which the functional
relationship between two variables can be established and which helps us in estimating the
unknown value of one variable for a known value of other variable
Usage
Regression analysis is here used for predicting the future value of the Private equity deals on
the basis of past data. We can predict the future value using the following formula
Y=a+B(x)
Where
Y= Dependant variable(Investment in P.E)
a =intercept (which remains constant)
B(x)= Independent variable
Prospect of Private Equity Investment in India
Year PE investment in
India (million $)
2000 1160
2001 937
2002 591
2003 470
2004 1650
2005 2183
2006 7460
2007 13000
2008 11000
2009 4000
2010 8150
2011 9400
Here we have derived regression line using MS excel,
A=-1898100
B=948.9406
Y=-1898100+948.9406(x)
65
Prediction about Future P.E investment in India (Table-14)
Year a b X PE investment in India (million
$)
2012 -1898100.209 948.941 2012 11169
2013 -1898100.209 948.941 2013 12118
2014 -1898100.209 948.941 2014 13067
2015 -1898100.209 948.941 2015 14016
2016 -1898100.209 948.941 2016 14965
Graph-11
From the above chart that, we can expect an increasing trend of private equity investment in
India . It is expected to increase to 14964.847(million) in the year 2016 from 9400(million) in
2011. So we can expect a growth of 60 % in the private equity investment during next 5
years.
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PE investment in India (million $)
PE investment in India (million $)
66
4.5 Forecasting of opportunities for private Equity investment in
Brazil using Regression Analysis
Year PE investment in
Brazil (million $)
2005 474
2006 1342
2007 5285
2008 1983
2009 2332
2010 10544
2011 10330
Above table has been derived using MS excel, from the above table we can get
A=- -3223893
b= 1607.821
Y=-3223893+1607(x)
Prediction about Future P.E investment in Brazil (Table-15)
Year A b X PE investment in Brazil
(million $)
2012 -3223893 1607.821 2012 11043
2013 -3223893 1607.821 2013 12651
2014 -3223893 1607.821 2014 14258
2015 -3223893 1607.821 2015 15866
2016 -3223893 1607.821 2016 17474
Graph-12
02000400060008000
100001200014000160001800020000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PE investment in Brazil (million $)
PE investment in Brazil (million $)
67
We can also expect an increasing trend in the private equity investment in Brazil. Private
equity in brazil in 2011 is 10330(million) and is expected to increase to 17474.136 in the year
2016. There by we can expect an immense growth of 70 % in the private equity investment
during next 5 years.
4.6 Comparison between India and Brazil (Table-16)
Year India Brazil
2012 11169 11043
2013 12118 12651
2014 13067 14258
2015 14016 15866
2016 14965 17474
Graph-13
From the above chart, we can see that during 2012 and 2013 in P.E investment in India and
Brazil is expected to remain at a same level but during next three years Private equity
investment in brazil is expected to grow faster than India due to fund requirement for FIFA
world cup 2014 and Olympic Games 2016.
1116912118
1306714016
14965
11043
12651
14258
15866
17474
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
20000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
India
Brazil
Expon. (Brazil)
68
4.6 Hypothesis Testing (T-test)
Ho: There is no significance difference in terms of private equity investment in brazil and
India.
H1: The opportunities for Private equity investment in Brazil are more than India.
Year India Brazil
2005 2183 474
2006 7460 1342
2007 13000 5285
2008 11000 1983
2009 4000 2332
2010 8150 10544
2011 9400 10330
Variable
1 Variable
2
Mean 7884.714 4612.857
Variance 14336426 18043843
Observations 7 7
Hypothesized Mean Difference 0
df 12
t Stat 1.521259
P(T<=t) one-tail 0.07705
t Critical one-tail 1.782288
P(T<=t) two-tail 0.1541
t Critical two-tail 2.178813
Tcal=1.521258
Ttab=1.782288
Because T cal =1.521258 is less than T tab=1.782288 so here we reject the null hypothesis
so we can say that the scope for private equity investment in brazil is more than india.
69
4.7 Major International Private Equity Organizations
The private equity industry in Brazil consists of the not only the local private equity firms but
it also consists of some international private equity firms operating in Brazil. The number of
funds has increased dramatically, with many international funds that had no previous
Brazilian ‗footprint‘ setting up local offices and bringing new investments strategies (such as
leveraged buyouts) to the country in the last two years. The international funds comprise
well-known institutions such as Actis, Advent International, Apax Partners, Carlyle and
General Atlantic. With the exception of Advent International, these funds entered Brazil very
recently, establishing local offices during the third phase of development of the industry,
mainly after 2008. They have broad support from their parent companies both in terms of
fund raising and operating expertise. Yet while they have strong brands, and highly capable
professionals recruited from leading investment banks and local fund managers, as relative
newcomers they still lack the breadth and depth of the connections of local players. At
present the international private equity firms contribution of 5% of the total
investments made by Private equity firms in Brazil.
There lies an opportunities for Indian private equity players to tap this undiscovered
market with huge potential.
1)Denham Capital
Denham Capital is a worldwide energy - and commodities focused private investment firm
with over $4.3 billion invested and committed capital. Denham Capital counts with an
integrated team of experienced investment professionals based in Boston MA, Houston TX,
Short Hills NJ, London UK and São Paulo, Brazil. Denham Capital invests across the capital
structure and across all stages of the corporate and asset lifecycle, from development projects
to mature, operating business. Denham Capital typically targets equity investments between
US$50 million to US$200 million.
Denham capital invested in following companies in Brazil:
Vulcan Power Company –Geothermal power
Mining Ventures Brazil –mining and metals
1) Darby overseas investments
Darby — the private equity arm of Franklin Templeton Investments — is a pioneer in
emerging markets private equity investing with experience and on the ground presence in
Asia, Central and Eastern Europe and Latin America. Darby focuses on well managed mid-
sized companies in need of expansion capital, having built a proven, successful track record
of investments for more than 16 years. Darby‘s parent company, Franklin Templeton
Investments, is one of the largest global investment management organizations, with total
AUM of over US$600 billion. Since 1997, Darby has invested over US$250 million in 16
companies either based or with relevant presence in Brazil.
Darby‘s investment portfolio in Brazil comprises a variety of sectors, including consumer
goods, retail and distribution, leisure and hospitality, manufacturing, technology, financial
services, and infrastructure.
70
2) Advent internationals
Founded in 1984, Advent International is one of the world‘s leading global buyout firms,
with offices in 16 countries on four continents. Since inception, the firm has raised US$26
billion in private equity capital and completed over 250 transactions valued at approximately
US$50 billion in 35 countries. Advent is the leading private equity investor in Latin America,
having raised more than US$5 billion for the region since 1996. The firm‘s most recent fund,
LAPEF V, closed on US$1.65 billion in April 2010, making it the largest private equity fund
ever raised for Latin America.
Over the past 14 years, Advent has invested in 40 Latin American companies, and today
these businesses are valued at more than US$10 billion and employ over 60,000 people.
3) Apax Partners:
Apax Partners is an independent global partnership focused solely on long-term investment in
growth companies. Funds advised by Apax Partners typically invest in large companies with
a value between €1bn and €5bn. The Funds invest in five sectors: Financial & Business
Services, Healthcare, Media, Retail & Consumer, Tech & Telecom.
Releasing potential is at the heart of everything we do. Whether it's identifying potential
investments, growing our portfolio companies or realising their value at the right time, our
strategy is geared to releasing potential.
Throughout its 30 year history, the company has successfully invested across all investment
stages, and through several complete economic cycles.
The firm's current success is rooted in a culture that has always been outward looking,
pioneering and committed to growing businesses. The deep understanding of the five sectors
in which it invests has been at the core of Apax Partners' strategy, giving it early access to
investment opportunities and an ability to quickly add value to portfolio companies.
4) 3i group
3i is an international investor focused on private equity, infrastructure and Debt Management,
with investments in Europe, Asia and the Americas. Today the 3i Group has £ 12.7 billion in
total assets managed over 160 investment professionals and 116 affiliated companies.
5) DLJ South American Partners
DLJ South American Partners is an independent private equity fund manager focused in
South America, primarily in Argentina, Brazil and Chile. DLJSAP is a strategic alliance
between Credit Suisse Alternative Investments - which has more than US$131 billion of
assets under management (including nearly US$52 billion of private equity assets) - and a
team of professionals with over 50 years of experience in private equity investments in the
region. The DLJSAP team has been successfully investing in private equity in Brazil since
1996.
71
Chapter 5
Sector Analysis
72
Here, we will be basically studying 6 sectors where there are highest opportunities for Private
Equity Investments: 1. Healthcare
2. Infrastructure
3. Information Technology
4. Agriculture
5. Education
6. Oil and Gas
73
5.1 Healthcare
5.1.1 Current Situation in Brazilian Health care sector
Most Brazilians are served by the public health system – Sistema Unico de Saude, SUS. In theory,
the SUS hospital infrastructure and its physical and economic resources are sufficient to meet the
needs of the population, but patients often have to wait in long lines for surgery, laboratory tests
and treatment. The government is making efforts to improve health services and conducts
numerous periodic campaigns, but quality of health care still varies enormously.
The best academic hospitals (which typically serve the very poor) and top line private hospitals are
well equipped, usually with state of the art equipment. The vast majority of health services fall
somewhere in between, but in major urban areas of Brazil the population has access to modern
diagnostic and treatment equipment and tools.
Healthcare market in Brazil has been growing at a fast pace for the past few years, thus
making it one of the attractive industries in Latin America. The total expenditure on
healthcare was valued at around US$ 168 Billion in 2010 that showcased the country‘s
ability and desire to provide effective medical services to the society. Factors, such as
disease prevalence, strong investments, and the government initiatives are supporting
the market dynamics. Thus, the healthcare spending is likely to grow at a CAGR of around
6% during 2010-2013 to reach US$ 201.6 Billion by 2013 end.
The Brazilian healthcare sector continues to show strong performance and perspectives,
given the strong economic fundamentals of the country, even in a challenging global
74
environment. The GDP growth for 2010 of 7.5% and unemployment rate historical low are
the main drivers of the increasing healthcare spending, since approximately 75% of private
healthcare coverage is corporate-based and is considered the most important benefit
offered to employees in Brazil.
While healthcare plan revenues have substantially increased in the last five years (CAGR
of approximately 13%), only 22% of the population in Brazil has private healthcare
coverage, compared to 85% in the U.S. and 60% in Mexico. Considering that the Brazilian
private healthcare coverage penetration is projected to double by 2020, the potential
market may reach R$170 billion (US$100 billion).
Furthermore, healthcare plans will increase dental plan coverage penetration due to: (i)
cross-selling strategy of its players, (ii) the lower average dental plan ticket, and (iii) less
stringent regulation of dental plans as compared to healthcare plans (e.g., impossibility of
cancelling plans and regulated price readjustments).
Recent Trend of vertical integrations
The bullish Brazilian healthcare market has led to a consolidation trend in the sector,
especially driven by vertical integration (e.g., acquisitions of hospital and diagnostics
laboratories), allowing greater cost controls and, consequently, higher profitability.
Approximately 20% of private healthcare operators‘ clients are responsible for 80% of
medical costs.
The cost controls, collectively with fiscal incentives and co-payment plans, will increase
affordability for the underpenetrated lower income population. Additionally, healthcare
subsectors in Brazil continue to be extremely fragmented when compared to more mature
markets like the U.S.
Major mergers and acquisition
Currently, most of the M&A activity involves healthcare facilities, especially hospitals
and clinics, as managed care operators are seeking for vertical integration. The most
acquisitive companies in the sector are Amil (largest managed care operator in Brazil
with 9 % of market share and traded on the São Paulo Stock Exchange) and Rede D‘or
(largest hospital chain in Brazil and the healthcare arm of Andre Esteves‘ financial
conglomerate, BTG Pactual), which have recently disputed most of the acquisitions of
hospitals and clinics in Brazil. Since 2007, Amil has acquired 14 hospitals totaling 1,687
beds.
75
M&A activity shall remain a strong driver for growth and profitability improvement in
2011, given the increasing cash generation and credit availability in the market. Amil
should remain the most acquisitive player in the country.
―Smiling Brazil‖- A government Initiative
Several government programs and policies are being implemented to address key health
related issues, which are critical in nature. Smiling Brazil, for example, is the national
policy for oral health created by the government to expand the access of dental care to the
population. The program has improved the condition of primary health in the country
through investment and is further likely to strengthen healthcare market potential.
76
5.1.2 Areas of Investment Opportunities in Health Care for Private Equity
The health care industry in Brazil is one of the industries that is growing at an unprecedented
rate and promises great investment opportunities for Private equity players across the globe
and especially Indian private equity players.
Interested parties
Foreign investors, private equity players, capital providers, financiers and investment bankers
Healthcare sub-sector
Pharmaceutical, Hospital, Health Insurance, Clinical Laboratory, Medical Equipment and
Drugstore Sectors.
a) Pharmaceuticals and biotechnology
Within this wide-ranging sector, we see opportunities in these key areas: Specialty
Pharma, Generics / OTC, Drug Delivery and Animal Health.
b) Healthcare Services
This is the largest and most rapidly-evolving sub-sector within the global healthcare
industry and includes activities such elderly and specialty care, including for people in
their own homes, in hospital and in community facilities, as well as operational services
such as outsourced support and clinical services and B2B contract services.
77
c) Medical devices and technology:
This sub-sector deals with a range of devices, medical equipment and consumables,
diagnostics and healthcare IT encompassing a means to identify the nature of health
conditions and to allow intervention with methods that increase life span and/or improve
the quality of care and life.
Growth Potential for healthcare in Brazil
The number of lives covered by healthcare plans in Brazil – 44.8 million – is still low when
compared to the Brazilian population, which totals 191 million people, and corresponds to a
coverage rate of approximately 23%. This enormous deficit means that there is great potential
for expansion and consolidation of the country‘s healthcare segment, especially when
compared to the market in the United States, which is already highly developed (see table
below). Brazil‘s favorable economic scenario, b the increase in average worker income and
the higher employment levels achieved in recent years all serve to reinforce this potential.
78
Currently, among health plan members in Brazil, 33% are divided among the ten largest
operators in the country, and 10% of this total are covered by Amilpar.
Brazil is the world‘s tenth largest market for drugs and second largest in Latin America after
Mexico. Privatization, deregulation, and removal of barriers to competition have led the
multinational companies to dominate the pharmaceutical industry with 70 percent of their
share, while most of the domestic companies concentrate on selling generic medicines. The
factors that hold the market from progressing are the high prices of the drugs, interest rate
fluctuations, and increased R&D costs.
Currently, there are more than 7,800 hospitals in the country to serve the needs of its entire
population. However, due to uneven distribution, some sections of the population still have
only limited access to healthcare facilities. To meet the growing demand for healthcare,
investment in both public and private sectors has been increasing.
About 30 percent of the hospital equipment and medical devices requirement are imported
from Japan, Germany, and the United States. Numerous medical devices such as plastic tubes
used for special applications, surgical gloves, and syringes have been exempted from import
duties. Telemedicine and home healthcare sectors are other emerging sectors in the healthcare
industry.
Although the government has been criticized for being unable to bring about socio-economic
development, President Lula has shown commitment to bringing about reforms. This has
helped in keeping consumer and business expectation indices on the positive side. The new
macroeconomic reforms have gone a long way in making Brazil a preferred destination for
foreign investors. Privatization, deregulation, and removal of many types of barriers to
competition have led to many multinational companies setting up a base through Greenfield
projects and acquisitions. Trade and investment policies are favorable to private investments
and certain capital goods are exempt from custom tariffs and other forms of taxes and duties.
Brazil is a member of the Southern Cone Common Market (MERCOSUR), and has greater
access to other countries in the region such as Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Since the
inception of the MERCOSUR, not only has Brazil experienced increased investment but has
also reduced tariff rates on several items.
Country Industry Forecast Service for the Brazilian Healthcare Industry uses a
macroeconomic perspective to provide a focused analysis of the industry. This service covers
an array of issues related to the healthcare services sector - ranging from political issues,
industry regulations to their overall impact on the industry. Besides enable decision makers to
assess the impact of non-market forces, The analysis also helps in identify new opportunities.
it provides a strong base for preparing emergency plans.
Brazil is the world‘s tenth largest market for drugs and second largest in Latin America after
Mexico. Privatization, deregulation, and removal of barriers to competition have led the
multinational companies to dominate the pharmaceutical industry with 70 percent of their
share, while most of the domestic companies concentrate on selling generic medicines. The
factors that hold the market from progressing are the high prices of the drugs, interest rate
fluctuations, and increased R&D costs.
Currently, there are more than 7,800 hospitals in the country to serve the needs of its entire
population. However, due to uneven distribution, some sections of the population still have
only limited access to healthcare facilities. To meet the growing demand for healthcare,
investment in both public and private sectors has been increasing.
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About 30 percent of the hospital equipment and medical devices requirement are imported
from Japan, Germany, and the United States. Numerous medical devices such as plastic tubes
used for special applications, surgical gloves, and syringes have been exempted from import
duties. Telemedicine and home healthcare sectors are other emerging sectors in the healthcare
industry.
Although the government has been criticized for being unable to bring about socio-economic
development, President Lula has shown commitment to bringing about reforms. This has
helped in keeping consumer and business expectation indices on the positive side. The new
macroeconomic reforms have gone a long way in making Brazil a preferred destination for
foreign investors. Privatization, deregulation, and removal of many types of barriers to
competition have led to many multinational companies setting up a base through Greenfield
projects and acquisitions. Trade and investment policies are favorable to private investments
and certain capital goods are exempt from custom tariffs and other forms of taxes and duties.
Brazil is a member of the Southern Cone Common Market (MERCOSUR), and has greater
access to other countries in the region such as Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Since the
inception of the MERCOSUR, not only has Brazil experienced increased investment but has
also reduced tariff rates on several items.
Country Industry Forecast Service for the Brazilian Healthcare Industry uses a
macroeconomic perspective to provide a focused analysis of the industry. This service covers
an array of issues pertinent to the healthcare services sector - ranging from political issues,
trade policies, and industry regulations to their overall impact on the industry. Besides
enabling decision makers to assess the impact of non-market forces, this analysis also helps
in identifying new opportunities. In addition, it provides a strong base for preparing
contingency plans.
5.1.3 Participating Companies (Brazil)
ABDS - BRAZILIAN ASSOCIATION FOR HEALTH LAW ABIMO - BRAZILIAN MEDICAL DEVICES MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION ABS - BRAZILIAN HEALTHCARE ASSOCIATION ANAHP - NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF PRIVATE HOSPITALS BRADESCO SAÚDE CEPEDISA - CENTER FOR STUDIES AND RESEARCH OF HEALTH LAW CONEXÃO SISTEMAS DE PRÓTESE CORREIA DA SILVA ADVOGADOS ASSOCIADOS DK DIAGNOSTICS DMBRANCO HEALTHCARE INVESTMENTS & ADVISORY EDUARDO DANTAS ADVOCACIA & CONSULTORIA ELP HEALTH LAWYERS NETWORK EUGENIO DE LIMA E PITELLA ADVOGADOS EURASIA GROUP
GRUPO CAPRONI GRUPO TRIUNFO GRUPO VITA - HOSPITAIS E MATERNIDADES H. LUNDBECK A/S HOSPITAL MEMORIAL SÃO JOSÉ IN VITRO DIAGNÓSTICA LABORATÓRIO DAUDT LOGIKA CONSULTORES ASSOCIADOS MERCAPITAL MICROMAR SOLUTIONS TO NEUROSURGERY MOMSEN, LEONARDOS & CIA PINHEIRO NETO ADVOGADOS PORTO SEGURO SAÚDE PREVENT SENIOR PARTICIPAÇÕES ROCHE DIAGNOSTICA STATE BAR OF SÃO PAULO - OAB/SP - HEALTH LAW COMMISSION STATE OF RIO DE JANEIRO TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL COMPANY TORRONTEGUY LAW OFFICE TOZZINIFREIRE ADVOGADOS UNIMED PAULISTANA VIDALINK BENEFÍCIOS EM MEDICAMENTOS
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5.1.4 Restructuring of Health care sector
The Brazilian government today actively encourages new investors in the sector by
providing them the option of preferential purchase in public tenders. The government also
offers special financial investment conditions, which are beneficial for the investors.
Thus, with the backing of the government, the investors can gain tremendous advantage
from investing in the health industry of Brazil.
The government is also making constant efforts to restructure the health industry in Brazil
by inducing application of state-of-the-art Information Technology systems. The health
industry in Brazil is the biggest in the South American continent and holds immense
potential for further expansion.
The Brazil government‘s ambitious plans to expand the health care industry provide
ample investment opportunities for foreign investor.
Investment opportunity lies in supplying medical equipment and IT products. Foreign
investors can invest in providing patient monitoring services.
Another priority is to ensure the supply of shares and health services in hospitals and
institutes of the Ministry of Health and the Conceição Hospital Group network, entity
linked to the Ministry that has a 100% attendance by SUS. To perform specialized
consultations, hospitalizations, surgeries and transplants in that action, there is about R$
850 million planned in the budget. The second program of the Ministry of Health
covered with more money for this year is "Basic Health Care", with R$ 9.4 billion to
support activities such as family health.
To attract foreign investment in the country the Brazilian government has taken the
initiative and has taken measures to introduce reformatory plans to restructure the
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healthcare delivery system. The government of Brazil has decentralized the health care
sector in every Brazilian state and given them the autonomy.
a) Pharmaceutical Industry
The Pharmaceutical industry, which is a part of the Health Industry, holds great potential
for investment in Brazil. The country is being tipped as being one of the top seven
countries in the world that has tremendous potential for growth in the pharmaceutical
sector and is regarded as being the emerging market for investment.
In terms of the revenue generated, the Brazilian Pharmaceutical industry is the 10th
largest market in the world and is the second largest market in South America. The
pharmaceutical industry is huge, and is responsible for providing employment for about
47,000 people in Brazil.
.
Government initiatives in the Pharma industry to attract foreign investors
Changing situation from the past
In the past, the pharmaceutical manufacturing companies in Brazil lacked proper
production technique. Also, the government imposed heavy taxes on medicines. As a
result, not many local investors were keen to invest in the sector. However, the situation
today has changed drastically. The government now has reduced the prices of drugs and
this has created a dynamic investment environment in the country.
The Brazilian Pharmaceutical industry is one of the main industries that are the central
point of the Brazilian government‘s industrial policy. The government of Brazil, with a
view to give a boost to the industry, has formulated a special financing program.
The government aims to increase the local production of medicines, facilitate
development of Research and Development centers and encourage mergers and alliances
with foreign investors.
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The main motto of the Brazil government is to bring down the negative balance of
trade of pharmaceuticals, improve the standards of drug quality in the country and
enhance production of medicines. The government of Brazil has very ambitious plans
of creating an environment in the country to attract investment of about $5 billion
dollars. Thus, there is great opportunity for investors to invest in the sector and gain
valuable returns on their investments.
Practical steps that can facilitate market players in this period are the revision of some
bureaucratic courses, especially in custom processes, and improving communication
between regulatory institutions and industry. The modest tax level should guarantee the
continuity of Brazil's growth and its role in harmonizing regulatory process in Latin
America, and at the same time, as a member of G20, effective actions for the foreign
investment in the country's health sector would bring Brazil to gain a better visibility
worldwide.
5.1.5 Health care sector in India
India is perched to witness additional growth in its economy as a result of positive trends
within the healthcare sector. Reports clearly suggest that healthcare sector is going to be
one of the major sectors that would fuel the economic growth and will contribute to the
increased revenues, along with IT Services and Education sectors in the country. Over 40
million new jobs and 200 billion increased revenues are expected to be generated by the
Indian healthcare sector till 2020, as per a report titled, ―India‘s New Opportunities-
2020‖, prepared by the All India Management Association, Boston Consulting Group
and the Confederation of Indian Industries (CII).
Healthcare – Market Size
The Indian healthcare sector is poised to reach US$ 280 billion by the year 2020, thereby
contributing an expected Gross Domestic Product (GDP) spend of 8 per cent by 2012
from 5.5 per cent in 2009, according to a report by an industry body. A US$ 36 billion
industry today and growing at 15 per cent compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the
Indian healthcare industry will reach the market value of US$ 280 billion by 2022.
Increasing population, higher expenditure on lifestyles, rising market of health insurance,
government initiatives for better medical infrastructure, and focus on Public Private
Partnership (PPP) models are some of the driving factors for the growth of healthcare
sector in India.
Major players in the Indian healthcare sector include Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd,
Fortis Healthcare Ltd, Max Hospitals and Aravind Eye Hospitals.
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Healthcare – Trends and Investments
US medical devices-maker Welch Allyn plans big India expansion and boosts its
presence in India. The US-based company has a range of products such as stethoscope,
ophthalmoscope, BP monitors, cardio-pulmonary and thermometry devices. ―Welch
Allyn has drawn up an aggressive five-year strategy to focus on the Indian market, as we
target revenues of US$ 5 million by 2015,‖ according to Con Hickey, Senior V-P, Japan.
Mergers and Acquisitions
Asia Pacific and Africa. Welch Allyn has selected Garuda Med Equipments as its
marketing and distribution partner in India. The plan behind the joint venture is to focus
the resources on customers in primary healthcare centres and B&C class cities and
rural market in the country.
Aventis Pharma, a unit of France‘s Sanofi, a drug maker company intends to acquire
unlisted Universal Medicare‘s nutraceuticals business in order to boost its share in the
Indian healthcare segment in the country. Universal Medicare‘s turnover of the
nutraceuticals business, which comprises of over 40 over-the-counter formulations, is
estimated at over US$ 23.13 million.
Medical-equipment maker Trivitron Healthcare intends to invest US$ 21.02 million
in 2011 on capacity expansions and acquisitions. Trivitron has set up a 25-acre medical-
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technology park at Irungattukottai, near Chennai, which has started its operations in
September 2010. With 10 housing facilities, the park currently operates one factory for
manufacturing ultrasound and colour Doppler machines (under a joint venture with
Hitachi Aloka).
Medical Tourism ( A strategic Advantage for India)
As per the study conducted by the India‘s commerce chamber, medical tourism industry
in India is competitive in nature and has been able to attract a large number of foreign
visitors surpassing the figures for other South East Asian countries, thereby contributing
significantly to the country‘s economy.
In a report titled, ‗Emerging Trends in Domestic Medical Tourism Sector,‘ by a leading
industry body it was stated that an estimated 3.2 million medical tourists would arrive in
India by 2015. The report stated that the states of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil
Nadu, Maharashtra, West Bengal and New Delhi have been identified as the major
destinations for medical tourists in the country. These states have adequate medical
infrastructure for medical operations, cosmetic surgeries such as facelifts, Botox
treatment, tummy tucks, and eye and dental care have so far proven the most sought after
treatments by foreign patients.
Serving more than 850,000 foreign patients every year, India has been able to uphold a
strategic advantage and with the existing 40 per cent CAGR, a leading industry body
estimates that the medical tourism sector could rise to US$ 2.4 billion by 2015.
Apart from the regular medical services, India also offers a variety of holistic medicare
such as yoga, meditation and ayurveda. The western states of Goa, Kerala, and Karnataka
have emerged as the most admired destination for ayurveda and spa healing resources.
Healthcare - Government Initiatives
There have been a number of noteworthy initiatives taken up by the Indian government
to boost the healthcare sector in the country. These initiatives focus on investment that
are closely linked to providing better medical infrastructure, rural health facilities etc.
100 per cent foreign direct investment (FDI) is permitted for health and medical services
under the automatic route.
The National Rural Health Mission (NHRM) had allocated US$ 10.15 billion for the up
gradation and capacity enhancement of healthcare facilities.
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Moreover, in order to meet revised cost of construction, in March 2010 the Government
allocated an additional US$ 1.23 billion for six upcoming AIIMS-like institutes and up
gradation of 13 existing Government Medical Colleges
5.1.6 Private Equity in India
Tracing Back the Time
PE activity in the US touches its climax in the year 2000. Following the 9/11 tragedy in
2001, this declined significantly. India was hit hard, as major portion of private equity in
India comes from u.s
With the recovery of the US market in 2004 fund raising activity began to steady. At this
point in time, PE investors started focusing on emerging markets like India, China, and
Brazil. The year 2006-2007 was one of the most flourishing periods for Private equity
funding in the Indian healthcare sector. Players like Apollo, Fortis, Max Healthcare and
other private hospital groups got sizeable PE funding.
These successful deals perked up the industry and set the stage for new investments but
later after two years, global economic crisis of 2008-2009 hit back investments. fund
flows decreased in health care sector even though it is consider as a recession free sector
Once global economy showed signals of recovery, PE investments started smoothening
the year 2010 brings back the energy and trigger interesting business models. Every
industry began to revitalize. PE investors were back in the attention. This time not only
did the healthcare delivery sector blossom with PE funds, but the diagnostic sector, other
stand alone centers and medical technology companies also attracted large funds. A new
trend was set that lead to higher investments in super-specialty centres. Beams, R G
Stone, Max, Dr Lal Path labs, Metropolis, Med fort Hospitals, Fortis, Nova Medical V
Centers, pitched in for PE deals.
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Potentiality of Health Care for P.E Investors
Healthcare sector in India is primarily under served. India requires over 100,000 hospital
beds and a several-fold increase in diagnostics investigations to achieve our 'Health for
All' initiative by 2020. The Government spending on healthcare is only 1 % of GDP, as
compare to private spending of 3.5 to 4 per cent. So there will be incredible opportunities
for the growth of healthcare sector in the country. therefore, interest of the PE players
have increased.
Sectors such as pharmaceuticals, diagnostics, hospitals and medical equipment are
attracting a good amount of investment. PE firms are betting big on small- and mid-sized
Pharma companies to put their bucks on. Looking at the medical technology sector in
healthcare, where players like Philips and GE are buying local companies and investing a
handsome amount in research and development, we can say that this sector will also
attract PE investments. The hospital sector also has been very successful in drawing funds
due to its capital intensive nature.
Hospital sector especially super-specialty services will continue to be the main focal
point for PE investors. The main attraction for private equity players would be Tier II
and III cities as a result of the under- penetration of healthcare services in these areas.
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investors will turn towards innovative business models as a result of lower income levels
and limited insurance access leading to lower margins in such cities,
Regional players from the healthcare industry who are intending to expand and brand
their businesses will attract PE funding. Investors will always look for profit-making
businesses to invest their money. Moreover, specialization in a particular field is a must.
Focus on a single discipline as this business model is currently attracting the investor's
eye.
PE firms are now trying to create a niche for themselves in areas that more capital
intensive. Further on, the country will see an increase in infrastructure and economic
affluence that will set the stage for ample investment opportunities in the healthcare
sector
Relationship between Capital Market and P.E
There has been mixed opinion within the industry regarding growth of Private equity
funding. Some believes that the downfall in the capital market after the economic crisis
has lead to increased PE investment opportunity. However, others believe that Private
Equity investors have found the Indian industry very promising and growing that has
lead to increase in the private equity funding India.
The dip in the capital market has increased PE funding. As there are hardly a few
healthcare players with critical size to get listed, this segment needs to see lot more
consolidation to have large sized players capable of listing and sustaining growth like the
way Apollo and Fortis have done in the recent past. There is only one medium-sized
stock in the medical technology space, and that is Opto Circuits. Though there are
several listed players in the Pharma industry, the other two segments of healthcare
services and medical technology lag behind due to size restriction
For a company to reach the Intial Public Offering (IPO) stage, it usually has to undergo a
round of PE funding. The funding enables it to become a larger concern, with established
systems and a proven track record. Hence, when such a company goes for an IPO, the
market is aware of it. The drop in IPOs can possibly be attributed to the market response
to the past few IPOs in the healthcare sector, which saw lukewarm responses. Hence,
some PE- funded companies may be waiting for the right time to attempt an IPO. As a
proportion, therefore, it may seem that there are more PE investments in the sector as
compared to IPOs.
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5.1.7 Role of P.E in Accelerating the Growth of the Health care Sector
PE funding is termed as smart money as investors bring more than just capital to the
table. With their expertise and managerial skill sets, PE investors act as a catalyst for
creating enterprise value. In a similar context, analysts across the country state that PE
funding is expected to play a crucial role in the expansion of the healthcare industry in
2011. ―Currently PE funding is vital to the sector. Healthcare, as a sector has a long
gestation time and requires large one-time capital expenses. With the help of PE funding,
smaller companies can look at a larger market, and increased scope of operations. This
enables smaller companies to become medium-sized enterprises, and even have IPOs over
a period of time.
Healthcare funding is critical to the advancement of healthcare delivery, medical device,
pharma, life sciences, and biotechnology areas. ―It is expected that deal flows in the
healthcare sector will continue to see a rise in the near future. There have been a number
of investments in the past few months, and with an improving economy, the appetite for
risk of PEs has also risen. However, having said that, PEs are also more wary and take
risks only after intense due diligence.
P.E players in Indian Market:
Some of the major PE players being, New Enterprise Associates and GTI, GIC Special
Investments, Sequoia Capital, Kotak PE, IDFC, Warburg Pincus, Milestone Religare
Investment Advisors, India Value Fund, Asian Healthcare Fund, Matrix Partners, ICICI
Venture, Carlyle Growth Fund and Kalpathi Investments.
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5.1.8 How Indian P.E players can convert the challenges of the Brazilian
healthcare into opportunities (Challenges and Proposed Solutions)
Challenge 1: Inefficient provision of care
Brazilian constitutional guarantee of universal health care is not being fulfilled; about
20 percent of the Brazilians are not covered by Health services often as a result of
economic, institutional or even geographical barriers. This can be explained to a
significant degree by insufficient funding and inefficiency in the provision of healthcare.
In Brazil, both the public and private sectors suffer from insufficient funding. SUS has been
underfunded since its inception in 1988. A tax on financial transactions, designed
specifically to support healthcare, was later revoked after funds were mostly diverted to
other purposes. A constitutional amendment (EC-29) approved in 2000 defined minimum
contributions to healthcare for all levels of governments, but neither the federal nor state
governments have fulfilled their obligations.
The private sector has moved to fill the gap in the public healthcare system. Originally,
private plans were to provide supplemental coverage, according to the Brazilian
constitution. Today, these plans, regulated by the Agência Nacional de Saúde Suplementar
(ANS), cover 43m people, up from about 30m. They are the primary if not only coverage
used by the privately insured.
But funding is also a problem in the private sector, and many health plans and hospitals
have closed down as a result. In 2000 there were more than 2,000 registered health plan
operators; today, there are fewer than 1,200.
Proposed solution
Full implementation of EC-29
Public healthcare system can be improved by the full implementation of EC-29. This will lead
to states and municipalities having adequate resources to meet up the needs of their
population.
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Public private partnership
To improve its efficiency and stretch existing resources, Brazil‘s public healthcare system
should adopt public-private partnerships (PPPs) more widely. PPPs structured hospitals have
made more intensive use of installed capacity, hired fewer medical services, increased
patient turnover and reduced average cost per patient. At the same time, they follow more
protocols to achieve medical excellence and use better-qualified personnel, thus improving
the effectiveness of existing resources.
There by here the Indian P.E players can act as partners collaborating with the
government in order to provide funding and increase the effectiveness of the public as
well as the private health care system.
Challenge 2: Lack of innovation
Aside from a few excellent in area such as green energy, aerospace and agribusiness.
Brazil doesn‘t have highly innovative economy Although the country is eighteenth
largest economy in the world it‘s investment in research and development is less than 1%
of the global total , according to the National Association for Research and Development of
Innovative Companies (ANPEI). Brazil is ranked only 24th in patent registrations, according
to the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
Brazil‘s life sciences industry underperforms other sectors, registering few innovative drugs
and devices. In fact, only 3.2% of Brazilian companies‘ patent registrations are related to
healthcare and life sciences, according to a study by São Paulo-based Prospectiva
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Consultoria. This is despite the fact that of the patents registered by Brazilian universities,
25% are related to healthcare and life sciences, a much higher percentage than for
companies. This suggests that knowledge produced in academia is not finding its way into
the market.
Inability of Government Laws
Brazil‘s Intellectual Property Law was passed in 1996, but more progress is needed to
change the attitudes and structure of an industry that grew by copying intellectual property
developed elsewhere Other legislation has focused on innovation.
In 2004 the Innovation Law was passed to facilitate the collaboration between
universities, technology institutes and companies, and to stimulate the creation of
investment funds targeting innovation. (It is not clear who owns the patents that result
from such collaboration, which creates a high risk for companies.)
The 2005 Law of Goods (Lei do Bem) provides tax incentives to companies that invest in
technologically innovative R&D, and enables the government to invest directly in private
start-ups. (Through an ―economic subsidy‖, the government provides money for companies
to hire researchers and scientists.) These incentives are slowly being adopted
For Brazil to gain relevance in the global life sciences market and compete with other
emerging countries, it will have to invest in people, facilities and technology. Barriers to the
industry‘s emergence include lack of managerial expertise in Brazilian companies, especially
with respect to innovation, and a paucity of knowledgeable investors who understand and are
willing to take on the risks involved in developing products in the life sciences industry.
Furthermore, Brazil‘s infrastructure for developmental research (laboratories, animals for
testing and other) is inadequate, and start-ups often carry out trials abroad.
There are institutional barriers as well. These include burdensome tax and labour
regulations; a slow approval process for new drugs and devices; and complex processes for
obtaining funding, making it difficult for smaller firms to compete
Proposed Solution
Efficient Implementation of Governmental Law
The special challenges of small and medium-sized companies must be addressed. Most
local companies are family-run and struggle with issues of governance and succession.
They need access to a pool of skilled management professionals that can help them to
evolve. Furthermore, the process for accessing public funding must be simplified for
smaller companies that lack the personnel and structure to navigate compulsory
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bureaucratic requirements
Approval and registration of new drugs and devices should be expedited. It currently takes
between eight and twelve months to get a product through the registration process.
Furthermore, political and social pressures are brought to bear on the approval process,
sometimes impinging on technical recommendations as to which and when drugs and
devices are approved. This places an additional burden on budget-constrained companies
that make all R&D investments upfront.
A revision of Brazil‘s notoriously burdensome tax system could also help to fuel growth in
the industry. Today, it is more advantageous for tax-exempt hospitals and public
institutions to import equipment directly than to buy it locally; laws exempt them from
import taxes. That benefit does not extend to products bought domestically, which incur
sales taxes. Small innovative companies could also benefit from import tax exemptions
Funding for stimulation of Innovation
Indian P.E players can help in stimulating the growth or stimulating innovation in the
world‘s 18th
largest economy by providing fund to invest in research and development
which will lead to development of new drugs
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5.2. Infrastructure
5.2.1) Overview of Infrastructure sector of Brazil
Private investment in Brazil‘s infrastructure sector is poised to grow. In the past, the
government was more committed to return to a fiscal surplus than investing in public
infrastructure. The result of this was that a wide range of essential investments in
Brazilian infrastructure were not undertaken. The only solution for the government to
catch up is to foster private investment, either through public private partnerships or
through privatizations. Several opportunities are available today, ranging from electric
power, roads, airports, railways, etc.
Despite the massive underinvestment, Brazil will host the next two biggest sports events
in the world: the Football World Cup in 2014 and the Rio Olympic Games in 2016.
According to Valor Economico at a recent conference promoted by the G-20, Brazil is
estimated to require the largest volume of infrastructure investment among all emerging
and developing countries in the years to come. The government estimates that US$906.5
billion will be needed, with US$545.7 billion to be invested in the period 2011-2014, and
US$360.8 billion thereafter. Infrastructure investments related to the World Cup and the
Olympic Games alone will demand US$36.5 billion.
5.2.2) Current Scenario in infrastructure
International benchmarking indicates that Brazil‘s infrastructure stock compares well
within Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) countries but less so with
international peers from East Asia.
Brazil‘s infrastructure is poor by international standards, but with large potential for
improvement. In a World Economic Forum survey, Brazil ranked 74th among
countries in infrastructure. In the same survey, it ranked 10th globally in market size.
Most countries with a market size comparable to or larger than Brazil‘s have better
infrastructure — the notable exception being India. We believe this disconnect
between infrastructure and market size illustrates the potential for significant
infrastructure growth in the coming years.
Brazil lacks stable and credible regulatory environment to spur private sector
investment. The main issues are: 1) regulatory bottlenecks and political uncertainties,
2) excessive renegotiations of concessions, and 3) the lack of efficiency of regulatory
agencies
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There is an Improper utilization of funds available to government for overall
development. The government intake is close to 40% of GDP, but in contrary to that
one can not see significant growth in infrastructure sector. Also this requires
companies to spend on average 2,600 hours per year to prepare, file, and pay their
taxes. Both figures are outliers by international standards.
5.2.3) Infrastructure Investment requirements in Brazil (Table-17 &
Graph-14)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Electricity 2 1.5 0.5 0.4
Telecommunications 1 0.4 1 1
Transport 2 1.5 0.6 0.4
Water and Sewage 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3
Brazil : Infrastructure Investment (as % of GDP)
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Interpretation
Brazil‘s infrastructure needs are especially significant; the bar is higher because the
starting point is lower.
Infrastructure investment in Brazil has slowed to about 2.1% of GDP on average in recent
years.
That is down from 5.4% in the 1970s, 3.6% in the 1980s, and 2.3% in the 1990s. While
the investment slowdown is comparable to the one seen in the region, the resulting
infrastructure picture is worse in Brazil than elsewhere.
The World Bank study estimates that Brazil would need infrastructure investment of 6–8%
of GDP per year to catch up with South Korea in 20 years. While ambitious, such
infrastructure investment levels were achieved by Korea, China, Indonesia, and Malaysia
from the late 1970s through the late 1990s.
Surveys suggest that infrastructure investment of about 2% of GDP per year is needed to
simply maintain the current infrastructure stock (offsetting depreciation), and to keep up
with a growing population.
Building on studies by the World Bank and the World Economic Forum, we estimate that
to sustain real GDP growth of about 5% and catch up to infrastructure levels in Chile, the
Latin American infrastructure leader, Brazil would need to invest 4% of GDP per year on
infrastructure over 20 years, or about twice as much as in recent years.
5.2.4) Investment Opportunities in Infrastructure
In order to allow Brazil to fulfill its potential, ABDIB estimates that an annual amount of
160.9 billion Reais will need to be invested in infrastructure, divided as follows: power -
28.3 billion; oil & gas - 75.3 billion; transportation and logistics - 24.1 billion; sanitation -
13.5 billion; and telecommunications - 19.7 billion. Moreover, the country will need
several works to successfully host the 2014 FIFA World Cup and the 2016 Rio de Janeiro
Summer Olympic Games. Both events will require huge investments. It is estimated that
only the World Cup will require 100 billion Reais for urban transportation, hospitality,
public security, power, transport, airports, accessibility and sanitary services. A full
description of all the opportunities of investment in infrastructure in Brazil would be
tiresome, but some of them are worth mentioning.
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Table-18, Graph-15
FIFA World Cup 2014
The World cup will receive almost R$ 105 billion in investment projects. The twelve host
– cities need development of not only state of the art stadiums, but also the logistics to
house tourists and create easy access to key points of the city. Almost R$ 6 billion is
allocated for modernization and construction, generating almost 20 million new jobs. R$ 9
billion is given to airports alone, and urbanization is to reach R$ 90 billion in investments.
Olympic Games 2016
The Rio Olympic Games of 2016 are expected to see an investment of R$ 30 billion. Rio
de Janeiro plans to develop a better metro system for easy and safe access to the game site.
In order to house the millions of new tourists the city projects it will need about 300
hotels, or 86 thousand new rooms.
Transportation
Efficient transportation, for civil or commercial use, is imperative for the development of
Brazilian industry. With over 8.5 million kilometers (3.3 million square miles), the
country has to be able to connect and serve its vast areas effectively. Brazil must be able to
keep the economy growing by capitalizing on its resources and large consumer market, an
almost impossible task when transport infrastructure is underdeveloped and costly. Some
attention has been given to modernization of the sector, but efforts have been slow to
make significant changes and are often inefficient.
Power Oil & gasTransportati
on & logistics
SanitationTelecommu
nications
Series1 28.3 75.3 24.1 13.5 19.7
01020304050607080
Estimated Investment in Infrastructure (in Reais billion)
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The National Council for the Integration of Transportation Politics (CONIT) was created
in 2001 and is responsible for coordinating the sector‘s politics but had its first meeting
only in late 2009. Also, The National Plan for Transportation Logistics (PNLT) represents
an effort to organize long – term planning but it neglects to prioritize activities. The
current fragmented system continues to discourage foreign investment and heightens the
cost of the final product. Significant deficiencies exist in planning and in the politics of an
intermodal integration. Difficulty in port access and the underutilization of waterways and
railways curtail the potential of the marketplace. Waterways should be given priority in its
development, only a quarter of the usable 44 thousand kilometers are utilized. In sum, the
system as a whole must be modernized to eliminate bottlenecks and create a new network
of transportation that is synchronized to ensure faster deliveries and quick processing.
Airports
The airports are faced with yet another challenge: accommodating the peak demand
resulting from the World Cup in 2014 and the Olympics in 2016. The country is expected
to see over 600,000 visitors from all over the world in the two- year time frame. GDP
during this period is expected to have an increase of R$47.9 billion. However, the
challenge goes beyond simply adjusting to a temporary demand flux. An airport is a
country‘s first chance to make an impression. A smooth experience from the start will
attract travelers in the long run and increase tourism across the country. Brazil must focus
on airport reform as one of the main priorities in order to guarantee not only the success of
these two events but also to sustain a growing economy and fully benefit from the boost in
GDP.
Ports
As the Brazilian market expands, its ports are faced with operational challenges that must
be addressed in order to keep the country competitive in the marketplace. A consistent
growth in the global GDP is backed by the consistent growth in foreign trade. The desire
to achieve economies of scale has led to a higher demand in global naval transportation
and sequentially growth in ship size. Brazil‘s ports are not only overworked but also have
not kept up with technology, making it difficult to accommodate the new large ships and
other advanced systems.
Infrastructure investment in ports would triple in 2010–13, with an average annual growth
of 25%, from a very low starting point. The main drivers here include the implementation
of new ports administered by the private sector, on the back of an improved regulatory
environment since late 2008, BNDES notes. While the global crisis and resulting slower
trade flows temporarily cooled pressures on port utilization, port improvement and
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expansion remain a pressing medium-term challenge. For instance, Brazil‘s national
association of containers (Abratec) estimates that the sector saw a volume decline of
14.3% in 2009 after 12 years of uninterrupted growth, but now looks for a rebound of
18.3% in 2010 as global trade recovers and the Brazilian economy expands.
Foreign investment in Infrastructure
Urban development of Slums:
This project comes in urban development, and the participants are the Federal
Government/Rio de Janeiro State and municipal governments. The region where this
project will be execute is Rio de Janeiro, Niterol, Sao Goncalo and the Lowlands. The
expansion project includes deletion of shanty towns from areas of risk and river banks, and
also to expand the supply of water in Baixada Fluminense, Sao Goncalo, and Niterol and
Itaboral regions. It also includes setting up of sewage systems and clean-up of Guanabara
and Sepetiba Bays. The construction of housing in Rio de Janeiro and the Baixada region
is also enlisted on planned work. The expand project of urban regions focuses on
construction of slopes to keep away from flooding in the Lowlands. The total
approximation cost of this project is US $1.8 billion and the opportunity available for
private investors is through procurement.
Foreign investment in Electricity generation:
The project is located in the municipality for Angra dos Reis at the Almirante Alvaro
Laberto Nuclear Centre (CNAA). This electricity generation unit already houses two
nuclear stations: Angra 1 (600 MW) and Angra 2 (1350 MW) The Angra 3 project will
have a gross capacity of 1,350 MW, which will have the capacity of generating 10.9
million MWH per year. The energy produced by Angra 3 will be equivalent to one-third of
the total energy consumed by Rio de Janeiro State. The power station is expected to have a
life of 40 years and it will help meet over 80% of Rio de Janeiro‘s electricity needs in
conjunction with the two existing power stations.The total investment estimate for this
project is US $2.274 billion. The project is scheduled to be completed by the year 2014.
Foreign investors can participate in this energy project in procurement to supply
engineering work, products and services. The construction of Angra 3 is considered the
most important project for the government because it will use one of the important
Brazilian sources of energy, uranium. The Brazilian government has announced some
ambitious plans for development of infrastructure. The spending on infrastructure will rise
from 504bn reals ($289bn) to 646bn reals ($370.7bn) under the state, PAC and private
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spending. This move has been proposed to cover the economic damage caused due to
financial crisis. The Brazilian Government believes infrastructure remains the key for
development of other sectors and stimulates foreign direct investment in country. The
World cup alone represents an investment potential of 10-30 billion pounds. Foreign
investors continue to make returns by investing in infrastructure projects in Brazil.
5.2.5) INDIAN INFRASTRUCTURE
Infrastructure Industry in India has been witnessing rapid growth in its different sectors
with the growing urbanization and the increasing rate of foreign investments in this field.
The Indian government has taken various initiatives to develop the infrastructure sector.
Liberalization of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) regulations, extended tax holiday
periods and introduction of Public Private Partnership (PPP) are some of the factors that
have led to the growth of infrastructure sector in India.
The major Infrastructure development initiatives require a substantial inflow of investment
capital. The policies of the Indian Government seek to encourage investments in domestic
infrastructure from both local and foreign private capital. The country is a hot destination
for foreign investors.
Some of the top infrastructure companies that are involved in infrastructure activities in
India include Larsen &Toubro Ltd, Punj Lloyd Group, Lanco Infratech Limited and GMR
Group to name a few.
Indian Roads The road infrastructure in India plays an important role in connecting different parts of
India. Over the years after independence there has been large-scale development of the
network of roads across the length and breadth of the country. Indian road network of 3.3
million Kilometers is second largest in the world and consists of:
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Indian Road Network (11)
Indian Road Network
Length(In Km)
Expressways 200
National Highways 70,934
State Highways 1,31,899
Major District Roads 4,67,763
Rural and Other Roads 26,50,000
Total Length 33 Lakhs Kms (Approx)
Sources: National Highways Authority of India
The growing interest by private players in the highways sector has assisted National Highway
Authority of India (NHAI) to award 17 projects worth over Rs 25,500 crore (US$ 5.15
billion) in the past few months. Of the 17 projects, 12 were won by private firms at premium
since April 2011, according to a senior Road and Transport Ministry official. All these
projects will be built under National Highways Development Project (NHDP), the flagship
road building programmed of the Transport Ministry.
Under NHDP, the NHAI has developed about 16,000 km, while process for improvement of
another 10,000 km is still going on. All the seven phases of NHDP will cover up gradation of
about 50,000 km of roads.
Indian Ports
India has a more than 7,500 km-long coastline, which is being further developed to support
trade. The Government of India (GoI) is focusing on port infrastructure development in the
country and is also promoting private participation and foreign direct investment (FDI). Most
of the cargo ships that pass through East Asia and America, Europe or Africa, pass through
Indian territorial waters. Hence, India has the potential to develop itself as a transshipment
hub.
There are 12 major ports in India and approximately 200 non-major ports. In 2008–09, the
total cargo handling capacity of major ports was 574.5 million tonnes per annum (MTPA).
The capacity of major ports is further anticipated to increase to 1,000 MTPA by 2011–12.
Non-major ports are projected to more than double their capacity by the end of 2007–12, to
support major ports in handling the growing cargo traffic.
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Recently, Belgium's Port of Antwerp, the second largest port in Europe, announced its plans
to pick a stake in Essar Group's Hazira Port in Gujarat by the end of 2011.
Indian Airports
India is one of the fastest growing aviation markets in the world. With the liberalisation of the
Indian aviation sector, the industry has seen transformation with the entry of the privately
owned full service airlines and low cost carriers. The sector has also seen a noteworthy
increase in number of domestic air travel passengers. Some of the factors that have led to
higher demand for air transport in India include the growing middle class and its purchasing
power, low airfares offered by low cost carriers, the growth of the tourism industry in India,
growing outbound travel from India, and the overall economic growth of India. In addition to
these factors, the importance on modernization of non-metro airports, fleet expansion by
airlines, service expansion by state owned carriers, development of the maintenance, repair
and overhaul (MRO) industry in India, opening up of new international routes by the Indian
government, establishment of new airports and renovation and restructuring of the existing
airports have further led to growth of the industry.
India's domestic aviation market has tripled in the last five years, according to a latest report
of the International Air Transport Association (IATA).
According to a report ―Indian Aerospace Industry Analysis‖, by research firm RNCOS, India
is at present the ninth largest aviation market in the world, the government's open sky policy
has attracted many foreign players to enter the market and the industry is growing in terms of
both the players and the number of aircrafts. Given the strong market fundamentals, it is
expected that the civil aviation market will register more than 16 per cent Compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) during 2010-2013.
Conclusion As we have analyzed the Infrastructure sector of Brazil, we have found that there is huge
Potential Investment requirement due to the two major events which are: 1) FIFA World Cup
2014 and 2) Olympics 2016. So Indian Private Equity Players can play a major role in these
events as a investors. Due to these major events, the Brazilian government needs to develop
their Airports, Hotels along with standard transportation facilities. It will also attract the
Global Tourist towards Brazil if the events are successfully hosted.
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5.3. Information Technology Sector
5.3.1) Overview of Brazilian Information Technology
The Brazilian IT market symbolizes an attractive opportunity for private equity
investments. Brazilian IT industry in 2011 should grow 13.1% - almost double the
global rate of growth of 7% - to achieve total revenues of US$39 billion. Brazil has
wide experience in technology outsourcing, with a well developed local market in
information technology outsourcing (ITO) and business process outsourcing (BPO).
The offshore ITO and BPO markets likely represent a significant growth opportunity
for developing countries as major global players continue to increase their presence in a
few well-positioned low-cost countries such as Brazil. Business models with an
efficient delivery platform, typically centered on cost-advantaged locations and clear
skill sets to develop a strong competitive position show a strong potential for value
creation and thus for private equity investments. In May, Apax Partners paid $921
million for a 54.25 percent stake in Tivit, an information technology and outsourcing
company listed on Brazil‘s alternative stock exchange, Novo Mercardo. It was the first
Brazilian deal by a U.K.-based private equity firm since 1995.
Graph-16
The IT industry goes forward to attract substantial attention from private equity
investors, moving up to be the third most active industry for P/E investment.
Investment is being repelled by the realization of many, that the industry has grew
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importantly over the last decade and that its current performance is for real. ― P/E firms
stung from making the wrong choices in the last internet boom by trying to act early
and often and those set on the sideline too long, not convinced that the recent recession
was altogether over have re-entered and began investing again, setting in motion the
early stages of a multi-year investment cycle‖.
Private equity investor presently face the large pressure of a $466 billion capital
overhang. Private equity investment in the information technology industry has had an
active start to 2011 with deal numbering over $14.25 billion of invested capital so far.
In the starting period of 2011 the deal was totaling of $7.2 billion. The IT industry
reported for 15% of the total P/E deal flow compared to 9% in 2010. It is the third most
active industry for P/E industry. In addition, P/E invested capital in IT companies, rose
from $1.8 billion against $7.2 billion in 2011. Factors driving these positive trends
includes hot areas such as SaaS, large median deal sizes and higher valuation multiple.
The software sector continues to be the most active area for private equity IT
investment with 42% of deal flow, followed by IT services with 24%. IT services
companies are an attractive investment in the ever changing technology landscape,
because ―services companies are always required as a peripheral to the latest
technologies.‖
IT investment areas that are continuing to garner a lot of buzz include social media,
SaaS and cloud companies. Investors are willing to pay higher multiples for these
companies. The software sector continues to be strong with $5.3 billion of capital
invested. Companies in the communications and the networking sector addressing the
bandwidth demand and capacity through infrastructure based solutions will continue to
increase demand.
Despite a large inventory of mature portfolio companies, P/E firms sold less than half
of the no. of IT companies as the invested previously. The most popular method for
exiting investment is through sales to strategic acquires (corporate acquisition). P/E –
backed companies in the information technology industry as a result of the ―rapid pace
of change and development which requires constant innovation from companies, either
organically or acquisitively‖. P/E exit activity in the space to continue to be fairly
robust as investors look to take advantage of current tech valuation and market
opportunities.
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Graph-17
5.3.2) Current Scenario of Information Technology in India
Balanced to become a US$ 225 billion industry by 2020, the Indian information
technology (IT) industry has played a fundamental role in putting India on the global map.
IT-BPO sector has become one of the most substantial growth accelerators for the Indian
economy. In addition to fuelling India‘s economy, this industry is also positively shaping
the lives of its people through an active direct and indirect contribution to several socio-
economic parameters such as employment, standard of living and diversity. The industry
has played a significant part in transforming India‘s image from a slow going bureaucratic
economy to a land of innovative entrepreneurs and a global player in providing world
class technology solutions and business services.
The sector is judged to have grown by 19 per cent in the FY2011, timing revenue of
almost US$ 76 billion. India‘s outsourcing industry has saw a rebound and filed better than
expected growth according to NASSCOM.
The export revenues are estimated to have aggregated to US$ 59 billion in FY2011 and
contributed 26 per cent as its share in total Indian exports (merchandise plus services),
according to a research report ‗IT-BPO Sector in India: Strategic Review 2011‘, published
by NASSCOM. The workforce in Indian IT industry will touch 30 million by 2020 and
this sunrise industry is expected to continue its mammoth growth, expect various industry
experts.
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Furthermore, NASSCOM said that the domestic IT-BPO revenues excluding hardware are
expected to have grown at almost 16 per cent to reach US$ 17.35 billion in FY2011.
Strong economic growth, rapid advancement in technology infrastructure, increasingly
competitive Indian organizations, enhanced focus by the government and emergence of
business models that help provide IT to new customer sections are the key drivers for
increased technology adoption in India.
The data centre services market in the country is forecast to grow at a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 22.7 per cent between 2009 and 2011, to touch close to US$ 2.2
billion by the end of 2011, according to explore firm IDC India's report. The IDC India
report stated that the overall India data centre services market in 2009 was estimated at
US$ 1.39 billion.
India will see its number of internet users triple to 237 million by 2015, from 81 million
registered in September 2010, according to a report titled 'Internet's New bn', by the
Boston Consulting Group (BCG). BCG said Internet insight rate in India is expected to
reach 19 per cent by 2015, up from the current seven per cent.
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) is targeting a 10-fold increase in
broadband subscribers to 100 million by 2014. The country has 10.29 million subscribers
now. "We will have 100 million broadband subscribers by 2014," J.S. Sarma, Chairman,
TRAI said at the fifth India Digital Summit 2010 organized by the Internet and Mobile
Association of India.
The insight of the internet in rural areas will see an all time high in 2011. In a survey
conducted by IMRB for the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI), the total
number of active internet users in rural area will rise by 98 per cent to touch 24 million by
the end of 2011 from 12.1 million in December 2010. The survey said that the claimed
internet user class is also set to grow by 96 per cent to reach 29.9 million by December
2011 from 15.2 million in December 2010. (Active users are those, who have used the
internet at least once in the past one month. Claimed internet users are those, who have
used the internet sometime but not necessarily in the past one month.)
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The Growth Story
India is a preferred destination for companies awaiting to offshore their IT and back-office
functions. It also holds its low-cost advantage and is a financially attractive location when
viewed in combination with the business environment it offers and the availability of
skilled people.
The country‘s domestic market for business process outsourcing (BPO) is projected to
grow over 23 per cent to touch US$ 1.4 billion in 2011, says global research group
Gartner. In 2010, the domestic BPO market was worth US$ 1.1 billion. The firm predicts
that the domestic BPO market would range to US$ 1.69 billion in 2012 and increase to
US$ 2.47 billion by 2014.
With the first quarter of the new fiscal 2011-12 offering positive business outlook, hiring
opinons for sectors like IT, ITeS and telecom have risen by over 20 per cent, says a study
by TeamLease Services Pvt. Ltd. As per the Employment Outlook Report for the period
April-June 2011, freed by TeamLease Services Pvt. Ltd., hiring intent from IT and ITeS
was the highest in cities like New Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad and Pune.
India's top technology firms like TCS, Infosys, Wipro and HCL are readying plans to gain
a bigger share of their largest market, US, by sharply going after contracts being served by
multinational competitors. Analysts expect the top IT firms to develop between 23-27 per
cent in the FY2012 on the back of more number of discretional projects, improved pricing,
and robust business volumes.
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5.4. Agriculture sector
5.4.1) The Brazilian agribusiness-Background
Brazil is the country with a diverse climate, regular rainfall, abundant solar energy and almost
13% of all drinking water available in the planet, Brazil still has 90 million hectares of fertile
land and in 10 years, will be the most agricultural country in the world .
Brazil has always been known for its important role concerning the export of commodities,
being the main exporter of coffee, soy, meat and orange juice. The recent progress
concerning the development of new technologies in the country has given it the title of
strongest economy in Latin America.
Currently, Brazil has also extended its exports to more sophisticated items such as airplanes
and cars. This change in the economic framework has characterized a moment that could
represent a transition from a more colonial world into a more technological one. However,
what is happening in Brazil is a merger between these two sectors: new technologies have
been improving agribusiness in the country.
Agribusiness
Brazil has 388 million hectares of highly productive arable land of which 90 million hectares
remain unexplored. It exports 35 per cent of its production to 211 markets. It is the second
largest producer of organic food and third largest producer of fruit.
Brazil's agriculture exports amount to $95 billion (Dh348.86 billion) or 37 per cent of total
exports, according to statistics by the Ministry of Agriculture. The top three exports were soy
beans and byproducts (24 per cent), sugar, ethanol and meat (17 per cent) and coffee (9 per
cent). Agricultural production contributed 8 per cent to GDP and agribusiness contributed 26
per cent. Brazil exported $1.4 billion worth of agricultural goods to the UAE last year.
Brazilian coffee exports to the UAE alone amounted to $10 million in beans and $8.4 million
in ground coffee. As coffee prices soared last year, the value of Brazil's coffee exports
increased 24 per cent.
Foreigners buying land in Brazil for food security are restricted by Brazilian law, Celio Porto,
secretary at the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply, said. "It's a delicate
question in Brazil…the government is trying to reach a middle ground between public
opinion and the needs of development. After two years of discussion there is still no
consensus."
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Foreign investors are encouraged to partner with Brazilian companies instead. Major areas
that require investments are the ports, roads and other infrastructure for easier transport of
agri-products.
Meat and poultry
Brazil has the largest commercial cattle herd in the world, with more than 200 million head of
cattle occupying 220 million hectares of grassland. It accounts for one in every three pounds
of meat sold globally and its beef is sold in 180 countries. Brazil is also the third largest
producer of poultry. Investments in research and technology have made this a sophisticated
sector.
Brazil also complies with halal sluaghter procedures certified by Islamic monitoring bodies
and approved by the Arab Brazilian Chamber of Commerce. The revenue of the Brazilian
halal beef market last year was $1.6 billion following up on $1.88 billion in 2010, according
to the Brazilian Association of Beef Exporters. The Islamic market represented around 32 per
cent of the beef exported from Brazil last year. Iran was the top importer with 38 per cent,
followed by Egypt (30 per cent) and Saudi Arabia (8 per cent).
Why Brazil?
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The agricultural sector has for many decades been the backbone of Brazil‘s economy.
Agriculture and its related sectors such as forestry and aquaculture account for 26.4% of the
Brazilian GDP and employ 39% of the national labour force.
The variations in climate in Brazil‘s producing regions have enabled the development of a
diversified agriculture and production of both temperate and tropical crops. Currently, some
50 million hectares are planted with annual crops and 20 million hectares with perennial
crops or planted forests. Besides, there are approximately 220 million hectares being used as
grazing land. Beef is produced extensively and the introduction of new and modern cattle
raising techniques will enable Brazil to increase the productivity of areas currently used for
general farming activities.
5.4.2) Current Status of Brazil‘s Global Market Share Projections in
Agriculture Sector (Table-19)
• 15 – 20% of all the world biodiversity is located in Brazil and is found in its several
biomass such as the Amazon Forest with 3.6 million km2, the Atlantic Forest, the Pantanal
and the Brazilian Savannah;
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• The Brazilian agribusiness GDP represents 26.4% of the country‘s total GDP (US$
1,577,264.36 million);
• Agriculture accounts for US$ 174.3 bn (71.3%) and livestock US$ 70.1 bn (28.7%);
• 70% of its landmass is suitable for cultivation and the areas already in production account
for 19% of the world's arable land.
• Brazil‘s total exports in 2010 are valued at US$201.9 bn, of which agribusiness is worth
US$ 76.4 billion (37.8%). The EU is Brazil‘s largest trading partner and the main destination
of agribusiness exports;
• Brazil agriculture production is expected to grow. In 2010, Brazil used 47.4 million hectares
to produce grains, 27% more than in 2000. There has also been an increase in 40% in the
crops productivity during the same period. The rate of productivity surpasses the figures
registered for the eight major economies in the world.
• Production of sugar and ethanol is increasingly significantly. 2010 figures show sugar cane
production reached 624 million tons. This record number represents a raise of 3.4% in total
production in comparison to the cycle of 2009. Of this, 53.8% (336.2 million tons) was for
ethanol, producing 27.7 billion litres, and 46.2% (288.7 thousand tons) for sugar, producing
38.7 million tons. Gross value of production is US$10.8 billion and the industry employs
some 1.5 million workers, with 45,000 of these being farmers. Exports account for US$7.8
billion.
• Brazil is the third food exporter in world behind of the USA and the EU.
5.4.3) Challenges in agribusiness in Brazil
Brazil‘s many natural advantages notwithstanding, defi ciencies in infrastructure, including
poor transportation and storage facilities, and high port costs, have offset some of the benefi
ts for agribusiness in recent years. Other challenges include the need to import fertilisers,
environmental pressures and labour issues, as well as the double-edged sword of a strong
local currency. Although many companies have found workarounds that enable them to
flourish, only a systematic effort to overcome these barriers will enable the agribusiness
sector to fulfil its potential.
I. Insufficient infrastructure adds to costs Transport infrastructure is a major constraint for Brazilian agriculture. Only 10% of the
country‘s road network is paved, yet more than 60% of agricultural production is transported
by truck, often across thousands of kilometers. Brazil‘s rail system, meanwhile, is one-
111
seventh the size of that of the US and consists of several short-line railroads that do not
interconnect because of different gauge sizes. Thousands of grade crossings limit train
speeds.
Brazil‘s river network is about 20% longer than that of the US. But it is vastly underutilised
as a result of environmental pressures and lack of investment in ports and dredging. As a
result of a lack of foresight, most hydroelectric plants were built without locks, preventing the
passage of barges. The country‘s port system, in turn, is expensive and inefficient. Lines at
the major grain ports can
stretch up to 50 km long (about 31 miles) during the peak harvest period and trucks can wait
up to 20 days to unload. This mainly reflects the use of outdated equipment and labour-
intensive processes. Trade unions are also strong at the ports, and strikes, while less common
than in the past, remain a concern.
In addition, the country suffers from a 43 m tonnes defi cit in grain storage,3 according to the
Ministry of Agriculture. Poor distribution aggravates the problem: only 11% of capacity is on
farms, compared with 40% in Argentina and 80% in Canada. Furthermore, infrastructure
build-out has not kept pace with agriculture‘s very rapid expansion, and storage is still
concentrated in southern Brazil rather than in frontier regions, which account for 70% of the
country‘s production.
According to analysts, Brazilian farmers lose an average US$1 per bushel of soybeans
because they lack on-farm storage and must sell at harvest time, when prices are at their
lowest level. This loss can be much greater depending on market conditions: in 2010 prices
were around US$8 per bushel in Mato Grosso at harvest time (April), while in late September
they had reached US$11 per bushel.
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II. Environmental pressure
Agribusiness‘s challenges are not limited to infrastructure. Imported fertiliser accounts for
more than 70% of Brazil‘s supply and is essential to improve soil fertility, particularly in
frontier regions. The logistics of transporting it long distances, by ship and truck, increase its
cost and put pressure on the country‘s already overburdened transport system. Pressure to
preserve the environment has grown considerably in recent years, thus slowing or halting
infrastructure projects and land development, especially in frontier regions. Strict
environmental rules, including requirements that farms set aside large areas as reserves
(ranging from 20% to 80% of total area, depending on the region), are now being enforced,
placing further restrictions on farmers. Objections from environmentalists have also slowed
the arrival of new technology. Genetically
modified (GM) crops, which improve yields and can help to reduce costs, were approved for
commercial use only in 2003. Brazil now accounts for 16% of global GM crop production,
and has 21.4m hectares under cultivation. While there are still objections to GM products in
Europe, this is not an issue in other
major markets such as China.
III. Labour and currency concerns
Competitors often cite cheap labour as an advantage in Brazil, but the reality is that high
taxes and strict and often confusing labour laws make hiring in Brazil less attractive than it
initially appears. This is aggravated by a shortage of skilled labour, especially in frontier
regions, which can be a significant problem when employees are expected to manage
machinery and equipment that cost hundreds of thousands of dollars.
A major obstacle to agricultural expansion in recent years has been the rise in the local
currency, the Real. Although a stronger Real results in cheaper inputs such as imported
fertiliser, chemicals and machinery, it makes Brazilian farmers less competitive on the
international market and cuts into already tight profit margins. Soybeans provide a clear
example of the impact of currency variations on competitiveness. When the Real was
devalued at the end of the 1990s, making Brazilian products more competitive on the global
market, the area planted to soybeans expanded rapidly, peaking in 2004. When the Real
started to strengthen in 2003, the expansion of soybean acreage halted. (There is a lag
between the decision to plant, which is influenced, among other things, by currency
expectations, and the actual planting. Since 2007, acreage has increased again despite the
strong Real as a result of factors such as vibrant demand from China and low corn prices.)
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Promising areas
Brazil‘s immense potential for agribusiness offers a huge scope for investment and
opportunities to foreign companies in the use of biotechnology for the development of new
varieties and strains resistant to parasites, pests and diseases, water stress and drought
resistant varieties as well as IT solutions for agriculture management and precision
agriculture.
Foreign companies should also exploit opportunities in the following areas:
• Biotechnology with direct application in agriculture and food production;
• Food safety; Traceability;
• Animal genetics;
• Organic and food: production, technology and market trends
(consultancy services);
• Basic minerals such as potash, phosphate and nitrogen;
• Precision agriculture, remote sensing and precision machinery;
• Post-harvest technology;
• Prawn and fish farming technologies;
• Deep sea fishing and fishing vessels;
• High added-value machinery to boost productivity and reduce wastage.
5.4.4) Opportunities for Private Equity firms in Agribusiness
Agribusiness in the region is well positioned to take advantage of the structural changes that
have already occurred and are now underway in a majority of Latin American
countries. Many companies, a majority of which are privately owned, have already
completed modernization programs during the 1990s. In addition, Brazil holds a competitive
advantage in global agribusiness sector and is now outperforming all other industries in Latin
America.
Brazilian agribusinesses offer high export ratios combined with well established internal and
regional distribution networks. Many of the companies in the region have introduced state of
the art technologies for production, post harvest, processing and information system
management Brazil have well developed infrastructures for the handling, storage, and
distribution of product.
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The high export ratios of Latin American agribusiness are secured, in part, because of their
counter-seasonal production cycles vis-à-vis production in U.S., Canada, Europe and Japan.
The seasonal advantage offers special opportunities for establishing strategic alliances with
other origin suppliers and facilitates the establishment of market share worldwide. Under the
present climate of political instability and economic downturn, investors can take advantage
of the agribusiness export niche in Latin America to hedge their exposure and hence,
minimize the risk to their investment position.
Combined with this positive outlook for the agribusiness sector in the region, it coexists now
a dramatic economic downturn, particularly in Brazil, that presents opportunities to
restructure many local agribusiness companies. Although the commodities based industries
are riding an export crest induced by realignment of domestic currencies in Brazil, there
remain structural impediments –failure of domestic financial systems to provide adequate
financing, lack of experience of local management to target export markets, etc. – which
impede the maximization of these present growth opportunities.
Brazilian agriculture responded positively to the opening of the domestic economy in 1990.
This sparked a race to introduce modern technology and mechanization and to improve
breeding stock through better genetics. Cutting production costs remains a priority and there
are plentiful opportunities for foreign companies interested in technology transfer projects
and joint ventures. There is no such thing as a typical Brazilian farm. Sizes, land prices and
sophistication vary hugely around the country. Foreign visitors to most farms in the South,
Southeast and Midwest expecting to see "Third World" technology and practices will be
taken aback by the degree of efficiency and mechanization. Soya yields per hectare in the
Midwest for example are unsurpassed anywhere in the world. Soybean and maize are the
main cultures planted in Brazil, responding for 42.8% and 37.8% respectively of the total
grain production. The Southern region ranks first in the production of grains, being
responsible for 42.93% of the total Brazilian production of 149.5 million tones - rice, beans,
maize and soybean account for 90.9% of the regional production. The Midwest is the second
most important region, accounting for 35.1% of the Brazilian production, with soybean,
maize and cotton as the main cultures, followed by the Southeast region with 11.4%,
Northeast with 7.9% and the North with 2.7%. As to livestock, with the world‘s largest
commercial herd, beef production in Brazil reached 9.2 million tons in 2009, of which 18.2%
was destined to exports. Poultry production reached 12 million tones and exports represented
31.6% in 2010. Although studies envisage a huge growth in Brazil agriculture production, the
country still faces serious problems with logistics, considered inefficient and inadequate. The
problems include several deficiencies in transport infrastructure and storage. The government
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is aware they have to promote investments to reduce the loss in the fields, improve the quality
of roads (major type of transport used to transport the commodities) build and expand
railways as well as implement use of waterways. However, the speed of the investments is
still very slow. In addition, the need for imported fertilizers and the rush to open markets and
new technology created high levels of indebtedness and there is heavy reliance on official
credit. The UK has an important share of the market in both fertilizers and defensives such as
pesticides and herbicides.
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5.5. Education Sector
Education in India
Brief Introduction
India has emerged as a strong potential market for investments in the fields of training and
education because of its favorable demographics (young population) and a services-driven
economy. The fact is all the more illustrated looking at the country‘s global presence in
sectors like software, generic pharmaceuticals and other areas which require high level of
learning and training.
Education is one of the largest service sector industries in India characterized by a unique set
of attributes which are highly favorable for the development of the sector.
Education - Market Size and Trends
Education is one of the largest services market in India with a combined market size of more
than 450 million students and revenue worth US$ 50 billion per annum, according to a report
by research firm KPMG. The highly fragmented industry is projected to require an
investment of about US$ 100 billion by 2014 to meet burgeoning demand. KPMG anticipates
the sector to grow by around 10-15 per cent over 2011-2021.
Source: Netscribes, KPMG - ‘Investing in India’, CLSA, KPMG analysis
According to the 2011 census, the total literacy rate in India is 74.04 per cent. The female
literacy rate is 65.46 per cent and male literacy rate is 82.14 per cent.
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Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in the education sector during the period April 2000
to July 2011 stood at US$ 427.85 million, according to the Department of Industrial Policy
and Promotion (DIPP).
Strong Growth Drivers
The income level of the Indian population is rising day by day which induces the families to
spend more on the education of their dear ones with a view to brighten their future.
Parents prefer to send their children to private schools with more facilities and activities
which grow a student in all different aspects.
There is a huge demand-supply mismatch in the Indian Education industry where investment
is required of approx USD 100 BN by 2014 to meet expected demand.
Competition for professional courses is increasing among students with a view to make a
glorious career in their respective field. Such as, CA, ICWA, CFA etc.
With the overall development of the country, the demand for skilled labour is increasing
which taps the education sector for the same.
Education sector in India provides higher rate of returns with attractive margins considering
volumes and propensity of people to pay for Higher Education.
According to a renowned research and advisory firm KPMG, the industry in India is expected
to grow at robust growth rates of 10 to 15% over next decade.
Government is under process to pass Foreign Education Bill, which will allow foreign
universities to have campuses in India.
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Challenges for PE in Education in India
1. Regulation
At present, the Indian education market, specifically the K-12 and higher education, is
heavily regulated by the government. The unregulated areas include vocational training,
exam preparation, tutoring services, etc. Regulation goes hand in hand with accreditation
– if an institution wants to be accredited, it will need to subject itself to a government
mandated intake acceptance quota and follow rules related to affirmative action for the
underprivileged classes of people. While public institutions have to fully comply, even
private institutions have limited choice for fear of losing accreditation and/or lower
intake quota. Accredited institutions have a higher draw of students as the students feel
that they are getting an internationally recognized degree. Archaic rules mandate all
formal educational institutes in India to be run as ‗not-for-profit‘ centres under a society
(registration under the Societies Registration Act 1860) or a public trust (Registration
Act 1908). Any investment in an accredited institution, such as an education trust, will
limit the ability to exit from that investment as distributions of dividends cannot be
made. In such cases, the PE firm sets up another vehicle external to the trust that
provides services to the trust.
2. Corruption
We see corruption as another big challenge to PE firm operation in India. Nicholas
Macksey (SVP, Barings Private Equity Asia) and Simon Griffith (Partner, EQT Asia)
during a panel forum on PE in Asia at INSEAD, both cited corruption as a huge problem
in the legitimacy of company operations in India. Most of the accredited private
institutions are notorious for accepting ―donations‖ from individuals to compensate for
shortfall in fees mandated by the government. Not all of the transactions are recorded
and a lot of transactions occur with cash, often with payments for unexplained purposes.
Most school operators do not show this money in their books and effectively siphon off
the excess cash. These institutions have to live within the means of the base fees
collected and not on the donations - a challenge that is difficult to overcome. In the
unregulated education market, this is much less of an issue as the service providers here
do not have any quota to abide by and can thus offer supply to match demand and do not
have to resort to artificial pricing. PE firms have to exercise extreme caution in this area
and have to expend more time in due diligence.
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3. Valuations
Because of the investment interest from large number investors, there is tremendous
competition to seek out and find the best possible deals. The Bombay Stock Exchange
(BSE) index, SENSEX, a reflection of the Indian stock market, has gone from a high of
20,800 in Jan 2008 to a low of 8,200 in Mar 2009 and back to a high of 16,600 today.
This extreme bullishness on the market again has driven up valuations of companies.
However, as more PE poured in it could lead to overcrowding again. This is becoming
more evident as there has been increasingly more shopping around of deals to get a better
price or better terms.
This is especially the case when the founder/promoters have an emotional attachment to
the firm and feel that by shopping around a deal, they may be able to get terms that are
favorable to their position in terms of control.
Government Initiatives
The Indian government is under a process to pass the Foreign Education Bill which would
allow foreign universities to have campuses in India. The Bill, tabled by Mr Kapil Sibal,
Union Human Resource Development Minister would 'regulate the entry and operation of
foreign educational institutions which are imparting, or intend to impart, higher education in
India.' The Bill, if implemented, will not only facilitate the much needed investment in the
education sector, but will also attract foreign students and help India resolve the issue of brain
drain.
Meanwhile, the Government of Australia has strengthened its commitment to India‘s
education sector wherein it would assist the country to satiate its demand for skilled
workforce in the areas of faculty capacity building and curriculum renewal.
Moreover, India wants to set up 14 theme-based universities, encourage research, train
teachers and brand a group of leading educational institutes the 'Indian Ivy League' under the
Obama-Singh 21st Century Knowledge Initiative (OSI), an Indo-US collaboration in the field
of education and training. The government allows up to 100 per cent FDI in education sector.
Road Ahead
India plans to enhance its formally skilled workforce through vocational education and
training from the current 12 per cent to 25 per cent by 2017, thereby adding about 70 million
people in the next five years. Hence, the higher education segment is expected to undergo
intense changes and activities in terms of foreign partnerships and foreign players entering
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the market in the coming years, with Indian players rejuvenating and improvising their
methodology, technology and course content to match the competition. Consulting firm
Technopak is very positive about the growth of the sector and estimates private education
sector alone to grow to US$ 70 billion by 2013 and US$ 115 billion by 2018 in its study 'A
Report Card on India‘s Education Sector'.
Education in Brazil
Introduction
Education in Brazil is regulated by the Federal Government, through the Ministry of
Education, which defines the guiding principles for the organization of education programs.
Local governments are responsible for establishing state and education programs following
the guidelines and using the funding supplied by the federal government.
Today Brazil spends 4.3% of GDP on education, but spending per student is low given the
youthful population skew, the large amount of resources directed toward tertiary education
and high spending on teacher‘s pensions. The educational system suffers from the highest
repetition rate in Latin America and low education attainment. Individuals more than 15 years
old have on average only 4.8 years of schooling. The situation is worse for the poor, who tend
to enter the system late, leave early and repeat more grades. By age 15, poor youths have
completed three years less schooling than the non-poor. The quality of education is a key
issue: Over half of Brazil‘s 15-year-old students are functionally illiterate and close to 80%
fails to perform at basic levels of mathematical competency. The situation is even worse
considering that these tests don‘t include those who are not attending school.
Education Market Size and Trends
Brazil is regarded as one of the largest markets for investing in the education sector in the
whole of South American continent. There are more than 70 million students in Brazil. Out of
the 70 million students, approximately 93% of them are enrolled in receiving basic education
and only 7% of the student population enrol themselves for undergraduate and postgraduate
level education.
Only 8% of the students attain schools, which are run by the Brazilian government, and more
than 19% of students enrol themselves in private schools. This huge difference is mainly
because the there is a vast difference in the quality of education provided by the state-run and
privately-run educational institutes. The state-run quality schools have poor amenities, they
lack quality teaching and non-teaching staff, and the curriculum taught in the government-run
school is very basic and outdated.
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As per the Higher Education census released by the Brazilian government in 2007, the
country had about 2.281 higher educational institutes and a majority of these institutes are run
by private players. This is mainly because the government of Brazil neither had the intention
to invest in the higher education sector nor did it have the essential resources required to
build an educational institute that provides top-class education.
Public education systems across the globe are coming under the hammer with severe
competition coming from the private players. Several private investors are tactfully taking
over the government funded educational institutions and are transforming them into privately
funded profit-making organizations.
Brazil is no exception to this; the education system in Brazil has always been divided
between the public and the private sector. However, due to the Brazilian government‘s focus
to develop other sectors of the country, the education industry in Brazil is bearing the dent.
However, the neoliberal policies introduced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
World Bank following the debt crisis radically transformed the education system of Brazil.
As a result, several private educational institutions have sprung up in different parts of Brazil.
In order to attract foreign direct investment in the educational sector of Brazil the government
provides tax benefits to investors. The Brazilian government provides the same protection to
foreign capital investment as it gives to investments made by Brazilian locals. The Brazil
government has also formulated favorable FDI policies to attract investments.
Thus, the favorable policies of the government and the huge student base, backed by the
substandard education system, provide foreign investors a favorable ground to invest in the
education industry of Brazil.
Incentives for Investing in Brazil Education
The Brazilian economy is one of the fast growing economies in South America. It is also one
of the economies that attract huge foreign direct investments.
Investors investing in Brazil stand a great chance to gain significant returns due to the
following advantageous reasons:
Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world, thus it provides a great student base.
Very little investment by government of Brazil in Education which comprises only 4.3%
of the GDP.
Standard of public education has been dropped and majorities of families are shifting
their children to private schools.
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Education is open to free enterprising under official supervision.
Brazil has a very good political setup. It is a democratic country and has a stable political
system.
It has a very stable currency.
The government of Brazil encourages foreign investment in the country in its diverse
sectors including education. The government provides several incentives to the investors
and allows the investors to have 100% ownership of land and property.
Brazil has a low-skilled labor force. Need to invest to improve quality of education – by
diversifying tertiary education, acquire/adopt the knowledge/technology from abroad.
Challenges for PE in Education in Brazil
Rampant corruption: Transparency international corruption index 0f 3.5, 80 out of 180
nations i.e. slightly behind china and ahead of India and Russia
Brazil government collects multiple taxes with fast changing legislation which affect business
plans and increase risks of contingencies.
Poor infrastructure leads to poor service quality and less customer satisfaction.
High crime rate which also includes illegal drug cartels arise threat of violence.
Conclusion
The more that better-off families pay for education (as they do when they choose
private education), the more the government can use its resources for the poor. (World
Bank 1999a: 19)
This ‗common sense‘ statement is strongly persuasive in promoting policies of privatization,
but can be seen to be highly problematic. Firstly, the statement says nothing about quality:
when public education is only for the poor, or any politically marginalized group, it is likely
to be of a lower quality. Secondly, there is inequity among those paying fees, as quality
varies between different private institutions and is usually linked to cost. State intervention in
the private sector can mitigate some of the inequitable effects of the market, but countries like
Brazil with their weaker state apparatuses have less power to regulate fees, provide grants
and ensure quality. Even the most developed countries have difficulty in compensating for
the poor‘s disadvantage in a highly privatized system.
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Considering the current situation and future prospects of both the country, the education
sector in India seems to be more promising sector with huge potentials for large PE
investments. However, regulatory restrictions have prevented a floodgate of PE investments
in the regulated education market which can be overcome by investment in the non-regulated
educational institutions or by investing in the regulated education institutions through
―innovative structures‖
We conclude by advocating an optimistic position whereby Indian Private Equity players take
advantage of the growth potential of the market in the country. We believe that the first
movers in this sector will have a have a significant market advantage in terms of market
knowledge, deal flow and overall better deal economics.
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5.6. Oil and Gas Sector
Indian Scenario
Oil and gas sector is one of the key catalysts in fuelling the growth of Indian economy. With
a 1.2 billion population and an economy that has consistently at approximately 8 per cent
annually, India's energy needs are increasing fast, warranting a robust demand for oil and
natural gas in the country. India has emerged as the 5th largest refining country in the world,
accounting for 4 per cent of the world's refining capacity. India exported 50 million tonnes
(MT) of refined petroleum products during 2010-11. With our refining capacity increasing
further, this figure is likely to touch about 70 MT by 2014, making India one of the world's
major exporters of petroleum products.
The share of oil and natural gas in India's total primary energy demand is 40 percent. The
planned investments span across the oil and gas value chain including exploration and
production, oil and gas pipelines, petroleum refineries, R-LNG terminals, city gas distribution
networks and petrochemical plants, according to KPMG's November 2011 sector report,
KBuzz.
With an enriched resource position, India ranks second in BMI's upstream business
environment ratings while India shares first place with China in BMI's downstream business
environment ratings. India will account for 12.4 per cent of Asia Pacific regional oil demand
by 2015, while satisfying 11.2 per cent of the supply, as per the BMI forecasts.
In addition, India is also the world's fourth largest importer of oil. The petroleum and natural
gas industry in India has attracted foreign direct investment (FDI) worth US$ 3.280.72
million from April 2000 to September 2011, according to the data provided by Department of
Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP). The Department further recorded US$ 144 million
during April–September 2011-12, in the industry.
Oil & Gas- Market Dynamics
Production and Consumption
From about 22 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) during 2004-05, the import of crude oil
from the African continent has increased to more than 35.31 MT during 2010-11. Investment
in oil and gas sector over next 5 years is expected to reach US$ 65- US$ 70 billion, according
to KPMG's November 2011 sector report, KBuzz.
According to the provisional production data released by the Ministry of Petroleum and
Natural Gas in a press release:
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Crude Oil production was recorded at 22.44 million metric tonnes (MMT) for April-October
2011, as compared to the 21.54 MMT in April-October 2010 Natural Gas production was
28,431.4 million cubic metres (MCM) during April-October 2011
During April-October 2011, 96.95 MMT of crude oil was refined, compared to 93.58 MMTof
oil refined during corresponding period in 2010.
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) has the onus to maximise domestic oil production,
which in 2010 stood at 909,000 b/d of estimated average. Due to incredible efforts made by
ONGC and UK-based Cairn Energy, BMI predicts oil production at around 1.2 million b/d by
2013 in its report for the third quarter (Q3) of 2011.
Oil consumption in India is projected to increase by 4-5 per cent per annum by 2015,
indicating a demand of 4.01 million b/d by 2015.
Diesel & Petrol
India's fuel demand may rise 3.8 per cent in 2012 led by diesel and petrol (gasoline), as per
International Energy Agency‘s (IEA) forecast. Diesel comprises for about 40 per cent of the
total fuel consumption in India. Its demand is expected to increase to 1.37 million b/d in 2011
rising by 5.8 per cent and further to 1.44 million b/d in 2012, increasing by 5.5 per cent.
India's petroleum refining capacity is expected to rise to 240 MTPA by March 2012 from the
current 188 MTPA, attracting an estimated investment of US$ 13.5 billion - US$ 14.6 billion.
This will boost the country's exports of petroleum products, according to Mr S Sundereshan,
Secretary, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. Moreover, demand for petrol is expected
to expand by 7.6 per cent (363,000 b/d) in 2011 and eventually by 6.7 per cent (388,000 b/d)
in 2012. The Ministry of Petroleum anticipates a growth of 4.6 per cent in the sale of oil
products in the FY12.
Gas
The natural gas demand in India is expected to increase from current 166 million standard
cubic meters per day to 320 million standard cubic meters per day by 2015, as per Global
consultancy firm McKinsey's analysis.
India's share (in the Asian pacific region) of gas consumption in 2010 was an estimated 10.9
per cent, while its share of production is estimated at 11.1 per cent, according to BMI's Q3
2011 report. BMI expects that the India's share of gas consumption would reach to 11.7 per
cent by 2015 while that of supply would stand at 13.1 per cent.
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Gas consumption is expected to increase from an estimated 55 billion cubic metres (BCM) in
2010 to 76 BCM in 2015, while domestic production is anticipated to increase from around
45 BCM in 2010 to at least 73 BCM in 2015.
City Gas Distribution (CGD) is another downstream segment set to see a spurt in investment
opportunities, due to increased availability of cheap domestic gas and favourable government
policies. The PNGRB has plans to expand the CGD network to 100 Geographical Areas (GA)
by 2012 and to more than 240 GA in the next five years.
Liquified natural gas (LNG) re-gasification terminals have been planned at Mundra and
Ennore that would require capex investments of about US$ 4 billion by 2015.
Oil & Gas - Key Developments and Investments
India and Nepal have decided to take forward the proposal to build a 41 kilometers (kms)
petroleum pipeline between the two countries at a cost of about Rs 100 crore (US$ 19.23
million). The pipeline is to be laid between Raxaul in Bihar to Amlekhgunj in Nepal
Kerala State Industrial Development Corporation Ltd (KSIDC) has partnered with Gail Gas
Ltd to set up a joint venture (JV) company, to implement Supplementary Gas Infrastructure
in Kerala. The JV company formed is known as Kerala Gail Gas Ltd (KGGL)
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation's (ONGC) overseas investment arm, ONGC Videsh, sealed
a deal to take 25 per cent stake in Kazakhstan's Satpayev acreage in the Caspian Sea, marking
India's first firm foothold in the hydrocarbons-rich Central Asia
Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) and British Petroleum Plc (BP) on November 21, 2011, have
announced the formation of India Gas Solutions, an equal joint venture (JV) that would focus
on global sourcing and marketing of natural gas in India
Gas Authority of India Ltd (GAIL), the country's largest marketer and transporter of natural
gas, has become the first Government-owned energy company to get a foothold in the US
market. It has entered into a deal with Carrizo Oil and Gas Inc for acquiring 20 per cent stake
in Eagle Ford shale acreage.
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) plans to achieve refining capacity of nearly 42
MT by 2015-16 where the focus will be on low-cost expansions. These initiatives on the
refining front will form part of BPCL's Rs 40,000 crore (US$ 7.67 billion) investment outlay
over the next five years.
India has grown phenomenonally from 194 MTPA currently, and this is projected to reach
238 MTPA by 2013. The boost in refining capacity will be initiated by BPCL and its partner
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with a 120,000 b/d refinery coming up at Bina in Madhya Pradesh. In 2011, HPCL and Mittal
will commission an 180,000 b/d plant at Bathinda in Punjab.
Essar Oil will be expanding its capacity of Vadinar refinery from 300,000 b/d to 375,000 b/d
in 2012, while Nagarjuna Oil and Indian Oil will be adding capacities of 120,000 b/d and
300,000 b/d, respectively, by 2012-13.
Oil & Gas - Government Initiatives The India Hydrocarbon Vision 2025 envisages a demand of about 391 million standard cubic
feet per day (MMSCMD) of gas by the year 2020-25. The current production of natural gas
in the country is about 150 MMSCMD and is expected to go up to about 192 MMSCMD by
the year 2011-12.
New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP), implemented by Government of India, permits
100 per cent FDI for small and medium sized oil fields via competitive bidding
Public-private partnerships (PPP) as well as only private investments can foray into the
refining sector. In case of an Indian private company, 100 per cent FDI is allowed
100 per cent FDI is allowed for petroleum products and pipeline sector as well as natural gas/
LNG pipeline, for infrastructure related to marketing of petroleum products, market study of
formulation and investment financing
Minimum 26 per cent equity is covered over five years, in case of trading and marketing
The Government is determined to protect the interest of common man while providing
quality petroleum products at reasonable prices, asserted Mr S Jaipal Reddy, Minister of
Petroleum and Natural Gas in a recent meeting. He further added that with a view to reduce
burden on consumers as well as oil marketing companies (OMCs), the Government has
eradicated the Customs Duty on Crude Oil and trimmed Customs Duty on petroleum
products by 5 per cent. Excise Duty on diesel was also reduced by US$ 0.056 per litre
Oil & Gas - Road Ahead
India's demand for liquid petroleum products is projected to grow at a 4.7 per cent compound
annual growth rate (CAGR), during the next five years, while the demand for gas is expected
to grow at a CAGR of 14 per cent. Presently, natural gas accounts for around 10 per cent of
India's primary energy basket. India is also increasing its current RLNG re-gasification
capacity from the current 13 MTPA to well over 30 MTPA by 2015. To carry gas across the
length and breadth of India, 8,000 kms of gas pipelines are being laid while another 5,000
kms are under the bidding process. All these are pointers to the attractiveness of India as a
stable gas market with an assured demand.
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India's oil companies are present in around 24 countries including Egypt, Kenya, Uganda,
Tanzania and Mauritius. The total overseas investment by our public sector oil undertakings
is about US$ 13 billion which includes two pipeline projects in Sudan and Myanmar. India
being a US$ 1.8 trillion economy, aims to grow steadily at 8-9 per cent per annum, it seeks
to build a long term partnership with oil rich African countries to meet its growing energy
needs.
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Chapter 6
Findings and Suggestions
130
1) The most important matter in healthcare is that it is prohibited for foreign direct
investment thereby we would like to suggest the government that if they can open it
for F.D.I , the situation in this sector can be improved.
2) The government should try to improve the public health system in brazil as patients
have to wait in long queue.
3) Even though the public health care spending is constantly increasing, the access of the
population towards the healthcare facility is very low as compare to other countries so
government should try to penetrate to the remote areas in order to increase the
coverage.
4) Private equity is an alternative modal to public companies that place unique role in
helping transform companies & remove inefficiencies.
5) In Brazil there are prohibitions in the development of activities involving nuclear
energy, health services, post office & telegraph services & aero space industry so,
there is no opportunity of foreign investment in these sectors.
6) Total No. of cities in Brazil where there is no development of BRTS facilities.
7) Brazil requires Metro facility.
8) Ports are not developed in Brazil and it is overworked also because it requires
technology up- gradations.
9) Despite of spending of government , there is insignificant growth in infrastructure.
10) Find out reasons why Brazil lacks stable and credible regulatory environment which
impacts on the private sector infrastructure investments.
11) Improve Infrastructure size as per market size because Brazil has large market size.
12) Oil and gas investment in private equity should be defined.
13) IT industry has the huge potential to be the most attractive sector for private equity
players for investment.
14) One of the weakness of the economic system of brazil is income inequality. It has a
negative effect in the country and it makes difficult for lower people to increase their
living standards. Thus the government should make or develop a tax system which
distributes the income equally.
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15) The rate of crime is very much higher in Brazil. It creates a negative image of a
country in front of the world. Thus government should take strict action against the
criminals so as to reduce the crime.
16) The country can use its youth population in the politics. As the population of the
youth is comparatively very low.
17) There is a very strong correlation between light color and higher income, education
and social status. Just a few blacks reach positions of wealth, prestige and power,
except in the arts and sports.
18) The investments in science and technology of the previous years were insufficient to
ward off the forthcoming debt crisis and uncontrolled inflation. Thus government
should attract the foreign investors to increase the level of science and technology.
19) Our Hypothesis suggested that opportunities for private equity players in brazil is
more than India
20) Role of international private equity players in brazil is as low as 5% there by there is
a scope for them to improve their position and tap the opportunities in brazil.
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Chapter 7
Conclusion & Future Scope
133
This report studies various sectors of Brazil where Indian Private Equity players have
opportunities. The major sectors which are mainly covered under this Report is
1) Healthcare
2) Infrastructure
3) Information Technology
4) Agriculture
Out of these 4 sectors, there are 3 sectors where Indian Private Equity players have
opportunities where as there is only sector where Indian Private Equity players don‘t have
opportunities. As we are studying the opportunity for Indian private equity players, we have
to compare these sectors with Indian sectors.
The sectors where Indian Private Equity players have opportunity are
1) Healthcare
2) Infrastructure
3) Information Technology
Sectors (Opportunity)
a) Healthcare
Health care sector in Brazil is having huge potential for Indian Private Equity players
but the problem with this sector is government restrictions on FDI. As FDI is ban in
this sector, it restricts the Indian Private Equity players from investing,
The Opportunity can be taped by Indian players only if there is any change in the
regulations or in the FDI policy by the Brazilian government.
b) Infrastructure
The Infrastructure sector is on the high front and is expected to boom mainly because
of two reasons
FIFA World Cup 2014
This event will receive almost R$ 105 billion in investment projects. The investment
will be required mainly in the area of Development of Airports and constructions and
modernization of Stadiums.
CONCLUSION
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Olympic Games 2016
The Rio Olympic Games of 2016 are expected to see an investment of R$ 30 billion.
Rio de Janeiro plans to develop a better metro system for easy and safe access to the
game site. In order to house the millions of new tourists the city projects it will need
about 300 hotels, or 86 thousand new rooms.
c) Information Technology
The Brazilian IT market represents an attractive opportunity for private equity
investments. Brazilian IT industry in 2011 should grow 13.1% - almost double the
global rate of growth of 7% - to reach total revenues of US$39 billion. Brazil has
extensive experience in technology outsourcing, with a well developed local market in
information technology outsourcing (ITO) and business process outsourcing (BPO).
The offshore ITO and BPO markets potentially represent a significant growth
opportunity for developing countries as major global players continue to increase their
presence in a few well-positioned in Brazil
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FUTURE OPPORTUNITY IN BRAZIL FOR PRIVATE EQUITY &
INVESTMENT
There used to be a saying about Brazil, it is the country of the future and will always be. But
it appears that now the future of the Country has arrived.
In the last two years, Investment firms have taken notice of Brazil‘s growth and have been
increasing their activity in the country. For local PE firms already active in the market, this
means a time of unprecedented deal flow and new opportunities. For mega firms with the
interest and the resources but not necessarily significant experience investing in Brazil, it
means opening new offices, raising new funds, adding new professionals who are familiar
with the local market and putting assets to work in handful of initial deals.
Brazil‘s rising status on Investors‘ lists and increasing prominence in the global arena are a
confluence of many factors: favourable demographics, vast natural resources, a stable
political climate and significant infrastructure needs, which are combining to drive interest
and activity.
Brazil has the largest population in Latin America
Brazil has nearly 200 million people, making it the most populous country in Latin America
and providing an ample workforce to sustain the country‘s rising exports. Equally important,
it represents a growing market for consumer goods and services. Government policies
designed to assist the poor through direct subsidies, as well as a nationally mandated
minimum wage, have added additional consumers to Brazil‘s middle class. As a result,
private consumption is expected to outpace the country‘s overall growth rate for the
foreseeable future. Brazil‘s population is young by developed-nation standards and
increasingly mobile. Many workers are reversing a long-standing trend of north-to-south
migration, as more employers locate in the less-developed northern regions.
Maturation of Brazil‘s capital markets
Brazil‘s capital markets have undergone a significant maturation over the last decade,
inspiring confidence in investors worldwide. Increased transparency in the banking system
has enabled better oversight by the country‘s central bank and regulators. Brazil‘s bank
settlement system now operates in real time, enabling regulators to see issues as they emerge
and take appropriate action before problems escalate. Likewise, Brazil‘s financial markets
have undergone a transformation in recent years that has emboldened investors. Changes to
rules for publicly traded companies have empowered minority shareholders and improved
corporate governance. Among the most important of these is Brazil‘s convergence with IFRS.
Listed companies in Brazil are now beginning to report their consolidated financial
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statements under IFRS, as are Brazil‘s financial institutions. The increase in transparency,
reliability, and comparability with a growing number of international adoptees is likely to
draw even more foreign investors to Brazil in the coming years. Already the BM&FBovespa
boasts a market capitalization in excess of US$1.1 trillion. While still small relative to larger
exchanges (the NYSE has a market cap of approximately US$12 trillion), it demonstrates the
impact that regulatory changes can have in attracting investors to Brazil.
Industry fragmentation and family succession issues
Certain industries in Brazil are characterized by a high degree of fragmentation - as such,
they can present rich opportunities for investors with the expertise and resources to
effectively consolidate. Sectors including education, healthcare, and retail are defined by
large numbers of smaller firms competing for market share, providing fertile ground for PE
roll-ups. One reason for the lack of industry concentration is the number of family-owned
business operating in Brazil. Like much of Latin America, family-owned businesses
dominate Brazil‘s small and- medium-size business landscape, and family succession issues
have historically driven a great deal of Brazil‘s PE activity. Many businesses are now several
generations removed from their founders, and with growing social mobility and increasing
opportunities for children of business owners, traditions of passing down the enterprise to
successive generations have diminished over time. Even many family-owned businesses
without succession issues are in need of PE; the lending markets in Brazil are significantly
underdeveloped and PE represents a viable source of growth capital to take their businesses
to the next level – attracting top talent in the form of professional management, making
capital improvements, acquiring competitors, and entering new markets.
Multiple industries with outsized growth potential
While Brazil‘s economy as a whole has outpaced those of developed nations, not all
industries are growing at the same rate. The country has many sectors that provide investors
with a risk/ reward profile that they would have difficulty duplicating in more advanced
economies. For example, energy, agriculture, consumer goods, manufacturing, technology
and the budding renewable industry all represent high-growth opportunities in Brazil. Brazil‘s
vast natural resources are well known, but they remain full with potential. Brazil grows crops
on just 20% of its cultivatable land. Additionally, recently discovered oil reserves are driving
investment in the region. In 2007, Brazil‘s state controlled oil company announced that it had
discovered new oil deposits that could contain more than 33 million barrels of oil, opening
the door to increased investment in oil service companies, transport and storage. At the same
time, investment in renewables in emerging economies grew from less than US$2 billion in
2001 to over US$65 billion in 2009, with Brazil alone raking in over US$7 billion. Over 84%
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of the country‘s domestic automotive fleet is accommodative of ethanol, and with a growing
number of foreign vehicles running on ethanol as well, investment is expected to grow.
Significant need for infrastructure investment
Brazil‘s infrastructure is in need of substantial investment. Less than 10% of the country‘s
highways are paved and most are in poor condition. Population migration is increasing the
need for water and utilities projects in urban centres. The rise in the number of the middle
class translates into increased consumption, which can be witnessed in the significantly
increased volume of automobile purchases. Many of these are by first-time buyers. As there
is limited mass transit, the increase in autos will create more congestion on already busy
roadways. The Lula administration‘s Growth Acceleration Program, which initially allocated
US$250 billion in government funds toward investment in transport, housing, sanitation and
water supply infrastructure between 2007 and 2011, was recently renewed for another three
years, with an additional US$880 billion commitment. At the same time, the World Cup in
2014 and the 2016 Olympics are estimated to require an additional US$50 billion in
investment. While a small percentage is earmarked for stadium development, much more will
be spent on inter-urban transport, including airports and roads, urban transport and sanitation.
In fact, more than 1,600 separate projects have already been identified for the World Cup.
Brazil‘s Oil Boom
Before the pré-sal finds, which started in 2007, the country‘s total proven and probable
reserves were 20 billion barrels. Conservative estimates for the total recoverable pré-sal oil
now come in at 50 billion barrels: a little less than everything in the North Sea, all in the
waters of one country. Optimists expect three times as much. ―In the pré-sal area, our
exploration has a success rate of 87%, compared with a world average of 20% to 25% for the
industry,‖ says Sergio Gabrielli, the president of Petrobras, Brazil‘s state-controlled oil
company. (The Economist)
Conclusion
Even though experts are pointing towards a strong deceleration in emerging market growth,
and alternative opportunities for investors, Brazil still seems like a place to bet one‘s cash
on. With the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Olympics coming up, ―voracious‖ commodity
demand from East Asia and especially China, Brazilians could be right to stop thinking about
the future, as the CFO of Petrobras told to the forbs.com, ―the future is now.‖
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www.countrystudies.com
1) International Monetary Fund- 2011 World Economic Outlook
2) www.indexmundi.com
3) www.countrystudies.com
4) Private equity trend report 2012
5) Morgan Stanley Research report-2010
6) Private equity in brazil report-2011
7) www.geographia.com/brazil/brazihistory.htm
8) en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Brazil
9) www.ey.com/.../Private_Equity...Brazil/.../EY_Private_Equity_in_Brazil
10) www.brazilprivateequity.com.br/
11) www.ey.com › Home › Industries › Private Equity
12) www.insead.edu/...private_equity.../INSEAD_PwC_BrazilPEreport.
13) www.terrapinn.com/2012/private-equity-world-brasil/index.stm
Chapter-8-
BIBLIOGRAPHY