7. anders nilsson building the media house - for print

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Page 1: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print
Page 2: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Born 1967

Joined MTG in 1992

What I love: Challenges

What I hate: Disloyalty

Favourite quote: “Early to bed, early to rise,

work like hell and advertise.”

Anders

Nilsson

EVP of Central

European

Broadcasting

Page 3: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

3

1997 2000 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Launch of

Baltic

Free-TV

operations

Acquisition

of 95% of

Hungarian

operation

Acquisition

of 50% of

Prima TV in

Czech

Republic

Acquisition

of 50% of

BMGL in

Bulgaria

Acquisition

of 100% of

Nova TV in

Bulgaria

Catch-Up

services

launched

across CEE

Launch of

Prima LOVE

in Czech

Republic

Our story started long ago

Acquisition

of 100% of

LNT in

Latvia

Launch of

Prima Cool

in Czech

Republic

Launch of

Prima Play

in Czech

Republic

…21 channels in 6 Emerging Markets!

1997 2000 2001 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Page 4: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

4 Sources: MTG/Viasat statistics

It is a great time to be in CEE

with a contrarian strategy

DTV

Initial investment of SEK 7 million

Accumulated losses of SEK 302.5 million

Sold for SEK 2,800 million in 2008

Return on investment of 804.68%

2001 2002... 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

CTC Media

Investment in shares of SEK 672 million

Accumulated dividends of SEK 586.9 million

Current equity market value of SEK 4,618 million

Return on investment of 674.54%

Invest precisely when others don’t/can’t

Focus on long term value creation

Page 5: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Czech

Hungary

5 Sources: IMF, TNS/MTG estimates

With a fantastic long-term

growth story

GDP growth in MTG EM territories

Page 6: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

With a fantastic long-term

growth story

Compared to Western Europe

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Czech

Hungary

Western Europe

6 Sources: IMF, TNS/MTG estimates

Page 7: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

With even better trends for the

TV ad market

TV ad market growth in MTG EM territories

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Hungary

7 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 8: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Compared to western Europe

With even better trends for the

TV ad market

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Estonia

Latvia

Lithuania

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Hungary

Western Europe

8 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 9: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

And our sales growing faster

than the market

Growth in MTG EM territories

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

GDP

TV Ad Market

MTG Sales

9 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 10: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

After all, TV is the reach media

TV Share of AD Market (2011) TV Share of AD Market

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

CEE Western Europe

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

10 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 11: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

With people watching more TV

Minutes per day (2011)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Minutes per day

0

50

100

150

200

250

Western Europe MTG CEE

11 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 12: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Supported by the fact that

product pricing is equivalent

In Bulgaria In Germany

81.97 BGN 44.6 EUR = 41.9 EUR

Shopping list

EUR

Salami 3.48

Frozen fish 8.55

Coffee 5.34

Chocolate 2.24

Vodka 8.91

Shower Gel 1.39

Detergent 2.8

Powder 11.89

Shopping list

BGN

Salami 4.79

Frozen fish 10.43

Coffee 11.82

Chocolate 4.14

Vodka 23.99

Shower Gel 2.75

Detergent 8.46

Powder 15.59

Percentage

Difference:

-6.4%

12 Sources: METRO Cash&Carry monthly catalogues

Page 13: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

But there is still a way to go

TV Ad spend per capita (SEK’000, 2011)

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

13 Sources: IMF, Zenith Optimedia 2012

Page 14: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

But there is still a way to go

CPT dynamics (2011)

14 Sources: MTG/Viasat statistics

Page 15: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

TOP 5 Advertising

Segments

International /

domestic clients (%)

Agencies / direct (%)

Annual / ad hoc (%)

Scandinavia

Mobile operators

Retail

Food

Beverages

Pharmaceuticals

25/75

95/5

70/30

Baltics

Mobile operators

Retail

Food

Beverages

Financial services

70/30

90/10

75/25

Bulgaria

Mobile operators

Retail

Food

Beverages

Pharmaceuticals

50/50

92/8

85/15

Czech

Republic

Mobile operators

Retail

FMCG

Consumer goods

Financial services

96/4

99/1

99/1

Hungary

Pharmaceuticals

Food

Cosmetics

Service

Telecommunication

90/10

98/2

92/8

With a consistent advertiser profile

15 Sources: MTG/Viasat statistics

Page 16: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

26%

27% 15%

32%

18%

31%

10%

41%

And a new digital world full

of opportunity

2012 ? 2010 2009

(Undecided)

(Estimated)

2014 2011

Latvia

Czech

Republic

Lithuania

Bulgaria Hungary Estonia

Nova

Prima

CT

Others

Nova Prima

CT Others

Czech Republic

(A15+, 2007)

Czech Republic

(A15+, 2012)

16 Sources: MTG/Viasat statistics

Page 17: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

And a growing mini-pay

opportunity

Mini-Pay Revenues (2011)

Bulgaria 3

Hungary 2

Bulgaria 3

Hungary 2

Bulgaria 3

Hungary 2

Latvia 2

Estonia 2

Bulgaria 3

Hungary 2

Latvia 2

Estonia 2

Lithuania 3

13%

87%

Mini-Pay Revenues Ad Revenues0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

2008 2009 2010 2011

Lithuania

Estonia

Latvia

Hungary

Bulgaria

Number of channels

Page 18: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

With new incremental revenue

streams Lithuania

Latvia

Estonia

Hungary Czech Republic Bulgaria

Video views '000 Ad impressions '000

18 Sources:TNS/MTG estimates

Page 19: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

19

All driven by strong local schedules

Lithuania: Women lie better

Latvia: No Tabu

Estonia: Revenge office

Bulgaria: X-Factor

Hungary: Paradise Hotel

Czech Republic: Les Yeux Sans Frontiers

Page 20: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

And the opportunity is clear

0%

1%

1%

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

4%

5%

5%

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Bulgaria Czech Hungary

TV Ad market has outperformed Nominal GDP development by a factor of 1.28

GDP growth in MTG EM territories

(indexed)

Forecast GDP growth in MTG CEE

territories

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

GDP TV Ad Market MTG Sales

20 Sources: IMF, TNS/MTG estimates

Page 21: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

And we are well placed to benefit

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Sales Growth

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

EBIT

MTG Free-TV EM Sales Growth MTG Free-TV EM EBIT

21 Sources: MTG/Viasat statistics

Page 22: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Conclusion

22

TV is the reach media

Advertisers spend less per capita in

Eastern Europe than Western Europe

The FMCG product price & margin is

almost the same between Western &

Eastern Europe but the contact cost is

not

CEE will play catch up & TV will take a

large share of the returning market

Page 23: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MTG

Kanal 2

BMA

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MTG

LNK

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MTG

LNT

BMA

Well-positioned in the Baltics

Audience share development

Lithuania

Estonia Latvia

Audience share: 44%

Market share: 43.1%

Power ratio: 98%

Audience share: 37.3%

Market share: 38.4%

Power ratio: 103.1%

Audience share: 38.6%

Market share: 39.7%

Power ratio: 102.8%

23 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 24: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Local owner

BMA BMA

LNK

Publicly owned

Older&Male Older&Female

Younger&Female Younger&Male

With a full media house offering

Competitive landscape Audience profile

24

Key actions

•Continue to invest in programming to build market positions

•Stimulate ever increasing demand & grow pan-Baltic sales

•Re-build operations with lower cost bases

Sales

CSOV

Costs

Page 25: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

25

And clear channel strategies

Broad, Russian focused family entertainment channel

Pure entertainment

channel for young adult

audience with slight

male bias

Broad, mainstream family entertainment channel

Core

Profiles

Programming

Schedule: a mix of entertainment and

infotainment plus locally produced shows

and acquired TOP US and Russian movies

and series

Schedule: based on US TV series mixed with

adult animation (e.g. The Simpson's, Top

Gear), acquired realities (e.g. American Idol,

Wipeout), sports (e.g. UEFA, hockey, Red

Bull), movies & daily 10’ OwP – Hot Weather

as LPT Movie Lead in.

Schedule: based on best available Russian

series including sitcoms, telenovelas,

dramas and hit movies (both Hollywood and

Russian) in later Prime Time.

Page 26: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Future situation

• MTG ad market share: 72%

• MTG audience share: 63% • Significantly enhanced

profitability following

substantial cost synergies

And some potential game

changers

Previous situation

• MTG ad market share: 38%

• MTG audience share: 37% • MTG Operating at a loss

26 Sources: MTG estimates

Page 27: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

We are re-writing the Czech book

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

70.0

80.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MTG CME Barrandov

Audience share: 34.7%

Market share: 30.6%

Power ratio: 88.2%

Audience share development

27 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 28: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Older&Male Older&Female

Younger&Female Younger&Male

By building the media house

Key actions

•Media house implementation boosting total CSOV

•Proactive approach, new channel launches, own production

•Swift cost reduction efforts to preserve healthy EBIT margins

Sales

CSOV

Costs

Competitive landscape Audience profile

28 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 29: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

29

And clear channel strategies

Primarily for women but also men will certainly find their favorite program.

Focused on popular

acquisition series, sitcoms,

movies and entertainment

highly approved by

younger audience.

One of four Czech „traditional“ channels with more than 15 years history

Core

Profiles

Programming

Broadcasts a broad line-up of entertainment

with a slight focus on female viewers. Own

produced drama as well as other own

produced programme genres create the

backbone of Prima Family

The programming schedule of the male-

skewed channel includes blockbuster

movies, as well as a number of new shows

and hit series never broadcast in the Czech

Republic before

Attracts a 15-44 year old female audience

with a fun, informative and romantic formats,

broadcasting international series,

blockbuster romantic and comedy movies as

well as infotainment shows.

Page 30: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

0.0

10.0

20.0

30.0

40.0

50.0

60.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

MTG CME Public Channels

And now for the same in

Bulgaria

Audience share: 28.1%

Market share: 31.5%

Power ratio: 112%

Audience share development

30 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 31: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Older&Male Older&Female

Younger&Female Younger&Male

By building the media house

Competitive landscape Audience profile

Key actions

•Programming investment to ensure long-term growth in CSOV and Mini-pay revenues •Proactive and efficient inventory utilization to counter pricing pressure from CME

•Streamlined operations and efficiency increases to optimize the cost base

Sales

CSOV

Costs

31 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 32: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

32

And clear channel strategies

Core target group is young male viewers. Content cornerstones are comedies and movies

Focuses on a male target

group with a mix of

acquired programmes, own

productions and sports

Urban-focused, young, predominantly female audience profile. Broadcasts a broad mix of local content and successful international TV formats

Core

Profiles

Programming

• Be alternative to bTV whenever possible

• Broadening and investing in prime access

• Improve the flow from main newscast to prime time

• Create the best possible flow • Create sustainable schedule which

delivers strong results leading into prime access

• Focus on more non-standard, creative and product placement solutions

• Continuing and improving our agency and client relationships

Page 33: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

And could do the same in Hungary

Audience share: 8%

Market share: 6.5%

Power ratio: 81%

Audience share development

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

40.0

45.0

50.0

MTG Public Channels RTL Klub MTM-SBS

33 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 34: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

Older&Male Older&Female

Younger&Female Younger&Male

TV2

By establishing the media house

Competitive landscape Audience profile

34 Sources: Zenith OptiMedia, ATO, MTG estimates

Page 35: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

35

So, in summary

Markets are to return to growth in near future

Current position holds many opportunities if the right strategies are implemented

Strong position on the Baltic countries

Successful formula in Czech Republic

Implementing the formula in Bulgaria

Strong operational momentum with long-term perspective

Page 36: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Returning market opportunity

CEE TV ad markets where MTG is present

SEK 8.6 billion

SEK 6.4 billion

2008 2011

SEK 2.2 billion

36 Sources: Zenith Optimedia 2012/MTG Estimates

Page 37: 7. anders nilsson   building the media house - for print