40 years of floating money
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(Photo credit: Images_of_Money)
The reason we have floating currenciestoday is to enable economic management
via currency manipulation. Central banks
attempt to guide macroeconomic factors
like unemployment, economic growth,
interest rates, inflation and so forth by
jiggering the currency.
This idea is very old, and was expressed in
many forms by the Mercantilist writers of
the 1!!"1#$! period. The other idea,
e%ually ancient, is the Classical ideal of a currency that is as stable,
predictable, and free of human influence as possible. This is typicallyrepresented by a value link of some sort, either to gold, or perhaps another
major international currency.
& country that adopts a value link, such as a currency board system, gives up
any ambitions to manage the economy with Mercantilist money"tweaking
tricks.
'irtually all economists today will claim that the Mercantilist option is the
only one that is acceptable. (ndeed, all the major currencies such as the dollar,
euro and )ritish pound are managed on this basis, with a policy committee
that attempts to manage economic conditions with monetary means. There
are no gold standard currencies today.
*owever, this apparent supremacy of Mercantilist techni%ues is a bit of an
illusion. The fact of the matter is, most countries in the world today have
some variant of a Classical approach. They give up monetary management,
and have some form of value peg.
+or the time being, this has meant a link to a major international currency,
such as the dollar or euro. (f a country adopted a gold standard system today,
the result would be violent swings in exchange rates with other, floating
currencies. This is because golds value is stable, and the floating currencies
values are unstable. +or now, stability of exchange rates has taken priority.
*owever, the goal is still a Classical focus on stability, predictability, and
ECONOMICS | 12212!12 " 12:#$PM | 2%$1& 'ies
-! ears /f +loating Money, -!ears /f The &verage 0orkeretting 2oorer
Nathan Lewis% Contri*tor
I rite ao*t monetary and ta+ ,o-icy for the 21st cent*ry.
ars Of Floating Money, 40 Years Of The Average Worker Getting ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanlewis/2012/12/21/40-years-of
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freedom from human intervention, at least at the domestic level.
The countries of the euro3one, for example, agreed some time ago to abandon
all forms of domestic money manipulation. The euro itself is of course a
floating currency, but no one country 4 not even ermany or +rance 4 has
very much influence on the 5C).
'irtually all of 5astern 5urope, besides 6ussia, has also adopted either the
euro itself or some form of close euro peg, once again abandoning any
domestic money"manipulation strategy. 5ven 6ussia, although it has a
nominally independent central bank and currency, in practice keeps the ruble
in a close relationship with the dollar and euro.
China has had some form of a dollar peg since 178!. Today, it is something of
a crawling peg, but China too does not have significant currency
independence or much latitude for domestic money jiggering.
(n &frica, fourteen countries use a euro currency board, and another three
countries use another form of euro peg. These governments have also
embraced the Classical ideal of 9table Money, free of :domestic; human
intervention.
& handful of countries in the Caribbean use the dollar itself, a currency board
link or another form of peg, including the )ritish 'irgin (slands, Turks and
Caicos, )onair, 9aint 5ustatis and 9aba, )ermuda, the )ahamas, )arbados,
&ruba and )eli3e.
2anama, 5cuador, 5l 9alvador, 5ast Timor, the +ederates 9tates of
Micronesia and the Marshall (slandss are dollari3ed.
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This article is available online at:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanlewis/2012/12/21/40-years-of-floating-money-40-years-
of-the-average-worker-getting-poorer/
ars Of Floating Money, 40 Years Of The Average Worker Getting ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/nathanlewis/2012/12/21/40-years-of
2/1/2013