5. project financing & budgeting pm0003 sem-3
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Sikkim Manipal University Project Financing & Budgeting PM0003
PROJECT FINANCING & BUDGETING - PM0003MBA SEMESTER 3
ASSIGNMENT (SET – 1)
Q1. Detail the top down and bottom up approach of cost estimation
Ans: There are three main cost estimating approaches which can be summarized as
1. Top-down,2. Bottom-up, and3. Sideways (comparative).
Top DownTop-down estimating takes a description of the
needs/requirements(the ‘top’) and produces directly an estimate of the effort/material or cost to achieve the solution.
For example to estimate the cost of a new office building you might decide the floor area needed, based on the number/size of rooms wanted and multiply that by a construction cost per square meter to arrive at the estimated building cost.
This approach can sometime used to estimate the cost of IT projects if:• The size and complexity of requirements can be described
in a quantifiable way
• There is a recognized formula to translate requirements
into effort or cost.
The most common technique is based on Function Points, a
measure of the amount of functionality or complexity in a
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system requirement. A formula translates this into effort
based on a number of driving parameters. Whilst the
approach appears scientific, the formula is often empirical
(i.e. without any (analytical basis) and the parameters
require subjective judgments such as degree of
complexity).
Once a total effort or cost estimate is obtained this can be
partitioned using typical proportions. For a software
development project typical proportions are Requirements
20%, Design 20%, Development 40%, Test 20%. If you do
this remember everything is driven by the original estimate
and partitioning is not improving that estimate.
The top-down technique is useful in the early stages of
a project to provide indicative estimates, once requirements
have been captured. It goes directly from requirement to
solution, so estimates are quick to produce, little design
work is needed and the formula based approach facilitates
what-if analysis. The technique can only be used however if
a proven algorithm is available, is highly sensitive to the
parameters used and gives no insight into the solution
needed.
Bottom UpBottom up estimating involves taking the
requirements, producing an initial design, identifying the
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work (and materials) needed to realize each component in
the design (the ‘bottom’) then summing these up.
Using the previous example, to estimate the labour cost of
the new office building, identify all the work components
(build walls, paint walls, fit windows etc.) work out a cost for
each one and sum them to get a total cost.
The design can be broken down to increasing levels of
detail to improve confidence. There is no rule on how far to
go; more effort is needed to develop a detailed design but
this yields more information resulting in a more accurate
estimate.
The bottom-up technique can be applied in almost any
situation, the basis of the estimate is clear and can be
refined to clarify uncertainties or increase accuracy.
The main disadvantages are that it requires the design to
be available and it needs the most information and effort to
produce.
Q2. Explain the various key determinants of Cost:
Ans: No two infrastructure projects will cost the same
amount of money no matter how similar they are. Apart
from basis technical factors, the wide range of how
economic and institutional conditions in different Member
States will itself always lead to variations. Nevertheless, the
fundamental project costs are based on the actual cost of
the land, materials, equipment and labor in the region
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where the project is being procured. These basic costs will
vary depending upon a number of factors which are
discussed below.
KEY DETERMINANTS OF COSTS
The Project Specifications:
The specifications define the physical attributes of a
project. With a road, for e.g., given levels of forecast traffic
will lead to specification of the required length, depth and
width of the road pavement, the material to be used for
surfacing, the number of lanes, bridges and junctions etc.
for buildings, the required function and expected occupancy
rate will lead to a specification of total floor space and floor
plate size, height , internal and external appearance, floor
loading, heating and lighting requirements etc. Generally,
the more detailed the specification and the larger the
project, the more expensive it will be.
Location:
Location affects project costing via institutional factors
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and through geographical realities. Institutional factors can
affect initial project cost estimates in a number of ways.
Consents procedures in particular may be more arduous in
some countries affecting the time in will take to
successfully implement a project. Allowance for the costs
involved in sustaining a long public consultation exercise in
an example. Where major projects are likely to be strongly
opposed on environmental grounds, more cost may have to
be allowed for environmental mitigation measures.
Form of Procurement / Contract:
As explained earlier the form of procurement and
contract used by the project sponsor can alter the
estimated cost of a project. Cost savings may be made by
means of lump sum contracts although these are usually
marginal in relation to the total project costs.
Site Characteristics:
A site can be affected by soil and drainage conditions
and access restrictions which can affect the original cost
estimates. The amount of excavation, piling and foundation
activities required are particularly affected by poor ground
conditions. Where there is uncertainty about ground
conditions, accurate project costing cannot be achieved
unless a soul survey in undertaken. This may require the
sinking of boreholes to obtain soil samples at different
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levels beneath the surface.
New Build or Improvements:
Generally, the construction of new infrastructure is
more expensive than improvements to existing
infrastructure, or the refurbishment of building. This is
primarily because the “non –building” costs such as land
purchase, foundations, services provision etc. do not have
to be included when simply upgrading existing structures.
Tax Liabilities:
An organization will be liable to pay tax on its
purchases. Some organizations and types of project are not
liable to pay taxes, or else these can be reclaimed. Local
government projects and infrastructure for public use are
examples. Some public or quasi –public sector companies,
voluntary and private sector organizations can be liable and
these tax costs can have a significant impact on gross
construction costs.
Timescale:
Generally, the longer a project takes, the greater the
project costs will be. Project timescales are dependent on
the specification of a project. Usually, the larger a project is
the longer it will take to implement. This is not always the
case; if substantial additional resources are used, project
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may take a lot longer than expected because it’s phasing is
dependent upon other, linking projects or public finance
programmes. A project which involves non –continuous
phases is usually more expensive than one undertaken
without interruption because of the additional costs
involved in re-mobilizing plant and contractors.
Q3. What are the various advantages of ratio analysis?
Ans: Ratio analysis is one the techniques of financial
analysis to evaluate financial condition and performance of
a business concern. In finance, ratio analysis is carried out
to judge the liquidity of the organization. It helps the
analysts to find if a company is capable enough to pay its
liabilities. Moreover it also helps to show the operating
efficiency and internal return of an organization. Keep in
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mind that the ratio is good or bad only if it is compared to
the industry in which the organization is operating in.
According to Myers “ Ratio analysis of financial statements
is a study of relationship among various financial factors in
a business as disclosed by a single set of statements and a
study of trend of these factors as shown in a series of
statements.”
Advantages and Uses of Ratio Analysis:
There are various groups of people who are interested in
analysis of financial position of a company. They use the
ratio analysis to work out of particular financial
characteristic of the company in which they are interested.
Ratio analysis helps the various groups in the following
manner:-
1. To workout the profitability: Accounting ratio help to
measure the profitability of the calculating the
various profitability ratios. It helps the management
to know about the earning capacity of the business
concern. In this way profitability ratios show the
actual performance of the business.
2. To workout the solvency: With the help of solvency
ratios, solvency of the company can be measured.
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These ratios show the relationship between the
liabilities and assents. In case external liabilities are
more that of the assets of the company, it shows the
unsound position of the business. In this case the
business has to make it possible to repay its loans.
3. Helpful in analysis of financial statement: Ratio
analysis help the outsiders just like creditors,
shareholders, debenture holders, bankers to know
about the profitability and ability of the company to
pay them interest and dividend etc.
4. Helpful in comparative analysis of the performance:
With the help of ratio analysis a company may have
comparative study of its performance to the previous
years. In this way company comes to know about its
weak point and be able to improve them.
5. To simplify the accounting information: Accounting
ratio are very useful as they briefly summarize the
result of detailed and complicated computations.
6. To workout the operating efficiency: Ratio analysis
helps to work out the operating efficiency of the
company with the help of various turnover ratios. All
turnover ratios are worked out to evaluate the
performance of the business in utilizing the
resources.
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7. To workout short-term financial position: Ratio
analysis helps to work out the short – term financial
position of the company with the help of liquidity
ratios. In case short-term financial position is not
healthy efforts are made to improve it.
Accounting ratios indicate the trend of the business. The
trend is useful for estimating future.
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