$4)-e~ - connecting repositories prefer retained earnings (available liquid assets) as their main...

54
RIGHTS ISSUES AND INVESTOR RETURNS IN HONG KONG by LAU YIU FAI, LAWRENCE MBA PROJECT REPORT Presented to The Graduate School In Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION TWO-YEAR MBA PROGRAMME THE CHINESE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG May 1992 Mr. Paul McGuinness Advisor

Upload: lenguyet

Post on 12-Jun-2018

224 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

RIGHTS ISSUES AND INVESTOR

RETURNS IN HONG KONG

by

LAU YIU FAI, LAWRENCE

MBA PROJECT REPORT

Presented to

The Graduate School

In Partial Fulfilment

of the Requirements for the Degree of

MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

TWO-YEAR MBA PROGRAMME

THE CHINESE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG

May 1992

$4)-e~ Mr. Paul McGuinness

Advisor

i

ii

ABSTRACT

Rights issues are the common vehicles used to enlarge

the number of shares and capital in the Hong Kong equity

market. In order to investigate the sensitivity of the

stock prices before and after the announcement of rights

offerings, empirical analysis is performed. The revealed

materials will be valuable for the decision making of

investors and financial executives.

This study demonstrates that the announcement of

.equity· offerings reduces stock prices significantly. The

findings are consistent both with the hypothesis that

equity issues are viewed by investors as negative signals

about a firm's current performance and future prospects,

and with the hypothesis that there is a downward sloping

demand for a firm's shares.

Therefore, some argue that firms should time rights

issues to minimize the attendant adverse stock price

effects. Accordingly, firms tend to issue rights following

a rise in stock price, ' and this is when the rights issue

price reduction tends to be small.

Since the market · continually reacts to the public

announcem~nt of the news of rights issues, with the result

that investors are able to earn positive abnormal returns

by short selling the stock on the announcement date, if

possible.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABSTRACT . . TABLE OF CONTENTS . . ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

Chapter I. INTRODUCTION

Background Mechanism of Rights Issue . Underwriting ... Intrinsic Value of Rights . . Advantages of Rights Issues for Fund Raising . . . Trading Strategies for Shareholders •

11. METHODOLOGY OF ANALYSIS

Introduction and Literature Review Performing the Event Study (Announcement of Rights Issue) of the Hong Kong Stocks ..

Results Analysis Correlations Between Rates of Change in Stock Price During the Announcement Period and the Size of the Proceeds . . .

Results Analysis . . .. . . The Price effect of Rights Issues and the Total Net Assets of the Company. ....

Results Analysis . . . . . . Ill. CONCLUSION . . EXHIBITS

BIBLIOGRAPHY . .

iii

ii

iii

iv

1

2 6

10 14

15 16

17

17

22 27

28 33

34 35

37

40

44

iv

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

It is a valuable chance for me to express my gratitude

to Mr. Paul McGuinness (my project advisor) for his

guidance and opinion. His kindness and help offered to me

are the indispensable constituents in my work.

Lastly, but not least, I would llke to thank for the

assistance from Mr. Barry Livett (a finance analyst). From

whom, I got the various feasible ways of how to find out

the corresponding data.

Lau Yiu Fai, Lawrence

1

CHAPTER 1

\

,INTRODUCTION

An enduring anomaly in financial economics is the

reliance of firms on internally generated funds as their

chief source of equity financing and their corresponding

reluctance to issue common stock. Myers (1984) suggested a

pecking order theory for capital structure. Firms are said

to prefer retained earnings (available liquid assets) as

their main source of funds for investment. Next in order of

preference is debt, and last comes external equity

financing. Firms wish to avoid issuing common stocks or

other risky securi ties so that they do not run into the

dilemma of either passing up posi ti ve NPV projects or

issuing stock at a price they think is low.

Financial executives, investment bankers and many

regulators argue that selling equity causes a firm's stock

price to fall. Their view, labelled the price-pressure

hypothesis by Scholes (1972), contends that an increase in

the supply of shares causes a decline in a firm's stock

price because the demand curve for shares is downward

sloping. Some commentators, Myers and Majluf (1983), also

argue that the managers and insiders have superior

information compared to general investors. The drop in

stock price is just the consequence of the informational

effect.

2

In Hong Kong, rights issue is one of the common

methods used to enlarge the number of shares and capital in

the equity market. Whenever there are rumours about

forthcoming rights offering, especially for the blue chips

such as Hong Kong & Shanghai Bank and Hutchison, the overall market will suffer

with the slim turnover. Actually, what is the scenario if

the rights issue comes true? As the investors' returns are

always influenced by the events of rights issues, it is

valuable to analyse the price variation of the underlying

stocks during the periods of the announcement.

Hence, this paper is trying to examine the effect of

rights issues on stocks in Hong Kong, with the view that it

would offer some hints for making an investment decision

for the investors.

Background

During the recent years, fund raising activities have

experienced a growing trend. Part of the reasons are : the

less rest~ictive listing requirements imposed by the Hong

Kong Stock Exchange (starting from June 1991)1, issuers'

risk averse attitude when approaching 1997 and the boom in

the stock market.

The Table 1 shows the amount of funds raised in recent

years in Hong Kongo It is clear that the rights issue takes

the significant role as the channel of funds raising.

1 A new applicant must have a trading record of not less than three years in the normal circumstances, and the prescribed percentage of securities to be in public hands is 25% for the market value of not exceeding HK$4000 million.

3

Table 1 Funds Raising Statistics

(Billion HK$) Year Placing Publicly listed Rights Issue Privatization Warrants Dividends

1989 5.154 3.368 4. 839 19.789 3.631 35.53

1990 11

11.403 1.7029 2.960 3.335 6.70 32.446

1991 I \

6.70 5.6143 10.514 ' 0.165 9.891 37.977

up to Mar. 15, 1992 5.018 "

(Source: Wah Po Investment Company)

Before detailing the operation of rights issue, it is

beneficial to examine how to issue additional shares for a

seasoned company, whose stocks have been outstanding for

some period of time. There are several ways for a company

to issue new shares, which include:

1. Bonus issues (capitalisation issues, stock

dividends) It is a technique for turning a

company's reserves or profits into share capital

without leading to any new capital

being raised. A capitalisation issue must be supported

by a circular to shareholders.

For example, a 20% bonus issue means that investors

receive 1 new share for every 5 already owned.

2. Share Splits - A split is where - the total nominal

value of the 'share capital remains unchanged but the

existing shares are replaced by a larger number of new

shares with a smaller nominal value.

The 20% bonus issue referred to is essentially the

same as a 6-for-5 stock split. All else being equal,

4

it should cause the stock price to go down to mln of

its previous value for an n-for-m stock split.

3. Consolidation - (exactly the reverse of a split)

It is where a new share is created by the oombination

of a defined number of old shares.

4. Direct Invitations - It is open to the general public.

The corresponding company approaches an issuing house,

arranging for the preparation of the prospectus,

advisory activities in setting price and underwriting.

Two methods are actually involved i) offer for

subscription - it is an offer to the public by or on

behalf of an issuer of its own securities for

subscription and ii) offer for sale - it is an offer

to the public by or on behalf of the holders or

allottees of securities already in issue or agreed to

be subscribed.

5. Placing2 (selective marketing) - The shares are not

offered to the general publ ic but are t placed' ie.

offered and sold privately to a number of

insti tutions, such as pension funds and insurance

companies. The placing will be made on behalf of the

company by an merchant bank.

6 • Warrants Since · warrants have some similarities

wi th nil-paid rights non-exercised options to buy new shares offered by the

rights issue, the characteristics of warrants are detailed.

2 By the definition from Hong Kong Stock Exchange : a placing is the obtaining of subscriptions for or the sale of I securi ties by an issuer or intermediary from or to persons selected or approved by the issuer .or intermediary.

5

The warrantholders can have the subscription rights to

subscribe in whole or in part but not in respect of

any fraction of a share for a fixed exercise price at

any time up to the maturi ty date. Any subscription

rights which have not been exercised on or before that

date will thereafter lapse and the warrants will cease

to be valid for any purpose.

For the issuing corporation, warrants provide a low­

cost route to raise funds via the listing of deferred

equi ty. It can ,be a sweetener for the rights or bond

issue. To make a rights issue more attractive (and

successful), the issuing company would attach bonus

warrants to the nil -paid rights. After the issue is

subscribed, the warrants can then be detached for

separate listing. A warrant's exercise price is

usually pegged at a higher price than the share at the

time of issue. Thus, while the risk package offered to

the investor is attractive, the company is assured

that the funds injected in conversion will be at a

price in excess of that prevailing in the current

market.

Some Hong Kong warrant issues have been employed to

compensate investors when fund raising have run afoul

of difficult market conditions. Warrants can, under

certain conditions, provide a low cost means of

corporate control as surrogate of "B" shares. Majority

shareholders can reduce their holding in ordinary

shares and purchased outstanding warrants.

6

7. Rights issues - This is the preferred equity financing

vehicle of seasoned firms in Hong Kong as is indicated

in Tables 1 and 2. Its mechanism and characteristics

will be discussed in the following sections first.

Then in the latter part (Chapter 11), statistical

analysis of the announcement effects of rights issues

on the Hong Kong stocks would be followed.

Table 2 No. of Rights Issues in Hong Kong

Year

1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 up to Mar.15

Number

10 12 27 21 17 13 18 10

Mechanism of Rights Issue

A right is an option offered pro-rata to all existing

shareholders to buy new shares from the issuing corporation

during a stated period at a stated price.

A right is evidenced by a certificate to shareholders

stating the number of rights shares that their present

ownership can claim. The company will also send out to all

of its shareholders circulars (prospectus: Exhibit 1)

explaining the terms of the rights issuance and giving

notice of the special general meeting at which a resolution

will be proposed to approve the rights issue. The document

also states the relevant terms :

1. number of rights offered for specific number of shares

or warrants held

7

2. subscription price (exercise price)

3. the expiration date of the rights offering

4. proposed use of the proceeds

A rights issue is not only conditional on the passing

at a special general meeting of the necessary resolutions

to approve an increase in authorised sharecapi tal, the

creation of new warrants but also depending on the granting

from the Stock Exchange.

To attract the shareholders, the exercised rights

sometime will be attached with bonus warrants or the

proceeds for the subscription can be paid by instalment.

The nil-paid rights are transferrable and negotiable

in the Stock Exchange. The duration of the trading of

rights is around ten days and ends with the expiration date

of the rights. Normally, fractional shares are not issued.

Many rights offerings include an oversubscription

privilege. The qualifying shareholders will have the right

to apply for rights shares in excess of their provisional

allotments on·a pro rata basis of any shares that are left

over after the termination of the offering.

Table 3 : Time Table for a Rights Issue 8

Taking the time table of the rights issuance of

"Evergo International Holdings (1991)" and its closing

stock prices as example

Announcement Date of Rights Issue

Record date for the Rights Issue

First day of dealings in nil paid rights shares

Last day of dealings in nil paid rights shares

Latest time for Acceptance & payment

14th Jan.

Fri. 8th Feb.

18th F b e •

28th F b e .

4:00pm 1st March

Refund cheque in respect ----------­of wholly or partly

8th March

unsuccessful excess applications

Certificates for Rights ----------­Shares posted on or before

11 th March

Tab 1 e 4 ~ff@filf@ Jlf!i)'fC El 7 /Hi§J 7rQJ111D1J~ 1&11J1hl'U X~ll/J@ @, 11 '@fi 2 ~t (1110 111 f&~ 1~ g 1111'0 1I~ 1J(J17D

9/1/91 10/1/91

11/1 14/1 15/1 16/1

1/2/91 4/2 5/2 6/2 7/2 8/2

18/2 19/2

Closing Stock Price

$ 1.89 1.84 1.83 1.72 Announcement Date 1.83 1.83

2.425 2.075 Ex-right Date (XR) 2.175 2 .• 15 2.175 2.15 Record Date

Closing price of nil-paid rights 2.225 1.06 2.275 1.22

9

There are several important days for a rights issue.

Record date (8th Feb.) is the date at which the

stockholders listed on the firm's stock record will be

mailed their rights. The ex-right date (stock sold without

subscription rights) is usually four business days before

the record date because the Stock Exchange requires some

time to clear the transaction. The market price of the

stock is likely to fall by the approximate value of a right

when the stock goes ex-rights.

A ready market in the rights usually develops,

permitting surplus rights to be sold or additional rights

purchased during the dealing days of nil paid rights shares

(1st day: 18th Feb. for Evergo's example). The dealings in

the Stock Exchange are subject to the payment of stamp duty

in Hong Kong. For some rights issues, the issuing companies

may not make to or satisfy the Listing Committee of the

Stock Exchange for listing of the rights shares in their

nil paid forms. In this way, no trading and negotiating

of the rights will be undergone.

Those who want to exercise rights, should send their

cheques accompanied with the application forms before the

latest time for acceptance (1st March in case of Evergo).

No commission is levied when the rights holder exercises

the rights and acquires new shares. The right shares, when

fully-paid, will rank pari passu in all respects with the

existing issued shares including the right to receive all

future dividends and distributions which may be declared,

made or paid. For the unsuccessful applications, cheques

10

will be refunded. The certificates for the Rights Shares

would be despatched to those entitled thereto on or before

11th March.

Underwriting

When a company makes a rights · offering, there are

usually several weeks between the ex-rights date and the

date offer expires. If the share price falls below the

issue price by the last acceptance date, shareholders will

not exercise their rights. To avoid the issues failing, the

company may deliberately set the issue price sufficiently

low or may arrange the underwriting. The underwriter(s)

makes a commitment to take up the unscribed portion of the

issue. Hereby the company is able to pass the major part of

risk to a syndicate of financial institutions. Some argue

that underwriters cause an increase in the stock price (1)

by increasing ' 'public confidence' through external

certificate of the legal, accounting, and engineering

analysis & (2) by the selling efforts of the underwriting

syndicate.

It should be noted that the underwri ting agreement

relating to the rights issue contains provisions entitling

the underwriters to terminate the obligations thereunder on

the occurrence of certain events, including force majeure,

or a material breach of the representations and warrants

contained in the underwriting agreement, occurring before

the second or third day following the last day for

acceptance and payment under the rights issue. For this

purpose, force majeure includes (but is not limited to) the

11

occurrence of any event or circumstances (political,

military, economic, or otherwise) which in the reasonable

opinion of the underwri ters is or will be or may be

materially adverse to the company or the issue of the

rights shares or any change in financial, political,

economic or market condi tions which will or may in the

reasonable opinion of the underwriters prejudicially and

materially affect the right issue. If the underwriters

exercise such right the Rights Issue will · not proceed. The

listing document mu-st contain full disclosure of the above

facts and state the consequential risks. 3

For an investor, he should notice that if new issue

was undersubscribed, the market share price will be

depressed under the exercise price for extended period. For

example, Dickson Concepts in August 1991 announced the

basis of Rts 1 fo ·r 2 at HK$5. 25. The final subscription

rate came out to be 68.7 % (Figure 1).

3 On 17th January, 1991, it was announced that hostilities had broken out in the Middle East involving Iraq and allied forces including amongst others the United states of America, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Great Britain. Such an outbreak of hostilities would probably amount to a force majeure event. Accordingly, shareholders are urged to exercise extreme caution when dealing in shares and nil paid rights until the underwriting agreement becomes unconditional . .

8

7.5

7

, v

4.5

4

12

Figure 1. Share Price of Dickson Concept During August 13 to December 6, 1991. 4

Share Price of Dickson Concept (in 1991) with Subscription Price of HK$5.25

\ \

...... --.. ---.. -

I I I I I I I I I I J I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I 111 I

Aug 15 19 21 23 28 30 3 14 16 20 22 27 29 Sept

5 4 t)

9 11 13 17 19 24 26 30 10 12 16 18 20 25 27

Date

~ Closing Stock Price . . Oc.1;ober 11, 1991 · $ 4.925 · October 26, 1991 · $ 4.775 · November 8, 1991 $ 4.95 November 19, 1991 $ 5.15 November 28, 1991 $ 5.15 December 6, 1991 $ 5.15

13

For reference, here submit the subscription rates of

the recent rights issues in Hong Kong (Table 5). The

figures show that the underwriters are not always necessary

to take the rest of the unscribed portion of the issues.

Table 5 Subscription Rates of some Rights Issues

1989 Harriman 114 %

1990 Chung Wha 66.8 % Success Holdings 109.7 % Winland Invest. 118.1 % Shun Ho Construct. 64.57 % Standard Lloyds 116.4 % Wah Sing Toys 133 %

Average Subscription Rate for year 1990 101.43 %

1991 Hopewell Holdings 101.45 % Crusader Holdings 102.5 % Huey Tai Int'l 127.1 % Rose Int'l 95.65 % Emperor Int'l 107.5 % Cheuk Nan 157 % Dickson Concept 68.7 % Regal Hotel 121.5 % Evergo Int'l 144 % Creative Invest. 129 % Novel Enterprise 125 % Swilynn Int'l 102.7 % Kee Shing 116.17 % Burwill Holdings 139.37 % Guangdong Invest. 121.5 %

Average Subscription Rate for year 1991 117.28 %

14

Intrinsic Value of Rights

Without considering the market and internal effect,

a drop in share price on the ex-right date is due to the

detach of rights after the record date

M e = Market price of stock goes ex-right

= Market price of stock rights on X R

where X represents number of rights offered to shares held R represents the value of a right

e.g. Rts 5 for 2 then X::: 5/2

Theoretically, once rights are being traded in the

HKSE, the rights' value depend on :

1. the market price of a share of underlying stock,

2. the subscription price S, and

3. the number (N) of rights needed to buy one new share

(N=l in Hong Kong)

The value of a right, when it is being traded in the '

market, is equal to

R = M--e - - S N

for Me > S

where Me is the price of stock on dealing date of rights.

If the subscription price is set close to the market value,

the value of rights will be so small that it constitutes a

nuisance for the existing owners of small and medium

holdings of shares. If the subscription price is set

SUbstantially below the existing market price, the rights

are certain to have substantial value. But if there is no

general market interest in the securities, the value may be

less than the expected or theoretical value. If this is so,

15

a loss ' re-suI ts for the existing shareholders, which may

adversely affect future financing opportunities available

to the financial manager.

During the period between announcement of the rights

offering and the subscription date, the market price, of

course, may fluctuate almost continually. At any given

time, the relationship between the price of the stock and

the right should tend to reflect the theoretical value.

Otherwise arbitrage would take place, forcing them closer

to their theoretical relationship. However, this may not

always be true in practice. Speculators may obtain a much

greater "play" from the commi tment of a given amount of

funds by trading in the rights rather than in the stock.

Therefore, if speculators are optimistic, expecting the

stock price to rise in the short term, they may bid the

rights up well above their theoretical value. Conversely,

if they expect the price of the stock to fall, they may

short the rights in sufficient quantities to force their

price below theoretical value.

Advantages of "Rights Issues" for Fund Raising

It can direct to existing shareholders, who

constituting a receptive market for additional shares. It

may be possible to reduce the cost of flotation of the new

issues. Whenever the shareholder exercises his rights

completely, the relative voting rights are unaffected. It

can ensure that existing shareholders have opportunities to

maintain their proportionate interest in the company. In

the business custom, the underwriting fee for rights issue

16

is normally 2% ; while that of "direct invitation" of new

shares is 2.5%. Although there is no legal restriction on

the percentage of commission, however, the underwri ter

always follows the rule.

Trading strategies for Shareholders

There are numerous trading strategies for an investor

to handle a rights issue. The courses of actions open to an

investor :

1. holding the stock, doing nothing and let the rights

expire

2. holding the underlying stock and selling the rights

3. holding the stock and exercising his rights in full by

paying the required amount

4. purchasing the nil paid rights from the market & then )

exercise the rights

The actions taken depend on many factors. Amongst the

points for consideration are :

1 . the tax, risk and investment profile of the

shareholder

2. the price of the shares for subscription under the

rights granted, versus the current and anticipated

market price

3. application of the fund: for the organic growth, for

an acquisition or to rescue an ailing balance sheet

CHAPTER II

METHODOLOGY OF ANALYSIS

Introduction and Literature Review

There are various theories predicting the announcement

day effect of the rights offerings. Three types of

categories can be grouped.

Negative price effect - consistent with (1) a downward

sloping demand for firms' shares leading to a permanent

price reduction, (2 ) capi tal structure hypotheses based

upon redistribution of firm value among classes of security

holders, tax effects, and/or leverage-related information

effects, (3) information effects associated with the sale

of equity by informed sellers, both firms and ' investors,

and (4 ) large t'ransact ion costs associated wi th equi ty

issues.

With tax advantages from debt financing, a new equity

issue may reduce a firm's stock price if it reduces the

firm's debt ratio (Modigliani and Miller 1963).

Positive price effect consistent with (1) a

favourable information ~ffect associated with investment,

and (2) a value enhancing reduction in financial leverage

due, for example, to a reduction in the expected costs of

financial distress an/or agency costs.

No price effect consistent with the close

substitutes - efficient markets hypothesis. , Fama (1970)

18

defined efficient markets in terms of a "fair game" where

security price "fully reflect" the information available.

That is, if markets are efficient, sec.uri ties are priced to

provide a normal return for their level of risk. o

Actually, a number of studies have f6cused on primary

issues of seasoned equity [Smith (1977), Logue and Jarrow

(1978), Marsh (1979), Hess and Frost (1982)]. These studies

generally found a small price reduction in the period

surrounding the equi ty issue. Marsh and Hess and Frost

tested and rejected the hypothesis that the price decline

was associated with the size of the issue. These two

studies, however, focused on the issue date rather than the

date that the offering was announced.

Korwar (1983) did target on the announcement day price

effect of primary issues of seasoned equity. He studied the

424 equi ty issues in the US market and found a price

decline of approximately 2.5% on announcement day. This

study did not· investigate the relationship between the size

of the issue and the magnitude of the price reduction since

it viewed equi ty issues from a capi tal structure

perspective.

Accompanied with the studies by Asquith and Mullins

(1986), Kolodny and Suhler (1985), and Mikkelson and Partch

(1986), they all indicated that issues of seaioned equity

are interpreted as bad news by the marketplace, with

significantly negative announcement date effects on equity

prices. This result is consistent with the Myers-Majluf

(1984) "pecking order" theory of capital structure: firms

19

will resort to equity issues only as a last resort.

For the specific stock market like Hong Kong, it is

valuable to employ a comprehensive analysis on its rights

issuances and examine the nature and magni tude of the

impact on the underlying stocks to observe the basic

differences.

Without considering the formats of the rights issues

and the situation of the underlying market, the percentage

,changes in stock prices on the announcement day could be

investigated for the preliminary test.

In Table 6 , thirty-one stocks (having the rights

issuances) are randomly selected from the year 1980 to

1992. The percentage change in stock price is equal to the

difference between the closing share price on the

announcement day with that on the previous day and then

divided by the closing stock price on the previous day of

the event.

'-------------I~ if. 0/ X *- .pp 00 ~ v~ Hi.. ~f

20

Table ' 6 Price Effects of Rights Offerings

Year St ock Forma t % Change (on announcement date)

1992 China Paint Hold. a, c, d -18.0

1991 Evergo Int'l a -6.01

1990

1989

1988

1987

Regal Hotels b

Dickson Concept a, d

Cheuk Nang a, c

Emperor Int'l a, g

Melco Int'l a, c

Standard Lloyds a

Magnificent a, c

Ontrade Int'l a, c

Semi Tech (Global) b, d

Chung Wha Shipbuilding

Asean

Creative Inv.

Yu Hing

F. P. Special

a

a, d

a

a

a

-17.9

-14.5

-4.21

-28.5

+3.92

-13.7

-8.84

-11.6

+1.22

-6.25

-3.51

-8.91

+3.37

+1.21

QPL a -5.26

Tse Sui Luen a, d -1.11

Holian Inv. a, d +0.877

Chinney Inv. a, d, e, f -9.03

Rivera Hold. a, d -17.3

Chevalier (HK) a, d, f -6.84

Applied Electronic a -4.81

William Hunt a -31.82

Burwill Hold a -0.62

1986

1980

Where

Chasia

Dickson ·Concept

Industrial equity

Impala Pacific

Asean Resources

Orient Overseas

a represents b

c

d e f g

21

a, c -17.2

a -0.613

a 15.84

a -0.833

a 3.597

a 1.4598

rights for shares held rights for shares or warrants held rights shares attached with warrants dividends announcement splitting announcement bonus issue announcement reverse-split announcement

In testing the hypothesis HO mean of the percentage change equal to zero

The test statistics is t cal. = _-=.;X=---__ Sn-1/1/fi

= -6.641 1.7872

= -3.7158

(where n : 31 and ttable : i 2.045 for significant level of 0.05)

22

The -test shows the mean of the percentage change is

significantly different from zero and lies in the negative

size. It gives the rough idea that the announcement of

rights offerings reduce stock prices. However,

effect may be buried by the announcement

the price

of profit

attributable to shareholders in the financial year, the

dividend, bonus issue, the market or business environment

for individual stock during the period, etc. Deeper

examination of the incidence should be engaged~

Performing the "Event Study" (Announcement of Rights Issue)

of the HK Stocks

As mentioned before, the ~nnouncement of the rights

issues are always accompanied with the declaration of the

dividends. In some cases, the exrights date coincided with

the ex-dividend date. The variation of the shares' prices

would be the results of the cumulative effects. In order to

eliminate the effects of the dividends and the warrants

offered with the rights and others incid~nts, the

underlying stocks chosen for analysis should satisfy the

criteria

1. the offer should not be an open or placing one

2. the announcement should be a "pure" one without the

declaration of interim dividends, splitting and bonus

etc. at the same time

3. the rights should only be given to the existing

shareholders on a pro rata basis and do not consider

the number of warrants they are holding.

Simultaneously, no free warrants should be attached to

23

the rights.

Scanning from the records for the years between 1980

to 1991, twenty Hong Kong stocks which could fulfil the

caption criteria and characteristics. They are chosen for

the analysis (Exhibit 2).

To test how rapidly the market responds to new

information, the interval between price quotations should

be daily or less.

To estimate a "normal" return, security daily returns

are regressed against the daily returns of HSI in the same

pe.riod :

where rit = realized return for the ith stock in time period t

r HSIt = realized return for index in time period t

eit = error term or residual, for the time period t

a i & b i are regression coefficients

The above relationship between the return for a

particular securi ty and the market index return is the

"market model" or what Sharp (1963) termed the "diagonal

model". This model is based on two assumptions 1)

Individual securi ty returns are dated -to each other only

through a common relationship with some basic underlying

factor, which we call the market index. 2) Each security's

relationship with the market index is linear.

In order to .obtain better estimation of the values of

a. & b. rather than that ground on fictitious assumptions, 1 1

these regression coefficients are calculated from the daily

changes of the stock closing prices and the daily changes

24

of the HSI for a duration of at least 30 trading days

before the announcement date of each rights issue The

values of the coefficients for each stock are tabulated in

Exhibit 2 also.

The normal return for any time period and fo'r any

individual stock, after adjusting for risk and changes in

the market index, is then equal to :

. Normal return = a i + b i r HSIt

The abnormal return ARit can be denoted by the residual

term e it . The excess return is then calculated as the

difference between the actual return to a security and the

return to its control portfolio

The average abnormal return AARt over the time, with

the days around the date of announcement for the n stocks

will be determined. t test will be utilized to test for the

significance. I 17

AARt = h f, ARit

Moreover, the cumulative average abnormal return

(CAAR) is computed by adding the average abnormal returns

AAR over time, with the time periods centred around the

date of the event or the announcement date.

CAAR ' = [ AAR t

t The CAAR provides a picture of the average price

behaviour of securities over time. In general, if a market

is efficient, the CAAR should be close to zero. The curve

of CAAR against the days around the announcement date was

plotted on the Figure 2. For comparison, the assumptions of

5

o

it)

t~ -5 ~ '-'

~

~ . -10 ~

V

-20

25

taking a equal to zero and b equal to one were also

considered (Figure 3). The corresponding computed values of

the AAR and CAAR are shown in the Exhibits 3 and 4.

. -

I

-8 I

-7

Figure 2. CAAR Around the Announcement Day with Calculated a and b values

.--.... .-.... --.----

I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I

-6 -) .... -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Days

____ (J\AR ... t\round the Anno"uncernent Day \vith calculated a &. b

I I

9 10 J

11

"

... I \

10

s -

o

-) -....

-10

Figure 3. CAAR Around the Announcement Day with a = 0 and b = 1

\\ \ \ -_ .. . R... ....- .... .

26

-..... .... --- '.. ..... .- ......• ----- ---. \ •.•..

\

\._--~-...... --.

I I I I I I I I I I I J I I I I I I I I

-8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 t) 3 4 5 6 7 S 9 10 11 J..:

Days

____ C ... ~~R Around the Announcen1ent [)ay \vith ' a = 0 and b =1

27

Analysis of the Result

For the testing of the announcement effect on the

price , teal is computed from the market adjusted abnormal

returns on the day 0 of various stocks and its value is

-1.891.

The empirical resul ts support the hypothesis that

there is a significant drop in the share price associated

wi th the announcement of a rights offering. There is

probably selling pressure on the underlying stocks. The

average investors believe that there is negative

information associated wi th a rights offering cannot be

~ejected.

Figure 2 illustrates the situation where the

unfavourable information is not anticipated and the stock

market appears to be semistrong inefficient. In this case,

the market continually reacts to the public announcement of

the news of rights issues, wi th the resul t that some

investors are able to earn posi tive abnormal returns by

short selling the stock5 on the announcement date. The CAAR

would then continue to depress under the zero in the

subsequent time periods.

Actually, what is the information furnished to the

investors from the magnitude of price change on the

5 Market opinions have been sought on short-selling plans by the Stock Exchange. According to the proposals, only those stocks with a capitalisation of $10 billion and an issued share float of $5 billion in public hands will be eligible to become designated securities. The rules governing the operation of short selling ~pply to those transactions which take place under Sect loon 80 of the Securities Ordinance, by virtue of their being backed by stock borrowing.

28

announcement date of the rights issue ? What is the

implication of the size of the funds raised and its signal

to the shareholders ? If correlation between the aspects of

the rights issues do exist, they will certainly be sensible

materials for the decision making of the investment

strategies.

Correlations Between Rates of Change in Stock Price

During Announcement Period and

the Size of the Proceeds

The Table 7 shows the price effect acting singly on

the announcement day, and Table 8 illustrates the amount

raised, the . number of shares outstanding and the

shareholders' funds in the company before the announcement

of the rights issues.

29

Table 7: Change in Stock Price on the Announcement Day

Stock Name Price effect on

Announcement Day

Nominal (%)

Harriman 1989 0.91

Evergo 199.1 -6.01

Chung Wha 1990 -6.25

Applied Electron. -4.81

QPL Holdings -5.26

Standard Lloyds -13.70

Creative Inv. -8.91

Guangdong Inv. -11.76

F. P. Special +1.21

Yu Hing 3.37

Burwill Hold. -0.62

William Hunt -31.82

Dickson Concepts -0.61

Impala Pacific -0.83

Lambda Tech. 1.02

Wah Sing Toys -6.67

Industrial Equity 15.84

Success Holdings -20.43

Orient Overseas 1.46

Asean Resources 3.60

Average Price Change = standard Deviation of Price Change =

-4.51 % 0.0995

Table 8 Database of the Stocks (amount raised, total shareholders' funds and shares outstanding)

Money Raised

no. of rights shares

($' 000) --l..,(-':"" O-=-:OO-L-l __

Harriman 407,000 Evergo 313,000 Chung Wha 41,600 Applied Elect. 85,320 QPL Hold. 71,400 Standard Lloyds 66,090 Creative Inv. 85,380 Guangdong Inv. 40,280 F. P. Special 28,020 Yu Hing 88,000 Burwill Hold. 30,160 William Hunt 108,900 Dickson Concept 609,230 Impala Pacific 156,400 Lambda Tech. 132,790 Wah Sing Toys 53,450 Industrial Eq. 1,444,140 Success Hold. 106,200 Orient Overseas 120,000 Asean Resources 57,000

148,000 272,315 41,601.1

406,296.9 102,000 115,950 813,312.96 73,234.9 6,639.8

80,000 20,800

217,800 105,952

9,200 107,522,3 84,841.3 -72,206.99

106,200 47,095.2

293,970

no. of outstanding shares before rights issue ( , 000 I

37,000 544,630 208,005.6 270,864.8 306,000 115,950 40,656.5

146,469.6 66,398 10,000

104,000 217,800 132,440 23,000

107,522.3 282,804 144,414

53,100 282,517.3

58,794

Total shareholders' funds before rights issue ($' 000)

485,965 4,357,106

304,256 124,117.3 56,421. 7

124,043 31,540.6

187,863 323,105

18,477 49,750 32,383

270,559 577,499 127,180 188,815.66 441,659 171,643 699,841. 7

1,993

30

The price change on the single day of announcement of

a rights issue shows on Table 7 may not completely

illustrate the effect of the event. There is possibility

that the announcement was disclosed to public at the late

afternoon or even after the trading time of the Stock

Exchange. To minimize thus limitation, the price effect of

each stock was computed from the average daily abnormal

return (starting from day 0 to day 5), and the results are

tabulated in Table 9.

The size of the rights issues can be expressed in term

of two ways : the amount of money r~ised and the magnitude

of the additional rights shares. Hence, they are compared

with the pre-announcement value of firm's equity and its

31

outstanding number of shares to get the size ratios. The

corresponding scatter diagrams for the size of rights issue

against the average daily market adjusted abnormal return

are plotted on Figure 4 and 5.

Table 9 : Average Daily AR vs Size Ratio of Rights ' Issues

. Stock Average daily AR (%) (Based on day 0 to day 5)

Harriman 2.957 Evergo 4.813 Chung Wha -2.719 Applied Elect. -1.44 QPL Hold. -2.045 Standard Lloyds -3.881 Creative Inv. -6.306 Guangdong Inv. -2.955 F. P. Special -0.0612 Yu Hing -1.8788 Burwill Hold. -1.263 William Hunt -5.148 Dickson Concepts -2.568 Impala Pacific 0.1695 Lambda Tech. -0.785 Wah Sing Toys -5.311 Industrial Eq. 0.0301 Success Hold. -4.658 Orient Overseas 2.0178 Asean Resources * -8.324 (base on day 0 to day 3)

Size *ratio of Rights \ssue: A (%) B (%)

400 50 20

150 33

100 200 .

50 10

800 20

100 80 40

100 30 50

200 16.67 500

83.75 7.18

13.67 68.74

126.5 , 53.28 270.7 21.44 8.67

476.3 60.62

336.29 225.2 27.08

104.41 28.31

326.98 61.87 17.15 2860

Where A * = number of rights shares pre-announcement number of shares outstanding

B * proceeds raised ($) = pre-announcement value of firm's equity ($)

AR

AR

I 10 f-

5 f-

I

32

Figure 4. Scatter Diagram

Average Daily Market Adjusted A~normal Returp Against the Size Ratio of the Rights Issues (A )

I

I. 0 t- •

( 90 ) I. •

-5 l- •

-10 f-

I

0

5 f- •

I

• (%)0 f- •

la

-5 t- I

-10 ""' I

o

• • • • • • • • • 1 J I

200 400 600

A* (%)

Figure 5. Scatter Diagram

I.

.1

. -::.~ ,'.

Average Daily Market Adjusted Abnormal Retprn Against the Size Ratio of Rights Issues (B)

I I I I

• • • • •

I I

I I I I

100 200 300 400

B* (%) Size of Additional Funds

I -

-

-I

-I

800

I -

-I

-

-I

500

33

Analysis of the Results

The Pearson's product moment correlation coefficient

(r) measures the strength of the linear relationship. The

correlation r between the average daily abnormal return and

the A* is -0.201 which can only explain 4.04% of the

variability in the Daily AR values by a linear relation.

The correlation r between the average daily abnormal return

and the B* is -0.512, which can explain 26.21% of the

variability of the former variable.

Regression for the samples (Table 10) indicates that

the announcement effect (during day 0 to day 5) is

inversely related to the size of the issue (in term of the

planned proceeds of the offered divided by the pre-

announcement value of the firm's equity) and the price

reductions are significantly linear related to the latter

variable at significant level of 0.05.

Table 10 Estimated Coefficients and t-statistics for the Regression

Dep Var: AR N: 20 Multiple R: -0.512 Squared Multiple R: 0.262

Adjusted Squared Multiple R: 0.221 Standard Error of Estimate: 2.819

Variable Constant Size

Coefficient -1.293

Std Error Std Coef Tolerance T p( 2 Tail) 0.685 0.000 -1.888 0.075

--0.003 0.001 -0.512 0.100E+01 -2.527 0.021

Analysis of Variance

Source Sum-of-squares Regression 50.754 Residual 143.058

Df 1

18

Mean-Square 50.754

7.948

F-Ratio 6.386

E 0.021

34

The Price Effect of Rights Issue and the

Total Net Assets of the Company

The total net asset in the issuance company, which is

equivalent to the total shareholders' fund, is the other

important factor that should be tested for. The to~al net

assets consist the share capital, minority interest, share

premium and reserves.

The relationship between the average abnormal return

and the company's net asset are tested and

corresponding scattered diagram is plotted on Figure 6.

10 f-

5 to-

o AR (%)

t-

I

• -5 I- I

• I.

Figure 6. Scatter Diagram

2 I

I

Average Abnormal Return Against the Company's Net Asset

I

• 1

I

I

I •

I

I

• I

I

the

I

I -

-

-

--10 I- I 1 LL-I ________________ IL-______________ ~I ________________ ~ ________________ ~

o 200 400 600 800

Company's Net Asset ($'000,000)

35

Analysis of the Results

The results are shown on Table 11. The correlation

coefficient r between average abnormal return and the

company's net asset is +0.62 which can solely explain 38.4%

variation of the former dependent variable. The t 1 is ' 3.348 ca

with n equal to twenty. Hence, the positive linear

relationship is significant existed. The negative effect is

smaller when the company's net asset is greater, and vice

versa.

When the size of rights issue (ratio) and the

company's net asset ' are chosen as the dummy variables in

the multi-regression, the correlation r will increase to

0.747 (accounts to r2 equals to 55.8%).

Table 11 Estimated Coefficients and t-statistics for the , Regression

Dep Var: AR N: 20 Multiple R: 0.747 Squared Multiple R: 0.558

Adjusted Squared Multiple R: 0.506 Standard Error of Estimate: 2.245

Variable Constant Size Net Asset

Source Regression Residual

Coefficient -2.208

Std Error Std Coef Tolerance T p( 2 Tail) 0.609 0.000 -3.626 0.002

-0.002 0.001 -0.423 0.9739974 -2.588 0.019 0.002 ' 0.001 0.551 0.9739974 3.374 0.004

Analysis of Variance

Sum-of-sguares 108.137 85.675

Df 2

17

Mean-Sguare 54.068 5.040

F-Ratio 10.728

E 0.001

The findings are consistent with the empirical results

of Paul Asquith and David W. Mullins (1986) and that of R.

W. White and P. A. Lusztig (1980). The results demonstrate

that the announcement of seasoned equity offerings reduces

36

stock prices significantly (negative excess returns),

The other points will be discussed and summarised in

the chapter of Conclusion.

37

CHAPTER III

CONCLUSION

The result demonstrates that the announcement of

equity offerings reduces stock prices significantly. The

findings are consistent both with the hypothesis that

equity issues are viewed by investors as negative signals

about a firm's current performance and future prospects,

and with the hypothesis that there is a downward sloping

demand for a firm's shares.

Some argue ' that firms should time rights issues to

minimize the attendant adverse stock price effects. Firms

tend to issue rights following a rise in stock price, and

this is when the rights issue price reduction tends to be

small.

From the empirical multi-regression analysis in this

report, two publicly available pieces of information

(1) the size of the equity issues (in the percentage

of the total shareholders' funds) and

(2) the company's net asset in dollar amount disclosed

in previous financial year

are significantly related to the (Average daily AR' and can

explain 55.8% of the percentage variation of the stock

price. For further investigation, other dummy variables may

be included, such as the changes in EPS or the dividend per

share in the previous financial year.

This ' finding is

belief by executives

38

consistent with the strongly held

and investment bankers that large

equity issues depress stock prices. However, this result

does not distinguish between the price-pressure hypothesis

and explanations based on asymmetric information since a

size effect is consistent with both hypotheses.

Generally speaking, investors give cold shoulder on

the total number of the outstanding shares of firms in the

event and the basis of the rights issue (that is the

additional shares raised). They react to the announcement

in the minutes according to the restricted information on

hand, for example, what is the "size of the company (in monetary

definition)", tt its past performance (the total net asset recorded in the recent

years I", and its future prospect.

The finding of the negative market reaction to

external equity financing (rights issues) produces an

interaction among major financial decisions investment

policy, capital structure policy and dividend policy.

On the other hand, there is controversial view about

the buried strategic purpose of the rights iss~ances which

utilize the significant drop in shares prices by the impact

of the rights offering. Some aggressive majority

shareholders would frequently propose to raise substantial

funds by the way of rights offerings within a short period

of time. Once the events stimulate the selling pressure on

the underlying stocks and reduce the share prices

significantly, the majority shareholders would purchase the

stock at low price and then try to privatize the company.

39

The management of Evergo International Holdings Limited is

one of thus hunters. Table 12 actually illustrates the

"trading technique" of Joseph Lau ·and Thomas Lau taking in

Hong Kong market during the years.

Table 12 Rights Issuance of Evergo and its Subsidiaries

Evergo Int. J 1 Holdings

Year Basis Amount Raised (HK$ Million)

August 1986 Rts 3 for 5 124.778 Feb. 1987 Rts 4 for 2 1056.0 Feb. 1991 Rts 1 for 2 313.0

April 1987 Rts 4 for 1 1160.0

Chi:n.a T{n"tert.ai:n:.men"t & Land I:rrves·t:men"t

Oct. Oct.

1986 1988

Sept. 1989

Nov. 1988

Rts 7 for 1 Rts 3 Consolidated shares for 5 Rts 2 for 1

Paul "Y. Holdings

Rts 2 for 1

536.172 864.78

922.44

450.0

Finally, since the announcement of the rights issues

are always accompanied with the declaration of dividends,

profit earnings, splitting, bonus and attached with

warrants etc., additional research is needed to analyse the

cumulative effects onto the stock prices. The corresponding

works will be both rigorous and comprehensive.

E.>e.hibit 1

THIS DOCUMENT IS IMpORTANt AND REQUIRES YOUR IMMEotAT~ AtteNtioN

If you a~e I~ any doubt about ~hi.s document, or if you have sold (other than ex-rights) all ot part of your registered holding of Shares In Olckso,n Concepts LimIted, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager solicitor professional accouhtant or other professional adviser. ' ,

A copy of this doc~ment, together with copies of the provisional allotment lettet, the form 01 appllc~tion for excess Rights Sha~es and the wnt~en ,consents referred to, in Appendi~ V of this document, has been delivered for registration to the RegIstrar o~ Co.mpanles In Hong Kong as reqUlr~d,?y ,Section 380 of the Companies Ordinance of Hong Kohg. The Registrar of Compantes In Hong Kong takes no responsibility as to the contents of any of these documents.

The Stock, Exchang,e of Hong Kong Limited takes no responsibility fot the contents of this document, l11ake~ nb rep~esentatlon ~s to ,Its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever anslng from or In reliance upon the whole or, any part of the contents of this dodument.

.'

DfCKSON ~

~~~Ij}!1f~'&i~ ~ DICKSON CONCEPTS LIMITED

(Incorporated in Hong Kong With limited liability)

RIGHTS ISSUE of 207,682,464 Shate~ of HK$1.00 @ach

at HK$5.2S p~r ~hate ..-

p~yable ih full 011 acceptahce and

major transactioh

MANAGEFt AND UNbERWFUtl:~

WARDLI:Y CORPo~ATI: f=INANCE LIMitED

; I ;

The latest time for acceptance and payment for the Rights Shares is 4:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 24th September, 1991. The procedure for acceptance is set out on page 6.

It should be noted that the Underwriting Agreement in respect of the rtights Issue contains provisIons entitling th~ Underwriter, Wardley Corporate Finance Limited, to terminate its obligations thereunder on the occurrence of eertaln events, including force majeure, or a material breach of the representations and warranties contained In the Underwriting Agreement, occurring before 5:00 p.m. on the second business day following the la~t day for accepttlilca and payment under the Rights Issue. For this purpose, torce majeure Includes the occurrence, happening, coming Into effect or becoming public knowledge of any event or circumstances (financiar, political, economic, market or otherwise) which in the reasonable opinion of the Underwriter is or will be or Is likely to be materially adverse to the Company and its subsidiaries (taken as a whole) or the issue of the Rights Shares or any change In financial, political, economic or market conditions which In the reasonable opinion of the Underwriter will or is likely ,to prejudicially and materially affect the Rights Issue, or otherwise in the reasonable opinion of the Underwritet make it Inadvisable Ot Inexpedient for the Company as S prudent listed Issuer to proceed with the Rights Issue. If the UnderWriter exercises such rights the Rlghts.~suewill not proceed. f::.s a r~sult of thl~ provision ,there. is,S conse~uenti,a,~ risk In , ~ea~,ing In,the. nil paid rights ,and the Shares of the Com~any, Which h~ve~een d~alt In, onanex-ri~hts ,and l ~x-tln81 d,lvldend ~~sI3 since 30th August, 1991, during the period when the conditions to Which the f:llght~ Issue is subject remain unfulfilled.

~. •. _;',1., . ';

5th septeri1b~r, 1991

. .............

40

41

Exhibit 2

S-t.oc:k lUro..o"UJ.lC.e:J.J.le:trt a. ". CaleulullUll "btweil 1 Di Da;te Ull :.r.w..t ,ol -t:rtW.i.ug

ilu.Ya

Evergo 14/1/91 ":"0.01462 1.488125 30

Chung Wha 28/7/90 0.008544 -0.11937 30

Wah Sing Toys 28/6/90 0.008548 1.263184 30

Standard 8/6/90 0.004776 0.112106 30 Lldyds

Success Hold. 3/1/90 -0.00017 0.018873 30

Harriman 27/1/89 -0.0022 0.125522 30

Creative 21/10/89 0.049565 2.506301 30

Guangdong 10/12/90 -0.00539 1.40853 30

Yu Hing 8/4/89 0.000254 0.223613 30

Applied 29/6/88 0.001532 2.08997 30

QPL 3/5/88 0.000792 1.014346 30

F. P. 24/6/88 0.000997 0.188956 30 Special

Burwill Hold 10/2/87 -0.00185 0.834254 30

William Hunt 31/3/87 -0.01961 0.615886 30

Dickson 15/9/87 0.020535 0.442859 30 Concept

Lambda Tech. 1/10/86 0.015494 0.072906 30

Impala Pac. 15/9/86 0.006953 0.219726 30

Industrial 24/4/86 0.0103.22 0.488625 30 Equity

Orient 11/6/80 -0.00717 0.82607 30 Overseas

Asean Res. 14/10/80 0.025715 1.950418 23

42

Ex

hib

it

3

The

Daily

Abn

ormal

Retur

n fo

r th

e Co

rresp

ondi

ng S

tock

s Ar

ound

the

Ann

ounc

emen

t Da

y (w

ith a

and

b va

lues

from

cal

cula

tlon)

ab

out

30 t

radi

ng d

ays

Abno

rmal

Retur

n in

%

-8 da

y ~

_-6 _

_ -5_

_-4 _

_

-3 _

_ -_2 _

_ -1 __

0_

J:

L ~

-.il _

_ i-_4

Harri

man

0.044

3 1.0

75

-0.6

32

1.148

-1

.63

3.025

0.8

86

0.783

4 10

.78

1.882

1.0

19

Everg

o -3

.416

-2

'.000

9 -2

.104

-2.

125

2.303

1.0

95

-1.5

7 -0

.201

-3

.54

9.66

2.296

-2

.62

6.00

Chun

g Wh

a Sh

ip.

5.945

-0

.024

-2.

71 -

2.43

4 1.

882

-7.3

69

-4.6

9 5.1

91

-1.0

38 -

1.05

8 Ap

p lie

d El

ect.

-2.0

56

-4.0

79

2.569

0.2

82

-2.7

7 0.2

07

5.229

2.0

38

-3.9

21 1

.041

-1.1

82

-0.3

85 0

.2908

QP

L Ho

lding

s -0

.045

0.9

33

-0.5

39

0.780

2 0.3

397

-0.3

17 -

0.98

0.4

073

-6.8

33 0

.1262

0.16

4 -2

.837

-2.

743

Stan

dard

Lloy

'ds

-1.8

07

-2.0

15

-4.8

61

2.368

-0

.456

-3

.356

6.82

8 -0

.382

-14

;21

-3.8

23 -

3.69

4 1.1

95

-0.5

13

Crea

tive

Inv.

7.995

6.3

226

-4.9

66 -

2.97

4 -4

.507

-9.

5656

.358

-1

.328

-16

.48

-13.

63 -

7.86

7 3.2

55

0.732

6 Gu

angd

ong

0.918

2 1.1

675

1.199

7 -2

.439

0.9

38 2

.556

-0.7

14

3.706

-1

2.64

-2.

46

0.800

2 -4

.28

-2.8

6 F.

P. Sp

ecial

"

0.368

6 -0

.159

1.14

5 -1

.172

-0.

508

-1.2

25 -

0.26

6 Yu

Hing

-0

.118

0.0

966

-0.7

21 -

1.84

6 0.1

068

-1.1

72 -

0.20

1 -0

.089

3.36

5 -3

.864

-0

.843

-1

.301

-2.

35

Burw

ill H

old.

4.6{2

6 7.3

266

4.140

4 -4

.665

-2

.025

-0.

306

0.768

8 -1

.066

0.14

25 -

1.19

6 -4

.654

-1

.345

-0.

593

Willi

am H

unt

-0.4

43

-2.3

69 0

.7911

3.88

81

0.263

8 3.3

165

-29.

45 -

30.0

1 24

.09

2.312

Di

ckso

n Co

ncep

t -1

1.283

1.4

557

0.561

-0

.283

-1

.76

0.082

1 -3

.377

-4

.901

-2.

119

-5.3

48

0.818

-2.

889

-2.3

86

. Imp

ala P

acifi

c 2.4

962

-1.01

39 -

1.23

2 -0

.715

-1

.316

-3

.343

-0.

265

-6.5

78 0

.6954

-3.

962

-1.2

61

-3.8

94 -

0.62

7 La

mbda

Tech

. 1.8

069

-0.0

24

9.535

2.2

393

-4.3

4 -2

.584

-8.

387

-0.5

33 -

0.60

6 1.3

766

0.361

-2.

341

-0.8

51

Wah

Sing

Toy

s 3.8

788

11.47

48 8

.6125

-14

.062

4.598

6 -5

.057

-1.

468

-1.6

51 -

7.09

1 -1

2.95

-7.

849

-2.2

66 -

1.11

6 Su

cces

s Ho

ld.

1.056

3 0.5

46

-2.5

4 -1

.035

2.6

415

-3.6

150.

0767

0.0

16 -

20.4

3 -8

.773

-5.

89

-1.5

42 1

.613

Indu

stria

l Eq

uity

-5.6

12

-1.4

96

3.554

6 -1

.092

0.560

4 -0

.977

0.84

43

-1.7

48 1

3.677

1.26

11 -

6.40

6 -3

.073

-5.

823

Orien

t Ov

ersea

s -0

.301

0.1

035

-1.7

83

0.157

4 -0

.169

0.

2049

2.51

82 6

.9551

-0.

434

-0.9

78

Asea

n Re

sour

ces

-4.4

03

-1.8

3 -0

.988

-1.1

11

6.625

4 5.7

53

11.03

3 8.7

638

1.594

2 -2

2.75

-15

.95

-29.

97 1

8.149

6

+5

±L

i-7

+8

+9

~

+11

2.392

2.8

77

-1.9

18

-1.9

5 -2

.691

1.0

228

1.099

9 17

.08

-6.8

78

3.789

-2

.141

-0

.455

0.6

46

-7.3

5 -4

.486

-1

.842

2.3

17

-0.6

61

-1.1

33

1.933

4 -2

.694

-0

.149

8 -0

.279

0.1

951

-0.2

95

-1.1

21

1.167

8 0.9

819

-2.2

41

-3.8

86

2.990

2 -0

.492

-3

.957

1.2

22

1.27

34

-3.8

4

1.659

0.4

854

-0.0

60 -

0.49

1 -6

.28

-0.0

36

-0.2

3 0.1

471

2.691

5 1.2

893

1.015

2 0.0

669

-0.7

58

0.949

1 -0

.699

-1

.144

-1

.750

-8

.078

-7.

974

-18.

695

-3.4

84

6.634

2.8

511

2.324

1 -4

.357

2.3

044

2.363

3 2.1

314

-4.4

26

-0.3

23

-0.5

35

-1.8

32

-2.6

51

-1.7

7 -3

.518

-0.

462

-1.6

8 -7

.394

-2

.454

-0

.59

-0.8

992.

3948

-1.

713

-6.1

79

3.844

1 4.4

973

7.073

-1

.445

0.77

62 1

0.420

-O

.6~1

-4

.039

-8

.445

0.5

444

-7.3

68 6

.9071

-2

.367

-2

.155

-2

.864

0.2

347

0.134

7 0.5

382

-1.0

24 -

4.13

1 -3

.292

-6

.833

-0

.592

1.1

416

-1.5

52

43

Ex

hib

it 4

The

Daily

Abn

ormal

Retur

n fo

r th

e co

rresp

ondi

ng s

tock

s aro

und

the

Anno

unce

ment

Day

.,

with

a:

0 an

d b

: 1

Abno

rmal

Retur

n in

%

~

-.:L

_-_6

_ _-

_5 _ ~

_-_3

_ _-

_2 _

_ -1

_

_0 _

JL

L

-±L

_+

4_

L

±L

L --.

tL

-±.L

lL

-±1L

Harri

man

Appli

ed E

lect

ron.

QP

L Ho

ld.

Stan

dard

Lloy

ds

Burw

ill H

old.

F. P.

Spec

ial

Willi

am H

unt

Dick

son

Conc

ept

Crea

tive

lnv.

Yu

Hing

Ev

ergo

lntll

Gu

angd

ong

Inv.

Impa

la Pa

cific

La

mbda

Tech

. Wa

h Si

ng T

oys

Succ

ess

Hold.

In

dustr

ial

Equi

ty

YGM

rntll

-1.4

0.3

598

-0.3

98

-0.9

1 -3

.884

1.30

23 1

.2514

-2.

275

0.939

-1

.956

2.8

14

-1.0

29

-1.7

88 9

.515

2.002

0.83

84

0.172

6 4.6

611

1.049

-4

.31

2.151

6 -0

.492

-0.

111

0.2i

25

-0.2

34 -

0.90

3 0.4

947

-6.7

33 0

.1711

0.23

97

-2.7

51 -

2.67

5 0.0

493

0.997

9 -0

.438

0.87

73 0

.3983

-1

.012

-2

.711

-5.

633

2.084

0.1

883

1.900

11 6

.9496

3.74

79 -

4.98

5 -2

.403

-3

.042

6.92

78 0

.8571

-14

.01

-4.6

96 -

2.72

1 1.4

937

-0.3

12

-0.5

88 0

.4498

-1

.50

0.072

4 -1

.656

-4.

932

-1.4

44 -

0.93

3

-9.3

78

11.03

1 -0

.414

0.269

2 3.5

986

3.171

5 4.

8158

0.9

16

-4, 6

15

-0.1

39 -

0.31

4 1.3

85

-0.5

37 0

.4431

-0

.722

-0.

879

1.231

1 4.3

131

-2.6

05 -

4.37

7 -0

.514

1.71

15 -

1.37

2.2

008

-31.

16 -

32.1

7 22

.549

0.570

5 3.5

011

2.738

7 2.4

554

0.663

6 1.7

724

-2.2

45 -

2.68

50.6

249

-2.7

8 1.6

453

-1.1

1 -0

.752

10

.510

-0.6

11 -

7.79

5 5.9

031

-8.3

71 1

3.31

5.923

2 -9

.955

-8

.688

-4.

309

7.353

6 4.3

911

0.545

6 0.6

407

-2.4

52 0

.5914

-1

.27

-0.7

87 -

0.28

5 3.4

587

-3.9

56 -

1.69

4 -1

.757

-2.

414

-3.8

89

-2.8

88 -

3.90

9 0.5

650

-0.0

72 -

2.90

7 -1

.296

-5.

333

7.606

8 0.5

602

-2.3

86 4

.2909

0.4

462

1.420

0 -1

.610

0.11

03

1.199

5 -1

.180

5.07

56 -

11.6

2 -2

.181

2.03

25 -

2.55

8 0.6

360

-1.4

5 -1

.118

-0.

088

-1.4

96

-2.7

050.

5871

-6.

2850

.531

5 -2

.033

0.38

67 -

2.62

2 0.3

102

0.187

9 9.

2336

3.05

82 -

2.94

7 -2

.079

-8.

202

0.830

4 -0

.034

1.59

98 1

.2693

1.37

45 -

2.76

2 12

.556

9.511

1 -1

3.11

5.4

877

-3.9

91 -

0.48

6 -0

.86

-6.3

26

-12.

06 -

6.66

3 -1

.117

-0.

207

1.232

3 -2

.185

-1.

025

0.799

9 -3

.909

3.16

39 -

0.05

3 -2

1.16

-9

.107

-4.

949

-0.7

4 1.3

898

0.158

3 3.7

907

-0.6

54

2.202

2 0.1

128

1.747

3 -0

.439

13.5

24

2.01

-5.7

65 -

1.42

2 -5

.09

Orie

nt O

verse

as

-1.2

33

Asean

Res

ource

s -1

.58

8.595

7 14

.8393

-0.

004

-4.8

73 -

5.76

2 -6

.037

3.8

154

1.041

7 -4

.359

-3.

239

-0.7

43 -

2.87

3 -0

.677

-1.

228

-0.6

2 1.8

731

5.885

3 -1

.113

-1

.91

1.679

4 4.6

087

3.097

3 9.1

962

9.910

3 14

.790

12.15

0 3.8

886

-17.

45 -

11.6

1 -2

6.78

17.7

55

0.845

-2

.073

-0

.087

-2

.526

-0

.274

1.3

596

-4.0

4 -2

.45

1.811

3 -7

.545

15

.534

2.844

2 -2

.887

0.2

096

5.462

3 1.2

521

-3.3

1

5.458

8

-0.2

71 -

1.43

5 -1

.334

-1

.42

0.777

4 1.4

3627

-0

.808

2.2

05 -

0.24

3 -0

.469

0.9

984

-2.2

19

-0.2

14

0.287

9 -0

.213

-1

.044

1.2

468

1.046

1 -3

.556

3.1

433

-0.1

3 -4

.19

1.268

8 1.9

635

-0.9

99

0.915

9 -1

.192

0.4

951

0.212

5 -2

.073

-4

.498

-9

.976

-9.

138

-20.

081

8.608

9 3.8

447

3.731

4 -1

.943

-0.0

46

-0.9

14 0

.7715

3.4

698

1.645

3 0.4

703

-8.4

18

2.778

8 -2

.812

-0

.892

3 -0

.938

8 -1

.036

29

1.933

1.2

69

-4.3

45

0.240

5 -0

.718

-2

.285

-3

.028

-2

.31

2.319

3 -1

.798

-5

.363

-0

.8409

~D

.035

3.4

655

-0.6

8 -5

.071

4.9

104

5.644

8 -1

:035

1.43

2 12

.107

0.581

2 -4

.165

-9

.062

-6

.183

7.9

588

-1.7

71

-1.3

29

-1.7

92

1.596

1 -3

.917

-4

.602

-1.

363

1.083

1 -9

.955

-2

.285

'-1

.006

-0

.216

-2

.692

1.1

07

-3.1

41

1.502

2 2.3

862

0.044

8

BIBLIOGRAPHY

Books

Burton A. Kolb, and Richard F. DeMong. Principal of Financial Management. 2nd ed. Business Publication, 1988.

Charles O. Kroncke, Erwin Esser Nemmers, and Alan E. Grunewald. Managerial Finance : Essentials. 2nd Ed.

44

Companies Handbook 1987. Vol. 1 & 2. The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, 1987.

Franks Broyles. Corporate Finance. Kent Publication Co., 1985.

Listing Agreement. Section 20. The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, 1991.

Richard A. Brealey, and Steward C. Myers. Principles of Corporate Finance. 3rd ed. McGraw-Hill Book Co., 1988.

Rules Governing the Listing of Securities. Appendix A7 a-g. The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited, 1991.

Russell J. Fuller, and James L. Farrell. Modern Investments and Security Analysis. McGraw-Hill Book qo., 1987.

Weston, and John Frederick. Managerial Finance. 5th ed. Dryden Press, 1975.

Periodicals

Asquith P., and David W. Mullins. "Equity Issues and Offering Dilution." Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 15 (1986), pp. 61-88.

Hess, Alan C. and Peter A. Frost. "Tests for Price Effects of New Issues of Seasoned Securities." Journal of Finance, Vol. 36 (1982), pp. 11-25.

Kolodny, R., and D. Suhler. "Changes in Capital Structure, New Equity Issues, and Scale Effects." Journal of Financial Research, Summer (1985), pp. 127-136.

Logue, D. E. and R. A. Jarrow. "Negotiation Versus Competitive Bidding in the Sale of Securities by Public utilities." Financial Management, Vol. 7 (1978), pp. 31-39.

45

Marsh, P.' R. "Equity Rights Issues and the Efficiency of the U. K. Stick Market." Journal of Finance, Vol. 34 (1979), pp. 839-862.

Mikkelson, W. and M. Partch. "Valuation Effects of Security Offerings and the Issuance Process." Journal of Financial Economics, Jan.-Feb. (1986), pp. 31-60.

Myers, Stewart C. and Nicholas S. Majluf. "Corporat~ Financing and Investment Decisions when Firms have Information that Investors do not have." Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 13 (1984), pp. 187-222.

Nelson, J. Russell. "Price Effects in Rights Offerings." The Journal of Finance, Vol. 20 (1965), pp. 647-650.

Scholes, M. S. "The Market for Securities: Substitution vs. Price Pressure and the Effects of Information on Share Prices." Journal of Business, Vol. 45 (1972), pp . 1 79- 211 .

Sharpe W. F. "A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis." Management Science, Jan. (1963), pp. 277-293.

Smith, C. Jr. "Substitute Methods for Raising Additional Capital : Rights Offerings versus Underwritten Issues." Journal of Financial Economics, Dec. (1977), pp. 273-307.

White R. W., and P. A. Lusztig. "The Price Effects of R"ights Offerings." Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. XV, No. 1 (March 1980), pp. 25-35.

--- - ---- -- ---- - - ------ -------- ---- .-... ---

CUHK L; bra r; es

11111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111 1111 1111

000348,207