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    Available ONLI NE w ww .visualsoftindia.com/ journal.html

    VSRD-IJBMR, Vol. 1 (3), 2011, 185-196

    ____________________________

    1Reseearch Scholar, MBA Department, Singhania University, Jaipur, Rajasthan, INDIA.*Correspondence : [email protected]

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    FDI in India andIts Impact A Critical Evaluation

    1Pradeep Kr.*

    ABSTRACT

    Foreign Direct investment in India is a crucial factor for the economic growth. The pre economic liberalization

    period was challenge for the Indian economy to grow because there were many constraints to overcome. The

    draconian act like FERA causes many companies to withdraw from the India market. Even for the giants like

    Coca Cola were not able to survive in the market, as the economy was isolated. But the post liberalization periodwas very fruitful for the India economy to head with a swift pace. Now India is moving along very nicely with

    around 9% GDP rate. In this research paper the trend of FDI equity inflow from 1991 to 2010 has been analyzed

    and the future trend has been depicted. The areas where equity inflow was more been emphasized also the major

    countries which invested in India heavily have been undermined. Further in this research paper sectors which

    are deprived from the FDI are also been discovered as follows:

    Atomic Energy

    Gambling and betting

    Retail Trading

    Lottery Business

    Agricultural or plantation activities of Agriculture

    India foreign investment policy makers need to look back and access the impact of FDI on India and on its

    economic growth. In this connection it seems that government has become more aware and making investment

    friendly atmosphere in India with adopting new models like Public Private Participation model etc.

    Keywords:FDI, GDP, Territorial Marketing, Tariff, M&A, Foreign Affiliate.

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    1. INTRODUCTION

    When a firm controls (or have a strong say in) another firm located abroad, e.g. by owing more than 10% of its

    equity, the former is said "parent enterprise" (or "investor") and the latter "foreign affiliate".

    Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is the financial investment giving rise and sustaining over time the investor'ssignificant degree of influence on the management of the affiliate.

    The initial investment can be the purchase of an existing firm (by acquisition or by merger, the so-called

    "M&A") as well as the foundation of a new legal entity who usually - but not necessarily - makes a green-field

    real investment (e.g. building a factory) in the foreign country .

    In a broader definition, FDI consists of the acquisition or creation of assets (e.g. firm equity, land, houses, oil-

    drilling rigs...) undertaken by foreigners. If in these enterprises they are not alone but act together with local

    firms and/or governments, one talk of "joint ventures".

    A country outflows of FDI means that it is "exporting money" to "buy" or "build" foreign productive capacity,

    whose ownership will remain in the first country's hands.

    For a country, attracting an inflow of FDI strengthen the connection to world trade networks and finance its

    development path. However, unilateral massive FDI to a country can make it dependent on the external pressure

    that foreign owners might exert on it.

    Since it is through FDI that a firm becomes a multinational, one could say that the it's the FDI process that

    generates MNC (multinational companies). The reverse is also true: firms that are already multinational generate

    the majority of FDI flows.

    2. KEY FACTORS ATTRACTING FDI

    Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments increases with the attractiveness of the country, due to the following

    factors in different proportions depending on the industry and the country:

    large GDP and market potential;

    advanced know-how;

    skilled work-force;

    low labour cost and wages;

    low taxation;

    lower environmental protection;

    high tariff protection;

    favourable laws and public incentives;

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    Intentional and professional territorial marketing.

    3. DETERMINANTS

    At investor's level, a firm can decide to make a foreign investment because of many factors, including:

    Upstream integration, by purchasing a provider, whose input will now be sold cheaper (or exclusively) to

    it or be differentiated along particular features;

    Horizontal integration, by purchasing a firm making the same product, to expand its production, reduce

    costs, improving logistics;

    Downstream integration, by purchasing a firm using or distributing its products, to get higher value added

    along the chain and to aggressively push distribution;

    Diversification, by purchasing a firm doing somewhat different activities than the purchaser, to seize new

    opportunities.

    4. VARIOUS ROUTES OF FDI APPROVAL IN INDIA

    The proposals for foreign direct investment in India get their approval through two routes that are the Reserve

    Bank of India and the Foreign Investment Promotion Board. Automatic approval is given by the Reserve Bank

    of India to the proposals for foreign direct investment in India. The Reserve Bank of India gives approval within

    the time period of two weeks. It gives approval to the proposals for foreign direct investment in India that

    involve FDI up to 74% in the nine categories that are included in List four, FDI up to 50% in the three

    categories that are included in List two, and FDI up to 51% in the forty eight industries that are included in List

    3.

    FDI Approval in India is also done by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), which processes cases

    of non- automatic approval. The time taken by Foreign Investment Promotion Board for approving the proposals

    for foreign direct investment in India is between four to six weeks. The approach of FIPB is liberal as a result of

    which it accepts most of the proposals and rejects very few.

    The Policy on FDI in India has been most liberal and transparent among all other developing countries,

    receiving FDI Inflows for economic development. India receives up to 100 percent Foreign Direct Investments

    under the automatic route in almost all the activities and industrial sectors except those which require

    Government approval for the execution of activities.

    5. FDI POLICY UNDER AUTOMATIC ROUTE

    Sectors working under automatic route do not require any prior approval of the Central Government of RBI to

    attract Foreign Direct Investment. The foreign investors are only required to inform the Regional Office

    concerned of RBI within thirty days receiving of inward payments and submit the required documents in that

    office again within thirty days of the issuing of the shares of foreign institutional investors.

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    6. FDI POLICY UNDER GOVERNMENT APPROVAL

    The proposals which involve foreign investment or foreign technical collaboration are granted permission by the

    Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB). All the proposals for FDI are to be submitted to the FIPB Unit and

    those of Non-Resident Indian (NRI) investments and 100% Export Oriented Units (EOUs) should be submitted

    to SIA in Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion.

    7. OBJECTIVE OF THE RESEARCH

    To determine the trend of FDI in India for the coming years.

    To determine the critical factors contributed in Increase FDI Flow in India.

    To analyze the sectors attracting FDI mostly.

    8. RESEARCH DESIGN

    This research design is based on historical data collected from various sources which can be regarded as

    secondary data further this research has been divided into various part to maintain its clarity. Many statistical

    tools have been used for concrete analysis of data and their interpretation in this research which are as follows:

    1. Average

    Sum of observation / Number of observation

    2. Least Square Method for trend analysis

    Y = a + bx

    y = na + bx

    xy = ax + bx2

    3. Tables

    4. Bar Charts

    5. Line Charts

    6. Correlation

    9. DATA ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATION

    Top Investing Countries FDI Inflows in India has registered significant growth over the last few years due to the

    several incentives that have been provided by the Indian government. The increase in the Top Investing

    Countries FDI Inflows in India has helped in the growth of the country's economy.

    Countries sending FDI to India are:

    Mauritius

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    U.K

    U.S.A

    Sweden

    France

    Switzerland

    Malaysia

    Singapore

    Japan

    Germany

    Netherlands

    Sectors in India attracting FDI from foreign countries are:

    Telecommunications that includes services of cellular mobile, radio paging, and basic telephone

    Chemicals

    Metallurgical industries

    Food processing industries

    Transportation industry

    Pharmaceuticals and drugs

    Fuels

    Electrical equipments that includes electronics and computer software

    Services sector that includes non- financial and financial

    Gypsum and cement products

    Table 1 : Showing FDI Equity Inflow from 1991-2010 Year by Year

    PeriodEquity Inflow in

    Millions $

    1991-1992 165

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    1992-1993 393

    1993-1994 654

    1994-1995 1374

    1995-1996 2141

    1996-1997 2770

    1997-1998 3682

    1998-1999 3083

    1999-2000 2439

    2000-2001 2908

    2001-2002 4222

    2002-2003 3134

    2003-2004 2776

    2004-2005 2549

    2005-2006 5,546

    2006-2007 6,081

    2007-2008 9,277

    2008-2009 18,708

    2009-2010 17,604

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    Interpretation : This graph shows FDI equity inflow from 1991 to 2010 year by year. It indicate that the equity

    inflow in 1991 was very nominal it increases slightly from thereafter to 1997 then it started declining and again

    its started increasing in the year 2001 and again decreases until 2003 from there it started increasing

    exponentially towards the end.

    Ranks Country

    Cumulative Inflows in Rs Crore

    (April 00 - October 10)

    %age to total Inflows

    (In terms of US $)

    1 MAURITIUS 231,429 42 %

    2 SINGAPORE 50,962 9 %

    3 U.S.A. 41,357 7 %

    4 U.K. 27,569 5 %

    5 NETHERLAND 23,614 4 %

    6 CYPRUS 19,734 4 %

    7 JAPAN 19,547 4 %

    8 GERMANY 12,848 2 %

    9 FRANCE 8,404 2 %

    10 U.A.E. 8,256 1 %

    TOTAL FDI INFLOWS * 549,491 -

    SHARE OF TOP INVESTING COUNTRIES FDI EQUITY INFLOWS (Financial years)

    FDI Equity Inflow From 1991 to Oct, 2010

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    1991-

    1992

    1993-

    1994

    1995-

    1996

    1997-

    1998

    1999-

    2000

    2001-

    2002

    2003-

    2004

    2005-

    2006

    2007-

    2008

    2009-

    2010

    Period

    Series1

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    Graph Showing Cumulative inflow in Rs Crores and % age to total Inflows (In terms of US $)

    by Top Ten Countrys from April 2000-October2010

    Interpretation : From the graph it is pretty clear that Mauritius, Singapore ,USA & UK are the top Countrys

    investing heavily India Therefore we can say that most of the western Countrys are investing in INDIA but the

    Eastern countrys like China, Russia etc are not much interested which is the worrying factor for India.

    This also represent the share of the investing countrys in terms of the percentage from which it is very

    transparent that top two Countrys share are equal to the share of the rest of the countrys in aggregate which

    reflect more precise analysis.

    SECTORS ATTRACTING HIGHEST FDI EQUITY INFLOWS: Amount ` in crores (US$ in millions)

    Ranks Sector

    Cumulative Inflows

    (April 00 -

    October 10)

    % age to total Inflows (In

    terms of US$)

    1. SERVICES SECTOR

    (financial & non-financial)

    115,162 21 %

    2. COMPUTER SOFTWARE & HARDWARE 46,371 9 %

    3. TELECOMMUNICATIONS

    (radio paging, cellular mobile, basic

    telephone services)

    45,530 8 %

    4. HOUSING & REAL ESTATE 40,664 7 %

    5. CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES

    (including roads & highways)

    38,932 7 %

    6. POWER 25,402 5 %

    7. AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 22,786 4 %

    8. METALLURGICAL INDUSTRIES 17,660 3 %

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    9. PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS 13,925

    10. CHEMICALS (other than fertilizers) 12,223 3 %

    Graph Showing the share of sectors attracting largest FDI inflow in terms ofRs crore from April 2000-October 2010

    Interpretation : From the analysis it is clear that the major share goes to the service sector which is

    accompanied by hardware & software industry as well as telecommunication industry. It also represent that the

    most booming sector of Indian economy where the job opportunities are also available in abundance.

    The worrying factor for the India is following

    Atomic Energy

    Gambling and betting

    Retail Trading

    Lottery Business

    Agricultural or plantation activities of Agriculture

    Where the investment from the investors is quite low.

    Trend Analysis of FDI Inflow in India in Next Decade as well as Next five years

    Table 2 projected inflow from 2011-2014

    Period Inflow in Millions $

    2001-2002 4222

    2002-2003 3134

    2003-2004 2776

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    2004-2005 2549

    2005-2006 5546

    2006-2007 6081

    2007-2008 9277

    2008-2009 18708

    2009-2010 17604

    2010-2011 17498.33

    2011-2012 19444.73

    2012-2013 21391.13

    2013-2014 23337.53

    Note: (Equity inflows + including data on Re-invested earnings & Other capital, which is available from

    April 2000 onwards. These are the estimates on an average basis, based upon data for the previous two years,

    published by RBI in their Monthly Bulletin).

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    FD

    IInflowinMillion$

    Period

    Projected Equity Inflow in Next four year

    Seri

    Interpretation : This graph characterizes that the equity inflow decreases from 2001-2005 then it start

    increasing from there up to 2009-10 near 2008 to 2010 there was a sharp increment due to heavy inflow. It is

    expected to increase in same manner as it was if same condition persists.

    It is pretty clear from the analysis is that the future is also very clear for these sectors because these sector are

    mostly preferred by the investors to invest in. But there must be some policy initiatives in this regard to manage

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    overall growth.

    Sectors in India Prohibited For FDI :

    Sectors which require industrial license for execution of activities

    Proposals by the foreign players who already possess a financial or technical collaboration firm in the

    similar field in India

    Proposals regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India for acquisition of shares in an already

    existent Indian company in the financial service sector

    Proposals which are not included or which do not abide by the recommended sectoral policy or CAPS

    under sectors in which Foreign Direct Investment is not permitted

    Sectors which are not under automatic route and in which investments in those sectors require prior

    approval of Central Government, the approvals for proposals are granted by Foreign Investment Promotion

    Board (FIPB)

    10.FINDINGS

    India is one of the most favorable investment destinations to invest in.

    Due to open market condition & post liberalization reforms it is attracting foreign investors.

    Both UPA and NDA regime were fruitful for the Indian Economy as there was sharp increment in FDI due

    to their market friendly policies which attracted the investors.

    Some sectors of the economies are deprived from the investment like Defense, Atomic Energy, retail,

    Agriculture there some kind of reforms are required in this regard.

    More liberal policies for the investors like increasing FDI cap, demand and supply based exchange rate and

    reduction of tariff and decreasing tax attracted most of the investors.

    The most dominated area attracting FDI is the service sector so this may be a competitive edge for the

    country.

    Sectors which are deprived from the FDI are those where large market potential is present but these are

    ignored by the policy makers & poor infrastructure as well as due to high concentration on priority sectors

    also contributed to the cause.

    11.CONCLUSION

    From this research we have concluded that India is one of the greatest investing destinations for the investors as

    more and more investors are investing in India. The equity inflow is increasing tremendously due to high GDPgrowth, low man power cost, abundance of resources and favorable investment policies of the government.

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    India has been the second biggest and fastest growing economy in the world. During the recessionary pressure

    the GDP continuous to grow because of equity influx, because the exposure of Indian economy for the world

    was very less so it will remain a favorite destination for investment in future also.

    12.REFERENCES[1] RBIs Bulletin December 2010 dt. 09.12 .2010 (Table No. 44 FOREIGN INVESTMENT INFLOWS).

    [2] Figures for equity capital of unincorporated bodies for 2009-10 are estimates.

    [3] All figures are provisional & data in respect of Re-invested earnings & Other capital for the years 2008-

    09 & 2009-10 are estimated as average of previous two years.

    [4] During December 2006, include Swap of Shares US$ 3.1 billion.

    [5] Monthly data on components of FDI as per expend coverage are not available.

    [6] RBI has included the amount of US$ 92 million for the month of April 2007 during this Bulletin.

    [7] Data on equity capital of unincorporated bodies, reinvested earnings and other capital are pertains to the

    period from April 2009 to December 2009.

    [8] Updated by RBI up to October 2010.

    [9] U.S. Reforms Promote Openness Retrieved on 2010-03-10

    [10]Foreign Direct Investment Facts and Myths Retrieved on 2010-03-10

    [11]Benefits of FDI The International Trade Administration. Retrieved on 2010-03-10

    [12]FDI inflows plunge by about 60% in August Economic Times (India Times) 2010-10-22

    [13]Ministry of Commerce Annual Report

    [14]Piana Valentino,foreign Direct Investment ,(2005)