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A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development Inner City Economic Summit October 4 th , 2011 Professor Michael E. Porter Initiative for a Competitive Inner City

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Page 1: A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development Files/2011-1004---ICEF_4ac4… · A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development Inner City Economic Summit

A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development

Inner City Economic SummitOctober 4th, 2011

Professor Michael E. PorterInitiative for a Competitive Inner City

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Background

Current economic development has shifted from national to regional strategies; with these are growing federal efforts around building regional clusters

This development is a great step forward

However, the country’s most distressed urban cores also require specific economic development strategies

Over almost two decades, ICIC has learned a great deal about what works and does not work in inner cities

We need to better integrate what we know about inner city economies to enhance inner city growth within the regional framework

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 1

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I. Why Focus on the Inner City?

II. Why a Cluster-based Approach for Economic Growth?

III. A Cluster Strategy for Inner CitiesA. OverviewB. Examples

Agenda

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 2

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0.1% of U.S.land area

31% of U.S. minority poverty

19% of U.S. poverty

8% of U.S.population

Poverty, especially minority poverty is concentrated in Inner cities

Targeting poverty in inner cities allows wholesale rather than retail approach to poverty reduction

Inner Cities and Poverty

Source: U.S. Census 2000, ICIC analysis Copyright © 2011 ICIC 3

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Contiguous census tracts in central cities that are economically distressed, as defined by having:

ICIC has tracked the performance of inner cities in 100 of the largest U.S. Cities

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What is an Inner City?

Definition of Inner City

100 Largest U.S. Cities Example: Cleveland, OH

Inner CityCentral City

Poverty rate 20% or higher Poverty rate 1.5 times or more than the MSA

Median household income 50% or less than the MSA Unemployment rate 1.5 times or more than the MSA

Two of three other criteria:or

Source: State of the Inner City Economy Database (SICE) Database 2000, ICIC analysis Copyright © 2011 ICIC 4

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Inner cities have a younger and more diverse population than the rest of the U.S., and they are also important sites for minority-owned businesses

Inner Cities: Key Facts

Inner Cities U.S.

51%

60%

12%

42%

23%

81%

31%

18%

54%

80%

24%

33%

11%

31%

9%

High School Degree

College Attainment

Minority Population

Population Under 25

Minority Business Ownership40-45%

Foreign-born

Firms with <5 Employees

Average Firm Size19 Employees 16 Employees

Source: State of the Inner City Economy Database (SICE) Database 2000, ICIC analysis Copyright © 2011 ICIC 5

Poverty Rate

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Progress on Poverty Rates in Inner Cities, 2000-2009

Note: In some inner cities, changes in poverty levels may be largely attributed to population migrationsSource: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, American Community Survey 2005-2009; ICIC analysis

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 6

Red

uctio

n in

Pov

erty

Rat

e, 2

000-

2009

Riv

ersi

de

Los

Ang

eles

Bro

okly

n/Q

ueen

sN

ewar

k

Was

hing

ton,

DC

Bos

ton

Chi

cago

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Inner City Average = 1.4%

Increased in povertyDecreased in poverty

Rest of U.S. Average = 1.2%

Page 8: A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development Files/2011-1004---ICEF_4ac4… · A Cluster-based Approach to Inner City Economic Development Inner City Economic Summit

Inner Cities: Employment Growth

Inner cities have experienced a net job loss over the past decade

Net Job Growth 1998-2009

Number Percentage CAGR

Rest of U.S. +5,900,000 7.2% 0.6%

Rest of Central City +700,000 4.2% 0.4%

Inner City -300,000 -3.3% -0.3%

100 Largest Inner Cities vs. Rest of U.S. (1998-2009)

95

100

105

110

115

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Inner CitiesRest of Central CityRest of U.S.

Job Growth (1998 = 100)

Source: State of the Inner City Economy Database (SICE) Database 2000, ICIC analysis Copyright © 2011 ICIC 7

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Why Inner City Jobs Matter

Inner City Residents Hold: Creating 100 New Jobs for Inner CityResidents Would Require:

450 inner city jobs

850 jobs in the rest of the central city

1,450 jobs in the rest of the region

22% of jobs in the inner city

11% of jobs in rest of the central city

7% of jobs in the rest of the region

“Jobs anywhere” are not enough. Often inner city residents cannot access jobs in the rest of the region

Inner city-based firms hire disproportionally more inner city residents

Source: U.S. Census Special Tabulation; ICIC analysis Copyright © 2011 ICIC 8

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Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis

Employment Growth in Inner Cities: Growing Regional Employment is Not Enough

y = 0.5752x - 0.0741R² = 0.1932

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

-20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Inne

r City

Em

ploy

men

t Gro

wth

, 199

8-20

09

Rest of MSA Employment Growth, 1998-2009

The correlation between regional and inner city growth is only 20%

Only 18 out of 100 inner cities outperformed the rest of their regions

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 9

Better than MSA

Worse than MSA

Washington, DC

Corpus ChristiSan Diego

Raleigh

Riverside

Las Vegas

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Summary: Improving Inner City Economic Performance

Inner cities have suffered a net loss of jobs over the past decade

82% of inner cities have performed worse than their regions

The conventional growing regional jobs is helpful but not sufficient

Inner cities require specific strategies for economic growth and job creation

Inner city jobs strategies must match the skills of inner city residents

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 10

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II. The Need for Cluster-based Approaches to Economic and Job Growth

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 11

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Three Drivers of Competitiveness and Economic Performance

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 12

Conditions for inputs, competitive dynamics, demand, and supporting industries that encourage growth

Typical policies include investments in logistics, infrastructure, higher education systems, or corporate tax policy

Develop and upgrade geographically concentrated groups of interconnected companies and associated institutions in a particular field, e.g., biotech in MA or energy in Houston

Typical policies include targeted workforce development, export promotion, and specialized infrastructure and research initiatives

New focus for economic development policy

Assist individual firms in improving their competitiveness

Typical policies include SBA loans, technical assistance throughdSBDCs, HUBZones, location incentives, and subsidies

Business Environment

Clusters: Groups of Related Firms

Individual Firms

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What is a Cluster?: Example of the Food Cluster

Source: ICIC/Karp/Next Street Food Cluster Project

Local/Regional Independent Wholesalers

Food Safety Regulation(FDA, Food Safety Modernization Act; USDA, Food Safety and Inspection Service)

Federal Nutrition Regulation and Subsidy(WIC, School Lunches, Farm-to-School Policies, SNAP, Community Food Projects

Fish and Fish Products

Agricultural Production

Processing

Local Land Conditions: Zoning, building availability, use restrictions (agriculture, processing)

Local Procurement Standards(e.g., schools, hospitals, government)

Foundations(e.g., support for food-related Initiatives)

WholesaleAggregators and Distribution

Non-Agricultural Ingredients

Packaging

Machinery

Inspections and Certifications

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 13

Retail

Food Services and Catering

Restaurants

National Independent Wholesalers

Distribution Centers

Terminal and Other Markets

Jobbers

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Why Clusters Matter

Source: Porter/Stern/Delgado (2010), Porter (2003)

Clusters increase productivity

– Efficient access to specialized inputs, services, employees, information, institutions, training programs, and other “public goods”

Clusters encourage new business formation

– Easier commercialization of new products and greater opportunities for starting new companies due to available skills, suppliers, etc.

Cluster policy leverages policy investments over numerous companies

– Investments in training, information, export promotion, etc. will benefit many companies across a range of industries

Cluster policies are less distortive than those aimed at individual firms or industries

Cluster policy does not pick firm or cluster winners

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 14

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Strong Clusters Drive Regional Economic Performance

Source: Porter/Stern/Delgado (2010), Porter (2003)

Specialization in strong clusters

Breadth of industries within each cluster

Strength in related clusters

Presence of a region’s clusters in neighboring regions

Faster job growth

Higher wages

Higher patenting rates

Greater new business formation, growth and survival

Build on existing and emerging clusters rather than chase hot fields

Economic diversification usually occurs within clusters and across related clusters

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 15

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Aligning Economic Policy and Clusters

Specialized Physical Infrastructure

Natural Resource Protection

Environmental Improvement

Science & Technology Investments (e.g., Centers, University Departments)

Education and Workforce TrainingBusiness Attraction

Export Promotion

Clusters provide a framework for organizing the implementation of many public policies and public investments to achieve greater effectiveness

Standard Setting / CertificationOrganizations

ClustersClusters

Source: Porter (2008) Copyright © 2011 ICIC 16

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III. The Role of Cluster Strategies in Inner Cities

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 17

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Types of Clusters

Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis, Porter (2010)

Traded Clusters Local Clusters

Definition Compete to serve national and international markets

Serve almost exclusively the local market. Not directly exposed to cross-regional competition

Representative Clusters – Life sciences– Transportation and logistics

– Local health services– Local retail

– High wage jobs– Higher productivity and

innovation potential

– Maximum job creation– Jobs that match resident skills

Relative Productivity 144.1 79.3National Annual Wage (2009) $56,900 $37,280

National Wage Growth (1998 – 2009) 9.8% 6.2%Patents (per 10,000 employees) 23.0 0.4

Share of National Employment (2009) 27% 72%Share of Inner City Employment (2009) 26% 74%

National Employment Growth (1998-2009) -3.5% +11.4%Inner City Employment Growth (1998-2009) -9.6% +0.4%

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 18

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Note: Clusters with overlapping borders or identical shading have at least 20% overlap (by number of industries) in both directions.Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis.

Clusters in Inner Cities: Traded Clusters

FurnitureBuilding Fixtures,

Equipment & Services

Fishing & Fishing Products

Hospitality & TourismAgricultural

Products

Transportation & Logistics

Plastics

Oil & Gas

Chemical Products

Biopharma-ceuticals

Power Generation

Lightning & ElectricalEquipment

Financial Services

Publishing & Printing

Entertainment

Information Tech.

Communi-cations

Equipment

Business Services

DistributionServices

Forest Products

Heavy Construction

Services

ConstructionMaterials

Prefabricated Enclosures

Heavy Machinery

Sporting & Recreation

Goods

Automotive

Production TechnologyMotor Driven

Products

Mining & Metal Manufacturing

Textiles

Footwear

Processed Food

Medical Devices

Analytical InstrumentsEducation &

Knowledge Creation

Apparel

Leather & Related Products

>2 LQ in Inner Cities>1 LQ in Inner Cities

Traded clusters are key for economic well-being, and we will continue to study them

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 19

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The Importance of Local Clusters in Inner City Employment Growth

Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC Analysis. *Benchmark employment is calculated by applying industry growth rates of the region to the inner city.

4%

14%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Actual MatchingRegional Growth

Inne

r City

Em

ploy

men

t Gro

wth

, 199

8-20

08

-2%

5%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Actual MatchingRegional Growth

Local Clusters Traded Clusters

190,000 jobs

620,000 jobs

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 20

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Clusters in Inner Cities: Local Clusters

Local clusters represent a wide range of activities serving businesses and communities

-1.5%

-1.0%

-0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

-4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0%U.S. Historical Growth, 1998-2009 CAGR

Inne

r City

His

toric

al G

row

th, 1

998-

2009

CA

GR

Local health services

Local real estate

Local commercial services

Local community and civic organizations

Local hospitality establishments

Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis.

Local entertainment and media

Local financial services

Local retail clothing

Local logistical services

Local personal services

Local food and beverage

Local motor vehicle products and services

Local utilities

Local industrial products and services

Local household products and services

Local education and training

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 21

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$14

$19

$20

$24

$27

$27

$30

$31

$31

$36

$37

$43

$46

$46

$50

$50

$56

$67

$0 $20 $40 $60

Local Hospitality

Local Retail Clothing

Local Personal Services

Local Community and Civic Orgs

Local Education and Training

Local Food and Beverage

Local Entertainment and Media

Local Motor Vehicle Products and…

Local Household Goods and Services

Local Logistical Services

Average Local Cluster Wage

National Average

Local Health Services

Local Real Estate

Local Industrial Products and…

Local Commercial Services

Local Financial Services

Local Utilities

Average Annual Wage, 2009 ($k)

Local Cluster Job Accessibility

Educational Requirements by Cluster Type

41% 45%

30%32%

29%23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Traded Clusters Local Clusters

% o

f Wor

kers

Local Cluster Average Wages

Source: SICE; BLS; ICIC Analysis.

High School or Less

Some College

College or Higher

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 22

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Local ClustersBusiness-to-Consumer

(B2C)Business-to-Business (B2B)

andHybrid (B2B/B2C)

Definition – Serves local consumers – Serves both local consumers and local businesses

Representative Clusters – Local health services– Local hospitality establishments

– Local commercial services– Local logistical services– Local utilities– Local real estate

– Offers important entry-level jobs– Promotes availability of goods

and services

– Offers middle-wage jobs– Strengthens business

environment

Share of National Employment (2009) 40% 33%

Share of Inner City Employment (2009) 38% 35%

National Employment Growth (1998-2009) +15.4% +6.8%

Inner City Employment Growth (1998-2009) +6.6% -5.7%

National Average Annual Wage (2009) $33,000 $43,000

Type of Local Clusters

Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis.

When analyzing local clusters, it is important to distinguish between those that serve primarily businesses and those that serve primarily consumers

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 23

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Copyright © 2011 ICIC 24

Local B2B Cluster Gap Analysis

Each inner city has different cluster strengths and weaknesses

ICIC is mapping B2B strengths and weaknesses for 100 inner cities nationwide

Source: State of the Inner City Economies (SICE) Database, ICIC analysis.

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000

Total Employment Potential, Given Demand

Local Food and Beverage

Local Logistical Services

Local Commercial Services

Local Industrial Products and Services

Surplus

Gap

Cur

rent

Em

ploy

men

t (20

08)

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000

Cur

rent

Em

ploy

men

t (20

08)

Total Employment Potential, Given Demand

Local Food and Beverage

Local Logistical Services

Local Commercial Services

Local Industrial Products and Services

Surplus

Gap

Inner City Boston, MAInner City Chicago, IL

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Evolution of Inner City Cluster Strategy

Local B2C Clusters Local B2B Clusters

Traded Clusters

Greater focus on B2B clusters such as local commercial services

These clusters provide higher-wage jobs and improve the operating environment for businesses

Grow B2C clusters such as local retail that serve local populations and improve quality of life

These jobs provide the most accessible entry-level jobs

ICIC and others spent a decade addressing the inner city retail gap, lending to good progress

Focus on traded clusters that are advantaged by inner city locations, such as logistics and hospitality

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 25

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Define the Value Proposition

Every City Requires a Specific Urban Economic Development Strategy

What is the distinctive competitive position ofthe geography given its location, legacy, existing strengths, and potential strengths?

– What unique value as a business location?– For what types of activities and clusters?

Develop Unique Strengths Achieve and Maintain Parity with Peers

What elements of the businessenvironment can be unique strengths relative to peers/neighbors?

What existing and emerging clustersrepresent local strengths?

What weaknesses must be addressed to remove key constraints and achieve parity with peer locations?

Economic strategy requires setting priorities and moving beyond long lists of separate recommendations

Source: Porter “New Hampshire Competitiveness: Creating a State Economic Strategy” (August 2011) Copyright © 2011 ICIC 26

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Focus on attracting new investments Also support greater local investment by existing companies

Compete for every plant/investment Reinforce areas of specialization and emerging cluster strength

Offer generalized tax breaks Provide state support for training, infrastructure, and institutions with enduringbenefits

Provide subsidies to lower / offset business costs

Improve the efficiency of doing business

Every city and sub-region for itself Harness efficiencies and coordination acrossjurisdictions, especially with neighbors

Government drives investment attraction Government and the private sector collaborate to build cluster strength

Tactical (Zero Sum Competition)

Strategic(Positive Sum Competition)

Building an Economic Strategy: Evolving Thinking

Source: Porter “New Hampshire Competitiveness: Creating a State Economic Strategy” (August 2011) Copyright © 2011 ICIC 27

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Harnessing the New Process of Economic Development

Old Model

Government drives economic development through policy decisions and incentives

New Model

Economic development is a collaborative process involving government at multiple levels, companies, teaching and research institutions, and private sector organizations

Competitiveness is the result of both top-down and bottom-up processes in which many companies and institutions take responsibility

Source: Porter “New Hampshire Competitiveness: Creating a State Economic Strategy” (August 2011) Copyright © 2011 ICIC 28

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Strengthening Inner Cities within Regional Frameworks

Business Environment

Clusters: Groups of Related Firms

Individual Firms

Work to improve business environment

Focus on inner city and regional cluster strengths

Include local clusters

Strengthen relationships between inner city firms and leading cluster actors

Create linkages with capital access and business development services

Copyright © 2011 ICIC 29Source: Based on Lynch and Kamins, “Creating Equity: Does Regionalism Have an Answer for Urban Poverty? Can It?”, September 2011