7 pradeep kr research communication may 2011
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VSRD-IJBMR, Vol. 1 (3), 2011, 185-196
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1Reseearch Scholar, MBA Department, Singhania University, Jaipur, Rajasthan, INDIA.*Correspondence : [email protected]
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FDI in India andIts Impact A Critical Evaluation
1Pradeep Kr.*
ABSTRACT
Foreign Direct investment in India is a crucial factor for the economic growth. The pre economic liberalization
period was challenge for the Indian economy to grow because there were many constraints to overcome. The
draconian act like FERA causes many companies to withdraw from the India market. Even for the giants like
Coca Cola were not able to survive in the market, as the economy was isolated. But the post liberalization periodwas very fruitful for the India economy to head with a swift pace. Now India is moving along very nicely with
around 9% GDP rate. In this research paper the trend of FDI equity inflow from 1991 to 2010 has been analyzed
and the future trend has been depicted. The areas where equity inflow was more been emphasized also the major
countries which invested in India heavily have been undermined. Further in this research paper sectors which
are deprived from the FDI are also been discovered as follows:
Atomic Energy
Gambling and betting
Retail Trading
Lottery Business
Agricultural or plantation activities of Agriculture
India foreign investment policy makers need to look back and access the impact of FDI on India and on its
economic growth. In this connection it seems that government has become more aware and making investment
friendly atmosphere in India with adopting new models like Public Private Participation model etc.
Keywords:FDI, GDP, Territorial Marketing, Tariff, M&A, Foreign Affiliate.
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1. INTRODUCTION
When a firm controls (or have a strong say in) another firm located abroad, e.g. by owing more than 10% of its
equity, the former is said "parent enterprise" (or "investor") and the latter "foreign affiliate".
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is the financial investment giving rise and sustaining over time the investor'ssignificant degree of influence on the management of the affiliate.
The initial investment can be the purchase of an existing firm (by acquisition or by merger, the so-called
"M&A") as well as the foundation of a new legal entity who usually - but not necessarily - makes a green-field
real investment (e.g. building a factory) in the foreign country .
In a broader definition, FDI consists of the acquisition or creation of assets (e.g. firm equity, land, houses, oil-
drilling rigs...) undertaken by foreigners. If in these enterprises they are not alone but act together with local
firms and/or governments, one talk of "joint ventures".
A country outflows of FDI means that it is "exporting money" to "buy" or "build" foreign productive capacity,
whose ownership will remain in the first country's hands.
For a country, attracting an inflow of FDI strengthen the connection to world trade networks and finance its
development path. However, unilateral massive FDI to a country can make it dependent on the external pressure
that foreign owners might exert on it.
Since it is through FDI that a firm becomes a multinational, one could say that the it's the FDI process that
generates MNC (multinational companies). The reverse is also true: firms that are already multinational generate
the majority of FDI flows.
2. KEY FACTORS ATTRACTING FDI
Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments increases with the attractiveness of the country, due to the following
factors in different proportions depending on the industry and the country:
large GDP and market potential;
advanced know-how;
skilled work-force;
low labour cost and wages;
low taxation;
lower environmental protection;
high tariff protection;
favourable laws and public incentives;
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Intentional and professional territorial marketing.
3. DETERMINANTS
At investor's level, a firm can decide to make a foreign investment because of many factors, including:
Upstream integration, by purchasing a provider, whose input will now be sold cheaper (or exclusively) to
it or be differentiated along particular features;
Horizontal integration, by purchasing a firm making the same product, to expand its production, reduce
costs, improving logistics;
Downstream integration, by purchasing a firm using or distributing its products, to get higher value added
along the chain and to aggressively push distribution;
Diversification, by purchasing a firm doing somewhat different activities than the purchaser, to seize new
opportunities.
4. VARIOUS ROUTES OF FDI APPROVAL IN INDIA
The proposals for foreign direct investment in India get their approval through two routes that are the Reserve
Bank of India and the Foreign Investment Promotion Board. Automatic approval is given by the Reserve Bank
of India to the proposals for foreign direct investment in India. The Reserve Bank of India gives approval within
the time period of two weeks. It gives approval to the proposals for foreign direct investment in India that
involve FDI up to 74% in the nine categories that are included in List four, FDI up to 50% in the three
categories that are included in List two, and FDI up to 51% in the forty eight industries that are included in List
3.
FDI Approval in India is also done by the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), which processes cases
of non- automatic approval. The time taken by Foreign Investment Promotion Board for approving the proposals
for foreign direct investment in India is between four to six weeks. The approach of FIPB is liberal as a result of
which it accepts most of the proposals and rejects very few.
The Policy on FDI in India has been most liberal and transparent among all other developing countries,
receiving FDI Inflows for economic development. India receives up to 100 percent Foreign Direct Investments
under the automatic route in almost all the activities and industrial sectors except those which require
Government approval for the execution of activities.
5. FDI POLICY UNDER AUTOMATIC ROUTE
Sectors working under automatic route do not require any prior approval of the Central Government of RBI to
attract Foreign Direct Investment. The foreign investors are only required to inform the Regional Office
concerned of RBI within thirty days receiving of inward payments and submit the required documents in that
office again within thirty days of the issuing of the shares of foreign institutional investors.
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6. FDI POLICY UNDER GOVERNMENT APPROVAL
The proposals which involve foreign investment or foreign technical collaboration are granted permission by the
Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB). All the proposals for FDI are to be submitted to the FIPB Unit and
those of Non-Resident Indian (NRI) investments and 100% Export Oriented Units (EOUs) should be submitted
to SIA in Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion.
7. OBJECTIVE OF THE RESEARCH
To determine the trend of FDI in India for the coming years.
To determine the critical factors contributed in Increase FDI Flow in India.
To analyze the sectors attracting FDI mostly.
8. RESEARCH DESIGN
This research design is based on historical data collected from various sources which can be regarded as
secondary data further this research has been divided into various part to maintain its clarity. Many statistical
tools have been used for concrete analysis of data and their interpretation in this research which are as follows:
1. Average
Sum of observation / Number of observation
2. Least Square Method for trend analysis
Y = a + bx
y = na + bx
xy = ax + bx2
3. Tables
4. Bar Charts
5. Line Charts
6. Correlation
9. DATA ANALYSIS & INTERPRETATION
Top Investing Countries FDI Inflows in India has registered significant growth over the last few years due to the
several incentives that have been provided by the Indian government. The increase in the Top Investing
Countries FDI Inflows in India has helped in the growth of the country's economy.
Countries sending FDI to India are:
Mauritius
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U.K
U.S.A
Sweden
France
Switzerland
Malaysia
Singapore
Japan
Germany
Netherlands
Sectors in India attracting FDI from foreign countries are:
Telecommunications that includes services of cellular mobile, radio paging, and basic telephone
Chemicals
Metallurgical industries
Food processing industries
Transportation industry
Pharmaceuticals and drugs
Fuels
Electrical equipments that includes electronics and computer software
Services sector that includes non- financial and financial
Gypsum and cement products
Table 1 : Showing FDI Equity Inflow from 1991-2010 Year by Year
PeriodEquity Inflow in
Millions $
1991-1992 165
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1992-1993 393
1993-1994 654
1994-1995 1374
1995-1996 2141
1996-1997 2770
1997-1998 3682
1998-1999 3083
1999-2000 2439
2000-2001 2908
2001-2002 4222
2002-2003 3134
2003-2004 2776
2004-2005 2549
2005-2006 5,546
2006-2007 6,081
2007-2008 9,277
2008-2009 18,708
2009-2010 17,604
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Interpretation : This graph shows FDI equity inflow from 1991 to 2010 year by year. It indicate that the equity
inflow in 1991 was very nominal it increases slightly from thereafter to 1997 then it started declining and again
its started increasing in the year 2001 and again decreases until 2003 from there it started increasing
exponentially towards the end.
Ranks Country
Cumulative Inflows in Rs Crore
(April 00 - October 10)
%age to total Inflows
(In terms of US $)
1 MAURITIUS 231,429 42 %
2 SINGAPORE 50,962 9 %
3 U.S.A. 41,357 7 %
4 U.K. 27,569 5 %
5 NETHERLAND 23,614 4 %
6 CYPRUS 19,734 4 %
7 JAPAN 19,547 4 %
8 GERMANY 12,848 2 %
9 FRANCE 8,404 2 %
10 U.A.E. 8,256 1 %
TOTAL FDI INFLOWS * 549,491 -
SHARE OF TOP INVESTING COUNTRIES FDI EQUITY INFLOWS (Financial years)
FDI Equity Inflow From 1991 to Oct, 2010
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
1991-
1992
1993-
1994
1995-
1996
1997-
1998
1999-
2000
2001-
2002
2003-
2004
2005-
2006
2007-
2008
2009-
2010
Period
Series1
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Graph Showing Cumulative inflow in Rs Crores and % age to total Inflows (In terms of US $)
by Top Ten Countrys from April 2000-October2010
Interpretation : From the graph it is pretty clear that Mauritius, Singapore ,USA & UK are the top Countrys
investing heavily India Therefore we can say that most of the western Countrys are investing in INDIA but the
Eastern countrys like China, Russia etc are not much interested which is the worrying factor for India.
This also represent the share of the investing countrys in terms of the percentage from which it is very
transparent that top two Countrys share are equal to the share of the rest of the countrys in aggregate which
reflect more precise analysis.
SECTORS ATTRACTING HIGHEST FDI EQUITY INFLOWS: Amount ` in crores (US$ in millions)
Ranks Sector
Cumulative Inflows
(April 00 -
October 10)
% age to total Inflows (In
terms of US$)
1. SERVICES SECTOR
(financial & non-financial)
115,162 21 %
2. COMPUTER SOFTWARE & HARDWARE 46,371 9 %
3. TELECOMMUNICATIONS
(radio paging, cellular mobile, basic
telephone services)
45,530 8 %
4. HOUSING & REAL ESTATE 40,664 7 %
5. CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITIES
(including roads & highways)
38,932 7 %
6. POWER 25,402 5 %
7. AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 22,786 4 %
8. METALLURGICAL INDUSTRIES 17,660 3 %
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9. PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS 13,925
10. CHEMICALS (other than fertilizers) 12,223 3 %
Graph Showing the share of sectors attracting largest FDI inflow in terms ofRs crore from April 2000-October 2010
Interpretation : From the analysis it is clear that the major share goes to the service sector which is
accompanied by hardware & software industry as well as telecommunication industry. It also represent that the
most booming sector of Indian economy where the job opportunities are also available in abundance.
The worrying factor for the India is following
Atomic Energy
Gambling and betting
Retail Trading
Lottery Business
Agricultural or plantation activities of Agriculture
Where the investment from the investors is quite low.
Trend Analysis of FDI Inflow in India in Next Decade as well as Next five years
Table 2 projected inflow from 2011-2014
Period Inflow in Millions $
2001-2002 4222
2002-2003 3134
2003-2004 2776
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2004-2005 2549
2005-2006 5546
2006-2007 6081
2007-2008 9277
2008-2009 18708
2009-2010 17604
2010-2011 17498.33
2011-2012 19444.73
2012-2013 21391.13
2013-2014 23337.53
Note: (Equity inflows + including data on Re-invested earnings & Other capital, which is available from
April 2000 onwards. These are the estimates on an average basis, based upon data for the previous two years,
published by RBI in their Monthly Bulletin).
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
FD
IInflowinMillion$
Period
Projected Equity Inflow in Next four year
Seri
Interpretation : This graph characterizes that the equity inflow decreases from 2001-2005 then it start
increasing from there up to 2009-10 near 2008 to 2010 there was a sharp increment due to heavy inflow. It is
expected to increase in same manner as it was if same condition persists.
It is pretty clear from the analysis is that the future is also very clear for these sectors because these sector are
mostly preferred by the investors to invest in. But there must be some policy initiatives in this regard to manage
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overall growth.
Sectors in India Prohibited For FDI :
Sectors which require industrial license for execution of activities
Proposals by the foreign players who already possess a financial or technical collaboration firm in the
similar field in India
Proposals regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India for acquisition of shares in an already
existent Indian company in the financial service sector
Proposals which are not included or which do not abide by the recommended sectoral policy or CAPS
under sectors in which Foreign Direct Investment is not permitted
Sectors which are not under automatic route and in which investments in those sectors require prior
approval of Central Government, the approvals for proposals are granted by Foreign Investment Promotion
Board (FIPB)
10.FINDINGS
India is one of the most favorable investment destinations to invest in.
Due to open market condition & post liberalization reforms it is attracting foreign investors.
Both UPA and NDA regime were fruitful for the Indian Economy as there was sharp increment in FDI due
to their market friendly policies which attracted the investors.
Some sectors of the economies are deprived from the investment like Defense, Atomic Energy, retail,
Agriculture there some kind of reforms are required in this regard.
More liberal policies for the investors like increasing FDI cap, demand and supply based exchange rate and
reduction of tariff and decreasing tax attracted most of the investors.
The most dominated area attracting FDI is the service sector so this may be a competitive edge for the
country.
Sectors which are deprived from the FDI are those where large market potential is present but these are
ignored by the policy makers & poor infrastructure as well as due to high concentration on priority sectors
also contributed to the cause.
11.CONCLUSION
From this research we have concluded that India is one of the greatest investing destinations for the investors as
more and more investors are investing in India. The equity inflow is increasing tremendously due to high GDPgrowth, low man power cost, abundance of resources and favorable investment policies of the government.
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India has been the second biggest and fastest growing economy in the world. During the recessionary pressure
the GDP continuous to grow because of equity influx, because the exposure of Indian economy for the world
was very less so it will remain a favorite destination for investment in future also.
12.REFERENCES[1] RBIs Bulletin December 2010 dt. 09.12 .2010 (Table No. 44 FOREIGN INVESTMENT INFLOWS).
[2] Figures for equity capital of unincorporated bodies for 2009-10 are estimates.
[3] All figures are provisional & data in respect of Re-invested earnings & Other capital for the years 2008-
09 & 2009-10 are estimated as average of previous two years.
[4] During December 2006, include Swap of Shares US$ 3.1 billion.
[5] Monthly data on components of FDI as per expend coverage are not available.
[6] RBI has included the amount of US$ 92 million for the month of April 2007 during this Bulletin.
[7] Data on equity capital of unincorporated bodies, reinvested earnings and other capital are pertains to the
period from April 2009 to December 2009.
[8] Updated by RBI up to October 2010.
[9] U.S. Reforms Promote Openness Retrieved on 2010-03-10
[10]Foreign Direct Investment Facts and Myths Retrieved on 2010-03-10
[11]Benefits of FDI The International Trade Administration. Retrieved on 2010-03-10
[12]FDI inflows plunge by about 60% in August Economic Times (India Times) 2010-10-22
[13]Ministry of Commerce Annual Report
[14]Piana Valentino,foreign Direct Investment ,(2005)