a case-control study of household air pollution and ......a case-control study of household air...
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Acase-controlstudyofhouseholdairpollutionandtuberculosisinwomenandyoungchildreninurbanIndia
JessicaElf,PhDMPHPostdoctoralFellow
JohnsHopkinsSchoolofMedicineSchroederInstituteatTruthInitiative
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
- 9.6millionincidentcases,1.5milliondeaths
• 88%ofnewcasesand73%ofTBdeathswereinHIV-uninfected
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Background
Lonnroth_Soc Sci Med_2009WHO_Global TBReport_2015
DiseaseofPoverty
- Mostprevalentamongthoseinpoorsocialandeconomicconditions
- Socialdeterminantsincreasingriskforinfectionà disease
ü Undernutrition
ü TobaccoSmoking
ü Crowding
ü AlcoholAbuse
??HouseholdAirPollution
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
HouseholdAirPollution(HAP)- Complexmixofby-productsfromhousehold-basedcombustion
• Somemajorcontributors:Cooking/heatingfuel,SHS,mosquitocoils
- Associatedwithotherrespiratorydiseases:ALRI,COPD,asthma,lungcancer
à NotdefinitivelyassociatedwithTB• Meta-analysis:OR1.6(95%CI:0.7-3.6)whenrestrictedto
females
• Lakshmi2012(India):3.14(95%CI:1.15– 8.56)
• Pohkrel 2010(Nepal):OR1.21(95%CI:0.48– 3.05)o KeroseneStove:OR3.36(95%CI:1.01-11.22)
Gordon_Lancet_2014Sussan_2014
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
StudyLocationIndia
- 2.2millionincidentcases(23%ofglobalburden)
- 220,000deaths
- TBepidemicnotdrivenbyHIV
- 64%ofIndianhouseholdsusebiomassfuels(Rural:81%;Urban:26%)
PuneDistrict
- LargedistrictlocatedinstateofMaharastra
- 5.7millionurban,3.7millionrural
- AnnualTBIncidence:185/100,000
- Byramjee JeejeebhoyMedicalCollegeandSassoonGeneralHospital(BJMC/SGH)– largetertiarypublichospital
†Graham_JID_2012IndiaRNTCP
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
MethodsMatchedcase-controlstudy- Cases
Inclusion:<5yearsofageoradultwomenpresentingatBJMC/SGHanddiagnosedwithTBExclusion:HIVinfection,diabetes
- ControlsInclusion:Randomlyselectedfromsameneighborhood,age(± 12monthsforchildren,± 5yearsforadults)andsexmatchedExclusion:HIVinfection,diabetes,positiveforTBsymptomscreen
StatisticalMethods- Conditionallogisticregressionformatcheddata
- Outcomeà TB- 1° Exposureà Log-transformed24-hourPM2.5
- Predictorvariablesofinterest:p<0.20inunivariateanalysisorapriori
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
ExposureAssessment
QuestionnairesandReportedMeasures- Socio-demographic- Fuelusepatterns- Secondhandtobaccosmoke
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EnvironmentalExposureAssessment:PM2.5
- 24-hourPM2.5 (PM<2.5micronsdiameter)• Importantproductofcombustion• Highlyregulatedandmonitored
- 1x1meterawayfromprimarycookstove
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
ReportedExposuretoPollutants:CookingFueln=156
PrimaryCookingFuel,n(%)LPGorElectricityKeroseneWood
134(86)17(11)5(3)
SecondaryCookingFuel,n(%)NoneElectricity/LPGKeroseneWood
83(53)18(12)19(12)36(23)
Composite CookingFuel,n(%)LPG/ElectricityOnlyKerosene(butnowood)AnyWood
87(56)28(18)41(26)
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
24-hourTime-weightedAveragePM2.5
WorldHealthOrganizationPM2.5 24-hourGuidelines:25μg/m3
InterimTarget:75μg/m3
ControlsvsCasesCompositeCookingFuels
OverallMedianConcentration:182μg/m3 (IQR:114- 318)
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
StudyLimitationsandStrengthsLimitations
- SinglemeasureofhouseholdPM2.5
- Ubiquitouslyhighlevelsofexposure
- Unmeasuredconfounders
Strengths
- Objectivemeasuresforexposureclassification:PM2.5
- Contributionofavarietyofsourcesofexposure
- Vulnerable,hardtoreachpopulation
- Inclusionofchildren
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
Discussion- HigherconcentrationsofPM2.5 tendedtobeassociatedwithTB- Highermagnitudeofeffectwithreporteduseofkerosene
• Cookinglocation• Needforadditionalstudiesduetocontributiontoparticulate
massmeasurements- FirststudyassessingassociationbetweenTBandobjectivemarkersof
combustioninhome
ImportanceofSocioeconomicDeterminants- Prevention(37%ofestimatednewcasesundiagnosed/notreported)- Usefulforidentifyingthoseatgreatestrisk
• Screeningstrategies• Activecase-finding• Targetsforpreventivetherapy
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© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
© 2014, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
©2015, Johns Hopkins University. All rights reserved.
StudyAcknowledgements
JohnsHopkinsUniversityJonathanGolubAmita GuptaPatrickBreysse (andlab)Vidya MaveNikhilGupteNishiSuryavanshi
BJMC/SGH,Pune,IndiaAnju KagalSandhya KhadseAarti KinikarTilak DhamgayePriyanka KulkarniPune OfficeatBJMCSunita PatekarVaishali Kulkarni
FundingFogartyGlobalHealthFellowTrainingProgramUjala FoundationGileadFoundationInstituteforGlobalTobaccoControl(JHU)
Studyparticipantsandtheirfamilies
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